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Indigenous cultural heritage in motion 土著文化遗产运动
Pub Date : 2025-11-06 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00744-0
Ingrid Boas, Clare Davis
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment interviewed Ingrid Boas about their project investigating the role of cultural heritage in shaping climate change adaptation amongst Indigenous peoples with mobile livelihoods.
《自然评论:地球与环境》采访了Ingrid Boas,内容涉及他们的项目,该项目调查文化遗产在影响以流动为生的土著人民适应气候变化方面的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Natural carbon uptake by ocean biology will not deliver credible carbon credits 海洋生物的自然碳吸收不会带来可靠的碳信用额
Pub Date : 2025-11-05 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00741-3
Lennart T. Bach, Phil Williamson, Joanna I. House, Philip W. Boyd
Natural CO2 removal is increasingly being claimed as anthropogenic climate mitigation. This misrepresentation is already prevalent for forests and coastal ecosystems; there is now the risk of the error reoccurring for open-ocean CO2 uptake via the biological carbon pump.
越来越多的人声称自然去除二氧化碳是人为的气候缓解。这种误解在森林和沿海生态系统中已经很普遍;现在,通过生物碳泵吸收公海二氧化碳的错误有再次发生的风险。
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引用次数: 0
Earth’s past and present mantle oxygen fugacity 地球过去和现在的地幔氧逸度
Pub Date : 2025-11-04 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00735-1
Elizabeth Cottrell, Dante Canil, Charles Langmuir, Katy A. Evans, Fabrice Gaillard
Oxygen is the most abundant element in Earth’s mantle. Oxygen fugacity (fO2), which quantifies the availability of oxygen to mediate oxidation–reduction reactions, affects important mantle processes, such as depth of melting, extraction of volatiles to the atmosphere, crustal composition and ore body generation. Debate continues over modern and past variations in mantle fO2. In this Review, we compile thermobarometric data from mafic and ultramafic rocks at ridges, back-arcs, and arcs and show that the fO2 of subduction-influenced arc mantle is appreciably higher than the mantle supplying ocean ridges. We review the timing and mechanisms that might transfer redox budget to the arc mantle wedge. A new proxy for the redox-sensitive element vanadium confirms the higher oxidation state of arc mantle and can be used to show there is no conclusive evidence for oxidation of the ambient mantle since the Archaean (2,500–4,000 million years ago). Earlier, in the Hadean magma ocean (>4,000 million years ago), liquid silicate equilibrated with liquid metal alloy while the upper mantle was rapidly oxidized to higher fO2. Future research should focus on how mantle fO2 coevolved with Earth’s primitive atmosphere during core formation, magma ocean crystallization and degassing. Mantle oxygen fugacity is set by phase equilibria and is intimately linked to geochemical and geodynamic processes. This Review explores the possible mechanisms that have controlled mantle oxygen fugacity from Earth’s early beginnings to the present day.
氧是地幔中最丰富的元素。氧逸度(fO2)量化了氧介导氧化还原反应的有效性,影响了重要的地幔过程,如熔融深度、挥发物向大气的提取、地壳成分和矿体生成。关于地幔2的现代和过去变化的争论仍在继续。本文收集了洋脊、弧后和弧的基性和超基性岩石的热气压测量数据,表明俯冲影响的弧幔的fO2明显高于供给洋脊的地幔。我们回顾了可能将氧化还原平衡转移到弧幔楔的时间和机制。一个新的氧化还原敏感元素钒的替代物证实了弧幔较高的氧化状态,并可用于表明自太古宙(25 - 40亿年前)以来没有确凿的证据表明周围地幔氧化。早些时候,在40亿年前的冥古宙岩浆海中,液态硅酸盐与液态金属合金平衡,而上地幔被迅速氧化成更高的fO2。未来的研究重点应集中在地核形成、岩浆海洋结晶和脱气过程中地幔fO2如何与地球原始大气共同演化。地幔氧逸度由相平衡决定,与地球化学和地球动力学过程密切相关。本综述探讨了从地球早期开始到现在控制地幔氧逸度的可能机制。
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引用次数: 0
Differences and uncertainties in land-use CO2 flux estimates 土地利用CO2通量估算的差异和不确定性
Pub Date : 2025-10-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00730-6
Wolfgang A. Obermeier, Clemens Schwingshackl, Raphael Ganzenmüller, Giacomo Grassi, Viola Heinrich, Ingrid T. Luijkx, Ana Bastos, Philippe Ciais, Stephen Sitch, Julia Pongratz
Accurately estimating carbon dioxide (CO2) fluxes from land use and land-use change (FLUC) is critical to assessing nationally determined contributions and progress towards climate targets. In this Perspective, we compare five FLUC estimation approaches, discuss the origins of large uncertainties and discrepancies in estimates and consider how to improve estimate accuracy and better align individual estimates. Global FLUC estimates between 2000 and 2023 range from net emissions of 1.9 ± 0.6 PgC yr−1 (based on dynamic global vegetation models) to net removals of −1.0 PgC yr−1 (based on Earth observations), with other estimates from bookkeeping models, country reports and atmospheric inversions falling within this range. Discrepancies arise from each approach using different definitions for FLUC, the spatial extent of managed land and including degradation and environmental effects to varying degrees. As a result, each approach accounts for different fluxes and land areas. Uncertainties within individual estimates are attributed to quality of land-use data, observational constraints and incomplete process consideration. These uncertainties can be reduced through better separation of anthropogenic and natural CO2 fluxes, including the effects of anthropogenically driven ecosystem degradation and improving model parameterizations. Thus, future research should prioritise unambiguous and consistent definitions and conducting systematic evaluations against each other to improve the translation and harmonization of FLUC estimates, which is essential to support effective climate policies and optimize land-based climate change mitigation. Robust quantification of carbon dioxide fluxes from land use is critical for guiding climate change mitigation efforts and for improved understanding of the global carbon cycle. This Perspective explores the origins of uncertainties and discrepancies in established estimation approaches and considers strategies to improve, translate and harmonize flux estimates.
准确估算土地利用和土地利用变化产生的二氧化碳通量对于评估国家自主贡献和实现气候目标的进展至关重要。在这个观点中,我们比较了五种FLUC估计方法,讨论了估计中大不确定性和差异的起源,并考虑了如何提高估计精度和更好地校准单个估计。2000年至2023年全球FLUC估算值的范围从净排放量1.9±0.6 PgC /年(基于动态全球植被模型)到净清除率- 1.0 PgC /年(基于地球观测)不等,其他来自簿记模型、国家报告和大气逆温的估算值也在这一范围内。每一种方法使用不同的定义,包括不同程度的退化和环境影响,从而产生差异。因此,每种方法考虑不同的通量和土地面积。个别估算的不确定性是由于土地利用数据的质量、观测限制和不完整的过程考虑。通过更好地分离人为和自然CO2通量,包括人为驱动的生态系统退化的影响和改进模式参数化,可以减少这些不确定性。因此,未来的研究应优先考虑明确和一致的定义,并对彼此进行系统评估,以改进FLUC估算的翻译和协调,这对于支持有效的气候政策和优化陆基气候变化减缓至关重要。对土地利用产生的二氧化碳通量进行强有力的量化,对于指导减缓气候变化的努力和增进对全球碳循环的了解至关重要。本展望探讨了既定估算方法中不确定性和差异的根源,并考虑了改进、转换和协调通量估算的策略。
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引用次数: 0
Bridging scales in vegetation phenology using near-surface and satellite data 利用近地表和卫星数据研究植被物候的桥接尺度
Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00738-y
Andeise C. Dutra
Andeise Dutra explains how near-surface digital camera can be used together with satellite observations to investigate plant phenology across scales.
Andeise Dutra解释了近地表数码相机如何与卫星观测一起使用,以跨尺度研究植物物候。
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引用次数: 0
Using pile burns to investigate the impacts of severe wildfires on soil 利用焚烧桩来研究严重野火对土壤的影响
Pub Date : 2025-10-28 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00739-x
Julie A. Fowler
Julie Fowler explains how pile burns can be used to investigate wildfire impacts on soil biogeochemistry.
朱莉·福勒解释了如何利用堆燃烧来调查野火对土壤生物地球化学的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Weather and climate extremes in a changing Arctic 不断变化的北极的极端天气和气候
Pub Date : 2025-10-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00724-4
Xiangdong Zhang, Timo Vihma, Annette Rinke, G. W. K. Moore, Han Tang, Cecilia Äijälä, Alice DuVivier, Jianbin Huang, Laura Landrum, Chao Li, Jing Zhang, Linette Boisvert, Bin Cheng, Judah Cohen, Dörthe Handorf, Edward Hanna, Katharina Hartmuth, Marius O. Jonassen, Yong Luo, Sonja Murto, James E. Overland, Chelsea Parker, William Perrie, Kirstin Schulz, Axel Schweiger, Thomas Spengler, Michael Steele, Wen-wen Tung, Nicholas Tyrrell, Elina Valkonen, Hailong Wang, Zhuo Wang, Wilbert Weijer, Siiri Wickström, Yutian Wu, Minghong Zhang
Weather and climate extremes are increasingly occurring in the Arctic. In this Review, we evaluate historical and projected changes in rare Arctic extremes across the atmosphere, cryosphere and ocean and elucidate their driving mechanisms. Clear shifts occur in mean and extreme distributions after ~2000. For instance, pre-2000 to post-2000 observational probabilities of 1.5 standard deviation events increase by 20% for atmospheric heat waves, 76.7% for Atlantic layer warm events, 83.5% for Arctic sea ice loss and 62.9% for Greenland Ice Sheet melt extent — in many cases, low probability, rare extreme events in the early period become the norm in the latter period. These observed changes can be explained using a ‘pushing and triggering’ concept, representing interplay between external forcing and internal variability: long-term warming destabilizes the climate system and ‘pushes’ it to a new state, allowing subsequent variability associated with large-scale atmosphere–ocean–ice interactions and synoptic systems to ‘trigger’ extreme events over different timescales. Ongoing anthropogenic warming is expected to further increase the frequency and magnitude of extremes, such that simulated probabilities of 1.5 standard deviation events increase by 72.6% for atmospheric heat waves, 68.7% for Atlantic layer warm events and 93.3% for Greenland Ice Sheet melt rate between historic (1984–2014) and future (2069–2099) periods under a very high emission scenario. Future research should prioritize the development of physically based metrics, enhance high-resolution observation and modelling capabilities and improve understanding of multiscale Arctic climate drivers. Rare and extreme climate events have increasingly occurred in the Arctic since ~2000. This Review outlines the observed and projected changes in atmospheric, oceanic and cryospheric extremes and explains their increasing occurrence through a ‘pushing and triggering’ framework.
北极的极端天气和气候越来越多地发生。在这篇综述中,我们评估了历史和预测的北极罕见极端事件在大气、冰冻圈和海洋中的变化,并阐明了它们的驱动机制。2000年以后,平均分布和极值分布发生了明显的变化。例如,2000年前到2000年后,大气热浪1.5标准差事件的观测概率增加了20%,大西洋层暖化事件增加了76.7%,北极海冰损失增加了83.5%,格陵兰冰盖融化程度增加了62.9%——在许多情况下,早期的低概率、罕见的极端事件在后期成为常态。这些观测到的变化可以用“推动和触发”的概念来解释,它代表了外部强迫和内部变率之间的相互作用:长期变暖使气候系统不稳定,并将其“推”到一个新的状态,从而允许与大尺度大气-海洋-冰相互作用和天气系统相关的后续变率在不同的时间尺度上“触发”极端事件。持续的人为变暖预计将进一步增加极端事件的频率和强度,在高排放情景下,在历史(1984-2014年)和未来(2069-2099年)期间,大气热浪1.5标准差事件的模拟概率增加72.6%,大西洋层变暖事件增加68.7%,格陵兰冰盖融化率增加93.3%。未来的研究应优先发展基于物理的指标,增强高分辨率观测和建模能力,并提高对多尺度北极气候驱动因素的理解。自2000年以来,北极地区的罕见和极端气候事件越来越多。本综述概述了观测到的和预估的大气、海洋和冰冻圈极端事件的变化,并通过“推动和触发”的框架解释了它们日益增加的发生。
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引用次数: 0
Stakeholder asset-mapping of climate technology infrastructures 气候技术基础设施的利益相关者资产映射
Pub Date : 2025-10-17 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00737-z
Marta Koch
Marta Koch explains how stakeholder asset-mapping can help identify emerging climate action technology solutions in the Arctic.
Marta Koch解释了利益相关者资产映射如何帮助确定北极地区新兴的气候行动技术解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
How do faults evolve into plate boundaries? 断层是如何演化成板块边界的?
Pub Date : 2025-10-13 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00729-z
Laetitia Le Pourhiet
Lara (16, Turkey) asks Professor Le Pourhiet how faults evolve into plate boundaries.
Lara(16岁,土耳其)问Le Pourhiet教授断层是如何演化成板块边界的。
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引用次数: 0
Impacts of rising atmospheric dryness on terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle 大气干燥度上升对陆地生态系统碳循环的影响
Pub Date : 2025-10-07 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00726-2
Wenping Yuan, Jie Tian, Mei Wang, Shuo Wang, Wenfang Xu, Yin Wang, Zheng Fu, Martin P. Girardin, Julia K. Green, Sha Zhou, Jiali Shang, Bin He, Miao Huang, Menglong Liu, Haibo Lu, Shilong Piao, Yamin Qing, Meimei Xue, Chaoqing Song, Yongxian Su, Walid Sadok, Yao Zhang, Xiuzhi Chen
Rising atmospheric dryness is affecting the terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle through its influence on plant physiology. In this Review, we synthesize historical and projected trends in atmospheric vapour pressure deficit (VPD), a proxy for atmospheric dryness, and the mechanisms by which it affects the terrestrial carbon cycle. Since the late 1990s, global mean VPD has increased at a mean rate of 0.0155 ± 0.0041 hPa yr−1. VPD-driven reductions in leaf area index (0.11 ± 0.07 m2 m−2 hPa−1, 1982–2015), gross primary production (13.82 ± 3.12 PgC hPa−1, 1982–2015), light use efficiency (0.04 ± 0.02 gC MJ−1 hPa−1, 2001–2020) and net ecosystem production (5.59 ± 1.15 PgC hPa−1, 1982–2013) have been observed globally. However, attributing changes in the terrestrial carbon cycle to VPD is still challenging, owing to the confounding influence of other environmental factors, such as soil moisture, temperature and radiation. The mechanisms underlying plant responses to VPD — which include stomatal closure, hydraulic failure, abscisic acid biosynthesis, and cascading effects on fires and soil moisture deficits — are also poorly constrained, limiting the predictive capabilities of terrestrial carbon cycle models. Future research should prioritize establishing global VPD-manipulation experiments to enhance understanding of feedbacks between VPD, plants and the carbon cycle, and these mechanisms should then be integrated into terrestrial carbon cycle models. Atmospheric dryness is increasing as air temperatures rise because of climate change. This Review explores temporal trends and spatial heterogeneity in global atmospheric dryness and the implications for plant growth, productivity and terrestrial carbon cycling.
大气干燥度上升通过对植物生理的影响影响陆地生态系统的碳循环。在这篇综述中,我们综合了大气蒸汽压差(VPD)的历史和预测趋势,VPD是大气干燥的一个代表,以及它影响陆地碳循环的机制。自20世纪90年代末以来,全球平均VPD以0.0155±0.0041 hPa yr - 1的平均速率增加。在全球范围内,vpd驱动的叶面积指数(0.11±0.07 m2 m−2 hPa−1,1982-2015)、初级总产量(13.82±3.12 PgC hPa−1,1982-2015)、光能利用效率(0.04±0.02 gC MJ−1 hPa−1,2001-2020)和净生态系统产量(5.59±1.15 PgC hPa−1,1982-2013)减少。然而,由于土壤湿度、温度和辐射等其他环境因素的混杂影响,将陆地碳循环的变化归因于VPD仍然具有挑战性。植物对VPD的响应机制——包括气孔关闭、水力破坏、脱落酸生物合成以及对火灾和土壤水分缺乏的级联效应——也很少被限制,限制了陆地碳循环模型的预测能力。未来的研究应优先建立全球VPD操纵实验,以加强对VPD、植物和碳循环之间反馈的理解,并将这些机制整合到陆地碳循环模型中。由于气候变化,气温上升,大气干燥度也在增加。本文综述了全球大气干燥的时空变化趋势及其对植物生长、生产力和陆地碳循环的影响。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
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