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Ocean stratification in a warming climate 变暖气候下的海洋分层
Pub Date : 2025-09-30 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00715-5
Lijing Cheng  (, ), Guancheng Li  (, ), Shang-Min Long  (, ), Yuanlong Li  (, ), Karina von Schuckmann, Kevin E. Trenberth, Michael E. Mann, John Abraham, Yan Du  (, ), Xuhua Cheng  (, ), Hailong Liu  (, ), Zhenhua Xu  (, ), Maofeng Liu  (, ), Qihua Peng  (, ), Xun Gong  (, ), Zhanhong Ma  (, ), Huifeng Yuan  (, )
The ocean is highly stratified. Warm, fresh water sits on top of cold, salty water, influencing vertical oceanic exchange of heat, carbon, oxygen and nutrients. In this Review, we examine observed and projected stratification shifts and their impacts. Changes in ocean temperature and salinity have altered the ocean density field, leading to a 0.8 ± 0.1% dec−1 (90% confidence interval) increase in stratification in the global upper 2,000 m since the 1960s. These increases are most pronounced in the tropics and are primarily temperature driven. Model simulations project ongoing stratification increases in the future, with global 0–2,000 m stratification increasing 0.7 [0.3,1.1; 13–87% confidence interval], 1.4 [0.9,1.8] and 2.9 [2.1,3.8]% dec−1 by 2090–2100 relative to 2010–2020 under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively; regional patterns of projected stratification changes generally follow observed trends. These observed and projected ocean stratification changes have important climate and ecological consequences, including alterations in ocean heat uptake, ocean currents, vertical mixing, tropical cyclone intensity, marine ecosystems and elevation of marine extremes. Further research should better quantify stratification change at critical layers and understand their drivers and impacts. Ocean stratification — density-related layering of seawater — influences oceanographic and climatic processes. This Review outlines observed and projected changes in stratification, noting a 0.8% dec−1 increase in 0–2,000 m stratification from 1960–2024, and a further 1.4% dec−1 increase by 2100 under SSP2-4.5.
海洋是高度分层的。温暖的淡水位于寒冷的咸水之上,影响着海洋中热量、碳、氧和营养物质的垂直交换。在这篇综述中,我们研究了观察到的和预测的分层变化及其影响。海洋温度和盐度的变化改变了海洋密度场,导致自20世纪60年代以来全球2000米以上的分层增加了0.8±0.1% dec−1(90%置信区间)。这些增加在热带地区最为明显,主要是由温度驱动的。模式模拟预测未来分层将持续增加,全球0 - 2000 m分层将增加0.7 [0.3,1.1];在共享社会经济路径SSP1-2.6、SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5下,到2090-2100年,相对于2010-2020年,分别有13-87%的置信区间]、1.4[0.9,1.8]和2.9[2.1,3.8]%的dec−1;预估分层变化的区域格局一般符合观测到的趋势。这些观测到的和预估的海洋分层变化具有重要的气候和生态后果,包括海洋热吸收、洋流、垂直混合、热带气旋强度、海洋生态系统和海洋极端海拔的变化。进一步的研究应更好地量化关键层的分层变化,并了解其驱动因素和影响。海洋分层-与密度有关的海水分层-影响海洋学和气候过程。本综述概述了观测到的和预测的分层变化,注意到1960-2024年0 - 2000 m分层增加0.8%,到2100年在SSP2-4.5下进一步增加1.4%。
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引用次数: 0
Using lead isotopes as tracers of ocean pollution 使用铅同位素作为海洋污染的示踪剂
Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00728-0
Arianna Olivelli
Arianna Olivelli describes how lead isotope tracing can be used to track the progress of environmental efforts to curb lead pollution.
Arianna Olivelli描述了如何利用铅同位素示踪来追踪遏制铅污染的环境努力的进展。
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引用次数: 0
Embrace SST pattern nonlinearity to understand post-2100 climate changes 利用海温模式非线性来理解2100年后的气候变化
Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00721-7
Kai Yang
Sea surface temperature response patterns to persistent greenhouse gas forcing are fundamentally nonlinear, contributing to uncertainties in long-term climate projections. A nonlinear framework is required for evaluating future climate changes under greenhouse warming.
海面温度对持续温室气体强迫的响应模式基本上是非线性的,造成了长期气候预估的不确定性。评估温室效应下未来气候变化需要一个非线性框架。
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引用次数: 0
Persistent inequities in global lake science 全球湖泊科学的持续不平等
Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00722-6
Qingsong Jiang, Yanxin Sun, Erik Jeppesen, John P. Smol, Donald Scavia, Robert E. Hecky, Thomas Mehner, Yue Qin, Yindong Tong, Boqiang Qin, K. David Hambright, Xiaowei Jin, Jincheng Li, Kaikui Cai, Zhen Wu, Yong Liu
Global lake research is skewed toward economically and socially developed regions, overlooking remote areas. Enhancing resilience and fostering synergistic approaches could help redress these inequities.
全球湖泊研究倾向于经济和社会发达地区,忽视了偏远地区。增强韧性和促进协同方法有助于纠正这些不平等现象。
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引用次数: 0
Climate extremes, unequal burdens 极端气候,不平等的负担
Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00731-5
Eugenia Dinivitzer
An article in Nature Communications finds that low-income countries will face greater exposure to future climate extremes than high-income countries.
《自然通讯》的一篇文章发现,低收入国家将比高收入国家更容易受到未来极端气候的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges and opportunities in scaling enhanced weathering for carbon dioxide removal 结垢增强风化去除二氧化碳的挑战与机遇
Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00713-7
David J. Beerling, Christopher T. Reinhard, Rachael H. James, Anu Khan, Nick Pidgeon, Noah J. Planavsky
Terrestrial enhanced weathering (EW) on agricultural lands is a proposed carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technology involving the amendment of soils with crushed base cation-rich rocks, such as basalt. Over a quarter of a billion dollars have been raised by commercial EW start-ups across the globe, accelerating the deployment of EW at scale. In this Review, we outline the scientific knowledge and policy requirements for scaling EW. The global CDR potential of EW is 0.5–2 Gt CO2 year by 2050. Tracking carbon as it is transferred from soils (cradle) to the oceans (grave), fully considering and quantifying lag times in CDR and developing a robust framework of monitoring, reporting and verification of CDR are all important for understanding the performance of EW deployments. Policies aimed at incentivizing responsible deployment and gaining acceptability among directly impacted communities, such as agriculture, are essential to sustainable and long-term growth of EW. High initial prices, the lack of consistent methodology for issuing carbon credits and lifecycle carbon emissions associated with a deployment are the main challenges of scaling EW through the voluntary carbon market. Future research needs to explore the co-deployment of EW and other CDR technologies and utilize long-term (>10 years) instrumented EW field trials to evaluate processes that regulate CDR efficiency and agronomic and economic co-benefits. Commercial investment in enhanced rock weathering for carbon dioxide removal on agricultural lands is growing rapidly. This Review explores the potential of large-scale deployment, outlining the challenges faced in science, policy and governance to scale the technology.
陆地增强风化(EW)是一种农业用地上的二氧化碳去除(CDR)技术,涉及用破碎的碱性富阳离子岩石(如玄武岩)修正土壤。全球商业电子战初创企业已经筹集了超过2.5亿美元的资金,加速了电子战的大规模部署。在这篇综述中,我们概述了扩大EW的科学知识和政策要求。到2050年,EW的全球CDR潜力为0.5-2 Gt CO2年。跟踪碳从土壤(摇篮)转移到海洋(坟墓)的过程,充分考虑和量化CDR的滞后时间,以及建立一个强有力的CDR监测、报告和验证框架,对于理解电子战部署的性能都很重要。旨在激励负责任的部署并在直接受影响的社区(如农业)中获得可接受性的政策,对于可持续和长期的EW增长至关重要。高昂的初始价格、缺乏统一的碳信用额度发行方法以及与部署相关的生命周期碳排放是通过自愿碳市场扩大新能源规模的主要挑战。未来的研究需要探索电子战与其他CDR技术的共同部署,并利用长期(>;10年)仪器电子战田间试验来评估调节CDR效率和农艺经济协同效益的过程。在农业用地上加强岩石风化以去除二氧化碳的商业投资正在迅速增长。这篇综述探讨了大规模部署的潜力,概述了在科学、政策和治理方面面临的挑战。
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引用次数: 0
Who moves under climate stress 谁在气候压力下迁移
Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00732-4
Bing Xue
An article in Nature Communications finds that age and education are important demographic factors influencing migration responses to climate change.
《自然通讯》上的一篇文章发现,年龄和教育是影响移民对气候变化反应的重要人口因素。
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引用次数: 0
Models translate lake mud into useful climate variables 模型将湖泥转化为有用的气候变量
Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00733-3
Rebecca G. Topness
Rebecca Topness explains how lake proxy system models support insights into past climate.
Rebecca Topness解释了湖泊代理系统模型如何支持对过去气候的了解。
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引用次数: 0
Urban flood response to climate change and stormwater management practices 城市洪水应对气候变化和雨水管理实践
Pub Date : 2025-09-17 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00723-5
Arpita Mondal, Clare Davis
Nature Reviews Earth & Environment interviewed Arpita Mondal from the Indian Institute of Technology Bombay about their project investigating the attribution of urban flood response to climate change and stormwater management practices.
《自然评论:地球与环境》采访了来自孟买印度理工学院的Arpita Mondal,内容涉及他们的研究项目:城市洪水响应与气候变化和雨水管理实践的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Anthropogenic impacts on the Yellow River Basin 黄河流域的人为影响
Pub Date : 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1038/s43017-025-00718-2
Shuai Wang  (, ), Shuang Song  (, ), Haoyu Zhang  (, ), Lu Yu  (, ), Chentai Jiao  (, ), Changjia Li  (, ), Xutong Wu  (, ), Wenwu Zhao  (, ), Jim Best, Patrick Roberts, Bojie Fu  (, )
The Yellow River Basin supports a population of 200 million people and contains 15% of arable land in China. Water scarcity in the region is being exacerbated by climate change and human activities. In this Review, we discuss anthropogenic impacts on the hydrological cycle and sediment dynamics of the Yellow River since the 1950s. The Yellow River had one of the largest sediment loads in the world, peaking at 2.1 Gt yr−1 in 1958. Such high sediment loads elevated flood risk; therefore, reservoirs, conservation and revegetation projects were implemented, reducing sediment transport by 90% since the 1980s. However, these efforts also impacted the hydrology of the Yellow River Basin, leading to an increase in evapotranspiration fluxes (1.79 mm yr−2, 1980–2020) and reduced runoff. In addition, human water use has increased by 15.8% since the 1980s. The resulting reductions in soil water storage and intensification of the vertical water cycle foreshadow potential resource crises and will potentially lead to irreversible ecosystem degradation. Predicting the outcomes of water management policies and engineering projects is essential but highly complex owing to feedback loops and interactions between human activities and hydrological changes. Addressing these challenges, which are also faced by other arid-region rivers, will require dynamic monitoring of water storage and improved understanding of human–hydrological interactions. Anthropogenic pressures threaten water sustainability and ecological integrity in the Yellow River Basin. This Review outlines changes in water cycling and sediment loads in the region since the 1950s and discusses the impacts of demographic shifts, patterns of water use, land use transformations and socioeconomic development.
黄河流域供养着2亿人口,拥有中国15%的可耕地。气候变化和人类活动加剧了该地区的水资源短缺。本文讨论了20世纪50年代以来人类活动对黄河水循环和泥沙动态的影响。黄河是世界上含沙量最大的河流之一,1958年达到峰值2.1亿吨/年。如此高的泥沙负荷增加了洪水风险;因此,实施了水库、涵养和植被恢复工程,自20世纪80年代以来,输沙量减少了90%。然而,这些努力也影响了黄河流域的水文,导致蒸散发通量增加(1.79 mm yr - 2, 1980-2020)和径流减少。此外,自20世纪80年代以来,人类用水增加了15.8%。由此导致的土壤储水量减少和垂直水循环的加剧预示着潜在的资源危机,并可能导致不可逆转的生态系统退化。预测水管理政策和工程项目的结果至关重要,但由于人类活动和水文变化之间的反馈循环和相互作用,预测结果非常复杂。要解决其他干旱地区河流也面临的这些挑战,需要对储水量进行动态监测,并提高对人类与水文相互作用的理解。人为压力威胁着黄河流域水资源的可持续性和生态完整性。本文概述了20世纪50年代以来该地区水循环和泥沙负荷的变化,并讨论了人口变化、水利用模式、土地利用转变和社会经济发展的影响。
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Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
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