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Background: The prognosis of myocardial ischaemia with no obstructive coronary artery disease (INOCA) and its underlying vasomotor disorders, vasospastic angina (VSA) and microvascular angina (MVA), is not well defined. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies evaluating the long-term prognosis of patients with INOCA.

Methods: We included studies evaluating the prognosis of patients with INOCA published between January 1984 and August 2023 in Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane databases. Studies were selected if they included patients who fulfilled the Coronary Vasomotor Disorders International Study Group (COVADIS) criteria for either possible or definitive VSA or MVA. The primary outcomes were composite of all-cause death and myocardial infarction (MI), and major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) at annual intervals up to 5-year follow-up. The incidence of primary outcomes for INOCA, each INOCA endotype and by method used to determine the diagnosis was calculated using the random effects model.

Results: Fifty-four studies (17 302 patients) meeting the eligibility criteria were selected. The rate of all-cause death and MI with VSA was 0.7 (95% CI 0.4 to 1.0)/100 patient-years and with MVA was 1.1 (95% CI 0.7 to 1.5)/100 patient-years (p>0.05). The rate of MACE with VSA was 1.1 (95% CI 0.5 to 1.9)/100 patient-years and with MVA was 2.5 (95% CI 1.6 to 3.6)/100 patient-years (p=0.025). Patients with reduced coronary flow reserve (CFR) had higher all-cause death and MI rates than patients whose diagnosis of MVA was established based on an abnormal exercise or imaging stress test (4.7 (95% CI 2.0 to 8.4) vs 0.5 (95% CI 0.1 to 1.1) vs 1.1 (95% CI 0.5 to 2.0)/100 patient-years, p=0.001).

Conclusions: Overall, patients with INOCA have a low rate of MACEs, but patients with MVA, especially those with reduced CFR, have a significantly higher rate of MACE than other subgroups, although there is high heterogeneity among the included studies.

Prospero registration number: CRD42021275070.

Background: This present study aimed to investigate the impact of left atrial appendage (LAA) isolation on adverse clinical outcomes, with a further stratified analysis by biatrial (BA) and left atrial lesion sets, in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing surgical ablation (SA) concurrent with mitral valve (MV) surgery.

Methods: We evaluated 875 patients (aged 65.1±12.0 years) who underwent SA of AF concomitant to MV surgery, excluding those with mechanical prostheses requiring lifelong anticoagulation, between 2005 and 2017 in five tertiary cardiac centres in South Korea. Of these, 458 had isolated the LAA, whereas the remainder (n=417) had the LAA preserved. Comparative risk of stroke, mortality and AF recurrence was assessed between the groups, considering death as a competing event. Inverse-probability treatment weighting was used for baseline adjustment.

Results: During the median follow-up of 57.4 months (IQR, 32.5-92.4 months), the adjusted risk of long-term stroke was significantly lower in the patients who underwent LAA isolation compared with those who preserved the LAA (subdistribution HR (SHR), 0.28; 95% CI 0.15 to 0.51; p<0.001). However, there were no significant differences in the adjusted risk of mortality (HR, 0.85; 95% CI 0.57 to 1.27; p=0.429) or AF recurrence (SHR, 0.92; 95% CI 0.78 to 1.08; p=0.291) between LAA isolation and preservation. In the subgroup of patients who underwent BA ablation, LAA isolation was associated with a lower long-term risk of stroke and AF recurrence (SHR, 0.77; 95% CI 0.61 to 0.94; p=0.029) compared with LAA preservation.

Conclusions: Concomitant LAA isolation during SA of AF in patients undergoing MV surgery was associated with a significantly lower risk of long-term stroke, but no survival benefit was observed.

Background: Acute dyspnoea is common in acute care settings. However, identifying the origin of dyspnoea in the emergency department (ED) is often challenging. We aimed to investigate whether our artificial intelligence (AI)-powered ECG analysis reliably distinguishes between the causes of dyspnoea and evaluate its potential as a clinical triage tool for comparing conventional heart failure diagnostic processes using natriuretic peptides.

Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted using an AI-based ECG algorithm on patients ≥18 years old presenting with dyspnoea at the ED from February 2006 to September 2023. Patients were categorised into cardiac or pulmonary origin groups based on initial admission. The performance of an AI-ECG using a transformer neural network algorithm was assessed to analyse standard 12-lead ECGs for accuracy, sensitivity, specificity and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Additionally, we compared the diagnostic efficacy of AI-ECG models with N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels to identify cardiac origins.

Results: Among the 3105 patients included in the study, 1197 had cardiac-origin dyspnoea. The AI-ECG model demonstrated an AUC of 0.938 and 88.1% accuracy for cardiac-origin dyspnoea. The sensitivity, specificity and positive and negative predictive values were 93.0%, 79.5%, 89.0% and 86.4%, respectively. The F1 score was 0.828. AI-ECG demonstrated superior diagnostic performance in identifying cardiac-origin dyspnoea compared with NT-proBNP. True cardiac origin was confirmed in 96 patients in a sensitivity analysis of 129 patients with a high probability of cardiac origin initially misdiagnosed as pulmonary origin predicted by AI-ECG.

Conclusions: AI-ECG demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy over NT-proBNP and showed promise as a clinical triage tool. It is a potentially valuable tool for identifying the origin of dyspnoea in emergency settings and supporting decision-making.

Aims: To assess the diagnostic accuracy of dobutamine stress echocardiography (DSE) in symptomatic patients with a low to intermediate pretest probability of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) and a positive coronary CT angiography (CCTA).

Methods: We prospectively enrolled 104 consecutive patients undergoing coronary angiography for symptoms of stable CAD and a CCTA indicative of obstructive CAD. The diagnostic performance of DSE was evaluated against two intracoronary pressure indices: (a) fractional flow reserve (FFR) with a cut-off of ≤0.80 and (b) instantaneous wave-free ratio (iFR) with a cut-off of ≤0.89, indicating haemodynamically significant stenoses.

Results: Of 102 patients, 46 (45%) had at least one significant lesion as defined by FFR, as did 37 (36%) as defined by iFR. DSE showed positive results in 33% (34/102) of cases. The discriminative power of DSE for detecting significant CAD was moderate, with areas under the curve of 0.63 (p=0.024) compared with FFR and 0.64 (p=0.025) compared with iFR. The accuracy, sensitivity and specificity of DSE were, respectively, 61%, 43%, and 75% against FFR, and 64%, 46% and 74% against iFR. The diagnostic accuracy of DSE did not differ significantly between FFR and iFR as a reference (p=0.549).

Conclusion: In patients with positive CCTA, DSE has a moderate ability to identify haemodynamically significant CAD, with low sensitivity and moderate specificity. When assessed against FFR and iFR criteria, its additive diagnostic value is limited in patients with low to intermediate pretest probability of obstructive CAD.

Trial registration number: NCT03045601.

Background: Patients with shock treated by emergency medical services (EMS) have high morbidity and mortality. Knowledge of prehospital factors predicting outcomes in patients with shock remains limited. We aimed to describe the prehospital predictors of mortality in patients with non-traumatic shock transported to hospital by EMS.

Method: This is a retrospective cohort study of consecutive ambulance attendances for non-traumatic shock in Victoria, Australia (January 2015-June 2019) linked with government-held administrative data (emergency, admissions and mortality records). Predictors of 30-day mortality were assessed using Cox proportional regressions. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality.

Results: Overall, 21 334 patients with non-traumatic shock (median age 69 years, 54.8% female) were successfully linked with state administrative records. Among this cohort, 9 149 (43%) patients died within 30-days. Compared with survivors, non-survivors had a longer median on-scene time: 60 (35-98) versus 30 (19-50), p <0.001. Non-survivors were more likely to be older (median age in years: 74 (61-84) vs 65 (47-78), p<0.001), had prehospital cardiac arrest requiring cardiopulmonary resuscitation (adjusted HR (aHR)=6.26, 95% CI 5.87, 6.69) and had prehospital intubation (aHR=1.07, CI 1.00, 1.14). Reduced 30-day mortality was associated with administration of epinephrine (aHR=0.66, CI 0.62, 0.71) and systolic blood pressures above 80 mm Hg in the prehospital setting.

Conclusion: The 30-day mortality from non-traumatic shock is high at 43%. Independent predictors of mortality included age, prehospital cardiac arrest and endotracheal intubation. Interventions that target reversible causes of short-term mortality in patients with non-traumatic shock are a high priority.

Background: Heart failure (HF) with improved ejection fraction (HFimpEF) is a recently identified phenotype of HF, which had better cardiovascular outcomes compared with persistent HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). The present study aimed to investigate the predictive value of tissue inhibitor of metalloproteinase (TIMP)-1 and matrix metalloproteinases-9 (MMP-9) in the recovery of left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF).

Methods: Subjects who presented with acute decompensated HF and reduced LVEF of ≤40% were eligible for this study. HFimpEF was defined by a follow-up LVEF >40% and a ≥10% improvement in LVEF. Overnight fasting N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), MMP-9 and TIMP-1 were measured within 24 hours before discharge. The study participants were followed for up to 5 years.

Results: Among a total of 91 participants (70.1±16.2 years, baseline LVEF 28.9±7.6%), 19 (20.8%) of them had HFimpEF and 72 (79.2%) had persistent HFrEF at 6 months. The receiver operating characteristic curve analyses showed the area under curve measures for TIMP-1, MMP-9 and NT-proBNP in the prediction of HFimpEF were 0.69, 0.52 and 0.65, respectively. TIMP-1 was negatively correlated with HFimpEF as continuous variables (OR per 1-SD and 95% CI 0.99 (0.98 to 1.00)) and categorical variables (cut-off value 200.68 ng/mL, OR and 95% CI 0.16 (0.05 to 0.54)) after adjustment of confounding factors. During a mean follow-up duration 34.8 months, patients with HFimpEF will have better long-term survival than those with persistent HFrEF.

Conclusions: In subjects with decompensated HFrEF, TIMP-1, but not MMP-9 was associated with the reverse remodelling in LVEF. In addition, patients with HFimpEF would have better long-term survival.

Background: Inflammation plays a pivotal role in atherogenesis and is a causal risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Non-invasive coronary CT angiography (CCTA) enables evaluation of coronary plaque phenotype. This study investigates the relationship between a comprehensive panel of inflammatory markers and short-term plaque progression on serial CCTA imaging, hypothesising that inflammation is associated with increased plaque volume.

Methods: A total of 161 patients aged ≥40 years with stable multivessel coronary artery disease were included, who underwent CCTA at baseline and 12 months follow-up. Baseline plasma levels of interleukin 6 (IL-6), high-sensitivity C-reactive protein and other inflammatory markers were measured. Plaque volumes were assessed using semiautomated software, calculating total, noncalcified, calcified and low-attenuation noncalcified plaque volumes. Linear regression models, adjusted for ASSIGN score, segment involvement score and body mass index, evaluated associations between inflammatory markers and plaque volume changes.

Results: The mean±SD age was 65.4±8.4 years, with 129 (80.6%) male participants. Baseline total plaque volume was 1394 (1036, 1993) mm³. After 12 months, total plaque volume changed by 78 (-114, 244) mm³. IL-6 levels were associated with a 4.9% increase in total plaque volume (95% CI: 0.9 to 8.9, p=0.018) and a 4.8% increase in noncalcified plaque volume (95% CI: 0.7 to 8.9, p=0.022). No significant associations were observed for other inflammatory markers.

Conclusions: Plasma IL-6 levels are significantly associated with increased total and noncalcified short-term plaque progression in patients with stable coronary artery disease. This supports the potential of IL-6 as a target for reducing plaque progression and cardiovascular risk.

Background: The value of empirical superior vena cava isolation (SVCI) following pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) to improve the efficacy of radiofrequency catheter ablation (RFCA) for paroxysmal atrial fibrillation (PAF) remains controversial.

Objective: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of quantitative ablation index (AI)-guided empirical SVCI, in addition to PVI, for patients with PAF.

Methods: Patients with symptomatic PAF who underwent RFCA between October 2021 and May 2023 were retrospectively analysed. Patients were categorised into PVI-only group and PVI+SVCI group based on the intraoperative ablation strategy. RFCA was guided by quantitative AI in both groups. Regular clinical follow-ups were conducted to detect AF recurrence, defined as any episode of atrial fibrillation, atrial flutter or atrial tachycardia lasting >30 s.

Results: A total of 246 patients were enrolled, with 108 patients in the PVI group and 138 patients in the PVI+SVCI group. Compared with the PVI group, patients in the PVI+SVCI group had a higher prevalence of coronary artery disease (p=0.04), stroke (p=0.02) and a smaller left atrial diameter (p<0.01). After a follow-up period of 16±6 months, the ablation success rate was significantly higher in the SVCI+PVI group compared with the PVI group (91.3% vs 81.5%, p=0.02). Multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that SVCI was an independent predictor of reduced AF recurrence postablation (Relative Risk [RR] 0.4, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.90, p=0.026). No significant difference in complication rates was observed between the groups.

Conclusion: Quantitative AI-guided empirical SVCI, in addition to PVI, improves the success rate of RFCA for PAF without increasing the risk of complications.