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Metagenomic surveillance of tick-borne pathogens and microbiomes in Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania 宾夕法尼亚州亨廷顿县蜱传病原体和微生物组的宏基因组监测
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101305
Andrew Buonaccorsi , Brittney N. McMullen , Brie Builder , Kelliann Drummond , Sarah Halteman , Jeremy Chen See , Evan Thomas , Alexa Viands , Sarah Worley , Justin R. Wright , Jill Keeney , Regina Lamendella
The rise in tick populations across the United States has contributed to a surge in tick-borne diseases, with Pennsylvania ranking among the highest in reported cases. To better understand local pathogen prevalence and microbial community structure, an integrative study of ticks collected from ten recreational trails in Huntingdon County, Pennsylvania during the summer of 2023 was conducted. A total of 96 ticks were sampled, with 33 PCR-positive specimens selected for shotgun metagenomic sequencing. Pathogen screening via qPCR detected Borreliella burgdorferi, Borrelia miyamotoi, Babesia spp., and Anaplasma phagocytophilum. Shotgun metagenomics revealed a broader diversity of tick-borne pathogens, including Rickettsia and Ehrlichia spp., and demonstrated increased sensitivity by detecting low-abundance pathogens in samples that were PCR-negative. Co-infections were common, and multivariate statistical analysis identified significant associations between environmental variables (e.g., humidity, time of day, land cover) and microbial diversity and predicted gene function. Notably, diversity was higher in ticks collected during early afternoon and from northern sites. Co-occurrence network analysis showed Rickettsia as a central taxon with multiple significant positive associations with other microbes while other pathogens were largely absent or peripheral. These findings underscore the enhanced resolution of metagenomic approaches for pathogen detection and the value of combining molecular surveillance with ecological metadata. Our study provides critical insights into local tick microbiomes and pathogen prevalence, which may inform public health interventions and vector management strategies in central Pennsylvania.
美国各地蜱虫数量的增加导致了蜱传疾病的激增,宾夕法尼亚州是报告病例最多的州之一。为了更好地了解当地的病原体流行情况和微生物群落结构,研究人员于2023年夏天在宾夕法尼亚州亨廷顿县的十条休闲小径上收集了蜱虫。共采集96只蜱,其中pcr阳性33只进行鸟枪宏基因组测序。病原qPCR筛选检测到伯氏疏螺旋体、宫本氏疏螺旋体、巴贝斯虫和嗜吞噬细胞无形体。霰弹枪宏基因组学揭示了蜱传病原体的更广泛的多样性,包括立克次体和埃利希氏体,并通过在pcr阴性样本中检测低丰度病原体显示出更高的灵敏度。合并感染很常见,多变量统计分析发现环境变量(如湿度、一天中的时间、土地覆盖)与微生物多样性和预测的基因功能之间存在显著关联。值得注意的是,在下午早些时候和北部地点采集的蜱的多样性较高。共现网络分析显示立克次体是中心分类单元,与其他微生物有多个显著的正相关,而其他病原体基本不存在或处于外围。这些发现强调了宏基因组方法在病原体检测中的分辨率提高,以及分子监测与生态元数据相结合的价值。我们的研究为当地蜱虫微生物群和病原体流行提供了重要的见解,这可能为宾夕法尼亚州中部的公共卫生干预和媒介管理策略提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
When Few Mosquitoes Are Enough: Dengue outbreaks in non-endemic areas 当蚊子很少时:登革热在非流行地区爆发
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101308
Giulio Pisaneschi , Piero Manfredi , Alberto Landi , Nico Stollenwerk , Maíra Aguiar
Dengue is no longer limited to tropical regions, as recent outbreaks in Southern Europe show. In 2024, nearly 150 local cases were reported in Fano, Italy, raising concerns that dengue could become established in temperate areas. In this work, we question the common belief that large outbreaks require high numbers of mosquitoes and a high basic reproduction number (R0). We show that significant outbreaks can happen even when R0 is below one, triggered by the random introduction of infected travelers. Using a mathematical model that includes imported cases and mosquito populations, we explain how rare but possible transmission events can cause substantial local spread, even under conditions usually thought too weak for sustained outbreaks. Our findings point out an important gap in current risk assessments, which often rely only on fixed invasion thresholds and basic reproduction numbers. By considering the complex interactions between human travel, mosquito ecology, and the environment, our work supports the One Health approach to understanding disease emergence. We recommend combining stochastic modeling, data on human movement, and mosquito surveillance in early warning systems to better predict outbreaks’ risk and improve preparedness in regions not traditionally affected by dengue.
最近在南欧爆发的疫情表明,登革热不再局限于热带地区。2024年,意大利法诺报告了近150例当地病例,引起了人们对登革热可能在温带地区扎根的担忧。在这项工作中,我们质疑普遍认为大规模暴发需要大量蚊子和高基本繁殖数(R0)。我们表明,即使R0低于1,随机引入受感染的旅行者也会引发重大疫情。利用一个包括输入病例和蚊子种群的数学模型,我们解释了罕见但可能的传播事件如何导致大量的本地传播,即使在通常被认为太弱而无法持续暴发的条件下也是如此。我们的发现指出了当前风险评估的一个重要缺陷,即通常只依赖于固定的入侵阈值和基本的繁殖数量。通过考虑人类旅行、蚊子生态和环境之间复杂的相互作用,我们的工作支持“同一个健康”方法来理解疾病的出现。我们建议在早期预警系统中结合随机建模、人类活动数据和蚊子监测,以更好地预测疫情风险,并改善传统上不受登革热影响的地区的防范工作。
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引用次数: 0
Adoption of food safety measures in smallholder dairy farms in Kenya: Implications for milk safety and public health 在肯尼亚小农奶牛场采取食品安全措施:对牛奶安全和公众健康的影响。
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101342
Ndungu Nyokabi , Emmanuel Muunda , Henrietta Moore , Luke Korir , Asaah Ndambi , Charles Omanga , Lilian Korir , Lisette Phelan
Demand for animal-source foods (ASF) is growing globally, and the consumption can improve food and nutrition security. However, there are growing food safety risks associated with milk contamination. Studies assessing food safety measures (FSM) at the farm level are still limited. This study investigated FSM adoption in Kenyan smallholder dairy farms. Data were collected through focus group discussions (FGDs) and a farm survey involving 652 farmers, which considered 11 milking hygiene, 6 milk storage, 6 environmental hygiene, and 7 animal health measures.
The Food Safety Index (FSI) was 51.67%, which reveals average FSM adoption and a good agricultural practices (GAPs) compliance gap that exposes consumers to public health risks. FSM adoption was associated with participation in formal and/or informal milk value chains, socio-economic and demographic factors, knowledge of milk quality standards and regulations, farm biophysical conditions, market dynamics and institutional factors.
There is a need for increasing FSM adoption through improving farmers' knowledge, supporting their access to financial resources, and providing infrastructure and services, including roads, inputs, extension and animal health services. Policymakers should design and implement policies that address specific farmers' needs. There is also a need to provide economic incentives and ensure that the market rewards dairy producers who adopt high levels of FSM that lead to safer milk. Finally, promoting the One Health approach can help farmers address human, environmental and animal health risks, which can reduce food safety risks in dairy value chains.
全球对动物源食品(ASF)的需求正在增长,消费可以改善粮食和营养安全。然而,与牛奶污染有关的食品安全风险越来越大。在农场层面评估食品安全措施(FSM)的研究仍然有限。本研究调查了肯尼亚小农奶牛场采用FSM的情况。通过焦点小组讨论(fgd)和涉及652名农民的农场调查收集数据,其中包括11项挤奶卫生措施、6项牛奶储存措施、6项环境卫生措施和7项动物卫生措施。食品安全指数(FSI)为51.67%,这表明FSM的平均采用率和良好农业规范(gap)合规方面的差距使消费者面临公共卫生风险。FSM的采用与参与正式和/或非正式牛奶价值链、社会经济和人口因素、对牛奶质量标准和法规的了解、农场生物物理条件、市场动态和制度因素有关。有必要通过提高农民的知识,支持他们获得财政资源,以及提供基础设施和服务,包括道路、投入、推广和动物卫生服务,来增加FSM的采用。决策者应该设计和实施针对农民特定需求的政策。还需要提供经济激励措施,并确保市场奖励那些采用高水平FSM以生产更安全牛奶的乳制品生产商。最后,推广“同一个健康”方法可以帮助农民应对人类、环境和动物健康风险,从而降低乳制品价值链中的食品安全风险。
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引用次数: 0
Hotspot or blind spot? Fine-scale spatial heterogeneity and methodological bias in Chlamydia psittaci prevalence rate reports from urban feral pigeons (Columba livia f. urbana) 热点还是盲区?城市野鸽(Columba livia . urbana)鹦鹉热衣原体患病率报告的精细尺度空间异质性和方法学偏差
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101293
Valentin Adrian Kiss , Bram Vanden Broecke , Sofie De Bruyckere , An Martel , Wendt Müller
Urban wildlife populations often carry zoonotic pathogens that pose considerable public health risks through direct contact with humans. However, disease prevalence in urban settings is generally reported at the city level, which disregards spatial heterogeneity due to local differences in habitat structure or resource availability in the urban landscape. This study therefore examines the fine-scale spatial heterogeneity of Chlamydia psittaci, a generalist bacterium that frequently infects feral pigeons, in Antwerp, Belgium. We collected samples from 377 pigeons at 23 locations and performed qPCR screening for C. psittaci. At the same time, we performed an extensive literature review that includes 20 studies from 29 unique cities globally. Our findings indicate that the prevalence variance within Antwerp (CV = 0.70) is comparable to the variation reported among cities worldwide (CV = 0.88), suggesting that distinct locations within a single city can exhibit differences comparable to those between entirely different cities. Our data suggest that citywide or even countrywide are likely confounded by small scale spatial infection heterogeneity. A combination simulation showed that at least 12 unique sampling sites are necessary to accurately assess the true prevalence at the city level. Finally, we could show that also the screening method influences reported prevalence, with blood samples and non-PCR screening inflating reported prevalence rates. Taken together, we recommend that urban surveillance reports include at least 12 sampling sites, use standardized screening protocols and provide site-level data so that fine-scale heterogeneity can be taken into account.
城市野生动物种群往往携带人畜共患病原体,通过与人类直接接触构成相当大的公共卫生风险。然而,城市环境中的疾病流行情况一般是在城市一级报告的,这忽略了由于生境结构或城市景观资源可用性的地方差异而造成的空间异质性。因此,本研究考察了比利时安特卫普市鹦鹉热衣原体的精细尺度空间异质性。鹦鹉热衣原体是一种常见的细菌,经常感染野鸽。我们采集了23个地点377只鸽子的样本,并进行了鹦鹉螺的qPCR筛选。同时,我们进行了广泛的文献综述,其中包括来自全球29个独特城市的20项研究。我们的研究结果表明,安特卫普的患病率差异(CV = 0.70)与世界各地城市之间的差异(CV = 0.88)相当,这表明单个城市内不同地点的差异可以与完全不同的城市之间的差异相当。我们的数据表明,全市甚至全国范围内的小尺度空间感染异质性可能混淆。综合模拟结果表明,至少需要12个独特的采样点才能准确评估城市水平的真实患病率。最后,我们可以证明筛查方法也影响报告的患病率,血液样本和非pcr筛查夸大了报告的患病率。综上所述,我们建议城市监测报告至少包括12个采样点,使用标准化的筛选方案,并提供站点级别的数据,以便考虑到精细尺度的异质性。
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引用次数: 0
From biowastes to risks? Impact of biosolids treatment and dose on antibiotic resistance in agricultural soils – A mesocosm study 从生物垃圾到风险?生物固体处理和剂量对农业土壤抗生素耐药性的影响——一项中观研究
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101336
Georgios Giannopoulos , Dimitrios Pilalas , Georgia D. Mandilara , Charalampos Kotzamanidis , Ioannis Anastopoulos , Esmeralda Dushku , Vasileios A. Tzanakakis , Alexios N. Polidoros , Vassilis Aschonitis , George Arampatzis
Biosolids application to farmlands enhances soil fertility and promotes sustainable agriculture; yet it is vital to co-evaluate the interconnected risk of spreading antibiotic resistance throughout the agri-food sector. The impacts of sewage sludge treatments (dewatered, air-dried, limed, and thermally dried) and application rates (1–3%) on the abundance of antibiotic-resistant bacteria (ARB) and antibiotic resistance indices (ARI) in biosolids and biosolid-amended agricultural soils were tested. Thermal drying markedly reduced total heterotrophic and antibiotic-resistant bacterial abundance by nearly 5 log₁₀ units, resulting in the lowest ARI across multiple antibiotic classes, including ciprofloxacin and neomycin. Liming also effectively lowered some resistance indices through pH elevation and ammonia volatilization. Soil mesocosm experiments with 1–3% (w/w) biosolid amendment doses revealed that increasing biosolid application rates resulted in a dose-dependent increase in bacterial counts and ARI, especially for air-dried biosolids. ARB and ARI were generally lower in soils amended with limed or thermally dried biosolids compared to untreated or air-dried sludge, underscoring the importance of treatment intensity. Notably, antibiotic resistance was detected even in unamended control soils, highlighting a baseline resistance background. While biosolid amendments enhance soil fertility, insufficiently treated sludge or high application rates (greater than 1%) can promote the proliferation and spread of clinically relevant antibiotic resistance in soils. These findings highlight the crucial role of advanced biosolid processing and prudent application management in mitigating antimicrobial resistance risks across the agri-food ecosystem, aligning with the One Health framework for safeguarding human, animal, and environmental health.
在农田中施用生物固体可提高土壤肥力,促进可持续农业;然而,共同评估抗生素耐药性在整个农业食品部门传播的相互关联的风险至关重要。研究了污水污泥处理(脱水、风干、石灰化和热干燥)和施用量(1-3%)对生物固体和生物固体改性农业土壤中抗生素耐药菌(ARB)丰度和抗生素耐药指数(ARI)的影响。热干燥显着减少了异养和耐抗生素细菌的总丰度,减少了近5个log₁0单位,导致包括环丙沙星和新霉素在内的多种抗生素类别的ARI最低。石灰还通过pH升高和氨挥发有效降低了部分抗性指标。1-3% (w/w)生物固体改良剂量的土壤中生态环境试验表明,增加生物固体施用量会导致细菌计数和ARI的剂量依赖性增加,特别是对风干生物固体。与未经处理或风干污泥相比,石灰或热干燥生物固体改性的土壤中ARB和ARI通常较低,强调了处理强度的重要性。值得注意的是,即使在未经改良的对照土壤中也检测到抗生素耐药性,这突出了基线耐药背景。虽然生物固体改良剂可以提高土壤肥力,但未充分处理的污泥或高施用量(大于1%)会促进土壤中临床相关抗生素耐药性的增殖和传播。这些发现强调了先进的生物固体加工和谨慎的应用管理在减轻整个农业食品生态系统的抗菌素耐药性风险方面的关键作用,与保护人类、动物和环境健康的“同一个健康”框架保持一致。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of reducing colistin use on colistin resistance in Escherichia coli isolated from humans and poultry in Indonesia (COINCIDE): A protocol for a multisectoral, transdisciplinary One Health study 减少粘菌素使用对印度尼西亚从人类和家禽中分离出的大肠杆菌粘菌素耐药性的影响(重合):一项多部门、跨学科的“一个健康”研究方案
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101347
Soe Yu Naing , Juliëtte Severin , Aldert Zomer , Kuntaman Kuntaman , Imron Suandy , Sunandar Sunandar , Annisa Rachmawati , Nofita Nurbiyanti , Mira Leonie Schneiders , Koen Peeters Grietens , Alicia Widya , Linda van der Graaf-van Bloois , Mathieu Pruvot , Diego Nobrega , Anis Karuniawati , Jaap A. Wagenaar

Introduction

Colistin is a last-resort antimicrobial used to treat infections caused by multidrug-resistant Gram-negative bacteria in humans. In Indonesia, widespread detection of colistin use and resistance in commensal Escherichia coli from poultry, particularly broilers, led to a national ban on its use in livestock effective since July 1st, 2020. However, the impact of this policy intervention on colistin resistance in both humans and livestock has not yet been evaluated. The COINCIDE study aims to investigate the ban's effect on colistin resistance, compliance, and transmission dynamics of resistance between humans and poultry.

Methods and analysis

COINCIDE will: (i) assess phenotypic and genotypic colistin resistance in E. coli from humans and poultry; (ii) estimate transmission of colistin resistant E. coli between humans and animals; (iii) explore colistin and antimicrobial use (AMU) at the community level; (iv) identify social and cultural factors driving AMU; and (v) strengthen multisectoral One Health collaboration. Post-ban sampling will be conducted in three districts of Central Java Province (Klaten, Karanganyar, and Sukoharjo), where pre-ban samples were already available. We will recruit participants from primary healthcare centers (PHC) (n = 683), poultry farmers (n = 120), and visit a total of 60 small-scale layer farms. Broiler isolates (n = 2865) from Indonesia's routine antimicrobial resistance (AMR) surveillance (2018–2023) will also be included. In terms of sample collection, post-ban samples will include rectal swabs from patients visiting PHC and farmers and boot swabs from small-scale layer farms. Colistin resistance will be screened using CHROMagar COL-APSE agar medium and confirmed by broth microdilution. Results of long-read whole-genome sequencing will identify resistance mechanisms and transmission pathways. A qualitative ethnography work will include participant observation and informal conversations during field visits, alongside in-depth interviews with healthcare professionals and stakeholders. “Drug bag” method interviews will assess antimicrobial use, access, and drivers at the community level. Simulated patient visits to pharmacies and local shops (warung or toko obat), and interviews with agrovet outlets and poultry shops will be conducted to evaluate compliance with antimicrobial sales regulations.

Conclusion

By integrating microbiological, epidemiological, policy, and social science data, findings from the COINCIDE study will provide a strong scientific basis to inform AMR policies in Indonesia, with potential significance to inform other countries across Southeast Asia.
粘菌素是用于治疗人类多重耐药革兰氏阴性菌引起的感染的最后一种抗菌素。在印度尼西亚,在家禽(特别是肉鸡)的共栖大肠杆菌中广泛检测到粘菌素的使用和耐药性,导致自2020年7月1日起在全国范围内禁止在牲畜中使用粘菌素。然而,这一政策干预对人类和牲畜粘菌素耐药性的影响尚未得到评估。重合研究旨在调查禁令对粘菌素耐药性、依从性以及人与家禽之间耐药性传播动态的影响。方法和分析重合将:(i)评估来自人类和家禽的大肠杆菌的表型和基因型粘菌素耐药性;估计耐粘菌素大肠杆菌在人与动物之间的传播;(iii)探索社区一级粘菌素和抗菌素的使用情况;(iv)识别驱动AMU的社会和文化因素;(五)加强多部门“同一个健康”协作。禁令后的抽样将在中爪哇省的三个区(克拉丹、卡兰甘雅和苏科哈霍)进行,这些地区在禁令前已经有了样本。我们将从初级卫生保健中心(PHC) (n = 683)和家禽养殖户(n = 120)招募参与者,并访问总共60个小规模蛋鸡养殖场。还将纳入印度尼西亚常规抗微生物药物耐药性(AMR)监测(2018-2023年)中的肉鸡分离株(n = 2865)。在样本收集方面,禁令后的样本将包括访问初级保健中心和农民的患者的直肠拭子以及小规模蛋鸡养殖场的靴子拭子。使用CHROMagar COL-APSE琼脂培养基筛选粘菌素耐药性,并通过肉汤微量稀释确认。长读全基因组测序结果将确定耐药机制和传播途径。定性人种志工作将包括参与观察和实地访问期间的非正式谈话,以及与医疗保健专业人员和利益相关者的深入访谈。“药袋”方法访谈将评估社区一级的抗菌药物使用、获取和驱动因素。将模拟患者到药店和当地商店(warung或toko obat)进行访问,并与农用农产品销售点和家禽店进行面谈,以评估对抗菌药物销售法规的遵守情况。通过整合微生物学、流行病学、政策和社会科学数据,重合项目的研究结果将为印度尼西亚的抗微生物药物耐药性政策提供强有力的科学依据,并对东南亚其他国家具有潜在的指导意义。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the spatio-temporal risk of human tick-borne encephalitis (TBE) in Europe by combining hazard and exposure drivers 结合危险和暴露驱动因素预测欧洲人蜱传脑炎(TBE)的时空风险
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101331
Francesca Dagostin , Diana Erazo , Giovanni Marini , Daniele Da Re , Valentina Tagliapietra , Maria Avdicova , Tatjana Avšič-Županc , Timothée Dub , Nahuel Fiorito , Nataša Knap , Céline M. Gossner , Jana Kerlik , Henna Mäkelä , Mateusz Markowicz , Roya Olyazadeh , Lukas Richter , William Wint , Maria Grazia Zuccali , Milda Žygutienė , Simon Dellicour , Annapaola Rizzoli

Background

Tick-borne encephalitis (TBE), caused by tick-borne encephalitis virus (TBEV), is a zoonotic disease that can lead to severe neurological symptoms. Given the increasing number of reported human TBE cases in Europe, we developed a spatio-temporal predictive model to infer the year-to-year probability of human TBE occurrence across Europe at the regional and municipal administrative levels.

Methods

We derived the distribution of human TBE cases at the regional level during 2017–2022 by using data provided by the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), and at the municipal level by using data provided by Austria, Finland, Italy, Lithuania, and Slovakia. We modeled the probability of presence of human TBE cases at the regional and municipal levels for the period 2017–2025 with a boosted regression trees model, including covariates that affect both the natural hazard of virus circulation and human exposure to tick bites.

Findings

Areas with the highest probability of human TBE infections are located in central-eastern Europe, the Baltic states, and along the coastline of Nordic countries. Our results highlight a statistically significant rising trend in human TBE risk not only in north-western, but also in south-western European countries. Such areas are characterised by the presence of key tick host species, forested areas, intense human activity in forests, steep drops in late summer temperatures and high precipitation amounts during the driest months. The model showed good predictive performance, with a mean AUC of 0.84 (SD = 0.03), sensitivity of 0.83 (SD = 0.01), and specificity of 0.80 (SD = 0.01) at the regional level, and a mean AUC of 0.82 (SD = 0.03), sensitivity of 0.83 (SD = 0.01), and specificity of 0.69 (SD = 0.01) at the municipal level.

Interpretation

With ongoing climate and land use changes, the number of human TBE cases is likely to increase and spread into new areas. This highlights the importance of predictive models that can identify potential risk areas to support disease prevention and control efforts by public health authorities. The approach adopted, by fitting a One Health framework and leveraging lagged covaries, enables timely one-year-ahead predictions and enhances our current understanding of TBE risk under a global change scenario.
由蜱传脑炎病毒(TBEV)引起的蜱传脑炎(TBE)是一种人畜共患疾病,可导致严重的神经系统症状。鉴于欧洲报告的人类TBE病例数量不断增加,我们开发了一个时空预测模型,以推断欧洲区域和城市行政层面上人类TBE发生的年概率。方法利用欧洲疾病预防控制中心(ECDC)提供的数据,得出2017-2022年欧洲区域和奥地利、芬兰、意大利、立陶宛和斯洛伐克提供的市、市人群TBE病例分布情况。我们使用增强回归树模型,包括影响病毒传播自然危害和人类接触蜱虫叮咬的协变量,对2017-2025年期间区域和市级人类TBE病例存在的概率进行了建模。研究发现:人类感染脑炎的最高概率地区位于欧洲中东部、波罗的海国家和北欧国家的海岸线。我们的研究结果强调了人类TBE风险的统计学显著上升趋势,不仅在西北部,而且在欧洲西南部国家。这些地区的特点是存在主要蜱虫宿主物种、森林地区、森林中强烈的人类活动、夏末气温急剧下降以及最干旱月份的高降水量。该模型具有较好的预测效果,区域平均AUC为0.84 (SD = 0.03),灵敏度为0.83 (SD = 0.01),特异度为0.80 (SD = 0.01);市级平均AUC为0.82 (SD = 0.03),灵敏度为0.83 (SD = 0.01),特异度为0.69 (SD = 0.01)。随着气候和土地利用的持续变化,人类TBE病例的数量可能会增加并蔓延到新的地区。这突出了能够识别潜在风险领域的预测模型的重要性,以支持公共卫生当局的疾病预防和控制工作。采用的方法通过拟合“同一个健康”框架和利用滞后协方差,能够及时预测未来一年的情况,并增强我们目前对全球变化情景下的TBE风险的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Invasive alien mammals pose zoonotic risks to human health in Europe 外来入侵哺乳动物对欧洲人类健康构成人畜共患风险
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101307
Paola Monguilod , Belinda Gallardo
The rise in zoonotic diseases is accelerating, with climate change expected to further intensify this trend. Invasive Alien Species (IAS) play an important role in the emergence and spread of zoonotic diseases by introducing both existing and novel pathogens to the regions they invade. Despite this, research on the role of IAS in spreading zoonotic diseases remains limited. Our study investigated the zoonotic risks posed by eight invasive mammal species prioritized for management in Europe. On average, each species was found to transmit 16 pathogens capable of causing severe diseases in humans, including Echinococcosis, Leptospirosis, Lyme neuroborreliosis, and Encephalitis.
We identified central and western Europe as significant disease hotspots. Climate change is facilitating the expansion of IAS into new areas, as warmer temperatures make previously inhospitable regions suitable. Future projections indicate a northeastward shift in their suitability by 2050. These changes vary by species, with the Siberian chipmunk losing up to 45 % of its suitability, while the gray squirrel could see a 26 % increase under a high-emissions scenario.
Finally, we found that 71 % of the human population lives in areas highly suitable for IAS establishment. Our findings underscore the health risks associated with IAS and highlight the need for further research into their role in disease dynamics. Addressing this issue is essential for developing effective public health strategies and mitigating future zoonotic disease outbreaks.
人畜共患疾病的增加正在加速,预计气候变化将进一步加剧这一趋势。外来入侵物种(IAS)通过将现有的和新的病原体引入它们所入侵的地区,在人畜共患疾病的出现和传播中发挥重要作用。尽管如此,关于IAS在人畜共患疾病传播中的作用的研究仍然有限。本研究调查了欧洲优先管理的8种入侵哺乳动物所带来的人畜共患病风险。平均而言,每个物种被发现传播16种能够引起人类严重疾病的病原体,包括棘球蚴病、钩端螺旋体病、莱姆病神经螺旋体病和脑炎。我们确定中欧和西欧是重要的疾病热点。气候变化正在促进IAS扩展到新的领域,因为温度升高使以前不适宜居住的地区变得适宜。未来的预测表明,到2050年,它们的适宜性将向东北转移。这些变化因物种而异,西伯利亚花栗鼠失去了高达45%的适宜性,而在高排放情景下,灰松鼠的适宜性可能会增加26%。最后,我们发现71%的人口生活在非常适合建立IAS的地区。我们的研究结果强调了与IAS相关的健康风险,并强调需要进一步研究它们在疾病动态中的作用。解决这一问题对于制定有效的公共卫生战略和减轻未来人畜共患疾病暴发至关重要。
{"title":"Invasive alien mammals pose zoonotic risks to human health in Europe","authors":"Paola Monguilod ,&nbsp;Belinda Gallardo","doi":"10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101307","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101307","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rise in zoonotic diseases is accelerating, with climate change expected to further intensify this trend. Invasive Alien Species (IAS) play an important role in the emergence and spread of zoonotic diseases by introducing both existing and novel pathogens to the regions they invade. Despite this, research on the role of IAS in spreading zoonotic diseases remains limited. Our study investigated the zoonotic risks posed by eight invasive mammal species prioritized for management in Europe. On average, each species was found to transmit 16 pathogens capable of causing severe diseases in humans, including Echinococcosis, Leptospirosis, Lyme neuroborreliosis, and Encephalitis.</div><div>We identified central and western Europe as significant disease hotspots. Climate change is facilitating the expansion of IAS into new areas, as warmer temperatures make previously inhospitable regions suitable. Future projections indicate a northeastward shift in their suitability by 2050. These changes vary by species, with the Siberian chipmunk losing up to 45 % of its suitability, while the gray squirrel could see a 26 % increase under a high-emissions scenario.</div><div>Finally, we found that 71 % of the human population lives in areas highly suitable for IAS establishment. Our findings underscore the health risks associated with IAS and highlight the need for further research into their role in disease dynamics. Addressing this issue is essential for developing effective public health strategies and mitigating future zoonotic disease outbreaks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19577,"journal":{"name":"One Health","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 101307"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2026-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145927065","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The niche of Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato in Europe is predictable and mappable 伯氏疏螺旋体在欧洲的生态位是可以预测和绘制的
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101313
Agustín Estrada-Peña , Julie Davis , James H. Stark , Patrick H. Kelly
Classic environmental niche modelling to examine the distribution of the causative agent of Lyme borreliosis Borrelia burgdorferi sensu lato (Bb) in the Western Palearctic, is often inadequate because it depends on both its tick vector(s), like Ixodes ricinus, and vertebrate reservoirs. We aimed to better determine, identify, and map the geographic distribution of Bb genospecies compiling data from 15,032 I. ricinus samples and over 6.5 million vertebrate records across 103 genera. We leveraged Species Stacking Distribution Modelling and Principal Components Analysis to identify communities of co-occurring vertebrates and their associations between Bb prevalence in host-seeking Ixodes nymphs and. Four vertebrate communities were revealed, with one strongly linked as primary reservoirs to Bb geographic range. Distribution of Bb in southern Europe was limited by the absence of I. ricinus despite suitable reservoirs, while in northern regions, a lack of competent reservoirs restricts its spread. The Bb prevalence in questing ticks correlates significantly (R2 = 0.89) with the presence of key reservoirs rather than overall vertebrate diversity which suggests the Bb niche is predictable and tied to specific vertebrate-tick co-occurrences. We compiled a dataset with the climate, vegetation, and vertebrate-derived variables linked to the transmission pressure of Bb to humans for the complete European territory, aiming for the prevention of infection in humans. This research underscores the importance of integrating reservoir species and tick distribution data to better map and predict Bb spread. By capturing the effects of climate and community composition on the occurrence of Bb in Europe, this framework provides insights for tracking Lyme borreliosis at a continental-level.
经典的环境生态位模型用于检查莱姆病伯氏疏螺旋体(Bb)病原体在古北西部的分布,通常是不充分的,因为它依赖于其蜱虫媒介,如蓖麻伊蚊和脊椎动物宿主。为了更好地确定、鉴定和绘制Bb基因种的地理分布,我们收集了15032份蓖麻样本和超过650万份脊椎动物记录,涵盖103个属。我们利用物种堆叠分布模型和主成分分析来确定共发生的脊椎动物群落及其在寻找寄主的伊蚊若虫和伊蚊中Bb患病率之间的关系。发现了4个脊椎动物群落,其中一个是Bb地理范围的主要储集层。Bb在南欧的分布受到蓖麻I. ricinus缺乏的限制,尽管有合适的水库,而在北部地区,缺乏合格的水库限制了它的传播。在蜱虫中,Bb患病率与关键宿主的存在显著相关(R2 = 0.89),而不是与整体脊椎动物多样性相关,这表明Bb生态位是可预测的,并且与特定的脊椎动物-蜱虫共同出现有关。我们编制了一个数据集,其中包括气候、植被和脊椎动物衍生的变量,这些变量与整个欧洲领土的Bb向人类传播压力有关,旨在预防人类感染。该研究强调了整合宿主物种和蜱虫分布数据对更好地绘制和预测Bb传播的重要性。通过捕捉气候和群落组成对欧洲莱姆病发生的影响,该框架为在大陆层面追踪莱姆病提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
Characteristics of Escherichia coli co-harboring blaNDM and mcr-1 genes from market chicken meat 市售鸡肉中共携带blaNDM和mcr-1基因的大肠杆菌的特性
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2026.101329
Zhiyu Li , Biao Tang , Huafeng Jian , Xiaoqian Long , Fengcheng Miao , Yao Shen , Tong Jiang , Yue Yang , Hua Yang , Lin Teng , Wenbin Zheng , Jiangang Ma
Carbapenems and colistin resistance in Enterobacterales is a global public health issue. In this study, we isolated seven Escherichia coli strains co-resistant to colistin and meropenem from market chicken meat in Zhejiang Province, China. Antimicrobial susceptibility testing showed that these strains exhibited extensive antimicrobial resistance, with a 100% multidrug-resistant rate. All seven strains harbored both blaNDM and mcr-1 genes, along with various additional resistance genes. Among the seven E. coli strains, the harboring blaNDM plasmids were IncX3 (4/7) and IncB/O/K/Z (3/7) plasmids, and the mcr-1 gene was primarily identified on IncI2 (3/7) plasmids. Notably, most plasmids harboring the blaNDM and mcr genes can be transferred to recipient bacteria via conjugation, highlighting their role as important vehicles for the dissemination of resistance genes. Meanwhile, we also identified a novel blaNDM variant, designated blaNDM-85, which exhibited amino acid substitutions E152K and M154L compared to blaNDM-1. Through the cloning and expression of blaNDM-1 to blaNDM-10 and blaNDM-85 genes, it was found that the resistance levels of blaNDM-85 were significantly higher than other blaNDM variants. It should be noted that the spread of blaNDM-85 will further increase the difficulty of treating clinically resistant bacteria. Our findings highlight the detection of blaNDM and mcr-1 producing E. coli in market chicken meat as a potential public health risk. And the urgent need for enhanced surveillance and intervention strategies to mitigate the spread of these multidrug-resistant pathogens in the food chain.
肠杆菌对碳青霉烯类和粘菌素的耐药性是一个全球性的公共卫生问题。本研究从浙江省市售鸡肉中分离出7株对粘菌素和美罗培南共耐药的大肠杆菌。药敏试验表明,这些菌株表现出广泛的耐药性,多重耐药率为100%。所有7个菌株都携带blaNDM和mcr-1基因,以及各种额外的抗性基因。在7株大肠杆菌中,携带blaNDM的质粒为IncX3(4/7)和IncB/O/K/Z(3/7)质粒,mcr-1基因主要在inc2(3/7)质粒上鉴定。值得注意的是,大多数含有blaNDM和mcr基因的质粒可以通过结合转移到受体细菌中,这突出了它们作为抗性基因传播的重要载体的作用。同时,我们还鉴定出一种新的blaNDM变体,命名为blaNDM-85,与blaNDM-1相比,它具有E152K和M154L的氨基酸替换。通过blaNDM-1对blaNDM-10和blaNDM-85基因的克隆和表达,发现blaNDM-85的抗性水平明显高于其他blaNDM变异。值得注意的是,blaNDM-85的扩散将进一步增加临床耐药菌的治疗难度。我们的研究结果强调,在市场鸡肉中检测到blaNDM和产生mcr-1的大肠杆菌是一种潜在的公共卫生风险。迫切需要加强监测和干预战略,以减轻这些耐多药病原体在食物链中的传播。
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引用次数: 0
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One Health
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