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Modeling the impact of anthrax vaccination on buffalo outbreak dynamics in northern Vietnam 模拟炭疽疫苗接种对越南北部水牛疫情动态的影响
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101294
Francisca Javiera Rudolph , Tan Minh Luong , Thai My Do , Van Binh Trinh , Ba Uyen Pham , Minh Dat Hoang , Anh Hung Pham , Van Truong Lu , Van Khang Pham , Thanh Long Pham , Quang Thai Pham , Thi Thu Ha Hoang , Thi Mai Hung Tran , Juan Pablo Gomez , José Miguel Ponciano , Jason K. Blackburn
A widespread and underreported zoonosis, anthrax is a severe infectious disease of significant public health concern for humans, livestock, and wildlife. In this study, we used historical data from 1991 to 2020 from northern Vietnam and a simulation model to investigate the effects of different vaccination strategies on livestock outbreaks. We developed a novel approach combining semi-synthetic data generation and a sliding windows model fitting routine to estimate disease transmission parameters from surveillance data and address the temporal mismatch between pathogen transmission dynamics and disease reporting. Results showed that vaccination leads to a significant reduction in buffalo mortality, with reactive and increasing vaccination campaigns having the largest impact in reducing outbreak size. Reactive and decreasing vaccination campaigns initially controlled outbreaks, but mortality increased as soon as vaccination ceased, highlighting the need for sustained, long-term vaccination. In scenarios where populations had high natural immunity, the impact of vaccination was less pronounced, though still evident, suggesting that prioritizing vaccination efforts for more susceptible populations may provide a greater return on investment in outbreak prevention and control. Simulation models can offer valuable insights into vaccination and control strategies, providing tools to compare and evaluate potential outbreak scenarios. Our findings underscore the value of mathematical and simulation approaches to overcome data challenges and underreporting in global disease management for anthrax and other neglected diseases. We highlight the importance of continued investment in surveillance and modeling efforts, while providing a practical approach to optimize the use of existing data in Vietnam and similar settings.
炭疽是一种广泛存在但报告不足的人畜共患病,是一种严重的传染病,对人类、牲畜和野生动物造成重大公共卫生关注。在这项研究中,我们使用越南北部1991年至2020年的历史数据和模拟模型来研究不同疫苗接种策略对牲畜疫情的影响。我们开发了一种结合半合成数据生成和滑动窗口模型拟合常规的新方法,从监测数据中估计疾病传播参数,并解决病原体传播动态和疾病报告之间的时间不匹配问题。结果表明,疫苗接种导致水牛死亡率显著降低,反应性和增加的疫苗接种运动对减少疫情规模的影响最大。反应性和减少的疫苗接种运动最初控制了疫情,但一旦疫苗接种停止,死亡率就会上升,突出表明需要持续、长期的疫苗接种。在人群具有高度天然免疫力的情况下,疫苗接种的影响不太明显,但仍然很明显,这表明优先为更易感人群接种疫苗可能会为疫情预防和控制方面的投资带来更大的回报。模拟模型可以为疫苗接种和控制策略提供有价值的见解,提供比较和评估潜在爆发情景的工具。我们的研究结果强调了数学和模拟方法在克服炭疽和其他被忽视疾病的全球疾病管理中的数据挑战和漏报的价值。我们强调继续投资于监测和建模工作的重要性,同时提供一种实用的方法来优化越南和类似环境中现有数据的使用。
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引用次数: 0
An overview of HPAI H5N1 clade 2.3.4.4b and its emerging threat in mainland Australia: Identified knowledge gaps 高致病性H5N1分支2.3.4.4b及其在澳大利亚大陆新出现的威胁概述:已查明的知识差距
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101292
Pan Zhang, C Raina MacIntyre
The highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) H5N1 virus, particularly clade 2.3.4.4b, is currently causing a panzootic. The threat of its incursion into mainland Australia is escalating, especially following its detection in Antarctica and recently on Australia's sub-Antarctic territory, Heard Island. Comprehensive research on this emerging risk remains limited, partly due to ongoing rapid genomic mutations and evolving epidemiological dynamics. This review provides an in-depth analysis of clade 2.3.4.4b H5N1 and highlights critical knowledge gaps that must be addressed to mitigate the potential threat to mainland Australia.
高致病性禽流感(HPAI) H5N1病毒,特别是进化支2.3.4.4b,目前正在引起流行性传染病。它入侵澳大利亚大陆的威胁正在升级,尤其是在南极洲和最近在澳大利亚亚南极领土赫德岛被发现之后。对这一新出现的风险的全面研究仍然有限,部分原因是持续快速的基因组突变和不断变化的流行病学动态。本综述对H5N1进化枝2.3.4.4b进行了深入分析,并强调了必须解决的关键知识空白,以减轻对澳大利亚大陆的潜在威胁。
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引用次数: 0
High hepatitis E virus prevalence in pig slurry samples from the north-western region of Germany 德国西北地区猪浆样本中戊型肝炎病毒的高流行率
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101291
Florian Hinte , Marc Lütgehetmann , Toni Luise Meister , Katja Giersch , Maura Dandri , Julian Schulze zur Wiesch , Sven Pischke
Pork is recognized as the primary source of transmission for Hepatitis E virus (HEV) genotypes 3 and 4 (gt3/4) in industrialized countries. In Germany, approximately 10 % of retail pork samples test positive for HEV. However, the potential role of pig manure as a reservoir contributing to the environmental and zoonotic transmission of HEV genotype 3 remains insufficiently characterized.
To assess HEV contamination in manure, 61 pig slurry samples were collected from various collection points in northwestern Germany and analyzed for HEV and hepatitis A virus (HAV) RNA using quantitative PCR. In line with the “One Health” concept, which emphasizes the interconnectedness of humans, animals, and the environment, this study aimed to evaluate pig manure as a potential source of HEV contamination of agricultural land and food plants, thus posing a risk to both omnivorous and vegetarian populations.
HEV RNA was detected in 67 % (41/61) of the samples, with viral loads ranging from 5.2 × 102 to 1.8 × 105 copies/mL (median 6.8 × 103 copies/mL), whereas HAV RNA was not detected in any sample. Genotyping via nested PCR identified HEV genotype 3c, a subtype frequently detected in human infections in Germany. To further characterize the viral particles, four samples with the highest viral loads were subjected to linear density gradient ultracentrifugation. Two distinct fractions were identified, corresponding to enveloped particles (suggesting urinary origin) and non-enveloped particles (suggesting fecal origin).
In conclusion, this study provides evidence for the frequent presence of both enveloped and non-enveloped HEV particles in pig slurry in Germany. These findings highlight manure as a potential environmental reservoir for HEV and underscore the need for further studies to determine HEV infectivity in slurry and to assess its epidemiological significance within the One Health framework.
在工业化国家,猪肉被认为是戊型肝炎病毒(HEV)基因3型和4型(gt3/4)的主要传播来源。在德国,大约10%的零售猪肉样本检测出戊肝病毒阳性。然而,猪粪作为促进HEV基因3型环境和人畜共患传播的蓄水池的潜在作用仍然没有得到充分的表征。为了评估猪粪中HEV的污染情况,从德国西北部的不同收集点收集了61份猪浆样品,并使用定量PCR分析了HEV和甲型肝炎病毒(HAV) RNA。根据强调人类、动物和环境相互联系的“同一个健康”概念,本研究旨在评估猪粪作为农业用地和食用植物HEV污染的潜在来源,从而对杂食性和素食性人群构成风险。67%(41/61)的样本中检测到HEV RNA,病毒载量范围为5.2 × 102至1.8 × 105拷贝/mL(中位数为6.8 × 103拷贝/mL),而HAV RNA未在任何样本中检测到。通过巢式PCR进行基因分型鉴定出HEV基因型3c,这是在德国人类感染中经常检测到的一种亚型。为了进一步表征病毒颗粒,四种病毒载量最高的样品进行了线性密度梯度超离心。鉴定出两种不同的组分,对应于包膜颗粒(提示尿源)和非包膜颗粒(提示粪便源)。总之,这项研究为德国猪浆中经常存在包膜和非包膜HEV颗粒提供了证据。这些发现强调了粪便是HEV的潜在环境宿主,并强调需要进一步研究以确定猪粪中的HEV传染性,并在“同一个健康”框架内评估其流行病学意义。
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引用次数: 0
Metagenomic survey reveals Volzhskoe tick virus in Hyalomma ticks for the first time in western Europe, North-Eastern Spain. 宏基因组调查首次在西欧、西班牙东北部的透明体蜱中发现伏尔日斯科蜱病毒。
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-04 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101279
Laura Carrera-Faja, Mariette Viladomat Jasso, Iris Sarmiento, Jordi Manuel Cabrera-Gumbau, Johan Espunyes, Jaime Martínez-Urtaza, Oscar Cabezón

Ticks are reservoirs and vectors of several emerging arboviruses, yet their associated virome remains poorly characterized. Using meta-transcriptomic sequencing, we surveyed Hyalomma marginatum and Rhipicephalus bursa ticks collected from areas with contrasting Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) seroprevalence in wild ungulates in north-eastern Spain, a region with no reported CCHF cases in humans. While CCHFV RNA was not detected, we identified Volzhskoe tick virus (VTV), a recently described member of the class Bunyaviricetes, first identified in Russia, in H. marginatum from the Ports de Tortosa i Beseit Natural Park-making its first report of VTV in Western Europe. These findings suggest a broader distribution of VTV and raise important questions about its potential interactions with CCHFV, pathogenicity and host range. Moreover, our approach underscores the value of metagenomic surveillance for improving our understanding of tick-borne virus ecology.

蜱是几种新出现的虫媒病毒的宿主和载体,但其相关病毒体的特征仍然很差。利用meta转录组测序,我们调查了从西班牙东北部野生有蹄类动物中克里米亚-刚果出血热病毒(CCHFV)血清阳性率对比地区采集的边缘透明体和囊状鼻头蜱,该地区未报告人类感染CCHF病例。虽然没有检测到CCHFV RNA,但我们在波尔图尔托尔萨i贝维特自然公园的边缘蜱中发现了Volzhskoe蜱病毒(VTV),这是西欧首次报道的VTV病毒,是最近在俄罗斯首次发现的Bunyaviricetes纲成员。这些发现表明VTV的分布范围更广,并对其与CCHFV的潜在相互作用、致病性和宿主范围提出了重要问题。此外,我们的方法强调了宏基因组监测对提高我们对蜱传病毒生态学的理解的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of water quality and associated health risks in community-managed water systems in highland areas: A case study Chiang Rai province, Thailand 高地地区社区管理供水系统的水质和相关健康风险评估:泰国清莱省个案研究
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101290
Suntorn Sudsandee , Wissanupong Kliengchuay , Vivat Keawduanglek , Anuttara Hongtong , Weerayuth Siriratruengsuk , Sarima Niampradit , Rachaneekorn Mingkhwan , Nuttapohn Kiangkoo , Nopadol Precha , Kraichat Tantrakarnapa

Background

The present study addresses the persistent challenges associated with access to safe drinking water in highland communities of Thailand. Informal water supply systems, often managed by local villagers, rely heavily on untreated groundwater and surface water sources. This study assessed the quality of community-managed water supply systems and the associated health risks in Bandu and Nang Lae sub-districts, Chiang Rai Province, Thailand.

Methods

To evaluate the quality of these community-managed water systems, a total of 66 water samples from 22 villages were collected and analyzed for physical, chemical, and biological parameters. Heavy metal concentrations were measured, and health risk assessments were conducted through dermal and oral exposure routes based on U.S. EPA guidelines. The One health concept was integrated to explain the association among human, animal, and ecological systems.

Results

Monitoring data showed that many parameters exceeded the Provincial Waterworks Authority (PWA)’s standard, including pH (41 %), iron (32 %), lead (5 %), turbidity (2 %), mercury (2 %), and lack of free residual chlorine (100 %). The water samples showed signs of biological contamination. Total coliform bacteria were found in 39 % of the samples, fecal coliform bacteria in 27 %, and Escherichia coli in 9 %. Health risk assessments indicated that hazard quotients (HQs) and hazard indices (HIs) for heavy metals were less than 1, suggesting a negligible health risk. Total coliform bacteria levels in household water samples were positively correlated with diarrhea incidence (r = 0.54, p < 0.05).

Conclusion

However, a positive correlation was observed between total coliform presence and reported diarrhea cases. The findings underscore the urgent need for improved water treatment practices, animal excreta management, ecological systems, and government interventions to ensure access to a safe water supply for highland communities in Thailand, which are under the one health concept. However, it highlights the need to focus on water quality, as in SDG 6 ensuring the availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all.
本研究解决了泰国高地社区安全饮用水获取方面的持续挑战。非正式的供水系统通常由当地村民管理,严重依赖未经处理的地下水和地表水。本研究评估了泰国清莱省Bandu和Nang Lae街道社区管理供水系统的质量和相关的健康风险。方法为评价社区管理供水系统的质量,收集了22个村庄的66份水样,并对其进行了物理、化学和生物参数分析。测量了重金属浓度,并根据美国环境保护局的指导方针,通过皮肤和口腔接触途径进行了健康风险评估。“一体健康”概念被用来解释人类、动物和生态系统之间的联系。结果监测数据显示,水质pH值(41%)、铁(32%)、铅(5%)、浊度(2%)、汞(2%)、游离余氯缺失(100%)等多项指标均超过省水务局标准。水样显示出生物污染的迹象。39%的样本中发现了总大肠菌群,27%的样本中发现了粪便大肠菌群,9%的样本中发现了大肠杆菌。健康风险评估结果显示,重金属危害商数(HQs)和危害指数(HIs)均小于1,健康风险可忽略不计。家庭水样中总大肠菌群水平与腹泻发病率呈正相关(r = 0.54, p < 0.05)。结论总大肠菌群的存在与报告的腹泻病例呈正相关。研究结果强调,迫切需要改进水处理方法、动物排泄物管理、生态系统和政府干预措施,以确保泰国高地社区获得安全的供水,这些社区属于同一个健康概念。然而,它强调需要关注水质,正如可持续发展目标6所述,确保人人享有水和卫生设施并对其进行可持续管理。
{"title":"Assessment of water quality and associated health risks in community-managed water systems in highland areas: A case study Chiang Rai province, Thailand","authors":"Suntorn Sudsandee ,&nbsp;Wissanupong Kliengchuay ,&nbsp;Vivat Keawduanglek ,&nbsp;Anuttara Hongtong ,&nbsp;Weerayuth Siriratruengsuk ,&nbsp;Sarima Niampradit ,&nbsp;Rachaneekorn Mingkhwan ,&nbsp;Nuttapohn Kiangkoo ,&nbsp;Nopadol Precha ,&nbsp;Kraichat Tantrakarnapa","doi":"10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101290","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101290","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>The present study addresses the persistent challenges associated with access to safe drinking water in highland communities of Thailand. Informal water supply systems, often managed by local villagers, rely heavily on untreated groundwater and surface water sources. This study assessed the quality of community-managed water supply systems and the associated health risks in Bandu and Nang Lae sub-districts, Chiang Rai Province, Thailand.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>To evaluate the quality of these community-managed water systems, a total of 66 water samples from 22 villages were collected and analyzed for physical, chemical, and biological parameters. Heavy metal concentrations were measured, and health risk assessments were conducted through dermal and oral exposure routes based on U.S. EPA guidelines. The One health concept was integrated to explain the association among human, animal, and ecological systems.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Monitoring data showed that many parameters exceeded the Provincial Waterworks Authority (PWA)’s standard, including pH (41 %), iron (32 %), lead (5 %), turbidity (2 %), mercury (2 %), and lack of free residual chlorine (100 %). The water samples showed signs of biological contamination. Total coliform bacteria were found in 39 % of the samples, fecal coliform bacteria in 27 %, and <em>Escherichia coli</em> in 9 %. Health risk assessments indicated that hazard quotients (HQs) and hazard indices (HIs) for heavy metals were less than 1, suggesting a negligible health risk. Total coliform bacteria levels in household water samples were positively correlated with diarrhea incidence (<em>r</em> = 0.54, <em>p</em> &lt; 0.05).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><div>However, a positive correlation was observed between total coliform presence and reported diarrhea cases. The findings underscore the urgent need for improved water treatment practices, animal excreta management, ecological systems, and government interventions to ensure access to a safe water supply for highland communities in Thailand, which are under the one health concept. However, it highlights the need to focus on water quality, as in SDG 6 ensuring the availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":19577,"journal":{"name":"One Health","volume":"22 ","pages":"Article 101290"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145712267","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
One Health turns 10: A decade at the intersection of human, animal, and environmental health 一个健康10岁:人类、动物和环境健康交叉的十年
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101218
Malcolm K. Jones , Dearbháile Morris , Huaiping Zhu , Aileen M. Marty
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引用次数: 0
Laboratory epidemiology of Salmonella infections and multi-drug resistance profiles in Nigeria: Barriers, challenges and proposed solutions. 尼日利亚沙门氏菌感染的实验室流行病学和多药耐药概况:障碍、挑战和提出的解决办法。
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101289
Amjad Banibella, Nooruldeen Saad, Jafar Eyad, Ramadhani Chambuso

Purpose: We investigated multi-laboratory culture records to quantify AMR profiles for Salmonella infections, diagnostic gaps and challenges in Nigeria.

Methods: Using a retrospective study, we analyzed a total of 84,548 culture results from 26,630 patients across 25 public laboratories participated in the AMR surveillance report from Nigeria. Salmonella species and stool culture positivity rates were compared throughout the 3 year-period. Stool sampling gaps were quantified and Salmonella species AMR for key antibiotic classes were assessed. Chi-square test and Wald risk ratios were used for statistical analysis, a p-value of <0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results: Out of 84,548 culture results, a total of 621 Salmonella species were isolated with Salmonella Typhi being the most commonly reported species. Stool samples represented only 3 % of all collected specimens, yet Salmonella species culture positivity increased from 64 % to 97 % (2016 to 2017; RR 1.51, 95 % CI 1.37-1.65, p < 0.001). AMR remained entrenched: trimethoprim-sulfamethoxazole ≥90%, fluoroquinolones ≥69 %, and nalidixic acid 91 %; cephalosporin resistance climbed from 60 % to 88 %. We identified a limited stool collection compared to other samples, which impacted identification of Salmonella infections in an endemic area like Nigeria. The key barriers were limited laboratory data integration and lack of One Health surveillance which amplified Salmonella infections AMR threat.

Conclusion: Limited stool culture and escalating multi-drug resistance jeopardize the empirical therapy for Salmonella infections. Our study offers immediate, scalable interventions to strengthen One-Health Salmonella infections AMR control in Nigeria.

目的:我们调查了尼日利亚多实验室培养记录,以量化沙门氏菌感染的AMR概况、诊断差距和挑战。方法:采用回顾性研究,我们分析了来自尼日利亚参与AMR监测报告的25个公共实验室的26,630名患者的84,548份培养结果。比较3年间沙门氏菌种类和粪便培养阳性率。对粪便取样间隙进行量化,并对关键抗生素类沙门氏菌的AMR进行评估。采用卡方检验和Wald风险比进行统计分析,p值为有统计学意义。结果:在84548份培养结果中,共分离出621种沙门氏菌,其中以伤寒沙门氏菌最为常见。粪便样本仅占所有收集标本的3%,但沙门氏菌种培养阳性从64%增加到97%(2016年至2017年);在尼日利亚等流行地区,RR为1.51,95% CI为1.37-1.65,p沙门氏菌感染。主要障碍是实验室数据整合有限和缺乏“一个健康”监测,这加大了沙门氏菌感染和抗生素耐药性的威胁。结论:有限的粪便培养和不断上升的多重耐药性危及沙门氏菌感染的经验性治疗。我们的研究提供了即时的、可扩展的干预措施,以加强尼日利亚单一健康沙门氏菌感染耐药性的控制。
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引用次数: 0
Can nursing strengthen one health initiatives? 护理能加强一项健康倡议吗?
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101288
Júlio Belo Fernandes, Diana Vareta

The One Health framework emphasizes the interdependence of human, animal, and environmental health. Nurses, as the largest group of healthcare professionals and often the first point of contact with patients and communities, routinely engage in activities aligned with One Health objectives, including vaccination campaigns, community education, infection prevention, environmental monitoring, and the management of non-communicable diseases. Despite this, nursing contributions remain largely unrecognized, and One Health principles are seldom integrated into education, practice, or policy frameworks. This paper highlights the critical role of nursing in operationalizing One Health and identifies barriers to its recognition. It provides targeted recommendations to embed One Health into nursing curricula, promote experiential learning, support continuing education, foster research, formalize nursing roles, strengthen interdisciplinary collaboration, leverage digital technologies, and enhance professional advocacy and leadership. Recognizing and supporting nursing in One Health can significantly strengthen global health initiatives.

“同一个健康”框架强调人类、动物和环境健康的相互依存关系。护士作为最大的保健专业人员群体,往往是与患者和社区接触的第一个人,经常参与与“同一个健康”目标相一致的活动,包括疫苗接种运动、社区教育、感染预防、环境监测和非传染性疾病管理。尽管如此,护理的贡献在很大程度上仍未得到承认,“同一个健康”原则很少被纳入教育、实践或政策框架。本文强调护理在实施一个健康的关键作用,并确定其识别障碍。它提供了有针对性的建议,将“同一个健康”纳入护理课程,促进体验式学习,支持继续教育,促进研究,使护理角色正规化,加强跨学科合作,利用数字技术,并加强专业宣传和领导。承认和支持“同一个健康”中的护理工作可以大大加强全球卫生倡议。
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引用次数: 0
MERS-COV in the Middle East, a one health concept approach. 中东地区的中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒,一个健康概念方法。
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-11-26 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101282
Iman Dandachi, Waleed Aljabr

The MERS-COV virus is a zoonotic coronavirus that emerged in 2012 in KSA and caused viral illness with a case fatality rate up to 35 %. Over a decade later, the virus is still evolving and circulating. The aim of this review is to discuss the current epidemiology of MERS-COV both in humans and animals, during and post the COVID-19 pandemic. We have found that MERS-COV is still evolving in camels with new lineages being detected in Saudi Arabia. Although the number of human cases has decreased, there is a gradual resurgence in the number of cases. Furthermore, many cases are being reported without exposure to camels and/or raw products, nor contact with known human cases. This necessitates global efforts in the surveillance of asymptomatic carriers in the community, role of unknown animal reservoirs in the virus spread if any, as well as extensive genomic surveillance of the virus. This is in order to unveil and assess the genetic changes that the virus is undergoing and their according effect on the viral fitness, tropism, and virulence. These efforts are crucial for potential future pandemic preparedness, understanding the modes of transmission, as well as drug and vaccine development for MERS-COV.

中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒是一种人畜共患的冠状病毒,于2012年在沙特阿拉伯出现,导致病毒性疾病,病死率高达35%。十多年后,该病毒仍在进化和传播。本综述的目的是讨论当前MERS-COV在COVID-19大流行期间和之后在人类和动物中的流行病学。我们发现中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒仍在骆驼中进化,在沙特阿拉伯发现了新的世系。虽然人间病例数量有所减少,但病例数量正在逐渐回升。此外,报告的许多病例没有接触过骆驼和/或原始产品,也没有接触过已知的人间病例。这就需要全球努力监测社区中的无症状携带者,监测未知动物宿主在病毒传播中的作用(如果有的话),以及对病毒进行广泛的基因组监测。这是为了揭示和评估病毒正在经历的遗传变化及其对病毒适应性、嗜性和毒力的相应影响。这些努力对于未来可能的大流行防范、了解传播方式以及中东呼吸综合征冠状病毒的药物和疫苗开发至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Yersinia pestis transmission risk associated with Himalayan marmots (Marmota himalayana) of the Qinghai-Tibet plateau.
IF 4.5 2区 医学 Q1 INFECTIOUS DISEASES Pub Date : 2025-11-25 eCollection Date: 2025-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101287
Zihang Wang, Jiarong Ren, Haoqiang Ji, Shihao Li, Xinyue Fang, Dongsheng Ren, Yue Wu, Bang Fu, Chunmin Li, Ying Liang, Xiaobo Liu, Liang Lu

The Himalayan marmot is the primary plague (Yersinia pestis) reservoir on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, driving human transmission in high altitudes. Effective control requires predicting climate, environment, and human activity-driven marmot density changes and multi-dimensional risk assessment. This study used a random forest model to analyze these factors' impact on marmot density and employed Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to create a risk framework. Findings show climate remains the dominant driver of marmot density under current conservation policies. In risk assessment, host density and plague detection rate were primary risk sources. Among human factors, human density showed stronger risk correlation than other disturbance indicators. This provides a comprehensive, multi-factor risk assessment method for plateau plague control, improving zoonotic disease prevention systems.

有效控制旱獭需要预测气候、环境和人类活动驱动的旱獭密度变化,并进行多维度风险评估。本研究采用随机森林模型分析这些因素对旱獭密度的影响,并采用主成分分析(PCA)构建风险框架。研究结果表明,在当前的保护政策下,气候仍然是土拨鼠密度的主要驱动因素。在风险评估中,宿主密度和鼠疫检出率是主要危险源。在人为因素中,人口密度比其他干扰指标具有更强的风险相关性。这为高原鼠疫控制提供了一种综合的、多因素的风险评估方法,完善了人畜共患疾病的预防体系。
{"title":"<i>Yersinia pestis</i> transmission risk associated with Himalayan marmots (<i>Marmota himalayana</i>) of the Qinghai-Tibet plateau.","authors":"Zihang Wang, Jiarong Ren, Haoqiang Ji, Shihao Li, Xinyue Fang, Dongsheng Ren, Yue Wu, Bang Fu, Chunmin Li, Ying Liang, Xiaobo Liu, Liang Lu","doi":"10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101287","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.onehlt.2025.101287","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The Himalayan marmot is the primary plague (<i>Yersinia pestis</i>) reservoir on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, driving human transmission in high altitudes. Effective control requires predicting climate, environment, and human activity-driven marmot density changes and multi-dimensional risk assessment. This study used a random forest model to analyze these factors' impact on marmot density and employed Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to create a risk framework. Findings show climate remains the dominant driver of marmot density under current conservation policies. In risk assessment, host density and plague detection rate were primary risk sources. Among human factors, human density showed stronger risk correlation than other disturbance indicators. This provides a comprehensive, multi-factor risk assessment method for plateau plague control, improving zoonotic disease prevention systems.</p>","PeriodicalId":19577,"journal":{"name":"One Health","volume":"21 ","pages":"101287"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-11-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12704322/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145768545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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One Health
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