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The impact of the bluetongue serotype 3 outbreak on sheep and goat mortality in the Netherlands in 2023 蓝舌病血清 3 型爆发对 2023 年荷兰绵羊和山羊死亡率的影响
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106289
I.M.G.A. Santman-Berends , K.M.J.A. van den Brink , E. Dijkstra , G. van Schaik , M.A.H. Spierenburg , R. van den Brom

In September 2023, bluetongue virus serotype 3 (BTV-3) emerged in the Netherlands, infecting over five thousand livestock farms. In sheep, high morbidity and mortality rates were reported that were unlike previously described bluetongue outbreaks. This study aimed to quantify the impact of BTV-3 in the small ruminant population in the Netherlands in 2023. Sheep and goat movement census data and BTV-3 notification data were available from 2020 until the end of 2023. Data were aggregated to farm and week level and mortality indicators were calculated for lambs (<1 year) and adult animals (≥1 year). Population averaged GEE models with a Negative-binomial distribution and a log-link function correcting for repeated measures per farm in time were used to quantify the association between BTV-3 and mortality. In 2023, 2994 sheep farmers and 89 goat farmers notified clinical signs of BTV-3 to the NVWA. During this BTV-3 outbreak period, an additional 55,000 sheep died compared to the same period in 2020–2022. At flock level a high variety in mortality was observed, with a clear increase in mortality in both flocks that were not notified but that were located in infected areas and in flocks of which the farmer notified clinical signs. During the BTV-3 outbreak period, mortality in infected areas increased 4.2 (95 % CI: 4.0–4.3) times in sheep lambs (<1 year) and 4.6 (95 % CI: 4.4–4.8) times in sheep (≥1 year) compared to BTV-3 free areas. Flocks with a confirmed BTV-3 infection that were notified in September showed a 12.8 (95 % CI: 11.4–14.3) times higher mortality in lambs and a 15.1 (95 % CI: 13.7–16.6) times higher mortality in sheep compared to flocks in BTV-3 areas. In flocks of which the farmer notified clinical signs after September, mortality was 4.6 (95 % CI: 4.2–5.0) and 5.6 (95 % CI: 5.1–6.0) times higher in lambs and sheep compared BTV-3 areas respectively. In goats, around 4000 additional deaths were recorded during the BTV-3 outbreak period. In farms that were notified, mortality of goats (≥1 year) was 1.8 (95 % CI: 1.2–2.8) times higher compared to BTV-3 free areas. Since May 2024, multiple BTV-3 vaccines are available in the Netherlands. In June 2024, the first new infections of BTV-3 were confirmed in Dutch sheep flocks. Hopes are that with the possibility to vaccinate, the spread and impact of BTV-3 in the Netherlands will rapidly decline and that losses as observed in 2023 will no longer be seen.

2023 年 9 月,荷兰出现了蓝舌病病毒血清型 3 (BTV-3),五千多个畜牧场受到感染。据报道,绵羊的发病率和死亡率都很高,这与之前描述的蓝舌病疫情不同。本研究旨在量化 BTV-3 在 2023 年对荷兰小型反刍动物种群的影响。从 2020 年到 2023 年底,绵羊和山羊的移动普查数据和 BTV-3 通知数据均可获得。数据汇总到农场和周一级,并计算了羔羊(<1 岁)和成年动物(≥1 岁)的死亡率指标。采用负二项分布的种群平均 GEE 模型和校正每个牧场在时间上重复测量的对数链接函数来量化 BTV-3 与死亡率之间的关系。2023 年,2994 个绵羊养殖户和 89 个山羊养殖户向国家兽医局通报了 BTV-3 的临床症状。在 BTV-3 爆发期间,与 2020-2022 年同期相比,又有 55,000 只羊死亡。在羊群层面,观察到的死亡率变化很大,未通报但位于疫区的羊群和养殖户通报了临床症状的羊群死亡率都明显增加。在 BTV-3 爆发期间,与无 BTV-3 地区相比,疫区绵羊羔羊(1 岁)死亡率增加了 4.2 倍(95 % CI:4.0-4.3),绵羊(≥1 岁)死亡率增加了 4.6 倍(95 % CI:4.4-4.8)。与 BTV-3 地区的羊群相比,在 9 月份确诊感染 BTV-3 的羊群的羔羊死亡率高出 12.8 倍(95 % CI:11.4-14.3),绵羊死亡率高出 15.1 倍(95 % CI:13.7-16.6)。与 BTV-3 地区的羊群相比,养殖户在 9 月份之后发现有临床症状的羊群中,羔羊和绵羊的死亡率分别是 BTV-3 地区的 4.6 倍(95 % CI:4.2-5.0)和 5.6 倍(95 % CI:5.1-6.0)。在 BTV-3 爆发期间,山羊的死亡数增加了约 4000 只。在被通报的农场中,山羊(≥1 年)的死亡率是无 BTV-3 地区的 1.8 倍(95 % CI:1.2-2.8)。自 2024 年 5 月起,荷兰可提供多种 BTV-3 疫苗。2024 年 6 月,荷兰羊群首次确诊新感染 BTV-3。人们希望,有了接种疫苗的可能性,BTV-3 在荷兰的传播和影响将迅速下降,不再出现 2023 年观察到的损失。
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引用次数: 0
Antimicrobial use on pig farms in Thailand: Farmer perceptions of use and resistance 泰国养猪场的抗菌药使用情况:农民对使用和抗药性的看法。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106287
Suporn Thongyuan , Natthasit Tansakul

Limiting the use of antimicrobial agents in intensive livestock production is a challenge due to different perceptions between the short-term benefits of antimicrobial use (AMU) by livestock producers and the long-term social costs of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and its impact on human, animal, and environmental health. Pig farmers are key stakeholders supporting Thailand’s national strategic plan on AMR which aims to reduce antimicrobial consumption in the livestock sector. Consequently, this study explored the knowledge, perceptions, attitudes, and practices of pig farmers towards AMU and AMR, expecting to provide information that would help guide policymakers in the development of a proper interventional program for antimicrobial stewardship. The qualitative approach utilized individual, face-to-face, in-depth, semi-structured interviews with the 20 owners of middle- and large-scale pig farms in eastern Thailand. The major themes identified in this finding were: (1) the use of antimicrobials on farms and the knowledge of antimicrobials; (2) AMU on pig farms (the purpose of AMU, antimicrobial prescription practices, and performing antimicrobial susceptibility testing); (3) attitudes towards prescribing practices and record keeping; (4) farm animal husbandry practices and AMU; (5) factors influencing AMU; and (6) awareness regarding AMR. Most of the pig farm owners recognized that achieving Good Agricultural Practices certification required following the legislation and regulations for AMU. Other observations were that the respondents had positive attitudes towards prescribing practices, performing antimicrobial susceptibility testing before antimicrobial therapy, and recording drug use on farms; however, there was low awareness of AMR. In addition, alternative substances, such as medicinal plants, and proper biosecurity practices were mentioned. Factors influencing AMU on pig farms were intensive enforcement of legislation and regulations, the implementation of farm management practices, the provision of information and consultancy services by veterinary professionals, farmer experience, and consumer trends.

在集约化畜牧生产中限制抗菌剂的使用是一项挑战,因为畜牧生产者对使用抗菌剂(AMU)的短期效益与抗菌剂耐药性(AMR)的长期社会成本及其对人类、动物和环境健康的影响有着不同的认识。养猪户是支持泰国国家 AMR 战略计划的主要利益相关者,该计划旨在减少畜牧业中的抗菌素消耗。因此,本研究探讨了养猪户对 AMU 和 AMR 的认识、看法、态度和做法,希望提供有助于指导政策制定者制定适当的抗菌药物管理干预计划的信息。定性研究采用面对面、深入、半结构化访谈的方式,对泰国东部 20 家中型和大型养猪场的场主进行了个别访谈。这项研究发现的主要主题是(1) 猪场抗菌药物的使用和抗菌药物知识;(2) 猪场的 AMU(AMU 的目的、抗菌药物处方实践和抗菌药物药敏试验);(3) 对处方实践和记录保存的态度;(4) 猪场畜牧实践和 AMU;(5) 影响 AMU 的因素;(6) 对 AMR 的认识。大多数猪场主认识到,要获得良好农业规范认证,就必须遵守 AMU 的法律法规。其他观察结果表明,受访者对开具处方、在抗菌素治疗前进行抗菌素药敏试验和记录猪场用药情况持积极态度,但对 AMR 的认识不足。此外,受访者还提到了药用植物等替代药物和适当的生物安全措施。影响养猪场 AMU 的因素包括法律法规的严格执行、农场管理措施的实施、兽医专业人员提供的信息和咨询服务、养殖户的经验以及消费趋势。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of nasal swab and nasal wipe for detection of Influenza A in swine using Bayesian latent class analysis 利用贝叶斯潜类分析法评估鼻拭子和鼻抹布检测猪甲型流感的效果。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106292
Francisco Elias Vendruscolo , Caroline Pissetti , Eduardo de Freitas Costa , Janice Reis Ciacci Zanella

Influenza A virus (IAV) is an important pathogen in Brazilian swine herds, and monitoring the viral circulation is essential to control and reduce the transmission. Surveillance programs for IAV are often based on individual piglets level sampling, making the evaluation of the available diagnostic tools crucial to assessing IAV circulation in herds. Thus, two sample collection methodologies were compared in pig herds in southern Brazil to detect IAV by RT-qPCR: nasal swab (NS) and nasal wipe (NW). A Bayesian latent class model (BLCM) was set for two tests and two populations. The NW and NS used are more specific (higher than 95 % for both) than sensitive. The sensitivity for NW was lower than the NS, 84.14 % (70 % – 95 %; posterior probability interval (PPI): 95 %) and 87.15 % (73 % – 97 %; PPI: 95 %), respectively, and the specificity was 95 % (90 % – 99 %; PPI: 95 %) and 99 % (96 % – 100 %; PPI: 95 %), respectively. Although the wipe sample collection loses both sensitivity and specificity compared with nasal swab, differences in test performance were very limited and PPIs largely overlapped. Therefore NW can also be considered a valuable tool. The decision about the use of both techniques should be based on the trade-off between their performance limitations and feasibility in routine monitoring.

甲型流感病毒(IAV)是巴西猪群中的一种重要病原体,监测病毒循环对控制和减少传播至关重要。对 IAV 的监测计划通常基于单个仔猪的采样,因此对现有诊断工具的评估对评估猪群中 IAV 的传播情况至关重要。因此,我们比较了在巴西南部猪群中采用 RT-qPCR 检测 IAV 的两种样本采集方法:鼻拭子(NS)和鼻抹布(NW)。贝叶斯潜类模型(BLCM)适用于两种检测方法和两种人群。所使用的 NW 和 NS 的特异性(均高于 95%)高于敏感性。NW 的灵敏度低于 NS,分别为 84.14 %(70 % - 95 %;后验概率区间 (PPI):95 %)和 87.15 %(70 % - 95 %;后验概率区间 (PPI):95 %):95 %)和 87.15 %(73 % - 97 %;PPI:95 %),特异性分别为 95 %(90 % - 99 %;PPI:95 %)和 99 %(96 % - 100 %;PPI:95 %)。虽然与鼻拭子相比,擦拭样本采集的灵敏度和特异性都有所下降,但检测结果的差异非常有限,而且 PPI 基本重叠。因此,鼻拭子也可被视为一种有价值的工具。在决定是否使用这两种技术时,应权衡其性能局限性和在常规监测中的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Beliefs, mindset and personality of farm managers working in large commercial dairy herds: Association with calf on-farm mortality 在大型商业奶牛场工作的牧场管理人员的信念、心态和个性:与牧场犊牛死亡率的关系
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106283
Kerli Mõtus , Dagni-Alice Viidu , Tanel Kaart , Eamonn Ferguson

This study aimed to describe the attitudes and personalities of farm managers (FMs) in large Estonian dairy herds and analyse the potential associations with calf mortality. The study included FMs from 114 free-stall farms with at least 100 cows. Each participant completed a questionnaire that comprised questions about the respondent and various statements to reveal their attitudes towards calves, calf mortality, and farming in general. A 7-point Likert scale was used to record the responses. The data on the number of live births and deaths and animal movement data were gathered from farm records and the Estonian Agricultural Registers and Information Board. The yearly calf mortality risk (%) during the first 21 days (YAG) and mortality rate between 22–90 days of age (OAG) adjusted for the animal time-at-risk were then calculated for each herd. Univariate negative binomial regression analysis was used to identify associations between calf mortality risk/rate, and the studied statements and variables with a p-value < 0.25 were included in a k-modes clustering analysis. The mean calf mortality risk was determined to be 5.9 % (range 0.0–26.8 %) during the first 21 days and mean calf mortality rate was 1.8 (range 0.0–9.2) deaths per 100 calf-months during 22–90 days of age. In both age group analyses, two FMs´ clusters formed based on 17 pre-selected statements. The FMs of the high-mortality cluster were found to be dissatisfied with the calf mortality levels. In the YAG analysis, FMs from high-mortality cluster gave lower priority to the issue of calf mortality, placed high importance on the influence of workers on calf mortality, and were more satisfied with the staff's performance compared to FMs of the cluster of herds with lower calf mortality. They were additionally less satisfied with their own performance and felt less recognized by the farm staff. They were also more inclined to try new products and practices on the farm and demonstrated greater empathy towards cattle. In the OAG analysis, the FMs from the higher-mortality cluster viewed reducing calf mortality more costly, had a less ambitious and target-driven management style, and rated their self-performance lower. This study determined that FMs working in herds with high calf mortality were dissatisfied and did not prioritize addressing calf mortality compared to managers working in farms with lower calf mortality. FMs' attitudes and management styles were associated with calf mortality, while the respondents' personality traits had little influence.

本研究旨在描述爱沙尼亚大型奶牛场管理人员(FMs)的态度和个性,并分析与犊牛死亡率的潜在关联。研究对象包括 114 个至少拥有 100 头奶牛的自由牧场的牧场主。每位参与者都填写了一份问卷,其中包括有关受访者的问题和各种陈述,以揭示他们对犊牛、犊牛死亡率和一般养殖业的态度。问卷采用 7 点李克特量表记录回答。活产和死亡数量数据以及动物移动数据均来自农场记录和爱沙尼亚农业登记和信息委员会。然后计算每个牛群头 21 天内的犊牛年死亡风险 (%) 和 22-90 日龄期间的死亡率 (OAG),并根据动物的风险时间进行调整。采用单变量负二项回归分析来确定犊牛死亡风险/死亡率之间的关联,并将所研究的陈述和 p 值为 0.25 的变量纳入 k 模式聚类分析。在头 21 天内,平均犊牛死亡风险为 5.9%(范围为 0.0-26.8%),在 22-90 天内,平均犊牛死亡率为每 100 个犊牛月死亡 1.8 人(范围为 0.0-9.2)。在两个年龄组的分析中,根据 17 个预选语句形成了两个 FMs 聚类。高死亡率群组的FMs对犊牛死亡率水平不满意。在 YAG 分析中,与犊牛死亡率较低的牧场群的 FMs 相比,死亡率高的牧场群的 FMs 对犊牛死亡率问题的重视程度较低,对工作人员对犊牛死亡率的影响的重视程度较高,对工作人员的表现较为满意。此外,他们对自己的表现不太满意,也不太被牧场员工认可。他们也更愿意在牧场尝试新产品和新方法,对牛表现出更大的同情心。在 OAG 分析中,死亡率较高组群的农场主认为降低犊牛死亡率的成本较高,管理风格的雄心和目标驱动力较弱,对自我绩效的评价较低。本研究发现,与犊牛死亡率较低的牧场管理人员相比,在犊牛死亡率较高的牧场工作的管理人员并不满意,也没有将解决犊牛死亡率问题放在首位。财务管理人员的态度和管理方式与犊牛死亡率有关,而受访者的个性特征影响不大。
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引用次数: 0
Combination of an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and an indirect fluorescence assay for a nationwide sero-survey of Toxoplasma gondii infection in pig herds in Taiwan 结合酶联免疫吸附测定法和间接荧光测定法进行台湾猪群弓形虫感染的全国血清调查
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106286
Kendy Tzu-Yun Teng , Chao-Chin Chang , Shao-Wen Hung , Ming-Tang Chiou , Chao-Nan Lin , Cheng-Yao Yang

Toxoplasma gondii is a zoonotic pathogen that can infect farm animals, companion animals, and humans, sometimes causing public health issues. In Taiwan, the pig industry is a vital agricultural industry, with a self-sufficiency rate of 91 %, and pigs are also food-producing animal reservoirs of Toxoplasma gondii. Infected pigs are usually asymptomatic, and abortions and death may occur in severe cases. We combined an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and an indirect fluorescence assay (IFA) to investigate the seroprevalence of Toxoplasma gondii among pig populations in Taiwan. A stratified sampling approach to determine the number of sample farms proportional to the number of pig farms in each county was employed, with 15 blood samples collected at each farm between July and September 2017. With the tested results, empirical Bayesian smoothing was utilized to assess the proportion of Toxoplasma-positive farms at the county level. Bayesian mixed-effects logistic regression models, incorporating farm and county as random effects, were employed to investigate associations between Toxoplasma test results and potential risk factors. A total of 930 serum samples from 62 pig farms were collected and tested. An overall herd prevalence of 27.4 % was shown with the seroprevalence in northern Taiwan being greater than that in southern Taiwan. The sampling month and companion dog density in 2017 were significantly associated with Toxoplasma infections in pigs. With every increase in the number of companion dogs per km² at the county level, the odds of Toxoplasma infection in pigs increased by 4.7 % (95 % CI: 1.7–8.9 %). This study demonstrated that combining ELISA for screening with IFA for confirmation is a cost-effective and time-saving method for conducting a large-scale sample investigation. This was also the first nationwide, cross-sectional study in Taiwanese pig herds to investigate Toxoplasma gondii infection.

弓形虫是一种人畜共通病原体,可感染农场动物、伴侣动物和人类,有时会引发公共卫生问题。在台湾,养猪业是重要的农业产业,自给率高达 91%,猪也是弓形虫的产粮动物库。受感染的猪通常无症状,严重时会流产或死亡。我们结合酶联免疫吸附测定法(ELISA)和间接荧光测定法(IFA),调查了台湾猪群的弓形虫血清流行率。采用分层抽样的方法,根据每个县的养猪场数量按比例确定样本养猪场的数量,在 2017 年 7 月至 9 月期间在每个养猪场采集 15 份血样。根据测试结果,利用经验贝叶斯平滑法评估了县级弓形虫阳性猪场的比例。贝叶斯混合效应逻辑回归模型将农场和县作为随机效应,用于研究弓形虫检测结果与潜在风险因素之间的关联。共收集并检测了来自 62 个养猪场的 930 份血清样本。结果显示,猪群的总体流行率为 27.4%,台湾北部的血清流行率高于台湾南部。2017 年的采样月份和伴侣犬密度与猪的弓形虫感染有显著关联。县级每平方公里的伴侣犬数量每增加,猪感染弓形虫的几率就增加 4.7 %(95 % CI:1.7-8.9 %)。这项研究表明,在进行大规模样本调查时,将 ELISA 筛查与 IFA 确认相结合是一种既经济又省时的方法。这也是首次在台湾猪群中开展的全国性横断面弓形虫感染调查研究。
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引用次数: 0
Zoonotic sporotrichosis in humans and domestic cats: Profile of notifications and spatio-temporal distribution in Southeastern Brazil between 2017 and 2023 人类和家猫的人畜共患孢子丝虫病:2017 年至 2023 年巴西东南部的通报概况和时空分布情况
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106275
Ailton Junior Antunes da Costa , Maria Helena Franco Morais , Isadora Martins Pinto Coelho , Fernanda do Carmo Magalhães , Rafael Romero Nicolino , Marcelo Antônio Nero , Otávia Augusta de Mello , Marcos Xavier Silva

The research addresses zoonotic sporotrichosis in Brazil, particularly caused by Sporothrix brasiliensis, highlighting its epidemiological severity. Transmission occurs through contact with sick animals, especially felines, and diagnosis in humans is challenging due to the low fungal load in the lesions. The study analyzed data from Information System for Notifiable Diseases (SINAN) and Zoonosis Surveillance Unit (UVZ) from January 2017 to March 2023, carried out in Contagem, Minas Gerais. Geospatial tools and statistical analysis revealed a significant increase in cases, peaking in 2021 for felines and 2022 for humans. The geospatial analysis highlighted areas of higher incidence, suggesting a correlation between human and feline populations. The research contributes to the understanding of sporotrichosis in Contagem, emphasizing the importance of integrated approaches for surveillance and control strategies, aiming to mitigate impacts on the local community.

该研究涉及巴西的人畜共患孢子丝菌病,特别是由巴西孢子丝菌引起的孢子丝菌病,强调了其流行病学的严重性。传播途径是与患病动物(尤其是猫科动物)接触,由于病变部位的真菌量较少,因此对人类的诊断具有挑战性。该研究分析了米纳斯吉拉斯州孔塔吉姆市从2017年1月至2023年3月的应报告疾病信息系统(SINAN)和人畜共患病监测单位(UVZ)的数据。地理空间工具和统计分析显示,病例显著增加,其中猫科动物的病例在 2021 年达到高峰,人类的病例在 2022 年达到高峰。地理空间分析突出了发病率较高的地区,表明人类和猫科动物之间存在关联。这项研究有助于人们了解孔塔甘姆的孢子丝菌病,强调了综合监测方法和控制策略的重要性,旨在减轻对当地社区的影响。
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引用次数: 0
A stochastic modeling study of quarantine strategies against foot-and-mouth disease risks through cattle trades across the Thailand-Myanmar border 通过泰缅边境牛群贸易应对口蹄疫风险的检疫策略随机建模研究
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106282
Phrutsamon Wongnak , Terdsak Yano , Satoshi Sekiguchi , Karine Chalvet-Monfray , Sith Premashthira , Weerapong Thanapongtharm , Anuwat Wiratsudakul

Foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) is an important endemic disease in livestock in Southeast Asia. Transboundary movement of animals may result in the transnational disease spread. A major cattle market is located at the Thailand-Myanmar border, where most cattle imported from Myanmar are traded. In this study, we built a stochastic susceptible-exposed-infectious-recovered (SEIR) model to investigate the effectiveness of a private animal quarantine service center in preventing FMDV from entering the major cattle market. We computed with different parameters and found that, with 50 % vaccine effectiveness, the risk of releasing infected cattle to the market per batch was generally low during the quarantine period of 21 and 28 days, with the risk ranging from 0.071 to 0.078 and 0.032 to 0.036, respectively. Despite the best scenario, the zero-risk state is difficult to attain. The sensitivity analysis highlights that the percentage of immune animals before entering the quarantine centers and the vaccine effectiveness are important factors. In conclusion, the 21-day quarantine period mitigates the risk of FMDV introduction into the cattle market. This control measure should be rigorously maintained to sustainably prevent FMDV outbreaks through transboundary animal movements, especially among countries in FMD-endemic regions.

口蹄疫(FMD)是东南亚地区重要的牲畜地方病。动物的跨境移动可能导致疾病的跨国传播。泰缅边境有一个主要的牛市,从缅甸进口的大部分牛都在这里交易。在本研究中,我们建立了一个随机易感-暴露-感染-恢复(SEIR)模型,以研究私营动物检疫服务中心在防止口蹄疫病毒进入主要牛市方面的有效性。我们计算了不同的参数,发现在疫苗有效率为 50% 的情况下,在 21 天和 28 天的检疫期内,每批感染牛进入市场的风险一般较低,风险范围分别为 0.071 至 0.078 和 0.032 至 0.036。尽管情况最好,但零风险状态很难达到。敏感性分析表明,进入检疫中心前的免疫动物比例和疫苗效果是重要因素。总之,21 天的检疫期降低了口蹄疫病毒传入牛市的风险。应严格坚持这一控制措施,以持续防止口蹄疫病毒通过跨境动物流动爆发,尤其是在口蹄疫流行地区的国家之间。
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引用次数: 0
A methodological framework to characterize the wildlife-livestock interface: The case of wild boar in mainland Spain 标题描述野生动物-家畜界面特征的方法框架:西班牙大陆的野猪案例
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106280
Carmen Ruiz-Rodríguez , José A. Blanco-Aguiar , Javier Fernández-López , Pelayo Acevedo , Vidal Montoro , Sonia Illanas , Alfonso Peralbo-Moreno , Cesar Herraiz , Joaquín Vicente
<div><h3>Background</h3><p>The representation of wildlife-livestock interface (WLI) at an accurate spatial resolution poses several challenges. Furthermore, there is a lack of published material providing detailed descriptions of geospatial techniques for the purpose of producing visual results that are interpretable and contrastable for epidemiological analysis.</p></div><div><h3>Objectives</h3><p>Our aim is to develop a standardized, applicable, and scalable methodological framework for describing and characterizing the WLI across a large spatial extent. Subsequently, we aim to employ this framework to depict specific WLI based on different epidemiological scenarios determined by the abundance of wild boar (<em>Sus scrofa</em>) and domestic ungulates as an illustrative case, specifically focusing on mainland Spain.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>To establish a methodological framework, we merged data from both wild and domestic sources into a hexagonal grid. We utilized data on wild boar hunting and the locations of pig, cattle, sheep, and goat farms in mainland Spain. New variables were derived from this combined dataset to illustrate the overlapping abundance between wild boar and domestic species. Finally, a cluster analysis of the generated variables was carried out, with the aim of distinguishing and characterizing various scenarios of the wild boar-domestic ungulate interface in mainland Spain.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The hexagonal grid proved appropriate to represent and evaluate the WLI at fine spatial resolution over such broad extent. Despite the inability to ascribe a dominant livestock type and production system to a specific region, we were able to identify fifteen main areas of interest in terms of overlap. As for extensive livestock, normally at the highest risk of interaction with wild boar, the primary regions in Spain were those with <em>dehesa</em> agroecosystem and the Atlantic areas. Certain scenarios were particularly relevant in terms of risk for interaction and subsequent transmission of disease, namely, the case of extensive pig production in south western Spain (<em>dehesa</em> agroecosystem), which is especially concerned about the potential introduction of African Swine fever (ASF) in the Country.</p></div><div><h3>Discussion and conclusions</h3><p>We provide a basis for visualizing and understanding of different WLI scenarios, which is extensible to other regions and interfaces, and automatable where precise source of data from wildlife and livestock are available. This spatial statistics framework enables the utilization of high-resolution data, ensuring consistency on uniform grids. This aligns with the needs of high-resolution disease dissemination models based on wildlife behaviour. Such aspects are crucial for developing risk assessment and improving strategies for the prevention, control, and eradication of shared priority emerging diseases at national and international levels, such as ASF.</p></div
背景以精确的空间分辨率表示野生动物-牲畜界面(WLI)是一项挑战。我们的目标是开发一个标准化、适用且可扩展的方法框架,用于描述和描述大空间范围内的野生动物-家畜界面。随后,我们将根据野猪(Sus scrofa)和家养蹄类动物的数量所决定的不同流行病学情况,采用这一框架来描述具体的 WLI,并以西班牙大陆为例进行说明。我们利用了西班牙大陆的野猪狩猎数据以及猪、牛、绵羊和山羊养殖场的位置数据。从这一综合数据集中衍生出新的变量,以说明野猪与家养物种之间的丰度重叠。最后,对生成的变量进行了聚类分析,目的是区分和描述西班牙大陆野猪与家养有蹄类动物交界处的各种情况。结果事实证明,六边形网格适合在如此广阔的范围内以精细的空间分辨率表示和评估 WLI。尽管无法为特定区域确定主要的家畜类型和生产系统,但我们还是确定了 15 个主要的重叠区域。对于通常与野猪发生冲突风险最高的广泛饲养的牲畜,西班牙的主要地区是那些拥有 dehesa 农业生态系统的地区和大西洋地区。某些情况在相互作用和随后的疾病传播风险方面尤为重要,例如西班牙西南部(dehesa 农业生态系统)的大规模养猪业,该地区尤其担心非洲猪瘟(ASF)可能会传入该国。讨论与结论我们提供了一个可视化和理解不同 WLI 情况的基础,该基础可扩展到其他地区和界面,并可在有野生动物和牲畜精确数据源的情况下实现自动化。这种空间统计框架能够利用高分辨率数据,确保统一网格的一致性。这符合基于野生动物行为的高分辨率疾病传播模型的需求。这些方面对于在国家和国际层面开展风险评估、改进预防、控制和根除 ASF 等共同优先新发疾病的战略至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Spatiotemporal analysis of equine infectious anemia and prediction of risk areas in Europe 欧洲马传染性贫血时空分析及风险区域预测。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106281
Qi An , Yuepeng Li , Zhuo Sun , Xiang Gao , Hongbin Wang

Equine Infectious Anemia (EIA) is a vector-borne persistent viral infection in equine animals. The EIA is characterized by recurrent fever, thrombocytopenia, depression, anemia, rapid weight loss, and lower body edema. Control of EIA is achieved through the elimination or isolation of infected animals, resulting in significant economic losses. In recent years, many countries in Europe have experienced outbreaks of EIA, which could potentially develop into a new wave of epidemic and pose a significant threat to the healthy development of the equine industry. This study utilized spatiotemporal analysis techniques and ecological niche modeling to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of historical EIA outbreaks and predict risk areas for EIA occurrence in Europe. Spatiotemporal analysis results indicate that from 2005 to 2023, the EIA outbreaks in Europe exhibit five significant spatiotemporal clusters, with hotspots concentrated in southeastern France and northwestern Italy. Ecological niche modeling reveals that western, central, and southern Europe are high-risk areas for EIA outbreaks. Annual mean temperature, annual precipitation, and horse density are important variables that influence the occurrence of EIA. The results of this study can provide decision-makers with valuable insights, helping with EIA monitoring and resource allocation.

马传染性贫血病(EIA)是一种通过病媒传播的马科动物持续性病毒感染。EIA 的特征是反复发烧、血小板减少、精神萎靡、贫血、体重迅速下降和下半身水肿。控制 EIA 的方法是消灭或隔离受感染的动物,这造成了巨大的经济损失。近年来,欧洲许多国家都爆发了 EIA,有可能发展成为新一轮的流行病,对马业的健康发展构成重大威胁。本研究利用时空分析技术和生态位模型研究了欧洲历史上爆发的EIA疫情的时空分布特征,并预测了欧洲EIA发生的风险区域。时空分析结果表明,从2005年到2023年,欧洲的EIA爆发呈现出五个显著的时空集群,热点集中在法国东南部和意大利西北部。生态位模型显示,欧洲西部、中部和南部是 EIA 爆发的高风险地区。年平均气温、年降水量和马匹密度是影响 EIA 发生的重要变量。这项研究的结果可为决策者提供有价值的见解,有助于EIA的监测和资源分配。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the intrastate and interstate swine movement network in the United States 分析美国州内和州际猪群移动网络。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106264
Nicolas C. Cardenas , Arthur Valencio , Felipe Sanchez , Kathleen C. O’Hara , Gustavo Machado

Identifying and restricting animal movements is a common approach used to mitigate the spread of diseases between premises in livestock systems. Therefore, it is essential to uncover between-premises movement dynamics, including shipment distances and network-based control strategies. Here, we analyzed three years of between-premises pig movements, which include 197,022 unique animal shipments, 3973 premises, and 391,625,374 pigs shipped across 20 U.S. states. We constructed unweighted, directed, temporal networks at 180-day intervals to calculate premises-to-premises movement distances, the size of connected components, network loyalty, and degree distributions, and, based on the out-going contact chains, identified network-based control actions. Our results show that the median distance between premises pig movements was 74.37 km, with median intrastate and interstate movements of 52.71 km and 328.76 km, respectively. On average, 2842 premises were connected via 6705 edges, resulting in a weak giant connected component that included 91 % of the premises. The premises-level network exhibited loyalty, with a median of 0.65 (IQR: 0.45 – 0.77). Results highlight the effectiveness of node targeting to reduce the risk of disease spread; we demonstrated that targeting 25 % of farms with the highest degree or betweenness limited spread to 1.23 % and 1.7 % of premises, respectively. While there is no complete shipment data for the entire U.S., our multi-state movement analysis demonstrated the value and the needs of such data for enhancing the design and implementation of proactive­ disease control tactics.

在畜牧系统中,识别和限制动物移动是减少疾病在房舍间传播的常用方法。因此,揭示场所之间的移动动态(包括运输距离和基于网络的控制策略)至关重要。在此,我们分析了三年来场所间猪只的移动情况,其中包括 197,022 次独特的动物运输、3973 个场所和 391,625,374 头猪只在美国 20 个州的运输情况。我们以 180 天为间隔构建了非加权、有向、时间网络,以计算房舍与房舍之间的移动距离、连接部分的大小、网络忠诚度和度分布,并根据传出的接触链确定了基于网络的控制行动。我们的结果显示,房舍间猪只移动距离的中位数为 74.37 千米,国内和州际移动距离的中位数分别为 52.71 千米和 328.76 千米。平均而言,2842 个房舍通过 6705 条边连接在一起,形成了一个包括 91% 房舍的弱巨型连接部分。楼宇级网络表现出忠诚度,中位数为 0.65(IQR:0.45 - 0.77)。结果凸显了节点定位在降低疾病传播风险方面的有效性;我们证明,定位 25% 的具有最高度或度间关系的农场可将传播范围分别限制在 1.23% 和 1.7% 的场所。虽然没有全美完整的运输数据,但我们的多州移动分析表明了此类数据的价值和需求,有助于加强主动疾病控制策略的设计和实施。
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引用次数: 0
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Preventive veterinary medicine
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