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Spatiotemporal analysis of equine infectious anemia and prediction of risk areas in Europe 欧洲马传染性贫血时空分析及风险区域预测。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106281
Qi An , Yuepeng Li , Zhuo Sun , Xiang Gao , Hongbin Wang

Equine Infectious Anemia (EIA) is a vector-borne persistent viral infection in equine animals. The EIA is characterized by recurrent fever, thrombocytopenia, depression, anemia, rapid weight loss, and lower body edema. Control of EIA is achieved through the elimination or isolation of infected animals, resulting in significant economic losses. In recent years, many countries in Europe have experienced outbreaks of EIA, which could potentially develop into a new wave of epidemic and pose a significant threat to the healthy development of the equine industry. This study utilized spatiotemporal analysis techniques and ecological niche modeling to investigate the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of historical EIA outbreaks and predict risk areas for EIA occurrence in Europe. Spatiotemporal analysis results indicate that from 2005 to 2023, the EIA outbreaks in Europe exhibit five significant spatiotemporal clusters, with hotspots concentrated in southeastern France and northwestern Italy. Ecological niche modeling reveals that western, central, and southern Europe are high-risk areas for EIA outbreaks. Annual mean temperature, annual precipitation, and horse density are important variables that influence the occurrence of EIA. The results of this study can provide decision-makers with valuable insights, helping with EIA monitoring and resource allocation.

马传染性贫血病(EIA)是一种通过病媒传播的马科动物持续性病毒感染。EIA 的特征是反复发烧、血小板减少、精神萎靡、贫血、体重迅速下降和下半身水肿。控制 EIA 的方法是消灭或隔离受感染的动物,这造成了巨大的经济损失。近年来,欧洲许多国家都爆发了 EIA,有可能发展成为新一轮的流行病,对马业的健康发展构成重大威胁。本研究利用时空分析技术和生态位模型研究了欧洲历史上爆发的EIA疫情的时空分布特征,并预测了欧洲EIA发生的风险区域。时空分析结果表明,从2005年到2023年,欧洲的EIA爆发呈现出五个显著的时空集群,热点集中在法国东南部和意大利西北部。生态位模型显示,欧洲西部、中部和南部是 EIA 爆发的高风险地区。年平均气温、年降水量和马匹密度是影响 EIA 发生的重要变量。这项研究的结果可为决策者提供有价值的见解,有助于EIA的监测和资源分配。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the intrastate and interstate swine movement network in the United States 分析美国州内和州际猪群移动网络。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106264

Identifying and restricting animal movements is a common approach used to mitigate the spread of diseases between premises in livestock systems. Therefore, it is essential to uncover between-premises movement dynamics, including shipment distances and network-based control strategies. Here, we analyzed three years of between-premises pig movements, which include 197,022 unique animal shipments, 3973 premises, and 391,625,374 pigs shipped across 20 U.S. states. We constructed unweighted, directed, temporal networks at 180-day intervals to calculate premises-to-premises movement distances, the size of connected components, network loyalty, and degree distributions, and, based on the out-going contact chains, identified network-based control actions. Our results show that the median distance between premises pig movements was 74.37 km, with median intrastate and interstate movements of 52.71 km and 328.76 km, respectively. On average, 2842 premises were connected via 6705 edges, resulting in a weak giant connected component that included 91 % of the premises. The premises-level network exhibited loyalty, with a median of 0.65 (IQR: 0.45 – 0.77). Results highlight the effectiveness of node targeting to reduce the risk of disease spread; we demonstrated that targeting 25 % of farms with the highest degree or betweenness limited spread to 1.23 % and 1.7 % of premises, respectively. While there is no complete shipment data for the entire U.S., our multi-state movement analysis demonstrated the value and the needs of such data for enhancing the design and implementation of proactive­ disease control tactics.

在畜牧系统中,识别和限制动物移动是减少疾病在房舍间传播的常用方法。因此,揭示场所之间的移动动态(包括运输距离和基于网络的控制策略)至关重要。在此,我们分析了三年来场所间猪只的移动情况,其中包括 197,022 次独特的动物运输、3973 个场所和 391,625,374 头猪只在美国 20 个州的运输情况。我们以 180 天为间隔构建了非加权、有向、时间网络,以计算房舍与房舍之间的移动距离、连接部分的大小、网络忠诚度和度分布,并根据传出的接触链确定了基于网络的控制行动。我们的结果显示,房舍间猪只移动距离的中位数为 74.37 千米,国内和州际移动距离的中位数分别为 52.71 千米和 328.76 千米。平均而言,2842 个房舍通过 6705 条边连接在一起,形成了一个包括 91% 房舍的弱巨型连接部分。楼宇级网络表现出忠诚度,中位数为 0.65(IQR:0.45 - 0.77)。结果凸显了节点定位在降低疾病传播风险方面的有效性;我们证明,定位 25% 的具有最高度或度间关系的农场可将传播范围分别限制在 1.23% 和 1.7% 的场所。虽然没有全美完整的运输数据,但我们的多州移动分析表明了此类数据的价值和需求,有助于加强主动疾病控制策略的设计和实施。
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引用次数: 0
Herd-level true seroprevalence of caseous lymphadenitis and paratuberculosis in the goat population of Poland 波兰山羊群体中病例性淋巴结炎和副结核病的真实血清阳性率
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106278
Jarosław Kaba , Michał Czopowicz , Marcin Mickiewicz , Lucjan Witkowski , Agata Moroz-Fik , Kinga Biernacka , Olga Szaluś-Jordanow , Tomasz Nalbert , Andrzej Bereznowski , Adrian-Valentin Potârniche , Aija Mālniece , Iwona Markowska-Daniel , Krzysztof Rypuła , Emilia Bagnicka

A large-scale study was carried out in the Polish goat population in 2014–2021 to determine the herd-level true seroprevalence (HTP) of caseous lymphadenitis (CLA) caused by Corynebacterium pseudotuberculosis (Cp) and paratuberculosis (PTB) caused by Mycobacterium avium ssp. paratuberculosis (Map). Two-stage cluster sampling was applied to herds counting at least 20 adult goats (aged >1 year) and in each herd all males and 10–13 females were tested. At least one seropositive goat regardless of its sex was necessary to consider the herd as infected. HTP was estimated using the Bayesian approach with the Gibbs sampler in the EpiTools and reported as the median and 95 % credibility interval (95 % CrI). A total of 1282 adult goats from 86 herds were serologically tested using two commercial ELISAs (Cp-ELISA and Map-ELISA). At least 1 seropositive result of Cp-ELISA and Map-ELISA was obtained in 73/86 herds (84.9 %) and 40/86 herds (46.5 %), respectively. HTP of CLA was estimated at 73.3 % (95 % CrI: 65.0 %, 80.4 %) and HTP of PTB was estimated at 42.9 % (95 % CrI: 25.8 %, 58.0 %). There was a significant positive association between the occurrence of CLA and PTB in the herds (odds ratio 6.0, 95 % confidence interval: 1.2, 28.8; p = 0.010). Probability of the seropositive result for PTB was also significantly higher in Cp-seropositive goats than in Cp-seronegative goats (odds ratio 3.9, 95 % confidence interval: 2.4, 6.3; p < 0.001) which could indicate either a higher risk of co-infection or a higher rate of false positive results for PTB in Cp-positive goats. To investigate this issue, optical densities obtained in Map-ELISA were compared between Cp-positive and Cp-negative goats and results of Map-ELISA were adjusted accordingly. Map-negative sera from Cp-positive goats turned out to have significantly higher optical densities than Map-negative sera from Cp-negative goats (p < 0.001). After the adjustment, the herd-level apparent seroprevalence of PTB was 41.9 % (36/86 herds) so it still fell within the 95 % CrI of HTP of PTB calculated before the adjustment. Concluding, CLA appears to be widespread in the Polish goat population. In many of them it may be subclinical at the moment, however will likely emerge in the future as the disease follows cyclic pattern in Poland. On the other hand, given the total lack of clinical PTB in Polish goats, an explanation for a high HTP of PTB remains unclear and warrants further studies using tests of higher analytical specificity than ELISA.

2014-2021年在波兰山羊群体中开展了一项大规模研究,以确定由假结核棒状杆菌(Cp)引起的酪性淋巴结炎(CLA)和由副结核分枝杆菌(Map)引起的副结核病(PTB)在羊群中的真实血清流行率(HTP)。对至少有 20 只成年山羊(年龄为 1 岁)的羊群进行了两阶段分组抽样,并对每个羊群中的所有雄性山羊和 10-13 只雌性山羊进行了检测。至少有一只血清阳性山羊(不论其性别)才能被视为感染羊群。使用 EpiTools 中的 Gibbs 采样器以贝叶斯方法估算 HTP,并以中位数和 95 % 可信区间 (95 % CrI) 的形式报告。使用两种商业 ELISA(Cp-ELISA 和 Map-ELISA)对来自 86 个羊群的 1282 只成年山羊进行了血清学检测。在 Cp-ELISA 和 Map-ELISA 检测中,分别有 73/86 个牧群(84.9%)和 40/86 个牧群(46.5%)至少有 1 个牧群的血清反应呈阳性。CLA的HTP估计为73.3%(95% CrI:65.0%,80.4%),PTB的HTP估计为42.9%(95% CrI:25.8%,58.0%)。畜群中 CLA 的发生与 PTB 之间存在明显的正相关(几率比 6.0,95 % 置信区间:1.2,28.8;P = 0.010)。Cp 血清阳性山羊的 PTB 血清阳性结果的概率也明显高于 Cp 阴性山羊(几率比 3.9,95 % 置信区间:2.4,6.3;p = 0.001),这可能表明 Cp 阳性山羊有更高的合并感染风险或更高的 PTB 假阳性结果率。为了研究这个问题,比较了 Cp 阳性山羊和 Cp 阴性山羊在 Map-ELISA 中获得的光密度,并对 Map-ELISA 的结果进行了相应调整。结果显示,Cp 阳性山羊的 Map 阴性血清的光密度明显高于 Cp 阴性山羊的 Map 阴性血清(p <0.001)。调整后,PTB 的畜群水平血清表面流行率为 41.9%(36/86 个畜群),因此仍在调整前计算的 PTB HTP 的 95% CrI 范围内。总之,CLA 似乎在波兰山羊群体中很普遍。在许多羊群中,这种疾病目前可能处于亚临床状态,但由于这种疾病在波兰呈现周期性模式,因此将来可能会出现。另一方面,鉴于波兰山羊中完全没有临床 PTB,PTB 高 HTP 的原因仍不清楚,需要使用比 ELISA 分析特异性更高的检测方法进行进一步研究。
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引用次数: 0
Calf mortality in Turkish dairy farms: Economic impact, regional disparities, and farm-level drivers 土耳其奶牛场的犊牛死亡率:经济影响、地区差异和农场层面的驱动因素
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106279

This study investigates the economic burden of calf mortality in Turkish dairy farms and its impact on the national economy. We gathered research data by directly surveying dairy farms in seven provinces, each representing a distinct region of Turkiye. By conducting these surveys, we captured data on various aspects of calf mortality, including losses among non-pregnant cows aged two and older, pregnant cows, and those experiencing complications during birth, as well as losses within the 0–6 month age bracket. These figures were then amalgamated to establish the overall calf loss rate. Using a fractional probit model, we examined the empirical relationship between total calf loss rates and the socio-demographic characteristics of farm operators and their establishments. Our findings revealed that approximately 82 % of farms experienced some degree of calf loss, with the calf loss rate among dairy cattle farming accounting for nearly 20 %. Notably, regional disparities emerged as a key observation, alongside the identification of certain socio-demographic farm characteristics that proved statistically significant. Specifically, factors such as the prevalence of local cattle breeds, the proportion of crossbred bulls, as well as the numbers of heifers and calves, stood out as influential. Further scrutiny, fortified by ANOVA tests and relationships between the number of cows and total calf loss rate, underscored pronounced geographical disparities in post-estimation calf loss rates. Meanwhile, correlation heatmaps illuminated noteworthy relationships between specific cattle traits and the extent of calf losses. These findings not only underscore the severity of the issue but also highlight the urgency of preventive measures. In light of these insights, we offer pertinent policy recommendations to stakeholders and policymakers aimed at mitigating this considerable economic burden effectively.

本研究调查了土耳其奶牛场犊牛死亡造成的经济负担及其对国民经济的影响。我们通过直接调查土耳其七个省的奶牛场收集研究数据,每个省代表土耳其的一个不同地区。通过这些调查,我们获得了犊牛死亡率各方面的数据,包括两岁及以上非怀孕奶牛、怀孕奶牛、分娩时出现并发症的奶牛以及 0-6 月龄段奶牛的损失。然后将这些数据合并,得出总体犊牛损失率。利用分数概率模型,我们研究了犊牛总损失率与牧场经营者及其单位的社会人口特征之间的经验关系。我们的研究结果表明,约 82% 的农场存在一定程度的犊牛损失,其中奶牛场的犊牛损失率接近 20%。值得注意的是,地区差异是一项重要观察结果,同时还发现了某些具有统计学意义的农场社会人口特征。具体而言,当地牛种的普及率、杂交公牛的比例以及母牛和小牛的数量等因素都具有重要影响。通过方差分析检验和母牛数量与犊牛总损失率之间的关系,进一步的研究突出了估计后犊牛损失率的明显地域差异。同时,相关热图揭示了特定牛只性状与犊牛损失程度之间值得注意的关系。这些发现不仅强调了问题的严重性,还突出了采取预防措施的紧迫性。鉴于这些见解,我们向利益相关者和政策制定者提出了中肯的政策建议,旨在有效减轻这一巨大的经济负担。
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引用次数: 0
Economic losses due to foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) in Ethiopian cattle 埃塞俄比亚牛口蹄疫造成的经济损失。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106276
P. Rasmussen , A.P. Shaw , W.T. Jemberu , T. Knight-Jones , B. Conrady , O.O. Apenteng , Y. Cheng , V. Muñoz , J. Rushton , P.R. Torgerson

Ethiopia’s cattle population is among the largest in Africa and is burdened by frequent foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) outbreaks. FMD is caused by several distinct and highly contagious viral strains that can result in acute disease in cattle, causing losses in productivity and impeding international trade. This economic simulation study considered four main sources of losses due to FMD in cattle: reduced milk yield, draft power yield, fertility, and increased mortality. Economic losses were estimated per case across age-sex strata in 89 Ethiopian administrative zones for the years 2010–2021 using a wide range of data to estimate distributions for 30 input variables in a series of Monte Carlo simulations. It was estimated that an average case of FMD in Ethiopian cattle results in losses (mean values reported followed 95 % confidence intervals in brackets) of US dollars (USD) 11 (USD 7–USD 16) per case. Losses resulting from an average outbreak were estimated to be USD 2300 (USD 1400–USD 3300), while national annual losses were estimated to be USD 0.9 Mil. (USD 0.2 Mil.–USD 2.3 Mil.). Per cow-year, based on a national cow population of approximately 39 Mil. head, these estimated annual losses are equivalent to losses of only USD 0.02 (USD 0.01–USD 0.06). Nationally, these losses were significantly less than previously estimated in the literature, with currently estimated losses more accurately reflecting the economic burden of FMD in Ethiopian cattle over the past decade. The relatively small estimated losses suggest that control efforts based on widespread vaccination in countries with primarily extensive cattle production systems, such as Ethiopia, are unlikely to be economically sound. Sensitivity analyses suggested losses would be far greater in intensive systems, and that certainty surrounding incidence rates is paramount to the formulation of economically sound animal healthpolicy in regions with endemic FMD.

埃塞俄比亚是非洲牛群最多的国家之一,口蹄疫(FMD)的频繁爆发给该国带来了沉重的负担。口蹄疫由几种不同的高传染性病毒株引起,可导致牛的急性疾病,造成生产力损失并阻碍国际贸易。这项经济模拟研究考虑了牛口蹄疫造成损失的四个主要来源:产奶量下降、役畜产量下降、繁殖力下降和死亡率上升。在一系列蒙特卡洛模拟中,使用大量数据估算了 30 个输入变量的分布情况,估算了 2010-2021 年埃塞俄比亚 89 个行政区各年龄-性别层的每例经济损失。据估计,埃塞俄比亚牛口蹄疫平均每例造成的损失(括号内为 95 % 置信区间后的平均值)为 11 美元(7-16 美元)。平均疫情造成的损失估计为 2300 美元(1400-3300 美元),而全国年损失估计为 90 万美元(20 万-230 万美元)。按照全国奶牛存栏量约为3,900万头计算,每头牛每年的损失估计仅相当于0.02美元(0.01-0.06美元)。在全国范围内,这些损失大大低于以前文献中的估计,目前估计的损失更准确地反映了过去十年埃塞俄比亚牛口蹄疫造成的经济负担。相对较小的损失估计表明,在埃塞俄比亚等主要采用粗放型养牛生产系统的国家,基于广泛接种疫苗的控制工作不太可能具有经济效益。敏感性分析表明,在集约化生产系统中,损失会更大,而且在口蹄疫流行的地区,要制定经济上合理的动物健康政策,发病率的确定性至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Establishing a surveillance programme for Salmonella Dublin in Austrian dairy herds by comparing herd-level vs. individual animal detection methods 通过比较牛群与单个动物的检测方法,建立奥地利奶牛场都柏林沙门氏菌监测计划。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106277
Kerstin Hofer , Barbara Trockenbacher , Eva Sodoma , Johannes L. Khol , Michael Dünser , Thomas Wittek

Due to its increasing occurrence in cattle farms in various countries, leading to significant economic losses in affected livestock, Salmonella enterica subspecies enterica serovar Dublin (S. Dublin) has become a highly investigated pathogen in cattle production. In Austria, there have been occasional human cases of S. Dublin as well as an increase in laboratory-confirmed cases in cattle, indicating the need for a screening programme to determine the current status in Austria. The aims of this study were, firstly, to determine the seroprevalence of S. Dublin in dairy herds through bulk milk screenings in two federal states (Salzburg, Tyrol) of Austria. Secondly, the study aimed to identify the infection status of the herds through individual animal and herd level detection, comparing microbiological, molecular and serological detection methods. The results of the study will allow the development of a sampling strategy for a surveillance programme in Austria.

A total of 6973 dairy farms were tested through serological bulk milk screening. The seroprevalence for the federal state of Tyrol was 14.8 % and for Salzburg it was 18.2 %, resulting in an average seroprevalence of 16.5 %. At an individual animal level, 205 (11.3 %) animals tested positive for shedding of S. Dublin in the faeces through microbiological detection, and 268 (17.0 %) animals had positive values (ct value ≤ 38) by qPCR. The association between microbiological and molecular detection was statistically significant (p < 0.001), with a calculated kappa value of 0.65 ± 0.27 (p ≤ 0.001), assuming a substantial level of agreement. In 17 herds, where an individual animal tested positive for shedding of S. Dublin, environmental sampling and testing were carried out. At a herd level 16 (94.1 %) out of the 17 participating herds, tested positive for S. Dublin either microbiologically or by molecular assay in boot swab samples. Bulk milk samples from 14 out of the 17 participating herds were analysed for antibodies to S. Dublin and 12 samples (85.7 %) were positive. In total 111 (18.9 %) out of 587 blood samples tested positive for S. Dublin antibodies, demonstrating a statistically significant correlation (p < 0.001) both with microbiological (κ = 0.32 ± 0.49; p ≤ 0.001) and molecular (κ=0.23 ± 0.06; p ≤ 0.001) findings.

It was possible to identify S. Dublin by culture from boot swabs in 14 (82.4 %) out of 17 herds and by molecular assay using qPCR in 15 (88.2 %) out of 17 herds, indicating a suitable sample type for screening on a herd level-basis for acute infections, but not for identifying chronic infections or asymptomatic carriers. Other environmental samples, such as sponge-sticks, are only suitable to a limited extent for the detection of S. Dublin. The results of this study demonstrate a moderate S. Dublin prevalence in dairy herds in the se

由于都柏林沙门氏菌(S. Dublin)在各国养牛场的发病率越来越高,给受影响的牲畜造成了巨大的经济损失,因此它已成为养牛生产中一个受到高度关注的病原体。在奥地利,人感染都柏林沙门氏菌的病例时有发生,实验室确诊的牛感染病例也在增加,这表明有必要开展一项筛查计划,以确定奥地利的现状。本研究的目的首先是通过对奥地利两个联邦州(萨尔茨堡州和蒂罗尔州)的散装牛奶进行筛查,确定都柏林氏嗜血杆菌在奶牛群中的血清流行率。其次,该研究旨在通过对微生物、分子和血清学检测方法的比较,对动物个体和牛群进行检测,从而确定牛群的感染状况。研究结果将有助于为奥地利的监测计划制定采样策略。通过血清学散装牛奶筛查,共对 6973 个奶牛场进行了检测。联邦蒂罗尔州的血清阳性率为 14.8%,萨尔茨堡州为 18.2%,平均血清阳性率为 16.5%。在动物个体层面,通过微生物检测,有 205 头(11.3%)动物的粪便中都柏林痢疾杆菌脱落呈阳性,通过 qPCR 检测,有 268 头(17.0%)动物的粪便中都柏林痢疾杆菌脱落呈阳性(ct 值 ≤ 38)。微生物检测和分子检测之间的关联具有显著的统计学意义(p < 0.001),计算得出的卡帕值为 0.65 ± 0.27(p ≤ 0.001),假定两者之间存在很大的一致性。在 17 个畜群中,如果个别动物的都柏林沙门氏菌脱落检测呈阳性,则进行环境采样和检测。在 17 个参与检测的牛群中,有 16 个牛群(94.1 %)的后备箱拭子样本经微生物检测或分子检测后都柏林氏菌呈阳性。对 17 个参试牧场中 14 个牧场的散装牛奶样本进行了都柏林沙门氏菌抗体分析,其中 12 个样本(85.7 %)呈阳性。在 587 份血液样本中,共有 111 份(18.9 %)样本的都柏林猪抗体检测呈阳性,与微生物学(κ = 0.32 ± 0.49;p ≤ 0.001)和分子检测(κ=0.23 ± 0.06;p ≤ 0.001)结果均有显著的统计学相关性(p < 0.001)。在 17 个畜群中,有 14 个(82.4%)畜群可以通过鞋拭子培养鉴定都柏林沙门氏菌,在 17 个畜群中,有 15 个(88.2%)畜群可以通过 qPCR 分子检测鉴定都柏林沙门氏菌。其他环境样本,如海绵棒,仅在一定程度上适用于检测都柏林沙门氏菌。这项研究结果表明,在选定的奥地利地区,都柏林沙门氏菌在奶牛群中的流行程度适中,这预示着未来将有进一步的筛查和管理计划。
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引用次数: 0
Incidence and recurrence of bovine abortion in dairy cattle from Costa Rica 哥斯达黎加奶牛流产的发生率和复发率。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106256
Emilia Vindas-van der Wielen , José Rojas-Campos , Juan José Romero-Zúñiga , Gustavo Monti

The reproductive efficiency and milk yield of cows are crucial factors in a dairy farm's profitability. However, abortions can have a negative impact on these factors. While the morbidity of abortion has been estimated in many countries, information on the burden on dairy cattle in tropical conditions is limited, and Costa Rica is a good example. This study aims to assess the incidence and recurrence of bovine abortion in dairy cattle from Costa Rica. The study analysed the morbidity of abortion in Costa Rican dairy herds between 2010 and 2022. The incidence rate (IR) and the recurrence rate (ReR) were calculated per 100 cow-months at risk using data from the Veterinary Automated Management and Production Control Programme (VAMPP). The dataset comprised 1032,457 lactations from 330,265 cows in 1134 specialized dairy herds. Abortions were classified either as early foetal mortality (EFM) or late foetal mortality (LFM). Rates were estimated based on cow breed, lactation number, and ecological zone to which the farm belongs. The IR of general abortion, EFM, and LFM cases were 0.98, 0.41, and 0.57 per 100 cow-months at risk, respectively. No statistically significant differences were found in the IR between cow breed, lactation number, and ecological zone, nor for the trend of abortions over calving years. The first ReR (for cows that had one previous abortion during the lactation) was 0.95, and the second ReR (for cows that had two previous abortions during the lactation) was 1.41 per 100 cow-months at risk. These results suggest that bovine abortions are an important ongoing problem in dairy farms in Costa Rica with potentially detrimental effects on the reproductive and productive performance of cows and may be representative of other specialized tropical dairy systems in Latin America.

奶牛的繁殖效率和产奶量是奶牛场盈利的关键因素。然而,流产会对这些因素产生负面影响。虽然许多国家都对流产的发病率进行了估计,但有关热带条件下奶牛负担的信息却很有限,哥斯达黎加就是一个很好的例子。本研究旨在评估哥斯达黎加奶牛流产的发病率和复发率。研究分析了 2010 年至 2022 年期间哥斯达黎加奶牛群的流产发病率。利用兽医自动化管理和生产控制项目(VAMPP)的数据,计算了每100个奶牛月的发病率(IR)和复发率(ReR)。数据集包括 1134 个专业奶牛场的 330,265 头奶牛的 1032,457 个泌乳期。流产分为早期胎儿死亡(EFM)和晚期胎儿死亡(LFM)。流产率根据奶牛品种、泌乳数和牧场所属的生态区域进行估算。一般流产、早期胎儿死亡和晚期胎儿死亡的IR分别为每100个奶牛月0.98头、0.41头和0.57头。奶牛品种、泌乳数和生态区之间的流产IR以及各产仔年的流产趋势均无统计学差异。第一次风险系数(泌乳期内曾发生过一次流产的奶牛)为0.95,第二次风险系数(泌乳期内曾发生过两次流产的奶牛)为每100个牛月1.41。这些结果表明,奶牛流产是哥斯达黎加奶牛场持续存在的一个重要问题,可能对奶牛的繁殖和生产性能产生不利影响,这在拉丁美洲其他专门的热带奶牛系统中可能具有代表性。
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引用次数: 0
Exposure of small ruminants to the Schmallenberg arbovirus in Germany from 2017 to 2018 – animal-specific and flock-management-related risk factors 2017年至2018年德国小型反刍动物接触施马伦贝格虫媒病毒的情况--动物特异性和羊群管理相关风险因素
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106274
Frederik Kiene , Martin Ganter , Benjamin U. Bauer

The Schmallenberg virus (SBV), an emerging Orthobunyavirus of mainly ruminant hosts, caused a substantial epidemic in European ruminant populations between 2011 and 2013. The pathogen is transmitted by arthropod vectors (Culicoides spp.) and can cause reproductive disorders and severe malformations of the offspring or stillbirth. The present study aimed to assess SBV seroprevalence among German sheep and goats a few years after the first virus detection in the country (November 2011). In addition, an extensive risk factor analysis including host-specific and husbandry-related factors was implemented. Seroprevalence was determined by examining serum samples from 2759 sheep and 446 goats out of a total of 70 flocks across five German federal states. The samples were withdrawn in the period between 2017 and 2018. Using a commercial competitive ELISA, antibodies against SBV were detected in all 70 investigated flocks. A percentage of 60.1 % (1657/2759) of the sheep and 40.4 % (180/446) of the goat sera contained SBV antibodies. Generalized linear mixed modeling revealed significant effects of host species (sheep > goats), age (old > young) and sex (female > male) on SBV seroprevalence. For both species, also the farming purpose, and for goats, ectoparasite treatment and the presence of cattle on the farm played a role in terms of risk for SBV exposure. The observations from this study still emphasize a wide distribution of the pathogen in Germany. Nevertheless, the observed seroprevalence might not be sufficient to achieve effective herd immunity. Pinpointing risk factors identified susceptible populations for targeted vaccination programs to reduce potential animal losses caused by SBV.

施马伦贝格病毒(SBV)是一种主要以反刍动物为宿主的新出现的直肠病毒,2011 年至 2013 年间在欧洲反刍动物种群中引起了大规模流行。该病原体通过节肢动物媒介(Culicoides spp.)传播,可导致繁殖障碍、后代严重畸形或死胎。本研究旨在评估德国绵羊和山羊在首次检测到病毒(2011 年 11 月)几年后的 SBV 血清流行率。此外,还进行了广泛的风险因素分析,包括宿主特异性因素和饲养相关因素。血清流行率是通过检测德国五个联邦州共 70 个羊群中 2759 只绵羊和 446 只山羊的血清样本确定的。这些样本是在 2017 年至 2018 年期间提取的。使用商业竞争性酶联免疫吸附试验(ELISA),在所有 70 个接受调查的羊群中都检测到了 SBV 抗体。60.1%(1657/2759)的绵羊和40.4%(180/446)的山羊血清中含有SBV抗体。广义线性混合模型显示,宿主种类(绵羊和山羊)、年龄(老年和青年)和性别(雌性和雄性)对 SBV 血清流行率有显著影响。对这两个物种而言,养殖目的和山羊的体外寄生虫治疗以及农场中是否有牛也会对 SBV 感染风险产生影响。这项研究的观察结果仍然强调了病原体在德国的广泛分布。然而,观察到的血清流行率可能不足以实现有效的牛群免疫。准确定位风险因素可确定易感人群,从而有针对性地开展疫苗接种计划,减少 SBV 可能造成的动物损失。
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引用次数: 0
An exploration of descriptive machine learning approaches for antimicrobial resistance: Multidrug resistance patterns in Salmonella enterica 抗菌药耐药性的描述性机器学习方法探索:肠炎沙门氏菌的多重耐药性模式。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106261
Abdolreza Mosaddegh , Claudia Cobo Angel , Maya Craig , Kevin J. Cummings , Casey L. Cazer

Salmonellosis is one of the most common foodborne diseases worldwide, with the ability to infect humans and animals. Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and, particularly, multidrug resistance (MDR) among Salmonella enterica poses a risk to human health. Antimicrobial use (AMU) regulations in livestock have been implemented to reduce AMR and MDR in foodborne pathogens. In this study, we used an integrated machine learning approach to investigate Salmonella AMR and MDR patterns before and after the implementation of AMU restrictions in agriculture in the United States. For this purpose, Salmonella isolates from cattle in the National Antimicrobial Resistance Monitoring System (NARMS) dataset were analysed using three descriptive models consisting of hierarchical clustering, network analysis, and association rule mining. The analysis showed the impact of the United States’ 2012 extra-label cephalosporin regulations on AMR trends and revealed a distinctive MDR pattern in the Dublin serotype. The results also indicated that each descriptive model provides insights on a specific aspect of resistance patterns and, therefore, combining these approaches make it possible to gain a deeper understanding of AMR.

沙门氏菌病是全球最常见的食源性疾病之一,可感染人类和动物。肠炎沙门氏菌的抗菌药耐药性(AMR),特别是耐多药(MDR)对人类健康构成威胁。为减少食源性病原体的抗药性和耐药性,已在畜牧业中实施了抗菌药使用(AMU)规定。在本研究中,我们采用了一种综合机器学习方法来研究美国农业实施 AMU 限制前后的沙门氏菌 AMR 和 MDR 模式。为此,我们使用由分层聚类、网络分析和关联规则挖掘组成的三种描述性模型对国家抗菌药耐药性监测系统(NARMS)数据集中的牛沙门氏菌分离物进行了分析。分析表明了美国 2012 年标签外头孢菌素法规对 AMR 趋势的影响,并揭示了都柏林血清型中独特的 MDR 模式。结果还表明,每种描述性模型都能提供耐药性模式某一特定方面的见解,因此,将这些方法结合起来就能更深入地了解 AMR。
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引用次数: 0
Would you bet on the vet? Influences on dairy farmers' vaccination choices, with a spotlight on the Veterinarian impact 您会在兽医身上下注吗?影响奶农疫苗接种选择的因素,重点关注兽医的影响。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-07-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106262
Michal Morgenstern , Jaap Sok , Eyal Klement

Ensuring effective vaccination is crucial for epidemic control, particularly in voluntary vaccination scenarios. Though highly important for planning voluntary vaccination programs, we lack insights into the effectiveness of veterinarian communication and the impact of disease-specific traits on farmer vaccination intentions. To fill this void, our study compared five diseases affecting Israeli dairy cattle (Botulism, Bovine Ephemeral Fever (BEF), Brucellosis, Lumpy Skin Disease (LSD), and Rabies). Using questionnaires grounded in the theory of planned behavior, we surveyed 340 Israeli dairy farmers to understand their vaccination intentions for each disease.Simultaneously, veterinarians overseeing these farms provided insights into their opinions and perceived influence on vaccination decisions. Results revealed varying levels of farmer vaccination intention, with Botulism showing the highest and BEF the lowest. Social pressure significantly influenced farmers' vaccination intentions, with distinct patterns across diseases. Veterinarian opinions had the highest influence only for LSD, while other factors played crucial roles in different diseases. Intriguingly, there was no correlation between veterinarians' recommendations and farmers' perceptions of these recommendations. In conclusion, the optimization of voluntary vaccination programs necessitates tailoring interventions to the unique characteristics of each disease. Additionally, improving communication between veterinarians and farmers is essential, with an emphasis on effective risk communication training.

确保有效的疫苗接种对于疫情控制至关重要,尤其是在自愿接种疫苗的情况下。尽管对规划自愿疫苗接种计划非常重要,但我们对兽医沟通的有效性以及疾病特异性对农民疫苗接种意愿的影响缺乏深入了解。为了填补这一空白,我们的研究比较了影响以色列奶牛的五种疾病(肉毒杆菌病、牛附红细胞体热 (BEF)、布鲁氏菌病、结节性皮肤病 (LSD) 和狂犬病)。我们使用基于计划行为理论的调查问卷,对 340 位以色列奶农进行了调查,以了解他们对每种疾病的疫苗接种意向。同时,监督这些牧场的兽医也提供了他们对疫苗接种决策的意见和影响的看法。结果显示,奶农的疫苗接种意向各不相同,其中肉毒杆菌疫苗接种意向最高,BEF疫苗接种意向最低。社会压力对养殖户的疫苗接种意愿有很大影响,不同疾病的影响模式也不同。兽医的意见仅对 LSD 影响最大,而其他因素在不同疾病中起着关键作用。有趣的是,兽医的建议与农民对这些建议的看法之间没有关联。总之,要优化自愿疫苗接种计划,就必须根据每种疾病的独特性采取相应的干预措施。此外,改善兽医与农民之间的沟通也至关重要,重点是进行有效的风险沟通培训。
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引用次数: 0
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Preventive veterinary medicine
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