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Prioritization, resource allocation and utilization of decision support tools in animal health: Results of qualitative interviews with experts 动物保健决策支持工具的优先排序、资源分配和使用:专家定性访谈结果
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106333
Kebede Amenu , Chris Daborn , Benjamin Huntington , Theodore Knight-Jones , Jonathan Rushton , Delia Grace

A follow up to an online questionnaire survey (in a kind of a sequential study design), qualitative assessment was made on the views of selected animal health experts on disease prioritization methods, resource allocation and use of decision-support tools. This was done through in-depth interviews with experts working for national or international organizations and sectors. A semi-structured question guide was formulated based on the information generated in the online questionnaire and a systematic content analysis of animal and human health manuals for disease prioritization and resource allocation. In-depth, one-on-one, online interviews on the process of disease prioritization, animal health decision-making, types of prioritization tools and aspects of improvements in the tools were conducted during March and April 2022 with 20 expert informants. Prioritization approaches reported by experts were either single criterion-based or multiple criteria-based. Experts appreciated the single-criterion-based approach (quantitative) for its objectivity in contrast to multicriteria prioritization approaches which were criticized for their subjectivity. Interviews with the experts revealed a perceived lack of quality and reliable data to inform disease prioritization, especially in smallholder livestock production systems. It was found that outputs of disease prioritization exercises do not generally directly influence resource allocation in animal health and highlighted the paucity of funding for animal health compared to other agricultural sectors. The experts considered that the available decision-support tools in animal health need improvement in terms of data visualization for interpretation, management decision making and advocacy. Further recommendations include minimizing subjective biases by increasing the availability and quality of data and improving the translation of disease prioritization outputs into actions and the resources to deliver those actions.

Data Availability Statement

The data can be obtained from the corresponding author upon request.

作为在线问卷调查的后续行动(一种顺序研究设计),对选定的动物健康专家关于疾病优先排序方法、资源分配和决策支持工具使用的观点进行了定性评估。这项工作是通过与国家或国际组织和部门的专家进行深入访谈完成的。根据在线调查问卷生成的信息以及对动物和人类健康手册中有关疾病优先排序和资源分配的系统内容分析,制定了半结构化问题指南。2022 年 3 月和 4 月期间,对 20 位专家信息提供者进行了一对一的深入在线访谈,内容涉及疾病优先排序过程、动物健康决策、优先排序工具的类型以及工具改进的各个方面。专家们报告的优先排序方法有基于单一标准的,也有基于多重标准的。专家们赞赏基于单一标准的方法(定量)的客观性,而多标准优先排序方法则因其主观性而受到批评。与专家的访谈显示,他们认为缺乏高质量和可靠的数据为疾病优先排序提供信息,特别是在小农畜牧生产系统中。访谈发现,疾病优先排序工作的成果一般不会直接影响动物健康领域的资源分配,并强调与其他农业部门相比,动物健康领域的资金匮乏。专家们认为,动物健康领域现有的决策支持工具需要在数据可视化解释、管理决策和宣传方面加以改进。进一步的建议包括:通过提高数据的可用性和质量,最大限度地减少主观偏见;更好地将疾病优先排序结果转化为行动和实施这些行动的资源。
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引用次数: 0
“Nobody here is an individual”: Developing a place-based understanding of biosecurity for managing sheep scab on the Western Isles of Scotland "这里没有人是个体":以地方为基础,了解管理苏格兰西岛绵羊疥疮的生物安全措施
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106332
Orla Shortall, Niamh Mahon, Claire Hardy, Carol Kyle

Sheep scab causes economic losses and animal welfare problems and has proven difficult to control in the UK. Research has highlighted the importance of developing place-based approaches to understanding and controlling sheep scab. This paper builds on this literature through introducing the concept of marginality in the case study of managing sheep scab on the island of Lewis and Harris in the Scottish Western Isles. The paper also proposes steps for developing a place-based understanding of biosecurity.

The research draws on interviews and workshops with crofters analysed using thematic analysis. Crofting is a unique system of land management particular to Scotland. Crofters have the right to manage a small area of private land and access to a larger area of common grazing. The research found that there was a tension between the cultural heritage and social benefits of traditional crofting practices of common grazing and communal husbandry of sheep and the biosecurity imperative to reduce the mixing of sheep to prevent the spread of disease. Dynamics of marginalisation were also disrupting established husbandry practices through a lack of people and loss of sheep from the land.

The crofters also identified collective actions they could take to tackle sheep scab, including collective dipping and controlling the movement of animals onto the island. Previous research has shown that in marginalised areas, social capital: networks between people, are not a panacea for bringing about positive change and additional resources from outside may be needed.

Based on the findings of this research we suggest three phases for developing a place-based conception of biosecurity for livestock keepers. The first phase is to understand both the biosecurity challenges facing communities and cultural and social aspects of farming systems that are important to a region. The second is to facilitate livestock keepers to co-produce their own priorities for biosecurity that allow them to address disease management challenges in their own constraints. The third phase is to enable communities to implement measures in their context. This can involve facilitating access to potential financial resources, equipment, expertise and links with other community groups. These phases will facilitate them in developing their definition of place-based biosecurity. This paper addresses the first and preliminary research on the second stages of this process. Further research will lead to actions on the third phase to help crofters in Lewis and Harris to put a place based communal understanding of biosecurity into practice.

绵羊疮痂病会造成经济损失和动物福利问题,在英国已被证明难以控制。研究强调了开发基于地方的方法来了解和控制绵羊疥疮的重要性。本文在这些文献的基础上,通过对苏格兰西岛刘易斯和哈里斯岛绵羊疥疮管理案例的研究,引入了 "边缘性 "的概念。本文还提出了以地方为基础理解生物安全的步骤。研究借鉴了与佃农的访谈和研讨会,并使用主题分析法进行了分析。佃农是苏格兰特有的土地管理制度。佃农有权管理一小块私有土地,并可使用较大面积的共同牧场。研究发现,传统佃农共同放牧和集体养羊的做法所带来的文化遗产和社会效益与减少羊群混群以防止疾病传播的生物安全要求之间存在着矛盾。边缘化的动态因素也因缺乏人手和羊群从土地上流失而破坏了既定的畜牧业做法。"佃农们还确定了他们可以采取的集体行动来解决羊疥疮问题,包括集体浸渍和控制牲畜进岛。以前的研究表明,在边缘化地区,社会资本:人与人之间的网络并不是带来积极变化的灵丹妙药,可能还需要额外的外部资源。第一阶段是了解社区面临的生物安全挑战以及对一个地区非常重要的农业系统的文化和社会方面。第二阶段是促进牲畜饲养者共同制定自己的生物安全优先事项,使他们能够在自己的限制条件下应对疾病管理挑战。第三阶段是使社区能够根据自身情况采取措施。这可能涉及促进获得潜在的财政资源、设备、专业知识以及与其他社区团体的联系。这些阶段将有助于他们制定以地方为基础的生物安全定义。本文探讨了这一过程的第一阶段和第二阶段的初步研究。进一步的研究将促成第三阶段的行动,帮助刘易斯和哈里斯的佃农将基于地方的社区生物安全理解付诸实践。
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引用次数: 0
Quantifying antimicrobial consumption in the Chilean salmon industry using standardized metrics and indicators: The case of florfenicol and oxytetracycline 使用标准化度量和指标量化智利三文鱼产业的抗菌剂消耗量:以氟苯尼考和土霉素为例。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106331
Gabriel Arriagada , Francisco Vásquez , Roberto Montt , Carlos Navarro

The adoption of standardized metrics and indicators of antimicrobial use (AMU) in the food animal industry is essential for the success of programs aimed at promoting the responsible and judicious use of antimicrobials in this activity. The objective of this study was to introduce the use of standardized AMU metrics and indicators to quantify the use of florfenicol and oxytetracycline in the Chilean salmon industry, and in this way evaluate the feasibility of their use given the type of health and production information currently managed by the National Fisheries and Aquaculture Service (SERNAPESCA), the Chilean agency responsible for regulating aquaculture in Chile. The data available from SERNAPESCA allowed the construction and evaluation of the most data-demanding AMU metrics and indicators. Consequently, the use of florfenicol and oxytetracycline administered by oral and parenteral routes was quantified using the treatment incidence based on both animal defined daily dose (TIDDDvet) and animal used daily dose (TIUDDA). To that end, the study included information from 1320 closed production cycles from farms rearing Atlantic salmon, coho salmon and rainbow trout that were active between January 2017 and December 2021. By applying standardized AMU metrics and indicators, we were able to determine that the median of TIDDDvet for florfenicol was 75.1 (80 % range, 20.0–158.0) DDDvet per ton-year at risk for oral procedures and 0.36 (80 % range, 0.07–1.19) DDDvet per ton-year at risk for parenteral procedures. For oxytetracycline, the median TIDDDvet was 3.09 (80 % range, 0.74–42.8) and 0.47 (80 % range, 0.09–1.68) DDDvet per ton-year at risk for oral and parenteral procedures, respectively. The median TIUDDA for treatments with florfenicol was 45.6 (80 % range, 10.9–96.5) UDDA per ton-year at risk for oral treatments and 0.28 (80 % range, 0.05–0.80) UDDA per ton-year at risk for parenteral treatments. For oxytetracycline, the median TIUDDA was 2.63 (80 % range, 0.61–28.2) UDDA per ton-year at risk for oral treatments and 0.41 (80 % range, 0.08–1.29) UDDA per ton-year at risk for parenteral treatments. This study demonstrates that it is feasible to move from traditional AMU metrics and indicators to standardized ones in the Chilean salmon industry. This is possible because the competent authority requires salmon farms to report detailed health and production information at a high frequency. The use of standardized AMU metrics and indicators can help the authority to have a more comprehensive view of the antimicrobial use in the Chilean salmon industry.

在食用动物行业中采用标准化的抗菌素使用量(AMU)衡量标准和指标,对于旨在促进在这一活动中负责任地合理使用抗菌素的计划取得成功至关重要。本研究的目的是采用标准化的 AMU 度量和指标来量化智利鲑鱼产业中氟苯尼考和土霉素的使用情况,并根据智利国家渔业和水产养殖局(SERNAPESCA)(智利负责监管水产养殖业的机构)目前管理的健康和生产信息类型,评估使用这两种药物的可行性。根据国家渔业和水产养殖服务局提供的数据,可以构建和评估对数据要求最高的 AMU 度量和指标。因此,根据动物定义的日剂量(TIDDDvet)和动物使用的日剂量(TIUDDA),对通过口服和肠外途径使用氟苯尼考和土霉素的情况进行了量化。为此,研究纳入了大西洋鲑、库鲑和虹鳟养殖场在 2017 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月期间的 1320 个封闭生产周期的信息。通过应用标准化的 AMU 度量和指标,我们能够确定氟苯尼考的 TIDDDvet 中位数为口服程序每吨年风险 75.1(80 % 范围,20.0-158.0)DDDvet,肠外程序每吨年风险 0.36(80 % 范围,0.07-1.19)DDDvet。对于土霉素,口服和肠外手术的中位 TIDDDvet 分别为每吨年风险 3.09(80 % 范围,0.74-42.8)和 0.47(80 % 范围,0.09-1.68)DDDvet。氟苯尼考治疗的 TIUDDA 中位数为:口服治疗每风险吨年 45.6(80 % 范围,10.9-96.5)UDDA,肠外治疗每风险吨年 0.28(80 % 范围,0.05-0.80)UDDA。对于土霉素,口服治疗的 TIUDDA 中值为 2.63(80 % 的范围,0.61-28.2)UDDA/吨-年风险,肠外治疗的 TIUDDA 中值为 0.41(80 % 的范围,0.08-1.29)UDDA/吨-年风险。这项研究表明,在智利三文鱼行业中,从传统的 AMU 度量和指标转向标准化度量和指标是可行的。这是因为主管当局要求三文鱼养殖场高频率地报告详细的健康和生产信息。使用标准化的 AMU 度量和指标有助于主管部门更全面地了解智利三文鱼行业的抗菌剂使用情况。
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring of Coxiella burnetii in the Iberian lynx (Lynx pardinus) 伊比利亚猞猁(Lynx pardinus)烧伤性柯西氏杆菌监测
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106330
Marta Sánchez-Sánchez , Javier Caballero-Gómez , Clara Muñoz-Hernández , Alberto Moraga-Fernández , Isabel Fernández-Verón , Marinela Contreras , Sara Baz-Flores , Teresa del Rey , Elena Crespo , Ignacio Montoya-Oliver , Javier Salcedo , Ignacio García-Bocanegra , Isabel G. Fernández de Mera

Coxiella burnetii is a multi-host bacterium of major public and animal health concern. This pathogen circulates among several wild species in the Iberian Peninsula, however, the role of the Iberian lynx (Lynx pardinus) in the epidemiology of this emerging pathogen is still unknown. The objective of this work was to assess the circulation of C. burnetii in Iberian lynx populations from the Iberian Peninsula and to study the molecular characterisation of this pathogen in lynxes and their feeding ticks. A total of 922 lynxes, including free-ranging and captive individuals, were sampled between 2010 and 2022 for the collection of sera (n = 543), spleen samples (n = 390) and ticks (n = 357 from 61 lynxes). The overall seroprevalence was 7.7 % (42/543; 95 %CI: 5.5–10.0 %), with age being significantly associated with the C. burnetii exposure in free-ranging lynxes. A longitudinal study was also carried out to assess the dynamics of the circulation of C. burnetii in this wild host, revealing that 7 of the 37 longitudinally surveyed individuals seroconverted during the study period. The PCR prevalence was 4.4 % (17/390, 95 %CI: 2.3–6.4 %) for spleen samples and 1.1 % (4/357; 95 % CI: 0.0–2.2) in ticks. This is the first study to evaluate the circulation of C. burnetii in the Iberian lynx and to confirm the infection in this felid. The results obtained show a moderate, wide, homogeneous, and endemic circulation of this bacterium in the Iberian lynx populations.

烧伤柯西氏菌是一种多宿主细菌,引起了公众和动物健康的极大关注。这种病原体在伊比利亚半岛的多个野生物种中流行,但伊比利亚猞猁(Lynx pardinus)在这一新兴病原体的流行病学中扮演的角色尚不清楚。这项工作的目的是评估伊比利亚半岛猞猁种群中烧伤蜱的传播情况,并研究这种病原体在猞猁及其取食的蜱虫中的分子特征。在2010年至2022年期间,共采集了922只猞猁的血清样本(543只)、脾脏样本(390只)和蜱虫样本(357只,来自61只猞猁),其中包括散养和圈养个体。总的血清流行率为 7.7 %(42/543;95 %CI:5.5-10.0 %),年龄与散养猞猁的烧伤蜱接触率显著相关。我们还开展了一项纵向研究,以评估C. burnetii在这一野生宿主中的循环动态,结果显示,在研究期间,37只接受纵向调查的个体中有7只发生了血清转换。脾脏样本的 PCR 感染率为 4.4 %(17/390,95 %CI:2.3-6.4 %),蜱虫样本的 PCR 感染率为 1.1 %(4/357;95 %CI:0.0-2.2)。这是首次评估伊比利亚猞猁体内烧伤蜱传播情况并确认该猫科动物感染烧伤蜱的研究。研究结果表明,这种细菌在伊比利亚猞猁种群中的传播范围适中、广泛、均匀且具有地方性。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a pig wean-quality score using machine-learning algorithms to characterize and classify groups with high mortality risk under field conditions 利用机器学习算法开发猪断奶质量评分,以描述和划分野外条件下死亡风险较高的群体
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106327
Edison S. Magalhães , Danyang Zhang , Cesar A.A. Moura , Giovani Trevisan , Derald J. Holtkamp , Will A. López , Chong Wang , Daniel C.L. Linhares , Gustavo S. Silva

Mortality during the post-weaning phase is a critical indicator of swine production system performance, influenced by a complex interaction of multiple factors of the epidemiological triad. This study leveraged retrospective data from 1723 groups of pigs marketed within a US swine production system to develop a Wean-Quality Score (WQS) using machine learning techniques. The study evaluated three machine learning models, Random Forest, Support Vector Machine, and Gradient Boosting Machine, to classify groups having high or low 60-day mortality, where high mortality groups represented 25 % of the groups among the study population with the highest mortality values (n=431; 60-day mortality=9.98 %), and the remaining 75 % of the groups were of low mortality (n=1292; 60-day mortality=2.75 %). The best-performing model, Random Forest (RF), outperformed the other ML models in terms of accuracy (0.90), sensitivity (0.84), and specificity (0.92) metrics, and was then selected for further analysis, which consisted of creating the WQS and ranking the most important factors for classifying groups as high or low mortality. The most important factors ranked through the RF model to classify groups with high mortality were pre-weaning mortality, weaning age, average parity of litters in sow farms, and PRRS status. Additionally, stocking conditions such as stocking density and time to fill the barn were important predictors of high mortality. The WQS was developed and correlated (r = 0.74) with the actual 60-day mortality of the groups, offering a valuable tool for assessing post-weaning survivability in swine production systems before weaning. This study highlights the potential of machine learning and comprehensive data utilization to improve the assessment and management of weaned pig quality in commercial swine production, which producers can utilize to identify and intervene in groups, according to the WQS.

断奶后阶段的死亡率是衡量猪生产系统绩效的一个关键指标,受到流行病学三要素中多种因素复杂互动的影响。本研究利用美国猪生产系统中 1723 组上市猪的回顾性数据,采用机器学习技术开发了断奶质量评分 (WQS)。该研究评估了随机森林、支持向量机和梯度提升机这三种机器学习模型,以对 60 天死亡率高或低的群体进行分类,其中死亡率高的群体占死亡率值最高的研究群体的 25%(n=431;60 天死亡率=9.98%),其余 75% 的群体为死亡率低的群体(n=1292;60 天死亡率=2.75%)。表现最佳的随机森林(RF)模型在准确性(0.90)、灵敏度(0.84)和特异性(0.92)指标方面均优于其他 ML 模型,因此被选中进行进一步分析,包括创建 WQS 和对将组别划分为高死亡率或低死亡率的最重要因素进行排序。通过 RF 模型对高死亡率组别进行排序的最重要因素是断奶前死亡率、断奶日龄、母猪场平均产仔数和 PRRS 状态。此外,放养密度和填满猪舍时间等放养条件也是预测高死亡率的重要因素。开发的 WQS 与各组 60 天的实际死亡率相关(r = 0.74),为在断奶前评估猪生产系统中断奶后的存活率提供了有价值的工具。这项研究凸显了机器学习和综合数据利用在改善商业化养猪生产中断奶猪质量评估和管理方面的潜力,生产者可以利用机器学习和综合数据利用来根据 WQS 识别和干预猪群。
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引用次数: 0
Quantification of wildlife visits to pig farms via camera traps in Japan 日本通过相机陷阱对野生动物访问养猪场的情况进行量化。
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106318
Tomoya Shichijo , Takashi Ikeda , Daishi Higashide , Akitaka Omori , Takaaki Suzuki , Masatsugu Suzuki

Infectious diseases in livestock not only cause significant economic losses but also affect food security. Although wildlife may be involved in these infectious diseases by serving as reservoirs, research has primarily focused on livestock and related species. Moreover, while these species represent a potential threat in wildlife-borne infectious diseases, comprehensive surveys of the presence of various species are limited. In this study, we aimed to quantitatively investigate the occurrence of various mammals and birds at three pig farms in Japan. We conducted camera trap surveys from October 15, 2020, to March 24, 2022, and determined the relative abundance index inside and outside the sanitary control zone. Wild boar (Sus scrofa), sika deer (Cervus nippon), and Japanese serow (Capricornis crispus) were photographed only outside the sanitary control zone. In contrast, small and medium-sized mammals, such as feral cats (Felis catus), raccoons (Procyon lotor), and rodent species (Muridae), and birds, such as the rufous oriental turtle dove (Streptopelia orientalis) and crows of the genus Corvus, were photographed both inside and outside the sanitary control zone. This comprehensive quantitative evidence suggests that various mammals and birds may be in indirect contact with livestock, highlighting the need to improve biosecurity at livestock farms. Moreover, while fences are effective against large mammals, they are inefficient against small to medium-sized mammals and birds. Therefore, the results of this study provide important insights into enhancing biosecurity on livestock farms by strengthening physical fencing, disinfecting clothing and equipment, and complying with standards of hygiene management.

家畜传染病不仅会造成重大经济损失,还会影响粮食安全。虽然野生动物可能通过充当贮藏库参与这些传染病的传播,但研究主要集中在家畜和相关物种上。此外,虽然这些物种是野生动物传播传染病的潜在威胁,但对各种物种存在情况的全面调查却很有限。本研究旨在定量调查日本三个养猪场中各种哺乳动物和鸟类的出现情况。我们在 2020 年 10 月 15 日至 2022 年 3 月 24 日期间进行了相机陷阱调查,并确定了卫生控制区内外的相对丰度指数。野猪(Sus scrofa)、梅花鹿(Cervus nippon)和日本绢鹿(Capricornis crispus)仅在卫生控制区以外被拍摄到。相比之下,野猫(Felis catus)、浣熊(Procyon lotor)和啮齿类动物(Muridae)等中小型哺乳动物,以及红斑东方斑鸠(Streptopelia orientalis)和乌鸦属(Corvus)等鸟类在卫生控制区内外都被拍摄到。这些全面的定量证据表明,各种哺乳动物和鸟类可能与牲畜有间接接触,这凸显了改善畜牧场生物安全的必要性。此外,虽然围栏对大型哺乳动物有效,但对中小型哺乳动物和鸟类却无能为力。因此,本研究的结果为通过加强物理围栏、对衣物和设备进行消毒以及遵守卫生管理标准来加强畜牧场的生物安全提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
Parameterisation of a bluetongue virus mathematical model using a systematic literature review 利用系统文献综述为蓝舌病病毒数学模型设定参数
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106328
Joanna de Klerk , Michael Tildesley , Adam Robbins , Erin Gorsich

Bluetongue virus (BT) is a vector-borne virus that causes a disease, called bluetongue, which results in significant economic loss and morbidity in sheep, cattle, goats and wild ungulates across all continents of the world except Antarctica. Despite the geographical breadth of its impact, most BT epidemiological models are informed by parameters derived from the 2006–2009 BTV-8 European outbreak. The aim of this study was to develop a highly adaptable model for BT which could be used elsewhere in the world, as well as to identify the parameters which most influence outbreak dynamics, so that policy makers can be properly informed with the most current information to aid in disease planning.

To provide a framework for future outbreak modelling and an updated parameterisation that reflects natural variation in infections, a newly developed and parameterised two-host, two-vector species ordinary differential equation model was formulated and analysed. The model was designed to be adaptable to be implemented in any region of the world and able to model both epidemic and endemic scenarios. It was parameterised using a systematic literature review of host-to-vector and vector-to-host transmission rates, host latent periods, host infectious periods, and vaccine protection factors. The model was demonstrated using the updated parameters, with South Africa as a setting based on the Western Cape’s known cattle and sheep populations, local environmental parameters, and Culicoides spp. presence data.

The sensitivity analysis identified that the duration of the infectious period for sheep and cows had the greatest impact on the outbreak length and number of animals infected at the peak of the outbreak. Transmission rates from cows and sheep to C. imicola midges greatly influenced the day on which the peak of the outbreak occurred, along with the duration of incubation period, and infectious period for cows. Finally, the protection factor of the vaccine had the greatest influence on the total number of animals infected. This knowledge could aid in the development of control measures.

Due to gradual climate and anthropological change resulting in alterations in vector habitat suitability, BT outbreaks are likely to continue to increase in range and frequency. Therefore, this research provides an updated BT modelling framework for future outbreaks around the world to explore transmission, outbreak dynamics and control measures.

蓝舌病病毒(BT)是一种通过病媒传播的病毒,可导致一种名为蓝舌病的疾病,给除南极洲以外的世界各大洲的绵羊、牛、山羊和野生动物造成重大经济损失和发病率。尽管蓝舌病影响的地域范围很广,但大多数蓝舌病流行病学模型都是根据 2006-2009 年 BTV-8 欧洲疫情得出的参数建立的。为了给未来的疫情建模提供一个框架,并更新参数以反映感染的自然变化,我们制定并分析了一个新开发的、参数化的双宿主、双载体物种常微分方程模型。设计该模型的目的是使其能够在世界任何地区实施,并能够模拟流行病和地方病的情况。通过对宿主到病媒和病媒到宿主的传播率、宿主潜伏期、宿主感染期和疫苗保护因子进行系统的文献综述,对模型进行了参数化。根据西开普省已知的牛羊种群、当地环境参数和库利科德虫属的存在数据,以南非为背景,使用更新后的参数对模型进行了演示。奶牛和绵羊向伊米柯拉蠓的传播率以及潜伏期和奶牛感染期的长短在很大程度上影响了疫情高峰出现的日期。最后,疫苗的保护因子对感染动物的总数影响最大。由于气候和人类活动的逐渐变化导致病媒栖息地适宜性的改变,BT 爆发的范围和频率可能会继续增加。因此,这项研究为未来世界各地爆发的 BT 提供了一个最新的建模框架,以探索传播、爆发动态和控制措施。
{"title":"Parameterisation of a bluetongue virus mathematical model using a systematic literature review","authors":"Joanna de Klerk ,&nbsp;Michael Tildesley ,&nbsp;Adam Robbins ,&nbsp;Erin Gorsich","doi":"10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106328","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106328","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Bluetongue virus (BT) is a vector-borne virus that causes a disease, called bluetongue, which results in significant economic loss and morbidity in sheep, cattle, goats and wild ungulates across all continents of the world except Antarctica. Despite the geographical breadth of its impact, most BT epidemiological models are informed by parameters derived from the 2006–2009 BTV-8 European outbreak. The aim of this study was to develop a highly adaptable model for BT which could be used elsewhere in the world, as well as to identify the parameters which most influence outbreak dynamics, so that policy makers can be properly informed with the most current information to aid in disease planning.</p><p>To provide a framework for future outbreak modelling and an updated parameterisation that reflects natural variation in infections, a newly developed and parameterised two-host, two-vector species ordinary differential equation model was formulated and analysed. The model was designed to be adaptable to be implemented in any region of the world and able to model both epidemic and endemic scenarios. It was parameterised using a systematic literature review of host-to-vector and vector-to-host transmission rates, host latent periods, host infectious periods, and vaccine protection factors. The model was demonstrated using the updated parameters, with South Africa as a setting based on the Western Cape’s known cattle and sheep populations, local environmental parameters, and <em>Culicoides spp.</em> presence data.</p><p>The sensitivity analysis identified that the duration of the infectious period for sheep and cows had the greatest impact on the outbreak length and number of animals infected at the peak of the outbreak. Transmission rates from cows and sheep to <em>C. imicola</em> midges greatly influenced the day on which the peak of the outbreak occurred, along with the duration of incubation period, and infectious period for cows. Finally, the protection factor of the vaccine had the greatest influence on the total number of animals infected. This knowledge could aid in the development of control measures.</p><p>Due to gradual climate and anthropological change resulting in alterations in vector habitat suitability, BT outbreaks are likely to continue to increase in range and frequency. Therefore, this research provides an updated BT modelling framework for future outbreaks around the world to explore transmission, outbreak dynamics and control measures.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":20413,"journal":{"name":"Preventive veterinary medicine","volume":"232 ","pages":"Article 106328"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167587724002149/pdfft?md5=e5ef49382154875ab9d00da09adf305e&pid=1-s2.0-S0167587724002149-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142075675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Changes in the Johne’s disease situation in GB dairy herds over 10 years, as revealed by regular milk ELISA data 定期牛奶酶联免疫吸附试验数据揭示的英国奶牛场约翰氏病情况 10 年间的变化
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106317
Emma Nicole Taylor , Kulwant Channa , Pete Guy Orpin , James Hanks , Nicholas Mark Taylor

Effective management of cattle infected with Johne’s Disease (JD) is crucial to minimizing transmission and within-herd prevalence. Within Great Britain (GB), the voluntary National Johne’s Management Plan (NJMP) requires farmers and a certified vet to conduct a risk assessment to determine the herd risk, examine the herd JD status and formulate a management plan. Individual milk ELISA tests for JD antibodies are widely used to monitor infection. The JD Tracker application, available within the dairy data management software InterHerd+ and other web-based environments, is being used by farmers and veterinarians to facilitate the practical use of milk ELISA data to aid JD-related management decisions. The JD Tracker application uses a herd’s milk ELISA data to calculate a collection of ‘JD parameters’ that are indicative of the current JD status of the herd alongside contemporary and retrospective drivers linked to transmission and maintenance of infection. Herein, we use milk ELISA data from 154 regularly testing herds to review the temporal trends in JD parameters from 2013 to 2022. Since 2015, JD Tracker parameters have improved in these herds, most notably average test value (ATV) and within-herd prevalence (%Pos30). Trends in driver parameters suggest that farmers are progressively less likely to serve repeat test-positive (J5) cows and are more readily removing them. The data also reveal that the burden of JD is disproportionately greater in herds with higher ATV. In 2022, the 25 % of herds with the highest ATVs accounted for 42 % of positive tests and 42 % of repeat ELISA positive (J5) cows. Retrospectively, it is not possible to identify with certainty factors that directly contributed to the trends in JD parameters, but it is notable that the introduction of the NJMP was coincided with the improving JD situation. In 2019, participation in the NJMP or an equivalent scheme became mandatory for dairy farms to be compliant with the food and farms standards assurance scheme Red Tractor, with the result that JD management plans are now completed by 95 % of UK dairy farms. As far as we know, the UK is unique in its development of a tool (the JD Tracker) which adds utility to milk ELISA data using specifically designed JD parameters. Anticipated further work includes the development of a national database of JD testing herds and application of the JD Tracker at national scale to enable more comprehensive industry-level monitoring of JD within GB dairy farms.

对感染约翰氏病 (JD) 的牛进行有效管理对于最大限度地减少传播和牛群内部流行至关重要。在大不列颠(GB),自愿性的国家强直性脊柱炎管理计划(NJMP)要求牧场主和认证兽医进行风险评估,以确定牛群风险、检查牛群的强直性脊柱炎状况并制定管理计划。针对JD抗体的单个牛奶ELISA检测被广泛用于监测感染情况。牧场主和兽医正在使用乳业数据管理软件 InterHerd+ 和其他网络环境中的 JD Tracker 应用程序,以促进牛奶 ELISA 数据的实际使用,帮助做出与 JD 相关的管理决策。JD Tracker 应用程序使用牛群的牛奶 ELISA 数据计算一系列 "JD 参数",这些参数表明牛群当前的 JD 状况,以及与感染传播和维持相关的当代和回顾性驱动因素。在此,我们使用来自 154 个定期检测牛群的牛奶 ELISA 数据,回顾了 2013 年至 2022 年期间 JD 参数的时间趋势。自 2015 年以来,这些牛群的 JD 跟踪参数有所改善,其中最显著的是平均检测值 (ATV) 和牛群内流行率 (%Pos30)。驱动参数的变化趋势表明,牧场主越来越不愿意饲养重复检测呈阳性(J5)的奶牛,而更愿意淘汰这些奶牛。数据还显示,在ATV较高的牛群中,JD的负担不成比例地加重。2022 年,在 ATV 最高的 25% 牛群中,42% 的检测呈阳性,42% 的重复 ELISA 阳性(J5)奶牛。回顾过去,我们无法确定哪些因素直接导致了JD参数的变化趋势,但值得注意的是,NJMP的引入与JD状况的改善相吻合。2019 年,奶牛场必须参加 NJMP 或同等计划,才能符合食品和农场标准保证计划 Red Tractor 的要求,因此目前 95% 的英国奶牛场都完成了 JD 管理计划。据我们所知,英国独一无二地开发了一种工具(JD 跟踪器),利用专门设计的 JD 参数为牛奶 ELISA 数据增加效用。预计开展的进一步工作包括开发全国JD检测牧群数据库,以及在全国范围内应用JD跟踪器,以便对英国奶牛场内的JD进行更全面的行业级监测。
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引用次数: 0
Risk factors associated with piglet pre-weaning mortality in a Midwestern U.S. swine production system from 2020 to 2022 2020 年至 2022 年美国中西部猪生产系统中与仔猪断奶前死亡率相关的风险因素
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106316
Kelly J. Will , Edison S. Magalhaes , Cesar A.A. Moura , Giovani Trevisan , Gustavo S. Silva , Ana Paula G. Mellagi , Rafael R. Ulguim , Fernando P. Bortolozzo , Daniel C.L. Linhares

Piglet pre-weaning mortality (PWM) is a significant issue in the U.S. swine industry, causing economic losses and raising sustainability and animal welfare concerns. This study conducted a multivariable analysis to identify factors associated with PWM in a Midwestern U.S. swine production system. Weekly data from 47 sow farms (7207 weaning weeks) were captured from January 2020 to December 2022. Initially, 29 variables regarding farm infrastructure, productivity parameters, health status, and interventions were selected for univariate analysis to assess their association with PWM. The initial multivariable analysis included the variables with P < 0.20 in the univariate analyses. A backward stepwise model selection was conducted by excluding variables with P > 0.05, and the final multivariable model consisted of 19 significant risk factors and 6 interaction terms. The overall average PWM for the study population was 14.02 %. Yearly variations in PWM were observed, with the highest recorded in 2020 (16.61 %) and the lowest in 2021 (15.78 %). Cohorts with a pond water source, lower farrowing rate (71.9 %), higher farrowing parity (5.1), shorter gestation length (116.2 days), and using oxytocin during farrowing had increased PWM. The higher productivity parameters such as mummies rate, stillborn rate, and average total born, the higher the PWM was. Additionally, health status and intervention-related factors were associated with PWM, where higher PWM rates were observed in herds facing porcine reproductive and respiratory syndrome virus (PRRSV) outbreaks, porcine epidemic diarrhea virus (PEDV) positive, the weeks before and during feed medication, and weeks without using Rotavirus vaccine or Rotavirus feedback. Altogether, these results corroborate that PWM is a multifactorial problem, and a better understanding of the risk factors is essential in developing strategies to improve survival rates. Therefore, this study identified the major risk factors associated with PWM for groups of pigs raised under field conditions, and the results underscore the significance of data analysis in comprehending the unique challenges and opportunities inherent to each system.

仔猪断奶前死亡率(PWM)是美国养猪业的一个重要问题,它不仅造成经济损失,还引发了可持续发展和动物福利方面的问题。本研究对美国中西部的一个养猪生产系统进行了多变量分析,以确定与仔猪断奶前死亡率相关的因素。从 2020 年 1 月到 2022 年 12 月,研究人员采集了 47 个母猪养殖场(7207 个断奶周)的每周数据。最初选择了有关猪场基础设施、生产力参数、健康状况和干预措施的 29 个变量进行单变量分析,以评估它们与 PWM 的关系。最初的多变量分析包括单变量分析中 P < 0.20 的变量。通过排除 P > 0.05 的变量,进行了逆向逐步模型选择,最终的多变量模型由 19 个重要的风险因素和 6 个交互项组成。研究人群的总体平均血压波动率为 14.02%。PWM 逐年变化,2020 年最高(16.61%),2021 年最低(15.78%)。拥有池塘水源、产仔率较低(71.9 %)、产仔奇数较高(5.1)、妊娠期较短(116.2 天)以及产仔期间使用催产素的组群,其生产性能指标均有所提高。生产率参数越高,如木乃伊率、死胎率和平均总出生率,生产率指数就越高。此外,健康状况和干预相关因素也与PWM有关,在猪繁殖与呼吸综合征病毒(PRRSV)爆发、猪流行性腹泻病毒(PEDV)阳性、饲料用药前几周和用药期间以及未使用轮状病毒疫苗或轮状病毒反馈的几周,观察到较高的PWM率。总之,这些结果证实了猪传染性腹泻是一个多因素问题,而更好地了解风险因素对于制定提高存活率的策略至关重要。因此,本研究确定了在野外条件下饲养的猪群与传染性疾病相关的主要风险因素,其结果强调了数据分析在理解每个系统固有的独特挑战和机遇方面的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Systematic review of knowledge, attitudes, and practices of dairy farmers and consumers towards bovine tuberculosis in low- and middle-income countries 系统审查中低收入国家奶农和消费者对牛结核病的认识、态度和做法
IF 2.2 2区 农林科学 Q1 VETERINARY SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-08-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.prevetmed.2024.106314
Abigail Van Der Zwan , Patricia T. Campbell , Nancy Shi , Nikita De Bortoli , Juan Pablo Villanueva-Cabezas

Bovine Tuberculosis (bTB), caused by Mycobacterium bovis, is a neglected zoonotic disease primarily associated with cattle. The incidence of bTB is highest in low-income settings with high cattle density and unpasteurised dairy consumption. Smallholder dairy farming has steadily grown in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) with limited professional support for adequate bTB surveillance and risk mitigation. Several studies have explored the knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) of milk value chain stakeholders towards bTB in LMICs, but this evidence has not been collated and synthesised. We conducted a systematic review to determine what is known, believed, and done in relation to bTB among dairy producers and consumers in LMICs. We performed a systematic search of studies in OVID Medline, Scopus and CABI on 11 September 2023. KAP data were summarised using narrative synthesis and forest plots. We retrieved 2763 articles, retaining 51 for the review. Only studies from Africa (n = 38) and Asia (n = 13) met the eligibility criteria. Most populations reported awareness of human tuberculosis and knew it could be treated, but there was limited awareness of bTB and its zoonotic potential. Knowledge of bTB transmission routes and bTB mitigation varied across populations, and risky practices were also variable. Inconsistencies in study design and survey tools suggest some results may have a mid- to high-risk of bias. Awareness of bTB is surprisingly low among African and Asian populations with high bTB exposure risk, possibly due to the long-standing divide between animal and human health messages that has obscured the One Health implications of bTB. Addressing bTB in LMICs requires a structural One Health approach and standard KAP survey tools to adequately explore the socio-cultural, political, and economic processes and drivers favouring bTB spread and persistence.

牛结核病(bTB)由牛分枝杆菌引起,是一种被忽视的人畜共患疾病,主要与牛有关。在牛群密度高、乳制品消费未经消毒的低收入地区,牛结核病的发病率最高。在低收入和中等收入国家(LMICs),小农奶牛养殖业稳步发展,但在充分监测牛结核病和降低风险方面的专业支持却十分有限。有几项研究探讨了中低收入国家牛奶价值链利益相关者对牛结核病的认识、态度和实践(KAP),但这些证据尚未得到整理和归纳。我们开展了一项系统性研究,以确定低收入与中等收入国家奶制品生产者和消费者对牛结核病的了解、看法和做法。我们于 2023 年 9 月 11 日对 OVID Medline、Scopus 和 CABI 中的研究进行了系统检索。我们使用叙述性综合法和森林图对 KAP 数据进行了总结。我们共检索到 2763 篇文章,保留 51 篇用于综述。只有来自非洲(38 篇)和亚洲(13 篇)的研究符合资格标准。大多数人表示了解人类结核病并知道它可以治疗,但对牛结核病及其人畜共患病可能性的了解有限。不同人群对结核病传播途径和结核病缓解措施的了解各不相同,危险做法也不尽相同。研究设计和调查工具的不一致表明,一些结果可能存在中高偏差风险。可能是由于动物健康信息与人类健康信息之间长期存在的鸿沟掩盖了 bTB 对 "一体健康 "的影响,具有较高 bTB 暴露风险的非洲和亚洲人群对 bTB 的认识出奇地低。在低收入和中等收入国家应对结核病需要采用结构性的 "一体健康 "方法和标准的 KAP 调查工具,以充分探索有利于结核病传播和持续存在的社会文化、政治和经济进程及驱动因素。
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Preventive veterinary medicine
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