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Has Bail-in Increased Market Discipline? An Empirical Investigation of European Banks’ Credit Spreads 内部纾困增强了市场纪律吗?欧洲银行信用利差的实证研究
Pub Date : 2020-11-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3728124
Ryan Lindstrom, M. Osborne
Following the banking sector stress events of 2008–09 and 2011–12, a new framework for resolving failing banks has been implemented in the European Union which aims to facilitate authorities imposing losses on private creditors. The new framework implements global standards requiring banks to maintain a minimum quantum of loss-absorbing (or ‘bail-in’) bonds. Using data on the credit spreads on large European banks’ bonds between 2010 and 2019, we provide evidence that the risk sensitivity of banks’ credit spreads has increased since the reforms, and that the level and risk sensitivity of spreads on senior bail-in bonds are higher than those of comparable non-bail-in bonds. These findings support the hypothesis that the reforms have increased investors’ perception of the likelihood that they will be bailed in. These results hold for both UK and euro-area banks, though they are somewhat weaker for periphery European banks. We show that the degree of progress a bank has made in issuing bail-in bonds is positively related to the level and risk sensitivity of such bonds. We show that the higher level and risk sensitivity of spreads on bail-in bonds are largely invariant to whether bail-in bonds are contractually subordinated (ie issued as non-preferred senior) or structurally subordinated (ie issued from the holding company), and the effects are also unaffected by whether or not a bank is classified as a global systemically important bank (G-SIB). Finally, we show that the results are robust to changes in the strategy or risk profile of individual banks, via the inclusion of time-varying bank-specific effects.
在2008-09年和2011-12年的银行业压力事件之后,欧盟实施了一个解决破产银行的新框架,旨在帮助当局向私人债权人施加损失。新框架实施了全球标准,要求银行维持最低限度的损失吸收(或“纾困”)债券。利用2010年至2019年欧洲大型银行债券的信用利差数据,我们提供了证据,证明自改革以来银行信用利差的风险敏感性有所提高,并且高级纾困债券的利差水平和风险敏感性高于可比的非纾困债券。这些发现支持了一种假设,即改革增加了投资者对他们将被纾困的可能性的看法。这些结果对英国和欧元区的银行都适用,尽管对欧洲外围国家的银行来说,这些结果要弱一些。我们发现,银行在发行自救债券方面取得的进展程度与这种债券的水平和风险敏感性呈正相关。我们表明,纾困债券息差的较高水平和风险敏感性在很大程度上与纾困债券是合同次级(即作为非优先级发行)还是结构次级(即从控股公司发行)无关,而且其影响也不受银行是否被归类为全球系统重要性银行(G-SIB)的影响。最后,我们表明,通过纳入时变银行特定效应,结果对单个银行的策略或风险状况的变化具有鲁棒性。
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引用次数: 2
Data Reporting: Market Structures and Regulatory Framework 数据报告:市场结构和监管框架
Pub Date : 2020-11-06 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3726054
Christian Schmies, Alexander Sajnovits
The European legislature has identified weaknesses in the functioning and transparency of financial markets as major shortcomings of the regulatory framework under MiFID I. The new MiFID II/MiFIR regime essentially addresses these identified deficits by means of three regulatory measures: First, it considerably extends the scope and increases the stringency of the obligations with regard to pre- and post-trade transparency with a view to improving the quality of pre- and post-trade transparency data. Second, it instigates a shift towards increased trading on regulated trading venues or on other regulated platforms (more extensive market regulation and trading obligations) and, third, it extends the scope of reporting obligations vis-à-vis the supervisory authorities to enable better monitoring of the financial markets. The already extensive Level 1 requirements have been further specified by numerous pieces of highly detailed Level 2 legal acts. In addition, ESMA has already issued several guidelines and Q&As to harmonize supervisory practice. The resulting network of regulations poses immense challenges for legal practice - as is increasingly characteristic of European capital market law today. The paper sets out to shed some light on the subject.
欧洲立法机构已经将金融市场运作和透明度方面的弱点确定为MiFID i下监管框架的主要缺点。新的MiFID II/MiFIR制度基本上通过三种监管措施解决了这些已确定的缺陷:第一,它大大扩大了贸易前和贸易后透明度方面义务的范围和严格程度,以期提高贸易前和贸易后透明度数据的质量。第二,它促使人们转向在受监管的交易场所或其他受监管的平台上增加交易(更广泛的市场监管和交易义务);第三,它扩大了向-à-vis监管机构报告义务的范围,以便更好地监测金融市场。已经非常广泛的第1级要求又被许多非常详细的第2级法律行为进一步规定。此外,ESMA已经发布了一些指导方针和Q&以协调监管实践。由此产生的法规网络给法律实践带来了巨大的挑战——这是当今欧洲资本市场法日益突出的特点。这篇论文试图阐明这个问题。
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引用次数: 1
The Financialization of the Commodity Markets 2011-2016 2011-2016年商品市场金融化
Pub Date : 2020-11-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3725664
Michał Łukowski, Monika Łukowska
In the paper we describe and analyze financialization of commodity markets in EU countries and in the USA. This inflow of investment capital on commodity derivatives market, observed for the past twenty years, is often blamed for the changes in the markets’ microstructure, resulting in the detachment of the commodity prices from its underlying intrinsic value. We use correlation analysis and VAR Models to verify the significance of the financial investors’ actions on the commodity prices for the period from 2000 to 2017 and in more extensive analysis from 2011 to 2016, as we try to prove this is the transitional period for commodity markets. Our findings show that the influence of financial investors on the commodity prices is observed for the EU countries as well as the USA.
本文对欧盟国家和美国商品市场的金融化进行了描述和分析。在过去的二十年里,人们经常将市场微观结构的变化归咎于投资资本流入商品衍生品市场,导致商品价格与其内在价值的分离。我们使用相关分析和VAR模型来验证2000年至2017年期间金融投资者行为对商品价格的重要性,并在更广泛的分析中从2011年到2016年,因为我们试图证明这是商品市场的过渡期。我们的研究结果表明,金融投资者对商品价格的影响在欧盟国家和美国都存在。
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引用次数: 0
Public Pension Reform and the 49th Parallel: Lessons from Canada for the U.S 公共养老金改革与“四十九平行”:加拿大对美国的启示
Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.1111/fmii.12133
Clive Lipshitz, I. Walter
Public employee pension systems around the world show remarkable diversity in design and execution. Among these, the U.S. defined benefit public pension system has drawn increased attention because of questions about the long-term sustainability of many of the underlying pension funds – as well as concerns of equity between pension plan members, retirees, taxpayers, bondholders, and users of public services. The Covid-19 pandemic introduced new fissures in state and local government finances, heightening the need to bolster long-term public pension fund robustness. As an alternative model, the Canadian public pension system is widely respected. This was not foreordained. The authors trace difficult decisions undertaken in Canada in the 1980s and 1990s along with essential descriptive features of the Canadian Model. Using a novel primary dataset, the authors benchmark the 25 largest U.S. plans against their ten largest Canadian peers, exploring key issues in a paired analysis. The authors extract fundamental lessons from the Canadian experience, proposing a roadmap for reform of the U.S. public pension system. They argue that long-term pension sustainability, once politically prioritized, must be built on equity and discipline in plan design, funding, and amortization of existing deficits. They emphasize the importance of legal framework, particularly joint sponsorship, alongside enhanced governance and unified legislation. They also draw lessons from the Canadian experience with respect to enhanced investment organizations and investment strategies.
世界各地的公务员养老金制度在设计和执行方面表现出显著的多样性。其中,美国的固定收益公共养老金制度引起了越来越多的关注,因为许多潜在养老基金的长期可持续性问题,以及养老金计划成员、退休人员、纳税人、债券持有人和公共服务使用者之间的公平问题。2019冠状病毒病大流行给州和地方政府财政带来了新的裂痕,凸显了加强公共养老基金长期稳健性的必要性。作为另一种模式,加拿大的公共养老金制度受到广泛尊重。这不是命中注定的。作者追溯了加拿大在20世纪80年代和90年代所做的艰难决定以及加拿大模式的基本描述特征。作者使用一个新颖的原始数据集,将美国25个最大的计划与加拿大10个最大的计划进行比较,在配对分析中探索关键问题。作者从加拿大的经验中提取了基本教训,为美国公共养老金体系的改革提出了路线图。他们认为,长期养老金的可持续性,一旦在政治上得到优先考虑,就必须建立在计划设计、资金筹措和现有赤字摊销方面的公平和纪律的基础上。他们强调法律框架的重要性,特别是联合赞助,以及加强治理和统一立法。它们还从加拿大在加强投资组织和投资战略方面的经验中吸取教训。
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引用次数: 4
Special Purpose Credit Programs 特殊用途信贷计划
Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3749610
Stephen Hayes
The Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) offers creditors a powerful tool for addressing lending disparities for historically underserved groups: Special Purpose Credit Programs (SPCPs). SPCPs provide a targeted means for creditors to meet special social needs and benefit economically disadvantaged groups, including groups that share a common characteristic such as race, national origin, or sex. As this paper details, SPCPs align with and do not violate other antidiscrimination laws that generally prohibit lending discrimination, including the Fair Housing Act (FHA) and sections 1981 and 1982 of the Civil Rights Act. That conclusion follows from established canons of statutory construction, ensures these statutes are harmonized (not nullified), is consistent with case law approving protected-class conscious programs across antidiscrimination laws, and is supported by regulatory materials, legislative history, and agencies’ own FHA obligations to affirmatively further fair housing.
《平等信贷机会法》(ECOA)为债权人提供了一个强有力的工具,以解决历史上服务不足群体的贷款差距:特殊目的信贷计划(spcp)。特殊援助方案为债权人提供了一种有针对性的手段,以满足特殊的社会需求,并使经济上处于不利地位的群体受益,包括具有种族、国籍或性别等共同特征的群体。正如本文所详述的那样,spc符合并且不违反其他反歧视法律,这些法律通常禁止贷款歧视,包括《公平住房法》(FHA)和《民权法》1981年和1982年的条款。这一结论遵循了法律构建的既定规范,确保这些法规是协调的(而不是无效的),与判例法一致,通过反歧视法批准受保护阶层意识项目,并得到监管材料、立法历史和各机构自己的联邦住房管理局义务的支持,以肯定地进一步公平住房。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Stranded Fossil Fuel Assets on International Financial Institutions: A Financial Exposure Analysis and Implications for European Central Banks and Financial Regulators 搁浅化石燃料资产对国际金融机构的影响:金融风险分析及其对欧洲央行和金融监管机构的影响
Pub Date : 2020-11-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3844406
M. Baer
This paper presents a comprehensive exposure analysis of international financial institutions (FIs) to stranded fossil fuel assets (SFFA) across 68 countries. The analysis disaggregates a 2.81 trillion US$ exposure of 6,510 FIs to the 26 largest publicly traded oil and gas companies (IOCs) and captures the SFFA-exposure not only through the equity but also through the bond channel. I present granular empirical insights on the composition and level of SFFA-exposure on the individual FI-level, the financial sectorial level, and the jurisdiction and international level. The results highlight the importance of bonds in the financial analysis because outstanding bonds account for almost 60% of the direct SFFA-exposure of the insurance sector alone. The paper draws on a new comparative framework of Risk-Levels for financial sectors that captures the financial risk and its diversification across different FIs. This uncovers financial stress and portfolio vulnerability of financial sectors and the respective country jurisdictions. The analysis reflects the highest Risk-Levels for pension funds and sovereign wealth funds in Norway, banks in France and the US, and insurance companies in the US and UK. With a focus on Europe, I stress the need to enhance prudential reforms by financial regulators. I argue that climate-related disclosure requirements alone are not sufficient to mitigate the far-reaching consequences of a high SFFA exposure of FIs. I discuss several measures for an intensified role of European central banks and financial regulators. These measures contribute to building a climate-resilient financial system.
本文对68个国家的国际金融机构对搁浅化石燃料资产(SFFA)的风险敞口进行了全面分析。该分析分析了6,510家金融机构对26家最大的上市石油和天然气公司(IOCs)的2.81万亿美元敞口,并通过股票和债券渠道捕获了sffa敞口。我在个别金融机构层面、金融部门层面、司法管辖区和国际层面对sffa敞口的构成和水平提出了细致的实证见解。结果强调了债券在财务分析中的重要性,因为未偿债券占保险业直接sffa敞口的近60%。本文采用了一个新的金融部门风险水平比较框架,该框架捕捉了金融风险及其在不同金融机构之间的多样化。这揭示了金融部门和各自国家司法管辖区的金融压力和投资组合脆弱性。该分析反映出,挪威的养老基金和主权财富基金、法国和美国的银行、以及美国和英国的保险公司的风险水平最高。以欧洲为重点,我强调有必要加强金融监管机构的审慎改革。我认为,气候相关的信息披露要求本身不足以减轻金融机构高SFFA暴露的深远影响。我讨论了加强欧洲央行和金融监管机构作用的几项措施。这些措施有助于建立具有气候适应能力的金融体系。
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引用次数: 4
A Machine Learning Attack on Illegal Trading 对非法交易的机器学习攻击
Pub Date : 2020-10-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3722391
Robert James, Henry Leung, Artem Prokhorov
We design an adaptive framework for the detection of illegal trading behavior. Its key component is an extension of a pattern recognition tool, originating from the field of signal processing and adapted to modern electronic systems of securities trading. The new methodology combines the flexibility of dynamic time warping with contemporary approaches from extreme value theory to explore large-scale order book data and accurately identify illegal trading patterns without access to any confirmed illegal transactions for training. The method is shown to achieve remarkable improvements over alternative approaches in the identification of suspected illegal insider trading cases in a high-frequency dataset provided by an international investment firm.
我们设计了一个自适应框架来检测非法交易行为。它的关键组成部分是模式识别工具的扩展,起源于信号处理领域,并适应于现代电子证券交易系统。新方法将动态时间扭曲的灵活性与极值理论的现代方法相结合,探索大规模订单簿数据,并在不访问任何已确认的非法交易的情况下准确识别非法交易模式。在一家国际投资公司提供的高频数据集中,该方法在识别涉嫌非法内幕交易案件方面取得了显著的进步。
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引用次数: 3
Regulatory versus Economic Capital: How Do Large Banks Manage their Capital Ratios? 监管与经济资本:大型银行如何管理资本比率?
Pub Date : 2020-10-29 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3132327
Christian Tallau
Capital regulation requires banks to hold a prescribed amount of equity relative to their risk-weighted assets. Beyond these minimum requirements, banks usually hold additional capital. In this paper, we argue that a part of this capital buffer represents banks' response to regulatory risk weights, which may not adequately measure the actual risks of banks' asset portfolios. Using a sample of large European banks, we show that bank capital not only increases with regulatory requirements, but also with increasing asset risk. Further, banks with below-average risk weights relative to their actual economic risk hold more capital as buffer. We conclude that banks pursue an economic capital management based on the market's capital "requirements".
资本监管要求银行持有相对于其风险加权资产的规定数量的股本。除了这些最低要求,银行通常还持有额外资本。在本文中,我们认为这部分资本缓冲代表了银行对监管风险权重的反应,而监管风险权重可能无法充分衡量银行资产组合的实际风险。以欧洲大型银行为样本,我们发现银行资本不仅随着监管要求的增加而增加,而且随着资产风险的增加而增加。此外,相对于实际经济风险而言,风险权重低于平均水平的银行持有更多的资本作为缓冲。我们的结论是,银行追求基于市场资本“需求”的经济资本管理。
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引用次数: 1
Online Appendix for 'Disclosure Regulation in the Hands of Bank Regulators' 网上附录“银行规管机构掌握的资料披露规例”
Pub Date : 2020-10-28 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3496108
Sehwa Kim, Seil Kim
This is an Online Appendix to "Disclosure Regulation in the Hands of Bank Regulators", available at: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3416204.
这是“银行监管机构掌握的披露监管”的在线附录,可在https://ssrn.com/abstract=3416204找到。
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引用次数: 0
Twelve Years after the Financial Crisis – Too-big-to-fail is still with us. Comments on the Financial Stability Board’s Consultation Report ‘Evaluation of the Effects of Too-big-to-fail Reforms’ 金融危机过去12年了,“大到不能倒”的问题依然存在。对金融稳定委员会谘询报告《大而不能倒的改革影响评估》的评论
Pub Date : 2020-10-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3719062
M. Hellwig
The paper contains comments made on the Financial Stability Board’s (FSB) Consultation Report concerning the success of regulatory reforms since the global financial crisis of 2007-2009. According to these comments, the FSB’s assessment of the role of equity is too narrow, being phrased in terms of bankruptcy avoidance and risk taking incentives, without attention to debt overhang creating distortions in funding choices, as well as the systemic impact of ample equity reducing deleveraging needs after losses and equity contributing to smoothing of lending and asset purchases over time. The FSB’s treatment of systemic risk pays too little attention to mutual interdependence of different parts of the system that is not well captured by linear causal relationships. Finally, the comments point out that bank resolution of systemically important institutions is still not viable, for lack of political acceptance of single-point-of-entry procedures, for lack of funding of banks in resolution (in the EI), for lack of fiscal backstops (in the EU), and for lack of political acceptance of bank resolution with bail-in.
该文件包含对金融稳定委员会(FSB)咨询报告的评论,该报告涉及自2007-2009年全球金融危机以来监管改革的成功。根据这些评论,FSB对股权作用的评估过于狭隘,其措辞仅局限于避免破产和鼓励冒险,而没有注意到债务积压会扭曲融资选择,也没有注意到充足的股权在亏损后减少去杠杆化需求的系统性影响,以及股权有助于随着时间的推移平滑贷款和资产购买。金融稳定委员会对系统性风险的处理很少关注系统中不同部分之间的相互依存关系,而线性因果关系并不能很好地反映这种关系。最后,评论指出,对具有系统重要性的机构进行银行清算仍然是不可行的,因为政治上对单点进入程序缺乏接受,因为银行在清算中缺乏资金(在欧盟),因为缺乏财政支持(在欧盟),以及缺乏政治上对银行通过纾困进行清算的接受度。
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引用次数: 6
期刊
Regulation of Financial Institutions eJournal
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