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Trust Norms, Distrust, and Worst‐Case Defiance in the COVID‐19 Pandemic COVID - 19大流行中的信任规范、不信任和最坏情况下的蔑视
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70073
Valerie Braithwaite
When pandemics threaten, governments are expected to protect citizens. Trustworthiness and trust are central to meeting public expectations. Motivational posturing theory differentiates resistant and dismissive defiance during the COVID‐19 pandemic. While trust is central to responding to resistant defiance, it is less relevant for dismissive defiance. Dismissive defiance is associated with distrust, conceptualized as losing hope that trust norms will restore trust. Using multiple linear regression and path analysis of Australian survey data, pathways are identified to resistant defiance and dismissive defiance. Hypotheses are confirmed, but with some unexpected insights. Trust in government and medical experts dampens both resistant and dismissive defiance. Intervening variables on the resistant defiance pathway include disagreement with government COVID decisions and vaccine hesitancy. On the dismissive defiance pathway, intervening variables include poor information seeking on COVID and poor adherence to COVID‐safe behaviors. Resistant and dismissive defiance, while related, require different approaches to trust building.
当流行病威胁时,政府应该保护公民。诚信和信任是满足公众期望的核心。动机姿态理论区分了COVID - 19大流行期间的抵抗和不屑一顾的反抗。虽然信任是应对抵抗性反抗的核心,但它与轻蔑性反抗的关系不大。轻蔑的反抗与不信任有关,它的概念是对信任规范会恢复信任失去希望。通过对澳大利亚调查数据的多元线性回归和路径分析,确定了抗性反抗和不屑一顾反抗的路径。假设得到了证实,但也有一些意想不到的见解。对政府和医疗专家的信任抑制了抵抗和轻蔑的反抗。抵抗性反抗途径的干预变量包括不同意政府的COVID决策和疫苗犹豫。在不屑一顾的反抗途径中,干预变量包括对COVID的信息寻求不良和对COVID安全行为的依从性差。抵抗性和轻蔑性的反抗虽然相关,但需要不同的方法来建立信任。
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引用次数: 0
Does Distributive Conflict Explain Variation in Green Stimulus Spending? Evidence From 40 Major Economies During the Global Financial Crisis and the Covid‐19 Recession 分配冲突能解释绿色刺激支出的变化吗?全球金融危机和新冠肺炎经济衰退期间40个主要经济体的证据
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-25 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70071
Vegard Tørstad, Jon Hovi, Håkon Sælen
The 2008 Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the 2020 Covid‐19 pandemic triggered large economic stimulus packages in most countries. While aimed primarily at saving the domestic economy from widespread bankruptcies and mass unemployment, these stimulus packages also offered governments windows of opportunity for pivoting toward decarbonization. Drawing on a new dataset covering 40 of the world's largest economies' stimulus spending during the two crises, this article addresses two questions: (1) Did the allocation toward green investments increase in government stimulus packages from the GFC to the Covid‐19 downturn? (2) What country characteristics are associated with green stimulus spending in each crisis? Grounded in distributive‐conflict theory, we hypothesize that the relative strength of green and fossil stakeholders in the economy is decisive in shaping climate policy outcomes. Consistent with this theory, our empirical analysis reveals (1) a (small) uptick in major economies' net green spending from 2008 to 2020 and (2) that robust green industrial interests strongly predict cross‐country variation in green stimulus spending. In contrast, countries' levels of fossil fuels production did not exert a proportional influence. Notably, our research also uncovers a pattern of path dependency, with countries leading in green stimulus spending during the GFC maintaining this position also through the Covid‐19 pandemic. Overall, this article contributes new insights to the comparative political economy literature on climate change by analyzing how economic recessions affect the energy transition and how economic structures drive cross‐country variation in investment‐based climate policy.
2008年全球金融危机和2020年Covid - 19大流行引发了大多数国家的大规模经济刺激计划。虽然这些刺激计划的主要目的是将国内经济从广泛的破产和大规模失业中拯救出来,但它们也为政府提供了转向脱碳的机会。本文利用涵盖两次危机期间全球40个最大经济体刺激支出的新数据集,解决了两个问题:(1)从全球金融危机到2019冠状病毒肺炎(Covid - 19)经济衰退期间,政府刺激计划中绿色投资的分配是否有所增加?(2)每次危机中与绿色刺激支出相关的国家特征是什么?基于分配冲突理论,我们假设经济中绿色和化石利益相关者的相对实力对气候政策结果的形成具有决定性作用。与这一理论相一致,我们的实证分析显示:(1)2008年至2020年主要经济体的净绿色支出(小幅)上升;(2)强劲的绿色工业利益强烈地预测了绿色刺激支出的跨国变化。相比之下,各国的化石燃料生产水平并没有产生成比例的影响。值得注意的是,我们的研究还揭示了一种路径依赖模式,全球金融危机期间绿色刺激支出领先的国家在2019冠状病毒病大流行期间也保持了这一地位。总体而言,本文通过分析经济衰退如何影响能源转型以及经济结构如何驱动基于投资的气候政策的跨国差异,为气候变化的比较政治经济学文献提供了新的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Skill‐Biased Policy Change: Governing the Transition to the Knowledge Economy in Germany, Sweden and Britain 技能偏向的政策变化:德国、瑞典和英国向知识经济过渡的治理
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-25 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70072
Sebastian Diessner, Niccolo Durazzi, Federico Filetti, David Hope, Hanna Kleider, Simone Tonelli
How have advanced capitalist democracies transitioned from a Fordist to a post‐Fordist, knowledge‐based economy? And why have they followed seemingly similar policy trajectories despite different economic models and sectoral specializations? We develop the notion of skill‐biased policy change to answer these questions. Drawing on a distinction between valence and partisan issues in the transition to the knowledge economy, we highlight the partisan and business group politics underpinning different policy areas to argue that policies that create or mobilize high‐level skills attract relatively broader consensus across political parties and business groups than protective labor market policies targeted at the lower end of the skills distribution. The argument is illustrated through case studies of Germany, Sweden, and the UK—three countries that have transitioned to a knowledge‐based economy but that have done so by relying on markedly different sectoral specializations.
发达的资本主义民主国家是如何从福特主义过渡到后福特主义的知识经济的?尽管经济模式和行业分工不同,为什么它们遵循看似相似的政策轨迹?我们提出了技能偏向政策改变的概念来回答这些问题。在向知识经济过渡的过程中,利用价值和党派问题之间的区别,我们强调了支持不同政策领域的党派和商业团体政治,以证明创造或动员高水平技能的政策比针对技能分配低端的保护性劳动力市场政策在政党和商业团体中吸引了相对更广泛的共识。通过对德国、瑞典和英国的案例研究,论证了这一观点。这三个国家已经转型为知识型经济,但它们的转型依赖于明显不同的部门专业化。
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引用次数: 0
Regulating Uncertainty: The Importance of Trust and Affect in the Regulation of AI in The Netherlands 监管的不确定性:信任和影响在荷兰人工智能监管中的重要性
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70070
Esther Versluis, Aneta Spendzharova, Odile Feltkamp
The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) introduces significant uncertainty regarding its future applications and potential risks. What is the preferred regulatory approach when confronted with such uncertainty? To cope with uncertainty, people often screen information in a biased way, consistent with their own prior beliefs and predispositions. Heuristics such as trust and affect are likely to influence how new (scientific) information is judged, in turn influencing the preferred regulatory approach. This article explores the complex interplay between trust, affect, and regulatory preferences in the context of AI governance. Drawing on an exploratory survey and interviews with AI regulators and professionals in the Netherlands, the study finds relatively low trust in AI providers and users, alongside a preference for flexible, adaptive regulation that is strictly enforced by the public authorities. By shedding light on the role of trust and affect in the emerging regulation of AI, this article contributes to understanding how such heuristics influence the preferred regulatory approach.
人工智能(AI)的快速采用给其未来应用和潜在风险带来了巨大的不确定性。面对这种不确定性时,首选的监管方法是什么?为了应对不确定性,人们常常以一种与自己先前的信念和倾向相一致的有偏见的方式筛选信息。诸如信任和影响之类的启发式方法可能会影响对新(科学)信息的判断,进而影响首选的监管方法。本文探讨了人工智能治理背景下信任、影响和监管偏好之间复杂的相互作用。通过对荷兰人工智能监管机构和专业人士的探索性调查和访谈,该研究发现,人们对人工智能提供商和用户的信任度相对较低,同时更倾向于由公共当局严格执行的灵活、适应性监管。通过揭示信任和影响在新兴的人工智能监管中的作用,本文有助于理解这种启发式如何影响首选的监管方法。
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引用次数: 0
Decarbonization Politics for All: Means‐Tested Social Assistance, Eco‐Social Values, and Public Support for Increased Fossil Fuel Taxes in Europe 脱碳政治为所有:手段测试的社会援助,生态社会价值,和公众支持增加化石燃料税在欧洲
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-22 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70063
Arvid Lindh, Kenneth Nelson
Many climate change mitigation policies face public opposition, especially when they impose visible costs on households and are perceived as unfairly regressive. This country‐comparative study examines specific social policy instruments that may help build public support for increasing fossil fuel taxes in Europe. Using multilevel modeling with data from the European Social Survey and the Social Policy Indicators database, we find that higher levels of means‐tested social assistance are positively associated with greater public support for fossil fuel taxes. More specifically, means‐tested social assistance appears to promote support by reducing self‐experienced economic hardship and lessening value conflicts among individuals with strong eco‐social values. Policies that raise the minimum income floor in society thus seem crucial for fostering eco‐social synergies and strengthening public support for government‐led climate action and decarbonization efforts.
许多减缓气候变化的政策面临公众的反对,特别是当它们给家庭带来明显的成本并被认为是不公平的倒退时。这项国家比较研究考察了可能有助于在欧洲建立公众支持增加化石燃料税的具体社会政策工具。利用来自欧洲社会调查和社会政策指标数据库的数据进行多层次建模,我们发现较高水平的经经济手段检验的社会援助与更大的公众对化石燃料税的支持呈正相关。更具体地说,经过经济状况调查的社会援助似乎通过减少自我经历的经济困难和减少具有强烈生态社会价值观的个人之间的价值冲突来促进支持。因此,提高社会最低收入水平的政策似乎对于促进生态社会协同效应和加强公众对政府主导的气候行动和脱碳努力的支持至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
New Tools for Old Habits: How Whistleblowing Works in Organizations 旧习惯的新工具:举报如何在组织中发挥作用
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-14 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70069
Alexandrina Augusta Bora, Sergiu Gherghina
Whistleblowing in private and public sector organizations has gained momentum in the last decade. Most theories seeking to explain why some employees report wrongdoings largely disregard the interaction between the cognitive and emotional components of this decision. Our article addresses this gap in the literature and proposes a theoretical model that was initially developed in cognitive psychology and accounts for such an interaction. We explore empirically its relevance in the case of private and public sector employees in Romania, which is the least likely case for the use of whistleblowing. We use data from semi‐structured interviews conducted with employees from the private and public sector. The key findings contribute to the debates on whistleblowing as a specific regulator in organizations: emotions and cognition have high explanatory power; the irrational beliefs matter in developing emotional and behavioral consequences for potential whistleblowers; and the organizational support is crucial in disputing these irrational beliefs.
在过去十年中,私营和公共部门组织的举报活动势头强劲。大多数试图解释为什么有些员工报告错误行为的理论在很大程度上忽视了这一决定的认知和情感因素之间的相互作用。我们的文章解决了文献中的这一空白,并提出了一个最初在认知心理学中发展起来的理论模型,并解释了这种相互作用。我们从经验上探讨了罗马尼亚私营和公共部门雇员的相关性,这是最不可能使用举报的情况。我们使用的数据来自对私营和公共部门员工进行的半结构化访谈。主要研究结果有助于对举报作为组织中特定调节因素的争论:情绪和认知具有高解释力;非理性信念对潜在举报人的情绪和行为产生影响;而组织的支持对于反驳这些非理性的信念至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Subjective Technology Risk and Education Preferences: VET as a Safe Haven or Dead End? 主观技术风险与教育偏好:职业技术教育是避风港还是死胡同?
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70067
Matthias Haslberger, Scherwin M. Bajka
Education equips individuals with valuable skills to protect them against employment risks associated with the digital transition. As scholars debate whether vocational education and training (VET) or general education better insures against technology‐induced employment risk, we ask how this type of risk, as perceived by individuals, shapes their education preferences. Our analyses, based on a survey of over 11,500 respondents across seven European countries, show that VET is regarded as a safe haven by those perceiving heightened risk. This relationship remains robust when controlling for various alternative explanations and is consistent across countries. Subgroup interactions indicate that men, high‐income earners, respondents with tertiary education, and those politically on the right more strongly favor VET in response to subjective technology risk. Hence, our study suggests that VET's practical, job‐oriented focus is perceived as better protection against the growing uncertainty over skill demands in the twin transition than general education.
教育为个人提供宝贵的技能,以保护他们免受与数字化转型相关的就业风险。当学者们争论职业教育和培训(VET)或普通教育是否能更好地防范技术引发的就业风险时,我们想知道,个人认为的这种类型的风险是如何影响他们的教育偏好的。我们的分析基于对七个欧洲国家的11,500多名受访者的调查,结果表明,那些认为风险较高的人将职业教育培训视为避风港。在控制各种替代解释的情况下,这种关系仍然稳固,并且在各国之间是一致的。亚组互动表明,男性、高收入者、受过高等教育的受访者以及政治上偏右派的受访者在应对主观技术风险时更倾向于职业教育培训。因此,我们的研究表明,与普通教育相比,职业教育的实践性、以工作为导向的重点被认为是更好的保护措施,以应对双胞胎过渡中技能需求日益增长的不确定性。
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引用次数: 0
“The Excuses We Make”: Defining Eight Corruption Rationalization Categories “我们制造的借口”:界定八种腐败合理化类别
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-13 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70068
Caio César Coelho Rodrigues
The rationalization of corruption allows individuals to detach from moral imperatives, enabling them to perceive unethical or unlawful actions as acceptable or justifiable. Closely linked to the concept of moral disengagement, rationalization involves cognitive distortions that frame inhumane or immoral behavior as neither wrong nor inconsistent with the agent's values. Despite its conceptual significance, rationalization has been empirically understudied, largely due to the limited availability of firsthand qualitative data from corruption perpetrators. This study addresses this gap by analyzing how individuals involved in corruption rationalize their actions. We conduct an abductive thematic analysis of 141 h of testimony from 49 Odebrecht executives, collected as part of their leniency agreements during Brazil's high‐profile Car Wash investigation. Through these depositions, we uncover and interpret the discursive strategies used by the executives to normalize their involvement in systemic corruption. Drawing on prior research and our empirical findings, we propose eight categories of rationalization. These categories offer a framework that not only advances academic understanding of corruption rationalization mechanisms but also provides practitioners—such as compliance officers, ethics trainers, and internal auditors—with actionable insights to design more effective ethics training programs and preventive strategies that focus on cultural and psychological mechanisms rather than legislation and market regulations.
腐败的合理化使个人能够脱离道德要求,使他们能够认为不道德或非法的行为是可以接受的或正当的。与道德脱离概念密切相关的是,合理化涉及认知扭曲,将不人道或不道德的行为定义为既不是错误的,也不符合行为人的价值观。尽管具有概念意义,但对合理化的实证研究一直不足,这主要是由于腐败肇事者的第一手定性数据有限。本研究通过分析涉及腐败的个人如何合理化其行为来解决这一差距。我们对49名Odebrecht高管的141小时证词进行了绑架主题分析,这些证词是在巴西备受瞩目的洗车调查期间作为宽大处理协议的一部分收集的。通过这些证词,我们发现并解释了高管们用来规范他们参与系统性腐败的话语策略。根据先前的研究和我们的实证发现,我们提出了八类合理化。这些类别提供了一个框架,不仅促进了对腐败合理化机制的学术理解,而且还为合规官员、道德培训师和内部审计师等从业人员提供了可操作的见解,以设计更有效的道德培训计划和预防战略,这些计划和战略侧重于文化和心理机制,而不是立法和市场法规。
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引用次数: 0
Problems and Solutions in the Knowledge Economy: Ideational Power in Slow‐Burning Crises 知识经济中的问题与解决之道:慢燃危机中的观念力量
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-08-02 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70060
Martin B. Carstensen, Patrick Emmenegger, Cecilia Ivardi
Societies are grappling with uncertainty about how to adapt to the emerging knowledge economy. Drawing on the public policy literature, we propose a new approach to studying the politics of ideas during long‐term structural changes. We depart from existing scholarship that focuses on the politics of ideas during episodic crises, and instead focus on ideas that develop gradually in the context of “slow‐burning” crises, using the example of the knowledge economy. In slow‐burning crises, the processes of defining problems and identifying solutions unfold over different timeframes and lead to variation in coalition building because they involve a diverse set of actors promoting ideas at different levels of abstraction. Our cross‐national quantitative analysis of national public debates shows that employers act as key problem brokers, proposing problem diagnoses that focus on efficiency challenges. In contrast, the actors proposing solutions are more diverse, promoting ideas centered on inclusion and governance.
社会正在努力应对如何适应新兴知识经济的不确定性。根据公共政策文献,我们提出了一种新的方法来研究长期结构变化中的思想政治。我们脱离了现有的专注于偶发性危机期间的思想政治的学术研究,而是以知识经济为例,专注于在“缓慢燃烧”的危机背景下逐渐发展的思想。在缓慢燃烧的危机中,定义问题和确定解决方案的过程在不同的时间框架内展开,并导致联盟建设的变化,因为它们涉及到在不同抽象层次上促进思想的不同参与者。我们对全国公开辩论的跨国定量分析表明,雇主扮演着关键问题经纪人的角色,提出了专注于效率挑战的问题诊断。相比之下,提出解决方案的参与者更加多样化,他们提倡以包容和治理为中心的想法。
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引用次数: 0
Who Supports the Digitalization of Education? New Survey Evidence From Six OECD Countries 谁支持教育数字化?来自六个经合组织国家的新调查证据
IF 3 2区 社会学 Q1 LAW Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1111/rego.70059
Marius R. Busemeyer
This paper investigates how citizens perceive and evaluate the digitalization of education. Drawing on original survey data from six OECD countries (Germany, Japan, Poland, Spain, Sweden, and the US), the study addresses the overarching question: Does public opinion support or inhibit the digital transformation of education? The analysis focuses on three core aspects in this regard—perceptions of state performance, demand for digital device use in schools, and concerns about data governance. Findings reveal cautious but conditional public support: while many endorse digitalization, significant concerns persist about data privacy, especially regarding private tech companies. Support varies systematically by socio‐economic status, age, household composition as well as in line with general dispositions and attitudes towards global technology companies. The paper also identifies a significant degree of cross‐country variation, which, however, does not neatly map onto existing welfare state regimes.
本文调查了公民如何看待和评价教育数字化。根据来自六个经合组织国家(德国、日本、波兰、西班牙、瑞典和美国)的原始调查数据,该研究解决了一个首要问题:公众舆论是支持还是阻碍教育的数字化转型?该分析侧重于这方面的三个核心方面——对国家绩效的看法、对学校使用数字设备的需求以及对数据治理的担忧。调查结果显示了谨慎但有条件的公众支持:尽管许多人支持数字化,但对数据隐私的严重担忧仍然存在,尤其是对私营科技公司。支持因社会经济地位、年龄、家庭组成以及对全球科技公司的一般倾向和态度而系统性地变化。本文还确定了很大程度的跨国差异,然而,这并没有整齐地映射到现有的福利国家制度。
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引用次数: 0
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Regulation & Governance
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