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Coastal Wetland Restoration Effects on Carbon Dynamics: A Groundwater Perspective 沿海湿地恢复对地下水碳动态的影响
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1029/2025RG000895
Mahmood Sadat-Noori, Martin S. Andersen, Helen Rutlidge, William Glamore

Coastal wetlands are critical components of the global carbon cycle, yet many have been degraded by drainage and land-use changes, releasing stored carbon and exacerbating climate change. Interest in wetland restoration is increasing globally due to their carbon storage capacity, ecosystem values, and biodiversity co-benefits. This is further supported by the United Nations' declaration that 2021–2030 is the “Decade on Ecosystem Restoration.” Various techniques have been applied to achieve ecological wetland restoration. However, additional opportunities should be explored to extend the co-benefits of restoration beyond ecological aspects. For these restoration co-benefits to be fully optimized, the science of wetland functions and processes must be understood and quantified. Groundwater plays a crucial role in wetland carbon transport, storage, and transformation. However, its processes are often overlooked or poorly quantified. This paper (a) provides the current state of knowledge on subsurface hydrology and biogeochemical processes in wetlands, (b) describes how the hydrologic restoration of wetlands may affect the physical and chemical processes within wetlands, and (c) discusses how restoration can alter wetland function, with a specific focus on carbon and greenhouse gas dynamics. The paper highlights the necessity for a holistic, interdisciplinary approach to wetland restoration research, considering the interplay of hydrological, biogeochemical, and climatic factors to optimize carbon sequestration and ensure the long-term success of restoration projects.

沿海湿地是全球碳循环的重要组成部分,但许多湿地因排水和土地利用变化而退化,释放了储存的碳,加剧了气候变化。由于其碳储存能力、生态系统价值和生物多样性的共同效益,全球对湿地恢复的兴趣日益增加。联合国宣布2021-2030年为“生态系统恢复十年”,进一步支持了这一点。为了实现湿地的生态恢复,采用了多种技术。然而,应该探索更多的机会,将恢复的共同利益扩大到生态方面以外。为了充分优化这些恢复协同效益,必须了解和量化湿地功能和过程的科学。地下水在湿地碳的运输、储存和转化中起着至关重要的作用。然而,其过程往往被忽视或缺乏量化。本文(a)提供了湿地地下水文和生物地球化学过程的知识现状,(b)描述了湿地的水文恢复如何影响湿地内部的物理和化学过程,(c)讨论了恢复如何改变湿地功能,特别关注碳和温室气体动力学。本文强调了综合考虑水文、生物地球化学和气候因素的跨学科湿地恢复研究方法的必要性,以优化碳固存,确保恢复项目的长期成功。
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引用次数: 0
Land Reclamation Impacts on Tidal Landscape Evolution 土地复垦对潮汐景观演变的影响
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-08-21 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000860
D. S. van Maren, R. A. Schrijvershof, J. Beemster, C. Zhu, D. Xie, Z. Zhou, A. Colina Alonso, A. J. F. Hoitink

In the past 1000 years, the continuous need for fertile and strategically located land has led to the reclamation of intertidal areas. The direct and short-term impact of land reclamation is a reduction in intertidal storage space and the loss of ecological value. Its long-term impact on the tidal landscape is variable but surprisingly poorly known. In this contribution, we review the impacts of land reclamation in a wide range of physical environments. Land reclamation along exposed, muddy coastlines leads to erosion or accretion, depending on local transport conditions and sediment availability. Confined muddy coasts (typically estuaries) respond by progressive infilling of tidal channels, especially when their upper reaches have been reclaimed. More gradual reclamation along the length of an estuary can lead to tidal amplification, while reclamation at the estuary mouth may additionally lead to channel erosion. The response timescales may be very long (up to centuries) especially when controlled by positive feedback mechanisms between tidal dynamics and landscape evolution. Therefore, some of the present day land reclamations will influence or possibly control the evolution of the coastal landscape in the coming decades to even centuries. In sediment-poor coastal bays, the reduction in tidal prism mainly leads to lower exchange rates and, therefore, to a reduction in water quality. The framework introduced here facilitates the assessment of the past and future impacts of land reclamations in tide-dominated environments. This understanding is crucial to predict the response of land reclamation-impacted coastal systems to accelerated sea level rise.

在过去的1000年里,对肥沃和战略位置土地的持续需求导致了潮间带的开垦。土地开垦的直接和短期影响是潮间带储存空间的减少和生态价值的丧失。它对潮汐景观的长期影响是多变的,但令人惊讶的是鲜为人知。在这篇文章中,我们回顾了土地开垦在各种物理环境中的影响。沿着暴露的泥泞海岸线的土地开垦会导致侵蚀或增生,这取决于当地的运输条件和沉积物的可用性。封闭的泥泞海岸(通常是河口)的反应是潮汐通道的逐渐填满,特别是当它们的上游被填海时。沿河口长度逐渐填海会导致潮汐放大,而在河口处填海还会导致河道侵蚀。响应时间尺度可能很长(长达几个世纪),特别是在潮汐动力学和景观演变之间的正反馈机制控制下。因此,目前的一些填海工程将影响或可能控制未来几十年甚至几百年沿海景观的演变。在缺乏沉积物的沿海海湾,潮汐棱柱的减少主要导致汇率降低,从而导致水质下降。本文介绍的框架有助于评估潮汐主导环境中土地填海的过去和未来影响。这种理解对于预测受土地复垦影响的沿海系统对海平面加速上升的反应至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Satellite Requirements to Capture Water Propagation in Earth's Rivers 卫星需要捕捉地球河流中的水传播
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-07-22 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000871
A. Cerbelaud, C. H. David, T. Pavelsky, S. Biancamaria, P.-A. Garambois, C. Kittel, F. Papa, P. Bates, M. J. Tourian, M. Durand, R. Frasson, H. Oubanas, M. Simard, G. Schumann, G. Allen, A. Tarpanelli, S. Wongchuig, J. Wade, M. Tom, P.-O. Malaterre, C. J. Gleason, J.-F. Crétaux, K. Nielsen, O. Elmi, C. Schwatke, D. Scherer, L. Gal, A. Paris, A. Dasgupta, S. Munier, D. Feng, P. Bauer-Gottwein, F. Hossain, D. Yamazaki, B. Kitambo, S. Mischel, M. Bonnema, K. Verma, K. Andreadis, N. Picot, J. Benveniste

The water in Earth's rivers propagates as waves through space and time across hydrographic networks. A detailed understanding of river dynamics globally is essential for achieving accurate knowledge of surface water storage and fluxes to support water resources management and water-related disaster forecasting and mitigation. Global in situ information on river flows are crucial to support such an investigation but remain difficult to obtain at adequate spatiotemporal scales, if they even exist. Many expectations are placed on remote sensing techniques as key contributors. Despite a rapid expansion of satellite capabilities, however, it remains unclear what temporal revisit, spatial coverage, footprint size, spatial resolution, observation accuracy, latency time, and variables of interest from satellites are best suited to capture the space-time propagation of water in rivers. Additionally, the ability of numerical models to compensate for data sparsity through model-data fusion remains elusive. We review recent efforts to identify the type of remote sensing observations that could enhance understanding and representation of river dynamics. Key priorities include: (a) resolving narrow water bodies (finer than 50–100 m), (b) further analysis of signal accuracy versus hydrologic variability and relevant technologies (optical/SAR imagery, altimetry, microwave radiometry), (c) achieving 1–3 days observation intervals, (d) leveraging data assimilation and multi-satellite approaches using existing constellations, and (e) new variable measurement for accurate water flux and discharge estimates. We recommend a hydrology-focused, multi-mission observing system comprising: (a) a cutting-edge single or dual-satellite mission for advanced surface water measurements, and (b) a constellation of cost-effective satellites targeting dynamic processes.

地球上河流中的水以波浪的形式在空间和时间上通过水文网络传播。要准确了解地表水的储存量和通量,以支持水资源管理和与水有关的灾害预测和减灾,对全球河流动态的详细了解至关重要。关于河流流量的全球现场信息对于支持这种调查至关重要,但即使存在,也很难在适当的时空尺度上获得这些信息。许多人对遥感技术寄予厚望,认为它是关键的贡献。然而,尽管卫星能力迅速发展,但尚不清楚卫星的时间重访、空间覆盖、足迹大小、空间分辨率、观测精度、延迟时间和感兴趣的变量最适合捕捉河流中水的时空传播。此外,数值模型通过模型-数据融合来补偿数据稀疏性的能力仍然难以捉摸。我们回顾了最近在确定遥感观测类型方面所做的努力,这些观测可以增强对河流动态的理解和表征。关键优先事项包括:(a)解析狭窄水体(小于50-100米),(b)进一步分析信号精度与水文变异性及相关技术(光学/SAR图像、测高、微波辐射测量)的关系,(c)实现1-3天的观测间隔,(d)利用现有星座利用数据同化和多卫星方法,以及(e)采用新的变量测量来精确估算水通量和流量。我们建议建立一个以水文为重点的多任务观测系统,该系统包括:(a)用于高级地表水测量的尖端单卫星或双卫星任务,以及(b)针对动态过程的具有成本效益的卫星星座。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of the Last Quaternary Glacial Forebulge on Vertical Land Movement, Sea-Level Change, and Lithospheric Stresses 末次第四纪冰期前隆起对陆地垂直运动、海平面变化和岩石圈应力的影响
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000852
Christian Brandes, Holger Steffen, Rebekka Steffen, Tanghua Li, Patrick Wu

A glacial forebulge is a bending-related upheaval of the lithosphere outside a glaciated area that co-occurs to the depression of the lithosphere below an ice sheet. The forebulge of the last glaciation attracted attention over more than one century, but quantitative descriptions on the geometry of the forebulge are rare. While many studies mention forebulge dynamics as a possible cause for a certain observation, very few studies provide a detailed and systematic exploration of the forebulge's precise dynamics. That way the forebulge became occasionally a rather mysterious structure with many unknowns. We aim to shed light into the forebulge discussion. After reviewing the history of forebulge research, we outline the theory behind the spatio-temporal forebulge development including controlling factors, and present forebulge observations in geological and geodetic records of North America and the northern parts of Central Europe. We use a state-of-the art finite-element model that can fit multiple observations of the last glaciation simultaneously, to illustrate forebulge development in North America and northern Central Europe and address the issue of whether the zero-uplift hinge line is a good indication of the location of the forebulge front. Finally, we discuss effects of the forebulge on the sea-level change pattern and the evolution of lithospheric stresses, which can induce intraplate earthquakes. We also show that the existence of a glacial forebulge outside the ice margin is not consistent with the assumption of isostatic equilibrium at the Last Glacial Maximum, and there is no strain rate-stress paradox.

冰川前隆起是冰川区外的岩石圈与弯曲有关的隆起,它与冰盖下的岩石圈凹陷同时发生。最后一次冰期的前隆起在一个多世纪以来引起了人们的注意,但对前隆起的几何形状的定量描述却很少。虽然许多研究提到前隆起动力学是某一观测的可能原因,但很少有研究对前隆起的精确动力学进行详细和系统的探索。这样,前隆起偶尔就变成了一个相当神秘的结构,有许多未知的东西。我们的目的是阐明前半部分的讨论。在回顾前隆起研究历史的基础上,概述了前隆起时空发展的理论基础和控制因素,并介绍了北美和中欧北部地区的地质和大地测量记录中的前隆起观测结果。我们使用最先进的有限元模型,该模型可以同时拟合末次冰期的多个观测结果,以说明北美和中欧北部的前隆起发展情况,并解决零隆起铰链线是否是前隆起锋面位置的良好指示的问题。最后,我们讨论了前隆起对海平面变化模式和岩石圈应力演化的影响,从而引起板内地震。研究还表明,冰缘外冰前隆起的存在与末次盛冰期均衡的假设不一致,不存在应变率-应力悖论。
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引用次数: 0
Twenty-Five Years of Probabilistic Fault Displacement Hazard Assessment 25年概率断层位移危害评估
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-06-28 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000875
A. Valentini, F. Visini, P. Boncio, O. Scotti, S. Baize

Fault displacement hazard poses significant risks to critical infrastructure such as buildings, roads, and pipelines. While some structures can tolerate a certain degree of surface displacement, others, such as buildings, are far more vulnerable. Probabilistic Fault Displacement Hazard Assessment (PFDHA) quantifies the probability of exceeding a certain level of displacement at a site due to surface-rupturing earthquakes. A PFDHA model consists primarily of two components: the surface rupture probability and the fault displacement models (FDMs). FDMs distinguish between principal fault rupture and distributed rupture. Principal fault rupture occurs along the primary fault plane, where seismic energy is primarily released during an earthquake. In contrast, distributed rupture refers to all other tectonic surface ruptures occurring away from the principal fault. This differentiation was first introduced during the pioneering PFDHA study conducted for the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository (Nevada, USA) in the early 2000s. Since then, the methodology has been applied to various fault types, including strike-slip and reverse faults. In recent years, the number of new models and the awareness of PFDHA has grown thanks to several international initiatives such as the worldwide and unified database of surface ruptures, the fault displacement hazard initiative, and the benchmark project led by the International Atomic Energy Agency. With growing interest and rapid advancements in this field, this article aims to provide a complete overview of all published models, discuss their applicability and limitations, standardize the terminology, and outline the necessary developments to guide future research.

断层位移灾害对建筑物、道路和管道等关键基础设施构成重大风险。虽然有些结构可以承受一定程度的地表位移,但其他结构,如建筑物,则要脆弱得多。概率断层位移危害评估(PFDHA)量化了一个地点由于地表破裂地震而超过一定位移水平的概率。PFDHA模型主要由地表破裂概率和断层位移模型(fdm)两部分组成。fdm区分主断层破裂和分布断层破裂。主断层破裂发生在主断层面上,地震能量主要在地震中释放。相反,分布破裂是指发生在远离主断层的所有其他构造表面破裂。21世纪初,在Yucca山核废料处置库(美国内华达州)进行的开创性PFDHA研究中,首次引入了这种分化。从那时起,该方法已应用于各种断层类型,包括走滑断层和逆断层。近年来,由于一些国际倡议,如全球统一的地表破裂数据库、断层位移危害倡议以及国际原子能机构领导的基准项目,新模型的数量和PFDHA的意识得到了提高。随着对该领域的兴趣和快速发展,本文旨在提供所有已发表模型的完整概述,讨论它们的适用性和局限性,标准化术语,并概述指导未来研究的必要发展。
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引用次数: 0
Stemflow Hydrodynamics 树干茎流流体力学
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000857
Gabriel G. Katul, Bavand Keshavarz, Amirreza Meydani, Delphis F. Levia

Stemflow hydrodynamics is the study of water movement along the exterior surface area of plants. Its primary goal is to describe water velocity and water depth along the stem surface area. Its significance in enriching the rhizosphere with water and nutrients is not in dispute. Yet, the hydrodynamics of stemflow have been entirely overlooked. This review seeks to fill this knowledge gap by drawing from thin film theories to seek outcomes at the tree scale. The depth-averaged conservation equations of water and solute mass are derived at a point. These equations are then supplemented with the conservation of momentum that is required to describe water velocities or relations between water velocities and water depth. Relevant forces pertinent to momentum conservation are covered and include body forces (gravitational effects), surface forces (wall friction), line forces (surface tension), and inertial effects. The inclusion of surface tension opens new vistas into the richness and complexity of stemflow hydrodynamics. Flow instabilities such as fingering, pinching of water columns into droplets, accumulation of water within fissures due to surface tension and their sudden release are prime examples that link observed spatial patterns of stemflow fronts and morphological characteristics of the bark. Aggregating these effects at the tree- and storm- scales are featured using published experiments. The review discusses outstanding challenges pertaining to stemflow hydrodynamics, the use of dynamic similarity and 3D printing to enable the interplay between field studies and controlled laboratory experiments.

茎流流体动力学是研究水沿植物外表面运动的学科。它的主要目标是描述沿茎表面区域的水流速度和水深。它在丰富根际水分和养分方面的重要性是无可争议的。然而,茎流的流体动力学完全被忽视了。这篇综述试图通过从薄膜理论中寻求树尺度的结果来填补这一知识空白。在某一点上导出了水和溶质质量的深度平均守恒方程。然后用动量守恒来补充这些方程,动量守恒是描述水的速度或水的速度与水深之间的关系所必需的。与动量守恒相关的力包括物体力(重力效应)、表面力(壁面摩擦)、线力(表面张力)和惯性效应。表面张力的包含为茎流流体动力学的丰富性和复杂性打开了新的前景。流动的不稳定性,如指触、水柱挤压成水滴、由于表面张力而在裂缝中积聚水分以及它们的突然释放,是将观察到的茎流锋面的空间模式与树皮的形态特征联系起来的主要例子。利用已发表的实验,在树木和风暴尺度上综合这些效应。该综述讨论了与茎流流体动力学相关的突出挑战,动态相似性和3D打印的使用,以实现现场研究和受控实验室实验之间的相互作用。
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引用次数: 0
Land Use Change and Infectious Disease Emergence 土地利用变化与传染病的发生
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-05-31 DOI: 10.1029/2022RG000785
M. Cristina Rulli, Paolo D’Odorico, Nikolas Galli, Reju S. John, Renata L. Muylaert, Monia Santini, David T. S. Hayman

Major infectious diseases threatening human health are transmitted to people from animals or by arthropod vectors such as insects. In recent decades, disease outbreaks have become more common, especially in tropical regions, including new and emerging infections that were previously undetected or unknown. Even though there is growing awareness that altering natural habitats can lead to disease outbreaks, the link between land use change and emerging diseases is still often overlooked and poorly understood. Land use change typically destroys natural habitat and alters landscape composition and configuration, thus altering wildlife population dynamics, including those of pathogen hosts, domesticated (often intermediary) hosts, infectious agents, and their vectors. Moreover, land use changes provide opportunities for human exposure to direct contact with wildlife, livestock, and disease-carrying vectors, thereby increasing pathogen spillover from animals to humans. Here we explore the nexus between human health and land use change, highlighting multiple pathways linking emerging disease outbreaks and deforestation, forest fragmentation, urbanization, agricultural expansion, intensified farming systems, and concentrated livestock production. We connect direct and underlying drivers of land use change to human health outcomes related to infectious disease emergence. Despite growing evidence of land-use induced spillover, strategies to reduce the risks of emerging diseases are often absent from discussions on sustainable food systems and land management. A “One Health” perspective—integrating human, animal, and environmental health—provides a critical yet often-overlooked dimension for understanding the health impacts of land use change.

威胁人类健康的重大传染病是通过动物或昆虫等节肢动物媒介传播给人类的。近几十年来,疾病暴发变得更加普遍,特别是在热带地区,包括以前未发现或未知的新发和新发感染。尽管人们日益认识到,改变自然栖息地可能导致疾病爆发,但土地利用变化与新出现的疾病之间的联系仍然经常被忽视和理解不足。土地利用变化通常会破坏自然栖息地,改变景观组成和配置,从而改变野生动物种群动态,包括病原体宿主、驯化宿主(通常是中间宿主)、传染媒介及其载体。此外,土地利用的变化为人类直接接触野生动物、牲畜和携带疾病的媒介提供了机会,从而增加了病原体从动物向人类的溢出。在这里,我们探讨了人类健康与土地利用变化之间的联系,强调了将新出现的疾病暴发与森林砍伐、森林破碎化、城市化、农业扩张、集约化耕作系统和集中畜牧生产联系起来的多种途径。我们将土地利用变化的直接和潜在驱动因素与传染病出现相关的人类健康结果联系起来。尽管越来越多的证据表明土地利用引起的溢出效应,但在关于可持续粮食系统和土地管理的讨论中往往缺乏减少新出现疾病风险的战略。综合人类、动物和环境健康的“同一个健康”视角为理解土地利用变化对健康的影响提供了一个关键但往往被忽视的维度。
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引用次数: 0
What Is the Energy Budget of Subduction Zone Hazards? 俯冲带危害的能量收支是什么?
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-05-20 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000848
Michele L. Cooke, Juliet G. Crider, Kristin D. Morell, Leif Karlstrom, Brian J. Yanites

Subduction zones are host to some of the largest and most devastating geohazards on Earth. The magnitude of these hazards is often measured by the amount of energy they release over short periods of time, which itself depends on how much stored energy is available for the geologic processes that drive these hazards. By considering the energy transfer among processes within subduction zones, we can identify the energy inputs and outputs to the system and estimate the stored energy. Due to the multiscale nature of subduction zone processes, developing an energy budget of subduction zone hazards requires integrating a wide range of geologic and geophysical field, laboratory, and modeling studies. We present a framework for developing mechanical energy budgets of upper crustal deformation that considers processes within the magmatic system, at the subduction zone interface, distributed and localized deformation between the arc and trench, and surface processes that erode, transport, and store sediments. The subduction energy budget framework provides a way to integrate data and model results to explore interactions between diverse processes. Because fault mechanics, sediment transport and magmatic processes within subduction zones do not act in isolation, we gain insights by considering the common energetic elements of the subduction zone system. Building energy budgets reveals gaps in our understanding of subduction zone processes, and thus highlights opportunities for new interdisciplinary research on subduction zone processes that can inform hazard potential.

俯冲带是地球上一些最大和最具破坏性的地质灾害的宿主。这些灾害的严重程度通常是通过它们在短时间内释放的能量来衡量的,而能量本身取决于驱动这些灾害的地质过程所储存的能量有多少。通过考虑俯冲带内各过程之间的能量传递,我们可以确定系统的能量输入和输出,并估计存储的能量。由于俯冲带过程的多尺度性质,开发俯冲带危险的能量收支需要整合广泛的地质和地球物理领域、实验室和建模研究。我们提出了一个框架来发展上地壳变形的机械能预算,该框架考虑了岩浆系统内的过程,在俯冲带界面,弧和海沟之间的分布和局部变形,以及侵蚀,运输和储存沉积物的地表过程。俯冲能量收支框架提供了一种整合数据和模型结果的方法,以探索不同过程之间的相互作用。由于俯冲带内的断层力学、沉积物输运和岩浆作用不是孤立的,我们通过考虑俯冲带系统的共同能量元素来获得见解。建立能源预算揭示了我们对俯冲带过程的理解差距,从而强调了对俯冲带过程进行新的跨学科研究的机会,这些研究可以为潜在的危害提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Mediterranean Cyclones in a Changing Climate: A Review on Their Socio-Economic Impacts 气候变化中的地中海气旋:社会经济影响综述
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-05-05 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000853
Samira Khodayar, Jonilda Kushta, Jennifer L. Catto, Stavros Dafis, Silvio Davolio, Christian Ferrarin, Emmanouil Flaounas, Pieter Groenemeijer, Maria Hatzaki, Assaf Hochman, Vassiliki Kotroni, Jaromir Landa, Ilona Láng-Ritter, Georgia Lazoglou, Margarida L. R. Liberato, Mario Marcello Miglietta, Katerina Papagiannaki, Platon Patlakas, Robert Stojanov, George Zittis

The Mediterranean Basin, renowned for its cultural, ecological, and climatic significance, frequently endures high-impact weather events driven by Mediterranean cyclones (Medcyclones), atmospheric low-pressure systems characterized by counterclockwise wind circulation. These meteorological phenomena, sometimes comparable to hurricanes in their intensity and impact, shape the region's weather and are responsible for diverse natural hazards, including torrential rainfall, flash floods, windstorms, and sea surges. Such events have profound and far-reaching socio-economic and ecological consequences, particularly for coastal and densely populated areas. Despite their critical role, the systematic assessment of Medcyclones' contribution to socio-economic losses and the effective communication of associated risks remains limited. This review synthesizes the existing body of knowledge on the socio-economic impacts of Medcyclones, with a focus on vulnerable sectors such as human health, energy, transportation, agriculture, and cultural heritage. It highlights pressing knowledge gaps, including the need for interdisciplinary research and improved engagement with stakeholders and the public. Advancing the field, this work provides an integrated perspective on Medcyclones' impacts and outlines strategies for resilience, including enhancing predictive models, fostering cross-sectoral impact studies, and improving disaster preparedness. By bridging the knowledge gaps, this review aims to inform policy-making and support the development of adaptive measures to mitigate the escalating threats posed by Medcyclones in the context of a changing climate.

地中海盆地以其文化、生态和气候意义而闻名,经常遭受由地中海气旋(Medcyclones)驱动的高影响天气事件,这是一种以逆时针风环流为特征的大气低压系统。这些气象现象在强度和影响上有时可与飓风相媲美,它们塑造了该地区的天气,并造成了各种自然灾害,包括暴雨、山洪、风暴和海浪。这些事件具有深刻和深远的社会经济和生态后果,特别是对沿海和人口稠密地区。尽管它们发挥着关键作用,但对医疗旋风造成的社会经济损失的系统评估以及对相关风险的有效沟通仍然有限。本综述综合了关于医疗旋风的社会经济影响的现有知识体系,重点关注人类健康、能源、交通、农业和文化遗产等脆弱部门。它突出了紧迫的知识差距,包括需要进行跨学科研究和加强与利益攸关方和公众的接触。这项工作推动了这一领域的发展,为“医疗旋风”的影响提供了一个综合视角,并概述了抗灾战略,包括加强预测模型、促进跨部门影响研究和改善备灾工作。通过弥合知识差距,本综述旨在为政策制定提供信息,并支持制定适应性措施,以减轻在气候变化背景下“医疗旋风”带来的不断升级的威胁。
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引用次数: 0
The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Recharge Oscillator Conceptual Model: Achievements and Future Prospects El Niño南方涛动(ENSO)补给振荡概念模型:成就与未来展望
IF 37.3 1区 地球科学 Q1 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS Pub Date : 2025-03-20 DOI: 10.1029/2024RG000843
J. Vialard, F.-F. Jin, M. J. McPhaden, A. Fedorov, W. Cai, S.-I. An, D. Dommenget, X. Fang, M. F. Stuecker, C. Wang, A. Wittenberg, S. Zhao, F. Liu, S.-K. Kim, Y. Planton, T. Geng, M. Lengaigne, A. Capotondi, N. Chen, L. Geng, S. Hu, T. Izumo, J.-S. Kug, J.-J. Luo, S. McGregor, B. Pagli, P. Priya, S. Stevenson, S. Thual

The recharge oscillator (RO) is a simple mathematical model of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). In its original form, it is based on two ordinary differential equations that describe the evolution of equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature and oceanic heat content. These equations make use of physical principles that operate in nature: (a) the air-sea interaction loop known as the Bjerknes feedback, (b) a delayed oceanic feedback arising from the slow oceanic response to winds within the equatorial band, (c) state-dependent stochastic forcing from fast wind variations known as westerly wind bursts (WWBs), and (d) nonlinearities such as those related to deep atmospheric convection and oceanic advection. These elements can be combined at different levels of RO complexity. The RO reproduces ENSO key properties in observations and climate models: its amplitude, dominant timescale, seasonality, and warm/cold phases amplitude asymmetry. We discuss the RO in the context of timely research questions. First, the RO can be extended to account for ENSO pattern diversity (with events that either peak in the central or eastern Pacific). Second, the core RO hypothesis that ENSO is governed by tropical Pacific dynamics is discussed from the perspective of influences from other basins. Finally, we discuss the RO relevance for studying ENSO response to climate change, and underline that accounting for ENSO diversity, nonlinearities, and better links of RO parameters to the long term mean state are important research avenues. We end by proposing important RO-based research problems.

补给振子(RO)是El Niño南方涛动(ENSO)的一个简单数学模型。它的原始形式是基于描述赤道太平洋海面温度和海洋热含量演变的两个常微分方程。这些方程利用了自然界中运行的物理原理:(a)被称为比耶克内反馈的海气相互作用环,(b)由赤道带内风的缓慢海洋响应引起的延迟海洋反馈,(c)由被称为西风爆发的快速风变化引起的依赖状态的随机强迫,以及(d)非线性,如与深层大气对流和海洋平流有关的非线性。这些元素可以在RO的不同复杂程度上进行组合。RO在观测和气候模式中再现ENSO的关键特性:振幅、主导时间尺度、季节性和冷暖相位振幅不对称性。我们在及时的研究问题的背景下讨论RO。首先,RO可以扩展到考虑ENSO模式多样性(在太平洋中部或东部达到峰值的事件)。其次,从其他盆地的影响角度讨论了ENSO受热带太平洋动力控制的核心RO假说。最后,我们讨论了RO与研究ENSO对气候变化响应的相关性,并强调考虑ENSO的多样性、非线性以及RO参数与长期平均状态的更好联系是重要的研究途径。最后,我们提出了一些重要的基于ro的研究问题。
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引用次数: 0
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Reviews of Geophysics
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