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Survival modeling of accident risks of vehicle drivers in Northern Region of Ghana 加纳北部地区车辆驾驶员事故风险的生存模型
Pub Date : 2018-02-28 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6549
A. Faisal, M. Diedhiou, Katara Salifu
The primary objective of this article is to investigate how survival modelling can be used in traffic accident analysis to explain driver accident risk factors. Accident records of 398 drivers from 2007 to 2009 were obtained from Motor Traffic and Transport Department (MTTD), Ghana Police Service, Northern region. Cox proportional regression model was employed for the analysis using the SAS package. The conclusion was that Survival modelling promises to be a useful tool for road safety analysis and the most significant variables to the risks of accident were driver characteristics (age, gender, experience), their behaviour in traffic (speed, use of alcohol, use of safety belt), the nature of exposure (annual kilometreage, road surface condition) and vehicle characteristics (vehicle age, weight, tyres condition). Implementation of the findings of this study will enable policy makers put up better measures to reduce accident occurrence in the region in particular and the country as a whole.   Key words: Cox proportional model, accident risks, annual vehicle kilometreage, survival modelling, SAS package.
本文的主要目的是研究如何在交通事故分析中使用生存模型来解释驾驶员事故风险因素。2007年至2009年,398名司机的事故记录来自加纳北部地区警察局机动交通和运输部。使用SAS软件包,采用Cox比例回归模型进行分析。结论是,生存模型有望成为道路安全分析的有用工具,事故风险的最重要变量是驾驶员特征(年龄、性别、经验)、他们在交通中的行为(速度、饮酒、使用安全带)、,暴露性质(年公里数、路面状况)和车辆特性(车龄、重量、轮胎状况)。这项研究结果的实施将使政策制定者能够采取更好的措施,减少该地区乃至整个国家的事故发生。关键词:Cox比例模型,事故风险,年车辆里程,生存模型,SAS包。
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引用次数: 1
Precipitation concentration changes over India during 1951 to 2015 1951 - 2015年印度降水浓度变化
Pub Date : 2018-02-15 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6540
S. Nandargi S., Aman K.
The precipitation concentration index (PCI) of Indian region using monthly data for 1951 to 2015 was estimated on an annual and seasonal scale to show the changes in temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall over the 34 meteorological sub-divisions. As a result, annual values of PCI showed more erratic nature than the uniform to moderate behaviour of seasonal (Jun-Sept) PCI values. Computation of PCI will be useful in hydrological, water resources as well as flood and drought management programs. As floods are more common in north and northeast India, PCI may serve as a warning tool in disaster control management in relation to floods and soil erosion since PCI can help in the analysis of soil erosion and in the calculation of erodibility of land and loss of soil due to it. Key words: Temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall, precipitation concentration index, meteorological sub-divisions of India, floods and erosion.
利用1951 - 2015年印度地区月数据,在年和季节尺度上估算了降水浓度指数(PCI),以反映34个气象分区降水的时空分布变化。因此,PCI的年值比季节(6 - 9月)PCI值的均匀到中等行为表现出更不稳定的性质。PCI的计算将在水文、水资源以及洪水和干旱管理方案中发挥重要作用。由于洪水在印度北部和东北部更为常见,PCI可以作为与洪水和土壤侵蚀有关的灾害控制管理的预警工具,因为PCI可以帮助分析土壤侵蚀并计算土地的可蚀性和土壤流失。关键词:降雨时空分布,降水浓度指数,印度气象分区,洪水与侵蚀
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引用次数: 6
Preparation of value added composite sheet from solid waste leather - A prototype design 用固体废皮革制备增值复合薄板-原型设计
Pub Date : 2018-01-30 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6551
A. Teklay, G. Gebeyehu, T. Getachew, T. Yaynshet, S. Inbasekaran, T. Sastry
Leather sector in Ethiopia is blessed with huge livestock resource which serves as source of raw material (hides and skin), cheap and highly disciplined workforce, cheap cost of doing business, significant international comparative advantages, investment incentives, and custom duty exemption. This industry remains a supplier of low value added, semi- processed hides and skin to the international market. leather sheet of wonderful strength (9.84±0.16 MPa) and very reasonable elongation at break (31.40%) having amenable use was prepared and the production of this value added products from waste material is a reasonable task of the time that scholars should do as it can serve as means of income besides its advantage to reduce environmental pollution specially in countries like Ethiopia which, have untapped solid waste leather resource. Key words: Solid waste, leather fiber, latex, Ethiopia.
埃塞俄比亚的皮革行业拥有巨大的牲畜资源,是原材料(皮革和皮革)的来源,劳动力廉价且纪律严明,经营成本低廉,具有显著的国际比较优势,投资激励和关税豁免。该行业仍然是国际市场上低附加值、半加工皮革的供应商。制备了具有极好强度(9.84±0.16MPa)和非常合理的断裂伸长率(31.40%)的皮革片材,具有良好的使用性能,用废料生产这种增值产品是学者们当时应该做的一项合理的任务,因为它除了有减少环境污染的优势外,还可以作为收入来源,拥有未开发的固体废皮革资源。关键词:固体废物,皮革纤维,乳胶,埃塞俄比亚。
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引用次数: 4
Histological changes in the larvae of the domestic mosquito Culex pipiens treated with the entomopathogenic fungus Beauveria bassiana 球孢白僵菌处理家养库蚊幼虫的组织学变化
Pub Date : 2018-01-15 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6544
Benzina Farida, Hamid Sonia, Mohand-Kaci Hakima, Bissaad Fatma, H. Fatma
The Culicidae are biting insects that are most harmful to people. They are almost all blood-suckers, and are responsible for the spread of many important diseases such as malaria, yellow fever and elephantiasis. Entomopathogenic microorganisms occupy an important place among the alternative methods of fighting against pests insect. The fungus, Beauveria bassiana is an entomopathogenic agent naturally present in the ecosystems and offers a very interesting potential for controlling populations of mosquitoes. Our study aims at showing the 4th stage larvae histological changes of the domestic mosquito Culex pipiens, treated with the entomopathogenic fungus B. bassiana in suspension which corresponds to a dose of 107 spore/mL. In fact, after developing the individuals in the fungal solution, histological study was carried out on the following parts; cuticle, intestine, adipose tissue and hemolymph. The histological studies showed many alterations and malformation in the treated 4th instar larvae body and tissues. The infection affected the different parts of the body, especially the cuticle, the adipose cells, and midgut, in addition to the development and the colonization of B. bassiana inside tissues. The application of B. bassiana on the cuticle of the larvae was dependent on an apparent disturbance in the structure of the cuticle or the degeneration of its different parts. The fungus infection does not stop at the level of the body walls, so it even goes to adipose tissue, epidermal cells and intestine. Based on these results, B. bassiana could be suggested as suitable biocontrol agent against C. pipiens.   Key words: Beauveria bassiana, Culex pipiens, cuticle, histological study, midgut, adipose tissue.
库蚊科是对人类危害最大的咬人昆虫。它们几乎都是吸血动物,是疟疾、黄热病和象皮病等许多重要疾病传播的罪魁祸首。昆虫病原微生物在防治病虫害的替代方法中占有重要地位。球孢白僵菌是一种天然存在于生态系统中的昆虫病原体,在控制蚊子数量方面具有非常有趣的潜力。本研究以107孢子/mL球孢白僵菌(B. bassiana)为混悬剂,观察国产库蚊4期幼虫的组织学变化。实际上,在真菌溶液中培养个体后,对以下部分进行了组织学研究;角质层,肠,脂肪组织和血淋巴。组织学研究表明,处理后4龄幼虫的身体和组织发生了许多变化和畸形。除了球孢白僵菌在组织内的发育和定植外,感染还影响到身体的不同部位,尤其是角质层、脂肪细胞和中肠。球孢白僵菌在幼虫表皮上的施用取决于表皮结构的明显紊乱或不同部位的退化。真菌感染不会止步于体壁水平,它甚至会进入脂肪组织、表皮细胞和肠道。基于以上结果,球孢白僵菌可作为较理想的防制剂。关键词:球孢白僵菌,库蚊,角质层,组织学研究,中肠,脂肪组织
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引用次数: 20
Influence of layouts on visual impression: Comparing 12 flyer layout patterns 版式对视觉印象的影响:比较12种传单版式
Pub Date : 2017-12-20 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6511
Yutaka Andoh, Kengo Omura, T. Kentaro, Kawamoto Koushi, T. Fujinami
The purpose of this study was twofold. First, extent of the influence of flyer layouts on user impressions was investigated. Data were collected from 425 non-designers. The participants, consisting of eight groups of men and women between the ages of 20 and 50, were shown 60 flyers (12 layouts × five other design features) of a piano concert on a computer screen. The percentage of layout contribution to user impression, estimated by the ranges of category scores, was under 20%. This result indicates that layouts have a relatively small influence on impressions. Second, using dual scaling, layouts which had an influence on the variety of impressions was confirmed. The analysis produced X/Y dimensions where the first dimension (X-axis) indicated “formal-casual” and the second dimension (Y-axis) indicated “powerful-delicate.” It was suggested that the degree of alignment enhanced a formal impression, while the degree of symmetry enhanced a powerful impression.   Key words: Layout, flyer, user impression, document design.
这项研究的目的是双重的。首先,研究了传单布局对用户印象的影响程度。数据收集自425名非设计师。参与者由八组年龄在20到50岁之间的男女组成,他们在电脑屏幕上展示了60张钢琴音乐会的传单(12张布局× 5个其他设计特征)。根据类别得分的范围估计,布局对用户印象的贡献百分比低于20%。这一结果表明,布局对印象的影响相对较小。其次,采用双尺度法,确定了布局对印痕变化的影响。分析产生了X/Y维度,其中第一个维度(X轴)表示“正式-休闲”,第二个维度(Y轴)表示“强大-精致”。有人认为,对齐的程度增强了正式的印象,而对称的程度增强了有力的印象。关键词:排版,传单,用户印象,文档设计。
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引用次数: 0
Time step-size on simulation of tree-induced capillary potential in unsaturated soils 非饱和土壤中树木诱导毛细管电位模拟的时间步长
Pub Date : 2017-11-15 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6543
M. Abdullahi
Unreliability in the assumption of soil properties, selection of elapse time, choice of time step size and atmospheric variables causes most inconsistencies in the simulation results. Therefore, time step size studied was based on root water up-take on a single Lime tree on a Boulder Clay. The effects of ¼, ½ and 1 day time step sizes on generated capillary potential at 0.0 m, 1.4 m and 3.0 m from the lime tree for  elapse time of 30, 90, 190 and 270 days elapsed time were studied. A straightforward sink term for root water uptake was used and combined with two-dimensional axi-symmetric governing equation for unsaturated soil. The simulated capillary potential was directly proportional to the elapsed time. The time step sizes studied were found to give the same generated capillary potentials at same spacial distances. The idea was to investigate the generated capillary potentials at ¼, ½ and 1 days time steps sizes at a same spatial distance from the Lime tree on a Boulder Clay should be the same. Consequently, the difference in the results generated with the three initial time step sizes were far less than ±5%, which is satisfactory.   Key words: Unsaturated soil, boundary condition, capillary potential, spatial discretization, time discretization.
土壤性质假设、经过时间选择、时间步长选择和大气变量的不可靠性导致模拟结果的大部分不一致。因此,研究的时间步长是基于博尔德粘土上一棵石灰树的根系吸水量。研究了在30、90、190和270天的时间内,¼、½和1天的时间步长对距离石灰树0.0米、1.4米和3.0米处产生的毛细管电位的影响。使用了一个直接的根系吸水汇项,并将其与非饱和土壤的二维轴对称控制方程相结合。模拟的毛细管电位与经过的时间成正比。研究发现,所研究的时间步长在相同的空间距离下产生相同的毛细管电位。其想法是研究在距离Boulder Clay上的石灰树相同空间距离的¼、½和1天时间步长下产生的毛细管电位。因此,三个初始时间步长产生的结果差异远小于±5%,这是令人满意的。关键词:非饱和土,边界条件,毛细管电位,空间离散化,时间离散化。
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引用次数: 0
Determination of heavy metals in landfill area in Tocantins, Brazil 巴西托坎廷斯垃圾填埋场重金属的测定
Pub Date : 2017-10-15 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6530
Maria de Sousa Alves Cristiely, Olinto Galvão Alcione, Geraldo Kramer Dany, Ribeiro Barbosa Isabelle, Mendes de Sousa Anesio
Improper disposal of municipal solid waste is a problem in Brazil, especially in the North, as noted in Araguatins, TO and can lead to environmental contamination caused by heavy metals. This study aims to analyze the occurrence of heavy metals in soil and leachate in the landfill of Araguatins, TO, Brazil. Soil samples and manure were collected at different points and stored in plastic containers for later laboratory analysis of heavy metals (Cd, Cu, Ni, Pb and Zn (slurry - atomic absorption spectroscopy)) and soil (ICP-MS). Soil samples have heavy metals concentrations based on the recommended range. The slurry samples had lead, copper and zinc above the permissive range. Key words: Heavy metals, dump, slurry, soil.
城市固体废物处置不当在巴西是一个问题,特别是在北部,如在尼加拉瓜、玻利维亚和玻利维亚所指出的那样,并可能导致重金属造成的环境污染。本研究旨在分析巴西阿拉瓜汀市垃圾填埋场土壤和渗滤液中重金属的赋存状况。在不同地点收集土壤样品和粪便,并将其储存在塑料容器中,以便随后进行重金属(Cd, Cu, Ni, Pb和Zn(浆料原子吸收光谱))和土壤(ICP-MS)的实验室分析。土壤样本的重金属浓度在建议范围内。浆液样品中铅、铜和锌的含量高于允许范围。关键词:重金属,排土场,泥浆,土壤。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change impact on maize (Zea mays L.) yield using crop simulation and statistical downscaling models: A review 气候变化对玉米(Zea mays L.)产量的影响:基于作物模拟和统计降尺度模型
Pub Date : 2017-09-30 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6521
Charles Bwalya Chisanga, E. Phiri, V. Chinene
Review of literature related to the impact of climate change on maize (Zea mays L.) yield using Global Climate Models (GCMs), statistical downscaling, and crop simulation (APSIM-maize-and-CERES-maize models) models are discussed. GCMs can simulate the current and future climatic scenarios. Crop yield projections using crop models require climate inputs at higher spatial resolution than that provided by GCMs. The computationally inexpensive statistical downscaling technique is widely used for this translation. Studies on regional climate modeling have mostly focused on Southern Africa and West Africa, with very few studies in Zambia. Additionally, the integrated use of climate and crop models have received relatively less attention in Africa compared to other parts of the world. Conversely, the AgMIP protocols have been implemented in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) (Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and South Africa) and South Asia (SA) (Sri Lanka). In Zambia, however, the protocols have not been applied at either regional or local scale. Applying crop and statistical downscaling models requires calibration and validation, and these are crucial for correct climate and crop simulation. The review shows that although uncertainties exist in the design of models, and parameters, soil, climate and management options, the climate would adversely affect maize yield production in SSA. The potential effect of climate change on maize production can be studied using crop models such as agricultural production simulator (APSIM) and decision support system for agrotechnology (DSSAT) models. There is need to use integrated assessment modeling to study future climate impact on maize yield. The assessment is essential for long-term planning in food security and in developing adaptation and mitigation strategies in the face of climate variability and change.   Key words: Review, AgMIP, climate scenario, climate change, variability, crop simulation model, bias correction, dynamical downscaling, Global Climate Model (GCM), statistical downscaling.
讨论了使用全球气候模型(GCM)、统计降尺度和作物模拟(APSIM玉米和CERES玉米模型)模型对气候变化对玉米产量影响的相关文献综述。GCM可以模拟当前和未来的气候情景。使用作物模型进行的作物产量预测需要比全球气候模型提供的空间分辨率更高的气候投入。计算成本低廉的统计降尺度技术被广泛用于这种翻译。区域气候建模研究主要集中在南部非洲和西非,很少在赞比亚进行研究。此外,与世界其他地区相比,综合使用气候和作物模型在非洲受到的关注相对较少。相反,AgMIP议定书已在撒哈拉以南非洲(埃塞俄比亚、肯尼亚、坦桑尼亚、乌干达和南非)和南亚(斯里兰卡)实施。然而,在赞比亚,这些议定书没有在区域或地方范围内实施。应用作物和统计降尺度模型需要校准和验证,这些对于正确的气候和作物模拟至关重要。审查表明,尽管模型和参数、土壤、气候和管理方案的设计存在不确定性,但气候将对SSA的玉米产量产生不利影响。气候变化对玉米生产的潜在影响可以使用作物模型进行研究,如农业生产模拟器(APSIM)和农业技术决策支持系统(DSSAT)模型。有必要使用综合评估模型来研究未来气候对玉米产量的影响。这一评估对于粮食安全的长期规划以及制定应对气候变异和变化的适应和缓解战略至关重要。关键词:综述,AgMIP,气候情景,气候变化,可变性,作物模拟模型,偏差校正,动态降尺度,全球气候模型,统计降尺度。
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引用次数: 16
Effect of sonication at different ultrasonic frequencies on the quality and quantity of fatty acids of the oil of Chlorella vulgaris. 不同超声频率对小球藻油中脂肪酸质量和数量的影响。
Pub Date : 2017-08-30 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2014.6084
F. A. Olubunmi
In order to investigate the effect of sonication on the fatty acids of alga oil, oil of Chlorella vulgaris was extracted by sonication at 20, 40, 60 and 80 kHz. Oil extracted by refluxing alga cells in n-hexane was used as control. Probable changes in the structures of the fatty acids were investigated using gas chromatography and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FT-IR). The retention profiles of the chromatograms were similar with differences observed only in peak heights. The FT-IR spectrum of the hexane extract was similar to the spectra of oil extracted at 20 and 40 kHz. The FT-IR spectra of oil extracted at 60 and 80 kHz were identical but different from the other spectra. Peaks at about 1560 cm-1 which were prominent in the 60 and 80 kHz spectra but absent from the other spectra were assigned to non-oil lipids such as steroids. It was concluded that extraction of oil from C. vulgaris by sonication at 20, 40, 60 and 80 kHz had no degradative effect on the structure of the fatty acids of C. vulgaris.   Key words: Alga, triglycerides, extraction, sonication, chromatography, spectroscopy.
为了研究超声处理对藻油中脂肪酸的影响,采用20、40、60、80 kHz超声提取小球藻油。以正己烷回流法提取的藻类细胞油为对照。利用气相色谱和傅里叶变换红外光谱(FT-IR)研究了脂肪酸结构的可能变化。色谱的保留谱相似,只有峰高不同。正己烷萃取物的红外光谱与提取油在20和40 kHz时的光谱相似。60 kHz和80 kHz提取的油的FT-IR光谱相同,但与其他光谱不同。大约1560 cm-1的峰在60和80 kHz光谱中很突出,但在其他光谱中不存在,被分配给非油类脂类,如类固醇。结果表明,在20、40、60和80 kHz超声条件下提取金钱子油对金钱子脂肪酸结构无降解作用。关键词:海藻,甘油三酯,提取,超声,色谱,光谱
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引用次数: 0
West African Monsoon (WAM) and Atlantic Cold Tongue (ACT) onsets using Regional Climate Model 西非季风(WAM)和大西洋冷舌(ACT)爆发的区域气候模式
Pub Date : 2017-08-18 DOI: 10.5897/SRE2017.6525
K. B. Kouassi, A. Diawara, K. Kouadio, Fidèle Yoroba, E. Toualy
This study focused on the occurrences and relationships of the Atlantic Cold Tongue (ACT) and the West African Monsoon (WAM) onsets in the Sudano-Sahelian region during 1983-2000. Two simulations (WAFSSTERA and WAFSSTREY) were used to investigate the sensitivity of the Regional Atmospheric Model (MAR) for two different datasets of sea surface temperature (ERA-40 and Reynolds SST datasets). The MAR reproduced the rainfall high values in the Guinean zone. A band of weak precipitation (<1 mm/day) was observed in the two simulations. WAFSSTERA gave more annual daily average rainfall (~1.6 mm/day) than WAFSSTREY. The simulated onset date index (ODI) of WAM showed more northward penetration of monsoon flow, particularly during flood years in the Gulf of Guinea. These results also indicated that the monsoon onset did not depend on the SST dataset used to force the model. Finally, the negative difference between ODIs and ACT onset date could be due to warm SST. The yearly evolution of the southern heat transport was also in agreement with this difference. It showed yearly succession of negative and positive anomalies around 7.5°N (mean rainy equilibrium position over West Africa). Such study could be useful for the forecast of WAM onset and ACT scenario relationships. Key words: Atlantic cold tongue, onset date index, regional climate model, sea surface temperature, West African Monsoon.
本研究重点研究了1983-2000年苏达诺-萨赫勒地区大西洋冷舌(ACT)和西非季风(WAM)爆发的发生及其关系。使用两个模拟(WAFSSTERA和WAFSTREY)来研究区域大气模型(MAR)对两个不同的海面温度数据集(ERA-40和Reynolds SST数据集)的敏感性。MAR重现了几内亚地区的降雨量高值。在两次模拟中观察到弱降水带(<1mm/天)。WAFSSTERA的年平均日降雨量(约1.6毫米/天)高于WAFSTREY。WAM的模拟起始日期指数(ODI)显示季风流更多地向北渗透,特别是在几内亚湾的洪水年。这些结果还表明,季风的爆发并不取决于用于强制模型的SST数据集。最后,ODI和ACT发病日期之间的负差异可能是由于温暖的SST。南方热输运的年演变也与这种差异相一致。它显示出在7.5°N(西非平均降雨平衡位置)左右每年都会出现负异常和正异常。这项研究可能有助于预测WAM发作和ACT情景关系。关键词:大西洋冷舌,发病日期指数,区域气候模式,海面温度,西非季风。
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引用次数: 0
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