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2019 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)最新文献

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Real-Time Capacity Estimation of Lithium-ion Batteries Using a Novel Ensemble of Multi-Kernel Relevance Vector Machines 基于多核相关向量机的锂离子电池容量实时估计
Yang Zhang, Hang Yao, Jianjun Qi, P. Jiang, B. Guo
Lithium-ion batteries have been growing in popularity for portable electronics, electric vehicles, aerospace and military devices due to many excellent characteristics. The prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries are significant. In this paper, a novel mixture model of multi-kernel relevance vector machines with dynamic weights (DW-MMKRVM) is proposed to estimate the real-time capacity of lithium-ion batteries based on indirect health indicators. Weights of each sub-model in DW-MMKRVM keep updating during sequential, online data collection and model training. Experiments illustrate the proposed approach can produce more robust and accurate capacity estimation, which is critical for prognostics and health management of lithium-ion batteries. Comparison results also show that the proposed DW-MMKRVM with more sub-models can increase the estimation accuracy.
由于锂离子电池具有许多优良的特性,在便携式电子产品、电动汽车、航空航天和军事设备中越来越受欢迎。锂离子电池的预测和健康管理具有重要意义。本文提出了一种基于间接健康指标的锂离子电池实时容量估计的动态权值多核相关向量机混合模型(DW-MMKRVM)。DW-MMKRVM中各子模型的权重在连续在线数据采集和模型训练过程中不断更新。实验表明,该方法可以产生更稳健和准确的容量估计,这对锂离子电池的预测和健康管理至关重要。对比结果还表明,增加子模型的DW-MMKRVM可以提高估计精度。
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引用次数: 1
Multiaxial Fatigue Life Prediction Based on Critical Plane Method 基于临界平面法的多轴疲劳寿命预测
Hong-Hua Sun, Xudong Chen, Qing-yang Li, Chunwei Li
Axis are usually hollow or solid cylindrical members. According to different needs, complex geometric elements such as holes, grooves, splines and steps will be designed on the axis. These parts often lead to stress concentration and high local stress, and multiaxial fatigue will be caused by multi-direction stress or strain in the process of processing. Taking the spindle of a bearing ring inner grinder as the research object, the working mechanism of the inner grinder, the feeding mode of the spindle and the workpiece are analyzed. The fatigue life prediction model of the spindle is determined by the critical plane method, and the number of stress cycles and fatigue damage of the spindle under four technological processes are also determined. In view of the fact that the inner grinder of bearing rings will change the size of workpiece irregularly, the influence of bearing rings of different sizes on the fatigue life of the spindle is simulated and analyzed. The maximum stress cycle times of the spindle are calculated, and the scatter plot is drawn. Finally, the relationship curve and function relationship between the inner diameter of bearing rings and the fatigue life of the spindle are obtained by the least square curve fitting method combined with the MATLAB curve fitting toolbox.
轴通常是空心或实心圆柱构件。根据不同的需求,在轴上设计孔、槽、样条、台阶等复杂的几何元素。这些零件往往导致应力集中,局部应力高,加工过程中多向应力或应变会引起多轴疲劳。以轴承套圈内圆磨床的主轴为研究对象,分析了内圆磨床的工作机理、主轴和工件的进给方式。采用临界平面法确定了主轴的疲劳寿命预测模型,确定了四种工艺过程下主轴的应力循环次数和疲劳损伤情况。针对轴承套圈内磨会使工件尺寸发生不规则变化的事实,模拟分析了不同尺寸的轴承套圈对主轴疲劳寿命的影响。计算了主轴的最大应力循环次数,并绘制了散点图。最后,结合MATLAB曲线拟合工具箱,采用最小二乘曲线拟合方法得到轴承套圈内径与主轴疲劳寿命的关系曲线和函数关系。
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引用次数: 1
Residual Life Prediction Using Grey Correlation Analysis of Feature Selection 基于灰色关联分析特征选择的剩余寿命预测
Hang Yao, X. Jia, Z. Cheng, B. Guo
Residual life prediction using monitoring data is an important method in reliability engineering. However, in the current performance degradation study, the selection of performance degradation characteristics is usually selected based on expert experience. In this study, a method using grey correlation analysis is applied to select the performance degradation characteristics as the health index of products. Further, the selected characteristics are analyzed with the linear Wiener process model. And the model parameters are estimated using the MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) method in the view of Bayes theory. Finally, a numerical example concerning the remaining life estimation of a certain satellite product is presented.
利用监测数据进行剩余寿命预测是可靠性工程中的重要方法。然而,在目前的性能退化研究中,性能退化特征的选择通常是根据专家经验来选择的。本研究采用灰色关联分析方法选取产品的性能退化特征作为健康指标。利用线性维纳过程模型对所选特性进行了分析。从贝叶斯理论的角度出发,采用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗方法对模型参数进行估计。最后,给出了卫星产品剩余寿命估计的数值算例。
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引用次数: 0
Research on Estimation of Equivalent Working Time for Armored Vehicle Engine Based on Degradation Data 基于退化数据的装甲车辆发动机等效工作时间估计研究
Yanhua Cao, Yong Li, Chun-liang Chen, Yiran Guo
The working time of combat equipment’s engine, such as the diesel engine of armored vehicle, reflects its technical condition to a great degree. However, the identical use time under different external usage environments may reflect different technical conditions of equipment. But the residual life can be indirectly estimated more accurately by calculating equipment’s equivalent use time. Empirically speaking, the same values of degradation parameters usually reflect the same technical conditions of the equipment when it even worked under different external environments. The service life of the same type of equipment under the same usage environments is similar. In this paper, the determination principle and measurement method of the technical parameters is put forward firstly. Then, the neural network’s advantages in prediction field are put forward and the method of regression prediction with neural network is chosen to estimate the equivalent working time of diesel engine of armored vehicle. The standard external usage environments are specified so as to change the ordinary working time into its equivalent. Taking a certain type of armored equipment diesel engine as an example, the prediction model is built based on several degradation parameters. Then the model is tested and verified by actual usage data. The calculation results indicate that the estimation method is scientific and practical. Two problems are finally proposed to discuss for further improvement.
战斗装备的发动机,如装甲车的柴油机,其工作时间在很大程度上反映了其技术状况。然而,在不同的外部使用环境下,相同的使用时间可能反映出不同的设备技术状况。而通过计算设备的等效使用时间,可以间接地更准确地估计设备的剩余寿命。从经验上讲,相同的退化参数值通常反映了设备在不同外部环境下工作时的相同技术状况。同一类型的设备在相同的使用环境下使用寿命是相似的。本文首先提出了工艺参数的确定原则和测量方法。然后,提出了神经网络在预测领域的优势,并选择神经网络回归预测的方法对装甲车辆柴油机等效工作时间进行估计。规定了标准的外部使用环境,以便将普通工作时间转换为其等效时间。以某型装甲装备柴油机为例,建立了基于多个退化参数的预测模型。然后用实际使用数据对模型进行了测试和验证。计算结果表明,该估算方法是科学实用的。最后提出了两个有待进一步改进的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Design of-the Accelerated Degradation Experiment by Monte Carlo Method and Genetic Algorithm 基于蒙特卡罗方法和遗传算法的加速退化实验优化设计
Jiantao Li, Yue Wang, Huanan Cui, Dayu Zhang, Hongqi Zhang, Song Zhang, He Wang
There are extensive applications of accelerated degradation test in predicting the lifetime distribution of highly reliable products. The precision of the estimation can be improved by optimizing the experimental design of the accelerated degradation test. However, the complexity of the analytical method prevents the optimization algorithm from extensive application. In this work, a two-step method, based on Monte Carlo simulation and multi-objective genetic algorithm, is presented to optimize the accelerated degradation test, where the degradation rate follows a lognormal distribution. Then, a numerical example is provided to illustrate the method. The result of simulation and sensitivity analysis shows the optimized sample allocation ratio is closely related to the random measurement error.
加速退化试验在高可靠性产品寿命分布预测中有着广泛的应用。通过优化加速退化试验的实验设计,可以提高估计的精度。然而,分析方法的复杂性阻碍了优化算法的广泛应用。本文提出了一种基于蒙特卡罗模拟和多目标遗传算法的两步优化加速退化试验方法,其中退化率服从对数正态分布。最后通过数值算例对该方法进行了说明。仿真和灵敏度分析结果表明,优化后的样本分配比例与随机测量误差密切相关。
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引用次数: 0
Operational Reliability Evaluation Method of Production Systems Based on Multistate Production Network 基于多状态生产网络的生产系统运行可靠性评估方法
Xiaodong Wang, Jin-Cheng Wang, Tiejun Ma, Hangong Wang, Zhaojun Hao
Accurate reliability evaluation method play a vital role in production scheduling and equipment science maintenance decisions. However, with the advent of Industry 4.0, the structure and function of modern industrial systems have become more complex. The traditional reliability evaluation method cannot accurately describe the operating state of the production system because it cannot accurately reflect the multistate characteristics. To solve this phenomenon, a novel operational reliability evaluation method for production systems was proposed. Firstly, according to the multistate characteristics of the production system, the new concept of operational reliability is proposed. Secondly, based on the operating characteristics of the production system, a multistate production network that comprehensively analyzes the machine performance state, task execution state and product quality state is proposed, to reduce the complexity of the operation. Third, an operational reliability evaluation process for multistate production systems is proposed based on multistate production network and Markov model. Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated using the case of the ferrite phase shifting unit production system.
准确的可靠性评估方法在生产调度和设备科学维修决策中起着至关重要的作用。然而,随着工业4.0的到来,现代工业系统的结构和功能变得更加复杂。传统的可靠性评估方法由于不能准确地反映生产系统的多状态特性,不能准确地描述生产系统的运行状态。针对这一现象,提出了一种新的生产系统运行可靠性评估方法。首先,根据生产系统的多状态特性,提出了运行可靠性的新概念;其次,根据生产系统的运行特点,提出了一种综合分析机器性能状态、任务执行状态和产品质量状态的多状态生产网络,以降低运行的复杂性;第三,提出了一种基于多状态生产网络和马尔可夫模型的多状态生产系统运行可靠性评估方法。最后,以铁氧体相移单元生产系统为例,验证了该方法的有效性。
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引用次数: 0
The Application of IoT Technology to a Manufacturing Process: Case Study 物联网技术在制造过程中的应用:案例研究
Khaldoon Hijazin, Tieling Zhang
The internet of things (IoT) has become an important technology in our life. It is considered as an enhancing feature which could improve the quality of communications if it is applied in the right way. However, if the IoT is not well designed or designed with complicated models, it will result in not easy application so that technicians and engineers will avoid using it. In this paper, a model of IoT utilized in manufacturing industry is illustrated to show the importance of its application. It shows how the IoT is applied in its simplest form through developing a production system in a food factory. One manufacturing line is studied, which is a teacake manufacturing line in a factory in Jordan. After analyzing the production data of the production system and considering the minimum resources required for the production, a model is introduced with programming to show how a proper design of the IoT can help reduce the cost of the production with appropriate human resource planning and reduced cycle time in producing each batch of the Sambo teacakes. Finally, this paper indicates that IoT is a critical technology in manufacturing, which could help the industry to make the entire strategy in order to build and maintain a sustainable and competitive position in the market.
物联网(IoT)已经成为我们生活中的一项重要技术。它被认为是一种增强特性,如果应用得当,可以提高通信质量。但是,如果物联网设计不好,或者模型设计复杂,就会导致应用不方便,技术人员和工程师会避免使用它。本文以物联网在制造业中的应用为例,说明了物联网应用的重要性。它展示了如何通过在食品厂开发生产系统以最简单的形式应用物联网。以约旦某工厂的一条茶饼生产线为研究对象。在分析了生产系统的生产数据并考虑到生产所需的最小资源后,引入了一个具有编程的模型,以展示物联网的适当设计如何通过适当的人力资源规划和缩短生产每批Sambo茶饼的周期时间来帮助降低生产成本。最后,本文指出物联网是制造业的一项关键技术,它可以帮助行业制定整个战略,以建立和保持可持续的市场竞争地位。
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引用次数: 1
A Rosenblatt Transformation Method Based on Copula Function for Solving Structural Reliability 基于Copula函数的Rosenblatt变换方法求解结构可靠度
Juan Du, Haibin Li
Rosenblatt transformation is a general method for transforming a group of non-normal random variables into a group of equivalent independent normal random variables. However, this method is not suitable for the problem of unknown joint distribution function. In view of the above problems, the joint distribution function is constructed by the Copula function in this paper, and the transformation problem of correlation non-normal variables to independent normal variables is solved. Firstly, the Copula function is used to construct the joint distribution function of correlation variables. It includes the solution of Copula function correlation parameters and the selection of correlation structure types between variables. Secondly, the Copula function is introduced into Rosenblatt transformation to obtain the conditional distribution function of variables,. The correlation variables can be transformed into independent variables. Finally, the structural reliability problem with correlation random variables is analyzed. The feasibility of the proposed method is verified by the specific examples.
Rosenblatt变换是将一组非正态随机变量转化为一组等价的独立正态随机变量的一般方法。然而,该方法不适用于未知联合分布函数的问题。针对上述问题,本文利用Copula函数构造了联合分布函数,解决了相关非正态变量到独立正态变量的转换问题。首先,利用Copula函数构造相关变量的联合分布函数。包括Copula函数相关参数的求解和变量间相关结构类型的选择。其次,在Rosenblatt变换中引入Copula函数,得到变量的条件分布函数。相关变量可以转化为自变量。最后,分析了具有相关随机变量的结构可靠度问题。通过具体算例验证了所提方法的可行性。
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引用次数: 3
Wireless Acquisition and Transmission of Mechanical Vibration Signal: A Review 机械振动信号的无线采集与传输研究进展
Yunfei Ma, Xisheng Jia, Guanglong Wang, Huajun Bai, Chiming Guo, Xudong Zhao
For the purpose of monitoring the mechanical equipment in real time, it is of significant potential to collect and transmit mechanical vibration signal through the use of wireless technology. Subjected to the limitation of the narrow bandwidth of the wireless transmission, coupled with the high sampling frequency required by the mechanical vibration signal, it is deemed as quite essential to carry out the on-chip feature extraction or data compression on the sensor node prior to transmitting. The current paper provides a summary of the existing research status from the aspects of sensor node design, on-chip feature extraction and data compression and reconstruction of mechanical vibration signal. Thereafter, we not only summarize but also forecast the research in this field. The current paper is expected to be possibly used as a reference for subsequent research.
为了实现对机械设备的实时监测,利用无线技术采集和传输机械振动信号具有重要的潜力。由于受无线传输带宽较窄的限制,再加上机械振动信号需要较高的采样频率,因此在传输前对传感器节点进行片上特征提取或数据压缩是十分必要的。本文从传感器节点设计、片上特征提取、机械振动信号的数据压缩与重构等方面综述了现有的研究现状。在此基础上,对该领域的研究进行了总结和展望。本文有望为后续的研究提供一定的参考。
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引用次数: 0
Sawing Test Analysis and Reliability Verification of Salix 柳条锯切试验分析及可靠性验证
Zhi-gang Liu, Zhongxiang Ma, C. Pei, Gengjin Sui, Zhen Ji
Aiming at the Salix sawing process because of the unreasonable parameters caused by the cutting effect is poor, saw severe wear and due to the high-speed rotation of the safety problem of high energy consumption, the use of indoor cutting test bench simulation of field work in low speed circumstances. Based on Box-Behnken central combination test method, a multivariate mathematical regression model was established by taking the sawing speed, feed speed and the number of saw blade teeth as the influencing factors, and the sawing power and the sawing surface quality score as the objective function. The results show that the notable order of sawing power influence is sawing speed, feed speed and number of saw blade teeth; the notable order of sawing surface quality score is feed speed, sawing speed and number of saw blade teeth; the optimal combination of working parameters is sawing speed 850 r/min, feed speed 15 mm/s and number of teeth 100 T. Under this combination, sawing power and sawing surface quality score are 156.6W and 81 points. The reliability of the mathematical model is described by probability and data statistics. The relative error of reliability test is used as the evaluation index. The optimized parameter combination is basically accurate, and the established mathematical model meets the reliability requirements.
针对柳树锯切过程中由于参数不合理造成的锯切效果差、锯片磨损严重以及由于高速旋转造成的能耗高的安全问题,利用室内锯切试验台模拟低速情况下的现场工作。基于Box-Behnken中心组合检验方法,以锯切速度、进给速度和锯片齿数为影响因素,以锯切功率和锯切表面质量分数为目标函数,建立了多元数学回归模型。结果表明:锯切功率影响最大的顺序为锯切速度、进给速度和锯片齿数;锯切表面质量得分显著的顺序为进给速度、锯切速度和锯片齿数;最佳工作参数组合为锯切速度850 r/min,进给速度15 mm/s,齿数100 t。在此组合下,锯切功率和锯切表面质量得分分别为156.6W和81分。用概率和数据统计来描述数学模型的可靠性。采用信度试验的相对误差作为评价指标。优化后的参数组合基本准确,建立的数学模型满足可靠性要求。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
2019 International Conference on Quality, Reliability, Risk, Maintenance, and Safety Engineering (QR2MSE)
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