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Proceedings of the 2019 7th International Conference on Modeling, Development and Strategic Management of Economic System (MDSMES 2019)最新文献

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Innovative project management: theoretical and practical aspects 创新项目管理:理论与实践两个方面
H. Matukova, N. Bahashova, L. Korchevska
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引用次数: 1
Economic and Mathematical Modelling for Evaluation of Potential Recreational Forest Utilization 游憩林潜在利用评价的经济与数学模型
Kryzhanivskyi Kryzhanivskyi, L. Horal, V. Shyiko, O. Holubchak, N. Mykytiuk
The need to identify the potential of recreational forest management as one of the priority development courses of the tourist and recreational industry. Based on studies of domestic and foreign scientists, it was established that the potential of recreational forest management is a four-component phenomenon and includes a resource-based, economic, social and innovation and investment components. Considering this aspect, a method of economic evaluation of the potential of recreational forest management was proposed, based on taxonomic analysis methods for economic and mathematical modelling of integral indicator of the potential level of recreational forest management. This method was tested by the example of the recreation area of the Western Ukrainian region. It was determined that the integral indicator of the level of potential of forest management potential at the investigated sites is low. Its main reserves are to improve its economic, innovation and investment component, but it is necessary to maintain a high level of resource and social component. Measures and ways to increase the level of recreational forestry potential are proposed.
需要确定休闲森林管理的潜力,作为旅游和休闲工业的优先发展方向之一。根据国内外科学家的研究,认为游憩森林经营潜力是一个四要素现象,包括资源要素、经济要素、社会要素和创新与投资要素。为此,基于分类学的经济分析方法和游憩林经营潜力水平综合指标的数学建模,提出了一种游憩林经营潜力经济评价方法。以乌克兰西部地区休闲区为例,对该方法进行了验证。经确定,被调查地点森林管理潜力水平的综合指标较低。其主要储备是改善其经济、创新和投资成分,但也需要保持较高水平的资源和社会成分。提出了提高游憩林业潜力水平的措施和途径。
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引用次数: 3
Population Aging and Economic Dynamics in Ukraine: Models of Endogenous Growth Theory and Empirical Estimates of Current Challenges 人口老龄化和乌克兰经济动态:内生增长理论模型和当前挑战的实证估计
V. Heyets, M. Skrypnychenko, S. Shumska
Among the global problems faced by different countries in the last decade, the article looks at population aging. In the context of assessing the impact of population aging on economic dynamics, the scientific novelty of research is to find a solution to this problem in the plane of conceptual ideas formulated in theoretical models of endogenous growth. The authors emphasize the necessity of a state policy aimed at supporting “active aging”, which will help to activate human capital and economic growth by increasing formal employment of people over 60 and reducing informal employment accordingly. Using the linear regression equations, the hypothesis that there is a positive effect of active aging on economic dynamics and productivity in Ukraine has been statistically confirmed and quantitative estimates of the impact of these factors have been obtained. The authors' calculations show that the positive effects of such policy, in particular, are possible with the increase in health care costs, which depend on the activity and mobility of the retirement age. Among the challenges, the authors tested the hypothesis of an increase in informal employment and the shadow economy in the absence of government policies aimed at addressing aging. The use of VAR modeling has made it possible to confirm the relationship between real GDP, informal employment and the size of the shadow sector of the Ukrainian economy. The impulse response functions and variance decomposition confirm the negative impact of the growth of informal employment and, accordingly, the shadow economy on the economic dynamics in Ukraine. The practical significance of this study is the application of its results in the development of measures of economic policy and strategy of socio-economic development of Ukraine. Keywords—population aging, endogenous growth theory, informal labor, regression analysis, VAR model, Ukraine
在过去十年中,不同国家面临的全球问题中,这篇文章关注的是人口老龄化。在评估人口老龄化对经济动态的影响的背景下,研究的科学新颖性在于在内生增长理论模型的概念层面找到解决这一问题的方法。作者强调,有必要制定一项旨在支持“积极老龄化”的国家政策,这将有助于通过增加60岁以上人口的正式就业和相应减少非正式就业来激活人力资本和经济增长。利用线性回归方程,在统计上证实了积极老龄化对乌克兰经济动态和生产率有积极影响的假设,并对这些因素的影响进行了定量估计。作者的计算表明,这种政策的积极影响尤其可能随着医疗保健费用的增加而产生,这取决于退休年龄的活动性和流动性。在这些挑战中,作者测试了在政府没有针对老龄化问题的政策的情况下,非正规就业和影子经济增加的假设。使用VAR模型可以确认实际国内生产总值、非正式就业和乌克兰经济影子部门规模之间的关系。脉冲响应函数和方差分解证实了非正式就业增长的负面影响,因此,影子经济对乌克兰经济动态的影响。本研究的现实意义在于将其结果应用于乌克兰经济政策措施和社会经济发展战略的制定。关键词:人口老龄化,内生增长理论,非正式劳动力,回归分析,VAR模型,乌克兰
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引用次数: 2
Territorial recreational systems and sustainable development 领土娱乐系统和可持续发展
L. Arkhypova, N. Fomenko, I. Kinash, O. Golovnia
in this paper, the functional properties of the recreational environment are substantiated using the example of biosphere ecological concept and ecosystem’s framework approach for the sustainable development of territorial recreation systems (TRS). In the issue of the sustainable development of TRS, its makes sense to study the dynamic processes in the prism of natural and man-made systems. Under the natural-technogenic system, the authors understands the dynamic spatiotemporal range of both natural and anthropogenic materials and processes, through which the exchange of matter and energy in the local systems, including recreation ones, occurs. According to the authors, the buffer capacity of recreation system is the dominant factor determining the prospects for the sustainable development of TRS. The combination of theoretical and methodological foundations of the doctrine of functionally integral geosystems with the concept of multi-vector nature of recreational environment formation, allowed pointing out and specifying those TRS, which operate within a certain space. TRS, according to the authors is a dynamic set with the purpose of anthropogenic subjects and processes recreation within Geosystems whose activities continually trigger environmental changes, quantitative and qualitative Geosystem parameters, and is under the influence of man-made changes. The sustainable development of TRS provides an organization of recreational activities in which territorial Geosystem does not go beyond homeostasis and increasing of a recreational load is limited by buffer capacity of TRS. In this paper, the mathematical formalization of sustainable development of TRS is suggested. It can be used for the following definition of the subject of research: territorial recreational system that operates in the environment, is the set of subjects that formed from a set of internal components interconnected with each other and with the environment by set of connections which vary in the process of sustainable development in time and space according to the set of functions.
本文以生物圈生态概念和生态系统框架方法为例,论证了地域游憩系统可持续发展的游憩环境功能属性。在TRS可持续发展问题中,研究自然和人为系统的动态过程是有意义的。在自然-技术系统下,作者了解了自然和人为物质和过程的动态时空范围,通过这些时空范围,包括娱乐系统在内的局部系统中发生物质和能量的交换。游憩系统的缓冲能力是决定游憩系统可持续发展前景的主导因素。功能整体地质系统学说的理论和方法基础与游憩环境形成的多向量性质的概念相结合,可以指出和指定在一定空间内运行的TRS。TRS是一个动态的集合,其目的是在地球系统中人为主体和过程的再创造,其活动不断触发环境变化、地球系统的定量和定性参数,并受到人为变化的影响。TRS的可持续发展提供了一种游憩活动的组织,在这种组织中,领土地质系统不会超越稳态,游憩负荷的增加受到TRS缓冲能力的限制。本文提出了TRS可持续发展的数学形式化方法。它可用于对研究主体的如下定义:在环境中运行的地域游憩系统,是由一组相互联系并与环境相互联系的内部构件通过一组连接而形成的主体的集合,这些连接在时间和空间的可持续发展过程中,根据功能的集合而变化。
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引用次数: 8
System development for generating information on the consequence influence of emergency situations on the safety of economic activities of enterprises in Ukraine 系统开发,以产生关于紧急情况对乌克兰企业经济活动安全的后果影响的信息
V. Ievdokymov, D. Grytsyshen, T. Tarasova, K. Polyak
A system for generating information on the consequences of emergencies through the study areas of transformation of accounting is developed. The current status of the organization and the methodology of accounting does not allow reflecting economic activity under the conditions of emergencies in full, and therefore, the information generated by accounting and submitted through the reporting system does not take into account the influence of emergencies advent. Thus, organizational and methodological provisions of an order of display by improving the use of estimates, invoices and double entry are developed to highlight the information on the consequences of emergency. The system of accounting for business processes (acquisition, production, sale) is aimed at the formation of the cost of finished products and other costs associated with the operation of the enterprise and generating information of all its components. The issues of organization and methodology of accounting of economic processes at the enterprise never hold sway, because the innovative development of the economy and technology leads to the transformation of technical processes, which in its turn requires a change in the mechanism of using elements of the accounting method. That is why there is a difficulty in reflection of the consequences of emergencies from the position of influence on the enterprise’s production processes. The necessity of using transit accounts is substantiated providing for changing and expanding the mechanism for using the 8th class, whose name is proposed to be replaced with “Transit accounts on demand”. The use of the account 82 “Consequences of Emergencies” with the corresponding subaccounts in the context of the costs of the period and corresponding analytical accounts in the context of the types of consequences of emergency situations will make it possible to distinguish them from the totality. In accordance with the above, the procedure for accounting reflection of the consequences of emergencies that relate to production, general production, administrative and marketing costs and other operational costs has been worked out. In partial estimates of the consequences of ES the choice of valuation methods for certain types of consequences is justified and a multi-level mechanism for allocating general production costs has been developed. The introduction of these provisions into the practice of domestic enterprises allowed providing a set of information requests of internal and external users. Keywords—Accounting, accounting law, rating, account and records, emergency, risk, risk management.
制订了一个系统,通过会计改革的研究领域来产生关于紧急情况后果的资料。组织的现状和会计方法不允许全面反映紧急情况下的经济活动,因此,由会计产生并通过报告系统提交的信息没有考虑到紧急情况出现的影响。因此,通过改进概算、发票和复式记帐的使用,制定了排列次序的组织和方法规定,以突出关于紧急情况后果的信息。业务流程(收购、生产、销售)的会计系统旨在形成与企业运营相关的成品成本和其他成本,并生成其所有组成部分的信息。企业经济过程会计的组织和方法问题从未占据主导地位,因为经济和技术的创新发展导致技术过程的转变,而技术过程的转变反过来又要求会计方法要素的使用机制发生变化。这就是为什么很难从对企业生产过程影响的角度来反映紧急情况的后果。使用过境帐户的必要性得到证实,规定改变和扩大使用第8类帐户的机制,建议将其名称改为“按需过境帐户”。使用帐户82 "紧急情况的后果"及其在该期间费用范围内的相应子帐户和在紧急情况后果类型范围内的相应分析帐户,将有可能将它们与总体区分开来。根据上述规定,已经制订了反映与生产、一般生产、行政和销售费用以及其他业务费用有关的紧急情况后果的会计程序。在对生态系统后果的部分估计中,为某些类型的后果选择估值方法是合理的,并且已经发展了分配一般生产成本的多层次机制。在国内企业的实践中引入这些规定,可以提供内部和外部用户的一套信息要求。关键词:会计,会计法,评级,帐务记录,突发事件,风险,风险管理
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引用次数: 2
Impact investing: world trends and the problems of its implementation in Ukraine 影响力投资:世界趋势及其在乌克兰实施的问题
K. Slyusarenko, I. Vasylchuk, M. Sadovenko
Development of socially responsible investing is a necessary condition of reforming the modern economy considering economic instability in Ukraine. The rapidly growing part of assets around the world is forcing to make a choice of investments focused not only on returns, but also on sustainability and compliance with social values. Adapting the world models of impact investments to the realities of the domestic economy requires detailed consideration of their
考虑到乌克兰的经济不稳定,发展社会责任投资是改革现代经济的必要条件。全球资产规模的迅速增长,迫使人们在投资选择上不仅要关注回报,还要关注可持续性和符合社会价值观。使影响投资的世界模式适应国内经济的现实需要详细考虑它们
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the impact of innovation policy on the level of development and economic security of the country 模拟创新政策对国家发展水平和经济安全的影响
M. Voynarenko, V. Нurochkina, O. Kovalenko, O. Menchynska
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引用次数: 3
Tools for rating evaluation of human resources as the main factor for providing the innovation development of the sea ports 人力资源等级评价工具是港口创新发展的主要因素
L. Nikolaieva, Oleksandr Haichenia, Taras Omelchenk, V. Kozlova
It is substantiated that the revitalization of innovative activity of seaports can be caused by the corresponding development of human resources. Unlike the existing ones, it takes into account the need for changes in the provision of working conditions suitable for innovation activity, the practical use of which makes it possible to adapt the system of human resources management to the features of innovative development of seaports. The approach to the assessment of the state of management of human resources innovative activity is formed, which is based on the methodology of rating estimation according to the factors that determine the state of human resources, provide for the activation of innovative activity, characterize the economic efficiency, the practical implementation of which will allow justifying the management decisions in the sphere of human resources management and compare results with other enterprises in the industry. It is proposed to supplement the assessment with the graphical presentation of the results of the analysis in the form of constructing a profile of the situation in managing the innovation activity of human resources of the seaport. An approach is proposed to identify the areas of analysis of the state of the innovative activity management of seaports based on the use of sub-rating indicators, which will provide a basis for the development of recommendations and rapid response to improve the quality of management of human resources innovation activity. It is recommended to supplement the analysis by conducting clustering analysis method and by grouping enterprises to identify similar groups. Such a management tool gives the manager additional information about the possibility of determining the impact of similar external environmental factors on the enterprises of the same group and becomes the basis for making management decisions at different levels. Keywords—innovative activity, development of the ports, rating estimation, human resources, innovative activity management
实践证明,港口创新活动的振兴可以通过相应的人力资源开发来实现。与现有方案不同的是,它考虑到在提供适合创新活动的工作条件方面需要作出改变,这种改变的实际应用使人力资源管理制度能够适应海港创新发展的特点。形成了对人力资源创新活动管理状态进行评价的方法,该方法是根据决定人力资源状态的因素进行评级评估,为创新活动的激活提供条件,表征经济效率,它的实际执行将使人力资源管理领域的管理决策合理化,并将结果与业内其他企业进行比较。建议以构建海港人力资源创新活动管理概况的形式,以图形形式展示分析结果,以补充评估。提出了一种方法,在使用分级指标的基础上,确定海港创新活动管理状况的分析领域,这将为制定建议和快速反应提供基础,以提高人力资源创新活动的管理质量。建议采用聚类分析法进行分析补充,并对企业进行分组,找出相似的群体。这种管理工具为管理者提供了额外的信息,使其能够确定相似的外部环境因素对同一集团企业的影响,并成为不同层次进行管理决策的依据。关键词:创新活动,港口发展,评价,人力资源,创新活动管理
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引用次数: 1
Methodological Approaches to Assessment of the Innovation Efficiency Level at Engineering Enterprises 工程企业创新效率水平评价的方法论途径
A. Cherep, O. Cherep, V. Brych, Olha Hryhoriv, O. Vasylyk
The analysis of innovation in all fields of activities as well as in financial and economic areas at engineering enterprises was conducted. The innovation efficiency levels of engineering enterprises were estimated. The analysis of’ availability ofinnovations was made, and the rate of their use at engineering enterprises was assessed. The methodological approach to assessment of the general level of innovation development and selection of the strategy forthe economic mechanism of innovationactivity at engineering enterprises was suggested. The methodological approach to assessment of the general level of engineering enterprises’ innovation development was testedfor the purpose of applying active production, technological, marketing, innovation and investment strategy in their activities. Keywords—strategy, innovation development, indices, efficiency, unprofitability, assessment, economic mechanism I. PROBLEM STATEMENT It is expedient for engineering enterprises to shape and implement a strategy of the innovationeconomic mechanism development (IEMD), which will allow determining the main areas of innovation development as well asa list of tasks and the ways of their implementation, activating the process of innovation, contributing to overcoming the state of unprofitability by enterprises, improving their performance. The use of the system of strategy formation for IEMD is a premise for implementation of the selected strategy. The given system enables shaping the main types of economic mechanism (EM) strategies, forecasting the expected effects from application of a certain strategy type, selecting a more effective strategy in the future, which will meet the capabilities of the enterprise. Despite the fact that selection of the strategy for IEMD for each enterprise is individual, since it will contribute to achievement of the expected effects in the future, it is efficient to analyse the efficiency of each strategy type and select the strategy, which takes into account all the features of business entity functioning within a specified period of time. Therefore, there is a need to develop and implement a methodological approach, whichallows analysing the main aspects of the enterprise’s innovation development, selecting the optimum strategy in accordance with thedevelopment level identified and taking measures to establish activities. II. ANALYSIS OF RECENT RESEARCH AND PUBLICATIONS Currently, the issues of development, formation and implementation of innovation strategies, their efficiency assessment have been studied by a whole number of scholars, namely: Andrushkiv B. M. [1; 2; 3], Baltiukevych V. V. [4], Bartashevska Yu. M. [5], Berezniak N. V. [14], Vasylieva S. I. [23], Holda N. M. [18], Kvasha T. K. [14], Kyrych N. B. [2], Kramar I. Yu. [1], Lykun N. V. [22], Maliuta L. Ya. [3], Melnyk L. M. [2; 3], Nikolaienko A. I. [6], Onyshko S. V. [7], Orlova V. M. [8], Osovska H. V. [9], Pohaidak O. B. [1; 2], Osmirko I. V. [10], Pavlenko I. A. [11; 12
对工程企业在所有活动领域以及金融和经济领域的创新进行了分析。对工程企业的创新效率水平进行了评价。对创新的可获得性进行了分析,并对其在工程企业中的使用率进行了评估。提出了工程企业创新发展总体水平评价和创新活动经济机制策略选择的方法学方法。对工程企业创新发展总体水平评价的方法学方法进行了检验,目的是在工程企业活动中应用积极的生产、技术、营销、创新和投资战略。工程企业制定和实施创新经济机制发展战略,有利于确定创新发展的主要领域、任务清单和实施方式,激活创新进程;有助于企业克服无利可图的状态,提高企业绩效。使用IEMD战略形成系统是实施所选战略的前提。给定的系统可以塑造经济机制(EM)战略的主要类型,预测应用某种战略类型的预期效果,在未来选择更有效的战略,这将满足企业的能力。尽管每个企业对IEMD战略的选择都是个体的,但由于它将有助于实现未来的预期效果,因此分析每种战略类型的效率并选择战略是有效的,该战略考虑到企业实体在特定时期内运作的所有特征。因此,有必要制定和实施一种方法论方法,分析企业创新发展的主要方面,根据确定的发展水平选择最佳战略,并采取措施开展活动。2目前,许多学者对创新战略的制定、形成、实施及其效率评价等问题进行了研究,包括:Andrushkiv b.m. [1;2;[3]刘建军,刘建军。刘建军,刘建军,刘建军,等。[5].[14].[23].[18].[14]。[1],李晓明,李晓明,等。[22][3],李晓明,李晓明,等。[6],奥尼什科[7],奥洛娃[8],奥索夫斯卡[9],波海达克o B. [1];[2],王晓明,王晓明,等。[12]张建军,张建军,张建军,等。[15],李建军,李建军,李建军,等[16],李建军,等[17];[19]刘建军,刘建军。[21],普拉德卡·o·V. [14], Rymar·m·V. [22], Silakova H. V. [13], Spivak S. M. [2], Cherep A. V. [23], Cherep O. H. [24], Chernetska O. V. [15], Sherstiuk R. P. [2], Feshchenko A. O.[9]。但是,还有一些问题尚未讨论,即:IEMDat工程企业战略的形成过程,特别是所选战略的实施过程,根据所达到的创新发展水平选择战略的机制,企业现有能力,评估所选战略的效率和实施可行性,一套涵盖创新发展各个方面的关键指标;选择战略时应考虑企业的功能特点问题。第七届经济系统建模、发展与战略管理国际会议(MDSMES 2019)版权所有©2019,作者。亚特兰蒂斯出版社出版。这是一篇基于CC BY-NC许可(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/)的开放获取文章。《经济、商业和管理研究进展》,第99卷
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引用次数: 0
Monitoring of international labor migration in the context of the world economy labor resources providing problems 监测国际劳动力迁移背景下世界经济劳动力资源提供问题
S. Kalinina, L. Mykhailyshyn, Yurii Korovchuk, O. Kushnarenko
The article identifies migration as the leading process of labor-intensive provision of the world economy in the current environment. Dynamic and structural indicators of world migration processes are analyzed and generalizations are made on the regularities of their development. The peculiarities of the virtual migration development as a form of the world economy labor supply under conditions of increasing informatization of global socio-economic relations are investigated. Keywords—migration, labor resources, informatization of society, migration policy
这篇文章指出,在当前环境下,移民是世界经济劳动密集型供应的主要过程。分析了世界移民过程的动态和结构指标,并对其发展规律进行了概括。研究了在全球社会经济关系日益信息化的条件下,虚拟移民发展作为世界经济劳动力供给形式的特点。关键词:移民,劳动力资源,社会信息化,移民政策
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引用次数: 2
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Proceedings of the 2019 7th International Conference on Modeling, Development and Strategic Management of Economic System (MDSMES 2019)
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