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Evaluation of GOSAT-IM, NASA-GEOS and NOAA-CT terrestrial ecosystem and oceanic flux datasets using the GEOS-Chem model to simulate the seasonal cycle of tropospheric CO2 基于GEOS-Chem模式对GOSAT-IM、NASA-GEOS和NOAA-CT陆地生态系统和海洋通量数据集对流层CO2季节循环的评价
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121719
M. Krishnapriya , A. Bhuvana Chandra , Rabindra Kumar Nayak , S. Allahudheen , Yogesh Tiwari , V.K. Dadhwal , M.V. Ramana , G. Srinivasrao , Prakash Chauhan
This study evaluates the sensitivity of the GEOS-Chem atmospheric transport model to three CO2 surface flux databases—GOSAT-IM, NASA-GEOS, and NOAA CarbonTracker (NOAA-CT)—in simulating the tropospheric CO2 seasonal cycle during 2010–2014. Model outputs, generated using common anthropogenic emissions and meteorological forcing, were compared against NOAA-ESRL GLOBALVIEW in situ observations from 54 stations worldwide. All simulations coherently reproduced the observed latitudinal gradient, with high CO2 concentrations (greater than 395 ppm) in the northern sub-polar region driven by fossil fuel emissions and shallow winter boundary layers, and lower concentrations (below 390 ppm) over the southern oceans due to strong uptake and vertical mixing. Among the simulations, the one using NOAA-CT input data showed the highest correlation (greater than 0.95) with observations in the northern mid-latitudes. This high correlation is attributed to the fluxes being constrained by actual observations. The simulation with GOSAT also captured the seasonal amplitudes in the northern hemisphere, although with lesser agreement, while the simulation with NASA-GEOS underestimated observed amplitudes in the tropics. Regional discrepancies, especially in the tropical and southern hemispheric regions, highlight the influence of convective processes and uncertainties in the flux datasets. Horizontal advection dominated seasonal variability at polar stations, whereas vertical transport was more important in the tropics. These findings emphasize the need for improved time-varying flux products, better parameterizations for vertical mixing, and the integration of new satellite observations to reduce model biases. This study highlights the crucial role of surface flux datasets, particularly the spatiotemporal resolution and observational constraints embedded in them in simulating the global CO2 seasonal cycle. Among the evaluated datasets, NOAA-CT most accurately captured the phase, amplitude, and transport-driven dynamics of atmospheric CO2, reinforcing its utility in model-data for carbon cycle assessments.
本研究评估了GEOS-Chem大气输送模型对三个CO2地表通量数据库(gosat - im、NASA-GEOS和NOAA CarbonTracker (NOAA- ct))在模拟2010-2014年对流层CO2季节循环中的敏感性。利用共同的人为排放和气象强迫产生的模式输出与NOAA-ESRL GLOBALVIEW在全球54个站点的现场观测结果进行了比较。所有模拟都一致地再现了观测到的纬度梯度,在化石燃料排放和冬季浅层边界层的驱动下,北部亚极地地区的二氧化碳浓度较高(大于395 ppm),而由于强吸收和垂直混合,南部海洋的二氧化碳浓度较低(低于390 ppm)。其中,使用NOAA-CT输入数据的模拟与中纬度北部观测值的相关性最高(> 0.95)。这种高相关性归因于通量受到实际观测值的限制。GOSAT模拟也捕获了北半球的季节振幅,尽管一致性较差,而NASA-GEOS模拟低估了热带地区观测到的振幅。区域差异,特别是在热带和南半球区域,突出了对流过程的影响和通量数据集的不确定性。水平平流主导极地站的季节变化,而垂直输送在热带地区更为重要。这些发现强调需要改进时变通量产品,改进垂直混合的参数化,以及整合新的卫星观测以减少模式偏差。本研究强调了地表通量数据集在模拟全球CO2季节循环中的关键作用,特别是其中包含的时空分辨率和观测约束。在评估的数据集中,NOAA-CT最准确地捕获了大气CO2的相位、振幅和运输驱动的动态,增强了其在碳循环评估模型数据中的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Characterization and influencing factors of hydroxymethanesulfonate (HMS) in the North China plain: integration of field measurements and theoretical calculations 华北平原羟甲磺酸盐(HMS)表征及影响因素:野外实测与理论计算的结合
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121731
Chun Chen , Haijie Zhang , Yele Sun , Junling Li , Zhiqiang Zhang , Jian Gao , Rui Gao , Lianfang Wei , Nan Ma , Wanyun Xu , Pingqing Fu
Hydroxymethanesulfonate (HMS) is a key secondary organosulfur compound formed through aqueous-phase or heterogeneous atmospheric processes, significantly affecting the atmospheric sulfur budget. However, the relationship between HMS and PM2.5 components, as well as its formation mechanism, remains insufficiently explored. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of HMS at two sites in the North China Plain (NCP). Using offline filter analysis combined with theoretical calculations, we found that the HMS mass concentration in Gucheng during the winter of 2019 averaged 2.58 ± 2.56 μg/m3, approximately 1.5 times of that in Beijing during winter and 5.0 times of that in Beijing during autumn. This elevated concentration in Gucheng is attributed to higher relative humidity, elevated particle pH, and higher precursor concentrations. Correlation analyses demonstrated that aerosol liquid water content (AWC) is a key factor influencing HMS formation, while ammonium and nitrate may also contribute significantly. Theoretical calculations suggest that HMS formation primarily occurs through the reaction between SO32− and HCHO, with an additional contribution from the reaction of HSO3 with HCHO. Aqueous H2O and NH3 can act as catalysts, reducing the reaction barrier between HSO3 and HCHO from 9.76 kcal/mol (uncatalyzed) to 5.01 and 6.48 kcal/mol, respectively, thus promoting HMS formation. Increasing concentrations of aqueous H3O+ and NH4+ during polluted periods do not exhibit a catalytic effect but instead strongly inhibit HMS formation. These results indicate that a comprehensive consideration of the combined effects of various aqueous species is essential in atmospheric models.
羟甲磺酸盐(HMS)是一种重要的次生有机硫化合物,通过水相或非均相大气过程形成,对大气硫收支有重要影响。然而,HMS与PM2.5组分之间的关系及其形成机制尚未得到充分探讨。本文对华北平原两个站点的HMS进行了综合分析。通过离线过滤分析结合理论计算发现,2019年冬季古城HMS质量浓度均值为2.58±2.56 μg/m3,约为冬季北京的1.5倍,秋季北京的5.0倍。古城的浓度升高是由于较高的相对湿度、颗粒pH值升高和前体浓度升高。相关分析表明,气溶胶液态水含量(AWC)是影响HMS形成的关键因素,而铵态氮和硝态氮可能也有显著贡献。理论计算表明,HMS的形成主要是通过SO32−和HCHO之间的反应,HSO3−与HCHO的反应也有额外的贡献。水溶液H2O和NH3可以作为催化剂,将HSO3−和HCHO之间的反应势垒分别从9.76 kcal/mol(未催化)降低到5.01和6.48 kcal/mol,从而促进HMS的形成。在污染期间,水溶液中h30 +和NH4+浓度的增加不表现出催化作用,反而强烈抑制HMS的形成。这些结果表明,在大气模式中综合考虑各种含水物种的综合效应是必要的。
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引用次数: 0
Unveiling the causes of winter haze in southern Sichuan via observations and explainable machine learning 通过观测和可解释的机器学习揭示川南冬季雾霾的原因
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121728
Gaofeng Zhou , Junjie Wang , Wenting Lv , Yingjie Li , Yuan Li , Xuefeng Zhang , Li Han , Tao Jiang
The Sichuan Basin is one of China's most haze-prone regions due to its unique topography and stagnant meteorological conditions. To understand the winter haze formation mechanisms in the Sichuan Basin, a field campaign was conducted in a previously identified pollution hotspot (Southern Sichuan, December 2024 to February 2025). During this campaign, PM2.5 concentration averaged 63.79 ± 42.92 μg m−3, and we identified three haze episodes (H1-H3) during this campaign. The chemical speciation of fine aerosol was characterized using a quadrupole aerosol chemical speciation monitor (Q-ACSM), and the apportionment of organic aerosols (OAs) was solved by EPA PMF 5.0. The results indicated that OAs dominated the PM2.5 composition throughout this campaign, with OA concentrations particularly high in H1 (64.63 ± 20.77 μg m−3) and H2 (64.11 ± 19.05 μg m−3). Biomass burning organic aerosols (BBOA) and oxygenated organic aerosols (OOA) were the primary contributors to these high concentrations. The haze episodes resulted mainly from early-stage biomass burning emissions and less-aged OOA, occurring concurrently with the highest levels of aerosol liquid water content (ALWC), suggesting the humid air can favor the formation of haze. In addition to local emissions, regional transport synergized with meteorological conditions also significantly contributed to haze formation during this campaign, especially in H2 (38.2 %), quantified by a machine learning based deweathering analysis. This study underscores the intricate interplay between emissions, regional transport, and meteorology in driving haze formation in the Sichuan Basin and demonstrates the utility of machine learning aided diagnostics for source attribution and regulatory insights.
由于其独特的地形和停滞的气象条件,四川盆地是中国最容易发生雾霾的地区之一。为了了解四川盆地冬季雾霾的形成机制,在先前确定的污染热点地区(2024年12月至2025年2月)进行了实地调查。PM2.5平均浓度为63.79±42.92 μg m−3,共发现3次雾霾(H1-H3)。采用四极杆气溶胶化学形态监测仪(Q-ACSM)对细颗粒物的化学形态进行了表征,并用EPA pmf5.0对有机气溶胶(OAs)进行了解析。结果表明,在整个运动过程中,OA在PM2.5组成中占主导地位,其中H1(64.63±20.77 μ m−3)和H2(64.11±19.05 μ m−3)的OA浓度特别高。生物质燃烧有机气溶胶(BBOA)和氧化有机气溶胶(OOA)是这些高浓度的主要贡献者。雾霾主要由早期生物质燃烧排放和较短时间的OOA引起,与气溶胶液态水含量(ALWC)最高同时发生,表明潮湿的空气有利于雾霾的形成。除当地排放外,区域运输与气象条件的协同作用也显著促进了此次活动期间雾霾的形成,特别是H2(38.2%),这是通过基于机器学习的风化分析量化的。本研究强调了排放、区域运输和气象在推动四川盆地雾霾形成中的复杂相互作用,并展示了机器学习辅助诊断在来源归属和监管见解方面的实用性。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of ambient air pollutants on influenza-like illness, influenza A and influenza B: A nationwide time-series study in China 环境空气污染物对流感样疾病、甲型流感和乙型流感的影响:中国全国时间序列研究
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121729
Xi Huang , Dina Wang , Qing Zhang , Dayan Wang , Yuelong Shu , Shenglan Xiao
Influenza is a serious respiratory infection that imposes significant public health challenges. However, the precise impact of pollutants on influenza virus activity remains unclear. In this study, we aimed to investigate the effects of different air pollutants on the incidence of influenza-like illness (ILI), influenza A (Flu A), and influenza B (Flu B) in China based on nationwide air pollution and influenza data from 554 sentinel hospitals across 30 provinces and municipalities from 2014 to 2017. A Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model (DLNM) was employed to discern the lagged effects of six distinct air pollutants, namely PM2.5, PM10, O3, CO, SO2, and NO2, on the incidence of ILI, Flu A, and Flu B. Our analysis indicated that the relationship between air pollutants and influenza varied among ILI, Flu A, and Flu B, with Flu B being more sensitive to SO2 than Flu A. Elevated levels of air pollutants were generally associated with an increased risk of influenza; however, relative risks declined slightly at extreme concentrations of PM2.5, SO2, and NO2. These results highlight the complex associations between air pollution and influenza.
流感是一种严重的呼吸道感染,对公共卫生构成重大挑战。然而,污染物对流感病毒活动的确切影响尚不清楚。在这项研究中,我们旨在研究不同空气污染物对中国流感样疾病(ILI)、甲型流感(Flu A)和乙型流感(Flu B)发病率的影响,基于2014年至2017年全国30个省市554家定点医院的空气污染和流感数据。采用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)分析了PM2.5、PM10、O3、CO、SO2和NO2 6种不同空气污染物对流感、甲型流感和乙型流感发病率的滞后效应。结果表明,空气污染物与流感的关系在流感、甲型流感和乙型流感中存在差异,乙型流感对SO2的敏感性高于甲型流感。然而,在PM2.5、SO2和NO2的极端浓度下,相对风险略有下降。这些结果强调了空气污染和流感之间的复杂联系。
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引用次数: 0
Lead sources detected in Manila's air after the phase-out of leaded gasoline 在逐步淘汰含铅汽油后,马尼拉的空气中检测到铅源
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-12-02 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121727
Mengli Chen , Jariya Kayee , Armin Sorooshian , Grace Betito , Paola Angela Bañaga , Rachel A. Braun , Maria Obiminda Cambaliza , Melliza Templonuevo Cruz , Alexander B. MacDonald , James Bernard Simpas , Connor Stahl , Iravati Ray , Reshmi Das , Zunya Wang , Xianfeng Wang
The global phase-out of leaded gasoline marked a major milestone in pollution control, yet modern uses of lead (Pb) continue to pose significant health risks, especially in low- and middle-income countries. In the Philippines, significant data gaps still exist despite increasing exposure. This study presents to the best of our knowledge, the first Pb isotopic fingerprinting of atmospheric aerosols in Metro Manila, Philippines, covering fine (0.56–1 μm) and coarse (5.6–10 μm) fractions, collected in 2018–2019. Results show that local sources, mainly industrial activities (45–62 %) and fossil fuel combustion (30–45 %), are now the dominant contributors to airborne Pb, while a minor legacy leaded gasoline and geogenic Pb persists (<18 %) through soil resuspension. Stable isotopes show no clear seasonal pattern. Together with 25 fold higher Pb concentration in the fine fraction, these indicate limited transboundary input. Regional comparison highlights overlapping Pb isotopic composition across Southeast Asia, but is distinct from areas farther north due to intensive coal use in China. The consistency between isotopic fingerprinting and Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) results demonstrates the value of combining methods for robust source apportionment. These findings demonstrate the continuing importance of isotopic monitoring for distinguishing contemporary and legacy Pb sources and informing targeted air quality management in rapidly developing regions.
全球逐步淘汰含铅汽油标志着污染控制方面的一个重要里程碑,但铅的现代使用继续构成重大健康风险,特别是在低收入和中等收入国家。在菲律宾,尽管暴露程度越来越高,但仍然存在重大的数据缺口。据我们所知,本研究首次收集了菲律宾马尼拉大都会2018-2019年大气气溶胶的Pb同位素指纹图谱,覆盖细(0.56-1 μm)和粗(5.6-10 μm)组分。结果表明,本地来源,主要是工业活动(45 - 62%)和化石燃料燃烧(30 - 45%),现在是空气中铅的主要来源,而少量遗留的含铅汽油和地质Pb通过土壤再悬浮存在(< 18%)。稳定同位素显示不出明显的季节模式。再加上细粒Pb浓度高出25倍,表明越界输入有限。区域比较突出了整个东南亚地区重叠的铅同位素组成,但由于中国密集的煤炭使用,与更北的地区不同。同位素指纹图谱与正矩阵分解(PMF)结果的一致性证明了组合方法在鲁棒源分配中的价值。这些发现表明,同位素监测对于区分当代和遗留的铅源,并为快速发展地区的针对性空气质量管理提供信息,具有持续的重要性。
{"title":"Lead sources detected in Manila's air after the phase-out of leaded gasoline","authors":"Mengli Chen ,&nbsp;Jariya Kayee ,&nbsp;Armin Sorooshian ,&nbsp;Grace Betito ,&nbsp;Paola Angela Bañaga ,&nbsp;Rachel A. Braun ,&nbsp;Maria Obiminda Cambaliza ,&nbsp;Melliza Templonuevo Cruz ,&nbsp;Alexander B. MacDonald ,&nbsp;James Bernard Simpas ,&nbsp;Connor Stahl ,&nbsp;Iravati Ray ,&nbsp;Reshmi Das ,&nbsp;Zunya Wang ,&nbsp;Xianfeng Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121727","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121727","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global phase-out of leaded gasoline marked a major milestone in pollution control, yet modern uses of lead (Pb) continue to pose significant health risks, especially in low- and middle-income countries. In the Philippines, significant data gaps still exist despite increasing exposure. This study presents to the best of our knowledge, the first Pb isotopic fingerprinting of atmospheric aerosols in Metro Manila, Philippines, covering fine (0.56–1 μm) and coarse (5.6–10 μm) fractions, collected in 2018–2019. Results show that local sources, mainly industrial activities (45–62 %) and fossil fuel combustion (30–45 %), are now the dominant contributors to airborne Pb, while a minor legacy leaded gasoline and geogenic Pb persists (&lt;18 %) through soil resuspension. Stable isotopes show no clear seasonal pattern. Together with 25 fold higher Pb concentration in the fine fraction, these indicate limited transboundary input. Regional comparison highlights overlapping Pb isotopic composition across Southeast Asia, but is distinct from areas farther north due to intensive coal use in China. The consistency between isotopic fingerprinting and Positive Matrix Factorization (PMF) results demonstrates the value of combining methods for robust source apportionment. These findings demonstrate the continuing importance of isotopic monitoring for distinguishing contemporary and legacy Pb sources and informing targeted air quality management in rapidly developing regions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":250,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment","volume":"367 ","pages":"Article 121727"},"PeriodicalIF":3.7,"publicationDate":"2025-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145683970","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Integrating surface-based in-situ and satellite observations to characterize CO2 and CH4 emission hotspots in Houston, USA 基于地面的原位和卫星观测综合表征美国休斯敦CO2和CH4排放热点
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121713
Irfan Karim , Bernhard Rappenglück
This study integrates in-situ and satellite observations to characterize urban greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions across Houston, Texas USA. Surface-based background concentrations show seasonal reductions from ∼435 to ∼410 ppm for carbon dioxide (CO2) due to photosynthetic uptake, and from ∼2.02 to ∼1.88 ppm for methane (CH4) predominantly due to oxidation by the hydroxyl radical (OH). Boundary layer height corrected excess CO2 and CH4 (ΔCO2, ΔCH4) peak in winter (∼139.4 ppm, ∼5.5 ppm) and drop in summer (∼5.6 ppm, ∼0.08 ppm), highlighting emission seasonality. The observed annual ΔCH4/ΔCO2 ratio (9.4 ppb ppm−1) exceeds EDGAR and EPA inventory estimates by 65–70 %, and spatial mapping identifies key CH4 hotspots - such as McCarty and Blue Ridge landfills - with ratios larger than 40–70 ppb ppm−1, which are severely underrepresented in emission inventories.
Satellite-derived enhancements from OCO-3 and TROPOMI offer broader coverage but lack sensitivity to surface plumes. For example, in situ bivariate plots show sharp ΔCO2 enhancements >30 ppm and ΔCH4 up to ∼0.3 ppm over industrial zones like the Ship Channel, while satellite ΔXCO2 (∼5–7 ppm) and ΔXCH4 (∼0.03–0.04 ppm) show moderate enhancements over the urban core. TROPOMI NO2 (∼1 × 10−4 μmol/m2) and HCHO (∼2.0 × 10−4 mol/m2) enhancements further confirm co-located industrial emissions. This synthesis underscores the value of combining surface and satellite data for robust urban emission assessments and improved emission inventory evaluation.
本研究综合了现场和卫星观测资料,对美国德克萨斯州休斯顿的城市温室气体(GHG)排放进行了表征。基于表面的背景浓度显示,由于光合作用的吸收,二氧化碳(CO2)从~ 435 ppm减少到~ 410 ppm,甲烷(CH4)从~ 2.02 ppm减少到~ 1.88 ppm,这主要是由于羟基自由基(OH)的氧化。边界层高度校正了过量的CO2和CH4 (ΔCO2, ΔCH4)在冬季达到峰值(~ 139.4 ppm, ~ 5.5 ppm),在夏季下降(~ 5.6 ppm, ~ 0.08 ppm),突出了排放的季节性。观测到的年ΔCH4/ΔCO2比值(9.4 ppb ppm−1)比EDGAR和EPA估算的清查值高出65 - 70%,并且空间制图确定了关键的CH4热点地区,如McCarty和Blue Ridge垃圾填埋场,其比值大于40-70 ppb ppm−1,这在排放清查表中被严重低估。来自OCO-3和TROPOMI的卫星增强提供了更广泛的覆盖范围,但对地表羽流缺乏敏感性。例如,原位双变量图显示,在像船舶航道这样的工业区上空,二氧化碳浓度急剧ΔCO2增强(30 ppm)和ΔCH4高达~ 0.3 ppm,而卫星ΔXCO2 (~ 5-7 ppm)和ΔXCH4 (~ 0.03-0.04 ppm)在城市核心上空显示适度增强。TROPOMI NO2 (~ 1 × 10−4 μmol/m2)和HCHO (~ 2.0 × 10−4 mol/m2)的增强进一步确认了工业排放的位置。这种综合强调了将地面和卫星数据结合起来进行可靠的城市排放评估和改进排放清单评估的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Fine-scale estimates of ammonia emissions from South Asian croplands under changing climate 气候变化下南亚农田氨排放的精细估计
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121705
Ali Ismaeel , Jin Wu , Amos P.K. Tai
Ammonia (NH3) emissions significantly impact air quality and the Earth's radiation balance through their interactions with other atmospheric chemical species to form particulate matter. Reducing NH3 emissions from croplands without compromising productivity is challenging due to the widespread and diffuse nature of NH3 sources. In the absence of direct monitoring networks, emission inventories provide the crucial basis for designing and implementing emission control measures. In South Asia (SA), knowledge of NH3 emissions at the regional scale is limited by the coarse-resolution global emission inventories, which carry significant uncertainties due to generalized emission factors. Here, we estimated remote sensing-based NH3 emissions from SA croplands at a 250-m spatial resolution between 2003 and 2020 by incorporating local knowledge of farming practices. Our estimates reveal that an average of 5.7 Tg NH3 is emitted annually from SA croplands. We found a ∼25 % increase in total NH3 emissions over the period, attributable to cropland expansion and a shift toward more fertilizer-demanding crop cultivation. A comparison of the modeled annual NH3 fluxes with global emission inventories reveals discrepancies in the range of −10 to +30 %. The comparison of total column NH3 concentrations retrieved from satellite observations and simulated by chemical transport model simulations using our fine-scale NH3 emission inventory shows a high correlation coefficient (r ≥ 0.47) but indicates an average bias of −21 %. We estimated that without adopting any mitigation strategies to reduce NH3 emissions, future climate change under specific Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP2-RCP4.5) will exacerbate environmental pollution by increasing NH3 volatilization by 6 % in the 2050s. However, mitigation strategies, such as incorporating fertilizers into the soil at the time of crop sowing, could decrease NH3 emissions by 18 % even under future climate conditions, relative to current levels. Our work highlights the importance of strategic agricultural management to make the SA food systems more sustainable and resilient to climate change.
氨(NH3)排放通过与其他大气化学物质相互作用形成颗粒物,显著影响空气质量和地球辐射平衡。由于NH3来源的广泛性和弥漫性,在不影响生产力的情况下减少农田的NH3排放是具有挑战性的。在没有直接监测网络的情况下,排放清单为设计和实施排放控制措施提供了至关重要的基础。在南亚(SA),对区域尺度NH3排放的了解受到粗分辨率全球排放清单的限制,由于广义排放因子,这些清单具有很大的不确定性。在此,我们结合当地的农业实践知识,以250 m空间分辨率估算了2003年至2020年间SA农田的遥感NH3排放量。我们的估计显示,每年平均5.7 Tg NH3从南非农田排放。我们发现,在此期间,NH3总排放量增加了25%,这是由于农田扩张和转向对肥料要求更高的作物种植。模拟的年NH3通量与全球排放清单的比较表明,差异在−10%至+ 30%之间。利用我们的精细尺度NH3排放清单对卫星观测数据和化学输运模型模拟的总塔柱NH3浓度进行比较,结果显示出较高的相关系数(r≥0.47),但平均偏差为- 21%。我们估计,如果不采取任何减缓策略来减少NH3的排放,在特定的共享社会经济路径(SSP2-RCP4.5)下,未来的气候变化将通过在2050年代增加6%的NH3挥发来加剧环境污染。然而,即使在未来的气候条件下,诸如在作物播种时向土壤中掺入肥料等缓解战略也可使NH3排放量相对于当前水平减少18%。我们的工作强调了战略性农业管理的重要性,以使南南非粮食系统更具可持续性和抵御气候变化的能力。
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引用次数: 0
Deciphering aerosol impacts: Unravelling long-term AOD trends and radiative forcing across key regions 解读气溶胶影响:揭示关键地区长期AOD趋势和辐射强迫
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121693
Gopika Gupta , B.L. Madhavan , M. Venkat Ratnam
Assessing long-term changes in Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) together with Aerosol Radiative Forcing Efficiency (ARFE, defined as radiative forcing per unit visible AOD) provides critical insight into the evolving role of different aerosol species in regional climate forcing. In this study, we analyse two decades of AOD trends (2001–2020) across eight climatically diverse regions using a multivariate regression framework, and quantify species-specific radiative effects with the Santa Barbara DISORT Atmospheric Radiative Transfer (SBDART) model. The regions were chosen to represent contrasting trends in total AOD. Our results show that sulfate aerosols, which account for the largest share of AOD over India (∼36–45 %), are the primary driver of increasing AOD and associated atmospheric warming. Black carbon (BC), although contributing only a minor fraction to total AOD (2–10 %), emerges as the dominant warming agent across most regions, with particularly strong forcing signals over the Middle East. In contrast, sea-salt (SS) aerosols exert the largest cooling influence, most prominently over the Southern African (SAF) region, partially offsetting warming from absorbing species. Europe, despite an overall decline in AOD, exhibits a slight increase in SS that sustains a regional cooling effect. These findings demonstrate that species composition, vertical distribution, and optical properties govern ARFE more strongly than the total AOD magnitude alone. By linking AOD trends with species-resolved radiative forcing efficiency across multiple regions, this study advances the interpretability of ARFE as a climate indicator and highlights its potential to inform policy-relevant assessment of aerosol-driven warming and cooling.
评估气溶胶光学深度(AOD)和气溶胶辐射强迫效率(ARFE,定义为每单位可见AOD的辐射强迫)的长期变化,为了解不同气溶胶种类在区域气候强迫中的演变作用提供了关键的见解。在本研究中,我们使用多元回归框架分析了8个气候多样化地区20年来的AOD趋势(2001-2020),并使用Santa Barbara DISORT大气辐射传输(SBDART)模型量化了物种特异性辐射效应。选择这些地区是为了代表总AOD的不同趋势。我们的研究结果表明,硫酸盐气溶胶占印度上空AOD的最大份额(~ 36 - 45%),是AOD增加和相关大气变暖的主要驱动力。黑碳(BC)虽然只占总AOD的一小部分(2 - 10%),但在大多数地区成为主要的变暖剂,在中东地区的强迫信号尤其强烈。相比之下,海盐(SS)气溶胶发挥了最大的降温影响,在南部非洲(SAF)地区最为突出,部分抵消了吸收物种造成的变暖。欧洲,尽管AOD总体下降,但SS略有增加,维持了区域降温效应。这些发现表明,物种组成、垂直分布和光学性质对ARFE的影响比AOD总量更大。通过将AOD趋势与多个区域的物种解决的辐射强迫效率联系起来,本研究提高了ARFE作为气候指标的可解释性,并强调了其为气溶胶驱动的增温和降温的政策相关评估提供信息的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Short-term effects of exposure to heat waves and ambient ozone on mortality: a case-crossover study 暴露于热浪和环境臭氧对死亡率的短期影响:一项病例交叉研究
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121706
Xinyao Lian , Jiajia Ji , Guomin Chen , Shuai Jiang , Weiqi Liang , Xindou Chen , Jianhui Guo , Yaqi Wang , Yingbin Fu , Jia Zhang , Xiaoheng Li , Jing Li , Yi Song
The individual and joint effects of short-term exposure to heat waves and ozone (O3) on mortality, particularly on nervous system disease mortality, need further investigation, as global warming leads to frequent heat waves and increased O3 concentrations. Heat waves were identified when the daily maximum apparent temperature reached or exceeded the temperature threshold (the 90th percentile of the temperature in 2019–2023) for at least 2, 3, or 4 consecutive days. High-level O3 was defined as daily maximum 8-h average O3 concentrations above 100 μg/m3. Based on 51,073 death cases from the Shenzhen Mortality Surveillance System in 2019–2023, we found significant individual and joint effects of short-term exposure to heat waves and high-level O3 on mortality, including all-cause non-accidental mortality, circulatory disease mortality, and nervous system disease mortality, employing a case-crossover design and conditional logistic regression models. Excess fractions of all-cause non-accidental deaths, circulatory disease deaths, and nervous system disease deaths attributable to heatwave and high levels of O3 exposure could be as high as 6.42 %, 8.28 %, and 13.21 %. In addition, we found that the elderly and males were more susceptible to joint exposure to heat waves and O3. This study provided a reference for the development of a region-specific early warning system for joint heat waves and O3, and highlighted the priority protection of susceptible populations during heatwaves and higher O3 levels.
短期暴露于热浪和臭氧(O3)对死亡率,特别是对神经系统疾病死亡率的个体和联合影响,需要进一步调查,因为全球变暖导致频繁的热浪和O3浓度增加。当日最高视温连续2、3或4天达到或超过温度阈值(2019-2023年温度的第90百分位数)时,确定热浪。高水平O3定义为每日最大8小时平均O3浓度超过100 μg/m3。基于2019-2023年深圳市死亡率监测系统的51,073例死亡病例,我们采用病例交叉设计和条件logistic回归模型,发现短期暴露于热浪和高浓度臭氧对死亡率(包括全因非意外死亡率、循环系统疾病死亡率和神经系统疾病死亡率)有显著的个体和联合影响。热浪和高水平臭氧暴露导致的全因非意外死亡、循环系统疾病死亡和神经系统疾病死亡的超额比例可能高达6.42%、8.28%和13.21%。此外,我们发现老年人和男性更容易受到热浪和臭氧的联合暴露。本研究为建立区域性热浪与O3联合预警系统提供了参考,并强调了在热浪和高O3水平时对易感人群的优先保护。
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引用次数: 0
A year-long observational analysis of atmospheric trace gases and particulate matter in Kathmandu 一项为期一年的加德满都大气微量气体和颗粒物的观测分析
IF 3.7 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-11-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2025.121704
Dikra Prasad Bajgai , Sagar Adhikari , Arshini Saikia , Bertrand Bessagnet , Suresh Pokhrel , Govinda Lamichhane , Deepak Gyawali , Ravi Sahu , Qianggong Zhang
Kathmandu Valley is one of the most densely populated cities in Nepal, facing significant air quality challenges. This study presents a comprehensive analysis based on twelve months of continuous air quality measurement data collected at the Khumaltar Air Quality Monitoring Station (ICIMOD AQMS), which is located in the southern part of the Kathmandu Valley. The study investigates particulate matter (PM10, PM2.5, PMC (PM10–PM2.5)) alongside trace gases (O3, NOX, SO2, and CO), focuses on their seasonal, diurnal variations, interspecies correlations, potential sources, and the impact of regional atmospheric transport. The results reveal that the annual PM2.5 concentration (49 μgm3) largely exceeds the WHO air quality guideline of 5 μgm3. Pollutant concentrations show clear seasonal variation, with peaks during the winter and pre-monsoon seasons, and a noticeable decline during the monsoon. A strong correlation (r = 0.82, p = 0.00) between PM2.5 and NOX indicates that fossil fuel combustion is a dominant source of fine particulate pollution. During the pre-monsoon season, O3 concentrations occasionally exceed 100 ppb (8-hr running average), with seasonal diurnal concentration observed close to 90 ppb in the afternoon. The study found that temperature and relative humidity significantly influence coarse PM levels, with a strong negative correlation (r = −0.89, p = 0.00) between coarse PM and the relative humidity, suggesting less resuspension under moist conditions. Furthermore, this study highlights the severe air pollution in the Kathmandu Valley throughout the year, driven primarily by local emissions, with regional atmospheric transport further contributing to poor air quality.
加德满都谷地是尼泊尔人口最密集的城市之一,面临着严重的空气质量挑战。本研究基于位于加德满都谷地南部的库穆塔尔空气质量监测站(ICIMOD AQMS)收集的12个月的连续空气质量测量数据进行了全面分析。该研究调查了颗粒物(PM10、PM2.5、PMC (PM10 - PM2.5))和微量气体(O3、NOX、SO2和CO),重点研究了它们的季节、日变化、种间相关性、潜在来源以及区域大气运输的影响。结果表明,PM2.5年浓度(49 μgm−3)大大超过WHO空气质量指标(5 μgm−3)。污染物浓度具有明显的季节变化,在冬季和季风前季节达到峰值,在季风期间明显下降。PM2.5与NOX呈强相关(r = 0.82, p = 0.00),表明化石燃料燃烧是细颗粒物污染的主要来源。在季风前季节,臭氧浓度偶尔超过100 ppb(8小时平均值),在下午观测到的季节性日浓度接近90 ppb。研究发现,温度和相对湿度显著影响粗粒PM水平,粗粒PM与相对湿度呈强负相关(r = - 0.89, p = 0.00),表明湿润条件下重悬浮较少。此外,这项研究强调了加德满都谷地全年严重的空气污染,主要是由当地排放造成的,区域大气运输进一步加剧了空气质量差。
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引用次数: 0
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Atmospheric Environment
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