Ozone (O3) is produced by photochemical reactions of NOX and VOCs in the troposphere under sunlight. The column densities of formaldehyde (HCHO) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), derived from satellite data, serve as indicators of VOCs and NOX emissions in the troposphere. Through analyzing the unique characteristics of the threshold range for the HCHO/NO2 ratio (FNR), the mechanisms of O3 formation across different regions over a prolonged period can be identified. In this study, we utilized the Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) technique to characterize O3 patterns during the warm season (April to October) spanning 2013–2019. This period is divided into three stages: 2013–2014, 2015–2016, and 2017–2019. Using the third-order fitting model, we assessed the FNR values across different regions in China: BTH (Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei), YRD (Yangtze River Delta), GD (Guangdong), and CY (Chuan-Yu). The FNR value ranges for these regions are as follows: ([1.2,2.0], [1.3,2.1], [2.4,3.2], [1.4,2.2]) during 2013–2014, ([1.1,1.9], [1.2,2.0], [2.0,2.8], [1.2,2.0]) during 2015–2016, and ([1.0,1.8], [1.0,1.8], [1.7,2.5], [1.1,1.9]) during 2017–2019, respectively. Ultimately, our research indicates a shift in certain regions from a VOC-limited regime towards a transitional regime. This shift correlates with a significant decline in anthropogenic NOX emissions, attributed to the stringent emission control strategies extensively implemented between 2013 and 2019. The spatial expansion of the transitional regime aligns with increasing O3 concentrations, simultaneously offering guidance for the development of effective emission reduction strategies.
Organic peroxy radicals (RO2) and Criegee intermediates (CI, carbonyl oxides) are key reactive species in atmospheric chemistry, and can proceed various reactions influencing the recycling of radicals and the formation of aerosol particles. Carbonyl oxides have recently detected in the OH-initiated autoxidation reactions of unsaturated hydrocarbons. However, their formation mechanisms remain elusive. Herein, the β-hydroxyperoxy radicals (HO-RO2) are selected as the model compounds to study the mechanism of their transformation to carbonyl oxides. Potential formation pathways of carbonyl oxides, including unimolecular decomposition, bimolecular reactions with OH radicals, HO-RO and HO-RO2 radicals, are studied by using quantum chemical methods. The results show that the unimolecular decomposition of HO-RO2 radicals undergoes through the direct cleavage of C-C bond to produce carbonyl oxides, but they are strongly endothermic. For the reactions of HO-RO2 with OH radicals, the preferable pathway is the barrierless formation of ROOOH on the single PES, and their stability increases with increasing the number of methyl substituents. On the triplet PES, the formation of carbonyl oxides from H-abstraction reaction in the –CHx group is favorable for the unsubstituted and a methyl substituted HO-RO2 radicals. For the reactions of HO-RO2 with HO-RO radicals, the dominant pathway is the barrierless formation of ROOOR on the singlet PES, with dissociation back to the separate reactants being the lowest-energy pathway. The formation of carbonyl oxides is preferable on the triplet PES, and the methyl substitution is beneficial for decreasing the reaction barriers. The barrier for the formation of carbonyl oxides from the self-reaction of HO-RO2 radicals significantly decrease with increasing the number of methyl substituents. The self-reaction of dimethyl substituted HO-RO2 radicals forming (CH3)2COO is able to compete effectively with the bimolecular reactions with HO2 radicals. These findings enhance our understanding of the formation of carbonyl oxides from the photochemical oxidation of alkenes.
To reduce economic and health impacts from poor air quality (AQ) in the U.S., the National Air Quality Forecasting Capability (NAQFC) at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) produces forecasts of surface-level ozone (O3), fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and other pollutants so that advance notice and warning can be issued to help individuals and communities limit their exposure. The NAQFC uses the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model for operational forecasts. This study is a first step in proposing a potential upgrade to the current operational NAQFC bias-correction system, by examining potential candidates for a gridded analysis (“truth”) dataset.
In this paper, we compare the performance of the “analysis” time series over the period of August 2020–December 2021 at EPA AirNow stations for both PM2.5 and O3 from raw Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) reanalyses, raw CAMS near real-time forecasts, raw near real-time CMAQ forecasts, bias-corrected CAMS forecasts, and bias-corrected CMAQ forecasts (CMAQ FC BC). This 17-month period spans two wildfire seasons, to assess model “analysis” performance in high-end AQ events. In addition to determining the best-performing gridded product, this process allows us to benchmark the performance of CMAQ forecasts against other global datasets (CAMS reanalysis and forecasts). For both PM2.5 and O3, the bias correction algorithm employed here greatly improved upon the raw model time series, and CMAQ FC BC was the best-performing model “analysis” time series, having the lowest RMSE, smallest bias error, and largest critical success index at multiple thresholds.
India is suffering from severe particulate matter (PM, including PM2.5 and PM10) pollution, while limited ground observations are insufficient to support a comprehensive understanding of its health risks. Machine learning (ML) has the potential to improve the estimation of PM distribution and exposure efficiently. Regional transport as well as accumulation and dispersion processes of PM and its components, which have significant impacts on PM concentrations, are crucial when building ML models, especially for sparsely observed regions like India. Here, geographic and temporal-rolling weighting methods were used to separately extract regional and temporal features for improving the performance of the ML model. The incorporation of temporal and regional features into the ML model significantly improved ML model performance, with root mean square error (RMSE) reduced by 21 % and 19% for PM2.5 and PM10 estimation, as well as an improvement in model underestimation for the heavy pollution scenarios. The spatial-temporal model shows out-of-sample test CV coefficients of determination (R2) of 0.87 and 0.88 for hourly PM2.5 and PM10. The ML model predicts an annual nationwide concentration of 68.3 μg/m3 for PM2.5 with a north (high, especially in Indo-Gangetic Plain) to south (low) distribution, which is consistent with high satellite aerosol optical depth (AOD) values. Boundary layer height is identified as the main meteorological factor influencing PM2.5 concentrations in winter. Characterizing the regional transport and cumulative dispersion processes of pollutants by extracting features can help in machine learning training, and this method can be further improved and applied to other studies.
The coal chemical industry produces a large amount of volatile organic compounds (VOCs), and the emission characteristics and associated impact on the environment and health of the residents are still unclear. This study determined the VOC concentrations and compositions in the Jinjie Coal Chemical Industry Park which is located in northern China. The average concentrations of total measured VOCs (TVOCs) in the industrial areas in summer and winter were 231.5 and 103.2 μg/m3, which were higher than those in the residential areas (123.7 and 70.3 μg/m3), respectively. Aromatics, Oxygenated volatile organic compounds (OVOCs), and alkanes were the dominant VOC classes in the industrial areas, while halocarbons, OVOCs, and alkenes had higher compositions in the residential areas where were not only affected by industrial emissions and also other anthropogenic sources. OVOCs contributed over 43% of ozone formation potential (OFP), while aromatics contributed over 61% of secondary organic aerosol (SOA) formation in the Park in both seasons. Using the source apportionment method, biogenic emission and anthropogenic source (gasoline production, coking emission, fuel combustion, solvent coating, and vehicle exhaust) were major contributors to VOCs in residential areas. The industrial-related emissions were the main components of anthropogenic source, accounting for 53.5%–58.7% of the overall VOCs. With reliable estimations of the health aspects, exposures to acrolein (HQ: 7.4–126.6) and formaldehyde (ILCR: 5.5 × 10−3-5.7 × 10−2) posed the highest non-carcinogenic and carcinogenic risks, accounting for 94.3%–98.6% and 55.8%–93.8% of the total HQ and ILCR, respectively. The results demonstrated that substantial environmental and health co-benefits to the residents could be achieved by reducing the industrial emissions from gasoline production, coking process, and diesel-fueled vehicles in the Jinjie Coal Chemical Industry Park. Prioritizing the establishment of efficient air pollution measures and tightening industrial emission standards, especially for hazardous VOCs, are recommended according to the findings of the valuable work.
New particle formation (NPF) is a critical source of particles and cloud condensation nuclei, yet there are scarce vertically-resolved measurements addressing NPF across different seasons in marine regions. This study leverages a multi-season set of airborne data from the NASA ACTIVATE mission between 2020 and 2022 to examine NPF characteristics over the northwest Atlantic ranging from the polluted U.S. East Coast to as far downwind (>1000 km) as Bermuda. Using the number concentration ratio above 3 and 10 nm (N3:N10) as a NPF indicator, we observe the highest ratios in the coldest months and comparable ratios over Bermuda relative to the U.S. East Coast. Within seasons, the highest and lowest ratios are found immediately above cloud tops and at the lowest possible flight altitudes (∼150 m above sea level), respectively. The ratio of (N3-N10)/N3 ranges from 0.16 to 0.29 depending on altitude, proximity to clouds, and season. The N3:N10 and (N3-N10)/N3 ratios increase with altitude up to as high as 9 km, with a case study showing favorable conditions around relatively thicker and precipitating cloud systems presumably due to high actinic fluxes and reduced aerosol surface area. Regression modeling reveals that increased N3:N10 is influenced most by reductions in temperature, relative humidity, and aerosol surface area. This work emphasizes the importance of both NPF in remote marine regions like Bermuda and vertical heterogeneity that exists in its contribution to aerosol and cloud condensation nuclei number budgets.