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Temporal trends of seasonal pollen indexes in a region of Northern Italy (2001–2022) 意大利北部一个地区季节性花粉指数的时间趋势(2001-2022 年)
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120826
Sofia Tagliaferro , Pierpaolo Marchetti , Barbara Dall'Ara , Francesco Domenichini , Stefania Lazzarin , Morena Nicolis , Damaris Selle , Camillo Silibello , Alessandro Marcon
Increasing trends in allergic respiratory diseases may be linked to climate changes affecting pollen levels. This study aimed to investigate the temporal trends in seasonal indexes of 9 allergenic pollen types in the Veneto Region, Northern Italy. Available daily data from 20 monitoring stations covered 2001–2022 for Corylaceae, Cupressaceae, Poaceae, Oleaceae, and Urticaceae (pollen families), and 2006–2022 for Alnus, Betula, Ambrosia, and Artemisia (pollen genera). The 95-percentage method was used to identify the start/end dates of pollen seasons annually, and the seasonal cumulative pollen concentration (Seasonal Pollen Integral, SPIn) was calculated. The non-parametric Theil-Sen median slope method was used to examine trends in pollen seasons’ start day, duration, and SPIn in the whole region and for climatic areas (alpine, subcontinental eastern, subcontinental western). The results showed a clear upward trend in SPIn for several pollens, with median slopes ranging from 326 (Alnus) to 1089 p/m3 per 10yrs (Corylaceae); exceptions were Artemisia, whose SPIn decreased over time (−26 p/m3 per 10yrs), and Ambrosia, Betula, and Urticaceae, which did not show a clear trend. For families, pollen seasons showed a trend for anticipation (from −4.7, Urticaceae, to −13.5 days/10yrs, Oleaceae) and extended duration (from 8.3, Cupressaceae, to 13.3 days/10yrs, Oleaceae). An evident heterogeneity across the climatic areas was seen for the SPIn, with the subcontinental western area exhibiting the highest loads and most prominent increases over time. In conclusion, increased levels and prolonged seasons for several pollen taxa observed in the Veneto Region, particularly in subcontinental areas, suggest increasing risks for individuals with pollen allergies. Addressing this issue requires measures of mitigation and adaptation to climate-driven changes in pollen exposure.
过敏性呼吸道疾病的增长趋势可能与影响花粉含量的气候变化有关。本研究旨在调查意大利北部威尼托大区 9 种过敏原花粉季节指数的时间趋势。来自 20 个监测站的现有每日数据涵盖了 2001-2022 年的榛科、濯缨科、蒲葵科、油橄榄科和荨麻科(花粉科),以及 2006-2022 年的桤木科、桦木科、伏牛科和蒿属植物(花粉属)。采用 95 百分比法确定每年花粉季节的开始/结束日期,并计算季节累积花粉浓度(季节花粉积分,SPIn)。采用非参数 Theil-Sen 中位斜率法研究了整个地区和各气候区(高山、亚大陆东部、亚大陆西部)的花粉季节开始日、持续时间和 SPIn 的变化趋势。结果显示,几种花粉的 SPIn 呈明显上升趋势,中位斜率从每 10 年 326 p/m3(桤木科)到 1089 p/m3(榛科)不等;例外情况是蒿属花粉的 SPIn 随时间推移而下降(每 10 年-26 p/m3),而伏牛花、桦树和荨麻科花粉的 SPIn 则没有明显趋势。就科属而言,花粉季节有提前(荨麻科为-4.7 天/10 年,油茶科为-13.5 天/10 年)和延长(濯缨科为 8.3 天/10 年,油茶科为 13.3 天/10 年)的趋势。在不同气候区,SPIn 有明显的异质性,亚大陆西部地区的负荷最高,随着时间的推移增加也最明显。总之,在威尼托大区,特别是在次大陆地区观察到的几种花粉类群的含量增加和季节延长表明,花粉过敏症患者面临的风险越来越大。要解决这一问题,就必须采取措施减缓和适应气候导致的花粉接触变化。
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引用次数: 0
Physico-chemical Characteristics and Evolution of NR-PM1 in the Suburban Environment of Seoul 首尔市郊环境中 NR-PM1 的物理化学特征和演变情况
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120823
Jeongin Song , Taehyun Park , Jihee Ban , Seokwon Kang , Inseon Park , Kyunghoon Kim , Jinsoo Park , Joon-Young Ahn , Jinsoo Choi , Taehyoung Lee
In South Korea, particulate matter (PM) is generated from various emission sources, including domestic air pollutants and long-range transport. Effective air quality policies require an understanding of the chemical characteristics of PM and differences between urban and non-urban areas (suburban and background areas). We analyzed the chemical characteristics of non-refractory submicron aerosols (NR-PM1) in Yongin City, a suburban area southeast of Seoul, using a high-resolution time-of-flight aerosol mass spectrometer (HR-ToF-AMS) in spring/summer. In spring/summer, photochemical reactions resulted in the highest proportion of Organic Aerosol (OA) among NR-PM1. Positive matrix factorization (PMF) revealed four OA sources: Primary OA and Secondary OA (Oxidized Primary OA (OPOA), Less Oxidized Oxygenated OA (LO-OOA), and More Oxidized Oxygenated OA (MO-OOA)). OPOA was formed from the oxidation of emissions from biomass burning and coal combustion; LO-OOA and MO-OOA were correlated with inorganic compounds and influenced by long-range transport. The majority of OA was SOA (82%). High temperatures and humidity accelerated the conversion of SO2 to SO42−, resulting in the proportion of SO42−, second only to OA. Despite favorable conditions for nitrate formation in ammonium-rich conditions, the proportion of NO3 was relatively low due to the decomposition of NH4NO3 into gaseous NH3 and HNO3 at high temperatures. This indicated that while ammonium-rich conditions are conducive to NH4NO3 production, elevated temperatures lead to its decomposition, resulting in lower NO3 concentrations in spring/summer. In the case study, for the case associated with long-range transport, the PM concentration increased due to inorganic compounds such as NO3 and SO42−. Conversely, in cases of domestic air stagnation, the concentration of PM increased primarily due to the presence of OA. These findings provide crucial insights for air quality management in suburban areas and can guide policies to reduce PM levels in spring and summer.
在韩国,颗粒物(PM)产生于各种排放源,包括国内空气污染物和远距离运输。有效的空气质量政策需要了解可吸入颗粒物的化学特性以及城市和非城市地区(郊区和背景地区)之间的差异。我们利用高分辨率飞行时间气溶胶质谱仪(HR-ToF-AMS)分析了首尔东南部郊区龙仁市的非难降解亚微米气溶胶(NR-PM1)的化学特征。在春夏季,光化学反应导致有机气溶胶(OA)在 NR-PM1 中的比例最高。正矩阵因式分解(PMF)揭示了四个 OA 来源:原生 OA 和次生 OA(氧化原生 OA(OPOA)、少氧化含氧 OA(LO-OOA)和多氧化含氧 OA(MO-OOA))。OPOA 是由生物质燃烧和燃煤产生的排放物氧化形成的;LO-OOA 和 MO-OOA 与无机化合物有关,并受长程飘移的影响。大部分 OA 是 SOA(82%)。高温和高湿加速了 SO2 向 SO42- 的转化,导致 SO42- 的比例仅次于 OA。尽管富铵条件有利于硝酸盐的形成,但由于 NH4NO3 在高温下分解成气态 NH3 和 HNO3,NO3- 的比例相对较低。这表明,虽然富铵条件有利于 NH4NO3 的生成,但温度升高会导致其分解,从而导致春夏季的 NO3- 浓度较低。在案例研究中,在与长程飘移相关的情况下,由于 NO3- 和 SO42- 等无机化合物的作用,可吸入颗粒物浓度增加。相反,在国内空气停滞的情况下,可吸入颗粒物浓度的增加主要是由于 OA 的存在。这些发现为郊区的空气质量管理提供了重要的启示,并可为降低春夏季可吸入颗粒物浓度的政策提供指导。
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引用次数: 0
A comprehensive study on the validation and application of multi-lognormal distribution models for atmospheric particles 关于大气颗粒物多对数正态分布模型的验证和应用的综合研究
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120813
Ke Zhu , Lina Wang

The particle number size distribution (PNSD) is crucial for evaluating air quality and mitigating environmental pollution, as particles of different sizes have diverse effects on human health and climate. However, obtaining a comprehensive understanding of PNSD is challenging due to its inherent complexities and variability. Multi-lognormal distribution models are employed to fit PNSD, as seen in climate models, but discrepancies between model fits and observed PNSD persist. This study adopts hourly data from 2017 to 2020 across eight monitoring sites in diverse environments—rural, urban, mountainous, and polar, and compares the observed PNDS with those simulated by multi-lognormal distribution models. The results demonstrated that the model generally achieved a high correlation with observed PNSD data (r2 > 0.75), effectively capturing key characteristics of nucleation and Aitken mode particles. However, the model had a tendency to overestimate the total number concentration by approximately 1.09 times, particularly noticeable under conditions of high concentrations of smaller particles. The model successfully represented prevalent bimodal size distribution patterns in urban areas with high ultrafine particle concentrations, though its performance was slightly less accurate in scenarios involving trimodal distributions. Despite these strong correlations and the model's ability to reflect diurnal and seasonal variations, which suggests its broad applicability and utility, there were notable limitations on smaller time scales and in specific particle size ranges. These limitations were particularly evident in capturing detailed phenomena relevant to new particle formation events, indicating areas where model refinement is necessary. The results highlighted the importance of investigating discrepancies between model predictions and actual observations, which is crucial for refining climate models that utilize PNDS. The uniform comparison facilitated a detailed exploration of particle properties from model results, offering deeper insights into aerosol behavior and its environmental impacts.

粒径分布(PNSD)对于评估空气质量和减轻环境污染至关重要,因为不同大小的颗粒对人类健康和气候有不同的影响。然而,由于其固有的复杂性和多变性,全面了解 PNSD 具有挑战性。多对数正态分布模型被用来拟合 PNSD,正如在气候模型中看到的那样,但模型拟合与观测到的 PNSD 之间仍然存在差异。本研究采用了 2017 年至 2020 年不同环境(农村、城市、山区和极地)中八个监测点的每小时数据,并将观测到的 PNDS 与多对数正态分布模型模拟的 PNDS 进行了比较。结果表明,该模型与观测到的 PNSD 数据总体上达到了较高的相关性(r2 >0.75),有效地捕捉到了成核和艾特肯模式粒子的主要特征。不过,该模型有高估总数量浓度的趋势,高估了约 1.09 倍,在较小颗粒浓度较高的条件下尤为明显。该模型成功地代表了超细粒子浓度较高的城市地区普遍存在的双模粒度分布模式,但在涉及三模分布的情况下,其准确性稍差。尽管该模型具有很强的相关性,并且能够反映昼夜和季节变化,这表明它具有广泛的适用性和实用性,但在较小的时间尺度和特定粒径范围上仍存在明显的局限性。这些局限性在捕捉与新颗粒形成事件相关的详细现象方面尤为明显,这表明有必要对模型进行改进。结果凸显了调查模式预测与实际观测之间差异的重要性,这对于完善利用 PNDS 的气候模式至关重要。统一比较有助于从模式结果中详细探索粒子特性,从而更深入地了解气溶胶行为及其对环境的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Exploring the long-term variations and high concentration episodes of peroxyacetyl nitrate in Megacity Seoul 探索首尔市过氧乙酰硝酸盐的长期变化和高浓度事件
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120821
Anja Savic , Junsu Gil , Junil Cha , Meehye Lee , Yuri Choi , Moon-Soo Park
Over the past few years, peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN) has drawn significant attention as a key indicator of photochemical pollution owing to its intimate relationship with ozone and associated health effects. This study presents measurements conducted at the Korea University campus in Seoul during the high-ozone seasons from 2018 to 2021. PAN concentration was measured using fast gas chromatography with luminol chemiluminescence detection (GC-LCD), alongside measurements of O3, volatile organic compounds (VOCs), NO, NO2, and meteorological variables, including boundary layer height (BLH).
The mean concentrations of PAN and O3 over the years were 0.56 ppbv and 35 ppbv in 2018, 1.29 ppbv and 58 ppbv in 2019, 0.21 ppbv and 50 ppbv 2020, and 0.53 ppbv and 46 ppbv in 2021, respectively. The annual variation observed in Seoul is consistent with trends seen in major cities worldwide during the COVID19 pandemic, reflecting a substantial reduction in urban emissions. Notably, the mean concentration of NOx and VOCs decreased significantly by more than 50 % and 25%, respectively, from 2019 to 2021.
At temperatures above 30 °C, PAN decomposition was accelerated, decoupling a consistent positive relationship between PAN and O3 in 2020 and 2021. The results of a 0-D photochemical model (F0AM) calculation demonstrated that PAN formation primarily stems from anthropogenic VOCs, particularly > C2 alkenes. Elevated PAN concentrations during nighttime were attributed to boundary layer expansion and upper-air entrainment. Instances where PAN concentrations surged to at least 3 ppbv or higher in 2019 were attributed to biomass burning impacted air, as evidenced by concurrent elevations in K+ and OC in PM2.5, and O3.
This study underscores the complex interplay of factors influencing PAN and ozone enhancements under decreased precursor levels, with an emphasis on dynamic change in the boundary layer, and long-distance transport of non-fossil sources during agricultural burning seasons.
在过去几年中,由于过氧乙酰硝酸酯(PAN)与臭氧和相关健康影响之间的密切关系,它作为光化学污染的关键指标引起了人们的极大关注。本研究介绍了 2018 年至 2021 年臭氧高发季节在首尔高丽大学校园进行的测量。采用快速气相色谱-鲁米诺化学发光检测法(GC-LCD)测量了 PAN 浓度,同时还测量了 O3、挥发性有机化合物(VOC)、NO、NO2 和气象变量,包括边界层高度(BLH)。2018 年 PAN 和 O3 的平均浓度分别为 0.56 ppbv 和 35 ppbv,2019 年分别为 1.29 ppbv 和 58 ppbv,2020 年分别为 0.21 ppbv 和 50 ppbv,2021 年分别为 0.53 ppbv 和 46 ppbv。在首尔观察到的年度变化与 COVID19 大流行期间全球主要城市的趋势一致,反映出城市排放量的大幅减少。值得注意的是,从2019年到2021年,氮氧化物和挥发性有机化合物的平均浓度分别大幅下降了50%和25%以上。在温度高于30 °C时,PAN分解加速,2020年和2021年,PAN与O3之间的正相关关系脱钩。0-D光化学模型(F0AM)的计算结果表明,PAN的形成主要源于人为挥发性有机化合物,尤其是C2烯烃。夜间 PAN 浓度升高的原因是边界层膨胀和上层空气夹带。这项研究强调了在前体水平降低的情况下,影响 PAN 和臭氧增强的各种因素之间复杂的相互作用,重点是边界层的动态变化,以及农业焚烧季节非化石源的长距离输送。
{"title":"Exploring the long-term variations and high concentration episodes of peroxyacetyl nitrate in Megacity Seoul","authors":"Anja Savic ,&nbsp;Junsu Gil ,&nbsp;Junil Cha ,&nbsp;Meehye Lee ,&nbsp;Yuri Choi ,&nbsp;Moon-Soo Park","doi":"10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120821","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120821","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Over the past few years, peroxyacetyl nitrate (PAN) has drawn significant attention as a key indicator of photochemical pollution owing to its intimate relationship with ozone and associated health effects. This study presents measurements conducted at the Korea University campus in Seoul during the high-ozone seasons from 2018 to 2021. PAN concentration was measured using fast gas chromatography with luminol chemiluminescence detection (GC-LCD), alongside measurements of O<sub>3</sub>, volatile organic compounds (VOCs), NO, NO<sub>2</sub>, and meteorological variables, including boundary layer height (BLH).</div><div>The mean concentrations of PAN and O<sub>3</sub> over the years were 0.56 ppbv and 35 ppbv in 2018, 1.29 ppbv and 58 ppbv in 2019, 0.21 ppbv and 50 ppbv 2020, and 0.53 ppbv and 46 ppbv in 2021, respectively. The annual variation observed in Seoul is consistent with trends seen in major cities worldwide during the COVID19 pandemic, reflecting a substantial reduction in urban emissions. Notably, the mean concentration of NOx and VOCs decreased significantly by more than 50 % and 25%, respectively, from 2019 to 2021.</div><div>At temperatures above 30 °C, PAN decomposition was accelerated, decoupling a consistent positive relationship between PAN and O<sub>3</sub> in 2020 and 2021. The results of a 0-D photochemical model (F0AM) calculation demonstrated that PAN formation primarily stems from anthropogenic VOCs, particularly &gt; C2 alkenes. Elevated PAN concentrations during nighttime were attributed to boundary layer expansion and upper-air entrainment. Instances where PAN concentrations surged to at least 3 ppbv or higher in 2019 were attributed to biomass burning impacted air, as evidenced by concurrent elevations in K<sup>+</sup> and OC in PM<sub>2.5</sub>, and O<sub>3</sub>.</div><div>This study underscores the complex interplay of factors influencing PAN and ozone enhancements under decreased precursor levels, with an emphasis on dynamic change in the boundary layer, and long-distance transport of non-fossil sources during agricultural burning seasons.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":250,"journal":{"name":"Atmospheric Environment","volume":"338 ","pages":"Article 120821"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142324209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Regional source contributions to summertime ozone in the Yangtze River Delta 长江三角洲地区夏季臭氧的区域来源影响
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120822
Minghao Wang , Jinlong Ma , Chenliang Tao , Yueqi Gao , Ruhan Zhang , Peng Wang , Hongliang Zhang

Ozone (O3) pollution is increasing in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD), with significant influences from regional transport during pollution events. However, the specific contributions of different regions remain imprecisely quantified. This study estimated the regional contributions of eight regions to summer O3 in the YRD using the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) model with a source-tagged photochemical mechanism. Non-background O3 is attributed to nitrogen oxides (NOX) and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) from different regions. Background O3 is the predominant contributor with average ratios of 75.0%, 65.3%, 64.8% and 63.0% for Shanghai, Nanjing, Hangzhou and the entire YRD, respectively. Locally formed O3 are 39.9, 42.0, 39.6, and 36.9 parts per billion (ppb) by volume in the above areas. North Zhejiang and south Jiangsu are the primary sources of heavy pollution episodes as the maximum daily 8-h average (MDA8) O3 concentrations in these regions increase the most. NOX is the predominant contributor to heavy pollution episodes with the maximum increment attributed to NOX (O3N) of 14.3 ppb, while VOCs only contribute to 2.1 ppb (O3V) in Jiangsu. Relative humidity is crucial in heavy pollution episodes while high temperature, low planetary boundary layer (PBL) height and the wind field are associated with regional transport. Diurnal variation underscores the importance of understanding O3 formation in the afternoon (12:00–16:00), which is essential for devising effective mitigation policies.

长江三角洲(YRD)的臭氧(O3)污染日益严重,污染事件期间的区域传输对其影响很大。然而,不同区域的具体贡献仍未精确量化。本研究利用具有源标记光化学机制的群落多尺度空气质量(CMAQ)模式,估算了八个地区对长三角夏季臭氧的区域贡献。非背景臭氧归因于来自不同地区的氮氧化物(NOX)和挥发性有机化合物(VOCs)。在上海、南京、杭州和整个长三角地区,背景 O3 是最主要的贡献者,其平均比例分别为 75.0%、65.3%、64.8% 和 63.0%。按体积计算,上述地区本地形成的 O3 分别为 39.9、42.0、39.6 和 36.9 亿分之一(ppb)。浙北和苏南是重污染事件的主要来源,因为这些地区的 O3 最大日 8 小时平均浓度(MDA8)增加最多。氮氧化物是造成重污染天气的主要因素,氮氧化物(O3N)的最大增量为 14.3 ppb,而江苏的挥发性有机物(O3V)的最大增量仅为 2.1 ppb。相对湿度在重污染天气中至关重要,而高温、低行星边界层(PBL)高度和风场则与区域传输有关。昼夜变化强调了了解下午(12:00-16:00)O3形成的重要性,这对于制定有效的减排政策至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Detection of a biological aerosol using optical particle counters 利用光学粒子计数器探测生物气溶胶
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120819
Pia Viuf Ørby , Jonas Lembcke Andersen , Thor-Bjørn Ottosen , Ulf Thrane , Ulrich Gosewinkel

So far, detection and quantification of bio-aerosols requires genotypic or phenotypic identification of every single particle. Successful use of optical particle counters, as a time- and cost-saving alternative, has not been reported to date, indicating the need for further method development. Previously, such studies have focused on pollen. Here we report on a laboratory test of commercially available low-cost optical particle counters from Alphasense (OPC-N3 and OPC-R2) for the quantification of a known fungal aerosol (Botrytis cinerea). Aerosols were quantified using a Grimm Portable Aerosol Spectrometer (11E). Our measurements reveal that the low-cost sensors almost correctly detect the relative particle size distribution of the spores, as compared with the Grimm reference instrument, and potentially can be used in environmental detection of fungal aerosols.

迄今为止,生物气溶胶的检测和定量需要对每一个粒子进行基因型或表型鉴定。光学粒子计数器作为一种节省时间和成本的替代方法,迄今尚未有成功使用的报道,这表明需要进一步开发方法。以前,此类研究主要集中在花粉方面。在此,我们报告了对 Alphasense 公司生产的市售低成本光学粒子计数器(OPC-N3 和 OPC-R2)进行的实验室测试,测试结果用于量化已知的真菌气溶胶(灰葡萄孢菌)。使用 Grimm 便携式气溶胶光谱仪 (11E) 对气溶胶进行定量。我们的测量结果表明,与 Grimm 参考仪器相比,低成本传感器几乎能正确检测出孢子的相对粒度分布,可用于环境中的真菌气溶胶检测。
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引用次数: 0
The interaction of ambient ozone and personal temperature variability on blood markers of inflammation, oxidative stress, coagulation, endothelial function, and stress hormones 环境臭氧和个人体温变化对血液中炎症、氧化应激、凝血、内皮功能和应激激素指标的影响
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120818
Miao Fang , Cunzhong Jiang , Zhi Yuan , Liyan Yang, Lin Miao, Hua Wang, Dexiang Xu, Zhijing Lin

The interaction between ozone and temperature on cardiovascular biomarkers has not been thoroughly examined. A panel study was conducted among 40 college students with four equal interval follow-ups in Hefei, Anhui Province, China between August and October 2021. Real-time concentrations of ozone were collected from a nearby monitoring device. Temperature variability parameters included diurnal temperature range (DTR), the standard-deviation of temperature (SDT), and temperature variability (TV). A set of cardiovascular biomarkers were measured, including markers of inflammation (Granulocyte-macrophage colony-stimulating factor, GM-CSF and serum amyloid A, SAA), coagulation (D-dimer and ADAMTS13), oxidative stress (Myeloperoxidase, MPO and Growth differentiation factor-15, GDF-15), endothelial function (vascular endothelial growth factor A, VEGFA), and stress hormone (5-hydroxytryptamine, 5-HT). Linear mixed-effect models were conducted to analyze the associations between ozone, temperature variability, and all blood markers. The results showed significant associations among ozone, DTR, SDT, TV, and blood markers, suggesting harmful effects on markers. For instance, a 10-μg/m3 increase in ozone at lag 2d was associated with higher levels of SAA by 19.65% (95%CI: 13.70, 25.60), VEGFA by 10.90% (95%CI: 4.57, 17.22), GDF-15 by 5.33% (95%CI: 0.59, 10.06), and GM-CSF by 2.52% (95%CI: 1.70, 3.34), but 13.09% lower D-dimer (95%CI: 6.99, 19.19). We also found statistically significant interaction between ozone and TV exposures for GM-CSF and SAA. This study shows that ambient ozone and personal TV exposures may independently have acute effects on markers of inflammation, oxidative stress, coagulation, endothelial function, and neuroendocrine stress response. Simultaneous exposure to these factors may also lead to interactive effects on inflammation markers. These findings offer valuable insights for developing comprehensive strategies in cardiovascular disease control and prevention.

臭氧和温度对心血管生物标志物的相互作用尚未得到深入研究。2021 年 8 月至 10 月期间,在中国安徽省合肥市对 40 名大学生进行了四次等间隔随访的小组研究。臭氧的实时浓度由附近的监测设备采集。温度变异性参数包括昼夜温差(DTR)、温度标准差(SDT)和温度变异性(TV)。测量了一组心血管生物标志物,包括炎症标志物(粒细胞-巨噬细胞集落刺激因子 GM-CSF 和血清淀粉样蛋白 A SAA)、凝血标志物(D-二聚体和 ADAMTS13)、氧化应激标志物(骨髓过氧化物酶 MPO 和生长分化因子-15 GDF-15)、内皮功能标志物(血管内皮生长因子 A VEGFA)和应激激素(5-羟色胺 5-HT)。采用线性混合效应模型分析了臭氧、温度变化和所有血液指标之间的关系。结果表明,臭氧、DTR、SDT、TV 和血液指标之间存在明显的关联,这表明臭氧对血液指标有有害影响。例如,臭氧在滞后 2d 增加 10μg/m3 会导致 SAA 水平升高 19.65%(95%CI:13.70, 25.60),VEGFA 水平升高 10.90%(95%CI:4.57, 17.22),GDF-15 水平升高 5.33%(95%CI:0.59, 10.06),GM-CSF 水平升高 2.52%(95%CI:1.70, 3.34),但 D-二聚体水平降低 13.09%(95%CI:6.99, 19.19)。我们还发现,臭氧和电视暴露对 GM-CSF 和 SAA 的交互作用具有统计学意义。这项研究表明,环境臭氧和个人电视暴露可能会对炎症、氧化应激、凝血、内皮功能和神经内分泌应激反应指标产生急性影响。同时暴露于这些因素还可能对炎症指标产生交互影响。这些发现为制定控制和预防心血管疾病的综合策略提供了宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Interpretable machine learning for weather and climate prediction: A review 用于天气和气候预测的可解释机器学习:综述
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120797
Ruyi Yang , Jingyu Hu , Zihao Li , Jianli Mu , Tingzhao Yu , Jiangjiang Xia , Xuhong Li , Aritra Dasgupta , Haoyi Xiong

Advanced machine learning models have recently achieved high predictive accuracy for weather and climate prediction. However, these complex models often lack inherent transparency and interpretability, acting as “black boxes” that impede user trust and hinder further model improvements. As such, interpretable machine learning techniques have become crucial in enhancing the credibility and utility of weather and climate modeling. In this paper, we review current interpretable machine learning approaches applied to meteorological predictions. We categorize methods into two major paradigms: (1) Post-hoc interpretability techniques that explain pre-trained models, such as perturbation-based, game theory based, and gradient-based attribution methods. (2) Designing inherently interpretable models from scratch using architectures like tree ensembles and explainable neural networks. We summarize how each technique provides insights into the predictions, uncovering novel meteorological relationships captured by machine learning. Lastly, we discuss research challenges and provide future perspectives around achieving deeper mechanistic interpretations aligned with physical principles, developing standardized evaluation benchmarks, integrating interpretability into iterative model development workflows, and providing explainability for large foundation models.

先进的机器学习模型最近在天气和气候预测方面取得了很高的预测精度。然而,这些复杂的模型往往缺乏内在的透明度和可解释性,就像一个 "黑盒子",妨碍了用户的信任,也阻碍了模型的进一步改进。因此,可解释的机器学习技术对于提高天气和气候建模的可信度和实用性至关重要。在本文中,我们回顾了目前应用于气象预测的可解释机器学习方法。我们将这些方法分为两大范例:(1)解释预训练模型的事后可解释性技术,如基于扰动、基于博弈论和基于梯度的归因方法。(2) 利用树状集合和可解释神经网络等架构,从头开始设计本质上可解释的模型。我们总结了每种技术如何为预测提供洞察力,发现机器学习捕捉到的新的气象关系。最后,我们讨论了研究挑战并提供了未来展望,包括实现与物理原理相一致的更深入的机理解释、开发标准化评估基准、将可解释性整合到迭代模型开发工作流程中,以及为大型基础模型提供可解释性。
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引用次数: 0
A novel passive sampler for long-term monitoring of isocyanates in air 用于长期监测空气中异氰酸酯的新型被动采样器
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120816
Kanae Bekki, Shigehisa Uchiyama, Noriko Kaihara, Yohei Inaba, Akira Ushiyama

Isocyanates are known as widespread hazardous environmental pollutants emitted from various combustion products in our lives because they cause health effects to the nervous system and respiratory systems through sensitization. In this study, to obtain data on the concentration and composition of isocyanates in indoor and outdoor air, we developed a novel passive sampler (PSG-DBA) for monitoring gaseous and particulate isocyanates; e.g. isocyanic acid (ICA), methyl isocyanate (MIC), ethyl isocyanate (EIC), and propyl isocyanate (PIC), and acquired basic data of isocyanates on the behavior in general households. This proposed method allows for continuous sampling over a week, making it possible to calculate not only intermittent data but also low concentrations and average concentrations of isocyanate in our daily lives. In addition, from the results of this monitoring, in particular, ICA and MIC were frequently detected in ambient air. In summer, indoor concentrations were typically higher than those outdoors in most houses, e.g., mean concentrations; ICA; 0.21 ppb (summer), 011 ppb (winter); MIC; 0.0052 ppb (summer), 0.0038 ppb (winter). These were also affected by temperature fluctuations due to climate change during summer. PSG-DBA can monitor a wide range of environments to further investigate the environmental dynamics of isocyanates in the future.

众所周知,异氰酸酯是生活中广泛存在的有害环境污染物,它从各种燃烧产品中排放出来,通过致敏作用对神经系统和呼吸系统造成健康影响。在本研究中,为了获得室内外空气中异氰酸酯的浓度和组成数据,我们开发了一种新型被动采样器(PSG-DBA),用于监测气态和颗粒状异氰酸酯,如异氰酸(ICA)、异氰酸甲酯(MIC)、异氰酸乙酯(EIC)和异氰酸丙酯(PIC),并获得了异氰酸酯在一般家庭中行为的基本数据。这种拟议方法可以在一周内连续采样,因此不仅可以计算间歇数据,还可以计算日常生活中异氰酸酯的低浓度和平均浓度。此外,从监测结果来看,环境空气中经常检测到异氰酸酯和 MIC。例如,平均浓度;ICA;0.21 ppb(夏季),011 ppb(冬季);MIC;0.0052 ppb(夏季),0.0038 ppb(冬季)。这些也受到夏季气候变化引起的温度波动的影响。PSG-DBA 可以监测多种环境,以便将来进一步研究异氰酸酯的环境动态。
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引用次数: 0
VOC emission rates from an indoor surface using a flux chamber and PTR-MS 利用通量室和 PTR-MS 测定室内表面的挥发性有机化合物排放率
IF 4.2 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.atmosenv.2024.120817
Han N. Huynh , Jenna C. Ditto , Jie Yu , Michael F. Link , Dustin Poppendieck , Delphine K. Farmer , Marina E. Vance , Jonathan P.D. Abbatt

Arising from the Chemical Assessment of Surfaces and Air (CASA) 2022 study at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) Net-Zero Energy Residential Test Facility (NZERTF), this paper presents the first evaluation of indoor surface emissions to a house measured with a surface flux chamber coupled to an online, non-targeted volatile organic compound (VOC) mass spectrometric detection. These surface emissions are compared to those assessed using ambient, whole house indoor VOC measurements and the outdoor air change rate. Chamber emission rates varied by almost four orders of magnitude across 35 quantified VOCs. The whole house emissions measured by campaign-long ambient measurements and the flux chamber emissions (when scaled to the painted surface area of the house) are similar, with an average ratio between the two of 1.3 ± 1.0. The general agreement between these two approaches indicates that the flux chamber was not solely measuring primary emissions from building materials located below the chamber. Rather, the results suggest that over the 12-year house lifetime, VOCs have been widely distributed around the house, migrating from their primary sources to secondary surface reservoirs. With the house in a quasi-steady state, the thermodynamic activities (i.e., the vapor pressures) of the VOCs within the different reservoirs become similar. Emissions of aromatics and monoterpenes have declined since the house was built, whereas aldehyde emissions have remained relatively constant.

本文源于美国国家标准与技术研究院(NIST)净零能耗住宅测试设施(NZERTF)的 2022 年表面与空气化学评估(CASA)研究,首次评估了通过表面通量室与在线非目标挥发性有机化合物(VOC)质谱检测相结合测量的住宅室内表面排放。这些表面排放物与使用环境、全屋室内挥发性有机化合物测量值和室外空气变化率评估的排放物进行了比较。在 35 种量化的挥发性有机化合物中,室内排放率几乎相差四个数量级。通过运动式环境测量法测量的全屋排放量与通量室排放量(按房屋喷漆表面积比例计算)相似,两者之间的平均比率为 1.3 ± 1.0。这两种方法之间的总体一致表明,通量室并不只是测量位于通量室下方的建筑材料的一次排放。相反,结果表明,在房屋的 12 年使用期内,挥发性有机化合物广泛分布在房屋周围,从主要来源迁移到次要的表面储层。由于房屋处于准稳定状态,不同储层中 VOC 的热力学活动(即蒸汽压力)变得相似。自房屋建成以来,芳烃和单萜烯的排放量有所下降,而醛的排放量则保持相对稳定。
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