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Economic impact of power outage in Thailand: Industry perspectives 泰国停电对经济的影响:行业展望
Siriprapa Panya, W. Pattaraprakorn, T. Detmote, P. Teansri, P. Bhasaputra
This paper estimates the outage cost of industries in Thailand. The information of planned outage costs and unplanned outage costs is obtained from surveyed sample of 800 industries in the Provincial Electricity Authority (PEA) service area. The analytical results show that the average unplanned outage costs in Central region, South region, Northeast region, and North region of Thailand are 1,634,117.02 Baht/year, 1,167,333.33 Baht/year, 1,043,197.67 Baht/year and 218,310.81 Baht/year, respectively. In addition, the average planned outage costs are lower than the unplanned outage cost about 60–90%. Moreover, the annual average duration and annual average frequency outage from customer survey are 128.40 minutes/year and 5.46 events/year, respectively. Furthermore, the results in this study indicate that the economic impact of unplanned outage costs is higher than the results of previous study in all PEA service areas although the actual system performances in term of system average outage frequency index (SAIFI) and system average outage duration index (SAIDI) have been continuously improved. Not only economic growth and high technology equipment of industries affect to the increasing of outage cost, but the internal factors of industries such as process characteristic, recovery time, machines and equipment, emergency power supply also involve to the outage costs.
本文对泰国工业的停电成本进行了估算。计划停电成本和非计划停电成本的信息是通过对省电业局服务区域内800个行业的调查样本获得的。分析结果表明,泰国中部地区、南部地区、东北部地区和北部地区的平均计划外停电成本分别为1,634,117.02泰铢/年、1,167,333.33泰铢/年、1,043,197.67泰铢/年和218,310.81泰铢/年。此外,平均计划停机成本比计划外停机成本低60-90%左右。此外,客户调查的年平均停机时间和年平均停机频率分别为128.40分钟/年和5.46次/年。此外,本研究结果表明,尽管系统平均停机频率指数(SAIFI)和系统平均停机时长指数(SAIDI)的实际系统性能不断提高,但在所有PEA服务领域,意外停机成本的经济影响都高于以往的研究结果。中断成本的增加不仅受到工业经济增长和高技术装备的影响,而且还受到工业内部因素如工艺特性、恢复时间、机器设备、应急电源等的影响。
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引用次数: 6
Shihmen sediment prevention diversion tunnel planning and design 石门防沙导流隧洞规划设计
H. Hou, Mingshu Lee, Percy Hou
Shihmen reservoir was started in May 1963. The main purposes of Shihmen reservoir are for agriculture, power supply, flood control and tourism. Shihme Asn dam is an earth dam. Its crown height is 133m above mean sea level, with length 360 m, watershed 763.4 km2, and maximum volume 309 million cms. Turbidity in Shihmen dam was severely affected by typhoons Aere (2004) and Masa (2005). Increased deposition after Aere was 28 million cms. Turbidity at Shihmen Canal Inlet is 3000 NTU (Nephelometry Turbidity Unit). Sediment sluicing strategies for downstream channel are demanded. Therefore, diversionary sediment preventing channel is planned in the upstream of Shihmen reservoir. Finally, turbid flow in tunnel channel is bypassed and diverted its flow down to downstream.
石门水库始建于1963年5月。石门水库的主要用途是农业、供电、防洪和旅游。Shihme Asn大坝是一座土坝。冠高133m,长360 m,流域763.4 km2,最大容积3.09亿cm。石门坝浊度受台风“爱尔”(2004年)和“玛莎”(2005年)影响较大。Aere后增加的沉积量为2800万cms。石门运河入口浊度为3000 NTU(浊度单位)。对下游河道的拦沙策略提出了要求。因此,在石门水库上游规划了导流防沙通道。最后绕过隧道通道内的浑浊流,使其流向下游。
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引用次数: 0
Portfolio risk analysis based generation expansion planning considering CO2 trading 基于投资组合风险分析的考虑二氧化碳交易的发电扩建规划
N. Phuc, C. Marpaung, R. Shrestha
This paper presents a new generation expansion model that considers the fluctuation of fuel prices and effects of CO2 trading. This model is applied to Viet Nam power sector during 2013–2030. This model finds out the efficient curve containing all feasible technology mixes. Each feasible mix represented by a value of risk-aversion factor has different value of risk, revenue from CO2 trading and present value of total cost (PVTC). The result shows that the higher the PVTC, the lower the volatility of fuel cost and the higher the revenue from CO2 trading. In the case of Viet Nam, if the investor selects high value of risk-aversion factor, renewables, such as solar and win, will become attractive. Furthermore, coal will be the dominant technology that replaces gas and oil.
本文提出了一个考虑燃料价格波动和二氧化碳交易影响的新一代扩张模型。该模型适用于2013-2030年越南电力部门。该模型找出了包含所有可行技术组合的效率曲线。以风险规避因子值表示的每种可行组合具有不同的风险值、二氧化碳交易收益值和总成本现值。结果表明,PVTC越高,燃料成本波动越小,二氧化碳交易收益越高。在越南的情况下,如果投资者选择高价值的风险规避因素,可再生能源,如太阳能和赢,将变得有吸引力。此外,煤炭将成为取代天然气和石油的主要技术。
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引用次数: 3
A study of particle swarm technique for renewable energy power systems 粒子群技术在可再生能源发电系统中的应用研究
N. Phuangpornpitak, W. Prommee, S. Tia, W. Phuangpornpitak
Renewable power system is an innovative option for electricity generation as it is a clean energy resource. Noting the climate change becomes an important issue the whole world is currently facing, the ever-increasing price of petroleum products (now about US$ 80 a barrel) and the reduction in cost of renewable energy power systems, opportunities for renewable energy systems to address electricity generation seems to be increasing. However, to achieve commercialization and widespread use, an efficient energy management strategy of system needs to be addressed. Recently, particle swarm optimization (PSO) has been successfully applied to the various fields of power system including economic dispatch problems. This paper presents the survey of PSO in solving optimization problems in electric power systems. The introductory sections provide the new way to implement renewable energy power system using particle swarm technique. Subsequent sections cover recent trends of PSO development in renewable energy power systems. This technique would be useful to determine the powerful energy management strategy so as to meet the required load demand at minimum operating cost while satisfying system equality and inequality constraints.
可再生能源作为一种清洁能源,是一种创新的发电选择。注意到气候变化成为全世界目前面临的一个重要问题,石油产品价格不断上涨(现在每桶约80美元)和可再生能源电力系统成本的降低,可再生能源系统解决发电问题的机会似乎正在增加。然而,为了实现商业化和广泛使用,需要解决一个有效的系统能源管理策略。近年来,粒子群算法已成功地应用于电力系统的各个领域,包括经济调度问题。本文综述了粒子群算法在解决电力系统优化问题中的应用。引言部分提供了利用粒子群技术实现可再生能源电力系统的新途径。随后的章节介绍了可再生能源电力系统中PSO发展的最新趋势。该技术将有助于确定强大的能量管理策略,以最小的运行成本满足所需的负荷需求,同时满足系统的等式和不等式约束。
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引用次数: 41
Development of Thailand's first nuclear power plant 泰国第一座核电站的开发
A. Patchimpattapong
Strengthening energy security, mitigating global warming and being competitive in global markets are among reasons Thailand is developing nuclear power program. Based on the current Thailand Power Development Plan there will be 5 units of a 1,000 MWe nuclear power plant commercialized from 2020 to 2028. Nuclear power will contribute no greater than 10% of Thailand electricity generation. Currently, Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand (EGAT), government owned utility, is conducting nuclear power plant feasibility study. Major tasks include reactor technology and supplier selection, site survey and selection, and human resources development planning. Since this is Thailand's first nuclear power plant, infrastructure assessment and establishment planning, e.g. nuclear law and regulatory body, and public education and participation, are also crucial to the success of the program. All these will be in the readiness report to submit to the Thai Cabinet for approval next year. According to the Nuclear Power Infrastructure Establishment Plan, a roadmap for launching nuclear power program in Thailand, nuclear power project will be implemented during 2011–2013, construction will start in 2014, and Thailand's first nuclear power plant will be complete for commercial operation in 2020.
加强能源安全、减缓全球变暖以及在全球市场上具有竞争力是泰国发展核电项目的原因之一。根据目前的泰国电力发展计划,从2020年到2028年,将有5台1000兆瓦的核电站商业化。核电对泰国发电量的贡献将不超过10%。目前,泰国电力局(EGAT),政府所有的公用事业公司,正在进行核电站的可行性研究。主要任务包括反应堆技术和供应商选择,场地调查和选择,以及人力资源开发规划。由于这是泰国第一座核电站,基础设施评估和建设规划,如核法律和监管机构,公众教育和参与,对项目的成功也至关重要。所有这些都将在准备报告中提交泰国内阁明年批准。根据泰国启动核电计划的路线图《核电基础设施建设计划》,核电项目将于2011-2013年实施,2014年开始建设,泰国第一座核电站将于2020年建成并投入商业运行。
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引用次数: 5
Multi-scenarios of effective demand side management in Navanakorn industrial promotion zone 纳瓦那孔产业促进区多场景需求侧有效管理
P. Teansri, B. Hongpeechar, Rittirong Intarajinda, P. Bhasaputra, W. Pattaraprakorn
This paper studies the multi-scenarios of effective demand side management by implementing energy conservation programs in 51 designated factories according the Energy Conservation Promotion Act No. 2 B.E. 2550 (2007). In addition, 5% of peak demand reduction is estimated from the industries in Navanakorn industrial promotion zone that use to evaluate the effect of energy conservation programs and to investigate the limit of substation capacity. Moreover, the optimal management of diversity factor is indicated base on the estimated peak demand reduction by energy conservation programs and the annual demand growth of 3 substations. The surveyed results show that the peak demand can be reduced up to 1.97 MW with implementing energy conservation programs which mostly come from electronic ballast replacement measure. However, the analytical results of energy conservation project analysis show that the energy efficiency improvement is still a high potential for Navanakorn industrial promotion zone. Furthermore, the simulation results of multi-scenarios demand side management with the energy conservation programs illustrate that the substations can be supplied industries in Navanakorn industrial promotion zone until 2016 with 96.15% of total transformer capacity in case 5% of peak demand reduction from fully implemented energy conservation programs is achieved. Finally, the effective demand side management programs of the designated factories are the opportunity to extend the new substation
本文根据B.E. 2550(2007)第2号节能促进法,通过对51家指定工厂实施节能方案,研究了有效需求侧管理的多情景。此外,估计纳瓦纳孔工业促进区的工业将减少5%的高峰需求,用于评估节能计划的效果和调查变电站容量的限制。最后,结合3个变电站的年需求增长量和节能方案对高峰需求的预估,给出了多样性因子的最优管理。调查结果表明,通过实施节能方案,可减少峰值需求1.97 MW,其中大部分来自电子镇流器更换措施。但节能项目分析结果表明,纳瓦那孔产业促进区能效提升仍有较大潜力。此外,基于节能方案的多场景需求侧管理仿真结果表明,在全面实施节能方案的情况下,在峰值需求减少5%的情况下,到2016年,变电站可以为纳瓦纳孔工业促进区内的工业提供变压器总容量的96.15%。最后,指定工厂的有效需求侧管理方案是扩展新变电站的机会
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引用次数: 3
Active building envelope system (ABE): Wind and solar-driven ventilation, electricity and heat pump 主动建筑围护结构系统(ABE):风能和太阳能驱动通风,电力和热泵
Bor-Jang Tsai, Chien-Ho Lee
This study takes the ventilation into consideration, making the active building envelope (ABE) system more close to the realistic application conditions. The ABE system is comprised of a photovoltaic unit (PV unit) and a thermoelectric heat pump unit (TE unit). The PV unit consists of photovoltaic cells, which convert solar radiation energy into electrical energy. The TE unit consists of thermoelectric heaters/coolers (referred to here onwards as TE coolers), which convert electrical energy into thermal energy, or the reverse. The PV and the TE units are integrated within the overall ABE enclosure. The new mechanism of a hybrid system was proposed. A ducted wind turine will be integrated with the ABE system becoming dual core. Then the analytic model of original ABE system has to be revised and analytic solution will be resulted and verified by the numerical solution of CFD. The ducted wind mill will provide air conditioning and power the ABE system, to higher the thermal efficiency of the heat sinks of TE system. Numerical and experimental works will be investigated. a building installed the ABE system wind, solar driven, bypass the windmill flow as a air flow, ambient temperature, To is equal to 35 °C and indoor temperature, Ti is 28 °C. Numerical results show the Ti will decrease 2 °C when the ABE operating with heat sinks, without fan. As fan is opened, strong convective heat transfer, Ti will decrease approximately 4 to 5 °C. We hope findings of this study can make the dream of healthy living comfortable room come true.
本研究将通风考虑在内,使主动围护结构(ABE)系统更接近于实际应用条件。ABE系统由光伏单元(PV unit)和热电热泵单元(TE unit)组成。光伏单元由光伏电池组成,将太阳辐射能转化为电能。TE装置由热电加热器/冷却器(以下简称为TE冷却器)组成,它将电能转换为热能,或反之。光伏和TE单元集成在整个ABE机箱中。提出了混合系统的新机理。导管式风力涡轮机将与ABE系统集成,成为双核心。然后对原ABE系统的解析模型进行修正,得到解析解,并用CFD数值解进行验证。风管式风车将为ABE系统提供空调和动力,以提高TE系统散热器的热效率。数值和实验工作将进行研究。某建筑安装了ABE系统,采用风力、太阳能驱动,绕过风车气流作为气流,环境温度,To等于35℃,室内温度,Ti等于28℃。数值计算结果表明,ABE在有散热片、无风扇的情况下,Ti值降低2°C。随着风机开启,强对流换热,Ti将降低约4 ~ 5°C。我们希望本研究的发现可以使健康生活舒适房间的梦想成真。
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引用次数: 2
Solar Lantern Rental System: Paying for the service, not the hardware 太阳能灯租赁系统:为服务付费,而不是硬件
Simon Henshel, Andy Schroeter, L. Gaillard
This paper is a concept note on Sunlabob's latest innovation to tackle the challenge of rural electrification using renewable energy sources in developing countries. A technical and operational description is given of a rechargeable battery lantern and solar charging station rental scheme. Sunlabob has developed a package based upon a village entrepreneur operating a solar charging station on a rental basis. The entrepreneur charges portable lanterns, and circulates them among village households in return for a fee collected for each recharge. The revenue covers the costs of operating the system on a commercial basis. For households, the recharging fee is a regular small expense, qualitatively comparable to buying kerosene at the village outlet. Sunlabob's experience has shown that technical expertise is essential but it needs to be combined with a robust operational and financial model offering economic sustainability, for rural electrification programmes to be successful and have long-lasting benefits for populations in developing countries. Involvement of local populations is also decisive, both for a smooth transition and for good management and maintenance of the renewable energy solutions proposed.
本文是关于Sunlabob在解决发展中国家使用可再生能源的农村电气化挑战方面的最新创新的概念说明。给出了充电电池灯和太阳能充电站租赁方案的技术和操作描述。Sunlabob开发了一套基于乡村企业家以租赁方式运营太阳能充电站的方案。这位企业家给便携式灯笼充电,并在村民家庭中流通,每次充电收取一定费用。收入包括在商业基础上运行该系统的成本。对于家庭来说,充电费是一笔常规的小额支出,在质量上与在村里的折扣店购买煤油相当。Sunlabob的经验表明,技术专长是必不可少的,但它需要与提供经济可持续性的强大运营和财务模式相结合,才能使农村电气化计划取得成功,并为发展中国家的人口带来长期利益。当地居民的参与对于顺利过渡以及对所提议的可再生能源解决办法的良好管理和维护也具有决定性作用。
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引用次数: 1
Biofuel development in the Lao PDR: Baseline assessment and policy evaluation 老挝人民民主共和国的生物燃料发展:基线评估和政策评价
L. Gaillard, P. Robert, Jakob Rietzler
Since 2006, the government of the Lao PDR has strongly promoted biofuel development, on the basis of national energy security concerns, and interests for rural development. As a result, many farmers were encouraged to cultivate jatropha as a biofuel feedstock through government campaigns and private sector investment. For most, the return on their investment has been woefully low; a domestic biofuel sector has failed to materialise, largely due to (i) negligible feedstock supply and poor yields, (ii) inadequate market development, and (iii) a lack of investment in biofuel processing capacity. Despite these limitations, the Lao government has set an ambitious target of offsetting 10% of petroleum fuel consumption with biofuel by the year 2020. In order to address the likelihood and requirements of reaching such a goal, this paper presents a baseline assessment of the embryonic biofuel sector in the Lao PDR, and formulates a comparison between national expectations and targets with the current scale of investment by public and private sectors. A simple analysis of market chains for domestic biofuel production and consumption in the Lao PDR is established as a basis to evaluate the merits of biofuel for the Lao PDR, in the context of national development goals.
自2006年以来,老挝人民民主共和国政府基于国家能源安全和农村发展的利益,大力推动生物燃料的发展。因此,通过政府活动和私营部门投资,许多农民被鼓励种植麻疯树作为生物燃料原料。对大多数人来说,他们的投资回报低得可怜;国内生物燃料部门未能实现,主要原因是:(1)原料供应微不足道,产量低,(2)市场开发不足,以及(3)缺乏对生物燃料加工能力的投资。尽管存在这些限制,老挝政府仍制定了一个雄心勃勃的目标,即到2020年用生物燃料抵消10%的石油燃料消耗。为了解决实现这一目标的可能性和要求,本文对老挝人民民主共和国的胚胎生物燃料部门进行了基线评估,并将国家期望和目标与目前公共和私营部门的投资规模进行了比较。对老挝人民民主共和国国内生物燃料生产和消费的市场链进行了简单分析,作为在国家发展目标背景下评估老挝人民民主共和国生物燃料优点的基础。
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引用次数: 3
Feasible study of biogas energy for Thai dairy cooperative from dairy cow manure: The potential and economic analysis 泰国乳品合作社利用牛粪生产沼气的可行性研究:潜力和经济分析
W. Pattaraprakorn, Rakpong Saikaew, P. Bhasaputra
The objective of this study is to estimate the potential of energy from dairy cow manure for the dairy cooperatives in Thailand. According to the information from the Cooperative Promotion Department, there are 118 cooperatives with 25,757 dairy farmers and 364,745 dairy cows. In addition, the dairy cow cooperatives, farmer numbers and cow numbers are divided by regions and the potential of energy is presented in various forms. The highest number of cow by region is found in the Central region with 262,805 dairy cows. The highest number of cow is found in the dairy cooperative in the Central region with 71,952 dairy cows. The highest energy potential is in the Central region with 1,202,656 MJ/day of LPG equivalent. Using the model from a previous successful study in Lamphayaklang Reform Land Dairy Cooperative, the analytical results of finances index, the net present values (NPV), is propose to evaluate the feasible of biogas plant establishment. The results show that the NPV from total Thai dairy cooperatives is about 953,261,057.50 Baht and the NPV of the Central region is 686,840,867.50 Baht that the number of dairy cow cooperatives is 40.68% of total number of dairy cow cooperatives in Thailand. Finally, this paper provides an overview of the potential energy from biogas plant that could use as the renewable energy under the sustainable energy concept.
本研究的目的是估计奶牛粪便为泰国乳制品合作社提供能源的潜力。据合作社振兴局的资料,全国共有118个合作社,奶农25757人,奶牛364745头。此外,奶牛合作社、农民数量和奶牛数量按地区划分,能源潜力以各种形式呈现。按地区划分,奶牛数量最多的是中部地区,有262,805头奶牛。奶牛数量最多的是中部地区的奶牛合作社,有71952头奶牛。能源潜力最高的是中部地区,每天的液化石油气当量为1202,656兆焦耳。利用兰法雅克朗改革土地乳业合作社的成功研究模型,提出了财务指标净现值(NPV)的分析结果来评价沼气厂建设的可行性。结果表明,泰国奶牛合作社的净现值约为953,261,057.50泰铢,中部地区的净现值为686,840,867.50泰铢,奶牛合作社的数量占泰国奶牛合作社总数的40.68%。最后,本文概述了在可持续能源理念下沼气厂可作为可再生能源利用的潜在能源。
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引用次数: 1
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Proceedings of the International Conference on Energy and Sustainable Development: Issues and Strategies (ESD 2010)
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