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The Drivers of Rural Accommodation Development in Romania: A Preliminary Study - Part 2 罗马尼亚农村住宿发展的驱动因素:初步研究-第二部分
Pub Date : 2020-09-30 DOI: 10.24193/subbnegotia.2020.3.04
Cornelia Pop, M. Georgescu
"The present paper continues the work of Pop et al. (2019) on what concerns the drivers of rural accommodation development in Romania. The study covers the same period: 2005 to 2019. This study introduces a new factor / driver: the accessibility of communes via the national and county road network.Similar to the findings of Pop et al. (2019), the 2008 and 2012 ranks were established based on the existing tourist attractions. The 2012 rank is strongly influenced by 2008 ranks and, under the present study, by accessibility. Though, the influence of both ranks on lodgings (both under NIS and MoT data) remains weak to very weak hence suggesting the need to introduce new factors in order to explain the lodging development in rural areas.Keywords: rural tourism, lodging, resources, RomaniaJEL classification: L83"
“本文继续了Pop等人(2019)关于罗马尼亚农村住宿发展驱动因素的工作。该研究涵盖了2005年至2019年的同一时期。本研究引入了一个新的因素/驱动因素:通过国家和县域公路网的可达性。与Pop et al.(2019)的研究结果类似,2008年和2012年的排名是根据现有的旅游景点建立的。2012年的排名受到2008年排名的强烈影响,在本研究中,受可及性的影响。尽管如此,这两个排名对住宿的影响(在NIS和交通部的数据下)仍然很弱,因此表明需要引入新的因素来解释农村地区的住宿发展。关键词:乡村旅游住宿资源罗马尼亚ajel分类:L83
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引用次数: 3
Making A Mundane Ceremony Into A Meaningful Organizational Ritual -- Re-Design Of Ribbon-Cutting Ceremonies For Overseas Manufacturing Projects 把平凡的仪式变成有意义的组织仪式——海外制造项目剪彩仪式的再设计
I. Gurkov
According to UNCTAD, the global number of foreign direct investment projects in manufacturing announced in 2018 reached 8049 (UNCTAD, 2019: 9-10). Although the real number of realized projects will be much smaller in 2020-2021 because of the global fall of foreign direct investments (UNCTAD, 2020: xi) the overall number of newly installed factories will be still counted in thousands. In many developing and emerging markets, especially in South-East Asia, Latin America and Russia, ribbon-cutting ceremonies for new facilities opened by foreign investors are mandatory. We ran a study identifying all videoed ribbon-cutting ceremonies for new facilities opened by foreign investors in Russia in 2012-2018. Using a detailed analysis of the content of speeches delivered by representative of foreign investors and representative of local authorities at those ceremonies, and information obtained through personal observations and interviews, we were able to discover the surface and deeper level meaning attaching to these ceremonies, to propose the definition of efficient plant-opening ceremonies and to demonstrate how it is possible to amend the design of such ceremonies to increase their effectiveness and also to increase mental coherence between the corporate center and oversea subsidiaries.
根据联合国贸发会议的数据,2018年全球宣布的制造业外国直接投资项目达到8049个(贸发会议,2019:9-10)。尽管由于外国直接投资的全球下降(UNCTAD, 2020: xi), 2020-2021年实现项目的实际数量将大大减少,但新安装的工厂总数仍将以数千计。在许多发展中国家和新兴市场,特别是在东南亚、拉丁美洲和俄罗斯,外国投资者开办的新设施的剪彩仪式是强制性的。我们进行了一项研究,对2012年至2018年外国投资者在俄罗斯开设的新设施的所有剪彩仪式进行了录像分析。通过对外国投资者代表和地方政府代表在这些仪式上的发言内容的详细分析,以及通过个人观察和采访获得的信息,我们能够发现这些仪式的表面和更深层次的意义。提出高效工厂开业仪式的定义,并演示如何修改此类仪式的设计以提高其有效性,并增加公司中心与海外子公司之间的精神一致性。
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引用次数: 0
The Social Divide of Social Distancing: Shelter-in-Place Behavior in Santiago during the COVID-19 Pandemic 社会距离的社会鸿沟:2019冠状病毒病大流行期间圣地亚哥的原地避难行为
Aldo G. Carranza, M. Goic, Eduardo Lara, M. Olivares, G. Weintraub, Julio Covarrubia, Cristian Escobedo, Natalia Jara, L. Basso
Voluntary shelter-in-place directives and lockdowns are the main nonpharmaceutical interventions that governments around the globe have used to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. In this paper, we study the impact of such interventions in the capital of a developing country, Santiago, Chile, that exhibits large socioeconomic inequality. A distinctive feature of our study is that we use granular geolocated mobile phone data to construct mobility measures that capture (1) shelter-in-place behavior and (2) trips within the city to destinations with potentially different risk profiles. Using panel data linear regression models, we first show that the impact of social distancing measures and lockdowns on mobility is highly heterogeneous and dependent on socioeconomic levels. More specifically, our estimates indicate that, although zones of high socioeconomic levels can exhibit reductions in mobility of around 50%–90% depending on the specific mobility metric used, these reductions are only 20%–50% for lower income communities. The large reductions in higher income communities are significantly driven by voluntary shelter-in-place behavior. Second, also using panel data methods, we show that our mobility measures are important predictors of infections: roughly, a 10% increase in mobility correlates with a 5% increase in the rate of infection. Our results suggest that mobility is an important factor explaining differences in infection rates between high- and low-incomes areas within the city. Further, they confirm the challenges of reducing mobility in lower income communities, where people generate their income from their daily work. To be effective, shelter-in-place restrictions in municipalities of low socioeconomic levels may need to be complemented by other supporting measures that enable their inhabitants to increase compliance. This paper was accepted by David Simchi Levi, healthcare management.
自愿隔离指令和封锁是全球各国政府用来遏制Covid-19大流行的主要非药物干预措施。在本文中,我们研究了此类干预措施在发展中国家首都智利圣地亚哥的影响,该城市表现出巨大的社会经济不平等。我们研究的一个显著特点是,我们使用颗粒状的地理定位移动电话数据来构建移动测量,以捕获(1)就地避难行为和(2)在城市内前往具有潜在不同风险概况的目的地的旅行。使用面板数据线性回归模型,我们首先表明,社会距离措施和封锁对流动性的影响是高度异质性的,并且依赖于社会经济水平。更具体地说,我们的估计表明,尽管根据所使用的具体流动性指标,高社会经济水平的地区可以表现出约50%-90%的流动性下降,但低收入社区的这种下降仅为20%-50%。高收入社区的大幅减少在很大程度上是由自愿的就地避难行为推动的。其次,同样使用面板数据方法,我们表明我们的流动性措施是感染的重要预测因素:大致而言,流动性增加10%与感染率增加5%相关。我们的研究结果表明,流动性是解释城市内高收入地区和低收入地区感染率差异的一个重要因素。此外,它们证实了在低收入社区减少流动性的挑战,那里的人们从日常工作中获得收入。为使社会经济水平较低的城市的就地安置限制有效,可能需要辅以其他支助措施,使其居民能够更多地遵守。本文被医疗保健管理专业的David Simchi Levi接受。
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引用次数: 16
Critical Review of COVID-2019 in South Korea and Impacts on Its Economy 韩国新冠肺炎疫情及其对经济的影响
N. Khan, Ayasha Akbar, S. Faisal, M. Naushad, S. Fahad
The study was carried out since 26, June, 2020. The major objective was to critically review Covid-2019 in South Korea and impacts on its economy. Secondary data was used and total 21 articles were downloaded from the net and critically review 20 times in depth and results was drawn. The result indicates that from January 20 until February 17, the number of new infections of Covid-2019 was low but during phase two from February 18 till March 11, the curve started to trend upwards with patient number 31 associated with the religious group in Daegu. In the beginning of corona Patient No 31 has spread the diseases in the country. The curve peaked at the end of February and started to level off.“Phase three started from March 12 till now when we have seen a downward trend in new cases with sporadic new clusters of infections. The government has applied the methodology of China and all boundaries of the country were closed. In side country no locked down was fully applied while all people were tested in the country and per day rate of the test was 20,000 and total one million people were tested from 20, January, 2020 till 19 June 2020. All country hospitals were used as one Unit. Patients were transferred to those hospitals where the numbers of beds were more. Similarly Doctors were also transferred to other hospitals of the country where the need was more. In hospital triage techniques were used. Categorization of the infected Covid-2019 was made, namely severe, middle and low. Serious people were shifted to ICU Units. Similarly 100 laboratories were made for corona testing in the country and due to energetic step the corona number was decreased after 12 March, 2020. McClean on 25th March, 2020 reported that the highest number in Seoul was 75 but in Daegu was 735. The population of the Seoul is 2.5 million and Daegu population 2.5 and similarly 85% cases were diagnosed in daegu. The cause was that in daegu the religious ceremony was held. He further told that the total confirmed cases on 25th March, 2020 was 9,137 among them 3,730 were discharged after recovery and 126 died. So until now fully recovered patients percentage is 41% and mortality rate is 1.4. But further on 19 June,2020 the Won So reported that the total confirmed cases number was 12306 and the death number was 280 and the new cases number was 274 when it is compared with other countries of the world, the corona cases number trend is very low in South Korea. So the credit goes to the present government of South Korea King Moon. The study shows that South Korea has done exemplary work for control of corona virus. Similarly the economy was highly affected by corona pandemic. Tourism is the major portion of its economy, so all visitors were banned on the country in the beginning because of this the demand of the goods of the industries were decreased while in the first quarter of this year, the tourism revenue was decreased 2.9 trillion Won. All motors companies were closed due to non avai
该研究自2020年6月26日起进行。此次会议的主要目的是仔细分析新冠疫情对韩国经济的影响。利用二手资料,从网上下载共21篇文章,深度批判性综述20次,得出结果。结果显示,从1月20日至2月17日,新冠肺炎确诊患者人数较少,但从2月18日至3月11日的第二阶段开始,随着大邱宗教团体的31名患者出现上升趋势。在冠状病毒初期,31号患者已经在该国传播了这种疾病。这条曲线在2月底达到顶峰,然后开始趋于平稳。“第三阶段从3月12日开始到现在,我们看到新病例呈下降趋势,出现了零星的新聚集性感染。政府采用了中国的方法,封闭了国家的所有边界。在另一个国家,没有完全实施封锁,所有人都在该国接受了检测,每天的检测量为2万,从2020年1月20日到2020年6月19日,总共有100万人接受了检测。所有的国家医院作为一个单位使用。病人被转移到床位较多的医院。同样,医生也被转到国内需要更多的其他医院。医院采用了分诊技术。将新型冠状病毒感染者分为重度、中度和低度。病情严重的人被转移到重症监护室。同样,在该国建立了100个实验室进行冠状病毒检测,由于采取了积极措施,2020年3月12日之后,冠状病毒数量减少了。麦克林在2020年3月25日报道说,首尔的最高人数是75人,而大邱是735人。首尔人口为250万人,大邱人口为250万人,大邱也有85%的确诊病例。原因是在大邱举行了宗教仪式。3月25日累计确诊病例9137例,其中治愈出院3730例,死亡126例。到目前为止,完全康复的病人比例是41%死亡率是1.4%但在2020年6月19日,《韩国日报》报道,确诊病例总数为12306例,死亡人数为280例,新发病例数为274例,与世界其他国家相比,韩国的冠状病毒病例数趋势很低。所以这要归功于韩国现任政府文在寅国王。这表明,韩国在冠状病毒控制方面做了堪称典范的工作。同样,经济也受到冠状病毒大流行的严重影响。旅游业是韩国经济的主要支柱,因此,从一开始就禁止所有游客入境,因此,产业产品的需求减少,今年第一季度的旅游收入减少了2.9万亿韩元。由于无法从中国获得备件,所有电机公司都关闭了。其他所有经济部门都因疫情防控而关闭。经济的增长出现了下滑。GDP增速比去年的2.3%下降了0.3个百分点。在研究问题的基础上,建议遵循韩国的规章制度;应在该国发展适当的卫生系统;应提高社会的道德意识;不要考虑钱,而是考虑如何控制冠状病毒;全国团结是必要的;国家的边界应该完全锁定;该国需要严格禁止集会;为控制冠状病毒,该国所有人都必须佩戴口罩;这个国家的所有宗教仪式都应该被禁止,就像沙特阿拉伯一样;要求与政府合作;应该派遣适当、勇敢和诚实的医生执勤,在国内控制冠状病毒。大流行目前处于新的阶段,世界上的新病例数量有所增加,因此应为未来的控制确定新的战略。为刺激经济,应以低利率向国民提供信贷;请世界各国效仿中国和韩国的方法来控制世界上任何流行病。
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引用次数: 0
Immigration and Trust: The Case of Venezuelans in Colombia 移民与信任:委内瑞拉人在哥伦比亚的案例
Jeremy Lebow, Jonathan Moreno Medina, Horacio Coral
The large number of internationally displaced people worldwide has brought new attention to the impact of refugee resettlement on social capital in the host country.We study the causal impact of mass migration on trust towards foreigners and other natives in the context of the recent Venezuelan exodus to Colombia. We combine an instrumental variable approach with a large and nationally representative survey on social preferences. We find that migrants sort into more trusting locations, and that once this endogenous sorting is accounted for there is no average effect of immigration on trust. However, in municipalities that are more urbanized, productive, educated and with better provision of public goods, immigration increases trust in foreigners and other natives. Our results suggest that, given appropriate conditions, close proximity to immigrants does not drive anti-immigrant sentiment and can in fact improve cooperative attitudes towards immigrants.
世界范围内大量的国际流离失所者使人们重新关注难民重新安置对东道国社会资本的影响。我们研究了大规模移民对信任的因果影响对外国人和其他当地人在最近的委内瑞拉外流到哥伦比亚的背景下。我们将工具变量方法与大型的、具有全国代表性的社会偏好调查相结合。我们发现,移民会选择更信任的地方,一旦考虑到这种内生排序,移民对信任的平均影响就没有了。然而,在城市化程度更高、生产力更高、受教育程度更高、公共产品供应更好的城市,移民增加了对外国人和其他本地人的信任。我们的研究结果表明,在适当的条件下,与移民的亲密关系不会驱动反移民情绪,实际上可以改善对移民的合作态度。
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引用次数: 3
Dilemmas for SMEs Establishment on an International Basis 中小企业国际化经营的困境
Pub Date : 2020-06-19 DOI: 10.24088/ijbea-2020-53001
Muhammad Yasir Imam, Noor Un Nisa, Gul Sher Khan, Asim Saleem
The purpose of the study is to give a theoretical frame-work for the internationalization of SMEs, and efforts are being made to identify the factors that influence the state of SMEs internationally in the Pakistan. Due to lack of global mindset, organizational resources utilization, general capabilities, management experience, dynamics of international markets, and regulatory frameworks, family-owned businesses are less likely to maintain their share of international markets while developing countries by focusing on the SMEs of internationalization, as like Pakistan. SMEs from the Pakistan are focusing on traditional samples and are still not able to gain a significant share in international markets, but are losing their shares in international markets. Most SMEs in Pakistan have been owned families and also operated by these for decades. With the appearance of the financial integration, SMEs are moving beyond borders and also gaining the market share in the overseas markets. SMEs earn more profit by selling products in the international markets and contribute significantly to Pakistan’s economic growth. For the establishment of State Internationalization, the Evidence Based Study is utilized to determine the suspects facing SMES. The literature on firms’ globalization is primarily based on the research from all South Asia and other countries. This framework identifies potential factors which affecting the performance of Pakistan owned-family SMEs in international markets. The SMEs require to revise their processes strategies, and also operations to reach the approach for desired level of market share in the international markets.
这项研究的目的是为中小企业的国际化提供一个理论框架,目前正在努力确定影响巴基斯坦中小企业国际状况的因素。由于缺乏全球思维、组织资源利用、一般能力、管理经验、国际市场动态和监管框架,家族企业不太可能保持其在国际市场的份额,而发展中国家则侧重于国际化的中小企业,如巴基斯坦。巴基斯坦的中小企业以传统的样品为主,在国际市场上仍然不能占有很大的份额,但在国际市场上的份额正在下降。巴基斯坦的大多数中小企业都是家族所有,并且由家族经营了几十年。随着金融一体化的出现,中小企业正在走出国界,在海外市场上获得市场份额。中小企业通过在国际市场销售产品赚取更多利润,对巴基斯坦的经济增长做出了重大贡献。为建立国家国际化,运用实证研究方法确定中小企业面临的犯罪嫌疑人。关于企业全球化的文献主要是基于南亚和其他国家的研究。该框架确定了影响巴基斯坦自有家庭中小企业在国际市场上表现的潜在因素。中小企业需要修改他们的流程战略,以及在国际市场上达到所需市场份额水平的操作方法。
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引用次数: 0
Methods for Achieving SDG 1, Poverty Eradication 实现可持续发展目标1,消除贫困的方法
Pub Date : 2020-06-19 DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-69415-9_218
E. Zavyalova
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引用次数: 1
Information Technology and Government Decentralization: Experimental Evidence from Paraguay 信息技术与政府权力下放:来自巴拉圭的实验证据
Ernesto Dal Bó, Frederico Finan, Nicholas Li, L. Schechter
Standard models of hierarchy assume that agents and middle managers are better informed than principals. We estimate the value of the informational advantage held by supervisors—middle managers—when ministerial leadership—the principal—introduced a new monitoring technology aimed at improving the performance of agricultural extension agents (AEAs) in rural Paraguay. Our approach employs a novel experimental design that elicited treatment‐priority rankings from supervisors before randomization of treatment. We find that supervisors have valuable information—they prioritize AEAs who would be more responsive to the monitoring treatment. We develop a model of monitoring under different scales of treatment roll‐out and different treatment allocation rules. We semiparametrically estimate marginal treatment effects (MTEs) to demonstrate that the value of information and the benefits to decentralizing treatment decisions depend crucially on the sophistication of the principal and on the scale of roll‐out.
等级制度的标准模型假设代理人和中层管理人员比委托人更了解情况。我们估计了管理者(中层管理人员)在部长级领导(负责人)引入旨在改善巴拉圭农村农业推广代理人(AEAs)绩效的新监测技术时所持有的信息优势的价值。我们的方法采用了一种新颖的实验设计,在随机化治疗之前,从主管那里获得治疗优先级排名。我们发现主管有宝贵的信息——他们优先考虑那些对监测治疗反应更灵敏的AEAs。我们开发了一个在不同规模的处理推出和不同的处理分配规则下的监测模型。我们对边际治疗效果(mte)进行了半参数估计,以证明信息的价值和分散治疗决策的好处主要取决于委托人的复杂性和推广规模。
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引用次数: 16
The COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts on Manpower Export: An Econometric Analysis of Survival Strategies of Recruiting Agencies in Bangladesh COVID-19大流行对人力输出的影响:孟加拉国招聘机构生存策略的计量分析
K. Mannan, G.M. Omar Faruque Chowdhury, Dr. Khan Farhana
The COVID-19 outbreak led the governments of many countries to impose restrictions on non-essential travel to countries affected by coronavirus, indefinitely suspending tourism travel, work visas and immigrant visas. Some countries placed a complete travel ban on all forms of inward or outward travel, shutting down all airports in the country. In this context, the main purpose of this study is to review the survival strategies by the international recruiting agencies in the country both triggered and prolonged the recession while trying to save the lives of citizens. In this regards, in the random sample selection process 291 recruiting agents were selected out of total 1,189 active members of Bangladesh Association of International Recruiting Agencies (BAIRA). The econometric model developed is used to assess the relationships between COVID-19 sustainability and the exploratory determinant variables. The results delve out that the only five variables out of twenty-four to survive are owner (s) personal reserve fund, shark loan, sale of other assets and properties, probability of bankruptcy and probably closing business soon. This paper contributes to the literature by showing that financial factors and/or non-economic factors can trigger both a financial and economic meltdown in unprecedented ways. This study also propose a model for investigating sustainability of other business sectors in the same way. Finally, it suggest that in order to protect manpower export sector, the Government of Bangladesh needs to bring under a special program and provide financial and strategic assistance to recruiting agencies in overall market research, exploration and creation.
新冠肺炎疫情导致许多国家政府对前往受冠状病毒影响国家的非必要旅行实施限制,无限期暂停旅游、工作签证和移民签证。一些国家全面禁止一切形式的入境或出境旅行,关闭了国内所有机场。在这种情况下,本研究的主要目的是审查国际招聘机构在该国引发和延长经济衰退的生存战略,同时试图挽救公民的生命。在这方面,在随机抽样选择过程中,从孟加拉国国际征聘机构协会(BAIRA)的1 189名活跃成员中选出了291名征聘代理人。开发的计量经济模型用于评估COVID-19可持续性与探索性决定变量之间的关系。结果表明,在24个变量中,只有5个变量存活下来,它们是所有者的个人储备基金、高利贷、出售其他资产和财产、破产的可能性和可能很快关闭的业务。本文通过显示金融因素和/或非经济因素可以以前所未有的方式触发金融和经济崩溃,从而为文献做出贡献。本研究还提出了一个模型,以同样的方式调查其他商业部门的可持续性。最后,它建议,为了保护人力出口部门,孟加拉国政府需要制定一项特别方案,并在全面的市场研究、探索和创造方面向招聘机构提供财政和战略援助。
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引用次数: 2
Towards a Model of Optimal Social Distancing During a Pandemic 构建大流行期间最佳社交距离模型
S. Balkin, J. Mcdonald
The approach to reducing the current harm from the COVID-19 disease is to mandate or encourage an array of social distancing behaviors. These behaviors have the negative effects of reducing GDP, personal incomes, and increasing unemployment leading to calls for opening up the economy and thereby reducing social distancing. This makes more sense to do in developing economies which lack the private and public safety nets to compensate for the lost income. However, if this opening-up policy is followed, we suggest that social distancing be maintained at the level that minimizes deaths.
减少当前COVID-19疾病危害的方法是强制要求或鼓励一系列社会距离行为。这些行为会降低国内生产总值、个人收入、增加失业率,导致人们呼吁开放经济,从而减少社会距离。这在发展中经济体更有意义,因为它们缺乏私人和公共安全网络来弥补收入损失。然而,如果遵循这一开放政策,我们建议将社会距离保持在最大限度地减少死亡的水平。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
Development Economics: Microeconomic Issues in Developing Economies eJournal
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