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Healing through nature: Public engagement with urban green-blue spaces in pandemic-era NW China
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107769
Yuliang Wang
Urban Green-Blue Spaces (UGBS) offer numerous intangible benefits, especially during crises. Pandemic restrictions globally forced social distancing, limited travel, and curtailed visits to UGBS. While some studies have linked public health to UGBS use during COVID-19, few have comprehensively examined the interplay between visiting patterns, demographics, unhealthy habits, mental and physical health, and willingness to pay (WTP). This gap is particularly evident in NW China, where UGBS are scarce but urban areas are densely populated. Therefore, understanding the relationship between UGBS utilization and public health during the pandemic is crucial. This representative study in Lanzhou, the core city of NW China, aimed to elucidate public engagement with UGBS during the pandemic and its effects on health and well-being, providing a comprehensive analysis of these multifaceted interactions. The findings reveal that proximity, transportation modes, and urban infrastructure significantly influence UGBS utilization. Frequent and prolonged engagement with UGBS enhances perceived mental and physical health benefits, driving higher WTP among younger adults, educated individuals, married people, and long-term residents. Conversely, longer travel times decrease WTP, underscoring the need for accessible UGBS. Notably, smokers and drinkers also report greater benefits from UGBS, likely due to their appreciation of restorative effects. To maximize UGBS utilization and support, urban planners should enhance accessibility by strategically locating UGBS within walking distance of residential areas and improving public transportation links. Promoting regular use through community activities and extended operating hours can encourage more frequent and longer visits. Targeted educational campaigns for older and less-educated demographics can raise awareness of UGBS benefits. Incorporating health-promoting features such as walking trails and quiet areas can further enhance the physical and mental health benefits of UGBS. Community involvement in planning and maintenance is crucial to ensure these spaces meet local needs. Implementing supportive policies that maintain accessibility and appeal for all economic segments will make UGBS inclusive and sustainable, fostering healthier, more resilient urban communities. This study empirically demonstrates the crucial role of UGBS for residents during crises, offering insights that can guide urban spatial policies and green space management in other cities.
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引用次数: 0
The role of geographical locations in the environmental impact of fibre-to-fibre textile recycling
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107755
Maria Pia Spinelli , Thomas Gries , Vera Amicarelli , Nina Dautzenberg , Amrei Becker
The EU Commission has introduced a strategy for sustainable and circular textiles, including plans for eco-design specifications and promoting fibre-to-fibre recycling. Today, textile production is predominantly located outside Europe, with China being the top exporter of textiles worldwide. China's energy system is coal-based and has the highest CO2 emissions globally, while Europe relies more on renewable sources and nuclear power. The use of renewable or fossil energy sources in the recycling and manufacturing processes can affect the footprint of recycled fibres compared to the virgin ones.
Through the application of the LCA methodology, this study evaluates the environmental impacts of mechanically recycling polyester fibres and manufacturing new textiles across different geographical locations. The innovative aspect lies in the comprehensive analysis of how the energy mix and transport distances in various regions significantly influence the footprint of recycled versus virgin fibres, particularly comparing coal-based energy systems like China's with renewable-heavy systems like Sweden's. Indeed, a decrease in GWP ranging between 33 and 96 % from the benchmark can be observed according to different scenarios. The Swedish energy mix proves to bring environmental benefits even by using only virgin fibre in production, while the location of production processes in China leads to significant increases in impacts. These findings can inform “what-if” analyses regarding energy use and transportation impacts when assessing the environmental effects of a partially recycled polyester garment and provides critical insights into optimizing production locations to minimize environmental impacts, offering a pioneering perspective on sustainable textile production.
{"title":"The role of geographical locations in the environmental impact of fibre-to-fibre textile recycling","authors":"Maria Pia Spinelli ,&nbsp;Thomas Gries ,&nbsp;Vera Amicarelli ,&nbsp;Nina Dautzenberg ,&nbsp;Amrei Becker","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107755","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107755","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The EU Commission has introduced a strategy for sustainable and circular textiles, including plans for eco-design specifications and promoting fibre-to-fibre recycling. Today, textile production is predominantly located outside Europe, with China being the top exporter of textiles worldwide. China's energy system is coal-based and has the highest CO2 emissions globally, while Europe relies more on renewable sources and nuclear power. The use of renewable or fossil energy sources in the recycling and manufacturing processes can affect the footprint of recycled fibres compared to the virgin ones.</div><div>Through the application of the LCA methodology, this study evaluates the environmental impacts of mechanically recycling polyester fibres and manufacturing new textiles across different geographical locations. The innovative aspect lies in the comprehensive analysis of how the energy mix and transport distances in various regions significantly influence the footprint of recycled versus virgin fibres, particularly comparing coal-based energy systems like China's with renewable-heavy systems like Sweden's. Indeed, a decrease in GWP ranging between 33 and 96 % from the benchmark can be observed according to different scenarios. The Swedish energy mix proves to bring environmental benefits even by using only virgin fibre in production, while the location of production processes in China leads to significant increases in impacts. These findings can inform “what-if” analyses regarding energy use and transportation impacts when assessing the environmental effects of a partially recycled polyester garment and provides critical insights into optimizing production locations to minimize environmental impacts, offering a pioneering perspective on sustainable textile production.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107755"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143131803","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Systemic and explicit approaches to assessing the impact of natural and human drivers on the co-evolution of social-ecological systems in the Heihe River Basin, China
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107757
Ziyan Han , Yongping Wei , Jijun Meng
The increasing crossing of critical thresholds of global social-ecological systems (SES) calls for an explicit and systemic assessment of human impact on the ecosystem. This paper aims to integrate multi-disciplinary approaches for a systemic and quantitative representation and measurement of the co-evolution of SES and their responses to both natural and human drivers over a long period. We used the ‘Coupling Coordination Degree’ (CCD) for defining and measuring the co-evolution of socio-ecological systems (SES), the combined text mining technique and content analysis for systemically measuring the human driver, boosted regression tree for analyzing the relative contribution of natural and human factors on SES, and the Wavelet Local Multiple Correlation for analyzing the impact of these factors in different timescales. We applied these approaches to the Heihe River Basin (HRB), an arid inland basin with a 2000-year history in northwest China. The results show that the co-evolution of SES in HRB experienced three phases over the past seventy years, with ecosystem variables exerting a profound influence on regime shifts. Technological progress played a pivotal role in the co-evolution of SES. There is a strong need for early intervention in SES sustainable development, given that human factors influenced evolution over a long time frequency. Our study provides a tool to explicitly direct the co-evolution of SES for more sustainable river basin governance.
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the cumulative impacts of multiple stressors on marine and coastal ecosystems in China's marine waters
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107766
Chao Liu , Ping Li , Yuning Zhao , Dahai Liu , Shuo Wang
Understanding the spatial patterns of human activities and the consequences of stressors on marine and coastal environments is critical for mitigating marine ecological risks and maintaining healthy ecosystems. However, there is limited understanding of the spatial variations, locations, and drivers of the most significant changes in the cumulative impacts, causing significant challenges for the conservation and restoration of marine habitats. Here, we estimated the spatial intensity of 14 stressors (land-based, sea-based, and climate change-related) and their potential impacts on 9 marine and coastal ecosystems during three five-year periods (2006–2010, 2011–2015, and 2016–2020) at an ∼1 km resolution as well as the spatiotemporal changes in the cumulative impacts on China's marine waters. In addition, we generated maps of the cumulative exposure occurring in each pixel, that is, the sum of their intensities without considering ecosystem vulnerability. We found that nearly all eastern provinces of China experienced significantly increasing cumulative impacts on marine waters, as did all marine and coastal ecosystems from 2006 to 2020, with salt marshes, mangroves, and coasts at the greatest risk. However, notably, in recent years, the cumulative impacts in most coastal waters, except for the southern coast of Shandong, have decreased significantly. Furthermore, the increasing areas of the cumulative effects gradually shifted from coastal regions to areas beyond the shelf, indicating that the threats related to climate change have gradually emerged as the primary drivers of most significant change. The ranking of the stressor impacts on coastal and marine ecosystems for the entire study region suggested that the five stressors with the greatest impact were sea surface temperature (29.42 %), coastal ports (21.81 %), sea level rise (17.97 %), commercial shipping (14.95 %), and ocean acidification (7.73 %).
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable transportation emission reduction through intelligent transportation systems: Mitigation drivers, and temporal trends
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107767
Zhenyu Jia , Jiawei Yin , Zeping Cao , Ning Wei , Zhiwen Jiang , Yanjie Zhang , Lin Wu , Qijun Zhang , Hongjun Mao
Intelligent Transportation Speed Guidance Systems (ITSGS) represent a burgeoning solution for sustainable emissions reduction. However, the absence of comprehensive environmental benefits assessment has impeded its advancement. This study analyzes how ITSGS achieves environmental benefits based on spatio-temporal data analysis. A fusion of machine learning-based emission models and extensive real-world trajectory data is utilized to quantify emissions. The K-Means clustering algorithm is employed to identify driving behavior. The results of the study show that by improving driving behavior, ITSGS can achieve emission reductions of 6.09 % to 9.24 % for CO2, 11.39 % to 18.17 % for NOx, 11.48 % to 18.04 % for co, and 3.84 % to 8.09 % for THC. At the same time, Furthermore, ITSGS consistently delivers significant environmental benefits across all time periods, with the most notable improvements occurring during off-peak hours. It also significantly reduces pollutant emissions in urban centers with high travel demand. Projections suggest that from 2025 to 2035, ITSGS will help China cumulatively avoid approximately 0.30 million tons of NOx, 3.31 million tons of CO, and 0.31 million tons of THC from light-duty passenger gasoline vehicles. This comprehensive environmental benefits assessment instills confidence in all transportation stakeholders that ITSGS can continue to contribute to green, low-carbon transportation.
{"title":"Sustainable transportation emission reduction through intelligent transportation systems: Mitigation drivers, and temporal trends","authors":"Zhenyu Jia ,&nbsp;Jiawei Yin ,&nbsp;Zeping Cao ,&nbsp;Ning Wei ,&nbsp;Zhiwen Jiang ,&nbsp;Yanjie Zhang ,&nbsp;Lin Wu ,&nbsp;Qijun Zhang ,&nbsp;Hongjun Mao","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107767","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107767","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Intelligent Transportation Speed Guidance Systems (ITSGS) represent a burgeoning solution for sustainable emissions reduction. However, the absence of comprehensive environmental benefits assessment has impeded its advancement. This study analyzes how ITSGS achieves environmental benefits based on spatio-temporal data analysis. A fusion of machine learning-based emission models and extensive real-world trajectory data is utilized to quantify emissions. The K-Means clustering algorithm is employed to identify driving behavior. The results of the study show that by improving driving behavior, ITSGS can achieve emission reductions of 6.09 % to 9.24 % for CO<sub>2</sub>, 11.39 % to 18.17 % for NOx, 11.48 % to 18.04 % for co, and 3.84 % to 8.09 % for THC. At the same time, Furthermore, ITSGS consistently delivers significant environmental benefits across all time periods, with the most notable improvements occurring during off-peak hours. It also significantly reduces pollutant emissions in urban centers with high travel demand. Projections suggest that from 2025 to 2035, ITSGS will help China cumulatively avoid approximately 0.30 million tons of NOx, 3.31 million tons of CO, and 0.31 million tons of THC from light-duty passenger gasoline vehicles. This comprehensive environmental benefits assessment instills confidence in all transportation stakeholders that ITSGS can continue to contribute to green, low-carbon transportation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107767"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143131801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A local analysis of circular economy through a stakeholders' lens: From definitions and collaborative efforts to metrics for monitoring. The case of Turin (Italy)
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107736
Chiara Genta , Esther Sanyé-Mengual , Patrizia Lombardi , Serenella Sala
Circular Economy (CE) is being more and more widely embraced as a crucial concept to enable the implementation of sustainability in cities and territories. However, new tools and frameworks are needed to evaluate and monitor the benefits and burdens of CE implementation, adopting integrated and transdisciplinary approaches with available knowledge mainly focusing on specific aspects. Since stakeholders have a crucial role in urban transformation processes, their active involvement is required throughout all the decision-making process steps (e.g., conceptualisation, implementation, and monitoring). A novel participative framework is proposed for developing a local analysis of CE implementation, combining qualitative methods to involve stakeholders and explore their perceptions and opinions of CE practices in the case study of Turin (Italy). The analysis includes several aspects, such as understanding concepts, implementation practices, collaborations, monitoring issues, and possible acceptance of Life Cycle Assessment-based indicators, like the Consumption Footprint. Results report the diverse CE understanding among local stakeholders and the crucial role of collaboration in CE implementation. Strategies to adapt the Consumption Footprint indicator to the local scale are presented (e.g., cultural differences and emerging trends) to support monitoring transformation strategies.
{"title":"A local analysis of circular economy through a stakeholders' lens: From definitions and collaborative efforts to metrics for monitoring. The case of Turin (Italy)","authors":"Chiara Genta ,&nbsp;Esther Sanyé-Mengual ,&nbsp;Patrizia Lombardi ,&nbsp;Serenella Sala","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107736","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107736","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Circular Economy (CE) is being more and more widely embraced as a crucial concept to enable the implementation of sustainability in cities and territories. However, new tools and frameworks are needed to evaluate and monitor the benefits and burdens of CE implementation, adopting integrated and transdisciplinary approaches with available knowledge mainly focusing on specific aspects. Since stakeholders have a crucial role in urban transformation processes, their active involvement is required throughout all the decision-making process steps (e.g., conceptualisation, implementation, and monitoring). A novel participative framework is proposed for developing a local analysis of CE implementation, combining qualitative methods to involve stakeholders and explore their perceptions and opinions of CE practices in the case study of Turin (Italy). The analysis includes several aspects, such as understanding concepts, implementation practices, collaborations, monitoring issues, and possible acceptance of Life Cycle Assessment-based indicators, like the Consumption Footprint. Results report the diverse CE understanding among local stakeholders and the crucial role of collaboration in CE implementation. Strategies to adapt the Consumption Footprint indicator to the local scale are presented (e.g., cultural differences and emerging trends) to support monitoring transformation strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"112 ","pages":"Article 107736"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2024-12-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143131800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Delving the potential of quercetin-grafted chitosan from a technological and environmental perspective
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107754
Ana Arias , Eduardo Torres , Gumersindo Feijoo , Maria Teresa Moreira
The transition to a sustainable bioeconomy requires the development of advanced materials with improved functional properties, in particular bio-based products that could have a low environmental impact. Chitosan, derived from crustacean chitin, is a biodegradable biopolymer with multiple applications in the pharmaceutical, cosmetic and food sectors. Similarly, quercetin is a bio-based flavonoid extracted from plants with potent antioxidant and antimicrobial activities. However, its poor solubility, bioavailability and rapid degradation limit its use. This manuscript proposes a synergistic action for the formulation of a bioactive biopolymer based on the enzymatic oxidation of quercetin and its enzymatic grafting onto chitosan. This biopolymer protects the active ingredients from chemical, enzymatic, thermal and light degradation and increases their bioavailability. In addition, other advantages such as vectorization and controlled release are envisaged. This production scheme was modeled using the SuperPro Designer® tool to estimate operational data to be used as a Life Cycle Inventory for environmental assessment and Green Chemistry score determination. The Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) methodology was used to assess the environmental impacts, while the Greenness Grid (G2) tool allows the assessment of safety, efficiency, productivity and renewability aspects related to sustainability. The results showed that electricity is the main hotspot of the environmental profile, with an average value of 74.22 %, while the contribution of chemicals is less significant, between 15 % and 40 % of the total impact. Sensitivity analyses were proposed to improve the profile, where the use of renewable electricity represents the largest reduction of the total impact. Moreover, Monte Carlo analysis has also been developed for assessing uncertainty in the scores obtained. For the G2 tool, the final score is 11.55 out of 15, which means that the production model is in the “sustainable potential” range.
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引用次数: 0
Does jurisdictional siloing increase or undermine the efficiency and efficacy of next-generation IA in federalist states? A Canadian example
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107738
Anna Johnston , A. John Sinclair , Robert B. Gibson
Credible assessment of sustainability purpose, scope and criteria and cumulative and interactive effects are key components of next-generation impact assessment (IA). They are also a vexing challenge, one that is exacerbated by the increased pressure many states are under to expedite the approval of projects deemed important for mitigating the climate crisis. In federalist countries like Canada, obstacles to implementing next-generation IA are amplified by divisions of powers among national, provincial (state) and other governments. In this paper, we consider a recent Supreme Court of Canada decision on the constitutionality of the federal Impact Assessment Act (IAA), a commitment by the Government of Canada to improve IA efficiency, and amendments to the IAA aimed at fixing constitutional issues and shortening timelines. We analyse the ability of the amended law to ensure effective attention to cumulative and interactive effects and contribute to sustainability while achieving desired efficiency gains. We conclude that while the changes to the IAA may undermine its ability achieve these goals, opportunities for advancing next generation assessment may be found in other key components of it, namely interjurisdictional collaboration and upward harmonization, respect for Indigenous knowledge, rights and authority, and more frequent and ambitious use of regional assessments.
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引用次数: 0
Study on the pattern and driving factors of water scarcity risk transfer networks in China from the perspective of transfer value—Based on complex network methods
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-12-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107752
Changfeng Shi , Jiahui Qi , Jiaqi Zhi , Chenjun Zhang , Qiyong Chen , Xiaohong Na
The transfer value of risk, measured by the asymmetric impact of virtual water flows, is vital for regions addressing the global water crisis, achieving Sustainable Development Goal 6 (SDG6), and implementing sustainable water management. This study uses multi-regional input-output models, complex network analysis, and the Exponential Random Graph Model (ERGM) to construct and analyze China's water scarcity risk transfer network. Findings show frequent but weakly connected risk transfers between provinces, with significant spatial clustering. The network displays both random and hierarchical features, with clustered development being prominent. Reciprocal cooperation and extensive connections are crucial to avoiding the “prisoner's dilemma” in water conservation. High levels of “dual circulation” and water resource utilization enhance risk transfer value, while lower industrialization and digitization levels facilitate value reception. The efficiency of water resource use is key in shaping high-risk value pathways, underscoring the need for risk management at both source and sink ends. This study offers a scientific basis for improving water resource management, ensuring national water security, and redefining risk flow patterns.
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引用次数: 0
Evaluation of China's marine sustainable development based on PSR and SDG14: Synergy-tradeoff analysis and scenario simulation 基于PSR和SDG14的中国海洋可持续发展评价:协同权衡分析与情景模拟
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-11-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107753
Ting Guo , Qinhua Fang , Xiaoyan Jiang , Wilfred Boa Morte Zacarias , Antonio A.R. Ioris
The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) proposed by the United Nations (UN) have become a global mission and task. However, with the SDG process now halfway through, the evaluation of SDG 14 has yet to be initiated. The study presents an evaluation system based on Pressure-State-Response and SDG 14, which evaluated the trend and spatial characteristics of CMSD in China from 2012 to 2021. In addition, the investigation estimated the scores of SDG 14 targets for 11 coastal provinces and analyses the synergies and trade-offs among SDG 14 targets. Finally, the trajectories of the CMSD and SDG 14 targets were simulated for different future scenarios. The main findings are as follows: 1) CMSD increased by 3.24 % from 2012 to 2021, accompanied by a decline in Response subsystem and an increase in both Pressure and State subsystems. 2) CMSD exhibited improvement in Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Hainan Provinces, while the most significant decline was observed in Liaoning Province. All coastal provinces in China were dominated by the subsystem of Pressure subsystem. 3) In terms of the scores of SDG 14's targets, the largest gap was found in the scores of SDG 14.5 which indicates that there are significant differences in the development of MPAs in different coastal provinces; and the smallest gap was found in SDG 14.1, which demonstrates their general concern for marine pollution management and reduction of pollution discharges in coastal areas. 4) The synergy-tradeoff analysis of the SDG 14 targets reveals four pairs that have consistently maintained synergy at the 5 % significance level, while only one pair has maintained trade-offs at the 5 % significance level. 5) The results of the scenario simulation suggest that SDG 14.2 and SDG 14.4 should follow the Management Strengthening Pathway, while other targets performed better under the Green Development Pathway. This study conducts a marine sustainable development assessment using China as a case study. It not only clarifies the development status of SDG 14 targets at both the national and regional levels in China but also offers valuable insights for international efforts to evaluate SDG 14.
联合国提出的17项可持续发展目标已经成为一项全球性的使命和任务。然而,随着可持续发展目标进程的进行,对可持续发展目标14的评估尚未开始。基于压力-状态-响应和可持续发展目标14,构建了2012 - 2021年中国CMSD变化趋势和空间特征的评价体系。此外,调查估计了11个沿海省份的可持续发展目标14具体目标得分,并分析了可持续发展目标14具体目标之间的协同效应和权衡。最后,模拟了不同未来情景下CMSD和SDG 14目标的弹道。结果表明:①2012 - 2021年,CMSD增加3.24%,响应子系统减少,压力子系统和状态子系统均增加;②浙江省、广东省和海南省的CMSD均有所改善,而辽宁省的下降最为显著。中国沿海各省均以压力子系统为主。3)从SDG 14各目标得分来看,SDG 14.5得分差距最大,说明沿海省份海洋保护区发展存在显著差异;差距最小的是可持续发展目标14.1,这表明他们普遍关注海洋污染管理和减少沿海地区的污染排放。4)对可持续发展目标14的协同-权衡分析显示,有4对目标始终在5%显著性水平上保持协同,而只有1对目标在5%显著性水平上保持权衡。5)情景模拟结果表明,可持续发展目标14.2和可持续发展目标14.4应遵循强化管理路径,而其他目标在绿色发展路径下表现更好。本研究以中国为例进行了海洋可持续发展评价。它不仅明确了中国国家和地区层面可持续发展目标14的发展现状,也为国际社会评估可持续发展目标14提供了宝贵的见解。
{"title":"Evaluation of China's marine sustainable development based on PSR and SDG14: Synergy-tradeoff analysis and scenario simulation","authors":"Ting Guo ,&nbsp;Qinhua Fang ,&nbsp;Xiaoyan Jiang ,&nbsp;Wilfred Boa Morte Zacarias ,&nbsp;Antonio A.R. Ioris","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107753","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107753","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) proposed by the United Nations (UN) have become a global mission and task. However, with the SDG process now halfway through, the evaluation of SDG 14 has yet to be initiated. The study presents an evaluation system based on Pressure-State-Response and SDG 14, which evaluated the trend and spatial characteristics of CMSD in China from 2012 to 2021. In addition, the investigation estimated the scores of SDG 14 targets for 11 coastal provinces and analyses the synergies and trade-offs among SDG 14 targets. Finally, the trajectories of the CMSD and SDG 14 targets were simulated for different future scenarios. The main findings are as follows: 1) CMSD increased by 3.24 % from 2012 to 2021, accompanied by a decline in Response subsystem and an increase in both Pressure and State subsystems. 2) CMSD exhibited improvement in Zhejiang, Guangdong, and Hainan Provinces, while the most significant decline was observed in Liaoning Province. All coastal provinces in China were dominated by the subsystem of Pressure subsystem. 3) In terms of the scores of SDG 14's targets, the largest gap was found in the scores of SDG 14.5 which indicates that there are significant differences in the development of MPAs in different coastal provinces; and the smallest gap was found in SDG 14.1, which demonstrates their general concern for marine pollution management and reduction of pollution discharges in coastal areas. 4) The synergy-tradeoff analysis of the SDG 14 targets reveals four pairs that have consistently maintained synergy at the 5 % significance level, while only one pair has maintained trade-offs at the 5 % significance level. 5) The results of the scenario simulation suggest that SDG 14.2 and SDG 14.4 should follow the Management Strengthening Pathway, while other targets performed better under the Green Development Pathway. This study conducts a marine sustainable development assessment using China as a case study. It not only clarifies the development status of SDG 14 targets at both the national and regional levels in China but also offers valuable insights for international efforts to evaluate SDG 14.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"111 ","pages":"Article 107753"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2024-11-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142747238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Environmental Impact Assessment Review
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