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Assessing the impact of tiered water pricing policy on residential water consumption in China: A national evaluation and spatial heterogeneity analysis 分级水价政策对中国居民用水的影响:国家评价与空间异质性分析
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108395
Boxiao Zhang , Mengjie Yang , Mengting Li , Yuji Ji , Qijia Zhu , Yong Zhang , Kai Yang
Tiered water pricing is a key policy instrument for managing urban residential water demand, with its effectiveness critically depends on how pricing structures are designed. However, existing evidence remains limited in providing a nationally consistent and spatially explicit assessment of how the core design parameters of volumetric thresholds, price levels, and gradients jointly influence residential water consumption. In this study, the implementation of tiered water pricing across 284 municipal cities in China is systematically evaluated, and double-log regression and geographically weighted regression methods are employed to assess how the core parameters of tiered water pricing influence urban residential water consumption. The results reveal pronounced north–south differentiation in pricing structures, with higher price levels prevailing in water-scarce northern regions and more generous volumetric thresholds concentrated in southern regions characterized by higher precipitation. At the national scale, residential water consumption responds significantly to threshold volumes, price levels, and price gradients, underscoring the importance of coordinated policy design. The estimated effects display pronounced spatial heterogeneity across cities, which is consistent with regional differences in economic development, water resource endowments, and climatic conditions. These findings provide empirical support for context-specific pricing reforms aimed at improving urban water conservation outcomes.
分层水价是管理城市居民用水需求的一项关键政策工具,其有效性在很大程度上取决于如何设计水价结构。然而,对于容积阈值、价格水平和梯度等核心设计参数如何共同影响居民用水,现有证据仍然有限,无法在全国范围内提供一致的、空间上明确的评估。本研究对中国284个地级市的水价分级实施情况进行了系统评价,并采用双对数回归和地理加权回归方法评估了水价分级核心参数对城市居民用水的影响。结果显示价格结构的南北差异明显,缺水的北部地区普遍存在较高的价格水平,而以降水较多为特征的南部地区则集中有较高的容量阈值。在全国范围内,住宅用水量对阈值量、价格水平和价格梯度有显著响应,强调了协调政策设计的重要性。城市间的影响表现出明显的空间异质性,这与经济发展、水资源禀赋和气候条件的区域差异一致。这些发现为旨在改善城市节水成果的因地制宜的价格改革提供了实证支持。
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引用次数: 0
Formulating effective environmental policies for accelerated replacement of high-emission construction equipment 制定有效的环保政策,加快更新高排放施工设备
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108389
Yiyi Zhu, Hongqin Fan
Environmental charges are an effective policy instrument for mitigating emissions from highly polluting sectors. However, few studies or effective programs have focused on implementing environmental charges specifically targeting high-emission construction equipment to incentivize early replacement and mitigate associated environmental and health impacts. This study develops a method to investigate how environmental charges influence the replacement decisions of in-use construction equipment, combining a defender-challenger replacement model with a health impact assessment of PM2.5 and NO2 emissions for site workers and affected neighborhoods. The monetized health impact of retaining old equipment is treated as an economic cost to be recovered through environmental charges imposed on equipment owners. The Economic Replacement Year (ERY) is defined as the decision point at which the annual cost of retaining the old equipment (defender) exceeds that of replacing it with a new model (challenger) available on the market. Applied to a building project deploying selected excavators operating in Hong Kong, the model demonstrates that imposing 100% of environmental costs on contractors can advance the ERY by up to 5 years. Findings further indicate that owners of higher-horsepower equipment should bear a dominant share (e.g., 80%) of the environmental costs to achieve the intended acceleration of replacement, while a lower portion (e.g., 40%) is sufficient for smaller equipment. This suggests that contractors operating larger, high-emission equipment should assume a greater share of the environmental costs to achieve the intended acceleration of equipment replacement, given the greater health damage caused. Research into determining an appropriate allocation of environmental recovery costs to contractors is essential for designing effective policies that accelerate the replacement of equipment. The results provide policymakers with references for designing targeted economic instruments to phase out high-emission construction equipment, striking a balance between pollution reduction objectives and the financial burden on contractors.
环境收费是减少高污染部门排放的有效政策工具。然而,很少有研究或有效的计划专门针对高排放建筑设备实施环境收费,以激励早期更换并减轻相关的环境和健康影响。本研究将捍卫者-挑战者替换模型与PM2.5和NO2排放对现场工人和受影响社区的健康影响评估相结合,开发了一种方法来研究环境收费如何影响正在使用的施工设备的更换决策。保留旧设备对健康产生的货币化影响被视为一项经济成本,可通过向设备所有者征收环境费来弥补。经济替代年(ERY)被定义为保留旧设备(防御者)的年成本超过用市场上可用的新设备(挑战者)更换旧设备的成本的决策点。该模型应用于一个采用在香港营运的选定挖掘机的建筑项目,结果显示,让承建商承担100%的环境成本,可将环境效益评估最多提前5年。研究结果进一步表明,高马力设备的所有者应该承担主要份额(例如80%)的环境成本,以实现预期的加速更换,而较小的设备则承担较低的部分(例如40%)就足够了。这表明,鉴于对健康造成的更大损害,操作较大、高排放设备的承包商应承担更大份额的环境费用,以实现加速更换设备的预期目标。研究如何将环境恢复费用适当分配给承包商,对于设计加速更换设备的有效政策至关重要。研究结果为决策者设计有针对性的经济工具以逐步淘汰高排放建筑设备,在污染减排目标和承包商的财务负担之间取得平衡提供了参考。
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引用次数: 0
Spatial-temporal assessment and optimization of ecological cropland utilization: A case study of China's Huang-Huai-Hai region 耕地生态利用时空评价与优化——以黄淮海地区为例
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108383
Linpeng Yang , Yansui Liu , Qiang Wang , Cong Ou , Qianxi Zhang
Balancing food security with environmental sustainability represents a fundamental challenge for global agriculture, necessitating a comprehensive assessment of cropland use sustainability to inform science-based decision-making. Current methodologies present two main limitations: while integrated indicator frameworks are effective for diagnosing agricultural development patterns, their analytical perspectives tend to be static, and they are often constrained by data limitations in capturing key parameters of agroecosystem processes. Conversely, process-based models excel at simulating detailed agroecosystem dynamics but seldom translate these simulations into spatially differentiated management strategies. To address this gap, this study developed an integrated framework coupling process-based simulation with diagnostic assessment, centered on a dynamic, multidimensional Ecological Cropland Use Index (ECUI) that synthesizes productivity, environmental impact, and resource use efficiency into a composite sustainability metric. We applied this framework to China's Huang-Huai-Hai region, a critical grain-producing area facing acute sustainability pressures, using outputs from a regionally calibrated PEST-DNDC model. Our analysis from 2001 to 2020 indicates that regional grain output increased by 128.1%, yet this gain coincided with a fundamental shift from a net carbon sink to a persistent net source, with croplands incurring an annual SOC loss of 79.88 Tg C in 2020, alongside rising greenhouse gas emissions. Spatially, over 70% of croplands experienced ECUI degradation, with high-sustainability zones shifting from traditional agricultural cores to the Bohai Rim. Key systemic constraints include low nitrogen-use efficiency, soil carbon decline, and suboptimal yields. Based on diagnostic analyses, we propose targeted optimization strategies for identified constraint zones. This study demonstrates how linking mechanistic modeling with diagnostic indices can elucidate sustainability trade-offs and generate actionable management insights. The framework offers a transferable pathway for guiding the sustainable intensification of agricultural systems worldwide.
平衡粮食安全和环境可持续性是全球农业面临的一项根本性挑战,需要对耕地利用可持续性进行全面评估,为基于科学的决策提供信息。目前的方法存在两个主要局限性:虽然综合指标框架对诊断农业发展模式是有效的,但其分析视角往往是静态的,而且在获取农业生态系统过程的关键参数方面往往受到数据限制。相反,基于过程的模型擅长模拟详细的农业生态系统动态,但很少将这些模拟转化为空间差异化的管理策略。为了解决这一差距,本研究开发了一个综合框架,将基于过程的模拟与诊断评估相结合,以动态、多维的生态耕地利用指数(ECUI)为中心,将生产力、环境影响和资源利用效率综合为一个复合的可持续性指标。我们使用区域校准PEST-DNDC模型的输出,将该框架应用于中国黄淮海地区,这是一个面临严重可持续性压力的重要粮食产区。我们从2001年到2020年的分析表明,区域粮食产量增长了128.1%,但这一增长与从净碳汇到持续净碳源的根本转变相吻合,2020年农田每年的有机碳损失为79.88 Tg C,同时温室气体排放也在增加。在空间上,超过70%的农田经历了ECUI退化,高可持续性区域从传统农业核心向环渤海地区转移。关键的系统性限制包括低氮利用效率、土壤碳下降和次优产量。在诊断分析的基础上,针对识别出的约束区域提出了有针对性的优化策略。本研究展示了如何将机制建模与诊断指标联系起来,阐明可持续性权衡并产生可操作的管理见解。该框架为指导全球农业系统的可持续集约化提供了可转让的途径。
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引用次数: 0
A lifecycle-integrated GHG management framework: Long-term allocation mechanism to prevent abatement misreporting 生命周期综合温室气体管理框架:防止减排误报的长期分配机制
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108354
Hyungsu Kang , Hyunmin Daniel Zoh , Sumin Jeon
While emission trading schemes (ETSs) have contributed to greenhouse gas (GHG) emission abatement achievement in some countries, current free allocation systems still contain baseline problems caused by measuring differences between baseline settings and actual emissions. Notably, existing grandparenting and benchmarking methodologies for the baseline setting would induce market participants to inflate their project baselines to overestimate emission reduction allowances. To mitigate overreporting risks above, this study introduces a GHG allocation model (GMD) applying the Macaulay duration (MD) financial concept. It addresses to incentivize honest GHG disclosure and promote carbon neutrality approaches, by avoiding limitations of traditional baseline setting. Suggested GMD model focuses on the GHG emission lifecycle similar to issuance and redemption of bonds. Mathematical derivation of the model is designed gradual emission reductions throughout project lifecycles. And honest disclosure of actual emissions represents the optimal strategy for agents. This model has two key novelties compared with other mechanisms: preventing baseline overestimation and ensuring continuous progress toward carbon neutrality. And additional simulation using initial realistic emission data shows how GMD model induces accurate emission reporting while naturally decreasing allowances over time. The simulation suggest that GMD model is more effective to avoid misreporting while maintaining flexibility by each project characteristic. Furthermore, policymakers can adjust project GHG emissions by setting simple GMD values according to operational periods. This presents a pathway enabling economic subjects to establish emission plans autonomously while achieving long-term abatement. GMD framework and modeling provides lifecycle-integrated GHG management for accurate report and net zero action.
虽然排放交易计划在一些国家促进了温室气体减排的成就,但目前的免费分配制度仍然存在由于衡量基线设定与实际排放量之间的差异而造成的基线问题。值得注意的是,现有的设定基线的祖父母式和基准方法将诱使市场参与者夸大其项目基线,从而高估减排额度。为了减轻上述夸大风险,本研究引入了一个基于麦考利久期(MD)财务概念的温室气体分配模型(GMD)。它旨在通过避免传统基准设置的限制,激励诚实的温室气体披露和促进碳中和方法。建议的GMD模型侧重于温室气体排放的生命周期,类似于债券的发行和赎回。该模型的数学推导设计为在整个项目生命周期内逐步减少排放。诚实地披露实际排放量代表了代理商的最优策略。与其他机制相比,该模型有两个关键的新颖之处:防止基线高估和确保碳中和的持续进展。使用初始真实排放数据的附加模拟显示了GMD模型如何诱导准确的排放报告,同时随着时间的推移自然地减少允许量。仿真结果表明,GMD模型在保持各项目特点的灵活性的同时,更能有效地避免误报。此外,决策者可以根据运营周期设置简单的GMD值来调整项目的温室气体排放。这为经济主体在实现长期减排的同时自主制定排放计划提供了一条途径。GMD框架和建模为准确的报告和净零行动提供了生命周期集成的温室气体管理。
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引用次数: 0
Over-agglomeration and eco-efficiency trade-offs in China's textile industry: An environmental pressure - based assessment 中国纺织业的过度集聚与生态效率权衡:基于环境压力的评估
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108386
Siyuan Zhang , Rentao Zhang , Ye Liang , Cheng Xie , Chenye Xu , Chensi Shen , Fang Li
The agglomeration of the textile industry has exerted severe environmental pressures, yet its eco-efficiency remains insufficiently understood, raising concerns about its long-term sustainability. To address this, this study developed a comprehensive province-level environmental pressure inventory and integrated it into a systematic impact assessment framework to evaluate total factor eco-efficiency (TFEE) from 2000 to 2022 in China. By integrating the Super-SBM model, the Malmquist-Luenberger (ML) index, Dagum Gini coefficient, spatial analysis, and threshold regression, this framework provides a comprehensive assessment of temporal dynamic, spatial disparities, and the role of industrial agglomeration. The results indicated that total environmental pressure of greenhouse gas (GHG) and water pollutants in 2022 reached 232.62 Mt CO2 eq. and 51.88 Gg, respectively. Although TFEE demonstrated an overall upward trajectory, rising from 0.2266 in 2000 to 0.3344 in 2022, significant spatial disparities persisted. The western provinces exhibited higher TFEE due to lower environmental pressures, highlighting a spatial trade-off between industrial scale and environmental burden. Furthermore, a nonlinear threshold effect was identified between industrial agglomeration and TFEE in the textile sector: industrial agglomeration improves TFEE below a critical level (location quotient = 0.636) but hinders it once agglomeration exceeds this threshold. These findings highlight the dual role of agglomeration and underscore the need for differentiated regional strategies, such as synergistic, pollution reduction, and industrial relocation strategies, to reconcile economic growth with environmental sustainability.
纺织业的集聚带来了严重的环境压力,但人们对其生态效率的认识还不够充分,这引起了人们对其长期可持续性的担忧。为了解决这一问题,本研究开发了一个综合的省级环境压力清单,并将其整合到一个系统的影响评估框架中,以评估2000 - 2022年中国的全要素生态效率(TFEE)。该框架通过整合Super-SBM模型、Malmquist-Luenberger (ML)指数、Dagum基尼系数、空间分析和阈值回归,对产业集聚的时间动态、空间差异和作用进行了综合评价。结果表明,2022年中国温室气体和水污染物总环境压力分别达到23262 Mt CO2当量和51.88 Gg。虽然TFEE总体呈上升趋势,从2000年的0.2266上升到2022年的0.3344,但显著的空间差异仍然存在。西部省份由于环境压力较小而呈现出较高的TFEE,凸显了产业规模与环境负担之间的空间权衡关系。此外,在纺织行业,工业集聚与TFEE之间存在非线性阈值效应:工业集聚在关键水平(区位商= 0.636)以下提高了TFEE,但一旦超过该阈值,则阻碍了TFEE。这些发现强调了集聚的双重作用,并强调需要采取差别化的区域战略,如协同战略、减少污染战略和产业转移战略,以协调经济增长与环境可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Living in harmony with nature: From concept to an index revealing gaps in nature wellbeing and human contributions 与自然和谐相处:从概念到揭示自然福祉和人类贡献差距的指数
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108357
Fangyi Wang , Rui Yang , Joshua D. Fisher
Global conservation goals call for transformative change to address escalating ecological crises. However, current targets, including sustainable development, remain insufficient for enabling effective actions and changes. In this context, living in harmony with nature has emerged as a global vision, yet the goal still lacks an operational definition and sound methods for assessment and tracking. Existing indices often reflect human-centric values and fail to distinguish between measures of outcomes and inputs, limiting their ability to support tailored policy design. In response, this study clarifies the cross-cultural foundations of living in harmony with nature to uncover avenues for cross-cultural integration of the global goal, and introduces the novel Harmony Index as a method for evaluating system states and processes toward this goal. The concept of living in harmony with nature emphasizes the integrity of nature-human systems, acknowledges the intrinsic rights of nature, and recognizes human responsibilities in shaping this relationship. The Harmony Index consists of two complementary sub-indices: the State Index, evaluating the wellbeing of nature and humans, and the Process Index, measuring positive and negative human contributions to nature. An innovative distance-based calculation method, inspired by the Barometer of Sustainability, ensures balanced index integration. Applied to China's mainland (31 provinces), the Harmony Index yields a national score of 71.49. The State Index reveals that nature wellbeing lags behind human wellbeing by 13.49 points nationally and 9.54 provincially. The Process Index highlights limited positive contributions to nature, with a score of 51.82 nationally, and reveals major gaps in ecosystem conservation and climate action. The study further develops province categorization and indicator prioritization methods to demonstrate a strategy for tailored policies. Overall, this study offers a culturally grounded, scalable framework to bridge cultures, science, and policy, enabling governments to track progress and inform effective actions toward living in harmony with nature.
全球保护目标要求进行变革,以应对不断升级的生态危机。然而,目前的目标,包括可持续发展,仍然不足以促成有效的行动和变革。在此背景下,与自然和谐相处已成为一项全球愿景,但这一目标仍然缺乏可操作的定义和可靠的评估和跟踪方法。现有指数往往反映以人为本的价值观,无法区分衡量结果和投入的指标,限制了它们支持量身定制的政策设计的能力。为此,本研究澄清了与自然和谐相处的跨文化基础,揭示了跨文化整合全球目标的途径,并引入了新的和谐指数作为评估系统状态和实现这一目标的过程的方法。与自然和谐相处的概念强调自然-人系统的完整性,承认自然的内在权利,并承认人类在形成这种关系方面的责任。和谐指数由两个互补的子指数组成:国家指数,评估自然和人类的福祉;过程指数,衡量人类对自然的积极和消极贡献。受可持续发展晴雨表的启发,一种创新的基于距离的计算方法确保了指数的平衡整合。将和谐指数应用于中国大陆(31个省份),全国得分为71.49。国家幸福指数显示,全国自然幸福指数落后于人类幸福指数13.49点,省级自然幸福指数落后于人类幸福指数9.54点。过程指数突出了对自然的有限积极贡献,全国得分为51.82,并揭示了生态系统保护和气候行动方面的主要差距。本研究进一步发展了省域分类和指标优先排序方法,以展示有针对性的政策策略。总体而言,本研究提供了一个以文化为基础、可扩展的框架,将文化、科学和政策联系起来,使政府能够跟踪进展情况,并为实现与自然和谐相处的有效行动提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
Large language model-driven analysis of supply risk dynamics in global electric vehicle supply chain 全球电动汽车供应链供应风险动态的大语言模型驱动分析
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108378
Lanxin Zhang , Xin Sun , Mao Xu , Yuyao Yang , Tingting Zhang , Zongguo Wen
Driven by ambitious climate targets, the rapid growth of electric vehicles (EV) is creating complex global supply chains that are increasingly exposed to disruptions. While supply risks, such as political instability and resource scarcity, are widely recognized, systematic assessments of disruption events across the entire EV supply chain remain limited. This study employs a Large language model (LLM) with prompt engineering to identify disruption events from unstructured textual data and further analyze risk dynamics. Applying this approach to 3125 news articles from 2006 to 2025, we extract 2843 documented events and further categorize them into 50 disruption event types and 8 supply risk types, spanning 49 supply chain stages and 78 countries and regions. We find that geopolitical risks have emerged as the dominant concern in recent years. Vehicle assembly, battery manufacturing, and lithium ore extraction emerged as the most vulnerable stages. Geographic heterogeneity in risk distribution reveals the distinct roles countries play in the global EV supply chain. This proposed LLM-based framework provides actionable insights for enhancing supply chain resilience during the accelerating EV transition.
在雄心勃勃的气候目标的推动下,电动汽车(EV)的快速增长正在创造复杂的全球供应链,这些供应链越来越容易受到干扰。虽然供应风险(如政治不稳定和资源稀缺)已得到广泛认可,但对整个电动汽车供应链中断事件的系统评估仍然有限。本研究采用大型语言模型(LLM)和快速工程,从非结构化文本数据中识别中断事件,并进一步分析风险动态。将此方法应用于2006年至2025年的3125篇新闻文章,我们提取了2843个记录在案的事件,并将其进一步分类为50种中断事件类型和8种供应风险类型,跨越49个供应链阶段和78个国家和地区。我们发现,近年来地缘政治风险已成为主要担忧。汽车组装、电池制造和锂矿开采成为最脆弱的阶段。风险分布的地理异质性揭示了各国在全球电动汽车供应链中所扮演的不同角色。这个提议的基于法学硕士的框架为在加速电动汽车转型期间增强供应链弹性提供了可操作的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Integrating spatial patterns of ecosystem service scarcity into territorial spatial governance with multiethnic perception perspective 基于多民族感知视角的生态系统服务稀缺性空间格局与国土空间治理
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108358
Chang You , Wenshu Liu , Lanhui Zhou , Chen-Chieh Feng , Luo Guo
Against the backdrop of increasing global environmental pressures, clarifying the feature contribution factors influencing the ecosystem service scarcity value (ESSV) under human activities is essential for promoting ecological conservation and sustainable economic development. This study revolutionizes ESSV assessment by embedding supply-demand sensitivity and population elasticity into a reconstructed scarcity framework, combined with the interpretability of Transformer and SHAP to decode nonlinear, spatiotemporal human-ecosystem interactions in China (1990–2020). It is the first to integrate a nationwide multi-ethnic perception survey, revealing long-overlooked sociocultural drivers in ecosystem service research and expanding the analytical frontier beyond the biophysical and economic realms. The main findings include: (1) Over the past 30 years, the supply and demand side values have increased significantly, mainly influenced by demand-side factors such as population growth and consumption upgrades. Meanwhile, environmental quality indicators such as NDVI and PM2.5, along with demand-side measures of human activity intensity such as the human footprint and transportation accessibility, also play pivotal roles in shaping ESSV. These factors essentially reflect the ecological pressures stemming from growing demand and their subsequent feedback effects; the spatial pattern highlights the fluctuations and increased pressure on the economically active eastern coastal city clusters; (2) Among ecological indicators, NDVI becomes a positive core driving factor, while PM2.5 levels and human footprint index continue to inhibit ecosystem functions, and transportation accessibility shows a complex two-way impact; (3) Traditional agricultural cultural dependence, ecological knowledge dissemination, pressure perception, and conservation intentions enhance public recognition of ESSV and encourage pro-ecological behaviors (e.g., environmental protection, rational resource use), thereby indirectly shaping the supply-demand balance of ecosystem services. The obvious differences in perception among different ethnic groups highlight the key role of sociocultural dimensions in ecological management. The high-precision and interpretable deep learning spatiotemporal analysis framework proposed in this paper not only enriches the theoretical understanding of ESSV but also provides important insights for formulating spatially differentiated conservation policies and effectively catalyzing public ecological participation, thereby supporting the sustainable management and development of ecosystem services.
在全球环境压力日益增大的背景下,厘清人类活动下影响生态系统服务稀缺值(ESSV)的特征贡献因素,对于促进生态保护和经济可持续发展具有重要意义。本研究通过将供需敏感性和人口弹性嵌入重构的稀缺性框架,结合Transformer和SHAP的可解释性,对中国(1990-2020)的非线性时空人类生态系统相互作用进行解码,从而彻底改变了ESSV评估。该研究首次整合了全国范围内的多民族感知调查,揭示了生态系统服务研究中长期被忽视的社会文化驱动因素,并将分析前沿扩展到生物物理和经济领域之外。研究发现:(1)近30年来,供给侧和需求侧价值均显著上升,主要受人口增长和消费升级等需求侧因素的影响。与此同时,NDVI和PM2.5等环境质量指标,以及人类足迹和交通可达性等人类活动强度的需求侧指标,也在塑造ESSV中发挥着关键作用。这些因素基本上反映了日益增长的需求及其随后的反馈效应所产生的生态压力;空间格局突出东部沿海经济活跃城市群的波动和压力增大;(2)生态指标中,NDVI成为正向核心驱动因子,PM2.5水平和人类足迹指数继续抑制生态系统功能,交通可达性呈现复杂的双向影响;(3)传统农业文化依赖、生态知识传播、压力感知和保护意愿增强了公众对生态服务价值的认知度,促进了环境保护、资源合理利用等亲生态行为,从而间接塑造了生态系统服务的供需平衡。不同族群在认知上的明显差异凸显了社会文化维度在生态管理中的关键作用。本文提出的高精度、可解释性的深度学习时空分析框架不仅丰富了ESSV的理论认识,而且为制定空间差别化保护政策和有效促进公众生态参与,从而支持生态系统服务的可持续管理和发展提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
Coupling physical and social resilience in disaster risk governance: Insights from landslide-prone mountain regions of the eastern Tibetan plateau 灾害风险治理中物理和社会弹性的耦合:来自青藏高原东部滑坡易发山区的见解
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108351
Mingyang Li , Yibin Ao , Panyu Peng , Yingying Wang , Jun Liao , Zhongli Zhou , Igor Martek
Despite the widespread application of regional resilience assessments in urban areas, limited attention has been given to the assessment and analysis of rural resilience, particularly regarding the integration of physical exposure risk and social recovery capacity at the county scale. The southeastern margin of the Tibetan Plateau, which is frequently affected by landslides and characterized by fragmented terrain and vulnerable social systems, represents a typical compound risk scenario in mountainous regions. These conditions place higher demands on the adaptive capacity and resilience governance of rural systems. In response, this study developed a dual-dimensional landslide resilience assessment model tailored to mountainous rural areas and conducted an empirical analysis of 40 counties in western Sichuan. Physical resilience was modeled using an integrated approach combining information value modeling, spy sample optimization, and ensemble learning algorithms. Social resilience was assessed through a robustness–resistance–recovery framework, employing a combined entropy–CRITIC weighting method and a grey relational analysis model. Results revealed a southeast-to-northwest decreasing pattern of regional resilience, with some counties showing a concurrence of high physical exposure and low social recovery capacity. Four resilience typologies were further identified, and differentiated governance recommendations were proposed based on the identified driving mechanisms of physical and social resilience. This study provides a scalable and transferable framework for quantifying resilience in high-risk mountainous areas and offers theoretical support for enhancing spatial risk governance and disaster adaptation under complex geomorphic conditions.
尽管区域复原力评估在城市地区得到了广泛应用,但对农村复原力的评估和分析却受到了有限的关注,特别是在县尺度上对物理暴露风险和社会恢复能力的整合。青藏高原东南缘山体滑坡多发,地形破碎,社会系统脆弱,是典型的山地复合风险情景。这些条件对农村系统的适应能力和复原力治理提出了更高的要求。为此,本研究构建了适合山区农村的二维滑坡恢复力评价模型,并对川西地区40个县进行了实证分析。采用信息价值建模、间谍样本优化和集成学习算法相结合的综合方法对物理弹性进行建模。社会弹性通过稳健性-阻力-恢复框架进行评估,采用组合熵-批评家加权法和灰色关联分析模型。结果表明,区域恢复力呈东南向西北递减的格局,部分县表现为高自然暴露和低社会恢复能力并存。进一步确定了四种弹性类型,并根据确定的物理和社会弹性驱动机制提出了差异化的治理建议。该研究为高风险山区恢复力量化提供了可扩展、可转移的框架,为加强复杂地貌条件下的空间风险治理和灾害适应提供了理论支持。
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引用次数: 0
A nexus of barriers and strategies for circular economy implementation in the construction industry: A structural equation modeling approach 建筑行业循环经济实施的障碍与策略:结构方程建模方法
IF 11.2 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2026-06-01 Epub Date: 2026-02-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2026.108397
Sulemana Fatoama Abdulai , Gabriel Nani , Ridwan Taiwo , Tarek Zayed , Azeez Arisekola Jimoh , Akinlo Olorunju Mogbojuri
The construction industry's significant environmental footprint, consuming 40% of global raw materials and generating 33% of greenhouse gas emissions, necessitates an urgent transition from linear to circular economy (CE) models. While previous research has identified individual barriers and strategies for CE implementation, the quantitative relationship between these constructs remains unexplored. This study addresses this gap by developing and validating a framework linking CE barriers to implementation strategies in Ghana's construction industry using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). Through a systematic literature review, 21 barriers were categorized into four constructs: market policy and technology-related, legal and institutional, supply chain-related, and product design and waste management barriers. A structured questionnaire survey of construction professionals in Ghana validated the measurement model and tested the hypothesized barrier-strategy relationship. Results demonstrate a strong positive relationship (β = 0.731, p < 0.05) between CE barriers and strategies, with barriers explaining 53.5% of variance in strategy adoption. Market policy and technology-related barriers emerged as most influential (β = 0.482), followed by legal and institutional barriers (β = 0.352). Eight critical strategies were identified for CE implementation, including enhanced building waste management regulations, stakeholder education, and national action plan development. The validated framework provides evidence-based insights for policymakers and practitioners in Ghana to develop targeted interventions that address CE barriers while promoting effective CE strategies in the building sector.
建筑行业的环境足迹巨大,消耗了全球40%的原材料,产生了33%的温室气体排放,迫切需要从线性经济模式过渡到循环经济(CE)模式。虽然以前的研究已经确定了个体障碍和实施CE的策略,但这些结构之间的定量关系仍然未被探索。本研究通过使用偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)开发和验证将加纳建筑行业的CE障碍与实施策略联系起来的框架,解决了这一差距。通过系统的文献回顾,将21个壁垒划分为市场政策与技术相关壁垒、法律与制度壁垒、供应链相关壁垒、产品设计与废弃物管理壁垒等四种结构。对加纳建筑专业人员的结构化问卷调查验证了测量模型,并检验了假设的障碍-策略关系。结果表明,CE障碍与策略之间存在很强的正相关关系(β = 0.731, p < 0.05),障碍解释了策略采用方差的53.5%。市场政策和技术相关壁垒的影响最大(β = 0.482),其次是法律和制度壁垒(β = 0.352)。确定了实施环境行政的八项关键战略,包括加强建筑废物管理法规、利益相关者教育和制定国家行动计划。经过验证的框架为加纳的政策制定者和从业者提供了基于证据的见解,以制定有针对性的干预措施,解决节能障碍,同时促进建筑行业有效的节能战略。
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引用次数: 0
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Environmental Impact Assessment Review
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