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Can digitalization alleviate China's energy poverty? Empirical investigation and mechanism analysis 数字化能否缓解中国的能源贫困?实证调查与机制分析
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107634
Miaomiao Tao , Zheng Joseph Yan , Sihong Wu , Emilson Silva , Lingli Qi

Addressing energy poverty is crucial for establishing a decarbonized economy that promotes energy equity and shared prosperity, through which the catalytic role of digitalization should be firmly prioritized. The novelty of this study lies in modelling the causal nexus between digitalization and energy poverty and identifying transmission channels. This study validates a negative correlation between digitalization and energy poverty by leveraging a unique household-level dataset, including 2014, 2016, and 2018, underscoring its instrumental role in alleviating energy poverty after performing a Two-Stage Latest Square approach. However, the extent of these mitigating effects varies among household groups according to income, age, and rural-urban disparities. Further mechanism analyses present that digitalization in China alleviates energy poverty by reducing income poverty, enhancing social capital mobility, bolstering the private business sector, and decelerating the trend of an aging population. These findings offer significant insights for emerging and developing economies that aim to tackle energy poverty through digitalization.

解决能源贫困问题对于建立促进能源公平和共同繁荣的去碳化经济至关重要,因此应坚定不移地优先考虑数字化的催化作用。本研究的新颖之处在于模拟了数字化与能源贫困之间的因果关系,并确定了传播渠道。本研究利用独特的家庭层面数据集(包括 2014 年、2016 年和 2018 年)验证了数字化与能源贫困之间的负相关关系,并在采用两阶段最新方差法后强调了数字化在缓解能源贫困方面的作用。然而,根据收入、年龄和城乡差异,这些缓解作用在不同家庭群体中的程度各不相同。进一步的机制分析表明,中国的数字化可以通过减少收入贫困、提高社会资本流动性、促进私营企业发展以及减缓人口老龄化趋势来缓解能源贫困。这些发现为旨在通过数字化解决能源贫困问题的新兴和发展中经济体提供了重要启示。
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引用次数: 0
A novel blockchain-based system for improving information integrity in building projects from the perspective of building energy performance 基于区块链的新型系统,从建筑节能角度提高建筑项目的信息完整性
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107637
Yu Gao , Peiyu Xu , Hao Yu , Xiaoxiao Xu

Global population growth has long been intertwined with environmental concerns and sustainable development. The building sector, a significant energy consumer worldwide, contributes substantially to total energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. With the projected global population projected to reach 9.7 billion by 2050, building energy consumption is expected to rise continuously, emphasizing the need to optimize energy performance for environmental sustainability. Despite efforts by many countries to formulate energy conservation objectives and strategies, empirical evidence reveals a substantial disparity between designed and actual building energy consumption, known as the building energy performance gap (BEPG). This gap poses a significant challenge to energy conservation efforts, and the lack of information integrity is a significant contributor to this gap. To address the challenge of inadequate information integrity in building energy projects, this research proposes an innovative solution based on blockchain technology. By utilizing blockchain's decentralized, transparent, and tamper-resistant nature, the proposed model aims to enhance information transmission mechanisms among stakeholders. Ten key energy-related stakeholders and various information flows within building projects are identified. Based on this, an exploratory architectural information management model incorporating blockchain technology is developed. The model features functionalities such as data recording, retrieval, transmission, and incentive mechanisms to ensure data immutability and reliable access security. Through a case study, the model's performance is evaluated in terms of storage cost, latency, and privacy, demonstrating significant time savings in uploading and transferring files. The proposed blockchain-based model offers a feasible solution to the challenges of inadequate information integrity in building energy projects, promoting collaboration and accurate information transmission. This model contributes to improving project outcomes and advancing sustainable development in the construction industry.

长期以来,全球人口增长一直与环境问题和可持续发展交织在一起。建筑行业是全球重要的能源消耗行业,对能源消耗总量和温室气体排放量贡献巨大。预计到 2050 年,全球人口将达到 97 亿,建筑能耗预计将持续上升,这凸显了优化能源性能以实现环境可持续性的必要性。尽管许多国家都在努力制定节能目标和战略,但经验证据显示,设计能耗和实际建筑能耗之间存在巨大差距,即所谓的建筑能效差距(BEPG)。这一差距给节能工作带来了巨大挑战,而信息不完整则是造成这一差距的重要原因。为了应对建筑节能项目中信息完整性不足的挑战,本研究提出了一种基于区块链技术的创新解决方案。利用区块链去中心化、透明、防篡改的特性,所提出的模型旨在加强利益相关者之间的信息传输机制。研究确定了建筑项目中与能源相关的十个主要利益相关者和各种信息流。在此基础上,结合区块链技术开发了一个探索性的建筑信息管理模型。该模型具有数据记录、检索、传输和激励机制等功能,以确保数据的不变性和可靠的访问安全性。通过案例研究,从存储成本、延迟和隐私等方面对该模型的性能进行了评估,结果表明在上传和传输文件方面大大节省了时间。所提出的基于区块链的模型为解决建筑能源项目中信息完整性不足的难题提供了可行的解决方案,促进了协作和准确的信息传输。该模式有助于改善项目成果,推动建筑行业的可持续发展。
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引用次数: 0
Neoliberalism, colonialism, and systemic barriers to citizen participation in environmental assessment processes in Latin America: The case of Puerto Rico 新自由主义、殖民主义和拉丁美洲公民参与环境评估进程的系统性障碍:波多黎各案例
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107635
Gustavo García-López , William McCormick-Rivera

The need for greater citizen participation in EIA is well established, as are the numerous barriers to such participation. Yet there are still important gaps in understanding what political-economic power relations undermine participation. In particular, there are few studies linking (neo)colonialism, neoliberalism and austerity to EIA governance and citizen participation. Moreover, there are comparatively fewer studies of EIA from Latin America, and even less from the Caribbean. In this paper, we contribute to filling these two gaps by studying the connections between structural forms of power of colonial-neoliberal governance, and the experiences of EIA participation in the Caribbean island-nation of Puerto Rico. Despite having been a pioneer in EIA implementation, there are no English-language studies focused on Puerto Rico's EIA process. We find strong limitations to citizen participation in EIA, including lack of access to information, pro-forma participation for previously-made decisions, favoring of private economic interests over sustainability and justice, and a legal framework restricting participation and environmental protection. We argue that these limitations are produced through the colonial neoliberal transformations of environmental governance in Puerto Rico, in particular: policies of extreme deregulation and austerity, a permanent state of emergency and exception, and a highly corrupt corporatocracy.

公民更多地参与环境影响评估的必要性已得到公认,而这种参与所面临的众多障碍也已得到证实。然而,在了解哪些政治经济权力关系会削弱参与方面仍存在重大差距。特别是,很少有研究将(新)殖民主义、新自由主义和紧缩政策与环境影响评估治理和公民参与联系起来。此外,拉丁美洲的环境影响评估研究相对较少,加勒比地区的研究就更少了。在本文中,我们通过研究殖民主义-新自由主义治理的权力结构形式与加勒比岛国波多黎各的环境影响评估参与经验之间的联系,为填补这两个空白做出了贡献。尽管波多黎各是实施环境影响评估的先驱,但却没有以波多黎各环境影响评估过程为重点的英语研究。我们发现,公民参与环境影响评估有很大的局限性,包括缺乏获取信息的渠道、按部就班地参与先前做出的决策、偏重私人经济利益而忽视可持续性和公正性,以及限制参与和环境保护的法律框架。我们认为,这些限制是波多黎各环境治理的殖民新自由主义转型造成的,特别是:极端放松管制和紧缩政策、长期的紧急状态和例外情况以及高度腐败的公司统治。
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引用次数: 0
A novel ensemble machine learning exposure model system for ground-level ozone at the national scale: A case of mainland China from 2013 to 2020 针对全国范围地面臭氧的新型集合机器学习暴露模型系统:2013-2020年中国大陆案例
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107630
Jiawei Wang

In epidemiological research, accurate estimation of historical ground-level ozone (O3) concentrations with enhanced spatiotemporal resolution is crucial for effective exposure assessment. The current state-of-the-art for estimating air pollutant concentrations is a two-stage ensemble method that integrates outputs from multiple machine learning algorithms. Despite its effectiveness, opportunities exist to refine this approach for more precise O3 estimation. In this study, we propose an enhanced ensemble method that incorporates four key strategies. First, we employ high-resolution spatiotemporal predictors derived from prior machine learning studies for refined secondary learning. Second, we use sophisticated algorithms, including categorical gradient boosting, deep neural network, random forest, stochastic variable Gaussian process, transformer, and a combination of convolutional neural network and long short-term memory neural network, as sublearners to enhance learning capabilities. Third, we spatiotemporally split the sample set and then train submodels separately on each subset to eliminate the unobserved spatiotemporal heterogeneity. Finally, we apply a complex machine learning algorithm, rather than the generalized additive model, for integrating sublearner predictions, enabling the capture of intricate nonlinear relationships beyond basic spatiotemporal linear weights. To validate these improvements, we estimated daily maximum 8-h moving average O3 concentrations ([O3]MDA8) across Chinese mainland from 2013 to 2020 at a 1 km spatial resolution. The proposed method demonstrated notable accuracy, achieving an out-of-station determination coefficient (R2) of 0.943 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 10.197 μg/m3. This performance marks a nearly 15% improvement over the best existing Chinese O3 exposure model based on a single algorithm and also surpasses previous studies utilizing traditional ensemble methods for other air pollutants. Our enhanced ensemble approach significantly bolsters the reliability and robustness of future environmental epidemiological studies by further mitigating “misclassification” errors.

在流行病学研究中,以更高的时空分辨率准确估算历史地面臭氧(O3)浓度对于有效的暴露评估至关重要。目前估算空气污染物浓度的最先进方法是一种两阶段集合方法,它整合了多种机器学习算法的输出结果。尽管这种方法非常有效,但仍有机会对其进行改进,以实现更精确的臭氧估算。在本研究中,我们提出了一种包含四种关键策略的增强型集合方法。首先,我们采用从先前机器学习研究中得出的高分辨率时空预测因子,进行精细化二次学习。其次,我们使用复杂的算法,包括分类梯度提升、深度神经网络、随机森林、随机变量高斯过程、变换器以及卷积神经网络和长短期记忆神经网络的组合,作为子学习器来增强学习能力。第三,我们对样本集进行时空分割,然后在每个子集上分别训练子模型,以消除未观测到的时空异质性。最后,我们采用复杂的机器学习算法,而不是广义加法模型,来整合子学习器的预测,从而能够捕捉基本时空线性权重之外的复杂非线性关系。为了验证这些改进,我们以 1 千米的空间分辨率估算了 2013 年至 2020 年中国大陆每天最大 8 小时移动平均臭氧浓度([O3]MDA8)。所提出的方法具有显著的准确性,站外判定系数 (R2) 为 0.943,均方根误差 (RMSE) 为 10.197 μg/m3。与中国现有的基于单一算法的最佳臭氧暴露模型相比,这一性能提高了近 15%,同时也超过了之前利用传统集合方法对其他空气污染物进行的研究。我们的增强型集合方法通过进一步减少 "误分类 "误差,大大提高了未来环境流行病学研究的可靠性和稳健性。
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引用次数: 0
Structural equation modeling and Fuzzy set theory: Advancing risk assessment in oil and gas construction projects 结构方程建模和模糊集理论:推进石油天然气建设项目的风险评估
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107622
M.K.S. Al-Mhdawi , Alan O'Connor , Abroon Qazi

This research seeks to evaluate the critical risks associated with Oil and Gas Construction Projects (O&GCPs) in terms of their level of significance and quantifiable effects on Project Performance (PP) by surveying O&GCPs experts in the USA. A multiphase research methodology was adopted, including Systematic Literature Review (SLR) to identify the key O&GCPs risks; semi-structured interviews to identify PP indicators and establish hypotheses on the effect of O&GCPs risks on PP; surveys to assess the perceived agreement of O&GCPs experts regarding the effects of O&GCPs risks on PP, and to rank the probability and impact of the identified O&GCPs risks; Structural Equation Model (SEM) to quantitatively assess the effects of O&GCPs risks on PP; Fuzzy Set Theory (FST) to assess the level of significance of O&GCPs risks; and interviews to verify the developed assessment models and their outputs. The SLR analysis identified 35 articles on O&GCP risks from 2013 to 2023, revealing 51 risk factors in eight categories based on their sources. The SEM analysis indicated that the oil and gas safety risks category had the strongest direct impact on PP. Furthermore, the FST analysis revealed that non-compliance with PPE emerged as the most significant risk factor across all categories of O&GCP risks. This study enhances knowledge and practice by aiding researchers and practitioners in understanding how key O&GCP risks impact PP. This improved understanding is expected to facilitate the formulation of effective mitigation strategies during the early stages of the projects.

本研究旨在通过对美国的石油和天然气建设项目(O&GCPs)专家进行调查,评估与石油和天然气建设项目(O&GCPs)相关的关键风险对项目绩效(PP)的重要程度和可量化影响。研究采用了多阶段研究方法,包括系统文献综述(SLR),以确定主要的 O&GCPs风险;半结构式访谈,以确定项目绩效指标,并就 O&GCPs风险对项目绩效的影响提出假设;调查,以评估 O&GCPs专家对 O&GCPs风险对项目绩效影响的认知一致程度;以及对 O&GCPs专家的问卷调查;结构方程模型 (SEM),定量评估 O&GCPs风险对参与方的影响;模糊集合理论 (FST),评估 O&GCPs风险的重要程度;以及访谈,验证开发的评估模型及其输出结果。SLR 分析确定了从 2013 年到 2023 年有关 O&GCP 风险的 35 篇文章,根据其来源揭示了八大类 51 个风险因素。SEM 分析表明,石油和天然气安全风险类别对参与计划的直接影响最大。此外,FST 分析表明,在所有 O&GCP 风险类别中,不符合个人防护设备要求是最重要的风险因素。这项研究通过帮助研究人员和从业人员了解关键的 O&GCP 风险如何影响原料药,增进了知识和实践。通过加深了解,预计将有助于在项目早期阶段制定有效的缓解策略。
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引用次数: 0
The evaluation of Small River water pollution caused by tailing spill in the Northeast of China using high-resolution images 利用高分辨率图像评价尾矿泄漏造成的东北小河水污染
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107633
Yating Hu , Jingyu Liu , Yu Wang , Ge Liu , Kaishan Song , Shihong Wu , Liqiao Tian , Heng Lyu

The global mining sector generates billions of tons of tailings stored in thousands of tailing ponds. The occasional spills of tailings resulting from dam failures or pipe damage can have devastating consequences, threatening nearby human populations and ecosystems, particularly those located along river corridors. Satellite remote sensing technology is a vital supplementary method to traditional field methods for monitoring and evaluating the water pollution caused by spilled tailings. The researchers have developed workflows to evaluate the effect of tailing spills on water quality using low and medium-spatial satellite imagery from satellite sensors. Due to insufficient spatial resolution, these workflows were hard to apply to monitor the water pollution caused by spilled tailing in small rivers. Using valuable on-site data from a river water pollution incident caused by spilled tailing, a workflow utilizing high-resolution satellite imagery (GF1) was developed. This workflow incorporates a machine learning algorithm (improved DeepLabV3+) to extract water masks first and a novel spectral index method to determine TSM concentrations. The improved DeepLabV3+ algorithm can obtain an accurate water mask no matter the water pixels, whether influenced by the tailing spills from GF1 imagery with IoU of 82.66%, Precision of 93.21%, Recall of 87.96%, and F1-score of 90.51%. A new spectral index combination algorithm that provides reliable TSM products for an extensive TSM magnitude range was presented to assess the level of water contamination. The strong correlation (R2 = 0.97) between in situ TSM and Mo concentrations suggests that the retrieved TSM products are suitable for assessing the water pollution caused by the spilled tailing. This workflow provides a method for monitoring and evaluating water pollution resulting from spilled tailings in small rivers. It utilizes high-resolution satellite data to observe and analyze the pollution levels.

全球采矿业产生了数十亿吨尾矿,储存在数千个尾矿库中。偶尔因溃坝或管道损坏造成的尾矿泄漏会带来毁灭性后果,威胁附近的人口和生态系统,尤其是河流走廊沿线的生态系统。卫星遥感技术是传统实地方法的重要补充方法,可用于监测和评估泄漏尾矿造成的水污染。研究人员开发了工作流程,利用卫星传感器提供的中低空间卫星图像评估尾矿泄漏对水质的影响。由于空间分辨率不足,这些工作流程很难应用于监测小型河流中尾矿泄漏造成的水污染。利用一次尾矿泄漏造成河流水污染事件的宝贵现场数据,开发了一个利用高分辨率卫星图像的工作流程(GF1)。该工作流程采用机器学习算法(改进型 DeepLabV3+)首先提取水掩膜,然后采用新型光谱指数方法确定 TSM 浓度。改进后的 DeepLabV3+ 算法可以从 GF1 图像中获得准确的水掩膜,无论水像素是否受到尾矿溢出的影响,其 IoU 为 82.66%,精确度为 93.21%,召回率为 87.96%,F1 分数为 90.51%。介绍了一种新的光谱指数组合算法,该算法可在广泛的 TSM 幅值范围内提供可靠的 TSM 产品,用于评估水污染程度。原位 TSM 与 Mo 浓度之间的强相关性(R2 = 0.97)表明,检索到的 TSM 产品适用于评估泄漏尾矿造成的水污染。本工作流程提供了一种监测和评估小河流中因泄漏尾矿造成的水污染的方法。它利用高分辨率卫星数据来观测和分析污染程度。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of psychological distance on public acceptance of waste-to-energy combustion projects 心理距离对公众接受垃圾焚烧发电项目的影响
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107631
Qianqian Zhou , Xiaoyan Luo , Xin Gao , Bo Xia , Yongjian Ke , Martin Skitmore , Yong Liu

Waste-to-energy (WTE) projects have attracted considerable attention due to their role in addressing waste management issues and promoting renewable energy production. However, while public acceptance of these projects remains controversial, psychological distance (PD) may be a key shaping factor in their construction. This study, grounded in the Construal Level Theory (CLT) and social distance theory of power, uses a behavioral investigation experiment to examine the role of PD in WTE facilities. The findings reveal that shorter PD is associated with higher public perception of risk and lower perception of economic benefits, fairness, and public acceptance. Additionally, a closer social distance of power tends to correspond with lower construal levels and a greater inclination to support the construction of WTE facilities, further supporting the CLT and social distance theory of power. The findings provide theoretical support and practical guidance for the sustainable development of WTE facilities, encouraging a sense of shared destiny and collaborative governance across society.

废物变能源(WTE)项目在解决废物管理问题和促进可再生能源生产方面发挥着重要作用,因此备受关注。然而,尽管公众对这些项目的接受程度仍存在争议,但心理距离(PD)可能是影响这些项目建设的关键因素。本研究以构想水平理论(CLT)和权力的社会距离理论为基础,采用行为调查实验来研究心理距离在 WTE 设施中的作用。研究结果表明,较短的PD与较高的公众风险感知、较低的经济效益感知、公平性和公众接受度相关。此外,较近的权力社会距离往往与较低的构想水平和支持建设 WTE 设施的更大倾向相对应,这进一步支持了权力社会距离理论。研究结果为可持续发展湿热发电设施提供了理论支持和实践指导,鼓励了全社会的命运共同体意识和协同治理。
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引用次数: 0
Dissecting behavioral inertia in shaping different resident participation behaviors in neighborhood regeneration: A quantitative behavioral experiment 剖析行为惯性在形成不同居民参与邻里更新行为中的作用:定量行为实验
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107632
Xinyue Fu , Guiwen Liu , Hongjuan Wu , Taozhi Zhuang , Ruopeng Huang , Fanning Yuan , Yuhang Zhang

Research on resident participation in neighborhood regeneration provides valuable insights for urban policymakers in environmental governance. While previous studies have extensively examined various influencing factors, they often neglect the impact of behavioral inertia. To address this gap, this study conducts a behavioral experiment to quantitatively assess the presence and impact of behavioral inertia on residents' governance and financial participation behaviors. A total of 576 valid survey questionnaires were collected, and conditional logit model and ordered logit model were utilized for analysis. The study reveals that behavioral inertia is indeed observable in residents' governance participation and financial participation behaviors. Furthermore, the findings underscore distinct drivers of behavioral inertia for these two types of participation behaviors, with emotional reactions predominantly influencing governance participation, while short-term thinking largely shapes financial participation. Theoretically, this study uses the innovative concept of “behavioral inertia” to offer a new explanatory framework for aspects of behavior that cannot be solely explained by the attributes of regeneration plans. Furthermore, the behavioral experiments utilized in this study exemplify how the research framework of behavioral science can be applied to the study of urban governance in a broad context internationally. Practically, the research findings provide valuable insights for urban policymakers to tailor measures aimed at promoting resident participation and fostering sustainable urban development.

关于居民参与街区更新的研究为城市决策者提供了宝贵的环境治理见解。以往的研究广泛考察了各种影响因素,但往往忽视了行为惯性的影响。为了弥补这一不足,本研究开展了一项行为实验,定量评估行为惯性对居民治理和金融参与行为的影响。本研究共收集了 576 份有效调查问卷,并利用条件 logit 模型和有序 logit 模型进行分析。研究发现,行为惯性在居民的治理参与和金融参与行为中确实存在。此外,研究结果还强调了这两类参与行为的不同行为惯性驱动因素,其中情绪反应主要影响治理参与,而短期思维则在很大程度上影响金融参与。从理论上讲,本研究使用了 "行为惯性 "这一创新概念,为无法完全用再生计划的属性来解释的行为提供了一个新的解释框架。此外,本研究中使用的行为实验还示范了如何将行为科学的研究框架应用于国际范围内的城市治理研究。在实践中,研究结果为城市决策者提供了宝贵的见解,帮助他们制定旨在促进居民参与和推动城市可持续发展的措施。
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引用次数: 0
Uneven emission reduction effects of international trade in energy and environmental goods in the global value chain 全球价值链中能源和环境产品国际贸易的不均衡减排效应
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107621
Peiyu Wang , Xiyan Mao , Xianjin Huang

International trade in energy and environmental goods (EEGs) promotes the diffusion of green technologies and provides environmental benefits to trading countries. However, the uneven distribution of environmental benefits has hindered international negotiations on trade liberalization. This study investigates whether the disparity in technological content of EEGs leads to uneven emission reduction effects in the global value chain (GVC). Based on data panel covering 246 EEGs and 103 countries from 2001 to 2019, a dynamic threshold model was applied to examine the uneven emission reduction effects from the EEG trade. The results revealed that (1) the technological content of EEGs differs among countries, but this difference does not directly contribute to an uneven distribution of environmental benefits.(2) the technological content of EEGs impacts emissions through a threshold effect. Trading high-tech EEGs benefits from economies of scale, whereas trading low-tech EEGs suffers from diseconomies of scale. (3) The proportion of countries benefiting from trade in EEGs is increasing, with imports providing broader benefits than exports. These findings elucidate the situation and mechanism of the uneven distribution of environmental benefits in the EEG trade and offer insights into policy focus shifts.

能源和环境产品(EEGs)的国际贸易促进了绿色技术的推广,并为贸易国带来了环境效益。然而,环境利益分配不均阻碍了贸易自由化的国际谈判。本研究探讨了环境产品和环境商品技术含量的差异是否会导致全球价值链(GVC)中减排效果的不均衡。基于 2001 年至 2019 年 246 个电子元件和 103 个国家的面板数据,运用动态阈值模型考察了电子元件贸易的不均衡减排效应。结果表明:(1)各国电子元件的技术含量不同,但这种差异并不直接导致环境效益的不均衡分配;(2)电子元件的技术含量通过阈值效应影响排放。交易高科技含量的电子元件可从规模经济中获益,而交易低技术含量的电子元件则会受到规模不经济的影响。(3) 受益于电子元件贸易的国家比例正在增加,进口比出口带来更广泛的利益。这些发现阐明了环境经济组贸易中环境效益分配不均的情况和机制,并为政策重点的转移提供了启示。
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引用次数: 0
“Icing on the cake” or “fuel delivered in the snow”? Evidence from China on ecological compensation for air pollution control "锦上添花 "还是 "雪中送炭"?来自中国的大气污染治理生态补偿证据
IF 9.8 1区 社会学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES Pub Date : 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2024.107620
Dunhu Chang , Zeyang Zhang , Hancheng Song , Jian Wu , Xin Wang , Zhanfeng Dong

Ecological compensation is a crucial measure to balance the interests of all stakeholders and mobilize local government's initiative in pollution control, while the relationship between ecological compensation and environmental quality standards may influence the policy effect. This study investigates the impact of China's first ecological compensation policy for air pollution control—Shandong Province's Ambient Air Quality Ecological Compensation (AAQEC) policy—on ambient air quality, and explores the appropriate relationship between ecological compensation and environmental quality standards. The theoretical model suggests that the lenient punishment for substandard environmental quality deviates the incentives of the AAQEC that targets multiple pollutants, thereby limiting its effectiveness in improving overall regional ambient air quality. Utilizing monthly air pollutant concentration data and employing a continuous difference-in-difference approach, the empirical results show that the AAQEC acts as a guaranteed measure to assist local governments in achieving environmental quality compliance. The AAQEC effectively reduces SO2 and PM2.5 concentrations through incentivizing environmental protection expenditures and green transformation of development mode, while the effect on controlling the key pollutant with severe exceedance is not observed—the concentration of PM10 does not change significantly. The above plight is attributable to local government's strategic behaviors of selecting pollutants with higher marginal net benefit of pollutant abatement for priority treatment regardless of actual pollution conditions, resulting in the partial improvement in ambient air quality. These findings indicate that a flexible ecological compensation policy should be established with punishment imposed for substandard environmental quality, playing its role in enhancing local governments' environmental governance capacity and further improving overall ambient air quality based on compliance.

生态补偿是平衡各利益相关方利益、调动地方政府污染治理积极性的重要措施,而生态补偿与环境质量标准之间的关系可能会影响政策效果。本研究考察了中国首个大气污染防治生态补偿政策--山东省环境空气质量生态补偿政策对环境空气质量的影响,并探讨了生态补偿与环境质量标准之间的适当关系。理论模型表明,对环境质量不达标者的宽松惩罚偏离了针对多种污染物的 AAQEC 的激励机制,从而限制了其改善区域整体环境空气质量的效果。利用月度空气污染物浓度数据和连续差分法,实证结果表明 AAQEC 是帮助地方政府实现环境质量达标的保障措施。AAQEC 通过激励环保支出和发展模式的绿色转型,有效降低了二氧化硫和 PM2.5 的浓度,但对严重超标的关键污染物 PM10 的控制效果并不明显。造成上述困境的原因在于地方政府不顾实际污染状况,选择边际净减排效益较高的污染物进行优先治理的策略行为,导致环境空气质量的局部改善。这些研究结果表明,应建立灵活的生态补偿政策,对环境质量不达标者进行惩罚,发挥其在提高地方政府环境治理能力方面的作用,在达标的基础上进一步改善整体环境空气质量。
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Environmental Impact Assessment Review
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