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Weaponization of climate and environment crises: Risks, realities, and consequences 气候和环境危机武器化:风险、现实和后果
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103928
Quan-Hoang Vuong , Viet-Phuong La , Minh-Hoang Nguyen
The importance of addressing the existential threat to humanity, climate change, has grown remarkedly in recent years while conflicting views and interests in societies exist. Therefore, climate change agendas have been weaponized to varying degrees, ranging from the international level between countries to the domestic level among political parties. In such contexts, climate change agendas are predominantly driven by political or economic ambitions, sometimes unconnected to concerns for environmental sustainability. Consequently, it can result in an environment that fosters antagonism and disputes over power and position and increases the risk of prolonged confrontations, hindering the collective global efforts to mitigate and adapt to climate change. Through the current discourse, we aim to provide a preliminary definition of the weaponization of climate change and environmental sustainability and examine its risks and consequences on international relations, political dynamics, public perception, and the comprehensive integrity of climate action. We also recommend embracing a globally coordinated, scientifically substantiated approach to circumvent climate change by building an eco-surplus cultural value system.
近年来,应对气候变化这一人类生存威胁的重要性显著增加,而社会中存在着各种观点和利益冲突。因此,气候变化议程在不同程度上被武器化了,从国际层面的国家之间到国内层面的政党之间都是如此。在这种情况下,气候变化议程主要受到政治或经济野心的驱动,有时与对环境可持续性的关注无关。因此,这种环境会助长对立情绪以及权力和地位争端,增加长期对抗的风险,阻碍全球为减缓和适应气候变化所做的集体努力。通过目前的讨论,我们旨在提供气候变化和环境可持续性武器化的初步定义,并研究其对国际关系、政治动态、公众认知和气候行动的全面完整性的风险和后果。我们还建议通过建立生态盈余文化价值体系,采取一种全球协调、有科学依据的方法来规避气候变化。
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引用次数: 0
Local content policies: Knowledge stock and future directions for research and policy making in view of the sustainability agenda 本地内容政策:从可持续性议程的角度看研究和决策的知识储备和未来方向
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103919
Stella Tsani , Chrysoula Chitou , Indra Overland
Local content policies (LCPs) aim to create opportunities for employment and economic development, and to shield from the “resource curse” and enclave extractivism. LCPs are of ongoing policy interest in resource-rich countries and, more recently, have attracted attention in countries attempting to develop their renewable energy sources. The sustainable development agenda set by the global and regional initiatives, such as the United Nations’ 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Agreement, call for a fresh look at the targets and priorities set by LCPs, e.g., extend to environmental and/or climate change action targets. This article aims to connect in a meaningful way the scientific knowledge on LCPs and evidence-based policy making with the sustainability agenda imperatives. The target is met with the: i) completion of a systematic state-of-the-art literature review and bibliometric analysis to assess and synthesize the accumulated stock of knowledge on LCPs and ii) SDGs mapping onto the LCPs. Τhe review identifies the core approaches and LCPs' assessment outcomes, indicating the plethora of findings. Results show that the relationship between LCPs and the sustainability agenda has not yet been properly analyzed in the literature, identifying thus a gap between research and contemporary policy making. The research community should be proactive: rather than just assessing LCPs' implementation, it should propose alternatives and updates to LCPs in line with the sustainability agenda. The article contributes to this direction by mapping the SDGs onto the LCPs, suggesting ways to advance research in this field and to support evidence-based policy making.
本地含量政策(LCPs)旨在为就业和经济发展创造机会,避免 "资源诅咒 "和飞地采掘主义。当地含量政策在资源丰富的国家一直受到政策关注,最近在试图开发可再生能源的国家也引起了关注。联合国 17 个可持续发展目标(SDGs)和《巴黎协定》等全球和地区倡议所制定的可持续发展议程要求我们重新审视低碳发展政策所制定的目标和优先事项,例如,扩展到环境和/或气候变化行动目标。本文旨在以一种有意义的方式,将有关低碳发展目标的科学知识和基于证据的政策制定与可持续发展议程的当务之急联系起来。目标是:i) 完成系统的最新文献综述和文献计量分析,以评估和综合积累的有关低碳发展目标的知识;ii) 将可持续发展目标映射到低碳发展目标。该综述确定了核心方法和 LCPs 评估结果,指出了大量研究结果。研究结果表明,文献中尚未对地方优先事项与可持续发展议程之间的关系进行适当分析,因此在研究与当代政策制定之间存在差距。研究界应采取积极主动的态度:不仅要评估地方合作方案的实施情况,还应根据可持续性议程提出地方合作方案的替代方案和更新方案。这篇文章通过将可持续发展目标映射到长期合作计划中,提出了推进该领域研究和支持循证决策的方法,从而为这一方向做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the political impact of Real-world laboratories for urban transformation in eight German ‘Cities of the Future’ 分析德国八个 "未来城市 "中城市转型真实世界实验室的政治影响
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103923
Teresa Kampfmann , Daniel J. Lang , Annika Weiser
Real-world laboratories (RwLs) provide research settings to develop and test sustainability solution options and have gained considerable attention in the field of sustainability research since the early 2010s. RwLs, especially those in which urban municipalities are involved as partners, have been linked to promises for fostering sustainable urban development, but they are also critically discussed, e.g., for being used as proof for already doing ‘enough’ in terms of sustainability and citizen participation. However, these assumptions are rarely empirically investigated. This paper applies a traceable methodological approach. We focus on long-term RwL processes in eight German cities, that were all part of the Cities of the Future funding program (2015–2022/23). Based on policy documents provided in city council information systems, we conducted a qualitative content analysis. By applying deductively and inductively developed codes, we capture the ways in which the RwL processes were a) linked to changes in urban polity, politics and policy, and b) strategically used by city officials. Our findings suggest that most of the RwLs had political impacts in several ways. Further, attempts of strategic use were particularly visible for politically highly impactful RwLs.
真实世界实验室(RwLs)为开发和测试可持续发展解决方案提供了研究环境,自 2010 年代初以来在可持续发展研究领域获得了广泛关注。真实世界实验室,尤其是城市市政当局作为合作伙伴参与的真实世界实验室,与促进城市可持续发展的承诺联系在一起,但它们也受到了批评,例如被用作在可持续性和公民参与方面已经做得 "足够 "的证明。然而,这些假设很少经过实证调查。本文采用了一种可追溯的方法论。我们将重点放在德国八个城市的长期鲁汶工程(RwL)进程上,这些城市都是 "未来城市 "资助项目(2015-2022/23)的一部分。根据市议会信息系统提供的政策文件,我们进行了定性内容分析。通过应用演绎法和归纳法编制的代码,我们捕捉到了 "城市发展与减贫 "过程中 a) 与城市政体、政治和政策变化相关联的方式,以及 b) 城市官员战略性使用的方式。我们的研究结果表明,大多数卢旺达解放运动在多个方面产生了政治影响。此外,对政治影响较大的卢旺达解放运动的战略利用尝试尤为明显。
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引用次数: 0
Indigenous peoples in carbon pricing policymaking 土著人民参与碳定价决策
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103927
Ignatius Kobbina Yankey , Temitope Tunbi Onifade , Gabriela Sabau
The article contributes new thinking on the exclusion and inclusion of Indigenous Peoples in carbon pricing policymaking. Using a Canadian case to draw broader lessons for other countries and make a conceptual contribution, we ask and answer five questions: (1) who is excluded; (2) why does exclusion happen; (3) how does exclusion happen; (4) what does exclusion cause; and (5) how could policymakers enhance inclusion? To inform and answer these questions, we construct a decolonial theoretical framework and use it to guide qualitative analysis and doctrinal legal analysis of original data, including 34 semi-structured interviews and few court decisions, to enhance thinking on exclusion and how to enhance inclusion in carbon pricing policymaking. The thesis is that Indigenous Peoples are externally and internally excluded because of legal and practical problems in policymaking, and this impacts legitimacy, transparency, justice, policy effectiveness and indigenous reconciliation, and should be mitigated by enhancing transparency measures, prioritizing the value of legitimacy over cost efficiency, and, overall, transformationally rethinking policymaking processes. Altogether, our theory-grounded empirical sociolegal study demonstrates key concepts for thinking about Indigenous inclusion and exclusion, extending the extant public participation literature as applicable to climate, natural resource, and environmental law and governance, and other relevant legal and social science fields.
文章对碳定价决策中土著居民的排斥和包容问题提出了新的思考。通过加拿大的案例,我们提出并回答了五个问题:(1) 谁被排除在外;(2) 为什么会发生排除;(3) 如何发生排除;(4) 排除的原因是什么;(5) 政策制定者如何增强包容性?为了提供信息并回答这些问题,我们构建了一个非殖民主义理论框架,并用它指导对原始数据(包括 34 个半结构式访谈和少数法院判决)的定性分析和理论法律分析,以加强对碳定价决策中的排斥和如何加强包容性的思考。我们的论点是,由于政策制定中的法律和实际问题,土著居民受到外部和内部排斥,这影响了合法性、透明度、公正性、政策有效性和土著和解,应通过加强透明度措施、优先考虑合法性价值而非成本效益,以及从整体上对政策制定过程进行变革性反思来加以缓解。总之,我们以理论为基础的实证社会法律研究展示了思考土著包容和排斥的关键概念,扩展了现有的公众参与文献,使其适用于气候、自然资源、环境法律和治理,以及其他相关的法律和社会科学领域。
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引用次数: 0
SEAs for seas: Strategic environmental assessment for more strategic and environmentally-oriented marine spatial planning processes 海洋的战略环境评估:为更具战略性和更注重环境的海洋空间规划进程开展战略环境评估
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103920
Juul E.H. Kusters, Ferry M.G. van Kann, Christian Zuidema, Jos Arts
The foreseen, and already ongoing, substantial increase in offshore renewable energy and corresponding infrastructures urges policymakers and scholars to carefully consider corresponding long-term environmental effects on the marine environment. Strategic Environmental Assessment (SEA) is becoming a standard tool for Marine Spatial Planning (MSP) processes for enabling planners to develop more sustainable marine spatial plans. To explore how SEA can contribute to a more strategic and environmentally-oriented MSP practice, four SEA processes from four North Sea countries are examined, building on available SEA documents and semi-structured interviews. The results show that SEAs for MSP can take an exploratory or appraisal-oriented approach. Adopting an exploratory approach can open up comparatively more opportunities for SEA to contribute to MSP than an adopting an appraisal-oriented approach, but it requires an early initiation of the SEA within the larger planning process. Still, it does not imply that there is one single best method. Rather, the institutional context establishes the conditions for SEA processes to contribute to MSP practice. Particularly, the political pressures and prior sectoral policymaking for offshore renewable energy restrict what can be included in the scope of an SEA. Also, the limited knowledge on the larger dynamics of the marine environment complicate the assessment of transboundary and cumulative effects. Therefore, as future research continues working towards a robust scientific knowledge base on the marine environment, it is crucial that scholars and policymakers collaborate on a structural basis to bridge the gap between science and policy implementation.
可预见的以及正在进行的海上可再生能源和相应基础设施的大量增加,敦促决策者和学者认真考虑对海洋环境的长期环境影响。战略环境评估(SEA)正在成为海洋空间规划(MSP)过程中的标准工具,使规划者能够制定更具可持续性的海洋空间规划。为了探索 SEA 如何有助于更具战略性和以环境为导向的 MSP 实践,我们以现有的 SEA 文件和半结构式访谈为基础,对北海四个国家的四个 SEA 流程进行了研究。研究结果表明,针对中等规模项目的 SEA 可以采用探索性或评估性方法。与采用评估导向的方法相比,采用探索性的方法可以为 SEA 提供更多的机会,为 MSP 做出贡献,但这需要在更大的规划过程中尽早启动 SEA。但这并不意味着只有一种最佳方法。恰恰相反,制度环境为 SEA 过程促进 MSP 实践创造了条件。特别是,政治压力和先前的海上可再生能源部门决策限制了 SEA 的范围。此外,对海洋环境更大动态的了解有限,也使跨界和累积效应的评估变得更加复杂。因此,随着未来的研究继续致力于建立一个强大的海洋环境科学知识库,学者和决策者必须开展结构性合作,以弥合科学与政策实施之间的差距。
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引用次数: 0
The Greta Effect: Is there more public support for climate protesters who are young and female? 葛丽泰效应:公众是否更支持年轻女性气候抗议者?
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103924
Yu Shuang Gan , Sylvia Hayes , Lorraine Whitmarsh
Media portrayals of climate protesters have predominantly painted climate protesters as deviant and antisocial under the protest paradigm, leading to negative reception from public audiences. However, recent years have seen a shift away from negative media portrayals of (climate) protesters and towards an intergenerational justice framing by depicting more young and female protesters in climate protests under a positive light with agency and power. This study investigated whether this shift in visual framing changes audience responses towards climate change. Using photo-editing, we manipulated the gender of depicted climate protesters from different age groups to compare their impact on audiences; we also compared the effect of presence versus absence of police in protest images. A representative sample of UK participants (N = 542) was recruited online and saw one of 10 images before completing several quantitative measures related to climate change and a qualitative question on emotions. Results showed that negative emotional responses towards climate change were greater when seeing images featuring police and child protestors; the latter was related to either feelings of shame and guilt for having created a climate problem for the future generations, or anger towards child exploitation in climate protests. However, varying the content of protest images did not influence other measures of climate attitudes and behaviours. Our results suggest climate images using an intergenerational justice framing implied by youth protestors may at once imbue these protesters with agency and evoke negative emotional responses to climate change amongst audiences. We discuss implications for strategic use of climate communications to promote public engagement.
媒体对气候抗议者的描述主要是在抗议范式下将气候抗议者描绘成离经叛道和反社会的人,导致公众受众的负面反应。然而,近年来媒体对(气候)抗议者的描述已从负面转向代际正义框架,将气候抗议活动中更多的年轻女性抗议者描绘成具有能动性和力量的正面形象。本研究调查了这种视觉框架的转变是否会改变受众对气候变化的反应。通过照片编辑,我们对不同年龄段的气候抗议者的性别进行了处理,以比较他们对受众的影响;我们还比较了抗议图像中警察出现与缺席的影响。我们在网上招募了具有代表性的英国参与者(542 人),他们观看了 10 张图片中的一张,然后完成了与气候变化有关的几项定量测量和一个关于情绪的定性问题。结果显示,当看到以警察和儿童抗议者为主角的图片时,人们对气候变化的负面情绪反应更大;后者与为子孙后代制造气候问题的羞耻感和内疚感有关,或者与对气候抗议活动中剥削儿童的行为感到愤怒有关。然而,抗议图像内容的变化并不影响气候态度和行为的其他测量指标。我们的研究结果表明,使用青年抗议者所暗示的代际正义框架的气候图像可能会同时赋予这些抗议者能动性,并唤起受众对气候变化的负面情绪反应。我们讨论了战略性使用气候传播促进公众参与的意义。
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引用次数: 0
An optimization model-based DEA-MARCOS approach for assessing EU countries towards achieving sustainable development goals 基于优化模型的 DEA-MARCOS 评估欧盟国家实现可持续发展目标的方法
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103913
Abhijit Saha , Arunodaya Raj Mishra , Pratibha Rani , Muhammet Deveci , Bijoy Krishna Debnath , Norziana Jamil , Moamin A. Mahmoud
Sustainable development serves as a guiding principle, striving to achieve human development goals while ensuring that natural systems can support essential ecosystem services and resources. The 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development, accepted by all United Nations Member States in 2015, offers a unifying framework for peace and prosperity for people and the planet, both now and in the future. The Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) include specific targets and indicators, helping to assess a country's progress towards achieving the goals. To evaluate the EU (European Union) countries' alignment with the SDGs, this study develops a group decision-making approach by integrating DEA (Data Envelopment Analysis), MARCOS (Measurements Alternatives and Ranking according to COmpromise Solution), and an optimization model. A DEA is a highly suitable procedure for evaluating the performance of multiple peer entities, often referred to as Decision-making Units (DMUs) or alternatives. On the other hand, the benefits of MARCOS are: (i) it considers both the ideal (ID) and anti-ideal (AID) scenarios and, (ii) it exemplifies the utility degree of each option in association to ID and AID. Lastly, the combination of cross-entropy and divergence measures effectively deal with the information loss occurred during the determining the weights of considered criteria. Therefore, the proposed hybrid model is more sensible and practical. According to the final results, Austria stands out as the top performer among the EU countries in implementing the SDGs and achieving favorable outcomes.
可持续发展是一项指导原则,旨在努力实现人类发展目标,同时确保自然系统能够支持基本的生态系统服务和资源。联合国全体会员国于 2015 年接受的《2030 年可持续发展议程》为人类和地球现在和将来的和平与繁荣提供了一个统一的框架。可持续发展目标(SDGs)包括具体的目标和指标,有助于评估一个国家在实现目标方面取得的进展。为评估欧盟(欧洲联盟)国家与可持续发展目标的一致性,本研究通过整合 DEA(数据包络分析)、MARCOS(根据妥协方案的替代方案和排名)和优化模型,开发了一种群体决策方法。数据包络分析是一种非常适合评估多个同级实体(通常称为决策单元(DMU)或备选方案)绩效的程序。另一方面,MARCOS 的优点在于(i)它同时考虑了理想(ID)和反理想(AID)方案,(ii)它举例说明了与 ID 和 AID 相关的每个方案的效用程度。最后,交叉熵和发散度量的结合有效地处理了在确定所考虑标准的权重时出现的信息损失。因此,所提出的混合模型更加合理和实用。根据最终结果,在欧盟国家中,奥地利在实施可持续发展目标并取得良好成果方面表现突出。
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引用次数: 0
Context matters when evacuating large cities: Shifting the focus from individual characteristics to location and social vulnerability 大城市疏散时,环境很重要:将重点从个人特征转移到地点和社会脆弱性上
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103925
Samuel Rufat , Emeline Comby , Serge Lhomme , Victor Santoni
Climate change is driving extreme weather, heat and flooding, which increasingly require evacuations. Recent studies have found inconclusive results on the determinants of evacuation-related decisions and have reported widely varying evacuation rates, especially in high-density areas. We use a large dataset of geotagged evacuation choices in Paris, France (n = 2976) during a flood, to show that while they are rarely addressed, location, social vulnerability, length of residence, and hazard exposure are critical predictors. They can be used to infer the impact of previous experience on evacuation intentions, which is usually difficult to collect at scales relevant to decision-making. We address multiple evacuation choices over time that have previously been overlooked, including gradually self-fueling spontaneous evacuations after observations of peers evacuating or flooding proximity and post-impact evacuation due to infrastructure disruption. Our findings reveal that many people wait until their home is flooded to evacuate. The gap between the initial share of people leaving immediately and the minority refusing to leave in any case even after their housing is flooded gradually fills when considering different evacuation behaviors over time. Such chronology might explain the wide range of evacuation rates reported in the literature. However, people in vulnerable situations and with increased hazard exposure are more likely to declare that they would disregard evacuation instructions. One key implication is that policies aimed at reducing social vulnerability might be more effective than communication campaigns to increase preparedness and support evacuation.
气候变化导致极端天气、高温和洪水,越来越多的人需要撤离。最近的研究发现,疏散相关决策的决定因素并无定论,而且疏散率差异很大,尤其是在高密度地区。我们使用了法国巴黎洪灾期间地理标记疏散选择的大型数据集(n = 2976),结果表明,虽然很少涉及这些因素,但地理位置、社会脆弱性、居住年限和灾害风险是关键的预测因素。这些因素可用于推断以往经验对撤离意向的影响,而这通常很难在与决策相关的尺度上收集。我们研究了以往被忽视的多种撤离选择,包括在观察到同伴撤离或洪水临近后逐渐自发撤离,以及因基础设施中断而在受影响后撤离。我们的研究结果表明,很多人都是等到家里被洪水淹没后才撤离的。在考虑不同的撤离行为时,最初立即撤离的人与在住房被淹后仍拒绝撤离的少数人之间的差距会随着时间的推移而逐渐拉大。这种时间顺序可能解释了文献中报告的疏散率的巨大差异。然而,处于脆弱境地和面临更多危险的人更有可能宣称他们会无视撤离指示。其中一个重要的含义是,旨在降低社会脆弱性的政策可能比宣传活动更能有效地提高防灾准备和支持撤离。
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引用次数: 0
Public collaboration to improve the future for science in Brazil 公众合作改善巴西科学的未来
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103921
Lucas Rodriguez Forti , Judit K. Szabo
Brazil is facing a concerning scientific crisis as a result of persistent anti-science campaigns, decreasing support for public universities and pro-environmental policies, exacerbated by investment cuts to scientific agencies. While recent pro-science policies could mitigate some of this damage, the inherited public distrust in science will potentially threaten scientific progress for years to come. Since trust in science is influenced by political ideologies, combating this distrust presents a formidable challenge, demanding a strategy for public engagement and attenuation of the effects of political polarisation on science and technology. Scientific citizenship is essential to improve the way society perceives science and implements science-based policies. Funding a federal citizen science bureau to support participatory initiatives of knowledge production could bring various benefits, including increased public acceptance of science and environment protection, compliance with international agreements and UN goals, as well as higher scientific literacy among the public. It could also recover the failing trust in science, expand support for current and future citizen science initiatives, and improve minorities’ access to scientific collaboration. In summary, it would provide a way to recover the role of science and thereby support public policies in Brazil with global benefits.
巴西正面临着一场令人担忧的科学危机,原因是持续不断的反科学运动、对公立大学支持的减少以及亲环境政策,而对科学机构投资的削减又加剧了这一危机。虽然近期的亲科学政策可以减轻部分损害,但公众对科学的不信任将在未来数年内对科学进步构成潜在威胁。由于对科学的信任受到政治意识形态的影响,消除这种不信任是一项艰巨的挑战,需要制定公众参与战略,减轻政治两极化对科学技术的影响。科学公民意识对于改善社会对科学的认识和实施以科学为基础的政策至关重要。资助联邦公民科学局,支持知识生产的参与性倡议,可以带来各种好处,包括提高公众对科学和环境保护的接受度,遵守国际协议和联合国目标,以及提高公众的科学素养。它还可以恢复公众对科学的不信任,扩大对当前和未来公民科学活动的支持,改善少数群体参与科学合作的机会。总之,这将为恢复科学的作用提供一条途径,从而支持巴西的公共政策,使其惠及全球。
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引用次数: 0
Political factors and efficiency in the responsible production of municipal solid waste services: A dynamic DEA with a network structure approach 城市固体废物责任生产服务中的政治因素和效率:采用网络结构方法的动态 DEA
IF 4.9 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-10-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103914
Tadeu Junior de Castro Gonçalves , Alexandro Barbosa , Pedro Simões , Severino Cesário de Lima
The production of municipal solid waste (MSW) is driven by socioeconomic development and population growth. In this context, public policymakers, mainly in developing countries, are increasingly focused on ensuring sustainable production and consumption patterns through sustainable management and efficient use of resources. Because of this, we seek to contribute to the effectiveness of public policies and the role of managers in achieving the global Sustainable Development Goals 3, 6, 11, and 12. This study examines the relevance of political and contextual factors on the dynamic efficiency of the network structure of municipal solid waste services in Brazil. We used Dynamic Data Envelopment Analysis with Structure Network to calculate the overall efficiency and specific efficiency of the two proposed divisions: operational and economic. We then analyzed the effects of years in political cycles (pre-election, election year, post-election) and contextual factors (ideology, GDP, density, transfers, political size, and geography) on MSW efficiency using Generalized Estimating Equation. The dataset included longitudinal panel data from 218 MSW from 2012 to 2022. Our results showed an average efficiency score of 57.5 %, with only six MSW positioned on the efficiency frontier. Evidence of stagnation in the sector's productivity was also revealed, undermining the goals and objectives of public policies. The results suggest that the years within political cycles significantly impact sector operator efficiency before, during, and after the electoral period. Specifically, lower levels of efficiency are observed during election years, suggesting potential opportunistic behavior throughout most periods of the electoral cycle. The main contribution of this work lies in its analysis of the different periods of a political cycle, and role of capital and ideological politics in intertemporal efficiency across two divisional networks.
城市固体废物(MSW)的产生受到社会经济发展和人口增长的驱动。在这种情况下,主要是发展中国家的公共政策制定者越来越重视通过可持续管理和有效利用资源来确保可持续的生产和消费模式。正因为如此,我们力图促进公共政策的有效性以及管理者在实现全球可持续发展目标 3、6、11 和 12 中的作用。本研究探讨了政治和环境因素对巴西城市固体废物服务网络结构动态效率的影响。我们使用结构网络动态数据包络分析法计算了两个拟议部门(业务部门和经济部门)的总体效率和具体效率。然后,我们使用广义估计方程分析了政治周期年份(选举前、选举年、选举后)和背景因素(意识形态、GDP、密度、转移、政治规模和地理位置)对城市固体废物处理效率的影响。数据集包括从 2012 年到 2022 年 218 个澳门特别行政区的纵向面板数据。结果显示,平均效率为 57.5%,仅有六家澳门金沙线上领彩金网澳门金沙线上领彩金网处于效率前沿。我们还发现了该部门生产力停滞不前的证据,这有损于公共政策的目标和目的。研究结果表明,政治周期内的年份在选举前、选举期间和选举后都会对部门经营者的效率产生重大影响。具体而言,在选举年期间观察到的效率水平较低,这表明在选举周期的大多数时期都存在潜在的机会主义行为。这项研究的主要贡献在于分析了政治周期的不同时期,以及资本和意识形态政治在两个部门网络跨时效率中的作用。
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Environmental Science & Policy
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