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UK net-zero policy design – from optimisation to robustness 英国净零政策设计--从优化到稳健
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103804
Quirina Rodriguez Mendez , Mark Workman , Geoff Darch

The need to deal with the deep uncertainty and system complexity associated to Net-Zero pathways, especially those relying on emergent greenhouse gas removal (GGR) technologies, has resulted in a growing body of literature on alternative decision-support approaches. Exploratory modelling, and specifically Robust Decision Making (RDM), are potential approaches capable of addressing these challenges: by exploring a wide range of conceivable futures, they explicitly embrace deep uncertainties while seeking to reduce system vulnerabilities. However, though RDM methods have been well documented, there is little insight as to how such approach might be integrated into Net-Zero policy design processes. By means of a workshop (n=17) and interviews (n=13) with the UK climate policy and energy modelling communities, this contribution provides insights into the role and potential of RDM in explicitly dealing with the deep uncertainties that pervade in the establishment of a 60–100 MtCO2 UK GGR sector within three decades. The consultation process revealed that there is an appetite from the decision-making and analytical communities in integrating exploratory modelling concepts into UK policy design processes. It is recommended that to bridge the gap between theoretical RDM constructs and their broader adoption, the analytical process should include a broader set of disciplines and expertise. Specifically for the modelling community, this work suggests that in-use computational models should be adapted, rather than new tools developed. Key challenges also arise from the time and resources required, suggesting small scale place-based pilots could promote the acceptability and foster the adoption of the RDM methodology.

由于需要处理与净零排放途径相关的深度不确定性和系统复杂性,特别是那些依赖于新兴温室气体清除(GGR)技术的途径,因此关于替代决策支持方法的文献越来越多。探索性建模,特别是鲁棒决策(RDM),是能够应对这些挑战的潜在方法:通过探索各种可以想象的未来,它们明确地包含了深层次的不确定性,同时寻求减少系统的脆弱性。然而,尽管 RDM 方法已被充分记录,但对于如何将这种方法纳入净零政策设计流程,却鲜有深入的了解。通过与英国气候政策和能源建模界的研讨会(人数为 17 人)和访谈(人数为 13 人),本文深入探讨了 RDM 在明确处理深度不确定性方面的作用和潜力,这些不确定性普遍存在于三十年内建立 60-100 MtCO2 的英国 GGR 行业中。咨询过程显示,决策和分析界希望将探索性建模概念融入英国政策设计过程。我们建议,为了缩小 RDM 理论构建与更广泛采用之间的差距,分析过程应包括更广泛的学科和专业知识。具体到建模界,这项工作建议对正在使用的计算模型进行调整,而不是开发新的工具。主要挑战还来自于所需的时间和资源,因此建议以地方为基础的小规模试点可以提高 RDM 方法的可接受性并促进其采用。
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引用次数: 0
From experiment to intervention: A case study of scaling up marine eco-engineering from research to application 从实验到干预:从研究到应用:扩大海洋生态工程规模的案例研究
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103800
Maria L. Vozzo , Melanie J. Bishop , Katherine A. Dafforn , Peter D. Steinberg , Elisabeth M.A. Strain , Mariana Mayer Pinto

Ecosystems globally are becoming increasingly degraded necessitating conservation and repair. Alongside restoration of natural habitats, eco-engineering can mitigate the negative impacts of urban seascapes by co-designing marine-built structures for nature as well as humans. The application of eco-engineering to marine built structures is supported by over two decades of research demonstrating the efficacy of this approach in enhancing biodiversity but there remain few examples of interventions moving beyond experimental- to large-scale (10–100 s m) and long-term (decadal) implementation. Using lessons learned from eco-engineering research in Sydney Harbour, Australia, we outline six key steps that facilitate moving from experimental to larger scale retrofitted eco-engineering interventions. These are: (1) identifying the ecological problem and the most tractable solutions; (2) engaging with stakeholders, (3) obtaining approvals, (4) establishing demonstration sites that illustrate to stakeholders the practicality and benefits of the solution, (5) building an evidence base for efficacy of the solution, and (6) scaling up supply. Our framework draws on learnings from the Living Seawalls project, and on the extensive small-scale experimentation that led to it. Living Seawalls is an eco-engineering initiative that grew out of Sydney Harbour and has now been applied to sites across Australia and globally. Our framework also draws on learnings from other existing projects (e.g. Ecostructure, Blue Cube) and frameworks (e.g. Greening the Grey, International Guidelines on Natural and Nature-Based Features for Flood Risk Management) developed elsewhere. This work provides a template by which scientists can work with policy makers, managers, and other stakeholders to effect positive environmental change.

全球生态系统日益退化,需要进行保护和修复。在恢复自然栖息地的同时,生态工程可以通过为自然和人类共同设计海洋建筑结构来减轻城市海景的负面影响。生态工程在海洋建筑结构中的应用得到了二十多年来研究的支持,这些研究表明这种方法在提高生物多样性方面非常有效,但从实验到大规模(10-100 s m)和长期(十年)实施干预措施的例子仍然很少。利用从澳大利亚悉尼港生态工程研究中汲取的经验教训,我们概述了六个关键步骤,这些步骤有助于从试验性干预转向更大规模的生态工程改造。这些步骤是(1) 确定生态问题和最可行的解决方案;(2) 与利益相关者接触;(3) 获得批准;(4) 建立示范点,向利益相关者说明解决方案的实用性和益处;(5) 为解决方案的有效性建立证据基础;(6) 扩大供应。我们的框架借鉴了 "活海堤 "项目的经验,以及促成该项目的广泛小规模实验。Living Seawalls 是一项生态工程计划,由悉尼港发展而来,现已应用于澳大利亚和全球各地。我们的框架还借鉴了其他现有项目(如生态结构、蓝立方)和框架(如 "绿化灰色地带"、洪水风险管理自然和基于自然特征的国际准则)。这项工作提供了一个模板,科学家可以据此与决策者、管理者和其他利益相关者合作,实现积极的环境变化。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating diverse commercial fisher perspectives for effective knowledge exchange in fisheries research and management 引导商业渔民的不同观点,促进渔业研究和管理中的有效知识交流
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103798
Rob Hoschke , Natasha Pauli , Tim Langlois , Andrew T. Knight , Harriet Davies , Matt Navarro

Local Ecological Knowledge held by commercial fishers is a valuable but underutilized resource for advancing scientific understanding in fisheries and marine management. To better incorporate this knowledge into management agencies and research departments, a thorough understanding of knowledge exchange between fishers and research scientists is essential. While previous studies have reported successful knowledge exchange, often based on consensus statements or gauged by tangible management outcomes, few have critically explored fishers’ engagement experiences, preferences, and the factors influencing these. To address this gap, we employed an inductive research methodology and conducted semi-structured interviews with twenty-one commercial fishers from two contrasting Western Australian commercial fisheries targeting different species with different gear types. Six key engagement themes were identified, revealing diverse attitudes held by fishers toward knowledge exchange with fisheries research scientists. We found that a minority of fishers from each fishery were highly engaged, acting as knowledge brokers, whereas the remaining fishers were disinterested or had minimal opportunities to engage researchers. We also found higher levels of engagement and a wider variety of interactions in the more valuable (and well-resourced) fishery. Key barriers to knowledge exchange included the use of technical scientific language and approaches alienating some fishers, limited research budgets, and fishers' reservations about sharing their expertize. We discuss strategies to overcome these barriers, including tailored engagement models, training research scientists in communicating with individuals from non-academic backgrounds, increasing funding to support industry partnerships in low-value fisheries, and broadening the focus of fisher engagement beyond the realms of fisheries science.

商业渔民掌握的当地生态知识是促进渔业和海洋管理科学理解的宝贵资源,但却未得到充分利用。为了更好地将这些知识纳入管理机构和研究部门,全面了解渔民和研究科学家之间的知识交流至关重要。尽管之前的研究报告了成功的知识交流,通常是基于共识声明或以有形的管理成果来衡量,但很少有研究对渔民的参与经验、偏好和影响因素进行批判性探讨。为了填补这一空白,我们采用了归纳式研究方法,对来自西澳大利亚州两个对比鲜明的商业渔场的 21 名商业渔民进行了半结构化访谈,这些渔民使用不同类型的渔具捕捞不同的鱼种。我们确定了六个关键参与主题,揭示了渔民对与渔业研究科学家进行知识交流的不同态度。我们发现,每个渔场都有少数渔民高度参与,充当知识经纪人,而其余渔民则对研究人员不感兴趣或参与机会极少。我们还发现,在更有价值(和资源充足)的渔场,参与程度更高,互动种类更多。知识交流的主要障碍包括使用技术性科学语言和方法疏远了一些渔民、研究预算有限以及渔民对分享他们的专业知识持保留态度。我们讨论了克服这些障碍的战略,包括量身定制的参与模式、培训研究科学家与非学术背景的个人交流、增加资金支持低价值渔业中的行业伙伴关系,以及将渔民参与的重点扩大到渔业科学领域之外。
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引用次数: 0
Climate-induced migration: The need to address human rights to water and sanitation for a growing displaced population 气候引起的移徙:需要解决流离失所人口不断增加的用水和卫生设施方面的人权问题
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103799
Walef Pena Guedes , Bruna Angela Branchi , Ramon Felipe Bicudo da Silva

This perspective article examines the complex issues surrounding water and sanitation for climate migrants during the current climate crisis. To deepen the understanding of climate-induced migration, the study seeks to identify and analyze a critical knowledge gap related to climate migrants. This involves defining who climate migrants are, understanding their migration patterns, and identifying the specific challenges they face, particularly concerning their fundamental human rights to water and sanitation. Environmental and anthropogenic disasters, expropriation, and gradual environmental deterioration all contribute to the intricate interplay that leads to such a state of affairs. It highlights the critical importance of a precise definition of climate migrants and calls for robust theoretical and epistemological contributions to deepen our understanding of this issue. Furthermore, extreme weather events can cause frequent and permanent displacement, which increases pressure on water and sanitation systems. Encouraging reflection, the article discusses how knowledge gained can guide government and civil society actions to mitigate adversities climate migrants face and ensure human dignity through universal access to water and sanitation. These challenges are set to intensify in the coming decades, making this a pressing matter for all.

这篇透视文章探讨了在当前气候危机期间与气候移民的用水和卫生设施有关的复杂问题。为加深对气候引起的移民问题的理解,本研究试图找出并分析与气候移民有关的关键知识缺口。这包括界定谁是气候移民,了解他们的迁移模式,并确定他们面临的具体挑战,特别是在他们享有水和卫生设施的基本人权方面。环境和人为灾害、征用和环境逐步恶化都是导致这种状况的错综复杂的相互作用的原因。报告强调了准确定义气候移民的极端重要性,并呼吁在理论和认识论方面做出强有力的贡献,以加深我们对这一问题的理解。此外,极端天气事件会导致频繁和永久性的流离失所,从而增加对供水和卫生系统的压力。文章鼓励人们进行反思,并讨论了所获得的知识如何指导政府和民间社会采取行动,以减轻气候移民所面临的逆境,并通过普及水和卫生设施来确保人类尊严。这些挑战在未来几十年中将会加剧,这对所有人来说都是一个紧迫的问题。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the risky dilemma of regional flood planning: The case of the Wolastoq | Saint John River Basin, Canada 调查地区洪水规划的风险困境:加拿大 Wolastoq | Saint John 河流域案例
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103795
Bridget McGlynn , Ryan Plummer , Julia Baird , Angela M. Guerrero

Adaptive approaches to flood governance are gaining attention as climate change is expected to alter historic flooding patterns around the world. Collaboration networks are essential to adaptive governance as they create a cohesive system of diverse actors functioning across different jurisdictions and spatial levels. This research investigates the network structure of the regional collaborative governance for flood planning in the Wolastoq | Saint John River Basin, Canada. A social network approach was employed to assess the extent and characteristics of adaptive flood governance in the region, specifically investigating network properties related to collective action dilemmas, organizational type, and geographic scale. The network displayed a diverse composition of organization types, a propensity for bonding structures, homophily among governmental organizations, and prominent brokerage activity of multi-basin actors. The presence of bonding structures in the network reflected the high-risk dilemma presented by flood planning, characterised by the presence of both government and non-governmental actors with diverse authority, resources, and organizational capacity. Transitioning to adaptive governance would benefit from increased connectivity among regions and enhanced brokerage activity amongst governmental organizations.

由于气候变化预计将改变世界各地历史上的洪水模式,洪水治理的适应性方法日益受到关注。协作网络对于适应性治理至关重要,因为它们可以创建一个由不同的参与者组成的、在不同的管辖区和空间层面发挥作用的、具有凝聚力的系统。本研究调查了加拿大 Wolastoq | Saint John 河流域洪水规划区域协作治理的网络结构。研究采用社会网络方法来评估该地区适应性洪水治理的程度和特征,特别是调查与集体行动困境、组织类型和地理规模相关的网络属性。该网络显示了组织类型的多样性、结合结构的倾向性、政府组织之间的同质性以及多流域参与者的突出中介活动。网络中结合型结构的存在反映了洪水规划所带来的高风险困境,其特点是政府和非政府行动者具有不同的权力、资源和组织能力。向适应性治理的过渡将得益于区域间联系的加强和政府组织间中介活动的增强。
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引用次数: 0
Indigenous peoples and the power(lessness) of public participation: Assessing effects of Indigenous community input in the Alaskan Coastal Plain oil and gas leasing program environmental impact statement 原住民与公众参与的力量(少):评估阿拉斯加沿海平原油气租赁项目环境影响报告中土著社区投入的效果
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103787
Katie M. Grote

Public participation in the U.S. environmental impact assessment process is legally required under the National Environmental Policy Act, yet the procedural norms of the process often leave members of the public feeling powerless. While public participation has the appearance of a democratic process, it is imbued with unequal power dynamics and federal agencies maintain decision-making authority. Despite sovereignty and treaty rights, Indigenous communities in the U.S. do not participate in environmental decision-making through a collaborative governance structure. Instead, Indigenous communities interested in project impacts primarily voice their concerns through the public comment process. This paper explores Indigenous participants’ impacts on environmental impact decision-making through an illustrative case study structure. The phenomenon is explored in an in-depth analysis of the recent leasing environmental impact statement (EIS) for oil exploration and development in the 1002 Coastal Plain area of the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge in Alaska. This work uses a qualitative content analysis of the Coastal Plain case study to assess how public comments, particularly comments from Indigenous peoples, impact change in the documents that follow public participation processes. From this analysis, this article aims to illustrate a few key issues with how Indigenous input is considered in public participation processes. Findings indicate that public comments may result in minor changes to assessment documents but, overall, public input has little influence on project outcomes.

根据《国家环境政策法》,公众必须依法参与美国的环境影响评估过程,但这一过程的程序规范往往让公众感到无能为力。虽然公众参与表面上看是一个民主的过程,但其中却充满了不平等的权力动态,联邦机构始终掌握着决策权。尽管拥有主权和条约权利,美国的土著社区并没有通过合作治理结构参与环境决策。相反,对项目影响感兴趣的土著社区主要通过公众评论程序表达他们的担忧。本文通过一个说明性案例研究结构来探讨土著参与者对环境影响决策的影响。本文通过深入分析阿拉斯加北极国家野生动物保护区 1002 海岸平原地区近期石油勘探和开发的租赁环境影响声明 (EIS),探讨了这一现象。本文通过对沿海平原案例研究的定性内容分析,来评估公众意见,尤其是土著居民的意见,是如何影响公众参与过程之后的文件变化的。通过分析,本文旨在说明公众参与过程中如何考虑原住民意见的几个关键问题。研究结果表明,公众意见可能会导致评估文件发生细微变化,但总体而言,公众意见对项目成果的影响甚微。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing efficiency and built environment factors for achieving convenient access to public transport: A Europe-wide DEA application 分析实现便捷公共交通的效率和建筑环境因素:全欧洲 DEA 应用
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103792
Georgios Georgiadis, Aristomenis Kopsacheilis, Ioannis Marios Andreadis, Ioannis Politis

In this paper, we employed Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) to assess how efficiently a sample of 22 European cities meets the SDG 11.2.1 indicator, which measures the proportion of the population with convenient access to public transport. We examined a range of cities across different sizes and regions. After using bootstrapping methods, we found that the public transport systems in southern European cities arrange their stop networks more efficiently to provide convenient access for inhabitants than those in northern cities. To reach the DEA performance benchmark, the low-efficient systems would need to reorganize their stop network and increase the population's access to public transport by an average of 58%. However, since almost all users of these systems can already walk acceptable distances to stops, these inherent inefficiencies are mainly observed due to unfavorable built environment conditions, which require a relatively extensive network of road and rail public transport stops. We estimated conditional order-m measures to unravel such exogenous influence on public transport performance. After analyzing various built environment factors, we found that cities with increased population density and a higher proportion of urbanized and built-up areas facilitate more convenient access to public transport. Cities that prioritize car-centric designs tend to have less favorable accessibility conditions. Our findings are useful for policymakers in achieving UN SDG 11 in modern cities. Expanding public transport stop networks and rail modes is important in low-density and less urbanized districts. Urban planning that promotes a more pedestrian-focused design can also improve public transport accessibility.

在本文中,我们采用了数据包络分析法(DEA)来评估 22 个欧洲城市在实现可持续发展目标 11.2.1 指标方面的效率。我们考察了一系列不同规模和地区的城市。使用引导法后,我们发现欧洲南部城市的公共交通系统比北部城市的公共交通系统更有效地安排站点网络,为居民提供便利的交通。为了达到 DEA 的绩效基准,低效率系统需要重组其站点网络,并将居民使用公共交通的便利程度平均提高 58%。然而,由于这些系统的几乎所有用户都能步行到可接受的距离,这些固有的低效率主要是由于不利的建筑环境条件造成的,这就需要相对广泛的公路和铁路公共交通站点网络。我们估算了条件秩-m 指标,以揭示这种外生因素对公共交通绩效的影响。在对各种建筑环境因素进行分析后,我们发现,人口密度增加、城市化和建筑密集区比例较高的城市,公共交通更加便利。以汽车为中心设计的城市往往交通不便。我们的研究结果有助于决策者在现代城市中实现联合国可持续发展目标 11。在低密度和城市化程度较低的地区,扩大公共交通站点网络和轨道交通模式非常重要。在城市规划中提倡更加注重行人的设计,也能改善公共交通的可达性。
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引用次数: 0
Land-sea interactions in European marine governance: State of the art, challenges and recommendations 欧洲海洋治理中的陆海互动:现状、挑战和建议
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103763
Cassandra Laetitia Tocco , Lise Frehen , Andy Forse , Gianluca Ferraro , Pierre Failler

The recent economic development of maritime areas has led to the emergence of new approaches to marine governance in many regions. Unfortunately, the complexity of the natural and socio-economic processes that characterise the marine and coastal ecosystems is generally not sufficiently considered by the existing governance mechanisms. This explains that the inclusion of land-sea interactions (LSIs) in marine and coastal governance remains particularly weak and somewhat inadequate to address the current challenges, especially in Europe. The literature review showed that the mechanisms currently in place for this purpose are highly fragmented, even though legislation has been introduced at the EU level. Focusing on the implementation of the Maritime Spatial Planning Directive (MSPD), four types of obstacles to the integration of LSIs into marine and coastal governance have been identified. They are classified as issue-related, institutional, process-related and knowledge-related. To overcome these challenges, three recommendations have been developed in this paper: 1) the effective implementation of EU marine and coastal legislation's fundamental principles related to an integrated approach; 2) the development of new governance mechanisms to enhance policy coordination and 3) the development of collaborative governance processes. The policy recommendations for LSI integration in marine and coastal governance formulated have not been tested through specific case studies. Therefore, the next step would be to create innovative governance mechanisms for a selection of cases.

近期海域的经济发展促使许多地区出现了新的海洋治理方法。遗憾的是,现有的治理机制通常没有充分考虑到构成海洋和沿海生态系统特征的自然和社会经济过程的复杂性。这说明,将陆海相互作用(LSIs)纳入海洋和沿海治理的工作仍然特别薄弱,在某种程度上不足以应对当前的挑战,尤其是在欧洲。文献综述表明,尽管在欧盟层面已经出台了相关立法,但目前为此目的建立的机制非常零散。以《海洋空间规划指令》(MSPD)的实施为重点,确定了将 LSI 纳入海洋和沿海治理的四类障碍。它们被归类为与问题相关、与制度相关、与过程相关和与知识相关。为克服这些挑战,本文提出了三项建议:1) 有效实施欧盟海洋和沿海立法中与综合方法有关的基本原则;2) 发展新的治理机制,加强政策协调;3) 发展合作治理过程。关于将 LSI 纳入海洋和沿海治理的政策建议尚未通过具体的案例研究进行检验。因此,下一步将是为选定的案例建立创新的治理机制。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable refrigeration technology selection: An innovative DEA-TOPSIS hybrid model 可持续制冷技术选择:创新的 DEA-TOPSIS 混合模型
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103780
Behrouz Arabi , Mehdi Toloo , Zaoli Yang , Peihao Zhang , Bing Xu

This study proposes a novel multiple criteria decision making (MCDM) framework aimed at selecting refrigeration technologies that are both carbon- and energy-efficient, aligning with the UK's net-zero policies and the UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Addressing the challenge of a limited number of competing technologies and the need to incorporate diverse stakeholders’ perspectives, we design a hybrid DEA-TOPSIS approach utilizing the Feasible Super-Efficiency Slacks-Based Algorithm (FSESBA). FSESBA proves invaluable, especially in scenarios involving super-efficiency or efficiency trend measurement, where addressing undesirable factors may lead to the well-known infeasibility problem. While we establish the theoretical soundness of the DEA-TOPSIS model, we validate the efficacy of our proposed approach through comparative analysis with conventional methods. Subsequently, we evaluate the choices of present and upcoming refrigeration technologies at a leading UK supermarket. Our findings reveal a shift from prevalent HFO-based technologies in 2020 to CO2-based technologies by 2035, attributed to their lower energy usage and GHG emissions. In addition, maintaining current refrigeration systems could contribute to achieving international and national targets to decrease F-Gas refrigerant usage, although net-zero targets will remain out of reach. In summary, our research findings underscore the potential of the introduced model to reinforce the adoption of novel refrigeration system technology, offering valuable support for the UK SDGs taskforces and net-zero policy formulation.

本研究提出了一个新颖的多标准决策(MCDM)框架,旨在根据英国的净零排放政策和联合国的可持续发展目标(SDGs),选择既节能又节碳的制冷技术。为了应对竞争技术数量有限的挑战,同时考虑到需要纳入不同利益相关者的观点,我们设计了一种混合 DEA-TOPSIS 方法,利用了可行的超能效松弛算法 (FSESBA)。FSESBA 被证明是非常有价值的,尤其是在涉及超效率或效率趋势测量的情况下,在这种情况下,处理不受欢迎的因素可能会导致众所周知的不可行性问题。在建立 DEA-TOPSIS 模型的理论合理性的同时,我们通过与传统方法的对比分析,验证了我们提出的方法的有效性。随后,我们评估了英国一家大型超市对当前和未来制冷技术的选择。我们的研究结果表明,到 2035 年,基于氢氟烯烃的技术将从 2020 年的普遍使用转变为基于二氧化碳的技术,这归功于其较低的能源使用量和温室气体排放量。此外,维持当前的制冷系统有助于实现国际和国内减少含氟温室气体制冷剂使用量的目标,尽管净零目标仍遥不可及。总之,我们的研究结果强调了引入模型在加强新型制冷系统技术应用方面的潜力,为英国可持续发展目标工作组和净零排放政策的制定提供了宝贵的支持。
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to transformative adaptation in southern African cities: A criteria-based assessment in Harare and Durban 南部非洲城市的转型适应之路:哈拉雷和德班基于标准的评估
IF 6 2区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2024.103784
Lorena Pasquini , Anna Taylor , Alice McClure , Patrick Martel , Lulu Pretorius , Chipo Plaxedes Mubaya , Rudo Mamombe

Transformative adaptation (TA) places emphasis on changing the underlying causes of climate risk. Little is known about how TA can be achieved in practice in southern African cities. This paper reports on a set of criteria, derived from the literature and transdisciplinary engagements, for taking TA from theory into practice. These are: fundamental/sustainable changes in thinking and doing; inclusivity; challenging power asymmetries; demonstrability; responsive and flexible; and holistic, complex systems thinking. These criteria were explored through five water-related projects in Durban (South Africa) and Harare (Zimbabwe), which were identified by actors as having transformative potential to reduce urban climate risks. The study suggests that trade-offs might need to be made between several of these criteria, with strong synergies between others. Challenging power asymmetries is important in southern African cities where adaptation should change the structures of society that give rise to highly differential climate vulnerabilities. Challenging power structures largely requires true inclusivity and an equal stake in shaping decisions as opposed to tokenistic participation. While TA is needed in southern African cities, the complexity of these contexts and the scale of TA ambition introduces practical challenges when compared with incremental adaptation, i.e. small changes to existing practices to reduce climate impacts within the current development paradigm. Given such practical limitations, the paper concludes that TA in southern African cities might pragmatically be attempted as part of a process of ongoing learning to identify opportunities for gradual restructuring and expanding, in scale and ambition towards transformation.

变革性适应(TA)强调改变气候风险的根本原因。人们对南部非洲城市如何在实践中实现变革性适应知之甚少。本文报告了一套从文献和跨学科参与中得出的标准,用于将变革性适应从理论付诸实践。这些标准是:思想和行为的根本性/可持续变化;包容性;挑战权力不对称;可证明性;响应性和灵活性;以及全面、复杂的系统思维。通过在德班(南非)和哈拉雷(津巴布韦)开展的五个与水有关的项目对这些标准进行了探讨,这些项目被行动者认为具有降低城市气候风险的变革潜力。研究表明,可能需要在其中几项标准之间做出权衡,而其他标准之间则有很强的协同作用。挑战权力不对称在南部非洲城市非常重要,在这些城市,适应应改变导致气候脆弱性高度差异的社会结构。挑战权力结构在很大程度上需要真正的包容性,以及在形成决策过程中的平等利益,而不是象征性的参与。虽然南部非洲城市需要技术援助,但与渐进式适应(即在当前发展模式下对现有做法进行微小改变以减少气候影响)相比,这些环境的复杂性和技术援助目标的规模带来了实际挑战。鉴于这些实际局限性,本文得出结论,南部非洲城市的技术援助可以务实地作为持续学习过程的一部分进行尝试,以确定逐步重组和扩大规模的机会,并雄心勃勃地实现转型。
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Environmental Science & Policy
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