Environmental Science & Policy最新文献_第10页

Catch me if you can: Microplastics hidden in plain sight 如果你能抓住我：隐藏在视线中的微塑料

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104217

Karin Mattsson , Pere Masque , Thomas Maes , Marc Metian

Microplastic (MP) pollution is widely recognised as a pressing environmental issue, yet certain major sources remain under-addressed. This paper focuses on three significant but often overlooked contributors: paint particles, textile fibres, and tire wear particles (TWP). Together, these sources account for over 25 % of global MP emissions, nearly 3 million tonnes annually, yet they are rarely singled out in research or regulation. Each presents unique analytical and regulatory challenges due to their complex compositions, diffuse emissions, and strong ties to daily life. We enumerate current knowledge on their environmental pathways, emission estimates, and detection methods, highlighting the need for multi-method analytical approaches to overcome sampling and identification limitations. Monitoring remains constrained by technical barriers, particularly for pigment interference in paint particles, fibre contamination, and the heterogeneous nature of TWP. Despite their significant impact, policy responses remain limited. The current draft of the Global Plastics Treaty acknowledges these sources under the general MP category but lacks specific measures. Effective mitigation will require enhanced regulatory frameworks, product redesign, expanded Extended Producer Responsibility (EPR), and greater investment in innovation. Moreover, system-level interventions, societal and behavioral changes, such as improved public transport can help reduce TWP at source. In addressing these "hidden in plain sight" pollutants, this paper calls for coordinated national and global action to reduce their release and integrate them into broader MP policy agendas. Only through such targeted efforts can we ensure these overlooked pollutants no longer escape meaningful regulation and environmental accountability.

微塑料（MP）污染被广泛认为是一个紧迫的环境问题，但某些主要来源仍未得到充分解决。本文着重于三个重要但经常被忽视的贡献者：油漆颗粒，纺织纤维和轮胎磨损颗粒（TWP）。这些来源加起来占全球温室气体排放量的25% %以上，每年近300万吨，但它们很少在研究或监管中被单独列出。由于其复杂的成分、漫射排放和与日常生活的紧密联系，每种都提出了独特的分析和监管挑战。我们列举了目前关于它们的环境途径、排放估计和检测方法的知识，强调需要多方法分析方法来克服采样和识别限制。监测仍然受到技术障碍的限制，特别是油漆颗粒中的颜料干扰、纤维污染和TWP的异质性。尽管它们具有重大影响，但政策反应仍然有限。目前的《全球塑料条约》草案承认这些来源属于一般MP类别，但缺乏具体措施。有效的缓解措施需要加强监管框架、重新设计产品、扩大生产者延伸责任（EPR）以及加大创新投资。此外，系统层面的干预、社会和行为改变，如改善公共交通，可以帮助从源头上减少TWP。为了解决这些“隐藏在显眼处”的污染物，本文呼吁采取协调一致的国家和全球行动，减少它们的排放，并将它们纳入更广泛的MP政策议程。只有通过这些有针对性的努力，我们才能确保这些被忽视的污染物不再逃避有意义的监管和环境问责。

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引用次数: 0

The underexplored potential of the arts in environmental social sciences 艺术在环境社会科学中未被发掘的潜力

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104224

Maria Loroño-Leturiondo , Marta Olazabal

During the last two decades, there has been a growing focus on art-science collaborations in the field of environmental social sciences. Often still seen as an end-of-pipe tool for education and communicating scientific ideas, here, we call for broadening the arts and science interdisciplinary space, emphasising the role of art in knowledge co-production and participatory research in environmental social sciences. In particular, our perspective shifts focus towards the underexplored potential of the arts in contributing to the scientific inquiry itself, that is, the role the arts can play in the scientific study and analysis of the world or its views. To this end, art is presented here as a means for eliciting diverse forms of knowledge, including experiential and lay knowledge, and for advancing more participatory, decolonial, and culturally sensitive social-environmental research practices. Through carefully selected examples using written and visual arts, this paper explores how art is used and proposes a framework to understand the role it has taken during the scientific knowledge production process. This paper concludes that art has great potential to enhance scientific inquiry by opening the space for alternative forms of knowledge that are usually marginalised or are simply more difficult to access through traditional means. We suggest that this newly produced social capital has important implications for the construction of more just, relevant and legitimate social and environmental policies.

在过去的二十年中，环境社会科学领域的艺术与科学合作日益受到关注。在这里，我们呼吁拓宽艺术和科学的跨学科空间，强调艺术在环境社会科学的知识合作生产和参与性研究中的作用，艺术通常仍被视为教育和交流科学思想的最后工具。特别是，我们的观点将重点转向艺术在促进科学探究本身方面未被开发的潜力，也就是说，艺术在科学研究和分析世界或其观点方面可以发挥的作用。为了达到这个目的，艺术在这里是作为一种手段来引出各种形式的知识，包括经验和外行知识，并推进更多的参与性，非殖民化和文化敏感的社会环境研究实践。通过精心挑选的使用书面和视觉艺术的例子，本文探讨了艺术是如何被使用的，并提出了一个框架来理解它在科学知识生产过程中所扮演的角色。本文的结论是，艺术通过为通常被边缘化或通过传统手段更难以获得的其他形式的知识打开空间，具有增强科学探究的巨大潜力。我们认为，这种新产生的社会资本对构建更公正、相关和合法的社会和环境政策具有重要意义。

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引用次数: 0

A systematic investigation of flood resilience measures in the Mekong River Basin 湄公河流域抗洪措施的系统调查

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104228

Thanh Phuoc Ho , Matthias Garschagen , Van Pham Dang Tri , Liang Emlyn Yang

The Mekong River has encountered severe flooding challenges due to increasingly extreme weather conditions. Despite these challenges, residents of the Mekong River Basin (MRB) have developed and demonstrated remarkable flood resilience in various ways, enabling a dynamic and thriving socio-economic system in the flood-prone environment. This study presents a systematic review and meta-analysis based on 460 search results from Scopus and Web of Science datasets, covering literature from 1999 to 2024, focused on the MRB. The review aims to investigate the measures developed by people in the MRB to improve their flood resilience, as determined through a comprehensive scoping review of peer-reviewed literature. The review revealed the following findings: (1) A total of 85 measures were identified and categorized into nine measure groups and three approaches based on their characters, (2) statistical analysis indicates a rising trend in stakeholder cooperation, with over 66 % of the total mentioned measures involving coordinated approaches rather than being strictly top-down or bottom-up, (3) infrastructure and engineering investments, as well as advancements in agricultural technology, were the dominant measures observed across Mekong River Basin countries, and (4) a Venn diagram illustrates overlapping measures applied across various countries, with Vietnam, Cambodia, and Thailand contributing significant efforts to improving flood resilience. This study provides valuable insights for policymakers and researchers into the flood resilience situation within the region, supporting the development of effective future flood management frameworks and research approaches.

由于日益极端的天气条件，湄公河遭遇了严重的洪水挑战。尽管面临这些挑战，湄公河流域（MRB）的居民已经以各种方式发展并展示了非凡的抗洪能力，在洪水易发的环境中建立了一个充满活力和繁荣的社会经济系统。本研究对来自Scopus和Web of Science数据集的460个检索结果进行了系统回顾和荟萃分析，涵盖1999年至2024年的文献，重点是MRB。这篇综述的目的是通过对同行评议的文献进行全面的范围审查，调查MRB中人们为提高其抗洪能力而制定的措施。检讨的结果如下：(1)共确定了85项措施，并根据其特点将其分为9个措施组和3种方法；(2)统计分析表明利益相关者合作的趋势有所上升，超过66% %的上述措施涉及协调方法，而不是严格的自上而下或自下而上；(3)基础设施和工程投资，以及农业技术进步；(4)维恩图显示了不同国家采用的重叠措施，越南、柬埔寨和泰国为提高抗洪能力做出了重大努力。本研究为决策者和研究人员了解该地区的洪水恢复力状况提供了有价值的见解，为未来有效的洪水管理框架和研究方法的发展提供了支持。

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引用次数: 0

Neglect to recognition: Embracing women as key agents in climate solutions 忽视承认：接受妇女作为气候解决方案的关键推动者

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104216

Debarchana Biswas , Anamika Barua

Women are often portrayed as victims rather as central agents of change in climate resilience and adaptation literature. Despite their vital contributions, they remain underrepresented in climate-related sectors and excluded from leadership roles, undermining both policy and societal progress. This paper highlights this critical gap in climate discourse. Using a bibliometric analysis of 384 Scopus-indexed publications (2002–present), we trace the evolution of gender-climate research through keyword mapping and thematic visualization in Biblioshiny and VOSviewer. Our findings identify three developmental phases: the Gender Foundation Phase, which established equality frameworks; the Gender Advancement Phase integrating gender-responsive strategies; and the Gender Transformation Phase, emphasizing women's leadership in climate governance. Despite progress, critical gaps remain in documenting and leveraging women's real-world experiences in climate adaptation. Emphasizing gender-equitable approaches is essential for fostering inclusive governance structures that position women as leaders, ensuring effective, equitable climate solutions driven by their unique perspectives and resilience. We advocate for future research to bridge these gaps by connecting environmental science with policy and societal impacts. This connection would create a foundation for more just, inclusive, and effective climate policies, ultimately benefiting society as a whole.

在气候恢复和适应文献中，妇女往往被描绘成受害者，而不是变化的核心推动者。尽管她们做出了重要贡献，但她们在气候相关部门的代表性仍然不足，并且被排除在领导角色之外，从而阻碍了政策和社会进步。本文强调了气候话语中的这一关键差距。通过对384篇以scopus为索引的出版物（2002年至今）的文献计量学分析，我们通过Biblioshiny和VOSviewer中的关键词映射和主题可视化追踪了性别气候研究的演变。我们的研究结果确定了三个发展阶段：性别基础阶段，该阶段建立了平等框架；纳入促进性别平等战略的提高性别地位阶段；性别转型阶段，强调妇女在气候治理中的领导作用。尽管取得了进展，但在记录和利用妇女在气候适应方面的实际经验方面仍存在重大差距。强调性别平等方法对于建立包容性治理结构至关重要，这种治理结构将妇女定位为领导者，确保在其独特观点和韧性的推动下，有效、公平地解决气候问题。我们提倡未来的研究通过将环境科学与政策和社会影响联系起来来弥合这些差距。这种联系将为更加公正、包容和有效的气候政策奠定基础，最终使整个社会受益。

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引用次数: 0

Does community-based monitoring advance Indigenous self-determination? Inuit-led monitoring and governance in Nunavut and Greenland 以社区为基础的监测能否促进土著人民的自决？努纳武特和格陵兰因纽特人领导的监测和治理

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104215

Nicole J. Wilson

Existing literature on Community-Based Monitoring suggests that participation in monitoring can increase the extent to which decision-making is informed by observed environmental trends. Yet, there is an ambivalence within the literature concerning the value for Indigenous peoples. Some scholars maintain that CBM programs replicate and reinforce colonial political inequalities while others suggest that such programs can and do support Indigenous self-determination. In this study, I explore such questions through empirical engagement with case studies of two established Indigenous-led programs in Nunavut, Canada, and Greenland that involve the collection of Indigenous Knowledge for use in decision-making. I contribute to the field by examining monitoring as a process through which knowledge and governance are co-constituted through politically unequal relationships. Considering this, I argue that Indigenous-led CBM can support self-determination in environmental governance given the right conditions. I identify three factors that are fundamental to achieving this. First, explicit legal acknowledgement of Indigenous rights, authority, and knowledge systems is key to mobilizing CBM data. Second, while the fundamental goal of such programs is to enhance the use of knowledge in decision-making, Indigenous leadership and data governance are important safeguards against extractive knowledge production. Finally, a theory of power is necessary to critically analyse both the directly observable and more subtle ways in which power influences the potential for CBM programs to promote Indigenous self-determination.

关于社区监测的现有文献表明，参与监测可以增加根据观察到的环境趋势作出决策的程度。然而，关于土著人民的价值，文献中存在矛盾的心理。一些学者认为，CBM项目复制并强化了殖民地的政治不平等，而另一些人则认为，这类项目可以而且确实支持了土著民族的自决。在本研究中，我通过对加拿大努纳武特和格陵兰两个已建立的土著主导项目的案例研究进行实证研究，探讨了这些问题，这些项目涉及收集土著知识用于决策。我对这一领域的贡献是将监测视为一个过程，通过这个过程，知识和治理通过政治上不平等的关系共同构成。考虑到这一点，我认为，在适当的条件下，土著主导的信任措施可以支持环境治理方面的自决。我确定了实现这一目标的三个基本因素。首先，在法律上明确承认土著居民的权利、权威和知识体系是调动信任措施数据的关键。其次，虽然这些项目的根本目标是提高知识在决策中的使用，但土著领导和数据治理是防止掠夺性知识生产的重要保障。最后，需要一种权力理论来批判性地分析权力影响CBM计划促进土著自决的潜力的直接观察和更微妙的方式。

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引用次数: 0

Responsible research for space-based climate geoengineering 负责天基气候地球工程的研究

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104213

Rob Bellamy

Reflecting shortwave solar radiation away from the Earth could help to reduce the risks of overshooting 1.5°C of global warming. Terrestrial proposals for solar radiation modification, or geoengineering, have been the focus of most research, but suffer from the greater risks and uncertainties that arise from deliberate large-scale intervention inside Earth’s systems. Space-based geoengineering methods suggest relatively safer and more predictable possibilities by altering the solar constant outside of the Earth’s atmosphere. To determine the possible contributions of these methods to climate policy – and to other co-beneficial aspirations in outer space – there is a clear need to responsibly advance research. The key to this lies with accounting for societal values and interests in evaluating which methods to take forward (if any), and in developing appropriate governance arrangements. In this article I review what we know from the very limited societal evaluations of space-based geoengineering so far, identifying thematic concerns around risks, naturalness, governance, delay, feasibility, cost, benefits, and participation, and set out a range of future priorities for responsible research. I then examine the implications of these evaluations for space-based geoengineering governance, considering the roles of global research networks, precautionary regulations, high level principles, multilateral processes, and global engagement. I conclude by reflecting on the importance of framing effects in societal engagements with space-based geoengineering, before proposing a research agenda to broaden out and open them up.

将短波太阳辐射反射到远离地球的地方可以帮助降低全球变暖超过1.5°C的风险。地球上关于太阳辐射调节或地球工程的建议一直是大多数研究的焦点，但由于在地球系统内部故意进行大规模干预，因此面临更大的风险和不确定性。基于空间的地球工程方法通过改变地球大气层外的太阳常数，提出了相对更安全、更可预测的可能性。为了确定这些方法对气候政策的可能贡献——以及对外层空间其他共同利益的期望——显然需要负责任地推进研究。这一点的关键在于考虑社会价值和利益，以评估采取哪些方法（如果有的话），并制定适当的治理安排。在这篇文章中，我回顾了迄今为止我们从非常有限的天基地球工程社会评估中了解到的情况，确定了围绕风险、自然性、治理、延迟、可行性、成本、收益和参与等主题的关注，并列出了未来负责任研究的一系列优先事项。然后，我研究了这些评估对天基地球工程治理的影响，考虑到全球研究网络、预防性法规、高层原则、多边进程和全球参与的作用。最后，在提出一个扩大和开放框架效应的研究议程之前，我反思了框架效应在基于空间的地球工程的社会参与中的重要性。

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引用次数: 0

Building the science-policy-practice interface: Insights from boundary organizations in the Colorado River Basin 建立科学-政策-实践界面：来自科罗拉多河流域边界组织的见解

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104212

Gina Gilson , Meredith Hovis , Andrea K. Gerlak , Tanya Heikkila

Alongside growing interest in how science can better inform decision-making, research has focused on the role of boundary organizations, which work at the science, policy, and practice interface (SPPI). Empirical analyses of boundary organizations are relatively sparse, and little is known about how people involved in boundary organizations are navigating this interface. We look to the Colorado River Basin, where multiple boundary organizations have been established in response to challenges along the river. Drawing on key informant interviews with practitioners in federally-initiated organizations, we ask: what is the role of science in these organizations, and what are the challenges that they face at the SPPI? Practitioners in boundary organizations see science as important to better understand the system, inform and modify management actions, and evaluate whether management actions are working. At the same time, practitioners describe the challenge of adapting scientific activities to changing environmental conditions, and difficulties navigating uncertainties. Further, the structure of an organization limits its scope at the SPPI, and the ways that decisions are made can delay policy impacts. Despite these challenges, boundary organizations in the Basin serve as key intermediaries for knowledge exchange, fostering relationships, and working towards more integrated approaches to water governance. By examining these dynamics through the perspectives of practitioners, our study provides valuable insights into both the successes and limitations of the SPPI. In doing so, we contribute to broader discussions on how boundary organizations can enhance their role in building the SPPI.

除了对科学如何更好地为决策提供信息的兴趣日益增长之外，研究还集中在边界组织的作用上，这些组织在科学、政策和实践界面（SPPI）上工作。对边界组织的实证分析相对较少，对边界组织中涉及的人员如何导航这一界面知之甚少。我们着眼于科罗拉多河流域，在那里已经建立了多个边界组织，以应对沿河的挑战。通过对联邦政府发起的组织从业者的关键信息提供者访谈，我们问：科学在这些组织中的作用是什么，他们在SPPI面临的挑战是什么？边界组织的从业者认为科学对于更好地理解系统、告知和修改管理行为以及评估管理行为是否有效非常重要。同时，实践者描述了使科学活动适应不断变化的环境条件的挑战，以及驾驭不确定性的困难。此外，组织的结构限制了其在SPPI上的范围，并且制定决策的方式可能会延迟政策的影响。尽管面临这些挑战，流域的边界组织仍是知识交流、促进关系和努力实现更综合的水治理方法的关键中介。通过从从业者的角度考察这些动态，我们的研究为SPPI的成功和局限性提供了有价值的见解。在此过程中，我们有助于就边界组织如何在建设SPPI中发挥更大作用进行更广泛的讨论。

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引用次数: 0

Governing the nexus: Lessons from water governance in the United States 管理关系：美国水治理的经验教训

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104214

Adrienne R. Brown , Andrea K. Gerlak , Gemma Smith , Adriana Zuniga-Teran , Gina Gilson

The nexus has become an increasingly popular conceptual tool for understanding the various threats posed to natural resources by climate change and human use. Here we focus on the primary nexus elements of water, food, energy, and climate to reflect on some of the implications for contemporary freshwater governance. We propose an integrated nexus-collaborative governance approach to address complex challenges and support sustainable and equitable solutions. Using three case studies across the US—groundwater depletion, drought, and flooding—we illustrate the scope of nexus challenges, cross-sectoral trade-offs, and the potential for better water governance. We conclude with takeaways to inform nexus governance. First, decision-makers must account for and manage the various unintended consequences of resource uses and proposed solutions. Second, there is a need to better integrate environmental justice into the nexus, considering impacts to human health and well-being. We propose the local community as an effective site for engagement and innovation for nexus issues.

在理解气候变化和人类使用对自然资源造成的各种威胁方面，“联系”已成为一种日益流行的概念工具。在这里，我们关注水、食物、能源和气候的主要联系要素，以反映对当代淡水治理的一些影响。我们建议采用综合的纽带-协作治理方式应对复杂挑战，支持可持续和公平的解决方案。通过美国的三个案例研究——地下水枯竭、干旱和洪水——我们说明了关联挑战的范围、跨部门的权衡以及更好的水治理的潜力。最后，我们给出了一些建议，为nexus治理提供信息。首先，决策者必须考虑和管理资源使用和拟议解决方案的各种意想不到的后果。第二，考虑到对人类健康和福祉的影响，有必要更好地将环境正义纳入其中。我们建议当地社区作为一个有效的参与和创新联系问题的场所。

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引用次数: 0

Climate assemblies and the public: An analysis of UK cases 气候大会与公众：英国案例分析

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104187

Stephen Elstub , Jayne Carrick , Nadine Andrews , Samantha E. Ivings

Climate assemblies (CAs) are being increasingly used to engage citizens in climate change policy making. Consequently, their design and operation are focused on optimising their influence on policymakers. Less emphasis is placed on how, and to what extent, CAs influence the wider public. This is an important gap as it has been suggested that CAs could stimulate public deliberation about climate change action and attitudes. Public support could also increase pressure on decision-makers to act on an assembly’s recommendations. Given the small numbers of participants typically found in CAs, implementation of their recommendations is more legitimate if broader public support is secured. Research to date has focused on citizens’ assemblies generally, rather than CAs specifically. Given the complexity and importance of the climate issue this gap needs to be addressed. Moreover, much of the existing research is based on experiments with hypothetical results. Research focused on high profile natural cases is therefore essential. To fill these gaps, we assess the relationship between CAs and the public through an analysis of Climate Assembly UK and Scotland’s Climate Assembly. These are two of the first national CAs and attracted media coverage. We conducted public opinion surveys on both cases. We find that public awareness of both CAs was low. Despite this, the idea of CAs contributing to climate policy is broadly supported by the UK and Scottish publics even by some people not concerned about climate change.

气候大会（CAs）越来越多地用于让公民参与气候变化政策制定。因此，它们的设计和运作侧重于优化它们对政策制定者的影响。对核证机关如何以及在多大程度上影响更广泛的公众的强调较少。这是一个重要的差距，因为有人认为，CAs可以激发公众对气候变化行动和态度的思考。公众的支持也可能增加决策者的压力，迫使他们按照大会的建议采取行动。鉴于核证机关的参与者通常很少，因此，如果获得更广泛的公众支持，实施他们的建议就更合理。迄今为止的研究主要集中在一般的公民集会上，而不是具体的公民大会。鉴于气候问题的复杂性和重要性，这一差距需要解决。此外，现有的许多研究都是基于假设结果的实验。因此，研究重点放在引人注目的自然案例上是必不可少的。为了填补这些空白，我们通过对英国气候大会和苏格兰气候大会的分析来评估CAs与公众之间的关系。这是第一批国家级ca中的两个，吸引了媒体的报道。我们对这两件事都进行了民意调查。我们发现公众对这两种CAs的认知度都很低。尽管如此，CAs对气候政策做出贡献的想法得到了英国和苏格兰公众的广泛支持，甚至一些不关心气候变化的人也支持。

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引用次数: 0

Science on the judicial stage: Contested scenarios in the climate court case against Shell 司法阶段的科学：壳牌公司气候法庭案件中有争议的情景

IF 5.2 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Science & Policy

Pub Date : 2025-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.envsci.2025.104210

Lisette van Beek , Jeroen Oomen , Haomiao Du

Climate litigation is growing and increasingly targets corporate actors. Scientific evidence is crucial in climate court cases, for instance to determine plaintiffs’ standing to sue or the attribution of climate impacts to the defendants’ actions. However, it remains unknown how scientific expertise influences court decisions, what forms of expertise are used, how evidence is contested, and how judges engage with this expertise. We address this gap by studying the contestation of scientific evidence in the Dutch climate case Milieudefensie cs v. Royal Dutch Shell. This case is notable for its heavy reliance on model projections, most notably those presented by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). In this paper, we take a dramaturgical approach to reconstruct how litigants contested scenario projections. Drawing on Hilgartner’s (2000) notion of stage management, we observe how plaintiffs and defendants deployed various dramatic techniques to enact and dispute the credibility and legitimacy of scenarios. The scenarios were most significantly contested by Shell, challenging both their credibility and relevance. Milieudefensie cs mainly questioned the scenarios' normative foundations. The case thereby signals that the role of science in climate politics is shifting, with the court room becoming increasingly important as a ‘stage’ where climate science is mobilised and contested. We conclude by reflecting on the shifting dynamics of climate politics; the position of the IPCC as crucial source of evidence in climate litigation, the limitations of models as key resource for climate litigation, and the emerging role of judges as gatekeepers of climate science.

气候诉讼越来越多，而且越来越多地以企业行为者为目标。在气候法庭案件中，科学证据至关重要，例如，确定原告的起诉资格或将气候影响归因于被告的行为。然而，目前尚不清楚科学专业知识如何影响法院判决，使用何种形式的专业知识，如何对证据提出质疑，以及法官如何利用这些专业知识。我们通过研究荷兰气候案例milieudefensics诉荷兰皇家壳牌（Royal Dutch Shell）中科学证据的争议来解决这一差距。值得注意的是，这种情况严重依赖于模型预测，尤其是政府间气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）提出的模型预测。在本文中，我们采取戏剧的方法来重建诉讼当事人如何争夺情景预测。根据Hilgartner（2000）的舞台管理概念，我们观察了原告和被告如何运用各种戏剧技巧来制定和争论场景的可信度和合法性。壳牌对这些设想提出了最强烈的质疑，对其可信度和相关性提出了挑战。军事防御学主要质疑情景的规范基础。因此，这个案例表明，科学在气候政治中的作用正在发生变化，法庭作为一个动员和争论气候科学的“舞台”变得越来越重要。最后，我们反思了气候政治不断变化的动态；IPCC在气候诉讼中作为关键证据来源的地位，模型作为气候诉讼关键资源的局限性，以及法官作为气候科学看门人的新角色。

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引用次数: 0