Chocolate powder and chocolate milk powder are widely consumed products made primarily from cocoa (a C3 plant) and sugar from sugarcane (a C4 plant). Despite their popularity, there are no regulations specifying the required amounts of cocoa and sugar in these products, creating challenges for transparency and authenticity. This study evaluates the use of carbon isotope analysis (δ13C) as a rapid and effective method to estimate cocoa content in cocoa-derived products. We analyzed the δ13C profiles of 46 Brazilian brands, including cocoa powder, chocolate powder, and chocolate milk powder, and measured δ13C values for their main ingredients. The objective was to develop and validate a model for cocoa content estimation based on C3/C4 ratios using only δ13C values. Cocoa powder exhibited a mean δ13C of −28.6 ± 0.4 ‰, while sugar showed enriched signatures, allowing clear isotopic discrimination among product types, and reflecting increasing C4 (sugar) contributions in their compositions. Using isotopic data, we created dilution curves from cocoa-sugar mixtures and applied a regression model, that explained 97 % of cocoa content variation (R2 = 0.97, p < 0.001). Model predictions closely matched declared label values and C3-based estimates, with mean differences under 2.0 %. Application of the model to commercial products revealed cocoa contents ranging from 16 to 70 % in chocolate powders and 6–30 % in chocolate milk powders. These findings demonstrate that δ13C can serve as a robust single-isotope proxy for cocoa quantification. The proposed approach requires minimal statistical processing and no additional isotopic variables, making it a simple and effective tool for food authenticity assessment. Moreover, the results highlight the high contribution of C4-derived ingredients in some products, reinforcing the need for regulatory standards to ensure transparency and protect consumers.
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