首页 > 最新文献

ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)最新文献

英文 中文
Forced Labor in Colonial Spanish America 西班牙殖民美洲的强迫劳动
Pub Date : 2021-08-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3909090
Leticia Arroyo Abad, Noel Maurer
The Spanish colonial empire initially faced a trilemma in the New World. First, they needed to incentivize quasi-private Spanish expeditions to subdue, settle, and secure new territories. Second, they needed labor to develop the new territories and provide a stream of rents for the imperial government. Third, they needed to ensure that the Spanish colonists did not grow powerful enough to challenge imperial authority. We show how the Spanish solved this trilemma in three ways, all involving forced labor: (1) transplanting Iberian institutions; (2) repurposing existing pre-Columbian institutions; (3) importing African slaves. We present evidence that over time forced labor in Spanish America underwent an endogenous process of decay as power slowly shifted from the Spanish-American colonial elite to indigenous labor. The end result was the increasing dominance of wage labor on the American mainland, leaving most forced labor arrangement either moribund or in decay by the time the empire collapsed. The commodity boom around the circum-Caribbean combined with geographic factors explains why this process was slower there (and short-circuited entirely in the case of Cuba).
西班牙殖民帝国最初在新大陆面临三难选择。首先,他们需要鼓励准私人的西班牙探险队征服、定居和保护新领土。其次,他们需要劳动力来开发新领土,并为帝国政府提供源源不断的地租。第三,他们需要确保西班牙殖民者不会变得强大到足以挑战帝国权威。我们展示了西班牙人是如何用三种方式解决这个三难困境的,都涉及到强迫劳动:(1)移植伊比利亚制度;(2)重新利用现有的前哥伦布制度;(三)进口非洲奴隶。我们提供的证据表明,随着时间的推移,西班牙美洲的强迫劳动经历了一个内生的衰败过程,因为权力慢慢从西班牙-美洲殖民精英转移到土著劳动力。最终的结果是雇佣劳动在美国大陆日益占据主导地位,在帝国崩溃时,大多数强迫劳动安排要么奄奄一息,要么走向衰败。加勒比海周边的大宗商品繁荣,加上地理因素,解释了为什么那里的这一进程较慢(古巴则完全短路)。
{"title":"Forced Labor in Colonial Spanish America","authors":"Leticia Arroyo Abad, Noel Maurer","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3909090","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3909090","url":null,"abstract":"The Spanish colonial empire initially faced a trilemma in the New World. First, they needed to incentivize quasi-private Spanish expeditions to subdue, settle, and secure new territories. Second, they needed labor to develop the new territories and provide a stream of rents for the imperial government. Third, they needed to ensure that the Spanish colonists did not grow powerful enough to challenge imperial authority. We show how the Spanish solved this trilemma in three ways, all involving forced labor: (1) transplanting Iberian institutions; (2) repurposing existing pre-Columbian institutions; (3) importing African slaves. We present evidence that over time forced labor in Spanish America underwent an endogenous process of decay as power slowly shifted from the Spanish-American colonial elite to indigenous labor. The end result was the increasing dominance of wage labor on the American mainland, leaving most forced labor arrangement either moribund or in decay by the time the empire collapsed. The commodity boom around the circum-Caribbean combined with geographic factors explains why this process was slower there (and short-circuited entirely in the case of Cuba).","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"109 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-08-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115844475","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Gaining Inclusive Growth through Financial Methodologies 通过财务方法实现包容性增长
Pub Date : 2021-06-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3874542
Shourya Mitra Mustauphy
John Jacques Rousseau once stated that money is the seed of cash, and the principal guinea is at times harder to gain than the subsequent million. This paper ponders on arguing whether inclusive growth in Emerging Economies is achieved on the basis of the inclusion of finance. The argument focuses on the various cash transfer tools implemented in economies like Kenya, Argentina, Mexico, Niger to promote savings and investment for a better future. These financial money-movement tools have been argued to be essential to prevent the populace of these economies from suffering from the financial crisis and being dependent on themselves. Furthermore, the argument penned in this paper is to encourage the bridging of financial inclusion with inclusive growth on the basis of money-movement financial tools such as M-Pesa, M-Shwari etc. The focal point of my argument has been that access to and mix into these systems upgrades their efficiency prompts shared thriving. It is currently acknowledged insight that a key element of inclusive development is the inclusion of finance. More prominent comprehensiveness of finance is an entryway for the increasingly adjusted turn of events and a progressively strong society. Inclusion of finance is the way of thinking of giving moderate, protected, available, maintainable, and appropriately managed money-related apparatuses conveyed in a mindful manner with the goal that individuals can fabricate their benefits while improving their jobs. It empowers individuals to have a safe spot to set aside cash, get moderate and fitting financial incentives and coverage to oversee their own lives and that of their families.
约翰·雅克·卢梭曾经说过,金钱是现金的种子,最初的几尼有时比随后的一百万更难获得。本文就新兴经济体包容性增长是否建立在金融包容性的基础上进行了思考。本文重点讨论了在肯尼亚、阿根廷、墨西哥、尼日尔等经济体实施的各种现金转移支付工具,以促进储蓄和投资,创造更美好的未来。这些金融货币流动工具被认为是必不可少的,以防止这些经济体的民众遭受金融危机和依赖自己。此外,本文的论点是鼓励在货币流动金融工具(如M-Pesa, M-Shwari等)的基础上,将金融包容性与包容性增长联系起来。我的论点的重点是,进入和融入这些系统可以提高它们的效率,促进共享繁荣。目前公认的观点是,包容性发展的一个关键要素是金融包容性。金融的综合性更加突出,是适应形势不断调整、社会日益强大的必经之路。包容性金融是一种思维方式,以一种有意识的方式提供适度的、受保护的、可用的、可维护的和适当管理的与货币相关的设备,其目标是个人可以在改善工作的同时捏造自己的利益。它使个人能够有一个安全的地方存放现金,获得适度和适当的经济激励和保险,以监督自己和家人的生活。
{"title":"Gaining Inclusive Growth through Financial Methodologies","authors":"Shourya Mitra Mustauphy","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3874542","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3874542","url":null,"abstract":"John Jacques Rousseau once stated that money is the seed of cash, and the principal guinea is at times harder to gain than the subsequent million. This paper ponders on arguing whether inclusive growth in Emerging Economies is achieved on the basis of the inclusion of finance. The argument focuses on the various cash transfer tools implemented in economies like Kenya, Argentina, Mexico, Niger to promote savings and investment for a better future. These financial money-movement tools have been argued to be essential to prevent the populace of these economies from suffering from the financial crisis and being dependent on themselves. Furthermore, the argument penned in this paper is to encourage the bridging of financial inclusion with inclusive growth on the basis of money-movement financial tools such as M-Pesa, M-Shwari etc. The focal point of my argument has been that access to and mix into these systems upgrades their efficiency prompts shared thriving. It is currently acknowledged insight that a key element of inclusive development is the inclusion of finance. More prominent comprehensiveness of finance is an entryway for the increasingly adjusted turn of events and a progressively strong society. Inclusion of finance is the way of thinking of giving moderate, protected, available, maintainable, and appropriately managed money-related apparatuses conveyed in a mindful manner with the goal that individuals can fabricate their benefits while improving their jobs. It empowers individuals to have a safe spot to set aside cash, get moderate and fitting financial incentives and coverage to oversee their own lives and that of their families.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"54 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"114579105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Arbitraging Covered Interest Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending 套利包括利率平价偏差和银行贷款
Pub Date : 2021-02-09 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3782607
L. Keller
I propose and test a new channel through which bank lending is affected in an emerging markets setting. This channel is that when banks arbitrage covered interest rate parity (CIP) deviations, they need to borrow in a particular currency. In the presence of borrowing frictions, they shift part of the resources used to lend to households and firms to fund their arbitrage activities. I exploit differences the abilities of Peruvian banks to arbitrage CIP deviations to show that banks that have greater ability to arbitrage reduce their lending in the currency they need to fund their CIP arbitrage. This is compensated by lending in a different currency. Therefore, arbitraging CIP deviations lead to changes in the currency composition of lending.
我提出并测试了一种新的渠道,通过这种渠道,新兴市场环境下的银行贷款将受到影响。这个渠道是,当银行套利覆盖利率平价(CIP)偏差时,他们需要借入特定货币。在存在借贷摩擦的情况下,它们将用于向家庭和企业提供贷款的部分资源转移到为其套利活动提供资金。我利用秘鲁银行套利CIP偏差能力的差异来表明,套利能力较强的银行减少了他们为CIP套利提供资金所需的货币贷款。这可以通过不同货币的贷款来弥补。因此,套利CIP偏差导致贷款币种构成的变化。
{"title":"Arbitraging Covered Interest Rate Parity Deviations and Bank Lending","authors":"L. Keller","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3782607","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3782607","url":null,"abstract":"I propose and test a new channel through which bank lending is affected in an emerging markets setting. This channel is that when banks arbitrage covered interest rate parity (CIP) deviations, they need to borrow in a particular currency. In the presence of borrowing frictions, they shift part of the resources used to lend to households and firms to fund their arbitrage activities. I exploit differences the abilities of Peruvian banks to arbitrage CIP deviations to show that banks that have greater ability to arbitrage reduce their lending in the currency they need to fund their CIP arbitrage. This is compensated by lending in a different currency. Therefore, arbitraging CIP deviations lead to changes in the currency composition of lending.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"78 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-02-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134253914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 7
Deep Trade Agreements and Domestic Institutions in the Americas 深层贸易协定和美洲国内制度
Pub Date : 2020-12-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3753176
Laura Gómez-Mera, Gonzalo Varela
Preferential trade agreements (PTAs) have spread rapidly around the world since the 1990s. In the Americas, the proliferation of trade agreements with countries from within and beyond the region have resulted in a ‘spaghetti bowl’ of overlapping rules and regulations, some of which address behind-the-border issues such as investment, competition, labor and environmental standards. Has the increasing number of overlapping agreements helped attract foreign direct investment (FDI) into the region, thus facilitating integration in the global economy? Earlier research has linked trade agreements to increased foreign investment inflows. We argue, instead, that the effects of PTAs on FDI depend on the domestic institutional capacities of member countries. Domestic institutions condition the benefits and effectiveness of PTAs by influencing governments’ external credibility as well as their ability to implement the agreements they sign. Our empirical findings show that weak state capacity exacerbates the ‘spaghetti bowl’ effects of multiple, overlapping agreements. Moreover, it is not the quantity but the quality, and more specifically, the depth of trade agreements that matters for attracting FDI.
自20世纪90年代以来,优惠贸易协定(pta)在世界范围内迅速蔓延。在美洲,与区域内外国家的贸易协定激增,导致规则和法规重叠成“意大利面碗”,其中一些涉及投资、竞争、劳工和环境标准等边境背后的问题。越来越多的重叠协议是否有助于吸引外国直接投资(FDI)进入该地区,从而促进融入全球经济?早先的研究将贸易协定与外国投资流入的增加联系起来。相反,我们认为自贸区对外国直接投资的影响取决于成员国的国内制度能力。国内机构通过影响政府的外部信誉及其执行所签署协议的能力来制约自由贸易协定的效益和有效性。我们的实证研究结果表明,弱状态能力加剧了多个重叠协议的“意大利面碗”效应。此外,对吸引外国直接投资至关重要的不是数量,而是质量,更具体地说,是贸易协定的深度。
{"title":"Deep Trade Agreements and Domestic Institutions in the Americas","authors":"Laura Gómez-Mera, Gonzalo Varela","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3753176","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3753176","url":null,"abstract":"Preferential trade agreements (PTAs) have spread rapidly around the world since the 1990s. In the Americas, the proliferation of trade agreements with countries from within and beyond the region have resulted in a ‘spaghetti bowl’ of overlapping rules and regulations, some of which address behind-the-border issues such as investment, competition, labor and environmental standards. Has the increasing number of overlapping agreements helped attract foreign direct investment (FDI) into the region, thus facilitating integration in the global economy? Earlier research has linked trade agreements to increased foreign investment inflows. We argue, instead, that the effects of PTAs on FDI depend on the domestic institutional capacities of member countries. Domestic institutions condition the benefits and effectiveness of PTAs by influencing governments’ external credibility as well as their ability to implement the agreements they sign. Our empirical findings show that weak state capacity exacerbates the ‘spaghetti bowl’ effects of multiple, overlapping agreements. Moreover, it is not the quantity but the quality, and more specifically, the depth of trade agreements that matters for attracting FDI.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"311 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-12-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125773401","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
The Profitability-Growth Nexus in the Mexican Manufacturing Industry 墨西哥制造业的盈利能力-增长关系
Pub Date : 2020-10-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3722002
Vicente German-Soto, Óscar Sánchez-Hiza
The profitability-growth relationship is examined at the sectoral level of the Mexican manufacturing industry. For the theories that explain this connection, business growth drives profitability (classical), profitability explains business growth (evolutionary), or a negative link is a rule (managerialism view). The methodology is a vector error correction model (VECM) besides quadratic and piecewise regression equations. The findings highlight that higher profitable industries also exhibit higher growth. Conversely, business growth does not improve profitability, confirming the predictions of evolutionary theories. Also, the results of this study consider firm size crucial for developing countries, due to the different role that firm size plays in determining productivity growth. Although the research is not specifically focused on the firm level, the study still sheds light on the efficiency and profitability conditions that prevail in the Mexican entrepreneur. For example, the conclusions suggest a stronger profitability-growth link in sectors formed by smaller firms. Suggesting the right conditions for investment, competition, economic growth, and quality improvement.
在墨西哥制造业的部门一级审查了盈利能力-增长关系。对于解释这种联系的理论,业务增长驱动盈利能力(经典),盈利能力解释业务增长(进化),或者负联系是一个规则(管理主义观点)。该方法是一种除二次回归方程和分段回归方程外的矢量误差修正模型。研究结果强调,利润越高的行业也表现出更高的增长率。相反,业务增长并不会提高盈利能力,这证实了进化理论的预测。此外,本研究的结果认为企业规模对发展中国家至关重要,因为企业规模在决定生产率增长方面发挥着不同的作用。虽然这项研究没有特别关注公司层面,但这项研究仍然揭示了墨西哥企业家普遍存在的效率和盈利条件。例如,结论表明,在由小公司组成的行业中,盈利能力与增长之间的联系更强。为投资、竞争、经济增长和质量改善提供合适的条件。
{"title":"The Profitability-Growth Nexus in the Mexican Manufacturing Industry","authors":"Vicente German-Soto, Óscar Sánchez-Hiza","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3722002","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3722002","url":null,"abstract":"The profitability-growth relationship is examined at the sectoral level of the Mexican manufacturing industry. For the theories that explain this connection, business growth drives profitability (classical), profitability explains business growth (evolutionary), or a negative link is a rule (managerialism view). The methodology is a vector error correction model (VECM) besides quadratic and piecewise regression equations. The findings highlight that higher profitable industries also exhibit higher growth. Conversely, business growth does not improve profitability, confirming the predictions of evolutionary theories. Also, the results of this study consider firm size crucial for developing countries, due to the different role that firm size plays in determining productivity growth. Although the research is not specifically focused on the firm level, the study still sheds light on the efficiency and profitability conditions that prevail in the Mexican entrepreneur. For example, the conclusions suggest a stronger profitability-growth link in sectors formed by smaller firms. Suggesting the right conditions for investment, competition, economic growth, and quality improvement.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"84 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125449708","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Who Benefits from Job Training Programs? Evidence from a High-Dosage Program in Brazil 谁从职业培训项目中受益?来自巴西高剂量项目的证据
Pub Date : 2020-09-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3682906
Daniel Da Mata, R. Oliveira, Diana Silva
Using admission lotteries and registry data linking labor market outcomes, we study the effect of a vocational training program focused on disadvantaged individuals in Brazil. The intensive program is an 18-month classroom training coupled with a 6-month on-the-job training provided by government-sponsored training centers. When assessing the impacts on 15,000 winners and 200,000 nonwinners who graduated in different business cycle moments, we show that female students fare better than their male counterparts. Results are driven by courses in services and those located in faster-growing local labor markets. Investigating outcomes beyond employment and earnings, we do not find an impact on entrepreneurship or university admission.
我们利用与劳动力市场结果相关联的录取彩票和注册数据,研究了针对巴西弱势群体的职业培训计划的效果。这个强化课程包括18个月的课堂培训和6个月的在职培训,由政府资助的培训中心提供。在评估了在不同商业周期时期毕业的1.5万名优胜者和20万名非优胜者的影响后,我们发现女学生比男学生表现得更好。结果是由服务课程和那些位于快速增长的当地劳动力市场的课程推动的。在调查就业和收入之外的结果时,我们没有发现对创业或大学录取的影响。
{"title":"Who Benefits from Job Training Programs? Evidence from a High-Dosage Program in Brazil","authors":"Daniel Da Mata, R. Oliveira, Diana Silva","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3682906","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3682906","url":null,"abstract":"Using admission lotteries and registry data linking labor market outcomes, we study the effect of a vocational training program focused on disadvantaged individuals in Brazil. The intensive program is an 18-month classroom training coupled with a 6-month on-the-job training provided by government-sponsored training centers. When assessing the impacts on 15,000 winners and 200,000 nonwinners who graduated in different business cycle moments, we show that female students fare better than their male counterparts. Results are driven by courses in services and those located in faster-growing local labor markets. Investigating outcomes beyond employment and earnings, we do not find an impact on entrepreneurship or university admission.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"32 3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"125706023","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Impacto de la pandemia covid-19 sobre la economía colombiana. Una pandemia temporal con efectos permanentes (Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Colombian Economy. A Temporary Pandemic with Permanent Effects) covid-19大流行对哥伦比亚经济的影响。具有永久性影响的临时大流行(COVID-19大流行对哥伦比亚经济的影响)。这是一种暂时的大流行,造成永久性影响。
Pub Date : 2020-08-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3678321
Ivan Leonardo Urrea-Ríos, J. Piraján
Spanish Abstract: Este documento de la Unidad Macroeconómica de Análisis aborda los impactos de corto plazo sobre la actividad económica colombiana de las medidas de confinamiento implementadas desde marzo de 2020 para evitar una propagación masiva de la pandemia COVID-19. Realiza un análisis de la producción en particular con desagregaciones sectoriales y por demanda, analizando cómo cada sector se vio afectado en una forma particular de acuerdo con su naturaleza. La presión económica descrita ha generado que las cuarentenas totales se agoten como instrumento de política pública viable en términos económicos, sociales y políticos.

English Abstract: This document from the Macroeconomic Analysis Unit addresses the short-term impacts on Colombian economic activity of the lockdown measures implemented since March 2020 to prevent a massive spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. It performs an analysis of production with descriptions by sector and by demand, analyzing how each sector was affected according to its nature. The economic pressure described has caused the total quarantines to be exhausted as a viable public policy instrument in economic, social, and political terms.
摘要:宏观经济分析股的这份文件讨论了自2020年3月以来为防止COVID-19大流行的大规模传播而实施的遏制措施对哥伦比亚经济活动的短期影响。对生产进行分析,特别是按部门和按需求分列,分析每个部门如何根据其性质以特定方式受到影响。上述经济压力已导致全面隔离作为经济、社会和政治上可行的公共政策工具已枯竭。英文摘要:宏观经济分析股的这份文件解决了2020年3月以来为防止COVID-19大流行大规模传播而实施的封锁措施对哥伦比亚经济活动的短期影响。它对生产进行分析,并按部门和需求进行说明,分析每个部门的性质如何受到影响。上述经济压力已导致全面隔离作为一种可行的经济、社会和政治方面的公共政策工具已被用尽。
{"title":"Impacto de la pandemia covid-19 sobre la economía colombiana. Una pandemia temporal con efectos permanentes (Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Colombian Economy. A Temporary Pandemic with Permanent Effects)","authors":"Ivan Leonardo Urrea-Ríos, J. Piraján","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3678321","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3678321","url":null,"abstract":"<b>Spanish Abstract:</b> Este documento de la Unidad Macroeconómica de Análisis aborda los impactos de corto plazo sobre la actividad económica colombiana de las medidas de confinamiento implementadas desde marzo de 2020 para evitar una propagación masiva de la pandemia COVID-19. Realiza un análisis de la producción en particular con desagregaciones sectoriales y por demanda, analizando cómo cada sector se vio afectado en una forma particular de acuerdo con su naturaleza. La presión económica descrita ha generado que las cuarentenas totales se agoten como instrumento de política pública viable en términos económicos, sociales y políticos.<br><br><b>English Abstract:</b> This document from the Macroeconomic Analysis Unit addresses the short-term impacts on Colombian economic activity of the lockdown measures implemented since March 2020 to prevent a massive spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. It performs an analysis of production with descriptions by sector and by demand, analyzing how each sector was affected according to its nature. The economic pressure described has caused the total quarantines to be exhausted as a viable public policy instrument in economic, social, and political terms.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"3 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"129090527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Social Frustration and Budgetary Restrictions: Rethinking the Public Agenda in Post-Pandemic 社会挫折和预算限制:重新思考大流行后的公共议程
Pub Date : 2020-08-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3667170
Sergio Clavijo
Using political economy analysis, this document aims at a better understanding of the recent juncture of global social protests expressing against the establishment and the international trade agreements. Brexit and America-First form part of apparent solutions exploiting political nationalism during 2017-2020. We use signal-to-noise ratio principles to characterize the pro-market status-quo of the United States and the high State interventionism in Europe and then we assess the evolution of the “Welfare State” in those regions. A key element in this characterization is the consolidation of the “middle-class” and its motivational roots, contrasting those driven by “economic progress” Vs. “citizenship values”. The latter tends to better solidify the stance of the middle class, while the former tends to be short-lived, as apparently has occurred in Latin America.

We offer a narrative interpretation about the “social elevator” in Latin America, operating from poor to middle class, over 1995-2020, and provide a snap-shot of recent events, including Chile, Mexico, Brazil, Peru, and Colombia. After significant social progress in lowering the portion of population under-poverty rates from 50% down to 30% during 1995-2014, the period after the super-cycle of energy-mining commodities (2015-2020) has shown stagnation in social progress due to low real-GDP growth, escalating unemployment, and fiscal restraints in Latin America. Given the negative effects of the covid-19 pandemic, the expected recovery of 2020-2021 will be even more complex to achieve. Very likely, world weighted GDP-growth will contract -4% in 2020 (Vs. an expected 3% before pandemic), but world´s growth could rebound to +5% in 2021 under a “V”-shape recovery. However, LATAM will be stalled in a 2% growth recovery in 2021 after a contraction close to -6% in 2020.

Finally, we provide a minimum agenda of structural reforms dealing with quality of public schools, better deployment of infrastructure to deepen the gains from international trade, and additional budgetary allocations pro-poor to improve income distribution indicators. This public agenda needs to be complemented by private sector initiatives to properly allocate the scant fiscal resources.
利用政治经济学分析,本文件旨在更好地理解最近全球社会抗议活动对建立和国际贸易协定的表达。英国脱欧和“美国优先”是2017-2020年期间利用政治民族主义的明显解决方案的一部分。我们使用信噪比原则来描述美国的亲市场现状和欧洲的高度国家干预主义,然后我们评估了这些地区“福利国家”的演变。这种特征的一个关键因素是“中产阶级”及其动机根源的巩固,对比了“经济进步”和“公民价值观”驱动的中产阶级。后者倾向于更好地巩固中产阶级的立场,而前者往往是短暂的,就像拉丁美洲显然发生的那样。我们对拉丁美洲1995-2020年间从贫困到中产阶级的“社会电梯”进行了叙事解读,并简要介绍了近期发生的事件,包括智利、墨西哥、巴西、秘鲁和哥伦比亚。1995年至2014年期间,拉美在将贫困人口比例从50%降至30%方面取得了重大社会进步,但能源-矿业商品超级周期后的时期(2015-2020年)由于拉美实际gdp增长缓慢、失业率上升和财政紧缩,社会进步停滞不前。鉴于2019冠状病毒病大流行的负面影响,2020-2021年的预期复苏将更加复杂。2020年,全球加权gdp增长很可能收缩-4%(疫情前预计为3%),但2021年,全球增长可能以“V”型复苏反弹至+5%。然而,拉丁美洲在2020年收缩接近-6%后,2021年将停滞在2%的增长复苏中。最后,我们提出了一个最低限度的结构性改革议程,涉及公立学校的质量、更好地部署基础设施以深化国际贸易的收益,以及增加有利于穷人的预算拨款以改善收入分配指标。这一公共议程需要得到私营部门举措的补充,以适当分配稀缺的财政资源。
{"title":"Social Frustration and Budgetary Restrictions: Rethinking the Public Agenda in Post-Pandemic","authors":"Sergio Clavijo","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3667170","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3667170","url":null,"abstract":"Using political economy analysis, this document aims at a better understanding of the recent juncture of global social protests expressing against the establishment and the international trade agreements. Brexit and America-First form part of apparent solutions exploiting political nationalism during 2017-2020. We use signal-to-noise ratio principles to characterize the pro-market status-quo of the United States and the high State interventionism in Europe and then we assess the evolution of the “Welfare State” in those regions. A key element in this characterization is the consolidation of the “middle-class” and its motivational roots, contrasting those driven by “economic progress” Vs. “citizenship values”. The latter tends to better solidify the stance of the middle class, while the former tends to be short-lived, as apparently has occurred in Latin America. <br><br>We offer a narrative interpretation about the “social elevator” in Latin America, operating from poor to middle class, over 1995-2020, and provide a snap-shot of recent events, including Chile, Mexico, Brazil, Peru, and Colombia. After significant social progress in lowering the portion of population under-poverty rates from 50% down to 30% during 1995-2014, the period after the super-cycle of energy-mining commodities (2015-2020) has shown stagnation in social progress due to low real-GDP growth, escalating unemployment, and fiscal restraints in Latin America. Given the negative effects of the covid-19 pandemic, the expected recovery of 2020-2021 will be even more complex to achieve. Very likely, world weighted GDP-growth will contract -4% in 2020 (Vs. an expected 3% before pandemic), but world´s growth could rebound to +5% in 2021 under a “V”-shape recovery. However, LATAM will be stalled in a 2% growth recovery in 2021 after a contraction close to -6% in 2020.<br><br>Finally, we provide a minimum agenda of structural reforms dealing with quality of public schools, better deployment of infrastructure to deepen the gains from international trade, and additional budgetary allocations pro-poor to improve income distribution indicators. This public agenda needs to be complemented by private sector initiatives to properly allocate the scant fiscal resources.<br>","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"221 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-08-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134008644","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effects of Innovative Effort on Different Components of Productivity: Evidence for the Colombian Manufacturing Industry 创新努力对生产率不同组成部分的影响:哥伦比亚制造业的证据
Pub Date : 2020-07-27 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3657069
Fernando Barrios Aguirre
This document focuses on estimating the effect of innovative effort on productivity, when it is disaggregated in terms of productive technical efficiency and other components associated with demand and unit input costs . These components are developed and estimated from panel data. I show that demand characteristics are the elements where the innovative effort affects in greater proportion. Thus, if the objective is to increase physical productivity, a strategy would be to increase by 1% amounts invested in internal R& D, technology transfer and technical assistance and consulting. Thus, TFPQ would increase between 0.04% and 0.07%. The increase of amounts in marketing of innovations, internal R & D and the one of technical assistance and consulting would increase the characteristics of demand between 0.40% and 0.43%; finally, increasing the acquisition of machinery and equipment by 1% for the promotion of innovation would generate a reduction in input costs between 0.07% and 0.05%. These results will be analyzed from the annual manufacturing survey (EAM) between 2003-2012 and the surveys of innovation and technological development for the manufacturing industry (EDIT) provided by the DANE between 2008-2012.
本文件的重点是估计创新努力对生产率的影响,当它被分解为生产技术效率和与需求和单位投入成本相关的其他组成部分时。这些组件是根据面板数据开发和估计的。我表明需求特征是创新努力影响更大比例的要素。因此,如果目标是提高物质生产力,策略将是在内部研发、技术转让、技术援助和咨询方面增加1%的投资。因此,TFPQ将在0.04%至0.07%之间增长。创新营销金额、内部研发金额、技术援助和咨询金额的增加将使需求特征增加0.40% ~ 0.43%;最后,为了促进创新,每增加1%的机械设备采购,投入成本将减少0.07%至0.05%。这些结果将从2003-2012年的年度制造业调查(EAM)和2008-2012年由DANE提供的制造业创新和技术发展调查(EDIT)中进行分析。
{"title":"Effects of Innovative Effort on Different Components of Productivity: Evidence for the Colombian Manufacturing Industry","authors":"Fernando Barrios Aguirre","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3657069","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3657069","url":null,"abstract":"This document focuses on estimating the effect of innovative effort on productivity, when it is disaggregated in terms of productive technical efficiency and other components associated with demand and unit input costs . These components are developed and estimated from panel data. I show that demand characteristics are the elements where the innovative effort affects in greater proportion. Thus, if the objective is to increase physical productivity, a strategy would be to increase by 1% amounts invested in internal R& D, technology transfer and technical assistance and consulting. Thus, TFPQ would increase between 0.04% and 0.07%. The increase of amounts in marketing of innovations, internal R & D and the one of technical assistance and consulting would increase the characteristics of demand between 0.40% and 0.43%; finally, increasing the acquisition of machinery and equipment by 1% for the promotion of innovation would generate a reduction in input costs between 0.07% and 0.05%. These results will be analyzed from the annual manufacturing survey (EAM) between 2003-2012 and the surveys of innovation and technological development for the manufacturing industry (EDIT) provided by the DANE between 2008-2012.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"26 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-07-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121936746","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Efectos y expectativas de recuperación económica frente a la pandemia COVID-19 en el departamento de Boyacá (COVID-19 Effects and Expectations of Economic Recovery in Boyacá, Colombia) boyaca省COVID-19大流行对经济复苏的影响和预期(哥伦比亚boyaca省COVID-19对经济复苏的影响和预期)
Pub Date : 2020-07-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3664379
C. Ochoa, Luis Suárez, H. Suarez, E. Ramírez, Andrés Valderrama, M. Castillo-Reina, Hermes Castro, O. Matallana
Spanish Abstract: Los efectos del COVID-19 han alcanzado limites insospechados en la salud publica y la economia. La destruccion de empleos y cierres comerciales ha generado una perdida de capacidades adquiridas en las empresas (como organizaciones) y sus empleados. Este documento presenta el resultado de una encuesta aplicada durante Mayo y Junio de 2020 a mas de 1.000 empresas en todo el departamento de Boyaca (Colombia) en aspectos relacionados con sus ingresos, su estructura de costos y sus expectativas de recuperacion, una descripcion de las politicas economicas asumidas en America Latina frente a la crisis asi como un aparte adicional de politicas locales. Los resultados obtenidos muestran la fragilidad y efecto diferencial de las empresas ante el doble choque, de oferta y demanda, generado por la pandemia. En nuestra muestra, un tercio del 45 por ciento de las empresas que registro una disminucion en sus ventas, ha tenido caidas de mas del 70 por ciento. La disponibilidad de efectivo ha restringido el pago oportuno de arrendamientos, servicios publicos y creditos bancarios. Los encuestados sugirieron que los gobiernos locales deberian disenar paquetes de subsidios, reduccion de impuestos e informacion oportuna para la implementacion de protocolos de bioseguridad. A pesar de la formalidad empresarial, la informalidad laboral limita el acceso por parte de los empresarios a programas de subsidio a la nomina. La informacion y condiciones para el acceso a este y otros programas termina siendo deficiente. English Abstract: The effects of COVID-19 have reached unsuspected limits on public health and the economy. Job destruction and business closures have led to a loss of acquired skills in companies (as organizations) and their employees. This document presents the results of a survey applied during May and June 2020 to more than 1,000 companies throughout the department of Boyaca (Colombia) in aspects related to their income, their cost structure and their recovery expectations, a description of the economic policies assumed in Latin America related to the crisis as well as an additional section of local policies. The results obtained show the fragility and differential effect of companies in the face of the double shock, of supply and demand, generated by COVID-19. In our sample, a third of the 45 percent of the companies that registered a decrease in their sales have had falls of more than 70 percent. The availability of cash has restricted the payment of rent, utilities and bank loans. Respondents suggested that local governments should design packages of subsidies, tax reductions and timely information for the implementation of biosecurity protocols. Despite business formality, labor informality limits employers' access to payroll subsidy programs. Information and conditions for access to this and other programs end up being deficient.
摘要:COVID-19对公共卫生和经济的影响达到了意想不到的极限。失业和商业关闭导致了公司(作为组织)及其员工获得的技能的丧失。应用本文介绍了调查结果:2020年5月和6月期间超过1000家公司Boyaca部(哥伦比亚)与其收入方面,其成本结构和期望recuperacion, descripcion政策研究所承担在拉丁美洲危机就是附加除了当地政策。结果表明,面对大流行造成的供需双重冲击,企业的脆弱性和差异效应。在我们的样本中,45%的销售额下降的公司中,有三分之一的销售额下降了70%以上。现金的可用性限制了及时支付租金、公用事业和银行信贷。受访者建议地方政府应制定补贴方案、税收减免和及时信息,以实施生物安全协议。尽管有商业形式,但工作非正式性限制了雇主获得工资补贴计划的机会。这些项目的信息和条件都很差。《新冠肺炎疫情:对公共卫生和经济的影响达到了不可怀疑的限度》。工作岗位的破坏和业务的关闭导致公司(作为组织)及其雇员所获得的技能的丧失。应用during This document代表的调查的调查结果可能和2020年6月to more than 1000公司解聘the department of Boyaca(哥伦比亚)in有关其收入、成本结构及其recovery。他们expectations, a description of the economic policies此处in Latin America related to the as well as an additional section of当地政策危机。所获得的结果显示了企业在面对COVID-19造成的供应和需求双重冲击时的脆弱性和差异效应。在我们的样本中,在销售额下降的45%的公司中,有三分之一的公司下降了70%以上。现金的可用性限制了租金、公用事业和银行贷款的支付。答复者建议,地方政府应设计一揽子补贴、减税和及时信息,以便执行生物安全议定书。尽管有商业手续,劳动非正式性限制了雇主获得工资补贴方案的机会。获得这一方案和其他方案的信息和条件不足。
{"title":"Efectos y expectativas de recuperación económica frente a la pandemia COVID-19 en el departamento de Boyacá (COVID-19 Effects and Expectations of Economic Recovery in Boyacá, Colombia)","authors":"C. Ochoa, Luis Suárez, H. Suarez, E. Ramírez, Andrés Valderrama, M. Castillo-Reina, Hermes Castro, O. Matallana","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3664379","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3664379","url":null,"abstract":"Spanish Abstract: Los efectos del COVID-19 han alcanzado limites insospechados en la salud publica y la economia. La destruccion de empleos y cierres comerciales ha generado una perdida de capacidades adquiridas en las empresas (como organizaciones) y sus empleados. Este documento presenta el resultado de una encuesta aplicada durante Mayo y Junio de 2020 a mas de 1.000 empresas en todo el departamento de Boyaca (Colombia) en aspectos relacionados con sus ingresos, su estructura de costos y sus expectativas de recuperacion, una descripcion de las politicas economicas asumidas en America Latina frente a la crisis asi como un aparte adicional de politicas locales. Los resultados obtenidos muestran la fragilidad y efecto diferencial de las empresas ante el doble choque, de oferta y demanda, generado por la pandemia. En nuestra muestra, un tercio del 45 por ciento de las empresas que registro una disminucion en sus ventas, ha tenido caidas de mas del 70 por ciento. La disponibilidad de efectivo ha restringido el pago oportuno de arrendamientos, servicios publicos y creditos bancarios. Los encuestados sugirieron que los gobiernos locales deberian disenar paquetes de subsidios, reduccion de impuestos e informacion oportuna para la implementacion de protocolos de bioseguridad. A pesar de la formalidad empresarial, la informalidad laboral limita el acceso por parte de los empresarios a programas de subsidio a la nomina. La informacion y condiciones para el acceso a este y otros programas termina siendo deficiente. \u0000 \u0000English Abstract: The effects of COVID-19 have reached unsuspected limits on public health and the economy. Job destruction and business closures have led to a loss of acquired skills in companies (as organizations) and their employees. This document presents the results of a survey applied during May and June 2020 to more than 1,000 companies throughout the department of Boyaca (Colombia) in aspects related to their income, their cost structure and their recovery expectations, a description of the economic policies assumed in Latin America related to the crisis as well as an additional section of local policies. The results obtained show the fragility and differential effect of companies in the face of the double shock, of supply and demand, generated by COVID-19. In our sample, a third of the 45 percent of the companies that registered a decrease in their sales have had falls of more than 70 percent. The availability of cash has restricted the payment of rent, utilities and bank loans. Respondents suggested that local governments should design packages of subsidies, tax reductions and timely information for the implementation of biosecurity protocols. Despite business formality, labor informality limits employers' access to payroll subsidy programs. Information and conditions for access to this and other programs end up being deficient.","PeriodicalId":324969,"journal":{"name":"ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)","volume":"126 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2020-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132815922","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 4
期刊
ERN: Latin America & the Caribbean (Development) (Topic)
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1