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The Politics of Sustainable Finance for Forests: Interests, beliefs and advocacy coalitions shaping forest sustainability criteria in the making of the EU Taxonomy 森林可持续金融的政治:利益、信念和倡导联盟在制定欧盟分类标准中塑造森林可持续性标准
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103001
A. Begemann , C. Dolriis , A. Onatunji , C. Chimisso , G. Winkel
The EU’s sustainable finance regulation classifying sustainable economic activities — known as “taxonomy” in short — has made headlines due to controversies about what can be considered a sustainable investment, and what not. This study investigates the evolution of advocacy coalitions and their strategies in the development of the taxonomy’s forestry criteria. It is built on an interpretive process tracing, involving 46 expert interviews conducted in 2019, 2021 and 2022, and an extensive document analysis. Our findings illustrate a complex process that is connected to a diversity of sectoral policies. This cross-sectoral nature of the policy process enables the emergence of cross-sectoral alliances, highlighting strikingly different policy beliefs and economic as well as bureaucratic/political interests connected to these. Owing to a rich set of strategies employed, and deals made at different policy levels, as well as an overall lack of transparency, the proclaimed “science-based” decision-making is de facto turned into a highly contested political minefield. Science – insofar involved – has contributed to the legitimisation of divergent beliefs rather than mediate among them. We conclude by arguing that the taxonomy’s potential to globally influence the regulation of sustainable finance as a “gold standard” is questionable because of the ambiguity resulting from the political struggle.
欧盟对可持续经济活动进行分类的可持续金融监管——简称“分类法”——由于关于什么可以被视为可持续投资、什么不能被视为可持续投资的争议而成为头条新闻。本研究调查了倡导联盟的演变及其在分类法林业标准发展中的策略。它建立在解释性过程追踪的基础上,涉及2019年、2021年和2022年进行的46次专家访谈,以及广泛的文件分析。我们的研究结果表明,这是一个与多种部门政策相关的复杂过程。这种政策过程的跨部门性质使跨部门联盟得以出现,突出了截然不同的政策信念以及与之相关的经济和官僚/政治利益。由于采用了一套丰富的战略,在不同的政策层面达成了协议,以及总体上缺乏透明度,所谓的“基于科学的”决策实际上变成了一个高度竞争的政治雷区。科学——就其参与程度而言——促成了不同信仰的合法化,而不是在它们之间进行调解。我们的结论是,由于政治斗争造成的模糊性,分类法作为“黄金标准”在全球范围内影响可持续金融监管的潜力值得怀疑。
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引用次数: 0
The multifaceted spectra of power − A participatory network analysis on power structures in diverse dryland regions 权力的多面谱——不同旱地地区权力结构的参与式网络分析
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.102984
Veronica Olofsson , Maria Mancilla Garcia , Antonio J. Castro , Sofía Cortés Calderón , Amadou Hamath Diallo , Amanda Jiménez Aceituno , María D. López-Rodríguez , Taís Sonetti Gonzalez , Amanda Sousa Silvino , Ana Paula Aguiar
With intensifying climate change impacts on dryland regions, it is essential to better understand how actors relate to each other to sustainably manage natural resources. The literature on environmental governance networks has studied actor collaborations, but it is only starting to investigate networks that sustain conflictive situations. Moreover, while actors traditionally defined as powerful have received important scholarly attention, those who do not hold formal authority or key financial resources have not, as well as their sources of power. In this paper we analyse Net-Map data to better understand the sources of power of actor groups that traditionally are not perceived as influential, hence they are neglected in actor networks. We use social network analysis and a typology of power to understand these actors’ links in the networks, aiming to decipher what might explain why the traditionally neglected actors are perceived as particularly influential. We apply these methods to local sites in three case countries, all located in dryland regions. Net-Map workshops with diverse groups of participants were held with a focus on agricultural production systems. The results reveal that a broad variety of actors that traditionally have been, and still are, neglected in decision making domains, are perceived as particularly influential in their regions, pointing to the various modes in which power is understood and exercised. The competing interests over natural resources shed light on the role that conflictive tensions played in power relations. Through this work a broader understanding of power asymmetries in actor networks is gained.
随着气候变化对干旱地区的影响日益加剧,必须更好地了解行为体如何相互关联,以可持续地管理自然资源。关于环境治理网络的文献研究了行动者的合作,但它才刚刚开始调查维持冲突情况的网络。此外,虽然传统上被定义为有权力的行为者受到了重要的学术关注,但那些没有正式权力或关键财政资源的人,以及他们的权力来源,却没有得到重视。在本文中,我们分析了Net-Map数据,以更好地理解传统上不被认为具有影响力的演员群体的权力来源,因此他们在演员网络中被忽视。我们使用社会网络分析和权力类型学来理解这些行为者在网络中的联系,旨在解释为什么传统上被忽视的行为者被认为特别有影响力。我们将这些方法应用于三个案例国家的当地站点,都位于干旱地区。举办了由不同群体参加的Net-Map讲习班,重点是农业生产系统。结果表明,在决策领域中传统上一直被忽视、现在仍然被忽视的各种各样的行为者,被认为在其所在地区具有特别的影响力,这指出了理解和行使权力的各种模式。对自然资源的争夺,揭示了冲突的紧张局势在权力关系中所起的作用。通过这项工作,对行动者网络中的权力不对称有了更广泛的理解。
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引用次数: 0
Transitioning to net Zero: Assessing the impacts on asset impairment, write-downs and the going concern of oil and gas companies operating in the UK 向净零排放过渡:评估在英国运营的石油和天然气公司对资产减值、减记和持续经营的影响
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103004
Hafez Abdo , Duncan Angwin , Hakim Ben Othman , Freeman Brobbey Owusu
In June 2019, the UK government legislated a net zero target by 2050. This will directly impact the UK oil and gas industry. This study reports perceptions of key oil and gas professionals regarding the impact of transitioning to net zero on impairment, values, write-downs, and going concern in the UK oil and gas industry, as well as required net-zero-related disclosures. Data were collected through 22 interviews, two written responses to our interview questions, and disclosures made by oil and gas companies in their annual reports. We use conservatism and stakeholder theory to inform our results. Our findings confirm there will be serious impacts of the transition to net zero on impairments, asset write-downs, and on the value and going concern of several oil and gas companies. However, these impacts will not fall equally across the industry, and it is likely therefore that stakeholders will be affected differently. Our results contribute, first, to the debate on the impacts of the transition to net zero on key accounting measures of oil and gas companies; second, we identify risks associated with the transition to net zero for these companies and their stakeholders, and we classify the at-risk oil and gas companies operating in the UK; third, we present a collection of disclosure items deemed necessary by our interviewees. Our specified disclosure items may complement those of the Task Force on Climate-related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) and the Transition Plan Taskforce (TPT).
2019年6月,英国政府制定了到2050年实现净零排放的目标。这将直接影响英国的石油和天然气行业。本研究报告了主要油气专业人士对英国油气行业向净零转型对减值、价值、减记和持续经营的影响的看法,以及所需的净零相关披露。数据通过22次访谈、对访谈问题的两次书面回复以及油气公司在其年度报告中披露的信息收集。我们使用保守主义和利益相关者理论来告知我们的结果。我们的研究结果证实,向净零的过渡将对减值、资产减记以及几家石油和天然气公司的价值和持续经营产生严重影响。然而,这些影响在整个行业中不会平均下降,因此利益相关者可能会受到不同的影响。首先,我们的研究结果有助于讨论向净零排放过渡对石油和天然气公司关键会计指标的影响;其次,我们确定了这些公司及其利益相关者向净零排放过渡的相关风险,并对在英国运营的风险石油和天然气公司进行了分类;第三,我们提供了一系列受访者认为必要的披露项目。我们指定的披露项目可以补充气候相关财务披露工作组(TCFD)和过渡计划工作组(TPT)的披露项目。
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引用次数: 0
Intersecting inequalities and urban heat adaptation 交叉不平等和城市热适应
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103003
Petra Tschakert , Anshu Ogra , Upasna Sharma , Krishna Karthikeyan , Abhilasha Singh , Adhiraj Bhowmik
Urban heat management often fails marginalised dwellers and communities due to inadequate attention to multidimensional vulnerabilities and intersecting inequalities. An overemphasis on generic characterisations of ‘vulnerable groups’ rather than embodied, lived experiences of heat-related distress risks substantial maladaptive outcomes. It exacerbates thermal insecurities and suffering among most disadvantaged populations while obscuring structural deficiencies around housing, transportation, and energy that sustain uneven power between urban privilege and disadvantage. This empirical study from Perth, Western Australia, and Delhi, India, uses 35 semi-structured interviews and 6 focus group discussions to examine intersecting inequalities and their structural drivers among diversely situated at-risk populations along with insights from governmental employees and members of the not-for-profit sector. We show overlapping layers of systemic disadvantage, substantial barriers to adaptation, and losses, as well as some subversive adaptive action. Our results indicate that concerted efforts are needed—in research, emergency management, and the policy world—to make visible such intersectional thermal suffering and address it via co-created, culturally sensitive, and cross-scalar heat action and adaptation planning.
由于对多维脆弱性和相互交叉的不平等关注不足,城市热管理往往使边缘化居民和社区失败。过度强调“弱势群体”的一般特征,而不是具体的、与热有关的痛苦的生活经历,有可能导致严重的适应不良后果。它加剧了大多数弱势群体的热不安全感和痛苦,同时掩盖了住房、交通和能源方面的结构性缺陷,这些缺陷导致城市特权阶层和弱势群体之间的权力不平衡。这项来自西澳大利亚州珀斯和印度德里的实证研究,利用35次半结构化访谈和6次焦点小组讨论,考察了不同处境的风险人群中交叉的不平等及其结构性驱动因素,并结合了政府雇员和非营利部门成员的见解。我们展示了重叠的系统性劣势,适应的实质性障碍和损失,以及一些颠覆性的适应行为。我们的研究结果表明,需要在研究、应急管理和政策领域共同努力,使这种交叉的热痛苦可见,并通过共同创造、文化敏感和跨标量热行动和适应规划来解决它。
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引用次数: 0
Strategic implication of sustainability practices and corporate performance under competitive landscape; An empirical investigation 竞争格局下可持续发展实践与企业绩效的战略含义实证调查
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103010
Umakanta Gartia, Rajesh Bhue, Ajaya Kumar Panda
Business success is now significantly shaped by combining competitive tactics and sustainability. The existing literature focuses on the effect of sustainability practices on corporate financial outcomes, yet under different levels of product market competition (PMC) are largely unexplored. Thus, the present study aims to analyze the link between ‘sustainable practices’ and ‘firm financial performance’ (FFP), considering the moderating role of PMC. We analyzed a sample of 569 Indian listed firms from 2010 to 2022, using the Feasible Least Squares (FGLS) technique. The study reveals that sustainability practices enhance firm’s internal and external earnings. Further, the moderating role of PMC acts as a disciplinary mechanism. Under high PMC level, sustainability practices increase firm’s internal earnings, while with low PMC, sustainability practices do not carry significant influence. The present study also observed that only environmental practices negatively impacting firm’s internal earnings in non-competitive environments. Furthermore, PMC does not influence the link between sustainability practices and external earnings. This finding validates and provides a robust result by addressing the endogeneity concerns through ‘two-stage least squares’ (2SLS) method and different post-diagnostic tests. The findings complement the deterrence hypothesis and stakeholder theory of corporate disclosure by integrating PMC with sustainability practices and FFP. The firm should strategically align the adoption of sustainability practices with competitive forces to enhance FFP, strengthen market assurance, and maintain long-run value creation. The study underscores the significance of sustainability practices as a strategic tool in competitive markets. It offers theoretical and practical implications for corporate decision-makers, investors, policymakers and academics by formulating effective strategies and policies that develop resilience under competitive environments while balancing short-time gains and long-run performance.
如今,商业成功在很大程度上取决于竞争策略和可持续性的结合。现有文献主要关注可持续性实践对企业财务结果的影响,但在不同水平的产品市场竞争(PMC)下,这些文献大多未被探索。因此,本研究旨在分析“可持续实践”与“企业财务绩效”(FFP)之间的联系,并考虑PMC的调节作用。本文采用可行最小二乘法(FGLS)分析了2010年至2022年间569家印度上市公司的样本。研究表明,可持续发展实践提高了企业的内部和外部收益。此外,PMC的调节作用是一种惩戒机制。在高PMC水平下,可持续发展实践对企业内部盈余的影响显著,而在低PMC水平下,可持续发展实践对企业内部盈余的影响不显著。本研究还观察到,在非竞争环境中,只有环境实践对企业的内部收益产生负面影响。此外,PMC并不影响可持续性实践与外部收益之间的联系。这一发现通过“两阶段最小二乘法”(2SLS)方法和不同的诊断后测试解决了内生性问题,从而验证并提供了稳健的结果。研究结果通过将PMC与可持续性实践和FFP相结合,对公司信息披露的威慑假设和利益相关者理论进行了补充。公司应在战略上将可持续性实践的采用与竞争力量结合起来,以提高FFP,加强市场保障,并保持长期价值创造。该研究强调了可持续性实践作为竞争市场战略工具的重要性。它通过制定有效的战略和政策,在竞争环境中发展弹性,同时平衡短期收益和长期绩效,为企业决策者、投资者、政策制定者和学者提供了理论和实践意义。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of the EU biodiversity strategy for 2030 on the EU wood-based bioeconomy 欧盟2030年生物多样性战略对欧盟木材生物经济的影响
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.102986
Fulvio Di Fulvio , Tord Snäll , Pekka Lauri , Nicklas Forsell , Mikko Mönkkönen , Daniel Burgas , Clemens Blattert , Kyle Eyvindson , Astor Toraño Caicoya , Marta Vergarechea , Clara Antón-Fernández , Julian Klein , Rasmus Astrup , Jani Lukkarinen , Samuli Pitzén , Eeva Primmer
The EU Biodiversity Strategy (EUBDS) for 2030 aims to conserve and restore biodiversity by protecting large areas throughout the European Union. A target of the EUBDS is to protect 30 % of the EU’s land area by 2030, with 10 % being strictly protected (including all primary and old growth forests) and 20 % being managed ‘closer to nature’. Even though this will have a positive impact on biodiversity, it may negatively impact the EU’s wood-based bioeconomy. In this study, we analyze how alternative interpretations and distributions of the EU’s protection targets may affect future woody biomass harvest levels, exports of wood commodities, and the spatial distribution of managed areas under wood demands aligned with SSP2-RCP1.9. Using the  model GLOBIOM-Forest, we simulate scenarios representing a variety of interpretations and geographic distributions of the EUBDS targets. The EUBDS targets would have a limited impact on EU harvest levels since the EU can still increase its wood harvest between 21 % and 24 % by 2100. With strict protection of 30 % of the area, the EU harvest level can still be increased by 10 %. Moreover, the most likely scenario (10 %/20 % protection within each MS) will result in increased net exports in the coming decades, but a slight decline after 2050. However, if protection is intended to also represent site productivity or to re-establish a green infrastructure, then EU net exports will also decline before 2050. With the decreased EU roundwood harvest, increased harvest will occur in other biomes and mostly leaking into boreal regions.
欧盟2030年生物多样性战略(EUBDS)旨在通过保护整个欧盟的大片地区来保护和恢复生物多样性。EUBDS的一个目标是到2030年保护欧盟30%的土地面积,其中10%受到严格保护(包括所有原始森林和原始森林),20%被“更接近自然”的管理。尽管这将对生物多样性产生积极影响,但它可能对欧盟以木材为基础的生物经济产生负面影响。在这项研究中,我们分析了欧盟保护目标的不同解释和分布如何影响未来木质生物质收获水平、木材商品出口以及与SSP2-RCP1.9一致的木材需求下管理区域的空间分布。利用GLOBIOM-Forest模型,我们模拟了代表EUBDS目标的各种解释和地理分布的情景。EUBDS目标对欧盟采伐水平的影响有限,因为到2100年,欧盟的木材采伐仍可增加21%至24%。在对30%的面积进行严格保护的情况下,欧盟的收获水平仍可提高10%。此外,最可能的情况(每个MS内10% / 20%的保护)将导致未来几十年净出口增加,但在2050年后略有下降。然而,如果保护的目的也代表了场地生产力或重建绿色基础设施,那么欧盟的净出口也将在2050年之前下降。随着欧盟圆木采伐量的减少,其他生物群系的采伐量将增加,并且大部分会泄漏到北方地区。
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引用次数: 0
Agency, social networks, and adaptation to environmental change 代理,社会网络,以及对环境变化的适应
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.102983
Michele L Barnes , Sarah Sutcliffe , Innocent Muly , Nyawira Muthiga , Stephen Wanyonyi , Petr Matous , Michael Murunga
Environmental change is escalating across the globe, threatening the livelihoods and wellbeing of millions of people. Substantial effort and resources have been committed at a global scale to support adaptation projects in affected communities to confront these changes. Yet not everyone has equal capabilities to adapt, guide adaptation decisions, and contribute to envisioning alternative futures. Drawing on theories of agency, social networks, and adaptation and employing a unique time-series dataset including 653 individuals across five Kenyan coastal communities, here we examine how agency over adaptation decisions is socially differentiated and the disparities that exist regarding who is able to bolster their level of agency over time. Our results show that involvement in local environmental decision-making processes, where adaptation to environmental change is negotiated, is strongly associated with feelings of effective power. Yet this power is largely concentrated among older individuals, community leaders, those with greater assets, and those with social ties to leaders – pointing to existing social hierarchies and resource differentials that drive adaptation decisions. The only significant predictor of changes in agency over time was network exposure: individuals with direct contact with those who were actively involved in environmental decision-making (individual agency) were likely to become more involved themselves; yet contact with passively involved partners (proxy agency) led to decreases in agency over time. Our results suggest a dynamic ripple effect in agency through social networks, suggesting that social networks can both catalyse and inhibit perceptions of effective power over adaptation decisions through participation in environmental decision-making. Our findings underscore the importance of social networks in enabling and constraining agency, highlight the role of leadership and power dynamics in environmental decision-making and locally led adaptation, and provide a foundation for future research on fostering inclusive and just adaptation.
全球范围内的环境变化正在加剧,威胁着数百万人的生计和福祉。在全球范围内,已经投入了大量的努力和资源来支持受影响社区的适应项目,以应对这些变化。然而,并不是每个人都有同样的适应能力,指导适应决策,并为展望未来做出贡献。利用代理、社会网络和适应理论,并采用独特的时间序列数据集,包括肯尼亚五个沿海社区的653个人,在这里,我们研究了适应决策中的代理是如何在社会上分化的,以及随着时间的推移,谁能够提高代理水平方面存在的差异。我们的研究结果表明,参与地方环境决策过程(在适应环境变化的过程中进行协商)与有效权力感密切相关。然而,这种权力主要集中在年龄较大的个人、社区领导人、拥有更多资产的人以及与领导人有社会关系的人身上——这表明,现有的社会等级和资源差异推动了适应决策。随着时间的推移,代理变化的唯一显著预测因素是网络暴露:与那些积极参与环境决策的人(个人代理)直接接触的个体可能会更多地参与环境决策;然而,随着时间的推移,与被动参与的伴侣(代理机构)的接触导致代理机构的减少。我们的研究结果表明,通过社会网络,代理存在动态的连锁反应,表明社会网络既可以催化也可以抑制通过参与环境决策而对适应决策的有效权力的感知。我们的研究结果强调了社会网络在促进和约束代理方面的重要性,强调了领导和权力动态在环境决策和地方主导的适应中的作用,并为未来促进包容性和公正适应的研究奠定了基础。
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引用次数: 0
Beyond ‘Not in my electoral Year’: Why do some elected officials oppose renewable energy projects? 超越“不在我的选举年”:为什么一些民选官员反对可再生能源项目?
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.102998
Hugo Delcayre, Sébastien Bourdin
This study aimed to examine the reasons behind the wait-and-see and resistant attitudes of local elected officials regarding energy transition projects. Although there is consensus on the importance of renewable energy in combating climate change, its implementation at the local level often encounters opposition from several actors, including elected officials. This study identified the internal, external, and personal factors that influence this opposition by conducting semi-structured interviews with the French officials and stakeholders involved in the energy transition and by analysing the local and regional press. Our findings indicate that political strategies, regulatory complexities, and personal beliefs play significant roles in shaping officials’ decisions regarding energy transition projects. Furthermore, by proposing a typology of elected officials according to their modes of opposition, we offer insights to promote effective and sustainable local energy transitions.
本研究旨在探讨地方民选官员对能源转型项目持观望和抵制态度背后的原因。尽管人们对可再生能源在应对气候变化方面的重要性达成了共识,但在地方一级实施可再生能源往往会遭到包括民选官员在内的几个行动者的反对。本研究通过对参与能源转型的法国官员和利益相关者进行半结构化访谈,并通过分析当地和地区媒体,确定了影响这种反对意见的内部、外部和个人因素。我们的研究结果表明,政治策略、监管复杂性和个人信仰在塑造官员关于能源转型项目的决策方面发挥了重要作用。此外,通过根据他们的反对模式提出民选官员的类型学,我们为促进有效和可持续的当地能源转型提供了见解。
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引用次数: 0
The labour and resource use requirements of a good life for all 人人享有美好生活所需的劳动力和资源
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103008
Chris McElroy , Daniel W. O’Neill
We use multi-regional input–output analysis to calculate the paid labour, energy, emissions, and material use required to provide basic needs for all people. We calculate two different low-consumption scenarios, using the UK as a case study: (1) a “decent living” scenario, which includes only the bare necessities, and (2) a “good life” scenario, based on the minimum living standards demanded by UK residents. We compare the resulting footprints to the current footprint of the UK, and to the footprints of the US, China, India, and a global average. Labour footprints are disaggregated by sector, skill level, and region of origin.
We find that neither low-consumption scenario provides a realistic path to providing a good life for all. While the decent living scenario would require only an 18-hour working week, and on a per capita basis, 35 GJ of energy use, 4.0 tonnes of emissions, and 5.5 tonnes of materials per year, it fails to provide essential needs. The good life scenario encompasses these needs, but would require a 46-hour working week, 73 GJ of energy use, 7.5 tonnes of emissions, and 13.2 tonnes of materials per capita. Both scenarios represent substantial reductions from the UK’s current labour footprint of 65 hours per week, which the UK is only able to sustain by importing a substantial portion of its labour from other countries. We conclude that limiting consumption to the level of basic needs is not enough to achieve sustainability. Substantial changes to provisioning systems are also required.
我们使用多区域投入产出分析来计算满足所有人基本需求所需的有偿劳动、能源、排放和材料使用。我们以英国为例,计算了两种不同的低消费情景:(1)“体面生活”情景,只包括基本必需品;(2)“美好生活”情景,基于英国居民所要求的最低生活标准。我们将由此产生的足迹与英国目前的足迹、美国、中国、印度的足迹以及全球平均水平进行比较。劳动力足迹按部门、技能水平和原籍地区分类。我们发现,这两种低消费方案都不是为所有人提供美好生活的现实途径。虽然体面的生活情景只需要每周工作18小时,并且以人均为基础,每年消耗35吉焦的能源,4.0吨的排放和5.5吨的材料,但它无法满足基本需求。美好生活的情景包含了这些需求,但需要每周工作46小时,能源消耗73吉焦,排放量7.5吨,人均材料消耗13.2吨。这两种情况都代表了英国目前每周65小时的劳动力足迹的大幅减少,英国只能通过从其他国家进口相当一部分劳动力来维持。我们的结论是,将消费限制在基本需求的水平不足以实现可持续性。还需要对供应系统进行重大更改。
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引用次数: 0
Navigating political uncertainty and mineral policy: Pathways to Global South’s environmental sustainability 应对政治不确定性和矿产政策:通往全球南方环境可持续性的途径
IF 8.6 1区 环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2025.103002
Yugang He
This article explores the relationship between political uncertainty and carbon emissions across 34 Global South countries from 2000 to 2023, uncovering key links between policy stability and environmental sustainability. By employing the year- and country-fixed effects model alongside generalized least squares with panel corrected standard errors, this analysis highlights the impact of political instability on environmental outcomes. Robustness checks—conducted via the generalized method of moments and a dynamic linear panel model—further confirm the consistency and reliability of the results. The findings reveal that political uncertainty significantly elevates carbon emissions and follows a nonlinear pattern: moderate political uncertainty tends to stimulate economic activity, resulting in higher emissions, while extreme uncertainty curtails economic activity, thereby reducing emissions. Moreover, a positive interaction between political uncertainty and mineral policy signals increased resource extraction in politically unstable settings. Conversely, interactions with technological innovation and energy transition display significant negative effects, suggesting that technological advancement and renewable energy adoption effectively counteract emissions growth under high political uncertainty. This study provides new insights into the distinct political and economic dynamics influencing environmental challenges in Global South countries, emphasizing the crucial role of technological innovation and energy transition in mitigating the environmental impacts of political instability.
本文探讨了2000年至2023年间34个南半球国家的政治不确定性与碳排放之间的关系,揭示了政策稳定性与环境可持续性之间的关键联系。通过采用年度和国家固定效应模型以及具有面板修正标准误差的广义最小二乘法,本分析强调了政治不稳定对环境结果的影响。通过广义矩量法和动态线性面板模型进行的鲁棒性检查进一步证实了结果的一致性和可靠性。研究结果表明,政治不确定性显著提高了碳排放,并遵循非线性模式:适度的政治不确定性往往会刺激经济活动,导致更高的排放,而极端的不确定性则会抑制经济活动,从而减少排放。此外,政治不确定性与矿物政策之间的积极相互作用表明,在政治不稳定的情况下,资源开采增加了。相反,与技术创新和能源转型的交互作用表现出显著的负向效应,表明技术进步和可再生能源的采用有效地抵消了高政治不确定性下的排放增长。本研究对影响全球南方国家环境挑战的独特政治和经济动态提供了新的见解,强调了技术创新和能源转型在减轻政治不稳定对环境的影响方面的关键作用。
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引用次数: 0
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Global Environmental Change
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