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Recent streamflow trends across permafrost basins of North America 横跨北美永久冻土层盆地的近期水流趋势
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-29 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1099660
K. Bennett, J. Schwenk, Claire L. Bachand, Eve I. Gasarch, Jemma Stachelek, W. Bolton, J. Rowland
Introduction Climate change impacts, including changing temperatures, precipitation, and vegetation, are widely anticipated to cause major shifts to the permafrost with resulting impacts to hydro-ecosystems across the high latitudes of the globe. However, it is challenging to examine streamflow shifts in these regions owing to a paucity of data, discontinuity of records, and other issues related to data consistency and accuracy. Methods Recent trends for long-term periods (1990–2021, 1976–2021) in observed minimum, mean, and maximum seasonal and annual streamflow were analyzed for a range of watersheds across North America affected by varying degrees of permafrost coverage. Results Streamflow trend analysis revealed that areas affected by permafrost are changing variably over the periods in terms of maximum, mean, and minimum seasonal and annual streamflow. These changes indicate a significant shift occurring in the most recent 46 years towards increasing mean streamflow for the dominant (> 50%) permafrost systems. Meanwhile, minimum streamflow increases for all permafrost-dominant systems and many of the other permafrost-affected systems across the seasons and annual periods considered, with the greatest number of significant changes in streamflow over other metrics. Maximum streamflow is shifting variably with significant increases in the permafrost-dominant systems in winter and fall over longer time periods of analysis. Our analysis suggests that streamflow trends are driven by climate (precipitation, followed by temperature), while variables such as permafrost coverage only appear important in the most recent 32-year period. Discussion The increases in streamflow trends observed in this study are reflective of deepening active layers and thawing permafrost, indicating that the entire hydrograph is undergoing change within permafrost-dominant streamflow systems as the Arctic moves towards a warmer future under climate change. Despite the many challenges to understanding changing streamflow in cold regions, there are new products and datasets in development that are increasingly allowing researchers to better understand the patterns of change in Arctic and subarctic systems affected by permafrost, offering a range of new tools, which, along with continued observational records, may help in improved understanding of changing Arctic streamflow patterns.
引言气候变化的影响,包括温度、降水和植被的变化,预计将导致永久冻土的重大变化,从而对全球高纬度地区的水文生态系统产生影响。然而,由于数据匮乏、记录不连续以及与数据一致性和准确性相关的其他问题,检查这些地区的流量变化具有挑战性。方法分析了受不同程度永久冻土覆盖影响的北美一系列流域的观测到的季节和年最小、平均和最大流量的长期趋势(1990–2021、1976–2021)。结果径流趋势分析表明,受永久冻土影响的地区在不同时期的最大、平均和最小季节和年径流变化不一。这些变化表明,在最近46年中,主要(>50%)永久冻土系统的平均流量发生了显著变化。同时,所有永久冻土主导系统和许多其他受永久冻土影响的系统的最小流量在考虑的季节和年度内都会增加,与其他指标相比,流量的显著变化次数最多。在较长的分析时间内,最大流量随着冬季和秋季永久冻土主导系统的显著增加而变化。我们的分析表明,径流趋势是由气候(降水,其次是温度)驱动的,而永久冻土覆盖率等变量仅在最近32年的时间段内显得重要。讨论本研究中观察到的流量趋势的增加反映了活动层的加深和永久冻土的融化,表明随着北极在气候变化下走向更温暖的未来,在永久冻土主导的流量系统内,整个过程线正在发生变化。尽管在理解寒冷地区不断变化的流量方面存在许多挑战,但有一些新的产品和数据集正在开发中,越来越多地使研究人员能够更好地了解受永久冻土影响的北极和亚北极系统的变化模式,提供了一系列新的工具,可能有助于更好地了解不断变化的北极径流模式。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating deep learning architecture and data assimilation for improving water temperature forecasts at unmonitored locations 评估深度学习架构和数据同化,以改进未监测地点的水温预测
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-23 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1184992
J. Zwart, Jeremy Diaz, Scott D. Hamshaw, S. Oliver, Jesse C. Ross, Margaux Sleckman, A. Appling, Hayley Corson-Dosch, X. Jia, J. Read, J. Sadler, Theodore Thompson, David W. Watkins, Elaheh White
Deep learning (DL) models are increasingly used to forecast water quality variables for use in decision making. Ingesting recent observations of the forecasted variable has been shown to greatly increase model performance at monitored locations; however, observations are not collected at all locations, and methods are not yet well developed for DL models for optimally ingesting recent observations from other sites to inform focal sites. In this paper, we evaluate two different DL model structures, a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) and a recurrent graph convolutional neural network (RGCN), both with and without data assimilation for forecasting daily maximum stream temperature 7 days into the future at monitored and unmonitored locations in a 70-segment stream network. All our DL models performed well when forecasting stream temperature as the root mean squared error (RMSE) across all models ranged from 2.03 to 2.11°C for 1-day lead times in the validation period, with substantially better performance at gaged locations (RMSE = 1.45–1.52°C) compared to ungaged locations (RMSE = 3.18–3.27°C). Forecast uncertainty characterization was near-perfect for gaged locations but all DL models were overconfident (i.e., uncertainty bounds too narrow) for ungaged locations. Our results show that the RGCN with data assimilation performed best for ungaged locations and especially at higher temperatures (>18°C) which is important for management decisions in our study location. This indicates that the networked model structure and data assimilation techniques may help borrow information from nearby monitored sites to improve forecasts at unmonitored locations. Results from this study can help guide DL modeling decisions when forecasting other important environmental variables.
深度学习(DL)模型越来越多地用于预测水质变量,以用于决策。采用预测变量的最新观测结果已被证明可以大大提高监测位置的模型性能;然而,并不是在所有地点都收集到观测结果,DL模型也没有很好地开发出方法,以最佳地吸收来自其他地点的最新观测结果,从而为焦点地点提供信息。在本文中,我们评估了两种不同的DL模型结构,即长短期记忆神经网络(LSTM)和递归图卷积神经网络(RGCN),无论是否进行数据同化,都可以预测70段流网络中监测和未监测位置未来7天的日最高流温。我们所有的DL模型在预测流温度时都表现良好,因为在验证期内的1天交付周期内,所有模型的均方根误差(RMSE)在2.03至2.11°C之间,与未充气位置(RMSE=3.18–3.27°C)相比,在充气位置(均方根误差=1.45–1.52°C)的性能明显更好。对于充气位置,预测不确定性特征几乎是完美的,但对于未充气位置,所有DL模型都过于自信(即不确定性界限太窄)。我们的研究结果表明,具有数据同化的RGCN在未加标签的地点表现最好,尤其是在更高的温度(>18°C)下,这对我们研究地点的管理决策很重要。这表明,网络化的模型结构和数据同化技术可能有助于从附近的监测地点借用信息,以改进未监测地点的预测。这项研究的结果有助于在预测其他重要环境变量时指导DL建模决策。
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引用次数: 0
Socio-hydrological dynamics and water conflicts in the upper Huasco valley, Chile 智利华亚斯科河谷上游的社会水文动态和水冲突
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1100977
Juliane Dame, M. Nüsser, S. Schmidt, C. Zang
In arid regions of north-central Chile, mining activities and agricultural land use changes lead to competing water demands, water insecurity, and related conflicts. Different local and external user groups rely on the scarce water resources. This case study investigates socio-hydrological transformations in the upper Huasco valley. It builds on a mixed method approach that combines remote sensing assessments (Corona, Landsat, Sentinel-2) with a set of social science methods including interviews and an analysis of Twitter tweets. Against the backdrop of the recent mega drought, results show that the upper Huasco valley faces adverse environmental impacts and conflicts over mining activities as well as an expansion of export-oriented agriculture. While water availability largely depends on the cryosphere, remote sensing analyses show a drastic glacier decrease in the vicinity of the mining project, where three glaciers completely disappeared since 2000. Furthermore, an expansion of the cultivated area from 2,000 ha in the 1990s to about 3,210 ha occurred in the 2000s. Agricultural expansion has come to a halt and only a slight increase of 100 ha can be detected over the last decade. Interview and social media data show local concerns and discourses on issues of water scarcity and quality related to these land use changes. The study stresses the necessity of integrative assessments for a better understanding of water scarcity and water-related conflicts. Equitable water governance in climate-sensitive areas requires contextualizing land use changes and the precarious drinking water situation from a socio-hydrological perspective.
在智利中北部的干旱地区,采矿活动和农业用地变化导致了相互竞争的水需求、水不安全以及相关冲突。不同的本地和外部用户群体依赖稀缺的水资源。本案例研究调查了Huasco河谷上游的社会水文变化。它建立在一种混合方法的基础上,将遥感评估(Corona、Landsat、Sentinel-2)与一套社会科学方法(包括访谈和对Twitter推文的分析)结合起来。在最近特大干旱的背景下,结果表明,Huasco河谷上游面临不利的环境影响和采矿活动的冲突以及出口导向型农业的扩张。虽然水的可用性在很大程度上取决于冰冻圈,但遥感分析显示,采矿项目附近的冰川急剧减少,自2000年以来,有三座冰川完全消失。此外,耕地面积从20世纪90年代的2000公顷扩大到21世纪初的约3210公顷。农业扩张已经停止,在过去十年中只略微增加了100公顷。采访和社交媒体数据显示了当地对与这些土地利用变化相关的水资源短缺和水质问题的关注和讨论。该研究强调了综合评估的必要性,以便更好地了解水资源短缺和与水有关的冲突。气候敏感地区的公平水治理需要从社会水文角度考虑土地利用变化和不稳定的饮用水状况。
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引用次数: 0
Dissolution rate variability at carbonate surfaces: 4D X-ray micro-tomography and stochastic modeling investigations 碳酸盐表面的溶解速率变异性:4D x射线微断层扫描和随机建模研究
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-19 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1185608
M. Guren, François Renard, C. Noiriel
We provide a detailed 3D characterization of the geometry evolution and dissolution rate mapping at the surface of four carbonate samples, namely a calcite spar crystal, two limestone rock fragments, and an aragonite ooid, using time-lapse X-ray micro-tomography during dissolution experiments at pH 4.0. Evaluation of the retreat and mapping of the reaction rates at the whole surface of the samples reveals a large spatial variability in the dissolution rates, reflecting the composition and the specific contributions of the different regions of the samples. While crystal edges and convex topographies record the highest dissolution rates, the retreat is slower for flat surfaces and in topographic lows (i.e., concave areas), suggesting surface-energy related and/or diffusion-limited reactions. Microcrystalline aragonite has the highest rate of dissolution compared to calcite. Surprisingly, rough microcrystalline calcite surface dissolves globally more slowly than the {101̄4} faces of the calcite spar crystal. The presence of mineral impurities in rocks, through the development of a rough interface that may affect the transport of species across the surface, may explain the slight decrease in reactivity with time. Finally, a macroscopic stochastic model using the set of detachment probabilities at corner, edge, and face (terrace) sites obtained from kinetic Monte Carlo simulations is applied at the spar crystal scale to account for the effect of site coordination onto reactivity. Application of the model to the three other carbonate samples is discussed regarding their geometry and composition. The results suggest that the global dissolution process of carbonate rocks does not reflect only the individual behavior of their forming minerals, but also the geometry of the crystals and the shape of the fluid-mineral interface.
在pH 4.0的溶解实验中,我们使用延时X射线显微断层扫描,对四个碳酸盐样品(即一个方解石晶石晶体、两个石灰石碎片和一个霰石-鲕粒)表面的几何演化和溶解速率图进行了详细的3D表征。对样品整个表面反应速率的消退和映射的评估揭示了溶解速率的巨大空间变异性,反映了样品不同区域的组成和具体贡献。虽然晶体边缘和凸起的形貌记录了最高的溶解速率,但平坦表面和地形低点(即凹陷区域)的消退较慢,这表明表面能相关和/或扩散受限的反应。微晶文石与方解石相比具有最高的溶解速率。令人惊讶的是,粗糙的微晶方解石表面在全球范围内的溶解速度比方解石晶石晶体的{101̄4}面慢。岩石中矿物杂质的存在,通过粗糙界面的形成,可能会影响物种在表面的迁移,可以解释反应性随时间的推移略有下降。最后,在晶石晶体尺度上应用宏观随机模型,该模型使用从动力学蒙特卡罗模拟中获得的角、边和面(阶地)位置的一组分离概率,以考虑位置配位对反应性的影响。讨论了该模型在其他三个碳酸盐样品中的几何结构和组成应用。结果表明,碳酸盐岩的整体溶解过程不仅反映了其形成矿物的个体行为,还反映了晶体的几何形状和流体-矿物界面的形状。
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引用次数: 1
Assessment of solid and liquid wastes management and health impacts along the failed sewerage systems in capital cities of African countries: case of Abidjan, Côte d'Ivoire 评估非洲国家首都城市污水系统故障对固体和液体废物管理和健康的影响:以科特迪瓦阿比让为例
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-16 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1071686
Z. Ouattara, K. Dongo, Komlavi Akpoti, A. T. Kabo-bah, F. Attiogbe, E. K. Siabi, Chu Donatus Iweh, Guemegbo Hypolithe Gogo
The management of domestic wastewater and rainwater is a major concern for the population of Yopougon. The study presents the causes of wastewater discharge from dysfunctional sewers and their health impacts on the population. It also highlights the environmental and health risk associated with poor solid and liquid waste management. This was based on literature search, semi-participatory workshop, physicochemical and bacteriological characterization of wastewater and finally through a household survey. The field survey was conducted on 245 household heads obtained using the Canadian statistical guidelines. The results obtained indicated that all main pollution indicators were; total nitrogen (TN, 525 ± 0.02 to 3077 ± 0.3 mg/l), nitrates (NO3, 146 ± 0.01 to 1347 ± 0.12 mg/l), biochemical oxygen demand (BOD, 278 ± 195.16 to 645 ± 391.74 mg/l), chemical oxygen demand (COD, 940 ± 650.54 to 4050.5 ± 71.42 mg/l) and total dissolved solids (TDS, 151 ± 9.9 to 766 ± 237.59 mg/l) which were above the values recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) and Cote d'Ivoire national policy guidelines standards for the discharge of effluents into the environment. The analysis of the bacterial flora of the effluents revealed that the concentrations of Total Coliforms and fecal streptococci exceeded the values recommended by the WHO and national policy guidelines standards. This means that the populations of this area are prone to infectious diseases. Diseases such as malaria (84.53%), respiratory infections (61%), diarrhea (48.66%), intestinal diseases (44.5%), and typhoid fever (28.84%) were prevalent in the surveyed households.
生活污水和雨水的管理是Yopougon居民关心的一个主要问题。该研究介绍了功能失调的下水道排放废水的原因及其对人口健康的影响。它还强调了固体和液体废物管理不善带来的环境和健康风险。这是基于文献检索、半参与式研讨会、废水的物理化学和细菌学表征,最后通过家庭调查。这项实地调查是根据加拿大统计准则对245名户主进行的。结果表明,各主要污染指标均为:;总氮(TN,525±0.02至3077±0.3 mg/l)、硝酸盐(NO3,146±0.01至1347±0.12 mg/l)、生化需氧量(BOD,278±195.16至645±391.74 mg/l),化学需氧量(COD,940±650.54至4050.5±71.42毫克/升)和总溶解固体(TDS,151±9.9至766±237.59毫克/升。对污水菌群的分析表明,总大肠杆菌和粪便链球菌的浓度超过了世界卫生组织和国家政策指南标准建议的值。这意味着这个地区的人口容易感染传染病。疟疾(84.53%)、呼吸道感染(61%)、腹泻(48.66%)、肠道疾病(44.5%)和伤寒(28.84%)等疾病在受访家庭中流行。
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引用次数: 0
Urban flood regulating ecosystem services under climate change: how can Nature-based Solutions contribute? 气候变化下城市洪水调节生态系统服务:基于自然的解决方案如何发挥作用?
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-15 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1081850
Thea Wübbelmann, Kristian Förster, L. Bouwer, C. Dworczyk, Steffen Bender, Benjamin Burkhard
Urban areas are mostly highly sealed spaces, which often leads to large proportions of surface runoff. At the same time, heavy rainfall events are projected to increase in frequency and intensity with anthropogenic climate change. Consequently, higher risks and damages from pluvial flooding are expected. The analysis of Flood Regulating Ecosystem Services (FRES) can help to determine the benefits from nature to people by reducing surface runoff and runoff peaks. However, urban FRES are rarely studied for heavy rainfall events under changing climate conditions. Therefore, we first estimate the functionality of current urban FRES-supply and demand under changing climate conditions. Second, we identify the effects of Nature-based Solutions (NbS) on FRES-supply and demand and their potential future functionality and benefits concerning more intensive rainfall events. A district of the city of Rostock in northeastern Germany serves as the case study area. In addition to the reference conditions based on the current land use, we investigate two potential NbS: (1) increasing the number of trees; and (2) unsealing and soil improvement. Both NbS and a combination of both are applied for three heavy rainfall scenarios. In addition to a reference scenario, two future scenarios were developed to investigate the FRES functionality, based on 21 and 28% more intense rainfall. While the potential FRES-demand was held constant, we assessed the FRES-supply and actual demand for all scenario combinations, using the hydrological model LEAFlood. The comparison between the actual demand and supply indicates the changes in FRES-supply surplus and unmet demand increase. Existing land use structures reached a FRES capacity and cannot buffer more intense rainfall events. Whereas, the NbS serve FRES benefits by increasing the supply and reducing the actual demand. Using FRES indicators, based on hydrological models to estimate future functionality under changing climate conditions and the benefits of NbS, can serve as an analysis and decision-support tool for decision-makers to reduce future urban flood risk.
城市地区大多是高度封闭的空间,这通常会导致大量的地表径流。与此同时,预计强降雨事件的频率和强度将随着人为气候变化而增加。因此,预计洪泛会带来更高的风险和损失。洪水调节生态系统服务(FRES)的分析可以通过减少地表径流和径流峰值来帮助确定自然对人类的好处。然而,城市FRES很少针对气候条件变化下的强降雨事件进行研究。因此,我们首先估计了气候变化条件下当前城市FRES供需的功能。其次,我们确定了基于自然的解决方案(NbS)对FRES供需的影响,以及它们在未来更密集降雨事件中的潜在功能和好处。德国东北部罗斯托克市的一个区作为案例研究区。除了基于当前土地利用的参考条件外,我们还研究了两个潜在的NbS:(1)增加树木数量;以及(2)解封和土壤改良。NbS和两者的组合应用于三种强降雨情景。除了一个参考场景外,还开发了两个未来场景来调查FRES的功能,分别基于21%和28%的强降雨。虽然潜在的FRES需求保持不变,但我们使用水文模型LEAFlood评估了所有情景组合的FRES供应和实际需求。实际需求和供应之间的比较表明FRES供应过剩和未满足需求增加的变化。现有的土地利用结构已达到FRES容量,无法缓冲更强烈的降雨事件。然而,NbS通过增加供应和减少实际需求来为FRES服务。使用基于水文模型的FRES指标来估计气候变化条件下的未来功能和NbS的效益,可以作为决策者降低未来城市洪水风险的分析和决策支持工具。
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引用次数: 1
Ecosystem services produced by groundwater dependent ecosystems: a framework and case study in California 地下水依赖生态系统产生的生态系统服务:加州的框架和案例研究
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1115416
J. Howard, Katherine E Dooley, K. Brauman, Kirk R. Klausmeyer, M. M. Rohde
Groundwater is an important freshwater supply for agricultural, domestic, and environmental uses and critical buffer against a warming climate, particularly in semi-arid and arid regions of the world. Groundwater dependent ecosystems (GDEs), which rely on groundwater for some or all of their water requirements, include terrestrial vegetation, rivers, springs, wetlands, and riparian zones. These GDEs provide benefits to people ranging from habitat for pollinators to carbon sequestration. Accounting for these benefits, called ecosystem services, can inform management by expanding the potential group of groundwater users to include groundwater dependent ecosystems. Here we develop an approach to inventory the ecosystem services of GDEs by identifying the ecosystem functions of a range of GDEs and assessing how they are linked to a wide range of ecosystem services. We apply this approach as a case study in California, USA, where we found ecosystem services from GDEs is widespread across the state; over 30% of California's pollinator dependent crops may benefit from GDEs, and carbon storage of GDEs is equivalent to 790 million tons, twice as much as California emits annually.
地下水是农业、家庭和环境使用的重要淡水供应,是应对气候变暖的关键缓冲,特别是在世界半干旱和干旱地区。地下水依赖生态系统(GDEs)依赖地下水满足其部分或全部用水需求,包括陆地植被、河流、泉水、湿地和河岸带。这些gde为人类提供了从传粉媒介的栖息地到碳封存的各种好处。考虑到这些被称为生态系统服务的利益,可以通过扩大地下水潜在用户群体,包括依赖地下水的生态系统,为管理提供信息。在这里,我们开发了一种方法,通过确定一系列gde的生态系统功能,并评估它们如何与广泛的生态系统服务相关联,来盘点gde的生态系统服务。我们将这种方法应用于美国加利福尼亚州的案例研究,在那里我们发现gde的生态系统服务在整个州都很普遍;超过30%的加州依赖传粉者的作物可能受益于gde, gde的碳储量相当于7.9亿吨,是加州每年排放量的两倍。
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引用次数: 2
Editorial: Impact of anthropogenic disturbances on agroforestry ecosystems 社论:人为干扰对农林生态系统的影响
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-06 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1207654
P. Nasta, Z. Adane, R. Baatz, S. Schönbrodt-Stitt, H. Bogena
COPYRIGHT © 2023 Nasta, Adane, Baatz, Schönbrodt-Stitt and Bogena. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. Editorial: Impact of anthropogenic disturbances on agroforestry ecosystems
版权所有©2023 Nasta, Adane, Baatz, Schönbrodt-Stitt和Bogena。这是一篇基于知识共享署名许可(CC BY)的开放获取文章。允许在其他论坛上使用、分发或复制,前提是要注明原作者和版权所有者,并根据公认的学术惯例引用本期刊的原始出版物。不遵守这些条款的使用、分发或复制是不被允许的。社论:人为干扰对农林生态系统的影响
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引用次数: 0
Predicting streamflow with LSTM networks using global datasets 使用全局数据集的LSTM网络预测流
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-05 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1166124
Katharina Wilbrand, Riccardo Taormina, Marie-claire ten Veldhuis, M. Visser, M. Hrachowitz, J. Nuttall, R. Dahm
Streamflow predictions remain a challenge for poorly gauged and ungauged catchments. Recent research has shown that deep learning methods based on Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) cells outperform process-based hydrological models for rainfall-runoff modeling, opening new possibilities for prediction in ungauged basins (PUB). These studies usually feature local datasets for model development, while predictions in ungauged basins at a global scale require training on global datasets. In this study, we develop LSTM models for over 500 catchments from the CAMELS-US data base using global ERA5 meteorological forcing and global catchment characteristics retrieved with the HydroMT tool. Comparison against an LSTM trained with local datasets shows that, while the latter generally yields superior performances due to the higher spatial resolution meteorological forcing (overall median daily NSE 0.54 vs. 0.71), training with ERA5 results in higher NSE in most catchments of Western and North-Western US (median daily NSE of 0.83 vs. 0.78). No significant changes in performance occur when substituting local with global data sources for deriving the catchment characteristics. These results encourage further research to develop LSTM models for worldwide predictions of streamflow in ungauged basins using available global datasets. Promising directions include training the models with streamflow data from different regions of the world and with higher quality meteorological forcing.
对于测量差和未测量的集水区,流量预测仍然是一个挑战。最近的研究表明,基于长短期记忆(LSTM)细胞的深度学习方法在降雨径流建模方面优于基于过程的水文模型,为未测量流域(PUB)的预测开辟了新的可能性。这些研究通常采用本地数据集来开发模型,而在全球尺度上对未测量的盆地进行预测则需要对全球数据集进行训练。在这项研究中,我们利用全球ERA5气象强迫和HydroMT工具检索的全球流域特征,从CAMELS-US数据库中开发了500多个流域的LSTM模型。与使用本地数据集训练的LSTM相比,后者通常由于更高的空间分辨率气象强迫(总体日NSE中位数0.54比0.71)而具有更优越的性能,而使用ERA5训练在美国西部和西北部的大多数集水区产生更高的NSE(日NSE中位数0.83比0.78)。当用全局数据源代替局部数据源来推导集水区特征时,不会出现显著的性能变化。这些结果鼓励进一步研究开发LSTM模型,利用可用的全球数据集对未测量流域的全球流量进行预测。有希望的方向包括用来自世界不同地区的流量数据和更高质量的气象强迫训练模型。
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引用次数: 2
Editorial: Data-driven machine learning for advancing hydrological and hydraulic predictability 社论:数据驱动的机器学习提高水文和水力可预测性
IF 2.9 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.3389/frwa.2023.1215966
Dan Lu, Tiantian Yang, Xiaofeng Liu
COPYRIGHT © 2023 Lu, Yang and Liu. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms. Editorial: Data-driven machine learning for advancing hydrological and hydraulic predictability
版权所有©2023鲁、杨和刘。这是一篇根据知识共享署名许可(CC BY)条款发布的开放获取文章。根据公认的学术惯例,允许在其他论坛上使用、分发或复制,前提是原作者和版权所有人得到认可,并引用本期刊上的原始出版物。不允许使用、分发或复制不符合这些条款的内容。社论:数据驱动的机器学习用于提高水文和水力可预测性
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Frontiers in Water
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