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Reviewing accuracy & reproducibility of large-scale wind resource assessments 审查大规模风能资源评估的准确性和可重复性
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-12-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100158
Tristan Pelser , Jann Michael Weinand , Patrick Kuckertz , Russell McKenna , Jochen Linssen , Detlef Stolten

The accurate quantification and assessment of available renewable energy resources has emerged as a research topic with high relevance to policymakers and industry. Motivated by the need for a contemporary review on the methodologies and practices prevalent in wind resource assessments, we employ a systematic analysis of 195 articles that describe large-scale wind assessments. Our review reveals significant heterogeneity in global and continental-scale potentials and geographical bias of research towards the Northern Hemisphere, despite electrification needs in regions like Africa and Latin America. A fraction of the literature attempts to explicitly include social and political barriers to wind power development, thereby defining ‘feasible’ potentials. We delve into advancements in this domain, focusing on innovative methodologies that encapsulate the viewpoints of subject experts and stakeholders in the assessment process. Our analysis underscores pressing challenges relating to data sharing and scientific reproducibility, with our findings revealing a mere 10 % of studies that offer openly available data for download. This highlights a pervasive insufficiency in the reproducibility of wind assessments. Additionally, we tackle notable hurdles concerning wind data and meteorological characterization, including an over-reliance on single-source wind data and a deficit in adequately characterizing temporal wind variability. Relatedly, we uncover a highly heterogenous approach to turbine siting and characterizing wake-related losses. These methods are frequently simplistic, potentially leading to an overestimation of wind potentials by assuming an overly optimistic capacity density. In each of these domains, we discuss the state of the art for modern wind resource assessments, propose best practices, and pinpoint crucial areas warranting future research.

可再生能源资源的准确量化和评估已成为政策制定者和行业高度相关的研究课题。由于需要对风能资源评估中普遍存在的方法和实践进行当代回顾,我们对195篇描述大规模风能评估的文章进行了系统分析。我们的回顾显示,尽管非洲和拉丁美洲等地区有电气化需求,但全球和大陆范围内的潜力存在显著的异质性,研究的地理偏差也倾向于北半球。一小部分文献试图明确地包括风力发电发展的社会和政治障碍,从而定义“可行”的潜力。我们深入研究了这一领域的进展,专注于在评估过程中封装主题专家和利益相关者观点的创新方法。我们的分析强调了与数据共享和科学可重复性相关的紧迫挑战,我们的研究结果显示,只有10%的研究提供公开的数据供下载。这突出了风评估的可重复性普遍不足。此外,我们解决了有关风数据和气象特征的显著障碍,包括过度依赖单一来源的风数据和在充分表征时间风变率方面的缺陷。与此相关,我们发现了一种高度异质的方法来定位涡轮机并表征尾迹相关的损失。这些方法往往过于简单,通过假设过于乐观的容量密度,可能导致对风力潜力的高估。在这些领域中,我们讨论了现代风能资源评估的最新技术,提出了最佳实践,并指出了需要未来研究的关键领域。
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引用次数: 0
Integrated optimization in operations control and systems design for carbon emission reduction in building electrification with distributed energy resources 分布式能源建筑电气化运行控制与碳减排系统设计集成优化
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100144
Shiyu Yang , H. Oliver Gao , Fengqi You

Building electrification with distributed energy resources (DERs) is a promising strategy to decarbonize the building sector. Considering the inter-dependencies between operations control and systems design, integrating technology operations control optimization with DERs investment optimization can cost-effectively enhance such building decarbonization opportunities. This study proposes a multi-timescale integrated optimization framework to simultaneously optimize the design and control of DERs and electrification technologies for buildings. A novel building operational performance prediction model based on deep learning is developed to approximate and replace the computationally expensive control optimization. This helps resolve the challenging, computationally intractable multi-timescale integrated design and control optimization problem. Applying the proposed framework to a residential building, our results demonstrate its effectiveness in cost-efficient carbon emissions reduction. With integrated design and control optimization for DERs and electric building energy systems, the proposed framework reduces operational carbon emissions by 80% and total costs by 2.7% compared to a base case, which uses typical conventional building energy systems without DERs and control/design optimization. Separate optimization of operations control and system design cannot achieve such performance. Further scenario analyses indicate that as power grids become cleaner, the reliance on DERs can be alleviated but remain important in building carbon emission reduction under 2050 power grid scenario. Overall, as our results demonstrate, it is possible to reduce building operational carbon emissions simultaneously with net electrical load: compared to the base case, the proposed framework helps reduce the carbon emission by 80% while driving down the net electrical load from 44.1 to 19.3 kWh/m2/year.

利用分布式能源资源(DERs)实现楼宇电气化是楼宇领域去碳化的一项前景广阔的战略。考虑到运营控制与系统设计之间的相互依存关系,将技术运营控制优化与 DERs 投资优化相结合,可以经济有效地提高建筑行业的去碳化机会。本研究提出了一个多时间尺度的集成优化框架,可同时优化 DERs 和建筑电气化技术的设计和控制。研究开发了一种基于深度学习的新型建筑运行性能预测模型,以近似并取代计算成本高昂的控制优化。这有助于解决具有挑战性、难以计算的多时间尺度综合设计和控制优化问题。我们将所提出的框架应用于一栋住宅楼,结果证明了它在经济高效地减少碳排放方面的有效性。通过对 DERs 和电动建筑能源系统进行集成设计和控制优化,与使用典型传统建筑能源系统(无 DERs 和控制/设计优化)的基本情况相比,所提出的框架减少了 80% 的运行碳排放和 2.7% 的总成本。单独优化运行控制和系统设计无法实现这样的性能。进一步的情景分析表明,随着电网变得更加清洁,对 DER 的依赖可以减轻,但在 2050 年电网情景下,DER 在建筑碳减排中仍然非常重要。总之,我们的研究结果表明,在减少建筑运行碳排放的同时,还能减少净电力负荷:与基本情况相比,所提出的框架有助于减少 80% 的碳排放,同时将净电力负荷从 44.1 千瓦时/平方米/年降低到 19.3 千瓦时/平方米/年。
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引用次数: 2
Carbon abatement costs for renewable fuels in hard-to-abate transport sectors 在难以减排的运输部门使用可再生燃料的碳减排成本
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100156
Jonas Martin , Emil Dimanchev , Anne Neumann

Renewable fuels can help to reduce carbon emissions from transportation. To inform planning decisions, this paper estimates carbon abatement costs of replacing fossil fuels with renewable hydrogen, ammonia, or Fischer–Tropsch e-fuel in Norwegian freight transport across long-haul trucking, short-sea shipping, and medium-haul aviation. We do this by applying a holistic cost model of renewable fuel value chains. We compare abatement costs across transport sectors and analyze how policy interventions along the value chains – such as carbon pricing, subsidies, and de-risking policies – impact carbon abatement costs. We estimate abatement costs of 793–1,598 €/tCO2 in 2020 and -11–675 €/tCO2 in 2050, depending on the electricity source, transport sector, and type of fuel. A 1 €/kg reduction in the cost of hydrogen - e.g. through a subsidy - lowers present-day carbon abatement cost by 95 €/tCO2 for hydrogen-powered trucking, 133 €/tCO2 for e-fuel-powered shipping, and 143 €/tCO2 for e-fuel-powered aviation. We further show that reductions in the weighted average cost of capital materially decrease abatement cost, particularly for renewable hydrogen due to its relative capital intensity.

可再生燃料有助于减少交通运输中的碳排放。为了为规划决策提供信息,本文估算了挪威长途卡车运输、短途海运和中程航空货运中用可再生氢、氨或费托电子燃料替代化石燃料的碳减排成本。我们通过应用可再生燃料价值链的整体成本模型来做到这一点。我们比较了各个运输部门的减排成本,并分析了价值链上的政策干预(如碳定价、补贴和降低风险政策)如何影响碳减排成本。根据电力来源、运输部门和燃料类型的不同,我们估计2020年的减排成本为793 - 1598欧元/吨二氧化碳,2050年为-11-675欧元/吨二氧化碳。氢的成本每公斤降低1欧元(例如通过补贴),目前氢动力卡车的碳减排成本将降低95欧元/吨二氧化碳,电子燃料动力航运的碳减排成本将降低133欧元/吨二氧化碳,电子燃料动力航空的碳减排成本将降低143欧元/吨二氧化碳。我们进一步表明,加权平均资本成本的降低大大降低了减排成本,特别是可再生氢,因为它的相对资本强度。
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引用次数: 0
Designing climate resilient energy systems in complex urban areas considering urban morphology: A technical review 考虑城市形态的复杂城市地区气候弹性能源系统设计:技术综述
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-10-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100155
Kavan Javanroodi , A.T.D. Perera , Tianzhen Hong , Vahid M Nik

The urban energy infrastructure is facing a rising number of challenges due to climate change and rapid urbanization. In particular, the link between urban morphology and energy systems has become increasingly crucial as cities continue to expand and become more densely populated. Achieving climate neutrality adds another layer of complexity, highlighting the need to address this relationship to develop effective strategies for sustainable urban energy infrastructure. The occurrence of extreme climate events can also trigger cascading failures in the system components, leading to long-lasting blackouts. This review paper thoroughly explores the challenges of incorporating urban morphology into energy system models through a comprehensive literature review and proposes a new framework to enhance the resilience of interconnected systems. The review emphasizes the need for integrated models to provide deeper insights into urban energy systems design and operation and addresses the cascading failures, interconnectivity, and compound impacts of climate change and urbanization on energy systems. It also explores emerging challenges and opportunities, including the requirement for high-quality data, utilization of big data, and integration of advanced technologies like artificial intelligence and machine learning in urban energy systems. The proposed framework integrates urban morphology classification, mesoscale and microscale climate data, and a design and operation process to consider the influence of urban morphology, climate variability, and extreme events. Given the prevalence of extreme climate events and the need for climate-resilient strategies, the study underscores the significance of improving energy system models to accommodate future climate variations while recognizing the interconnectivity within urban infrastructure.

由于气候变化和快速城市化,城市能源基础设施正面临越来越多的挑战。特别是,随着城市的不断扩张和人口密度的增加,城市形态和能源系统之间的联系变得越来越重要。实现气候中和增加了另一层复杂性,凸显了解决这种关系的必要性,以制定可持续城市能源基础设施的有效战略。极端气候事件的发生也可能引发系统组件的级联故障,导致长期停电。本文通过全面的文献综述,深入探讨了将城市形态纳入能源系统模型的挑战,并提出了一个新的框架来增强互联系统的弹性。该审查强调,需要综合模型来深入了解城市能源系统的设计和运行,并解决气候变化和城市化对能源系统的连锁故障、互联性和复合影响。它还探讨了新出现的挑战和机遇,包括对高质量数据的需求、大数据的利用以及人工智能和机器学习等先进技术在城市能源系统中的集成。所提出的框架整合了城市形态分类、中尺度和微尺度气候数据,以及考虑城市形态、气候变化和极端事件影响的设计和操作过程。鉴于极端气候事件的普遍性和应对气候变化战略的必要性,该研究强调了改进能源系统模型以适应未来气候变化的重要性,同时认识到城市基础设施内部的相互联系。
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引用次数: 1
Experimental research and multi-physical modeling progress of Zinc-Nickel single flow battery: A critical review 锌镍单液流电池的实验研究及多物理建模进展综述
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100154
Xinyu Huang , Rui Zhou , Xilian Luo , Xiaohu Yang , Jie Cheng , Jinyue Yan

Electrochemical energy storage technologies hold great significance in the progression of renewable energy. Within this specific field, flow batteries have emerged as a crucial component, with Zinc–Nickel single flow batteries attracting attention due to their cost-effectiveness, safety, stability, and high energy density. This comprehensive review aims to thoroughly evaluate the key concerns and obstacles associated with this type of battery, including polarization loss, hydrogen evolution reaction, and dendrite growth, among others. Additionally, the study highlights ongoing research endeavors focused on addressing these concerns, such as optimizing battery operating conditions and developing new electrodes. Furthermore, recent advancements in experimental processes and multi-scale numerical simulations of Zinc–Nickel single flow batteries, facilitated by the visual literature analysis software VOSviewer, are also explored. The primary objective of this review is to acquire a comprehensive understanding of the electrochemical reaction and internal mass transfer mechanism of Zinc–Nickel single flow batteries, while also anticipating future research directions and prospects.

电化学储能技术在可再生能源发展中具有重要意义。在这一特定领域,液流电池已成为一个关键组件,锌镍单液流电池因其成本效益、安全性、稳定性和高能量密度而备受关注。这篇全面的综述旨在彻底评估与此类电池相关的关键问题和障碍,包括极化损耗、析氢反应和枝晶生长等。此外,该研究强调了正在进行的专注于解决这些问题的研究工作,例如优化电池运行条件和开发新电极。此外,还探讨了视觉文献分析软件VOSviewer在锌镍单流电池实验过程和多尺度数值模拟方面的最新进展。本综述的主要目的是全面了解锌镍单流电池的电化学反应和内部传质机理,同时展望未来的研究方向和前景。
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引用次数: 1
Decarbonizing integrated chlor-alkali and vinyl chloride monomer production: Reducing the cost with industrial flexibility 脱碳一体化氯碱、氯乙烯单体生产:降低成本,具有工业灵活性
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100152
Sverre Stefanussen Foslie , Julian Straus , Brage Rugstad Knudsen , Magnus Korpås

Industrial demand response will become increasingly important in power grids with high shares of variable renewables, yet the existing knowledge on how the industrial electricity demand and flexibility will change with the decarbonization of chemical processes is limited. Here we develop a mixed-integer linear optimization model, which we use to compare the cost and flexibility of the most relevant decarbonization options for the combined chlor-alkali electrolysis (CAE) and vinyl chloride monomer (VCM) production process. We combine product and energy storage to enable the full flexibility potential of the decarbonized process. Our results show that flexible operation of the CAE process is deemed technically possible but limited by internal process dependencies due to decarbonization of the VCM production. Combining energy and product storage for demand response enables up to 4% operational cost reduction by shifting loads during peak price hours. High overcapacity of PEM electrolyzers is required to release the full flexibility potential in the hydrogen based decarbonization option, while the less flexible direct electrification option shows a potential for OPEX reduction. Full decarbonization of the combined CAE and VCM process without increasing operational cost significantly appears difficult. Our study emphasizes demand response through product and energy storages as a viable pathway for minimizing the added cost, and also enables a significant reduction of electric demand in high-price hours.

在可变可再生能源比例较高的电网中,工业需求响应将变得越来越重要,但关于工业电力需求和灵活性将如何随着化学过程脱碳而变化的现有知识有限。在此,我们开发了一个混合整数线性优化模型,用于比较氯-碱联合电解(CAE)和氯乙烯单体(VCM)生产过程中最相关脱碳方案的成本和灵活性。我们将产品和储能相结合,以充分发挥脱碳过程的灵活性潜力。我们的研究结果表明,CAE工艺的灵活操作在技术上是可行的,但由于VCM生产脱碳,内部工艺依赖性受到限制。将能源和产品存储相结合以满足需求,通过在高峰价格时段转移负载,可将运营成本降低4%。PEM电解槽的高产能需要释放氢脱碳方案的全部灵活性潜力,而灵活性较低的直接通电方案显示出降低运营成本的潜力。在不显著增加运营成本的情况下,CAE和VCM联合工艺的完全脱碳似乎很困难。我们的研究强调,通过产品和储能来响应需求,这是一种将增加的成本降至最低的可行途径,也有助于在高价时段大幅减少电力需求。
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引用次数: 0
Official announcement: Advances in Applied Energy included in the ESCI 官方公告:应用能源进展纳入ESCI
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100153
Jinyue Yan
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引用次数: 0
Identifying generalizable equilibrium pricing strategies for charging service providers in coupled power and transportation networks 电力和交通耦合网络中收费服务提供商的一般均衡定价策略
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100151
Yujian Ye , Hongru Wang , Tianxiang Cui , Xiaoying Yang , Shaofu Yang , Min-Ling Zhang

Transportation electrification, involving large-scale integration of electric vehicles (EV) and fast charging stations (FCS), plays a critical role for global energy transition and decarbonization. In this context, coordination of EV routing and charging activities through suitably designed price signals constitutes an imperative step in secure and economic operation of the coupled power-transportation networks (CPTN). This work examines the non-cooperative pricing competition between self-interested EV charging service providers (CSP), taken into account the complex interactions between CSPs' pricing strategies, EV users' decisions and the operation of CPTN. The modeling of CPTN environment captures the prominent type of uncertainties stemming from the gasoline vehicle and EV origin-destination travel demands and their cost elasticity, EV initial state-of-charge and renewable energy sources (RES). An enhanced multi-agent proximal policy optimization method is developed to solve the pricing game, which incorporates an attention mechanism to selectively incorporate agents' representative information to mitigate the environmental non-stationarity without raising dimensionality challenge, while safeguarding the commercial confidentiality of CSP agents. To foster more efficient learning coordination in the highly uncertain CPTN environment, a sequential update scheme is also developed to achieve monotonic policy improvement for CSP agents. Case studies on an illustrative and a large-scale test system reveal that the proposed method facilitates sufficient competition among CSP agents and corroborates the core benefits in terms of reduced charging costs for EV users, enhancement of RES absorption and cost efficiency of the power distribution network. Results also validate the excellent generalization capability of the proposed method in coping with CPTN uncertainties. Finally, the rationale of the proposed attention mechanism is validated and the superior computational performance is highlighted against the state-of-the-art methods.

交通电气化涉及电动汽车(EV)和快速充电站(FCS)的大规模集成,在全球能源转型和脱碳中发挥着关键作用。在这种情况下,通过适当设计的价格信号来协调电动汽车的路线和充电活动,构成了耦合电力运输网络(CPTN)安全经济运行的必要步骤。这项工作考察了自利的电动汽车充电服务提供商(CSP)之间的非合作定价竞争,考虑到CSP的定价策略、电动汽车用户的决策和CPTN运营之间的复杂互动。CPTN环境的建模捕捉到了汽油车和电动汽车出发地-目的地旅行需求及其成本弹性、电动汽车初始充电状态和可再生能源(RES)产生的突出类型的不确定性。开发了一种改进的多智能体近端策略优化方法来解决定价博弈,该方法结合了一种注意力机制,选择性地结合智能体的代表信息,在不增加维度挑战的情况下缓解环境非平稳性,同时保护CSP智能体的商业机密性。为了在高度不确定的CPTN环境中培养更有效的学习协调,还开发了一种顺序更新方案来实现CSP代理的单调策略改进。对一个示例性和大规模测试系统的案例研究表明,所提出的方法有助于CSP代理商之间的充分竞争,并证实了在降低电动汽车用户充电成本、提高可再生能源吸收和配电网成本效率方面的核心利益。结果也验证了所提出的方法在处理CPTN不确定性方面具有良好的泛化能力。最后,验证了所提出的注意机制的基本原理,并强调了与最先进的方法相比优越的计算性能。
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引用次数: 0
Power to heat: Opportunity of flexibility services provided by building energy systems Power to Heat:建筑能源系统提供灵活服务的机会
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100149
Zhengguang Liu , Yuntian Chen , Xiaohu Yang , Jinyue Yan

Buildings play a crucial role in global electricity consumption, but their function is evolving. Rather than merely consuming energy, buildings have the potential to become energy producers through participating in flexibility services, which involve demand response and distributed energy supplies. However, the new technological and societal challenges that arise from temporal and spatial changes on both supply and demand sides make building services increasingly complex. This paper presents an opportunity for flexibility services offered by building energy systems via power-to-heat technology and discusses four key aspects: quantitative indicators based on thermal inertia, model predictive control for building flexibility, flexible system optimization for smart buildings, and applications of flexible services. Thermal inertia is a crucial factor that transcends technical constraints and serves as a bridge between the demand and supply sides. Demand-side response and data-driven cogeneration under model predictive control are essential for managing building flexibility. In addition, flexible system optimization is achieved through the combination of demand-side trading and disturbed system optimization. Applications of flexible services represent a combination of demand-side trading and disturbed system optimization in the fields of engineering and sociology. Finally, the paper explores the challenges, as well as the potential and models of building flexibility services technologies, including features that can facilitate automated operational decision-making on both the demand and supply sides.

建筑在全球电力消耗中扮演着至关重要的角色,但它们的功能也在不断发展。建筑物不仅消耗能源,而且通过参与灵活性服务(包括需求响应和分布式能源供应),有可能成为能源生产者。然而,供需双方的时间和空间变化带来的新技术和社会挑战使建筑服务变得越来越复杂。本文提出了建筑能源系统通过电到热技术提供灵活性服务的机会,并讨论了四个关键方面:基于热惯性的定量指标,建筑灵活性的模型预测控制,智能建筑的灵活系统优化,以及灵活服务的应用。热惯性是一个超越技术限制的关键因素,是供需双方之间的桥梁。需求侧响应和模型预测控制下的数据驱动热电联产对于管理建筑灵活性至关重要。另外,通过需求侧交易与扰动系统优化相结合实现柔性系统优化。柔性服务的应用体现了需求侧交易和扰动系统优化在工程和社会学领域的结合。最后,本文探讨了构建灵活性服务技术的挑战、潜力和模式,包括可以促进需求和供应双方自动化操作决策的功能。
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引用次数: 2
Low-carbon lithium extraction makes deep geothermal plants cost-competitive in future energy systems 低碳锂提取使深层地热发电厂在未来的能源系统中具有成本竞争力
Q1 ENERGY & FUELS Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.adapen.2023.100148
Jann Michael Weinand , Ganga Vandenberg , Stanley Risch , Johannes Behrens , Noah Pflugradt , Jochen Linßen , Detlef Stolten

Lithium is a critical material for the energy transition, but conventional procurement methods have significant environmental impacts. In this study, we utilize regional energy system optimizations to investigate the techno-economic potential of the low-carbon alternative of direct lithium extraction in deep geothermal plants. We show that geothermal plants will become cost-competitive in conjunction with lithium extraction, even under unfavorable conditions and partially displace photovoltaics, wind power, and storage from future renewable energy systems. Our analysis indicates that the deployment of 33 deep geothermal plants in municipalities in the Upper Rhine Graben area in Germany could provide enough lithium to produce about 1.2 million electric vehicle battery packs per year, equivalent to 70% of today`s annual electric vehicle registrations in the European Union. As this number represents only a small fraction of the techno-economic potential in Germany, this lithium extraction process could offer significant environmental benefits. High potential for mass application also exists in other countries, such as the United States, United Kingdom, France, and Italy, highlighting the importance of further research and development of this technology.

锂是能源转型的关键材料,但传统的采购方法会对环境产生重大影响。在这项研究中,我们利用区域能源系统优化来研究深层地热发电厂直接提取锂的低碳替代方案的技术经济潜力。我们表明,即使在不利的条件下,地热发电厂也将与锂提取相结合,具有成本竞争力,并部分取代未来可再生能源系统中的光伏发电、风力发电和储能。我们的分析表明,在德国上莱茵地槽地区的市政当局部署33个深层地热发电厂,每年可以提供足够的锂来生产约120万个电动汽车电池组,相当于目前欧盟电动汽车年注册量的70%。由于这个数字只代表了德国技术经济潜力的一小部分,这种锂提取工艺可以提供显着的环境效益。在美国、英国、法国和意大利等其他国家也存在大规模应用的巨大潜力,这突出了进一步研究和开发该技术的重要性。
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引用次数: 3
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