Advances in Applied Energy最新文献

The success of the energy transition relies on effectively utilizing flexibility in the power system. Dynamic tariffs are a highly discussed and promising innovation for incentivizing the use of residential flexibility. However, their full potential can only be realized if households achieve significant benefits. This paper specifically addresses this topic. We examine the leverage of household flexibility and the financial benefits of using dynamic tariffs, considering household heterogeneity, the costs of home energy management systems and smart meters, the impact of higher electricity prices and price spreads and the differences between types of prosumers. To comprehensively address this topic, we use the EVaTar-building model, a simulation framework that includes embedded optimization designed to simulate household electricity consumption patterns under the influence of a home energy management system or in response to dynamic tariffs. The study's main finding is that households can achieve significant cost savings and increase flexibility utilization by using a home energy management system and dynamic electricity tariffs, provided that electricity prices and price spreads reach higher levels. When comparing price levels in a low and high electricity price scenario, with an increase of the average electricity price by 15.2 €ct/kWh (67 % higher than the average for the year 2019) and an increase of the price spread by 8.9 €ct/kWh (494 % higher), the percentage of households achieving cost savings increases from 3.9 % to 62.5 %. Households with both an electric vehicle and a heat pump observed the highest cost benefits. Sufficiently high price incentives or sufficiently low costs for home energy management systems and metering point operation are required to enable households to mitigate rising electricity costs and ensure residential flexibility for the energy system through electric vehicles and heat pumps.

Air-conditioning systems have great potential to provide energy flexibility services to the power grids of high-renewable penetration, due to their high power consumption and inherent energy flexibilities. Direct load control by switching off some operating chillers is the simplest and effective means for air-conditioning systems in buildings to respond to urgent power reduction requests of power grids. However, the implementation of this approach in today's buildings, which widely adopt demand-based feedback controls, would result in serious problems including disordered cooling distribution and likely extra energy consumption. This study, therefore, proposes a reconfigurable control strategy to address these problems. This strategy consists of supply-based feedback control, incorporated with the conventional demand-based feedback control, a control loop reconfiguration scheme and a setpoint reset scheme, facilitating effective control under limited cooling supply and smooth transition between supply-based and demand-based feedback control modes. The proposed control strategy is deployed in a commonly-used digital controller to conduct hardware-in-the-loop control tests on an air-conditioning system involving six AHUs. Test results show that the reconfigurable control achieves commendable control performance. Proper chilled water distribution enables even thermal comfort control among the building zones during demand response and rebound periods. Temperature deviation of the building zones is controlled below 0.2 K most of the time. 11.6 % and 27 % of power demand reductions are achieved during demand response and rebound periods respectively, using the proposed reconfigurable control compared with that using conventional controls.

As the enthusiasm for electric vehicles passes the range anxiety and other tests, large-scale transportation electrification becomes a prominent topic in research and policy discussions. In consequence, the public attention has shifted upstream and holistically towards the integration of large-scale transportation electrification to power systems. This paper proposes a method to identify bottlenecks in power transmission systems to accommodate large-scale and stochastic electric vehicles charging demands. First, a distributionally robust chance-constrained direct current optimal power flow model is developed to quantify the impacts of stochastic electric vehicles charging demands. Subsequently, an agent-based model with the trip-chain method is applied to obtain the spatiotemporal distributions of electric vehicles charging demands for both light-duty electric vehicles and medium and heavy-duty electric vehicles. The first two moments of those distributions are extracted to build an ambiguity set of electric vehicles charging demands. Finally, a 121-bus synthetic transmission network for New York State power systems is used to validate the future transportation electrification in New York State from 2025 to 2035. Results show that the large-scale transportation electrification in New York State will account for approximately 13.33 % to 16.79 % of the total load demand by 2035. The transmission capacity is the major bottleneck in supporting New York State to achieve its transportation electrification. To resolve the bottlenecks, we explore some possible solutions, such as transmission capacity expansion and distributed energy resources investment. Wind power shows an advantage over solar energy in terms of total operational costs due to better peak alignment between wind power and electric vehicles charging demand.

The variability of solar photovoltaic (PV) power output, driven by rapidly changing cloud dynamics, hinders the transition to reliable renewable energy systems. Information on future sky conditions, especially cloud coverage, holds the promise for improving PV output forecasting. Leveraging recent advances in generative artificial intelligence (AI), we introduce SkyGPT, a physics-constrained stochastic video prediction model, which predicts plausible future images of the sky using historical sky images. We show that SkyGPT can accurately capture cloud dynamics, producing highly realistic and diverse future sky images. We further demonstrate its efficacy in 15-minute-ahead probabilistic PV output forecasting using real-world power generation data from a 30-kW rooftop PV system. By coupling SkyGPT with a U-Net-based PV power prediction model, we observe superior prediction reliability and sharpness compared with several benchmark methods. The propose approach achieves a continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) of 2.81 kW, outperforming a classic convolutional neural network (CNN) baseline by 13% and the smart persistence model by 23%. The findings of this research could aid efficient and resilient management of solar electricity generation, particularly as we transition to renewable-heavy grids. The study also provides valuable insights into stochastic cloud modeling for a broad research community, encompassing fields such as solar energy meteorology and atmospheric sciences.

Leveraging demand-side flexibility resources (e.g., buildings) is a crucial and cost-effective strategy for addressing the operational and infrastructure-related challenges in power grids pursuing deep decarbonization with high renewable energy penetration. However, the demand flexibility opportunities and financial benefits for residential space heating, which are sizeable demand-side flexibility resources, through emerging building energy management solutions (i.e., smart control and phased change material (PCM) thermal storage) across the US are not fully understood. In this paper, we systematically assess the demand flexibility and cost-saving/revenue potentials in residential space heating through detailed building-level simulations for five consecutive years at a 5-min temporal resolution in 20 metro areas across the high-heating-demand regions of the US. The results show a high degree of synergy between PCM thermal storage and smart control, which enables substantial demand flexibility potential, reaching 98.5% of peak load shifting, and electricity cost-saving/revenue potential, reaching 338.3% of electricity cost reductions, for residential space heating in the US. By achieving such performance, adopting smart control and PCM thermal storage is financially viable in 50% of the tested metro areas. The results reveal that the demand flexibility and cost-saving/revenue potentials of residential space heating in the US are further enhanced by higher volatilities in electricity prices. Active PCM thermal storage has lower energy efficiency but much higher energy flexibility than passive PCM thermal storage. Based on the findings, recommendations for integrating PCM thermal storage and smart control systems within residential space heating are provided.

A virtual power plant (VPP) refers to an active aggregator of heterogeneous distributed energy resources (DERs), which creates a promising pathway to expand renewable energy and demand-side electrification for deep decarbonization. The VPP market is projected to have a significant growth potential, with the global investment surging from $6.47 billion in 2022 to $16.90 billion by 2030. Up to now, VPPs still face technical challenges in dealing with the inherent uncertainty of DERs, and data emerge as a promising and essential resource to handle this issue. This paper makes the first effort to review the development of VPP technologies from a data-centric perspective, and then analyze the major role of data within every decision phase of VPPs. We examine the VPP energy management through a data lifecycle lens, and extensively survey the progress in data creation, data communication, data-driven decision support, data sharing and privacy, as well as technical solutions stemming from reinforcement learning, peer-to-peer sharing, blockchain, and market participation. In addition, we offer a unique overview of open data and recent real-world projects around the world to showcase the latest VPP practices. We finally discuss the major challenges and future opportunities in detail, with a focus on topics such as public benchmarks, internet of things, 5G, explainable artificial intelligence, and federated learning. We highlight the need for technical advances in data management and support systems for the growing scale of future VPP systems, and suggest VPPs delivering more ancillary grid services in the future.

Building energy flexibility plays a critical role in demand-side management for reducing utility costs for building owners and sustainable, reliable, and smart grids. Realizing building energy flexibility in tropical regions requires solar photovoltaics and energy storage systems. However, quantifying the energy flexibility of buildings utilizing such technologies in tropical regions has yet to be explored, and a robust control sequence is needed for this scenario. Hence, this work presents a case study to evaluate the building energy flexibility controls and operations of a net-zero energy office building in Singapore. The case study utilizes a data-driven energy flexibility quantification workflow and employs a novel data-driven model predictive control (MPC) framework based on the physically consistent neural network (PCNN) model to optimize the building energy flexibility. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first instance that PCNN is applied to a mathematical MPC setting, and the stability of the system is formally proved. Three scenarios are evaluated and compared: the default regulated flat tariff, a real-time pricing mechanism, and an on-site battery energy storage system (BESS). Our findings indicate that incorporating real-time pricing into the MPC framework could be more beneficial to leverage building energy flexibility for control decisions than the flat-rate approach. Moreover, adding BESS to the on-site PV generation improved the building self-sufficiency and the PV self-consumption by 17% and 20%, respectively. This integration also addresses model mismatch issues within the MPC framework, thus ensuring a more reliable local energy supply. Future research can leverage the proposed PCNN-MPC framework for different data-driven energy flexibility quantification types.

The development of reliable and longevous infrastructures and structural components is the key for the implementation of a hydrogen economy that is currently enjoying unprecedented political and research momentum due to the globally strong demand for clean energy. This is, however, strongly impeded by the risk and concerns of hydrogen embrittlement (or hydrogen-induced degradation in mechanical properties) that generally exists in almost all metallic materials. Structural components and materials operated in the hydrogen production-transport-storage-usage chain can be subjected to a very wide range of temperature, environmental and loading scenarios, which will essentially trigger different hydrogen embrittlement responses and even different embrittling mechanisms. It is thus important to have a systematic assessment and discussion of hydrogen embrittlement behavior of different materials at different testing conditions, which is the focus of the presented review. Here we cover the typical materials (mainly metallic materials) that have been used or planned to be used in the fields of hydrogen energy. We first briefly summarize the current understanding of fundamental hydrogen embrittlement mechanisms in metallic materials and the research progress in recent years. Then we analyze and discuss the hydrogen -induced damage phenomenon in typical materials used in the field of high-pressure hydrogen transport and storage. In addition to room-temperature hydrogen embrittlement behavior, the hydrogen embrittlement phenomenon of some alloys at elevated and cryogenic temperatures is also reviewed, with the aim to provide some guidelines of material selection and design in developing fields such as hydrogen gas turbines and long-flight-duration hydrogen powered aircraft. Finally, the current challenges in the study of hydrogen embrittlement are identified and discussed to guide future research efforts.

This study examines the impact of low-income assistance and electrification programs on a disadvantaged community in Southern California. An urban building energy model is paired with an AC power flow and electric distribution system degradation model to evaluate how the cost of energy, carbon emissions, and pollutant emissions change after applying building weatherization, energy efficiency, and electrification measures to the community. Results show that traditional weatherization and energy efficiency measures (upgrading lighting and appliances, improving insulation to current building code standards) are the most cost-effective, reducing the cost of energy and carbon emissions by 10–20 % for the current community. Heat pump water heaters offer a 40 % average reduction in carbon emissions and almost 50 % decrease in criteria pollutant emissions, but at a cost increase of 17–22 %. Appliance electrification also reduces carbon emissions 5–10 % but increases cost by 7 % to 25 %. For reducing carbon, government programs that support building electrification are most cost-effective when they combine switching from natural gas to electricity with high efficiency system. Electrifying hot water and appliances effectively reduces emissions but must be paired with improved low-income assistance programs to prevent increased energy burden for low-income families. The urban building energy model and electrical distribution simulations used in this study can be replicated in other low-income communities.

To achieve the European Union's goal of climate neutrality by 2050, negative emissions may be required to compensate for emissions exceeding allocated carbon budgets. Therefore, carbon removal technologies such as bioenergy with carbon capture (BECCS) and direct air capture (DAC) may need to play a pivotal role in the power system. To design carbon removal strategies, more insights are needed into the impact of sustainable biomass availability and the feasibility of carbon capture and storage (CCS), including the expensive and energy-intensive DAC on achieving net-zero and net-negative targets. Therefore, in this study the European power system in 2050 is modelled at an hourly resolution in the cost-minimization PLEXOS modelling platform. Three climate-neutral scenarios with targets of 0, -1, and -3.9 Mt CO₂/year (which agree with varying levels of climate justice) are assessed for different biomass levels, and CCS availability. Findings under baseline assumptions reveal that in a climate-neutral power system with biomass and CCS options, it is cost-effective to complement variable renewable energy with a mix of combined cycle natural gas turbines (CCNGT) for flexibility and BECCS as base load to compensate for the CO₂ emissions from natural gas and additional carbon removal in the net-negative scenarios. The role of these technologies becomes more prominent, with -3.9 GtCO₂/year target. Limited biomass availability necessitates additional 0.4–4 GtCO₂/year DAC, 10–50 GW CCNGT with CCS, and 10–50 GW nuclear. Excluding biomass doubles system costs and increases reliance on nuclear energy up to 300 TWh/year. The absence of CCS increases costs by 78%, emphasizing significant investments in bioenergy, nuclear power, hydrogen storage, and biogas. Sensitivity analysis and limitations of the study are fully discussed.