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Middle-Income Trap and the Baltic States: Common Challenges, Different Strategies* 中等收入陷阱和波罗的海国家:共同的挑战,不同的战略*
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-15 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2023.110.1
Marius Kalanta
The paper contributes to further advancing research on the middle-income trap in the Baltic States. It argues, first, that while the Baltic States have already surpassed income levels associated with the middle-income trap and continue converging with advanced economies, they still might face risks of the middle-income trap defined as a difficulty to move into higher value-added positions of the value chain. Second, the paper demonstrates that over the course of recent transformations, growth models of the Baltic States have become increasingly divergent with differences between Estonia and Lithuania being most pronounced. Third, it is argued, that growth model differences also imply different risks associated with the middle-income trap. Estonia faces a risk that its leapfrogging into specialisation of ICT-based services remains premature and incapable to deliver productivity levels comparable to those of advanced economies. Yet, Lithuania faces a risk of being incapable to upgrade its large manufacturing sector. Instead, it risks continuously sustaining labour-intensive export-led growth and further taking advantage of cost-competitiveness by diversifying into new industries while still performing lower value-added activities in them.
本文有助于进一步推进对波罗的海国家中等收入陷阱的研究。报告认为,首先,尽管波罗的海国家的收入水平已经超过了与中等收入陷阱相关的水平,并继续向发达经济体趋同,但它们仍可能面临中等收入陷阱的风险。中等收入陷阱被定义为难以进入价值链中附加值较高的位置。其次,本文表明,在最近的转型过程中,波罗的海国家的增长模式变得越来越不同,爱沙尼亚和立陶宛之间的差异最为明显。第三,有人认为,增长模式的差异也意味着与中等收入陷阱相关的风险不同。爱沙尼亚面临的风险是,其跨越式发展到基于信息通信技术的服务专业化仍然为时过早,无法提供与发达经济体相当的生产力水平。然而,立陶宛面临着无法升级其庞大制造业的风险。相反,它的风险是继续维持劳力密集的出口主导的增长,并进一步利用成本竞争力,使新工业多样化,同时仍然在这些工业中从事低附加值的活动。
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引用次数: 0
Loo, Bernard F.W., ed. Strategy and Defence Policy for Small States: Problems and Prospects. World Scientific, 2021. 《小国的战略与国防政策:问题与前景》。《世界科学》,2021。
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.109.5
Dovydas Rogulis
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引用次数: 0
Behind the Saying “Landsbergis Destroyed the Collective Farms”: Transformation of Agriculture from the Perspective of Cultural Trauma Narrative “landsbergi摧毁集体农庄”背后:文化创伤叙事视角下的农业转型
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-29 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.109.4
Valda Budreckaitė
This article explores what is told about the supposed “collapse” of the collective farms in Lithuania, how is the negative connotation explained, and how is it attuned to the negative understanding of collectivization and collective farms in general. Relying on the theoretical literature dedicated to narrative and trauma, a scheme of cultural trauma narrative is formulated as a conceptual tool. Through narrative analysis of qualitative interviews collected in Panevėžys, Jonava, and their vicinities in 2021, it is demonstrated that the collective farm of early Soviet times is seen negatively, but the collective farm of late Soviet times is defined as a consistent unit. During transformation, this unit is suddenly disintegrated. Ordinary people are defined as the main victims. The named perpetrators can be divided into two groups. The first one is local people: the former chairs of the collective farms and other local leaders are mostly mentioned, as well as the “smarter ones” (“gudresnieji”). The second group is comprised of National government and Vytautas Landsbergis (personally); they are assigned a fatal role. A group of “critics” has been analytically distinguished. These informants have been harshly critical of collective farms regardless of times and distanced themselves from parlance regarding the “collapse” of collective farms. However, some of the “critics” repeated some elements of the cultural trauma narrative.
本文探讨了立陶宛集体农场所谓的“崩溃”,其负面含义是如何解释的,以及它如何与对集体化和集体农场的负面理解相协调。本文以研究叙事与创伤的理论文献为基础,作为一种概念工具,构建了文化创伤叙事的图式。通过对2021年在Panevėžys、Jonava及其附近地区收集的定性访谈的叙事分析,证明了苏联早期的集体农场被视为负面的,但苏联后期的集体农场被定义为一个一致的单位。在转化过程中,这个单位突然解体。普通人被定义为主要受害者。被点名的肇事者可以分为两组。第一个是当地人:集体农场的前任主席和其他地方领导人,以及“更聪明的人”(“gudresnieji”)被提到最多。第二组由国家政府和维陶塔斯·兰茨贝格(Vytautas Landsbergis)(个人)组成;他们被赋予了一个致命的角色。一群“批评家”在分析上被区分开来。这些举报人无论何时都对集体农庄进行了严厉的批评,并与集体农庄“崩溃”的说法保持距离。然而,一些“批评家”重复了一些文化创伤叙事的元素。
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引用次数: 0
“Apostles of the Liberalmarxism”: Framing of the “Left” in the Right-wing Lithuanian Discourse “自由主义马克思主义的使徒”:立陶宛右翼话语中的“左派”框架
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.109.3
Karolis Jonutis, Algirdas Davidavičius
Although it is often argued that left/right distinction in modern politics doesn’t matter anymore, yet public discourse is still full of references addressed to ideologically named opponents. The aim of this paper is to analyze how conception of left-wing ideology (its characteristics and contextualization) in Lithuanian public right-wing discourse is constructed to form coherent discourse of imaginary left. Ervin Goffman’s and Marvin Minsky’s frame analysis theoretical perspective is used to analyze framing of left-wing discourse in three levels: meta-, mezzo- and micro-. Discourse analysis method is used in research.
尽管人们经常认为,现代政治中的左右区分已经不再重要,但公共话语仍然充满了对意识形态上的对手的提及。本文旨在分析立陶宛公共右翼话语中的左翼意识形态概念(其特征和语境化)是如何构建的,从而形成连贯的想象左翼话语。本文运用欧文·戈夫曼和马文·明斯基的框架分析理论视角,从元、中、微观三个层面分析左翼话语的框架。研究中采用了语篇分析法。
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引用次数: 0
The Collapse of Communism as the End of the Modernity Project? Post-Soviet Transformation Narratives of the Lithuanian Population 共产主义的崩溃是现代性计划的终结?立陶宛人口的后苏联转型叙事
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-20 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.109.2
Ainė Ramonaitė, Paulius Vijeikis
 The article analyses how Lithuanian inhabitants remember and assess the post-communist transformation and searches for the narratives that can be interpreted through the lens of modernization theories. The paper draws on a dataset of 43 biographical interviews collected in 2021 in Panevėžys city and Panevėžys district. Employing the method of thematic narrative analysis, four dominant narratives of post-soviet transformation were identified: “demodernization”, “real modernization”, “continuation of neo-traditionalism” and“continuation of modernity”. In the narrative of “demodernization”, the Soviet regime is seen as the true modernity, and the post-Soviet transformation is perceived as a process of demodernization, when progress is replaced by stagnation or regression, manifested in the decline of industry and the disappearance of other attributes of modernity. In the narrative of “true modernity”, on the contrary, the Soviet era is seen as a false or failed modernity characterized by inefficiency and backwardness, and the features of modernity are attributed to the new order emerging after the restoration of independence. The narratives of “continuity of neo-traditionalism” and “continuity of modernity” observe similar features in both the Soviet era and the period of transformation, but the former emphasizes the neo-traditionalist or “anti-modern” features of both periods, such as inefficiency, corruption, and privilege, while the latter sees both periods as progressive in their own ways.
本文分析立陶宛居民如何记忆和评估后共产主义转型,并寻找可以透过现代化理论解释的叙事。本文利用了2021年在Panevėžys市和Panevėžys区收集的43个传记访谈数据集。运用主题叙事分析的方法,确定了后苏联转型的四种主流叙事:“去现代化”、“真正的现代化”、“新传统主义的延续”和“现代性的延续”。在“去现代化”的叙事中,苏联政权被视为真正的现代性,后苏联转型被视为一个去现代化的过程,进步被停滞或倒退所取代,表现为工业的衰落和现代性的其他属性的消失。相反,在“真现代性”的叙事中,苏联时代被视为一种以低效和落后为特征的虚假或失败的现代性,现代性的特征被归因于恢复独立后出现的新秩序。“新传统主义的连续性”和“现代性的连续性”的叙述在苏联时代和转型时期都观察到相似的特征,但前者强调的是两个时期的新传统主义或“反现代”特征,如效率低下、腐败和特权,而后者则认为两个时期都以自己的方式进步。
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引用次数: 0
The Place of Politics in I. Kant’s Structure of Pure Reason 政治在康德的纯粹理性结构中的地位
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-13 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.109.1
A. Jokūbaitis
Kant’s political philosophy is usually seen as a coherent part of his philosophical system. However, politics is not an integral part of his conception of pure reason. The aim of the article is to find the place of politics in Kant’s structure of pure reason. The paper attempts to provide an answer to the question why Kant did not undertake an investigation of politics as a part of his analysis of the structure of pure reason. It is argued that the central place of the problem of metaphysics was the cause behind this neglect. Transcendental dialectic in Critique of Pure Reason is the place where for the first time principles of the analysis of political ideas are presented. However, Kant did not see that with his transcendental dialectics he entered the realm of politics, he did not put forward an analysis of the nature of political ideas. The place of politics in Kant’s structure of pure reason can be determined by paying close attention to three main factors – conception of transcendental ideas, the primacy of practical reason and aesthetic ideas. Kant did not provide a unified account of these three elements, which are necessary to understand the place of politics in the structure of pure reason.
康德的政治哲学通常被视为其哲学体系的一个连贯部分。然而,政治并不是他的纯粹理性概念的组成部分。本文的目的在于找出政治在康德的纯粹理性结构中的地位。本文试图回答为什么康德没有将政治研究作为他对纯粹理性结构的分析的一部分。有人认为,形而上学问题的中心位置是这种忽视背后的原因。《纯粹理性批判》中的先验辩证法是第一次提出政治观念分析原则的地方。然而,康德并没有看到,他通过先验辩证法进入了政治领域,他并没有提出对政治理念本质的分析。政治在康德的纯粹理性结构中的地位可以通过关注三个主要因素来确定:先验观念概念、实践理性的首要地位和审美观念。康德没有对这三个要素给出统一的解释,而这三个要素对于理解政治在纯粹理性结构中的地位是必要的。
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引用次数: 0
The Cultural Element in NATO Military Doctrines: Important, but a Declarative Issue? 北约军事理论中的文化因素:重要,但不是宣言性问题?
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.108.3
Agniete Zotkeviciute Baneviciene
Despite the historically perceived importance of the cultural element in warfare, after the end of the wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria, and other culturally distant countries, it is believed that the cultural element has lost its importance. According to some experts, the beginning of Russia's invasion of Ukraine marks a return to conventional warfare, in which a state's material military capabilities play the most significant role in determining its power. But in fact, in this war, soft interoperability, the most essential aspect of which is the cultural element, gained considerable prominence by demonstrating once again that understanding one's own culture and values comes before understanding others. This study aims to look at the cultural element more broadly through the prism of interoperability and, specifically, through soft interoperability and answer the question of how the cultural element, specifically the cultural competences of military personnel manifests in NATO military doctrines, given that NATO is an international security organization with obligations that extend beyond simple defence.
尽管历史上人们认为文化因素在战争中的重要性,但在伊拉克、阿富汗、叙利亚和其他文化遥远的国家的战争结束后,人们认为文化因素已经失去了它的重要性。一些专家认为,俄罗斯入侵乌克兰的开始标志着常规战争的回归,在这种战争中,一个国家的物质军事能力在决定其实力方面发挥着最重要的作用。但事实上,在这场战争中,软互操作性——其中最重要的方面是文化因素——再次证明了理解自己的文化和价值观先于理解他人,从而获得了相当大的突出地位。本研究旨在通过互操作性的棱镜更广泛地看待文化因素,特别是通过软互操作性,并回答文化因素,特别是军事人员的文化能力如何在北约军事理论中体现的问题,因为北约是一个国际安全组织,其义务超出了简单的防御。
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引用次数: 0
Economic Adaptability in the Absence of Democratic Corporatism: Explaining Lithuania’s Export Performance* 缺乏民主社团主义的经济适应性:对立陶宛出口表现的解释*
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-30 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.108.4
V. Kuokštis, Ramūnas Vilpišauskas
Viewed in light of democratic corporatism literature, Lithuania is a deviant case. Although it lacks essential institutional prerequisites deemed important for export success and flexible adaptation to external shocks, the small Baltic country has been among the best performers in the European Union on these dimensions. Lithuania has become very internationally integrated and has managed to quickly adjust to numerous shocks, such as the Russian financial crisis of 1998–99, the Global Financial Crisis of 2008–2009, and the COVID-19 pandemic. In this article, we analyse Lithuania’s export specialization and show how particular institutional elements have supported flexible adaptation and competitiveness improvements: we cover the labour market, state’s involvement in terms of domestic compensation and public goods provision, education and skills, and the role of political legitimacy. Lithuania’s case has implications for the literature on the political economy of small states and the debate regarding the middle-income trap.
从民主社团主义文学的角度来看,立陶宛是一个离经叛道的例子。虽然它缺乏被认为对出口成功和灵活适应外部冲击很重要的必要体制先决条件,但这个波罗的海小国在这些方面是欧洲联盟中表现最好的国家之一。立陶宛已高度融入国际社会,并成功地迅速适应了多次冲击,如1998-99年的俄罗斯金融危机、2008-2009年的全球金融危机和2019冠状病毒病大流行。在本文中,我们分析了立陶宛的出口专业化,并展示了特定的制度因素如何支持灵活的适应和竞争力的提高:我们涵盖了劳动力市场,国家在国内补偿和公共产品提供方面的参与,教育和技能,以及政治合法性的作用。立陶宛的案例对有关小国政治经济的文献和有关中等收入陷阱的辩论具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 0
Reliance on Conspiracy Theories Among Lithuanian Population 立陶宛人口对阴谋论的依赖
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-29 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.108.2
A. Grišinas, A. Lašas, Ignas Kalpokas
This  article analyses the statistical validity of popular explanations for peoples‘s tendency to rely on conspiracy theories in Lithuanian public discourse. The paper discovers that out of four most popular explanations, belief in paranormal phenomena and determinist thinking have the strongest correlation. The evaluation of one‘s own perceived financial wellbeing also proves significance. Meanwhile, education, political knowledge and actual income level either correlate with tendency to rely on conspiratorial thinking sporadically or does not correlate at all. The study is based on a representative survey, conducted in Lithuania, in late 2021, and seeks to delineate the initial outlines for further research on the case of Lithuania, which has been only scarcely explored.
本文分析了立陶宛公共话语中人们倾向于依赖阴谋论的流行解释的统计有效性。本文发现,在四种最流行的解释中,相信超自然现象和决定论思维的相关性最强。对个人财务状况的评估也证明了其重要性。同时,教育程度、政治知识和实际收入水平或与偶尔依赖阴谋思维的倾向相关,或根本不相关。该研究基于2021年底在立陶宛进行的一项有代表性的调查,旨在为立陶宛的进一步研究勾画初步轮廓,而这一研究几乎没有被探索过。
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引用次数: 0
Rehabilitation of Perpetrators of International Crimes – Myth or Reality? Case Study of the International Criminal Tribunal for Former Yugoslavia 国际罪犯的康复——神话还是现实?前南斯拉夫问题国际刑事法庭个案研究
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-12-19 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2022.108.1
Lina Strupinskienė, Indrė Jankauskaitė-Činčė
Of the 92 persons convicted at the International Criminal Tribunal for Former Yugoslavia (ICTY), 60 have already served their sentences and were released. Even though perpetrators’ rehabilitation and their public behaviour in post-conflict environments are essential for countering denial, establishing an authoritative version of the truth, and sustainable reconciliation, we still know little about what happens after they return to their communities. This article attempts to examine ICTY convicts’ rehabilitation by assessing the quality and the result of existing rehabilitation programs (e.g., how much the public behaviour of those released matches the expectations of the victim’s community, what their relationship is with their guilt and crimes committed). Aside from secondary sources, it draws on 23 semi-structured interviews with victims of war, representatives from victims’ associations, and human rights advocates from the region. It finds that in the context of the absence of specialized rehabilitation programs and lack of oversight of the post-conviction stage at the ICTY, the convicted perpetrators return to communities that support and enable them. Hailed by specific enthusiastic audiences back home, ICTY convicts often fulfil their expectations, closing a vicious circle that dramatically curbs the individual or collective transformative potential of their punishment regarding reckoning with the past and moving towards reconciliation.
在前南斯拉夫问题国际刑事法庭(前南问题国际法庭)定罪的92人中,有60人已经服刑并获释。尽管肇事者的康复和他们在冲突后环境中的公开行为对于反击否认、建立权威的真相版本和可持续和解至关重要,但我们仍然对他们返回社区后发生的事情知之甚少。本文试图通过评估现有康复项目的质量和结果(例如,获释者的公共行为在多大程度上符合受害者社区的期望,他们与自己的罪行和罪行之间的关系)来检查前南问题国际法庭罪犯的康复情况。除了二手资料外,它还利用了23次对战争受害者、受害者协会代表和该地区人权倡导者的半结构化访谈。报告发现,在前南问题国际法庭缺乏专门的康复方案和对定罪后阶段缺乏监督的情况下,被定罪的犯罪者返回支持和帮助他们的社区。前南问题国际法庭的罪犯在国内受到特别热情的听众的欢迎,他们往往能实现他们的期望,从而结束了一个恶性循环,这种恶性循环大大限制了对他们的惩罚在清算过去和走向和解方面的个人或集体变革潜力。
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引用次数: 0
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Politologija
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