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Russia’s Soft Power as a Limited Efficiency Tool in Lithuania 俄罗斯作为立陶宛效率有限工具的软实力
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-15 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2019.93.3
Giedrius Česnakas, Vytautas Isoda
[full article, abstract in English; abstract in Lithuanian] Lithuania has been a target of Russia’s soft power efforts for the past two decades. The aim of this article is to analyse Russia’s soft power influence possibilities in Lithuania. First, it analyzes how soft power is interpreted in Russia compared to the Western conception. Then, Russia’s soft power instruments and their core goals are reviewed, not all of which fall under the category of “soft power instruments” according to the Western understanding. The article proceeds with demographic changes in Lithuania and trends of consumption of Russian culture and information in Lithuania. The main argument is that Russia is not aiming to apply soft power to the general Lithuanian society but to particular groups within the population (Russophone minorities and residents with sentiments for the Soviet Union). It can be assumed that demographic trends and Russia’s aggressive actions will increasingly limit its soft power capabilities. However, the greatest setback to Russia’s soft power in Lithuania is arguably caused by its continuing reliance on hard power when it comes to countries of the post-Soviet space.
[全文,英文摘要;立陶宛文摘要]过去二十年来,立陶宛一直是俄罗斯软实力努力的目标。本文的目的是分析俄罗斯在立陶宛的软实力影响力的可能性。首先,分析了与西方概念相比,俄罗斯如何解读软实力。然后,回顾了俄罗斯的软实力工具及其核心目标,根据西方的理解,并非所有这些工具都属于“软实力工具”的范畴。本文介绍了立陶宛的人口结构变化以及立陶宛对俄罗斯文化和信息的消费趋势。主要论点是,俄罗斯的目的不是将软实力应用于立陶宛社会,而是应用于人口中的特定群体(讲俄语的少数民族和对苏联有感情的居民)。可以假设,人口趋势和俄罗斯的侵略行动将越来越限制其软实力。然而,俄罗斯在立陶宛软实力的最大挫折可以说是由于其在后苏联时代的国家继续依赖硬实力造成的。
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引用次数: 2
Apolitiška karta: kodėl jauniems Lietuvos žmonėms neįdomi politika 不爱批判的一代:立陶宛年轻人为何对政治不感兴趣
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2018.92.1
Aušrinė Diržinskaitė
[full article and abstract in Lithuanian; abstract in English] In the recent years, consolidated democracies have faced a great decline in citizens’ participation and interest in political life. The latest researches show that young people are especially disengaged and alien to political life. Moreover, Lithuania seems to have the greatest number of young people who are not interested in politics in the “so-called” developed world (OECD countries and candidates) and has the highest gap between the general and the youth interest in politics. Therefore, this article analyzes what are the reasons for the disinterest in politics of the youth in Lithuania. Contemporary theories and empirical researches suggest rather different answers to the question. In particular, it is said that youths’ interest in politics can be determined by three categories of factors: socioeconomic/sociodemographic (income, wellbeing, education, race and gender), psychological (political efficacy: self-confidence as internal political efficacy and trust in political system as external political efficacy) as well as socializing factors (discussions with family and friends, media, volunteering). In order to find why Lithuania has such a high level of youth disinterest in politics, the analysis is performed on an individual level. Logistic regression analysis shows that the most relevant determinants for the youth interest in politics in Lithuania are a greater usage of media, accompanied with more frequent discussions with family and friends, a higher trust in the parliament as well as a higher level of education. Yet, the greatest determinant of whether a young person will be interested in politics are the elections; i.e., data from the year 2016 signalizes a much greater youth interest in politics compared to the 2012, thus inviting to analyze more deeply the existing differences between the two elections. To check if the variables had proved significant on the individual level, bore any semblance on the country level and explained the exception of Lithuania, an aggregate analysis was conducted. Correlations were found between the level of youth disinterest in politics and income per capita, trust in the national government, discussions with friends and the usage of media. Lithuania, the Czech Republic, Hungary and Slovakia appear to be in one group based on most of the analyzed criteria. Though altogether these factors seem to be pretty good determinants, the Lithuanian case is, however, not fully explained by them – a regression model is unable to predict almost one fifth of the young people that are disinterested in politics in Lithuania. Thus, the usual suspects do not explain this phenomenon fully, and particular countries should be explored more deeply.
[立陶宛文全文和摘要;近年来,巩固的民主国家面临着公民对政治生活的参与和兴趣大幅下降的问题。最新的研究表明,年轻人对政治生活尤其疏离和陌生。此外,在“所谓的”发达国家(经合组织国家和候选人)中,立陶宛似乎有最多的年轻人对政治不感兴趣,而普通民众和年轻人对政治的兴趣之间的差距也最大。因此,本文分析了立陶宛青年对政治不感兴趣的原因。当代理论和实证研究对这个问题给出了截然不同的答案。特别是,据说年轻人对政治的兴趣可以由三类因素决定:社会经济/社会人口(收入,福利,教育,种族和性别),心理(政治效能:自信作为内部政治效能,对政治制度的信任作为外部政治效能)以及社交因素(与家人和朋友的讨论,媒体,志愿服务)。为了找出为什么立陶宛有如此高的年轻人对政治不感兴趣,分析是在个人层面上进行的。逻辑回归分析显示,立陶宛年轻人对政治感兴趣的最相关决定因素是媒体的更多使用、与家人和朋友更频繁的讨论、对议会的更高信任以及更高的教育水平。然而,决定年轻人是否对政治感兴趣的最大因素是选举;也就是说,2016年的数据表明,与2012年相比,年轻人对政治的兴趣要大得多,因此需要更深入地分析两次选举之间存在的差异。为了检查这些变量是否在个人层面上被证明是显著的,在国家层面上是否有任何相似之处,并解释立陶宛的例外情况,进行了汇总分析。研究发现,年轻人对政治不感兴趣的程度与人均收入、对国家政府的信任、与朋友的讨论以及媒体的使用之间存在相关性。根据大多数分析标准,立陶宛、捷克共和国、匈牙利和斯洛伐克似乎属于一类。虽然这些因素似乎都是很好的决定因素,但立陶宛的情况并不能完全由它们来解释,回归模型无法预测立陶宛近五分之一对政治不感兴趣的年轻人。因此,通常的怀疑并不能完全解释这一现象,应该对特定的国家进行更深入的探讨。
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引用次数: 1
Pamokos Europai – hibridinė Rusijos agresija
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.15388/Polit.2018.92.5
Algirdas Revaitis
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引用次数: 0
Mistiniai politikos elementai. Simone ʼos Weil požiūris 其他政策要素:Simone Weil的方法
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2018.92.2
Rūta Tamošaitytė
[full article and abstract in Lithuanian; abstract in English] The word “mysticism” is known to be a term that is now being used and associated with something which is negative – a mockery. It can be said that this perception of the term is based on certain historical events, when, in the central philosophies of particular religions (in this work, focus will be drawn only on Christian mysticism), a unique shift took place – during the early modernity in most of the Christian Churches, there occurred a split between theology and spirituality. Therefore, everything that had even a slight implication of mysticism was seen as irrelevant and unimportant. In addition to this, it is possible to say that our contemporary era has lost all belief in any reality that surpasses peoples daily tasks. Because of this, the vast majority of postmodernists tend to argue that mysticism can not be part of any philosophy, including a political one. This article concentrates on the thought of Simone Weil, a unique French philosopher and mystic, in order to prove through her work that mysticism can potentially enrich political philosophy. This is being done by analyzing her work and attempting to underline the supernatural element between the human and society. This supernatural element will yield a further investigation of how Simone Weil’s mysticism can affect political philosophy. In order to find this element, the concepts of the human and the society that occur in Simone Weil’s philosophy will be analyzed separately. In the first part, it is analyzed how Simone Weil perceived humans. She drastically separates the human, who, in her thought, possesses a transcendent core that can be violated, from the person, who is illusionary. Meanwhile, the second part concentrates on Weil’s perception of the relation between society and the human. Society is seen by Weil as the Platonic Great Beast, but it may also be a source of pure fulfillment – roots – for the human being. In this part of the study, the roots of a human being in society and the tragedy of uprootedness are discussed further. The third part develops an idea of why mysticism can be seen as an important part of political philosophy and why it should not be neglected: it provides a different angle – a divine one – for viewing people’s daily lives and their culture. Mysticism always comes from a certain culture, and it is important, since a mystic communicates their thought through that culture; however, a mystic also is able to critically address the surrounding culture because of the divine point of view. That is why mysticism is essential for political philosophy. The analization of Weil’s views on obligations, the human transcendental core and roots leads to a conclusion which suggests that the supernatural element between the human and society is an obligation for oneself and for others. This supernatural element allows us to confirm the idea that political philosophy should not neglect the mystical app
[立陶宛文全文和摘要;[英文摘要]“神秘主义”这个词现在被用来和一些消极的东西联系在一起——一种嘲弄。可以说,对这个词的这种看法是基于某些历史事件,当时,在特定宗教的中心哲学中(在本书中,重点将只放在基督教神秘主义上),一个独特的转变发生了——在大多数基督教会的早期现代性中,神学和灵性之间发生了分裂。因此,任何有一丝神秘主义意味的东西都被视为无关紧要和不重要的。除此之外,可以说,我们这个时代已经失去了对任何超越人们日常工作的现实的所有信仰。正因为如此,绝大多数后现代主义者倾向于认为神秘主义不能成为任何哲学的一部分,包括政治哲学。本文以法国独特的哲学家、神秘主义者西蒙娜·薇依为研究对象,通过她的作品来证明神秘主义可以丰富政治哲学。这是通过分析她的作品来完成的,并试图强调人类与社会之间的超自然因素。这一超自然的因素将进一步研究西蒙娜·薇依的神秘主义如何影响政治哲学。为了找到这个元素,我们将对西蒙娜·薇依哲学中出现的人与社会的概念分别进行分析。第一部分分析了西蒙娜·韦尔是如何感知人类的。她彻底地将人类从虚幻中分离出来,在她的思想中,人类拥有一个可以被侵犯的超验核心。第二部分集中论述了韦尔对社会与人的关系的认识。社会被韦尔视为柏拉图式的巨兽,但它也可能是人类纯粹满足的源泉——根源。在这一部分的研究中,进一步讨论了一个人在社会中的根源和背井离乡的悲剧。第三部分阐述了为什么神秘主义可以被视为政治哲学的重要组成部分,以及为什么它不应该被忽视:它提供了一个不同的角度——一个神圣的角度——来观察人们的日常生活和文化。神秘主义总是来自某种文化,这很重要,因为神秘主义者通过这种文化来交流他们的思想;然而,一个神秘主义者也能够批判地解决周围的文化,因为神的观点。这就是为什么神秘主义对政治哲学至关重要。通过对威尔的义务观、人的超越性核心和根源的分析,可以得出结论:人与社会之间的超自然因素是对自己和他人的义务。这种超自然的因素使我们能够确认政治哲学不应该忽视神秘主义方法的观点。
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引用次数: 0
Ar įvyko biurokratijos saulėlydis Lietuvoje ? Saulėlydžio komisijų teiktų rekomendacijų poveikis viešojo valdymo politikai 1999–2016 metais 立陶宛出现了官僚主义的太阳吗?太阳能委员会提出的建议对1999-2016年公共治理政策的影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2018.92.4
Rasa Bortkevičiūtė, Vitalis Nakrošis
[full article and abstract in Lithuanian; abstract in English] Lithuania has a fragmented advisory system, with a total of 213 advisory bodies working at the central level of government in 2017. Ad hoc advisory bodies have low average lifespans, while the permanent advisory bodies usually have small administrative capacities. The Sunset Commissions were an exception because they advised Lithuanian governments for more than ten years – having been active since 1999 – and operated within a well-developed institutional framework. They provided recommendations on how to improve the efficiency and quality of public management for five Lithuanian governments until 2016 when Skvernelis’s government decided to discontinue its activities. There was almost no systematic monitoring of the extent to which the recommendations were carried out. Therefore, it is important to analyze the impact of the Sunset Commissions’ recommendations on public management policy in Lithuania. By combining the advisory systems and public policy process literature, the article identifies the main factors that may affect the successful use of advice: the compatibility of recommendations with the dominant political ideas, the composition of an advisory body, the government’s expectations toward its purpose, economic conditions, the support of the parliamentary majority and the political attention to its recommendations and the role of the changing leaders during public management reforms. Our empirical study – which was based on desk research, an analysis of administrative information, interviews and a survey of the Commissions’ members – consisted of two main stages. First, we assessed the impact of the Sunset Commissions on public management policy. Second, we determined the causal configurations underpinning the adoption and implementation of the recommendations set out by this advisory body. The results of our assessment reveals a good deal of variation in the use of the Commissions’ recommendations. The 1999–2000 and 2009 Commissions were the most successful in terms of the recommendations adopted and implemented. The lifespan of these Sunset Commissions was marked by economic downturns that opened “windows of opportunity” for major reforms. These advisory bodies are also characterized by high performance indicators. In contrast, the advisory bodies that worked during 2006–2008 and 2013–2016 received less political attention in the Lithuanian government in the context of economic growth, which made implementation more difficult. Overall, our assessment suggests that a more active performance of the advisory body is not sufficient to explain the level of adoption and implementation of its recommendations, as the political and economic conditions significantly shape the use of advice. The second part of the empirical study allowed us to determine the main causal configurations that explain the adoption and implementation of the recommendations suggested by the Sunset Commis
[立陶宛文全文和摘要;英文摘要]立陶宛的咨询系统支离破碎,2017年共有213个咨询机构在政府中央层面开展工作。特设咨询机构的平均寿命较低,而常设咨询机构的行政能力通常较小。日落委员会是一个例外,因为它们为立陶宛政府提供了十多年的咨询服务——自1999年以来一直很活跃——并且在一个完善的体制框架内运作。他们就如何提高立陶宛五个政府的公共管理效率和质量提出了建议,直到2016年斯克韦内利斯政府决定停止其活动。几乎没有系统地监测这些建议的执行程度。因此,分析日落委员会的建议对立陶宛公共管理政策的影响很重要。通过结合咨询系统和公共政策过程文献,文章确定了可能影响咨询成功使用的主要因素:建议与主流政治思想的兼容性、咨询机构的组成、政府对其目标的期望、经济条件,议会多数派的支持,对其建议的政治关注,以及在公共管理改革中不断变化的领导人的作用。我们的实证研究基于案头研究、行政信息分析、访谈和对委员会成员的调查,包括两个主要阶段。首先,我们评估了日落委员会对公共管理政策的影响。其次,我们确定了通过和执行该咨询机构提出的建议的因果关系。我们的评估结果显示,委员会建议的使用存在很大差异。就通过和执行的建议而言,1999-2000年和2009年的委员会是最成功的。这些日落委员会的任期以经济衰退为标志,为重大改革打开了“机会之窗”。这些咨询机构的特点也是业绩指标高。相比之下,在经济增长的背景下,2006-2008年和2013-2016年期间工作的咨询机构在立陶宛政府中受到的政治关注较少,这使得实施更加困难。总的来说,我们的评估表明,咨询机构更积极的表现不足以解释其建议的通过和执行程度,因为政治和经济条件在很大程度上影响了咨询意见的使用。实证研究的第二部分使我们能够确定解释日落委员会建议的采纳和执行情况的主要因果结构。成功采纳建议的最重要条件是建议的兼容性:换句话说,所提供的建议越符合特定政府的优先事项,建议的使用就越成功。此外,在经济衰退期间以及总理在改革过程中发挥转型领导作用时,采纳建议的频率更高。与此同时,咨询机构的组成、政府对其表现的期望以及委员会负责人行使的领导权都不那么重要。成功执行建议的条件略有不同。尽管变革型领导在实施阶段保持其重要性,但如果在行政层面充分执行政策,行使交易型领导也可能导致渐进的变化。总之,我们的研究表明,日落委员会对立陶宛的公共管理政策产生了重大影响。尽管在立陶宛政府统治期间,咨询机构的效力各不相同,但委员会的大多数成员都同意应继续开展其工作。这项研究还使我们能够为日落委员会的进一步表现提供切实可行的建议。主要建议包括但不限于,加强委员会的任务,在执行建议期间加强行政纪律,并为支持委员会的工作分配财政资源。
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引用次数: 0
Neoklasikinio realizmo teorija karinių intervencijų tyrimuose: poliheuristinio metodo plėtotė 军事干预研究中的非古典现实主义理论:一种多元方法的发展
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-07 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2018.92.3
Andrius Bivainis
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引用次数: 0
Laisvės kapsulėje 免费胶囊
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-08 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2018.90.11926
Nerija Putinaitė
[tekstas lietuvių kalba]
[立陶宛文]
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引用次数: 0
Politinė įtaka Lietuvos nacionalinio radijo ir televizijos vadybai ir finansavimui: kaita ir pasekmės 对立陶宛国家广播电视管理和资金筹措的政治影响:变化及其后果
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-08 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2018.90.11922
Deimantas Jastramskis
[straipsnis ir santrauka lietuvių kalba; santrauka anglų kalba] Straipsnyje analizuojama politikos subjektų vadybinės ir finansinės įtakos Lietuvos nacionaliniam radijui ir televizijai (LRT) raida ir politinės (ir ekonominės) aplinkybės, lėmusios struktūrinių sąlygų, būtinų visuomeninio transliuotojo efektyviai veiklai, kaitą Lietuvoje nuo 1990 m. Teigiama, kad per 27 valstybingumo metus Lietuvoje tik iš dalies sukurtos struktūrinės sąlygos veiksmingai visuomeninio transliuotojo veiklai. Pirmą nepriklausomybės dešimtmetį įtvirtintas parlamentinis (vyriausybinis) LRT modelis, kai transliuotojo valdymas tiesiogiai priklauso nuo politinės valdžios, jos darbo ciklų, o dauguma pajamų skiriama iš valstybės biudžeto, kiekvienais metais keičiant pajamų dydį ir nenustatant lėšų skirstymo kriterijų. 2000 m. įteisintas LRT tarybos sudarymo modelis padėjo rasti politinių įtakų balansą tarp Seimo pozicijos, opozicijos ir Prezidento, tačiau LRT vadyba nebuvo atsieta nuo konkrečios politinės konjunktūros ir galimų politinių koalicijų LRT taryboje. Nuo 2015 m. įvestas LRT finansavimo iš biudžeto modelis, gaunamas pajamas fiksuotu procentu susiejant su mokamais į biudžetą mokesčiais, atribojo politikus nuo sprendimo kasmet nustatyti LRT finansavimo dydį, tačiau tai Europos Sąjungos kontekste negarantuoja LRT solidesnio finansavimo, nes pagal procentinę dalį nuo šalies BVP finansavimas 2016 m. buvo du kartus mažesnis negu ES šalių vidurkis.
[立陶宛文文章和摘要;英文摘要]文章分析了政策行动者对立陶宛国家广播电视台的行政和财政影响的演变,以及自1990年以来立陶宛公共广播机构有效运作所需的结构条件的变化所造成的政治(和经济)环境。-在立陶宛27年的国籍生涯中,公共服务广播机构有效运作的结构条件只建立了一部分。独立的第一个十年是由议会(政府)LRT模式建立的,广播公司的管理直接取决于政治当局及其工作周期,大多数收入来自公共预算,收入每年都有变化,没有分配标准。LRT委员会在2000年建立的模式有助于在议会、反对派和总统的立场之间取得平衡,但LRT管理层并没有脱离具体的政治背景和LRT委员会内部可能的政治联盟。自2015年以来,LAG引入的预算融资模式,收入的固定百分比与预算税挂钩,将政策与每年固定LAG资金水平的决定区分开来,但在欧盟的背景下,这并不能保证LAG的资金更加充足,2016年,该国的GDP资金占比是欧盟平均水平的两倍。
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引用次数: 0
Politinės reprezentacijos problema modernioje demokratijoje
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-08 DOI: 10.15388/POLIT.2018.91.11967
Gintas Karalius
[straipsnis, santrauka lietuvių kalba; santrauka anglų kalba] Straipsnio tikslas yra konceptualiai apžvelgti ir išryškinti moderniai atstovaujamajai demokratijai būdingą vidinį prieštaravimą tarp lygybės idėja grįsto liaudies suverenumo principo ir hierarchiją įtvirtinančio politinės reprezentacijos mechanizmo. Siekiant šio tikslo palyginama filosofo Montesquieu politinių santvarkų teorijoje pristatoma demokratijos samprata ir trys šiuolaikinės jos interpretacijos. Straipsnyje ginama retai dabartinių politikos filosofų akcentuojama mintis, kad politinės valdžios atstovaujamojoje demokratijoje legitimumo stoka yra ne socialinės, bet politinės kilmės problema. Chroninis nepasitikėjimas demokratiškai išrinktais atstovais nėra tik visuomenės brandos ar pilietiškumo trūkumo požymis. Tai – struktūrinės įtampos tarp modernaus liaudies valdžios principo ir jo pritaikymo iš monarchijos laikų paveldėtam parlamentiniam reprezentacijos mechanizmui padarinys. Šio atstovaujamajame valdyme užkoduoto politinių idėjų prieštaravimo negali išspręsti socialinė inžinerija ar piliečių demokratizavimo strategijos. Straipsnyje mėginama aktualizuoti Apšvietos epochos filosofų mintį, kad demokratinei politinei reprezentacijai efektyviai veikti reikalinga nedemokratinė hierarchinė socialinio etoso idėja.
[文章,立陶宛文摘要;英文摘要]文章的目的是从概念上回顾和强调现代代议制民主的内部矛盾,即基于公共主权原则的平等理念与巩固等级制度的政治代表机制之间的矛盾。为此,哲学家孟德斯鸠在政治秩序理论中提出了民主的概念以及对民主的三种现代解释。这篇文章为当代政治哲学家很少强调的观点辩护,即政治权力的代议制民主缺乏合法性不是社会问题,而是政治根源问题。民选代表的长期不信任不仅仅是社会缺乏成熟度或公民身份的标志。这是现代公共权力原则与其对继承自君主制的议会代表机制的适应之间结构性紧张的结果。代议制政府中的这种政治思想矛盾无法通过社会工程或公民民主化战略来解决。这篇文章试图更新轻时代哲学家的观点,即民主政治代表需要社会精神的非民主等级观念才能有效发挥作用。
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引用次数: 0
Gynybos pramonės įtaka valstybių gynybos politikai ir ekonomikai 国防工业对国防政策和经济的影响
Q4 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-10-08 DOI: 10.15388/polit.2018.91.11969
Donatas Palavenis
[straipsnis lietuvių kalba]
[立陶宛文]
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引用次数: 0
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Politologija
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