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Mixture of Birnbaum-Saunders Distributions: Identifiability, Estimation and Testing Homogeneity with Randomly Censored Data Birnbaum-Saunders分布的混合:随机截尾数据的可识别性、估计和检验齐性
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-10-24 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1837041
Walaa A. El-Sharkawy, M. Ismail
Abstract Random censoring is frequently utilized to analyze lifetime data in life-testing and reliability experiments. However, no published work discussed parameter estimation and testing homogeneity under random censoring for the mixture of Birnbaum-Saunders (BS) distributions, which is a useful model for describing reliability data. In this paper, first the proof of the identifiability of a finite mixture of BS distributions with g components is developed using Laplace transform of BS distributions. Then based on random censoring, parameter estimation and testing homogeneity are discussed. An EM algorithm is proposed to obtain the maximum likelihood (ML) estimates of the mixture model parameters and an EM test is implemented to test for homogeneity in the mixture of BS distributions. A Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted to evaluate the performance of the ML estimates through the bias and mean squared error. Additionally, the performance of the EM test is investigated through its size and power which are calculated by Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, an example of aircraft Windshield data is used to illustrate the estimation and testing procedures.
摘要随机截尾法在寿命测试和可靠性实验中经常用于分析寿命数据。然而,没有发表的工作讨论Birnbaum-Saunders(BS)分布混合物在随机截尾下的参数估计和检验同质性,这是描述可靠性数据的有用模型。本文首先利用BS分布的拉普拉斯变换证明了具有g分量的有限混合BS分布的可识别性。然后在随机截尾的基础上,讨论了参数估计和检验同质性。提出了一种EM算法来获得混合模型参数的最大似然(ML)估计,并实现了EM测试来测试BS分布的混合中的同质性。进行蒙特卡罗模拟研究,通过偏差和均方误差来评估ML估计的性能。此外,通过蒙特卡罗模拟计算EM测试的大小和功率,研究了EM测试的性能。最后,以飞机挡风玻璃数据为例说明了估算和测试程序。
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引用次数: 2
Bounded Weighted Exponential Distribution with Applications 有界加权指数分布及其应用
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-10-20 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1834893
Avishek Mallick, I. Ghosh, S. Dey, D. Kumar
Abstract In this article, we try to supplement the distribution theory literature by incorporating a new bounded distribution, called the bounded weighted exponential (BWE) distribution in the (0, 1) intervals by transformation method. The proposed distribution exhibits decreasing and left-skewed unimodal density while the hazard rate can have increasing and bathtub shaped. Although our main focus is on the estimation from the frequentist point of view, in addition, we derive some useful structural and statistical properties of the proposed BWE distribution. We briefly describe three classical estimators namely, the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE), the ordinary least-squares estimators (LSE) and the weighted least-squares estimators (WLSE). Monte Carlo simulations are performed to compare performances of the proposed methods of estimation for both moderate and large samples. An application of the model is presented by re-analyzing a real data set and comparisons are made with the fit attained by some other well-known distributions for illustrative purposes.
摘要在本文中,我们试图通过转换方法引入一种新的有界分布来补充分布理论文献,称为(0,1)区间中的有界加权指数(BWE)分布。所提出的分布表现出递减和左偏的单峰密度,而危险率可以呈上升和浴缸状。尽管我们的主要关注点是从频率学家的角度进行估计,但此外,我们还推导出了所提出的BWE分布的一些有用的结构和统计特性。我们简要描述了三种经典的估计量,即最大似然估计量(MLE)、普通最小二乘估计量(LSE)和加权最小二乘估计量。进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,以比较所提出的估计方法对中等样本和大样本的性能。通过重新分析真实数据集,给出了该模型的应用,并与其他一些已知分布所获得的拟合进行了比较,以便于说明。
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引用次数: 3
Evaluating the Project Completion Time When Non-Identical Beta Distributions Govern the Activity Networks 当非相同贝塔分布控制活动网络时评估项目完成时间
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-08-28 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1812015
H. M. Barakat, Y. H. Abdelkader, T. Taher
Abstract The main purpose of this paper is to determine the project completion time using a recursive method, where the activity times are distributed according to a sequence of beta distributions with unequal location parameters. For this purpose, we first evaluate the kth moment of the maximum of independent random variables that follow this sequence of distributions. Some illustrative examples are presented to demonstrate the applicability and appropriateness of this generalized beta model. These examples show that, the suggested estimate of project completion time is situated between the lower bound estimate (PERT) and the upper estimate that was obtained by Kambarowski. Moreover, this estimate has lowest variance among the other known estimates. Comparisons with other exemplary estimates (e.g., exponential, Erlang and Weibull estimates), discussed in literature, are presented.
摘要本文的主要目的是使用递归方法确定项目完成时间,其中活动时间根据位置参数不相等的贝塔分布序列分布。为此,我们首先评估遵循该分布序列的独立随机变量的最大值的第k个矩。给出了一些说明性的例子来证明这个广义贝塔模型的适用性和适当性。这些例子表明,对项目完成时间的建议估计位于Kambarowski获得的下限估计(PERT)和上限估计之间。此外,在其他已知估计中,该估计具有最低的方差。与文献中讨论的其他示例性估计(例如,指数、Erlang和Weibull估计)进行了比较。
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引用次数: 3
A Noble Genetic Algorithm to Solve a Solid Green Traveling Purchaser Problem with Uncertain Cost Parameters 求解成本参数不确定的固体绿色旅行购买者问题的贵族遗传算法
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-08-21 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1805060
Arindam Roy, Rong Gao, Lifen Jia, Samir Maity, S. Kar
Abstract The traveling purchaser problem (TPP) is a notable generalization of the traveling salesman problem (TSP) which involves selecting a subset of markets at a minimum traveling cost such that the demand for each product is satisfied. A solid green traveling purchaser problem (SGTPP) is a TPP in which, at each market, some conveyances are available to travel to another market with minimum cost considering the environmental impact caused by carbon emission. In this paper, we formulate an SGTPP with travel cost between each pair of markets and purchase price of the products as uncertain variables. Using uncertainty theory, an expected value model is formulated and then transformed into the corresponding deterministic form. Finally, a noble genetic algorithm (nGA) is designed to solve the proposed model. The algorithm is called noble because it adopts a crossover of the combination of a probabilistic selection of three parents, according to real-life In Vitro Fertilization (IVF) techniques. Computational results reveal that our proposal is favorably compared to previous algorithms in the existing literature.
摘要旅行购买者问题(TPP)是旅行推销员问题(TSP)的一个显著推广,旅行推销员问题涉及以最小旅行成本选择市场子集,以满足对每种产品的需求。一个坚实的绿色旅行购买者问题(SGTPP)是一个TPP,在该问题中,考虑到碳排放对环境的影响,在每个市场,一些交通工具都可以以最低成本前往另一个市场。在本文中,我们将每对市场之间的旅行成本和产品的购买价格作为不确定变量来制定SGTPP。利用不确定性理论,建立了期望值模型,并将其转化为相应的确定性形式。最后,设计了一种高贵遗传算法(nGA)来求解所提出的模型。该算法被称为高尚算法,因为它根据现实生活中的体外受精(IVF)技术,采用了三个父母的概率选择组合的交叉。计算结果表明,与现有文献中的先前算法相比,我们的建议是有利的。
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引用次数: 7
Maximum Likelihood Estimators in Growth Curve Model with Monotone Missing Data 单调缺失数据生长曲线模型的极大似然估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-08-03 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1791290
Ayaka Yagi, T. Seo, Y. Fujikoshi
Abstract This article focuses on the maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) of the mean parameter vector and the covariance matrix in a one-sample version of the growth curve model when the dataset has a monotone missing pattern. First, a closed form is obtained for the MLE of the mean parameter vector when the covariance matrix is known. Similarly, it is obtained for the MLE of the covariance matrix when the mean parameter vector is known. The distributions of these estimators and their basic properties are also given. Then, considering that these expressions give the likelihood or determining equations, we propose an algorithm that includes an iterative procedure to obtain the MLEs when all the parameters are unknown. Further, a conventional estimator for the mean parameter vector is also proposed. Finally, a numerical example is given to illustrate our estimation procedure.
摘要本文重点研究了当数据集具有单调缺失模式时,增长曲线模型的单样本版本中平均参数向量和协方差矩阵的最大似然估计量。首先,当协方差矩阵已知时,获得平均参数向量的MLE的闭合形式。类似地,当平均参数向量已知时,它是针对协方差矩阵的MLE获得的。给出了这些估计量的分布及其基本性质。然后,考虑到这些表达式给出了似然性或确定方程,我们提出了一种算法,该算法包括在所有参数未知时获得MLE的迭代过程。此外,还提出了一种用于平均参数向量的传统估计器。最后,给出了一个数值例子来说明我们的估计过程。
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引用次数: 1
Tests and Confidence Intervals for the Mean of a Zero-Inflated Poisson Distribution 零膨胀泊松分布均值的检验和置信区间
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-06-22 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1777914
Dustin Waguespack, K. Krishnamoorthy, Meesook Lee
Abstract The zero-inflated Poisson (ZIP) model is often postulated for count data that include excessive zeros. This ZIP distribution can be regarded as the mixture of two distributions, one that degenerate at zero and another is Poisson. Unlike the Poisson mean, the mean of the ZIP distribution is product of the mixture parameter and the Poisson parameter, and is not simple to make inference on the ZIP mean. In this article, the problem of making inference on the mean of a ZIP distribution is addressed. Confidence intervals based on the likelihood approach and bootstrap approach are provided. Signed likelihood ratio test for one-sided hypothesis is also developed. Proposed methods are evaluated for their properties by Monte Carlo simulation. Methods are illustrated using two examples.
摘要零膨胀泊松(ZIP)模型通常被假设用于包含过多零的计数数据。这个ZIP分布可以看作是两个分布的混合物,一个在零退化,另一个是泊松分布。与泊松平均值不同,ZIP分布的平均值是混合参数和泊松参数的乘积,对ZIP平均值进行推断并不简单。在本文中,对ZIP分布的平均值进行推断的问题被解决了。提供了基于似然方法和自举方法的置信区间。对单边假设进行了符号似然比检验。通过蒙特卡罗模拟对所提出的方法的性能进行了评估。通过两个例子说明了方法。
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引用次数: 5
Stationary Analysis of an Infinite-Buffer D-MAP/D-MSP/1 Queueing System 无限缓冲区D-MAP/D-MSP/1排队系统的平稳性分析
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-06-16 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1777913
R. Nandi, S. K. Samanta
Abstract This paper deals with the analysis of an infinite-buffer single-server D-MAP/D-MSP/1 queueing system. This queueing system can be analyzed by representing level-independent quasi-birth-and-death process in tridiagonal structure. The proposed analysis is based on the use of matrix-geometric method in conjunction with the spectral method to obtain the system-length distribution at outside observer’s epoch. We derive the stationary system-length distributions at random, prearrival, intermediate and post-departure epochs using the system-length distribution at outside observer’s epoch. The waiting-time distribution in the queue measured in slots of an arriving customer is also carried out. Computational procedures along with numerical results are provided to confirm the correctness of our analytical results.
摘要本文分析了一个无限缓冲区的单服务器D-MAP/D-MSP/1排队系统。该排队系统可以通过在三对角结构中表示水平无关的拟生灭过程来分析。所提出的分析是基于矩阵几何方法和谱方法的结合,以获得观测器历元外的系统长度分布。我们利用观测器外历元的系统长度分布,导出了随机历元、到达前历元、中间历元和出发后历元的平稳系统长度分布。还进行了以到达客户的时隙为单位测量的队列中的等待时间分布。提供了计算程序和数值结果,以证实我们的分析结果的正确性。
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引用次数: 1
Economic Return Quantity Model for a Multi-type Empty Container Management with Possible Storage Constraint and Shared Cost of Shipping 具有可能存储约束和分担运输成本的多类型空箱管理的经济退货量模型
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1769516
O. Adetunji, S. Yadavalli, Rafid Alrikabi, Sebatjane Makoena
Abstract Containerization has been said to be one of the most significant innovations of port management in the last century. Some ports usually tend to be more export driven while some others are import driven. This imbalance in the number of inbound and outbound containers necessitates movement of containers from locations or surplus to those of deficit. A port needs to cater for not only the level of containers required, but also the variety. Many factors affect the cost efficiency of container movement, and hence, that of port operations, and these need to be managed in an integrated manner to optimize cost in a port. We studied the management of a multi-type container system in a port where there can be savings from joint movement of containers, both for empty return and for procurement of replacement containers, and where there is limited storage capacity. We developed a model to determine the optimal integrated return and purchase cycle times and quantities. We illustrated the solution approach with a numerical example and performed sensitivity analysis. We believe this problem is rife and the model can guide the management of container return and replenishment in ports operations.
摘要集装箱化被认为是上个世纪港口管理最重要的创新之一。一些港口通常更倾向于出口驱动,而另一些则是进口驱动。这种进出港集装箱数量的不平衡需要将集装箱从过剩的地方转移到短缺的地方。港口不仅需要满足所需集装箱的水平,还需要满足集装箱的多样性。许多因素影响集装箱运输的成本效率,因此也影响港口运营的成本效率。这些因素需要以综合的方式进行管理,以优化港口的成本,以及存储容量有限的地方。我们开发了一个模型来确定最佳的综合退货和采购周期时间和数量。我们用一个数值例子说明了求解方法,并进行了灵敏度分析。我们认为这个问题很普遍,该模型可以指导港口运营中的集装箱退货和补货管理。
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引用次数: 3
Pivotal Inference for the Inverted Exponentiated Rayleigh Distribution Based on Progressive Type-II Censored Data 基于渐进II型截尾数据的逆指数瑞利分布的关键推断
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-05-14 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1762142
Shuo Gao, Jiao Yu, Wenhao Gui
Abstract In this article, the pivotal inference is proposed to estimate the two unknown parameters of the inverse exponentiated Rayleigh distribution based on progressive censored data. We derive the point estimator and construct an interval estimator using the pivotal quantity method. To compare the performance of this proposed method and the traditional maximum likelihood estimation method, a simulation study is conducted. The simulation results show that the proposed method performs better in terms of bias and mean squared error. Finally, a real dataset is used to illustrate the proposed approaches.
摘要本文提出了基于渐进删失数据估计逆指数瑞利分布的两个未知参数的关键推理。我们推导了点估计量,并使用关键量方法构造了区间估计量。为了比较该方法与传统的最大似然估计方法的性能,进行了仿真研究。仿真结果表明,该方法在偏差和均方误差方面有较好的性能。最后,使用一个真实的数据集来说明所提出的方法。
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引用次数: 8
Ageing Intensity Function for Conditionally Specified Models 条件指定模型的老化强度函数
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-05-13 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1762143
S. Sunoj, N. Nair, A. K. Nanda, R. Rasin
Abstract Jiang et al. have introduced a quantitative measure known as the ageing intensity function for evaluating the ageing properties of a component/system. The present study extends this ageing intensity function to the conditionally specified and conditional survival models. In a two component system, these two conditional ageing intensity functions provide the ageing patterns of one component when the other component has either failed or survived a specified period of time. The proposed conditionally ageing intensity function models provide simple expressions for some commonly used bivariate lifetime models. Characterization relationships are established for bivariate exponential, bivariate Weibull, conditional proportional hazards and bivariate weighted models.
摘要姜等人介绍了一种称为老化强度函数的定量测量方法,用于评估部件/系统的老化特性。本研究将这种老化强度函数扩展到有条件指定和有条件生存模型。在双组分系统中,这两个条件老化强度函数提供了一个组分在另一组分失效或存活特定时间段时的老化模式。所提出的条件老化强度函数模型为一些常用的二元寿命模型提供了简单的表达式。建立了二元指数、二元威布尔、条件比例风险和二元加权模型的特征关系。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
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