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Transmuted Burr Type X Distribution with Covariates Regression Modeling to Analyze Reliability Data 用协变量回归模型分析可靠性数据的转换毛刺X型分布
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2019.1605320
Muhammad Shuaib Khan, R. King, I. Hudson
SYNOPTIC ABSTRACT This article investigates the potential usefulness of the three-parameter transmuted Burr type X (TBX) distribution for modeling reliability data, and explore its structural properties using simulation. Explicit expressions are derived for moments, incomplete moments, entropies, and mean deviation. The method of maximum likelihood is used for estimating the model parameters. We conduct Monte Carlo simulations, which are used to examine the relative performance of the estimators using MLE in terms of bias and mean square errors. A location-scale regression model based on the log-TBX distribution is proposed for modeling lifetime data. Use of this family of distributions is illustrated for fatigue fracture data and multiple myeloma patient’s data.
摘要本文研究了三参数转换Burr类型X (TBX)分布在可靠性数据建模中的潜在用途,并通过仿真探讨了其结构特性。对矩、不完全矩、熵和平均偏差导出了显式表达式。采用极大似然法对模型参数进行估计。我们进行了蒙特卡罗模拟,用于检查使用MLE的估计器在偏差和均方误差方面的相对性能。提出了一种基于log-TBX分布的位置尺度回归模型,用于对寿命数据建模。在疲劳骨折数据和多发性骨髓瘤患者数据中使用该分布族。
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引用次数: 7
Limit Theorems for Sums of Dependent and Non-Identical Bernoulli Random Variables 相关与非等价伯努利随机变量和的极限定理
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2019.1673266
Deepak Singh, Somesh Kumar
SYNOPTIC ABSTRACT In this paper, a new class of dependent Bernoulli random variables is defined. Here the probability of success at a given trial is a function of the number of successes and probabilities of successes in the previous trials. The moment structure for this model is derived. Further, the strong law of large numbers, the central limit theorem and the law of iterated logarithm are established under a condition that the success probabilities be monotone. Simulations are carried out to demonstrate the law of large numbers and the central limit theorem.
摘要本文定义了一类新的相关伯努利随机变量。在这里,给定试验的成功概率是成功次数和前几次试验成功概率的函数。推导了该模型的力矩结构。在成功概率为单调的条件下,建立了强大数定律、中心极限定理和迭代对数定律。通过仿真验证了大数定律和中心极限定理。
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引用次数: 2
Improved Approximation Algorithm for the Fault-Tolerant Facility Placement Problem with Rejection 带拒绝的容错设施布局问题的改进逼近算法
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2019.1638853
Shu-Yi Yu
SYNOPTIC ABSTRACT In this article, we revisit an interesting variant of the fault-tolerant facility placement problem with rejection (FTFPWR, for short). In the FTFPWR, we are given a set of potential locations to open facilities, and a set of customers to be connected to a number of facilities to satisfy their demands. At each location we are allowed to open any number of facilities, each with its corresponding opening cost. Each customer has an integral demand which specifies the number of open facilities that it should be connected to. Some facilities that a customer is connected to could be located at the same location, as long as they are all different and open. For each location and customer pair we are also given a distance between them that represents the cost to connect one unit of demand from the customer to a facility at its location. We assume the distance function to be metric. The task is to choose a subset of locations to open facilities, and choose a subset of customers to connect their demands to the open facilities at locations with the remaining customers to be rejected by paying the rejection costs such that the sum of the facility opening costs, the connection costs, and the rejection costs is minimized. For the FTFPWR, the performance ratio of currently best approximation algorithm is 2.515. By introducing a randomized rounding approach and the derandomizing technique, we propose an improved approximation algorithm with the performance ratio of 2.07.
概要摘要在这篇文章中,我们重新讨论了具有拒绝的容错设施放置问题(简称FTFPWR)的一个有趣的变体。在FTFPWR中,我们得到了一组开放设施的潜在地点,以及一组连接到多个设施以满足其需求的客户。在每个地点,我们都可以开放任何数量的设施,每个设施都有相应的开放成本。每个客户都有一个完整的需求,该需求指定了其应连接的开放设施的数量。客户连接的一些设施可以位于同一位置,只要它们都不同且开放。对于每个位置和客户对,我们还得到了它们之间的距离,该距离表示将客户的一个需求单元连接到其位置的设施的成本。我们假定距离函数是度量函数。任务是选择开放设施的地点的子集,并选择客户的子集,通过支付拒绝成本将他们的需求连接到将被拒绝的剩余客户所在地点的开放设施,从而使设施开放成本、连接成本和拒绝成本之和最小化。对于FTFPWR,当前最佳近似算法的性能比为2.515。通过引入随机舍入方法和去随机化技术,我们提出了一种性能比为2.07的改进近似算法。
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引用次数: 0
Management Strategies for the Defined Benefit Pension Fund Under Stochastic Framework 随机框架下的固定收益养老基金管理策略
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2019.1691095
P. Mwanakatwe, Lixin Song, Xiaoguang Wang
Abstract In this article, we analyze the optimal contributions and investment strategies problem for a defined benefit pension fund. The pension fund manager allocates the capital in riskless and risky assets and the dynamics of the risky asset price follows the Hull and White stochastic volatility model. The choice of the Hull and White model is due to its mean-reverting property. The stochastic dynamic programing principle is used to derive the Hamilton-Jacob-Bellman (HJB) equation. Due to the complications of the HJB when finding the closed form solution, we use the Legendre transform and dual theory to transform the primary problem into a dual one. Furthermore, we obtain the closed form solutions for optimal strategies for the logarithm utility functions by variable transformation technique. Finally, a numerical example is conducted to analyze the effects of parameters in the model and provide some economic implications. To conclude, the Hull and White stochastic volatility model shown to have a substantial impact on the optimal investment strategies and thus can be exploited appropriately to improve the final wealth of the pension fund.
摘要本文分析了固定收益养老基金的最优缴费率和投资策略问题。养老基金经理将资金配置在无风险资产和风险资产上,风险资产价格的动态遵循Hull and White随机波动模型。选择赫尔和怀特模型是由于其均值回归特性。利用随机动态规划原理推导了Hamilton-Jacob-Bellman (HJB)方程。由于HJB在求闭形式解时的复杂性,我们利用勒让德变换和对偶理论将原问题转化为对偶问题。进一步,利用变量变换技术,得到对数效用函数最优策略的闭型解。最后,通过数值算例分析了模型中参数的影响,并给出了一些经济意义。综上所述,Hull and White随机波动率模型对最优投资策略具有重大影响,因此可以适当地利用该模型来提高养老基金的最终财富。
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引用次数: 0
On Fixed-Width Confidence Limits for the Risk Ratio with Sequential Sampling 序列抽样风险比的固定宽度置信限
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2019.1679301
Hokwon A. Cho, Zhou Wang
Synoptic Abstract A sequential method is presented for determining confidence intervals of fixed-width and corresponding optimal sample sizes for the risk ratio of probabilities of the two independent binomial variates. In general, since the ratio estimators are biased and asymmetrical, corrections must be made when they are used in practice. We suggest to use a bias-correction term for modification to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) to develop the procedure. In addition, we study the following desirable properties of the estimator: Unbiasedness, efficiency in variance, and normality. First-order asymptotic expansions are obtained to investigate large-sample properties of the proposed procedure. Monte Carlo experiment is carried out for various scenarios of samples for examining the finite sample behavior. Through illustrations, we compare these performance of the proposed methods, Wald-based confidence intervals with the likelihood-based confidence intervals in light of invariance, length and sample sizes.
摘要针对两个独立二项变量的概率风险比,提出了一种确定固定宽度置信区间和相应最优样本量的序列方法。一般来说,由于比率估计量是有偏的和不对称的,在实践中使用时必须进行校正。我们建议使用偏差校正项来修改最大似然估计量(MLE),以开发该程序。此外,我们还研究了估计器的以下理想性质:无偏性、方差有效性和正态性。获得了一阶渐近展开式来研究所提出程序的大样本性质。蒙特卡罗实验针对不同的样本场景进行,以检验有限样本的行为。通过举例,我们从不变性、长度和样本量的角度比较了所提出的方法的这些性能,即基于Wald的置信区间和基于似然的置信区间。
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引用次数: 0
Estimation and Prediction for the Power-Exponential Hazard Rate Distribution Based on Record Data 基于记录数据的幂指数危险率分布估计与预测
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2019.1664957
Bahman Tarvirdizade, N. Nematollahi
Synoptic Abstract The problems of classical and Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the power-exponential hazard rate distribution (P-EHRD) based on record values and the prediction of future record values are considered. The parameters of P-EHRD are estimated by the maximum likelihood and the least squares methods, and the Bayes estimates are obtained by the Metropolis-Hastings method under the squared error loss and LINEX loss functions. Also, an asymptotic confidence interval, two bootstrap confidence intervals and the highest posterior density (HPD) credible interval for the unknown parameters are constructed. The problem of predicting the future record values from the P-EHRD based on the past record values is considered using the maximum likelihood and Bayesian approaches. To investigate and compare the performance of the different proposed methods, a Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted. Finally, an example is presented to illustrate the estimation and prediction procedures.
摘要考虑了基于记录值的幂指数危险率分布(P-EHRD)参数的经典和贝叶斯估计以及未来记录值的预测问题。P-EHRD的参数由最大似然法和最小二乘法估计,Bayes估计由Metropolis Hastings法在平方误差损失和LINEX损失函数下获得。此外,还构造了未知参数的渐近置信区间、两个bootstrap置信区间和最高后验密度(HPD)置信区间。使用最大似然和贝叶斯方法来考虑基于过去记录值从P-EHRD预测未来记录值的问题。为了研究和比较所提出的不同方法的性能,进行了蒙特卡洛模拟研究。最后,给出了一个例子来说明估计和预测过程。
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引用次数: 2
A Shootout Method for Time Minimizing Transportation Problem with Mixed Constraints 混合约束下时间最小化运输问题的弹射法
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-03-02 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1730274
Swati Agarwal, S. Sharma
Abstract In practical world applications, the time minimizing transportation problem provides a powerful framework for determining better ways for timely delivery of goods to consumers. In this article, we propose a shootout method to determine the optimum time of transportation for the time minimizing transportation problem with mixed constraints. The proposed problem is a variant of the time minimizing transportation problem in which constraints are of mixed nature. The cells of the transportation table with decreasing order of time are avoided for allocation one by one until feasibility is maintained. The method is structured in the form of an algorithm and computationally tested on MATLAB through problems of various sizes. It solves the time minimizing transportation problem with equality constraints also.
在实际应用中,时间最小化运输问题为确定将货物及时交付给消费者的更好方法提供了一个强大的框架。针对具有混合约束的时间最小化运输问题,提出了一种确定最佳运输时间的弹射法。提出的问题是时间最小化运输问题的一个变体,其中约束是混合性质的。避免运输表中时间递减的单元格逐个分配,直到保持可行性为止。该方法以算法的形式构成,并在MATLAB上通过各种规模的问题进行了计算测试。它还解决了具有相等约束的运输时间最小化问题。
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引用次数: 4
Modeling Price Cultivation for Major Quality Goods 主要优质商品的建模价格培养
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-02-26 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1728452
Miao-Sheng Chen, M. Li, hsien-bin Wang
Abstract Quality goods are high-priced products. Consumers often wish to own them to satisfy their specific preference. During initiating periods, the pricing strategy of a firm is often based on prestige pricing. This study developed a model to optimize their profits through the price cultivation process. A modified Bass Diffusion Model is adopted by replacing accumulated sales with potential consumers who estimate the source of diffusion power. The distribution density function of ceiling price is used which consumers are willing to pay to estimate the purchase percentage among potential consumers and to forecast selling quantity. Finally, the present values of cash flows were calculated to determine the optimal price cultivation period. The study theoretically found that, with higher cost of capital, the small-and-medium enterprises would gain their optimal benefits through price cultivation marketing campaign. Whereas, with the lower cost of capital, the large-scale firms would not apply price-cut promotion to achieve their optimal profit.
优质商品就是高价产品。消费者通常希望拥有它们来满足他们的特定偏好。在初创期,企业的定价策略通常基于信誉定价。本研究开发了一个通过价格培育过程优化其利润的模型。采用修正的巴斯扩散模型,用估计扩散力来源的潜在消费者取代累积销售额。使用消费者愿意支付的最高价格分布密度函数来估计潜在消费者的购买百分比和预测销售数量。最后,计算现金流现值,确定最优价格培育期。从理论上研究发现,在资金成本较高的情况下,中小企业会通过价格培育营销活动获得最佳效益。然而,在资本成本较低的情况下,大型企业不会通过降价促销来实现最佳利润。
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引用次数: 1
Two-Parameter Logistic-Exponential Distribution: Some New Properties and Estimation Methods 双参数logistic -指数分布:一些新的性质和估计方法
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-02-24 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1728453
Sajid Ali, S. Dey, M. H. Tahir, M. Mansoor
Abstract The logistic exponential (LE) distribution is the only two parameter distribution that exhibits five hazard rate shapes such as constant, increasing, decreasing, bathtub, and upside-down bathtub. Due to its practical utility, this article considers ten frequentist methods of estimation, namely, maximum likelihood, least square, weighted least square, percentiles, maximum and minimum spacing distance, and variant of the method of the minimum distances for the LE parameters. A Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the performance of these estimation methods. Furthermore, Bayesian estimation under the squared error loss function assuming gamma priors for both parameters of the LE distribution is also discussed. The posterior summaries are obtained by using a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm. To show the practical superiority, a real-life data is analyzed to show that the LE model performs better than the well-known two-parameter models, like, exponentiated-exponential, Nadarajah–Haghighi, Birnbaum–Saunders, Weibull, Gamma, inverse Gaussian, and log-normal.
摘要逻辑指数(LE)分布是唯一一个具有恒定、增加、减少、浴缸和倒置浴缸五种危险率形状的双参数分布。由于其实用性,本文考虑了十种常用的估计方法,即最大似然、最小二乘、加权最小二乘、百分位数、最大和最小间距,以及LE参数最小距离方法的变体。进行了蒙特卡罗模拟研究,以比较这些估计方法的性能。此外,还讨论了假设LE分布的两个参数都有伽玛先验的平方误差损失函数下的贝叶斯估计。使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡罗算法获得后验摘要。为了显示实际优势,对实际数据进行了分析,表明LE模型的性能优于众所周知的双参数模型,如指数型、Nadrajah–Hagheii、Birnbaum–Saunders、Weibull、Gamma、逆高斯和对数正态。
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引用次数: 13
On Estimation of Stress-Strength Reliability Using Lower Record Values from Proportional Reversed Hazard Family 利用比例反向危险族的低记录值估算应力强度可靠性
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2020-02-17 DOI: 10.1080/01966324.2020.1722299
Ajit Chaturvedi, Ananya Malhotra
Abstract In this article, a study on the stress-strength parameter based on lower record values from one parameter proportional reversed hazard family (PRHF) has been conducted. The classical and Bayesian results of Khan and Arshad (UMVU Estimation of Reliability Function and Stress-Strength Reliability from Proportional Reversed Hazard Family Based on Lower Records. American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences, 35(2), 171–181) and Condino et al. (Likelihood and Bayesian estimation of P(Y < X) using lower record values from a general class of distributions. Statistical Papers), when the strength and stress variables belong to different family of distributions from PRHF have been generalized. Uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimator (UMVUE), maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Bayes estimator (BE) are obtained for the powers of the parameter and reliability functions and The estimators of three parametric functions, namely, powers of parameter, and are interrelated, whereas, in the literature, researchers have handled the three estimation problems separately. Moreover, it is has been shown that the expressions for and are not required to estimate them. In this article, the technique of obtaining estimators of and is simpler as it does not require Rao-Blackwellization. Simulation studies have been performed for analyzing the behavior of the proposed estimators. An example using real data has also been considered as an illustration.
摘要本文对基于单参数比例反向危险族(PRHF)较低记录值的应力强度参数进行了研究。Khan和Arshad的经典和贝叶斯结果(基于较低记录的比例反向危险族的可靠性函数和应力强度可靠性的UMVU估计。美国数学与管理科学杂志,35(2),171-181)和Condino等人(P(Y)的似然和贝叶斯估计 < X) 使用来自一般分布类别的较低记录值。统计学论文),当强度和应力变量属于不同的分布族时,PRHF已经被推广。获得了参数和可靠性函数的幂的一致最小方差无偏估计量(UMVUE)、最大似然估计量(MLE)和贝叶斯估计量(BE)。三个参数函数(即参数的幂)的估计量是相互关联的,而在文献中,研究人员分别处理了这三个估计问题。此外,已经表明,不需要和的表达式来估计它们。在本文中,获得和的估计量的技术更简单,因为它不需要Rao-Blackellization。已经进行了模拟研究来分析所提出的估计器的行为。一个使用真实数据的例子也被认为是一个例证。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
American Journal of Mathematical and Management Sciences
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