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Paying Them to Hate US: The Effect of U.S. Military Aid on Anti-American Terrorism, 1968-2014 付钱让他们恨美国:美国军事援助对反美恐怖主义的影响,1968-2014
Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3639277
Eugen Dimant, Tim Krieger, Daniel Meierrieks
Does U.S. military aid make the United States safer? To answer this question, we collect data on 173 countries between 1968 and 2014. Exploiting quasi-random variation in the global patterns of U.S. military aid, our paper is the first to provide causal estimates of the effect of U.S. military aid on anti-American terrorism. We find that higher levels of military aid led to an increased likelihood of the recipient country to produce anti-American terrorism. For our preferred instrumental-variable specification, doubling U.S. military aid increases the risk of anti-American terrorism by 4.4 percentage points. Examining potential transmission channels, we find that more U.S. military aid leads to more corruption and exclusionary policies in recipient countries. Consistent with a theoretical argument developed in this paper, these results indicate that the inflow of military aid induces rent-seeking behavior, which in turn encourages terrorism by groups that suffer from reduced economic and political participation as a consequence of rent-seeking. These groups direct their dissatisfaction against the United States as the perceived linchpin of an unfavorable status quo in the recipient country.
美国的军事援助让美国更安全了吗?为了回答这个问题,我们收集了1968年至2014年间173个国家的数据。利用美国军事援助全球模式的准随机变化,我们的论文首次对美国军事援助对反美恐怖主义的影响进行了因果估计。我们发现,较高水平的军事援助导致受援国产生反美恐怖主义的可能性增加。根据我们首选的工具变量规格,美国军事援助增加一倍会使反美恐怖主义的风险增加4.4个百分点。研究潜在的传播渠道,我们发现更多的美国军事援助导致受援国更多的腐败和排他性政策。与本文提出的理论论点一致,这些结果表明,军事援助的流入诱发了寻租行为,这反过来又鼓励了因寻租而遭受经济和政治参与减少的团体的恐怖主义。这些群体将对美国的不满直接视为接受国不利现状的关键因素。
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引用次数: 0
Развитие образования и борьба с бедностью (Developing Education and Fighting Poverty)
Pub Date : 2020-05-25 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3710599
E. Avraamova, T. Klyachko, Dmitriy Loginov, Elena Semionova, Irina Yakovleva
Russian Abstract: Система образования формирует человеческий потенциал, являющийся одним из важнейших ресурсов социально-экономического развития, на использовании которого должна опираться реализация стратегий развития субъектов Российской Федерации, отдельных отраслей и комплексов экономики. Поставленные в Указе Президента Российской Федерации от 7 мая 2018 г. No 204 цели и задачи определили содержание национальных проектов в социальной сфере и науке, государственном строительстве, обеспечении экологической безопасности страны, пространственном развитии и других отраслях и сферах деятельности. Указ задает вектор развития России на среднесрочную перспективу. Вместе с тем те процессы и реформы, которые будут запущены в данный период, во многом определят развитие страны и на более длительный срок. Актуальность проблемы определения места и роли системы образования в решении стратегических задач в социально-экономическом развитии Российской Федерации, в том числе связи Национального проекта «Образования» с остальными национальными проектами, является очевидной. В настоящей работе рассмотрены вопросы, раскрывающие связь развития образования с борьбой с бедностью.

English Abstract: The education system forms human potential, which is one of the most important resources for social and economic development, on the use of which the implementation of development strategies for the constituent entities of the Russian Federation, individual sectors and complexes of the economy should be based. The goals and objectives set in the Decree of the President of the Russian Federation of May 7, 2018 No. 204 determined the content of national projects in the social sphere and science, state construction, ensuring the country's environmental security, spatial development and other industries and spheres of activity. The decree sets the vector for Russia's development in the medium term. At the same time, the processes and reforms that will be launched in this period will largely determine the development of the country for a longer period. The relevance of the problem of determining the place and role of the education system in solving strategic problems in the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation, including the relationship of the National Project "Education" with other national projects, is obvious. This work examines the issues that reveal the relationship between the development of education and the fight against poverty.
俄罗斯的Abstract:教育系统正在塑造人类潜力,这是社会经济发展的最重要资源之一,俄罗斯联邦行动者、个别行业和经济综合体的发展战略必须利用这些资源。俄罗斯联邦总统2018年5月7日颁布的法令确定了国家社会和科学、公共建设、国家环境安全、空间发展和其他领域的国家项目的内容。该法令为俄罗斯的中期发展指明了方向。然而,在这段时间内启动的进程和改革将在很大程度上决定一个国家的发展。在俄罗斯联邦的社会经济发展战略目标(包括国家教育项目与其他国家项目的联系)中,确定教育系统的位置和作用的重要性是显而易见的。本文讨论了教育发展与扶贫有关的问题。英语Abstract:人类教育系统,当它是最受欢迎的社会和经济发展工具之一时,它是俄罗斯联邦最受欢迎的发展工具之一。在俄罗斯联邦的deals和objectives, 2018号,204号,国家建设,国家开发,和其他工业和行动。这是俄罗斯在媒体平台上开发的decree sets vector。在萨姆的时代,processes和reforms将会在《孤独的国家发展》中被重新定义。俄罗斯联邦社会经济发展计划的基础和教育问题的相关问题是显而易见的。这首歌是由教育开发人员和战斗人员共同创作的。
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引用次数: 0
Хочешь мира – готовься к войне: война и «хлебная проблема» (If You Want Peace- Prepare for War: War and the 'Bread Problem') 如果你想要和平,那就准备战争:战争和面包问题。
Pub Date : 2020-05-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3607764
V. Kuzin
Russian Abstract: В статье анализируется сложная политическая и экономическая ситуация, в которой оказался СССР накануне II Мировой войны. Незавершённая индустриализация, потребность в перевооружении армии и подготовка тыла к войне требовали колоссальных финансовых ресурсов. Источником средств стало сельское хозяйство. Показана безальтернативность жёсткой внутригосударственной политики. Проводится опасная аналогия событий конца 1930-х гг. с современностью

English Abstract: This article analyzes the difficult political and economic situation in the USSR on the eve of the World War II. Uncompleted industrialization, the need of rearming the army and preparation of the rear for the war required enormous financial resources. The agriculture became the source of all of this. The article demonstrates a lack of alternatives of harsh domestic policy. A dangerous analogy of the events of the late 1930s is being drawn with nowadays time
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引用次数: 0
Role of Public-Private Partnership in Infrastructural Development Projects: An Indian Perspective 公私伙伴关系在基础设施发展项目中的作用:印度视角
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3606900
Prashant Rahangdale
Infrastructure is an important sector wherein all the countries need to work a lot to achieve overall development. India being developing country is working rigorously in the field of infrastructural advancement. However, lots of recourses are required to full fill the wants of individuals residing in any country and due to inadequate way outs sometimes targets are not achieved by the governments. To resort this setback various countries are adopting the innovative practices by adopting Public - Private Partnerships which is also called as PPP model or P3 model. Public - Private Partnerships is a novel idea through which public and private come together to develop infrastructural projects. Private sectors not only contribute their skills and experience but also finance the public sectors in infrastructural development projects. India has also followed this practice and adopted PPP model in sectors like road, transports, logistics hubs, Health Care and Education Sector. This research paper will focus on the study the role of Public-Private Partnership in Infrastructure Projects in India. Further, the study will also focus on advantages and disadvantages PPP model in infrastructural development projects.
基础设施是一个重要的领域,所有国家都需要努力实现全面发展。作为发展中国家,印度正在基础设施建设领域积极努力。然而,要满足居住在任何国家的个人的需求,都需要大量的资源,而且由于出路不足,有时政府无法实现目标。为了避免这种挫折,各国正在采用创新的做法,即采用公私合作伙伴关系,也称为PPP模式或P3模式。公私合作是一种新颖的理念,通过公私合作来发展基础设施项目。私营部门不仅在基础设施发展项目中贡献其技能和经验,而且还为公共部门提供资金。印度也遵循这一做法,在道路、运输、物流中心、医疗保健和教育等领域采用PPP模式。本研究论文将重点研究印度基础设施项目中公私伙伴关系的作用。此外,本研究亦会着重探讨PPP模式在基建发展项目中的优缺点。
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引用次数: 0
Optimal Timing of Interventions during an Epidemic 流行病期间干预措施的最佳时机
Pub Date : 2020-05-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3607048
N. Huberts, J. Thijssen
The recent outbreak of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, causing infectious disease COVID-19, has shown that government (non-pharmaceutical) intervention can have a significant impact on the rate at which a virus spreads. It has been deemed imperative to reduce and delay the peak ("flattening the curve"). Flattening the curve is especially important when considering the impact of an outbreak on the health care system. Delaying the peak gives hospitals and (local) governments more time to prepare for later outbreaks and the (anticipated) influx of patients, but, more importantly, when the peak number of people requiring care simultaneously is reduced, there is a lower risk of the healthcare system being overwhelmed. It remains unclear, though, under what circumstances non-pharmaceutical intervention is optimal and perhaps even more importantly, once measures are in place, when to stop non-pharmaceutical interventions. When measures are lifted too early a second outbreak could appear. Intervention lasting too long could lead to unnecessary long term economic consequences. This paper uses a continuous-time Markov chain model to study the value and optimal exercise decision of two (sequential) options: the option to intervene and, after intervention has started, the option to end it.
最近爆发的导致传染性疾病COVID-19的SARS-CoV-2病毒表明,政府(非药物)干预可以对病毒的传播速度产生重大影响。降低和推迟峰值(“使曲线趋平”)已被视为势在必行。在考虑疫情对卫生保健系统的影响时,使曲线趋平尤为重要。推迟高峰使医院和(地方)政府有更多时间为以后的疫情和(预期的)患者涌入做准备,但更重要的是,当同时需要护理的高峰人数减少时,医疗保健系统不堪重负的风险就会降低。然而,目前尚不清楚在什么情况下非药物干预是最佳的,也许更重要的是,一旦措施到位,何时停止非药物干预。如果过早取消措施,就可能出现第二次疫情。干预持续时间过长可能导致不必要的长期经济后果。本文采用连续时间马尔可夫链模型研究了干预期权和干预开始后结束期权两种(顺序)期权的价值和最优执行决策。
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引用次数: 7
The Shifting Ground of Pension Design: Reflections on Risks and Reporting 养老金设计的变迁:对风险与报告的思考
Pub Date : 2020-05-20 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3606651
R. D. Baldwin
Debates about the relative merits of defined-benefit (DB) and defined-contribution (DC) pension plans have been a prominent part of pension discourse over the past forty years. The intensity of the debate has ebbed and flowed over the years but has been more intense in recent years as there has been a shift from DB to DC plans in Canada. This shift has left the remaining members of DB plans feeling threatened and, for many, the sense of threat has been compounded by the emergence of target-benefit (TB) plans. Discussions of DB, TB and DC in the abstract tend to obscure basic issues related to the similarities and differences among these plans that should be taken into account. My hope is to provoke an examination of some of these issues free from the hyperbole that is widely invoked in partisan debates about DB and DC. In both the private and public sectors, I hope this would lead to the exploration of ways to limit the financial risks of a workplace pension plan (WPP) without going to pure DC. I will also note some measures that will help make DB plans more transparent. Basically, I will argue that: 1) There is so much diversity in the design of DB and DC plans that generalizing about the merits of DB versus DC has little precise meaning. 2) While DB plans generally go further than DC plans in achieving a predictable gross replacement rate (the ratio of retirement income to pre-retirement earnings), they will give rise to a variety of net replacement rates (taking into account factors like taxes and mortgage payments) and may push pre-retirement living standards below post-retirement levels. Net replacement rates come closer to defining living standards than do gross rates. 3) The financial and economic circumstances of the early 21st century have been difficult for all types of pension and retirement savings plans and I will focus on the impacts on DB plans that explain the changes noted above. 4) The relative advantage of DB plans in providing predictable benefits stems from cross-subsidies among the members. These are not inherently problematic but transparency problems may arise because cross-subsidies are not identified and measured. 5) There are measures that plan governors can adopt that can help reconcile the (un)predictability of contributions and benefits and make DB plans more transparent. Finally, I argue that regulatory and tax policy can be adapted to facilitate more flexibility in plan designs.
在过去的四十年里,关于固定收益(DB)和固定缴款(DC)养老金计划的相对优点的争论一直是养老金讨论的一个突出部分。多年来,争论的激烈程度时起时伏,但近年来,随着加拿大从DB计划转向DC计划,争论变得更加激烈。这一转变使固定收益计划的剩余成员感到受到威胁,对许多人来说,目标收益计划的出现加剧了这种威胁感。对DB、TB和DC的抽象讨论往往会模糊与这些计划之间的异同有关的基本问题,而这些问题应该加以考虑。我的希望是激发人们对其中一些问题的审视,而不是像党派间关于DB和DC的辩论中广泛使用的那种夸张。在私营和公共部门,我希望这将导致探索如何限制工作场所养老金计划(WPP)的财务风险,而不是纯粹的DC。我还将指出一些有助于使DB计划更加透明的措施。基本上,我认为:1)在DB和DC计划的设计中有如此多的多样性,概括DB和DC的优点几乎没有确切的意义。2)虽然固定缴款计划在实现可预测的总替代率(退休收入与退休前收入之比)方面通常比固定缴款计划更进一步,但它们会产生各种净替代率(考虑到税收和抵押贷款支付等因素),并可能使退休前的生活水平低于退休后的水平。净替代率比总替代率更接近于定义生活水平。3) 21世纪初的金融和经济环境对所有类型的养老金和退休储蓄计划来说都是困难的,我将重点关注对DB计划的影响,解释上述变化。4) DB计划在提供可预测收益方面的相对优势源于成员之间的交叉补贴。这些本身没有问题,但由于没有确定和衡量交叉补贴,可能会出现透明度问题。5)计划管理者可以采取一些措施来帮助协调缴款和福利的(不可)可预测性,并使固定收益计划更加透明。最后,我认为可以调整监管和税收政策,以促进计划设计的更大灵活性。
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引用次数: 6
Health Versus the Economy Amid COVID-19: What Do People Value More? COVID-19期间的健康与经济:人们更重视什么?
Pub Date : 2020-05-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3601325
M. Palma, S. Huseynov, R. Nayga
Public efforts to battle COVID-19 have been portrayed as a trade-off between health and the economy. We investigate how the U.S. general public prioritizes the health and the income dimensions amid COVID-19 using an incentivized instrument with real monetary consequences. Specifically, participants have to divide monetary contributions between two charitable organizations representing either the health or the income dimension. An overwhelming majority of participants supports both dimensions, with higher monetary contributions to the health dimension (56%) compared to income (44%), but the difference is not large. Only a small fraction of respondents contributes exclusively to the health (10%) or income (5%) dimensions. This finding is important since the course of COVID-19 will be shaped by the policies governments implement and how the general public reacts to these policies.
公众抗击COVID-19的努力被描述为健康与经济之间的权衡。我们调查了美国公众如何在COVID-19期间使用具有实际货币后果的激励工具优先考虑健康和收入维度。具体地说,参与者必须在代表健康或收入方面的两个慈善组织之间分配捐款。绝大多数参与者都支持这两个方面,对健康方面的金钱捐助(56%)高于收入方面(44%),但差异不大。只有一小部分答复者专门对健康(10%)或收入(5%)方面作出贡献。这一发现很重要,因为COVID-19的进程将受到政府实施的政策以及公众对这些政策的反应的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Access to Reproductive Health-Care Services and Its Impact on the Health of Women in Guma Local Government Area, Benue State, Nigeria 获得生殖保健服务及其对尼日利亚贝努埃州古马地方政府地区妇女健康的影响
Pub Date : 2020-05-12 DOI: 10.31014/aior.1991.03.02.180
I. Agbor
Reproductive health is a crucial part of general health and a central feature of human development. It is therefore an important component of health which serves as a precondition for human development as well as a central determinant of quality life. Since the 1980s’ there has been increasing awareness on the need to pay special attention on the reproductive health of women by the government. Access to the reproductive health services has long been undermined, which can be viewed as an infringement on women’s rights and compounded by other factors such as inadequate health facilities, economic, socio-cultural, belief systems and demographic factors. The study therefore sought to examine the impact of access to reproductive healthcare services on the health of women in Guma LGA of Benue State. Data was collected using a combination of quantitative and qualitative data collection techniques. The findings of the study indicated that a significant proportion of the population fall within the age bracket of 26-35, which represents 82 persons (41%). One hundred and twenty are married (61.5%), while 90 (45%) are farmers. Sixty nine persons (34.5) have at least secondary education. Majority of the respondents were Christians 150 (75%) while 120 (60%) live in rural areas. The fundamental challenges of reproductive healthcare services in Guma local government area stems from economic status/poverty. This fact was indicated by majority of (189; 94.5%) of respondents. The study observes that the real panacea for solving reproductive health challenges in the area is for the government to accelerate the pace of development. Development in this context consists of creating an economy with relevant social, economic and physical infrastructure for the well-being of women, in order for women to have full access to reproductive healthcare services, there is also the need for the government to make provision for adequate reproductive healthcare facilities and services, fund public health institutions and subsidized the cost of reproductive healthcare services for the women in Guma LGA.
生殖健康是一般健康的一个重要组成部分,也是人类发展的一个中心特征。因此,它是健康的重要组成部分,是人类发展的先决条件,也是高质量生活的主要决定因素。自1980年代以来,越来越多的人认识到政府需要特别关注妇女的生殖健康。获得生殖健康服务的机会长期以来一直受到破坏,这可被视为侵犯妇女权利,并因卫生设施不足、经济、社会文化、信仰体系和人口因素等其他因素而加剧。因此,这项研究旨在审查获得生殖保健服务对贝努埃州古马地方政府妇女健康的影响。采用定量和定性数据收集技术相结合的方法收集数据。研究结果表明,很大一部分人口属于26-35岁年龄段,占82人(41%)。120人已婚(61.5%),90人是农民(45%)。69人(34.5人)至少受过中等教育。大多数受访者是基督徒,150人(75%),120人(60%)生活在农村地区。在古马地方政府辖区,生殖保健服务面临的根本挑战源于经济地位/贫困。这一事实表明,大多数(189;94.5%)。该研究指出,解决该地区生殖健康挑战的真正灵丹妙药是政府加快发展步伐。这方面的发展包括为妇女的福祉创造具有相关社会、经济和物质基础设施的经济,为了使妇女充分获得生殖保健服务,政府还需要提供充分的生殖保健设施和服务,为公共保健机构提供资金,并补贴古马地方政府妇女的生殖保健服务费用。
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引用次数: 0
Forms of Social Security Services for Filipino Workers in Japan: Implications to Migrant Labor Policy and Practices 日本菲律宾劳工的社会保障服务形式:对移工政策与实务的启示
Pub Date : 2020-05-11 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3709539
Veronica Ramirez
The rapid economic development of Japan between the 1970s and 1980s attracted millions of migrant workers from third world countries. On the other hand, the dwindling and aging Japanese population necessitates migrant labor. These two are the reasons why the Japan Social Security services for workers had to be restructured. This study examined the labor policies and practices of Social Security services available to Filipinos in Japan. It analyzed how this can enhance the living and work conditions of Filipino workers in Japan, at the same time benefit Japan as a migrant labor receiving country. Descriptive research methods of survey, interview and document analysis were employed. Triangulation of results was conducted to verify and compare the data gathered from different sources. This study found that the Social Security services that are highly availed of by Filipinos are medical assistance, pension or retirement allowance, access to general hospitals, clinics with out-patient services, dental clinics, training for employed workers, National Health Insurance, and food safety provisions. Those services that have low access should be given attention through awareness campaign, online dissemination and orientation in Filipino language. This includes (a) Social Welfare: Housing assistance, Support to the balance between work and family life, In-house child-care facilities, Short-time work options, Minimum living expense, Flexible working styles; (b) Employment security: Employment Counseling, and Career development promotion subsidy; (c) Employees Insurance: Pharmaceutical and Medical devices; and (d) Policies on radioactive materials, poison and contaminants in food. By virtue of their membership to the Social Security system, they are able to avail the services for foreign workers. Social Security in Japan enhances the living and work conditions of Filipino workers and enables them to save and invest the money that otherwise would be spent for health and other necessities. Providing effective Social Security to migrant workers also benefits Japan as a migrant worker receiving country. Japan’s strong Social Security system that can be availed by registered migrant workers, including Filipinos, is a model to other Asian countries that receive migrant workers. This is not only because the services that are enjoyed by the Japanese workers are likewise enjoyed by migrant workers but more importantly, they respond to the needs of workers, enhance their living and work conditions at the same time, contribute to the socio-economic development of Japan by filling in the need for laborers in different industries. Since not all Filipinos in Japan are aware of the Social Security services and how they can be availed of, it is recommended that information dissemination be done electronically, through the community or their workplace, in both English and Filipino. The 2017 Agreement between the governments of Japan and the Philippines can be expan
20世纪70年代至80年代,日本经济的快速发展吸引了数百万来自第三世界国家的移民工人。另一方面,日本人口的减少和老龄化需要外来劳动力。这两点就是日本必须对工人社会保障服务进行重组的原因。本研究考察了菲律宾人在日本的劳动政策和社会保障服务的实践。它分析了如何改善菲律宾工人在日本的生活和工作条件,同时使日本作为移民劳工接收国受益。采用调查、访谈、文献分析等描述性研究方法。对结果进行三角测量,以验证和比较从不同来源收集的数据。这项研究发现,菲律宾人高度利用的社会保障服务包括医疗援助、养恤金或退休津贴、进入综合医院、提供门诊服务的诊所、牙科诊所、对受雇工人的培训、国民健康保险和食品安全规定。应通过提高认识运动、网上传播和菲律宾语指导,重视那些获得机会较少的服务。这包括(a)社会福利:住房援助、支持工作和家庭生活之间的平衡、内部儿童保育设施、短期工作选择、最低生活费用、灵活的工作方式;(b)就业保障:就业咨询和职业发展促进补贴;(c)雇员保险:药品和医疗设备;(d)关于食物中的放射性物质、毒物和污染物的政策。由于他们是社会保障制度的成员,他们能够利用为外国工人提供的服务。日本的社会保障改善了菲律宾工人的生活和工作条件,使他们能够储蓄和投资原本用于保健和其他必需品的钱。为外来务工人员提供有效的社会保障也有利于日本作为外来务工人员接收国。包括菲律宾人在内的登记在册的外来务工人员都能享受到的强大的日本社会保障制度,是亚洲其他外来务工人员接收国家的典范。这不仅是因为日本工人所享受的服务与移民工人同样享有,更重要的是,他们回应了工人的需求,同时改善了工人的生活和工作条件,填补了不同行业对劳动力的需求,为日本的社会经济发展做出了贡献。由于并非所有在日本的菲律宾人都了解社会保障服务以及如何利用这些服务,因此建议通过社区或其工作场所以电子方式以英语和菲律宾语传播信息。日本和菲律宾政府之间的2017年协议可以扩大到包括社会保障和对家政工人和菲律宾居民等低技能工人的保护,这些工人因家庭责任和年龄而没有工作。日本政府允许将技术实习培训计划(TITP)受训人员的签证转换为特定技术工人的居留身份,因此,将有社会保障福利,这是激励他们高效和卓越工作的一种方式。菲律宾海外劳工办公室(POLO)可以启动一项计划,使在日本的无证件或非正规菲律宾人的生产工人地位合法化,以增加日本的劳动力部门,并确保已经在日本的菲律宾人的就业。最后,日本和菲律宾政府都可以对社会保障的可用性进行监测,以确保这些服务由指定的政府机构实施。
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引用次数: 0
Развитие рынка социальных услуг для пожилых в условиях роста продолжительности жизни (The Development of the Market of Social Services for the Elderly with Increasing Life Expectancy)
Pub Date : 2020-05-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3596033
E. Grishina, Elena Tsatsura (Kovalenko)
Russian Abstract: В данной работе представлен анализ текущей ситуации в сфере социального обслуживания пожилых граждан, включая как работу государственной системы учреждений социального обслуживания, так и негосударственных организаций социального обслуживания пожилых.

English Abstract: This paper presents an analysis of the current situation in the field of social services for senior citizens, including both the work of the state system of social services and non-governmental organizations of social services for the elderly.
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Political Economy: Government Expenditures & Related Policies eJournal
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