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The Validity of Altman’s Models in Predicting Iraqi Private-Banks Soundness Altman模型预测伊拉克私人银行健全性的有效性
Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp79-89
Mohammed Faez Hasan, Hashim Sahib Hadi, Noor Alhuda Hayder Jasim
Nowadays, banks play a significant role in the economy. Thus, its fail extends beyond stakeholders, companies and organization. But may reach to threaten the entire economy. Such an institution better to depend on an early warning system to prevent the costly fail of it. Financial distress prediction (FDP) refers to a method of utilizing statistical models to predict business failure or difficulties that may face banks. A famous earlier model suggested by Altman in which use by the current study to assess the soundness of Iraqi private banks and to find out if such a model could be appropriate to predict financial failure. The model applied to two groups of Iraqi private banks. The first group involves already failure banks; in contrast, the second group comprises Non-failure banks. The study finds that the Altman model unable to predict financial distress in Iraqi private bank with worthwhile accuracy. Therefore, it is inapplicable as applied in other business environments.
如今,银行在经济中扮演着重要的角色。因此,它的失败超越了利益相关者、公司和组织。但可能会威胁到整个经济。这样一个机构最好依靠早期预警系统来防止代价高昂的失败。财务困境预测(FDP)是指利用统计模型预测银行可能面临的经营失败或困难的一种方法。由Altman提出的一个著名的早期模型,目前的研究使用该模型来评估伊拉克私人银行的稳健性,并找出这种模型是否适合预测金融失败。该模型适用于两组伊拉克私人银行。第一类包括已经破产的银行;相比之下,第二类由非破产银行组成。研究发现,Altman模型无法准确预测伊拉克私人银行的财务困境。因此,在其他业务环境中不适用。
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引用次数: 1
The Role of Leaders’ Moral Intelligence to Enhance Strategic Leadership 领导者道德智力对提升战略领导力的作用
Pub Date : 2021-03-08 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp65-78
Alaa Hussein Fadhil, Ahmed Abdullah Amanah AL- Sammari, Layla Mohsin Hasan AL-Hakeem, Ahmed Muhammadridha Abdulrasool Qandeel
Abstract The research aims to test the impact of the leader’s moral intelligence on strengthening the strategic leadership in production organizations by analysing questionnaire responses of 119 leaders working for administrative, productive and technical sectors inside a textile factory in Kut, south-east of Baghdad, and similar groups from a clothing company in Najaf, south of Baghdad. We applied constructs of Mamede et al. (2013) for moral intelligence (integrity, tolerance, responsibility, compassion) and Duursema’s parameters (2014) for strategic leadership (client focus, operational efficiency, business development, organizational innovation). The collected responses were analysed using structural equation modelling. A leader’s moral intelligence posed an active impact on enhancing the strategic leadership of the firms. The research sample is in the context of competition in the Iraqi industrial and production sectors. Moral intelligence is instrumental in improving the positive relationship in strategic leadership. Implications on the provision of valuable production would add up to the targeted local self-sufficiency. The researchers showed that there is a significant effect on the dimensions of the leader's moral intelligence in strengthening the elements of strategic leadership for organizations
摘要:本研究旨在通过对巴格达东南部库特一家纺织厂的行政、生产和技术部门的119名领导以及巴格达南部纳杰夫一家服装公司的类似小组进行问卷调查,来测试领导者道德智力对加强生产组织战略领导力的影响。我们将Mamede等人(2013)的道德智力结构(正直、宽容、责任、同情)和Duursema的参数(2014)应用于战略领导力(客户关注、运营效率、业务发展、组织创新)。采用结构方程模型对收集到的响应进行分析。领导者的道德智力对企业战略领导力的提升具有积极的影响。研究样本是在伊拉克工业和生产部门竞争的背景下进行的。道德智力有助于改善战略领导中的积极关系。对提供有价值的产品的影响加起来将达到目标的当地自给自足。研究表明,加强组织战略领导要素对领导者道德智力维度有显著影响
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引用次数: 1
A Hybrid SWARA and MABAK Methods: To Identify Credit Risk of Bank Branches 银行分支机构信用风险识别的混合SWARA和MABAK方法
Pub Date : 2021-02-24 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp45-64
Seyad Said ShamsiNejhad, Maedeh Dehnamaki, A. Mehdiabadi, V. Shahabi
Banking plays an important role in the economy of any country. The success of a healthy economy depends on a robust and healthy banking system. Savings, investments, production, employment and growth in the national economy are affected by the operations and decisions of the banking system. Lending is one of the main activities of most banks and this is affected by risk. Changes in economic conditions affect bank risk. The borrower's credit status may deteriorate over time due to various factors. Credit risk and its management at the branch level can greatly assist banks' performance. Paying attention to credit risk indices at bank branch level is an issue that has been less addressed. In this study, the researchers have prioritized the evaluation of branch-level indicators using new decision-making techniques, such as SWARA and MABAK, by presenting a general model of the factors influencing credit risk at banks level. We first obtained the weight of the indices using the SWARA technique and using the opinions of ten banking experts and then we are ready to enter the MABAK model. The analysis was carried out in qard al-hasan RESALAT Bank, and in 30 selected branches of the bank.
银行在任何国家的经济中都扮演着重要的角色。一个健康经济的成功取决于一个强健健康的银行体系。国民经济中的储蓄、投资、生产、就业和增长都受到银行系统的运作和决策的影响。贷款是大多数银行的主要业务之一,这受到风险的影响。经济状况的变化会影响银行风险。由于各种因素,借款人的信用状况可能会随着时间的推移而恶化。分行层面的信用风险及其管理对银行的绩效有很大的帮助。关注银行分行层面的信用风险指标是一个较少被关注的问题。在本研究中,研究人员利用新的决策技术,如SWARA和MABAK,通过提出银行层面影响信贷风险因素的一般模型,优先评估分行层面的指标。我们首先使用SWARA技术和十位银行专家的意见获得了指数的权重,然后我们准备进入MABAK模型。分析是在qard al-hasan RESALAT银行和该银行的30个选定分支机构进行的。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the relationship between management forecasting of profits and management incentives with managers' risk-taking in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange 研究在德黑兰证券交易所上市的公司中,管理层对利润的预测、管理层激励与管理者承担风险之间的关系
Pub Date : 2021-02-24 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp1-16
Seyyed Moosa Mohammadi, Ali Tarkhorani, S. Sadeghi
  The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of management forecasting of profit and managerial motivations on managers' risk-taking in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. The research method was correlational in nature and content of a research. The method of this research was descriptive and correlational based on composite data and multivariate regression statistical method was used to examine the relationship between independent and dependent variables. Data analysis was performed based on the method of studying composite data, regression of composite data with fixed effects (panel). The statistical population of this study was the companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange in the period from 1392 to 1397. Using elimination screening sampling method, 106 companies were studied as a statistical sample size. Data analysis and processing was performed using Eviews10 software and the results showed that fluctuations in management's estimate of the CEO's percentage of dividends, annual bonuses paid to managers on managers' risk-taking in companies listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange. It has a significant effect.
本研究的目的是探讨在德黑兰证券交易所上市的公司,管理层对利润的预测和管理层动机对管理者冒险行为的影响。研究方法在性质和研究内容上是相关的。本研究采用基于复合数据的描述性和相关性分析方法,并采用多元回归统计方法检验自变量与因变量之间的关系。数据分析采用复合数据研究法,固定效应复合数据回归法(面板法)。本研究的统计人口为1392年至1397年期间在德黑兰证券交易所上市的公司。采用淘汰筛选抽样法,选取106家企业作为统计样本进行研究。使用Eviews10软件进行数据分析和处理,结果表明,管理层对首席执行官股息百分比的估计波动,支付给经理的年度奖金与经理在德黑兰证券交易所上市公司的冒险行为有关。它有显著的效果。
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引用次数: 0
Investigation the Factors that Affect Intention to Use Informational Technology among Payame Noor University Students (English Language) at Fars Province 法尔斯省Payame Noor大学英语专业学生信息技术使用意愿影响因素调查
Pub Date : 2021-02-24 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp17-22
Sareh Nematolahi, Negar Seifzadeh
Abstract The purpose of this study is presenting path analysis model of intention to use technology among English language students in Fars Payame Noor University. Research methodology is co relational and the instrument for data collection, are standardized questionnaires that were analyzed with software Lisrel. The results show that computer self-efficacy (0.23), perceived ease of use (0.28) and perceived usefulness (0.23) have direct and significant effect with intention to use technology, computer self-efficacy (0.36), cognitive absorption (0.18) and perceived ease of use (0.22) have significant and direct effect with perceived usefulness, and finally computer self-efficacy (0.20) and cognitive absorption (0.25) have significant and direct effect with perceived ease of use.
摘要本研究的目的是提出法尔斯帕耶姆努尔大学英语语言学生使用技术意愿的路径分析模型。研究方法是相关的,数据收集的工具是标准化的问卷调查,用Lisrel软件进行分析。结果表明,计算机自我效能(0.23)、感知易用性(0.28)和感知有用性(0.23)对技术使用意图有直接显著影响,计算机自我效能(0.36)、认知吸收(0.18)和感知易用性(0.22)对感知有用性有显著直接影响,计算机自我效能(0.20)和认知吸收(0.25)对感知易用性有显著直接影响。
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引用次数: 1
Investigating the relationship between cross-sectional free cash flows, dividends and corporate value 研究横截面自由现金流、股利和公司价值之间的关系
Pub Date : 2021-02-24 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp32-44
Mohsen Hashemi Gohar, Parviz Dindarfarkoushi, Omid Armoun, Fereshteh Hashemi Majd
Free cash flows are considered as one of the most important and influential factors in increasing or decreasing the dividend among shareholders. The more cross-sectional free cash flows experience a growth rate over the short and long term, the more one can expect a dividend increase between shareholders and an increase in stock returns in the short run. Due to the importance of examining free cash flows, dividends and company value to attract investment in companies, in this study, the relationship between cross-sectional free cash flows, dividends on the value of companies was examined. The results of this study based on the information of 87 manufacturing companies active in Tehran Stock Exchange for a period of 6 years from 1393 to 1398 which was done by SPSS software show that cross-sectional free cash flows have a positive relationship with company value and also dividend effect. It has a positive effect on the value of the company.
自由现金流被认为是决定股东股利增减的最重要和最具影响力的因素之一。自由现金流在短期和长期内的增长率越高,人们就越能预期股东之间的股息增加和短期内股票回报的增加。由于检验自由现金流、股息和公司价值对吸引公司投资的重要性,在本研究中,检验了横断面自由现金流、股息对公司价值的关系。本研究基于1393年至1398年6年间在德黑兰证券交易所活跃的87家制造业公司的信息,采用SPSS软件进行研究,结果表明横截面自由现金流与公司价值呈正相关关系,股利效应也显著。这对公司的价值有积极的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Decreasing Classification Risk in Term Life Insurance Considering the Interest rate and Period of Contract 考虑利率和合同期限的定期寿险分类风险降低
Pub Date : 2021-02-22 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol9iss01pp23-31
Fereshteh Nasrollahi heravi, M. Haghbayan
Term life insurance is a type of life insurance policy that provides coverage for a certain period of time. If the insured dies during the time period specified in the policy and the policy is active, a death benefit will be paid. One of the basic problem in insurance company is that insurers cannot classify high level risk individual from low level risk individual and cannot offer different premium to each individual. Therefore, the aim of this study was to show how insurers can decrease risk classification and increase demand of low level individual for insurance. We used Mahdavi’s model and it was expanded with contract duration, interest rate and individual’s age parameters. We found that if contract duration or interest rate increases, demand for insurance and risk classification also increase. However, if age of the individual or cost of claim increases, demand for insurance decreases. In additional, when cost of claim goes up, risk classification declines
定期人寿保险是一种人寿保险单,提供一定时期的保险。被保险人在保单规定的期限内死亡且保单有效的,给付死亡抚恤金。保险公司面临的一个基本问题是保险公司无法将高风险个体和低风险个体区分开来,也无法对每个个体提供不同的保费。因此,本研究的目的是显示保险公司如何降低风险分类,增加低水平个人的保险需求。我们使用Mahdavi的模型,并将其扩展为合同期限、利率和个人年龄参数。我们发现,如果合同期限或利率增加,保险和风险分类的需求也会增加。然而,如果个人年龄或索赔费用增加,对保险的需求就会减少。此外,当索赔成本上升时,风险分类就会下降
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引用次数: 0
Study the relationship between customer satisfaction and trust and return to medical centers by patients (Iraqi health tourists at Imam Reza hospital) 研究顾客满意度与信任和病人重返医疗中心之间的关系(伊玛目礼萨医院的伊拉克健康游客)
Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol7iss01pp1-10
Alireza Abdoli, P. Bahmani
Objective: The population of this research managers and experts are active in Iran's automotive vehicle at the time of the study were 230 patients. Experts confirmed the content validity of the questionnaire academia and industry, to get the reliability, Cronbach's alpha coefficient has been obtained Cronbach's alpha reliability 86/0. Methodology: The method of analysis in this study will change the strategic management of knowledge in supply chain management by using models and methods such as SWOT green and fuzzy TOPSIS method, as a useful way to resolve conflicts and guiding managers to find the best way, we find. In fact, the traditional strategy of today's supply chain environment characterized by increased economic pressure and environmental responsibility on behalf of shareholders, not to work properly. Results: The aim of this study is the proper approach in order to intensify or modify a green supply chain strategy, supply chain strategies based on environmental, economic and social. Conclusion: After data analysis using descriptive statistics were the best strategy for the company's strategy ST (Aggressive) that prudent growth strategies or development with the participation of Iranian director Khodro discretionary and selective suggested.
目的:这项研究的人口管理人员和专家在研究时活跃在伊朗的汽车230例患者。专家对问卷的内容效度进行了学术界和产业界的确认,得到信度,Cronbach’s alpha系数得到了Cronbach’s alpha信度86/0。研究方法:本研究的分析方法将改变供应链管理中的知识战略管理,通过使用SWOT绿色和模糊TOPSIS方法等模型和方法,我们发现,这是一种解决冲突和指导管理者找到最佳方法的有用方法。事实上,传统的供应链战略在当今以经济压力加大和环境责任代表股东为特征的供应链环境下,并不能正常工作。结果:本研究的目的是加强或修改绿色供应链战略的适当途径,基于环境,经济和社会的供应链战略。结论:在使用描述性统计数据进行数据分析后,对于该公司的ST (Aggressive)战略而言,谨慎的增长战略或在伊朗董事Khodro的参与下酌情和选择性地发展是最佳策略。
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引用次数: 1
Marketing strategies in the product life cycle 产品生命周期中的营销策略
Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.24200/jmas.vol7iss02pp32-36
F. Ahmadi
Objective: Nowadays, with the acceleration of competition in the field of production and consumption, most successful companies place their resources and competitive power in the marketing circuit, or in a more complete sense, at a commercial level. Methodology: It is clear that the way of life and the continuity of organizations goes through the marketing brush, and in this complex and obscure environment that ever grows strong and innovative rivals, having a marketing strategy becomes irrelevant and necessary. Results: This article is a glimpse into product marketing strategies in its life-stages, which organizations need to find their own position in each product, to consolidate their marketing strategy to effectively combine these strategies in order to maintain their survival in the dynamic environment around them. Conclusion: It is believed that there is always a better and more effective way of doing things. The purpose of engineering is to find this way. Value engineering is an organized method and consists of various techniques. Some techniques are old, some are modified and some are new. The engineering value of the return value is the highest value for money (cost) spent.
目的:在生产和消费领域竞争加剧的今天,大多数成功的企业都将资源和竞争力放在了营销环节,或者更完整地说,放在了商业层面。方法论:很明显,组织的生存方式和连续性都要经过营销的磨擦,在这个复杂而模糊的环境中,不断增长的强大和创新的竞争对手,拥有一个营销策略变得无关紧要和必要。结果:这篇文章是对产品营销策略在其生命阶段的一瞥,组织需要找到自己在每个产品的位置,巩固自己的营销策略,有效地将这些策略结合起来,以保持他们在周围的动态环境中生存。结论:我们相信总会有更好更有效的方法去做事情。工程学的目的就是要找到这种方法。价值工程是一种有组织的方法,由多种技术组成。有些技术是旧的,有些是改良的,有些是新的。回报价值的工程价值是所花金钱(成本)的最高价值。
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引用次数: 3
The Impact of Loans to Deposit Ratio (LTD) and Return on Assets (ROA) on the Capital Adequacy Ratio of the Tehran Stock Exchange and OTC 存贷比(LTD)和资产收益率(ROA)对德黑兰证券交易所和场外交易市场资本充足率的影响
Pub Date : 2020-09-29 DOI: 10.24200/JMAS.VOL8ISS1PP51-56
Sorosh Pourjafar Devin, Omid Farman Ara, Mahbobeh Jafari
Objective: Capital is one of important and essential factors in evaluating healthy and sustainability in banking system and in order that adequate capital basis can address wide range of risking which every bank faces.  Methodology: A brief review of banking theory implies empirically that all different aspects of banking organization were influenced by available capital and expected possible return directly or indirectly. Capital operates as a shield against decreasing of asset value or increasing bank debts.  The relation between capital adequacy and banking and also economic factors has a considerable importance. A plenty of universities and financial institution have tried to identify the main factor of determining capital adequate ratio.in this term, in recent studies these questions have been issued to determine as is there any positive and meaning relation between fund ratio to depositing on legitimate banking capital adequacy in Tehran commercial paper and Iranian over the counter (OTC)?  And also any positive or meaning relation between banking asset return on capital adequacy ratio in commercial paper exchange market? Therefore in terms of finding a solution for issued matter, some assumptions were implied based on determined relations. Results: Considering static population was included all acceptable bank in exchange market in during of 1388 to 1392 and any sampling haven’t been determined. So 15 acceptable bank were selected as a sample in this article.it is better to mention a cross multi – factors model was designed to be examined codified assumption by using synthetic data. And achievable results shows there aren’t any positive or meaning relation between paid fund on depositing and acceptable banking capital adequacy in Tehran exchange commercial paper and OTC.  Conclusion: And the observable result also showed that there are positive and direct relation between asset return and acceptable banks capital adequacy in exchange commercial paper market and OTC.
目的:资本是评估银行体系健康和可持续性的重要和必不可少的因素之一,以便充足的资本基础可以解决每个银行面临的各种风险。方法:对银行理论的简要回顾表明,银行组织的所有不同方面都直接或间接地受到可用资本和预期可能回报的影响。资本的作用是防止资产价值下降或银行债务增加。资本充足率与银行和经济因素之间的关系具有相当重要的意义。许多高校和金融机构都试图找出决定资本充足率的主要因素。在这个术语中,在最近的研究中,这些问题已经发布,以确定德黑兰商业票据和伊朗场外交易(OTC)的合法银行资本充足率的资金比率与存款之间是否存在任何积极和有意义的关系?商业票据交易市场银行资产收益率与资本充足率之间是否存在正相关关系?因此,在寻找问题的解决方案方面,基于确定的关系隐含了一些假设。结果:考虑到静态人口,1388 - 1392年外汇市场上所有可接受的银行都被纳入其中,任何抽样都没有确定。因此本文选取了15家可接受的银行作为样本。最好设计一个交叉多因素模型,用合成数据检验已编纂的假设。可实现的结果表明,德黑兰交易所商业票据和场外交易的存款支付资金与银行可接受资本充足率之间不存在正相关或有意义的关系。结论:在交易所商业票据市场和OTC市场上,可接受银行资本充足率与资产收益率之间存在正相关关系。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Journal of Management and Accounting Studies
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