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Mass Mobilization in China and Russia: From Unexpected Victories to Unintended Consequences 中俄群众动员:从意外胜利到意外后果
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-11-08 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00304004
Elizabeth Plantan
Despite the increasingly authoritarian atmosphere in Russia and China, mass protests in both countries are pervasive, including protest motivated by environmental grievances. Existing scholarship often focuses on the sources, spread, or volume of mass mobilization, but few examine how civil society actors themselves evaluate the tactic. How does the state respond to environmentally-motivated mass mobilization? In light of the state’s response, how have activists altered their approach to mass mobilization over time? Using case studies and interviews, I find that Russian and Chinese environmental groups approach mass mobilization in distinct ways. Over time, Russian activists have increasingly turned to mass tactics, including coordinated regional protest. Meanwhile, Chinese ENGOs have reduced their formal involvement in such campaigns, limiting visible horizontal linkages between environmental groups. These approaches are shaped by the different historical legacies of mass mobilization in either country, which also shape state perceptions of the threat posed by environmental activism.
尽管俄罗斯和中国的独裁气氛越来越浓,但两国的大规模抗议活动普遍存在,包括出于环境不满的抗议活动。现有的学术界通常关注大规模动员的来源、传播或数量,但很少有人研究民间社会行为者自己如何评估这种策略。国家如何应对以环境为动机的大规模动员?鉴于该州的反应,随着时间的推移,活动人士是如何改变他们的大规模动员方式的?通过案例研究和访谈,我发现俄罗斯和中国的环保组织以不同的方式对待群众动员。随着时间的推移,俄罗斯活动人士越来越多地转向大规模策略,包括协调地区抗议。与此同时,中国环保组织减少了对此类活动的正式参与,限制了环保组织之间可见的横向联系。这些方法是由两国群众动员的不同历史遗产形成的,这也影响了国家对环境行动主义构成的威胁的看法。
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引用次数: 9
Introduction 介绍
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-11-08 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00304001
Alfred B. Evans, E. Bindman
This article serves as an introduction to this special issue on recent developments in civil society organization and strategies in Russia. Despite the widespread assumption that the increased restrictions placed on NGO activity by the state in recent years have hampered their ability to operate, we argue that civil society in Russia continues to show signs of vitality. This is demonstrated by the fact that protests by ordinary Russians have grown and have often led to the formation of new groups and movements which have had some success in campaigning on specific issues. As the articles in this special issue highlight, one of the key tools affecting whether or not such movements can be successful in achieving their aims is that of framing. When organizations are able to frame the issue they are campaigning on in such a way as to resonate with ordinary people and avoid directly challenging the balance of power within Russia’s political system, they tend to enjoy more success than those groups which tend to take a more confrontational stance and thus face greater pushback and sanction from the authorities. This serves to highlight that NGOs and other civil society groups in Russia employ a range of different strategies and enjoy very different relationships with the authorities as a result.
这篇文章介绍了俄罗斯民间社会组织和战略的最新发展。尽管人们普遍认为,近年来国家对非政府组织活动的限制越来越大,阻碍了它们的运作能力,但我们认为,俄罗斯民间社会继续显示出活力的迹象。这一点可以从以下事实中得到证明:普通俄罗斯人的抗议活动不断增加,并经常导致新的团体和运动的形成,这些团体和运动在特定问题上的竞选活动中取得了一些成功。正如本期特刊中的文章所强调的那样,影响这些运动能否成功实现其目标的关键工具之一是框架。当组织能够以与普通人产生共鸣的方式来阐述他们正在竞选的问题,并避免直接挑战俄罗斯政治体系内的权力平衡时,他们往往比那些倾向于采取更具对抗性立场的团体更成功,从而面临当局更大的抵制和制裁。这突出表明,俄罗斯的非政府组织和其他民间社会团体采用了一系列不同的战略,因此与当局的关系也截然不同。
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引用次数: 0
Framing the Epidemic: NGOs and the Fight Against HIV/AIDS in Russia 制定流行病框架:非政府组织与俄罗斯防治艾滋病毒/艾滋病的斗争
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-11-08 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00304003
U. Pape
With more than one million people living with HIV, Russia is facing the biggest HIV epidemic in Europe and is one of the few countries in the world where infection rates are increasing. The response to the epidemic is shaped by the way Russian state actors and non-governmental organizations (NGOs) view the issue of HIV and how they define policy priorities.In order to understand the factors that underlie HIV policies in Russia, this contribution analyses the framing of HIV. It thereby makes use of framing theory. Based on document analysis and interviews with NGO experts, the article differentiates between four main framings in Russia: the framing of HIV as a medical issue, as a security threat, as a moral problem or as a human rights concern.In Russia, the moral framing of HIV has become dominant over the past decade. The epidemic is increasingly viewed as the result of harmful influences from the West which need to be overcome. As a result, Russia has departed from evidence-based approaches to HIV. Instead, it solely focuses on strengthening so-called “traditional values”, e.g. by engaging in healthy lifestyle promotion. The moral framing of HIV has also impacted the mobilization potential of Russian NGOs, as it favour those organizations that relate to the dominant framing of HIV and support government priorities.
俄罗斯有100多万艾滋病毒感染者,正面临着欧洲最大的艾滋病毒疫情,也是世界上少数几个感染率不断上升的国家之一。俄罗斯国家行为者和非政府组织看待艾滋病毒问题的方式以及他们如何确定政策优先事项,决定了对这一流行病的反应。为了了解俄罗斯艾滋病毒政策背后的因素,本文分析了艾滋病毒的框架。从而运用了框架理论。根据文件分析和对非政府组织专家的采访,文章区分了俄罗斯的四个主要框架:将艾滋病毒视为医疗问题、安全威胁、道德问题或人权问题。在俄罗斯,艾滋病毒的道德框架在过去十年中占主导地位。这种流行病越来越被视为来自西方的有害影响的结果,需要加以克服。因此,俄罗斯偏离了以证据为基础的艾滋病毒防治方法。相反,它只专注于加强所谓的“传统价值观”,例如通过促进健康的生活方式。艾滋病毒的道德框架也影响了俄罗斯非政府组织的动员潜力,因为它有利于那些与艾滋病毒主流框架有关并支持政府优先事项的组织。
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引用次数: 7
Property and Protests: The Struggle Over the Renovation of Housing in Moscow 财产与抗议:莫斯科住房改造斗争
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-11-08 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00304005
Alfred B. Evans
Most protests in Russia in recent years have not demanded the transformation of that country’s political regime. Instead, most of those protests have focused on specific policy goals that have reflected disruptions in the daily lives of groups of citizens. In 2017 a heated debate erupted when Sergei Sobianin, the Mayor of Moscow, announced a plan to demolish and replace hundreds of thousands of old apartments in that city. While many residents of those apartments welcomed that plan, many others charged that it threatened to infringe on their right of ownership of private property. The plan was subjected to vigorous criticism both at the grass roots level and the elite level. The national leadership and the government of Moscow became involved in revising the legislation to authorize Sobianin’s plan that had been introduced in the national legislature. Before the law was approved, the leaders had made a number of concessions to its critics.
近年来,俄罗斯的大多数抗议活动都没有要求该国政治制度的转变。相反,大多数抗议活动都集中在具体的政策目标上,这些目标反映了公民群体日常生活的混乱。2017年,莫斯科市长谢尔盖·索比亚宁宣布了一项拆除和更换该市数十万套旧公寓的计划,引发了一场激烈的辩论。虽然这些公寓的许多居民对该计划表示欢迎,但许多其他人指责该计划可能侵犯他们对私人财产的所有权。该计划受到了基层和精英阶层的强烈批评。国家领导层和莫斯科政府参与了修改立法,以批准索比亚宁在国家立法机构提出的计划。在该法律获得批准之前,领导人已经对批评者做出了一些让步。
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引用次数: 3
Can Authoritarian Regimes Breed Loyalty? The Case of Nashi 专制政权能培养忠诚吗?纳什案
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-11-08 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00304002
Virginie Lasnier
An important literature on Russian civil society discusses its evolution, challenges, and prospects under Vladimir Putin. In particular, scholars show how the regime skillfully uses a mixture of coercive and channeling strategies to direct civil society into the ‘right path’, namely in the service of the regime. Perhaps the most glaring example of channeling strategies is the direct creation of CSOs from above, such as pro-regime youth groups. These groups are mean to orient public participation into accepted limits fixed by the state, often mimicking and duplicating grassroot organizations. But to what extent have they been effective in creating loyalty for the regime? In this paper, I focus on the little success that one of the most famous pro-regime youth groups, Nashi (Ours), paradoxically achieved in channeling civil society. While Nashi undeniably brought important benefits to some participants at the individual level, its effects at the societal level are significantly more limited. This is because, I argue, Nashi’s fate, just like many other state-projects, depended primarily on internal competition among self-interested elites. Instead of representing a coherent state strategy toward the youth and civil society, Nashi was mirroring the influence of power-maximizing individuals. The arguments of this paper are drawn from participant observations and from interviews with (then) current and former Nashi activists, as well as with other civil society experts
一本关于俄罗斯公民社会的重要文献讨论了其在弗拉基米尔·普京领导下的演变、挑战和前景。特别是,学者们展示了政权如何巧妙地使用强制和引导策略的混合,将公民社会引导到“正确的道路”上,即为政权服务。也许,引导策略最明显的例子是直接从上层创建公民社会组织,比如支持政权的青年团体。这些团体的目的是引导公众参与到国家规定的可接受的范围内,经常模仿和复制基层组织。但他们在多大程度上有效地建立了对政权的忠诚?在本文中,我关注的是最著名的亲政权青年团体之一纳什(我们的)在引导公民社会方面取得的小小成功。不可否认,纳什在个人层面上给一些参与者带来了重要的好处,但在社会层面上的影响却明显有限。我认为,这是因为纳什的命运,就像许多其他国家项目一样,主要取决于自私自利的精英们之间的内部竞争。纳什没有代表一种针对青年和公民社会的连贯的国家战略,而是反映了权力最大化个人的影响。本文的论点来自于参与者的观察,以及对(当时)现任和前任纳什活动家以及其他民间社会专家的采访
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引用次数: 0
Georgia in Russia’s Discourse 俄罗斯话语中的格鲁吉亚
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-09-29 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00303005
Irakli Gelukashvili
This article examines how the geopolitical representations operate in the Kremlin’s imaging and discursive framing in the context of Georgia’s desire to join NATO and the EU. Furthermore, this paper will look at the existence of permanent motives, continuity or discontinuity on the same issues and the same challenges related to Russia’s relations with Georgia over a nine-year period. Russian authorities employed various, tactically shifting and discursively inconsistent framings on the same issues to give the special meaning to the events, their immediate causes, and their implication for the Russian state.
本文考察了在格鲁吉亚希望加入北约和欧盟的背景下,地缘政治表征如何在克里姆林宫的想象和话语框架中运作。此外,本文将探讨俄罗斯与格鲁吉亚在9年期间的关系中,在同样的问题和同样的挑战上是否存在永久的动机、连续性或非连续性。俄罗斯当局在同样的问题上采用了各种各样的、战术上的变化和话语上的不一致的框架,以赋予这些事件特殊的意义、它们的直接原因,以及它们对俄罗斯国家的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Putin versus the Turnout? Mapping the Kremlin’s 2018 Presidential Election Support 普京vs投票率?绘制克里姆林宫2018年总统选举支持率图
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-09-29 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00303002
Derek S. Hutcheson, I. McAllister
The 2018 Russian presidential election was effectively a contest not between Vladimir Putin and the other seven candidates on the ballot paper, but between Putin and the level of election turnout. Anything less than a large majority based on a respectable level of turnout would have undermined Putin’s legitimacy to serve for a further six-year term. In the event, Putin achieved his goal. In this paper we examine the background to the election and the conduct of the campaign, and analyse the result. Putin’s success can be traced to, first, long-standing patterns of differential turnout across the regions and, second, administrative initiatives by the election authorities which created a renewed confidence in the integrity of the election process. While there is evidence that those wishing to protest against Putin spoiled their votes, the impact of this was minor.
2018年俄罗斯总统选举实际上不是弗拉基米尔·普京和选票上的其他七位候选人之间的竞争,而是普京和选举投票率之间的竞争。基于可观的投票率,任何低于多数票的情况都会破坏普京连任六年的合法性。在这次活动中,普京实现了他的目标。在本文中,我们考察了选举的背景和竞选活动的进行,并分析了结果。普京的成功首先可以追溯到各地区长期存在的投票率差异模式,其次是选举当局的行政举措,这些举措重新树立了人们对选举过程完整性的信心。尽管有证据表明,那些希望抗议普京的人破坏了他们的选票,但其影响很小。
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引用次数: 2
How Russian Electoral Legislation has Changed 俄罗斯选举立法如何变化
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-09-29 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00303003
A. E. Lyubarev
The article is devoted to the history of changes in the Russian electoral legislation from the beginning of alternative elections in 1989 to 2017. In the first period (1989–1995), the legislation was mainly adapted to the conditions of competitive elections. In 1997–2003, work was carried out to fill the gaps and overcome the negative phenomena that have manifested themselves in practice. The prevailing desire was to make election laws meet international democratic standards. In 2005–2007, a counter-reform took place, which was marked by the introduction of a number of restrictions and prohibitions aimed at ensuring the dominance of one political party. In 2009–2011, along with the introduction of new restrictions, a number of concessions were made to the opposition. After not too successful for the “United Russia” elections of 2011 and mass protests, the legislation was somewhat liberalized, but then again there was a tendency to restrictions and prohibitions. Only in 2017 began to manifest a timid trend towards democratization. The conclusion is made about the need for radical comprehensive electoral reform.
这篇文章专门介绍了从1989年替代选举开始到2017年俄罗斯选举立法的变化历史。在第一个时期(1989年至1995年),立法主要适应竞争性选举的条件。1997年至2003年,开展了填补空白和克服实践中出现的消极现象的工作。普遍的愿望是使选举法符合国际民主标准。2005-2007年,进行了反改革,其特点是引入了一些限制和禁令,旨在确保一个政党的主导地位。2009-2011年,随着新的限制措施的出台,反对派做出了一些让步。在2011年“统一俄罗斯”选举和大规模抗议活动中不太成功之后,立法在一定程度上自由化了,但随后又出现了限制和禁止的趋势。直到2017年,民主化的趋势才开始显现。结论是关于彻底的全面选举改革的必要性。
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引用次数: 0
The Institutional Impact on Voter Turnout: The Case of Russia and its Regions (2011–2016) 制度对选民投票率的影响:以俄罗斯及其地区为例(2011-2016)
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-09-29 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00303004
R. Turovsky, E. Korneeva
This study investigates the institutional influence on Russia’s regional voter turnout and establishes differences between federal and regional voter participation. Given the regional turnout in the 2011–2016 national and regional elections, the authors test the hypothesis that Russia’s turnout largely hinges on institutional rather than socio-economic factors. For a deeper analysis of electoral behavior, the researchers consider a range of institutional aspects applicable to the country’s regional peculiarities. Such an empirical approach demonstrates that different types of elections are conditioned by different indicators and metrics. Consequently, the analysis proves the relevance of institutional factors to voter turnout.
本研究调查了制度对俄罗斯地区选民投票率的影响,并建立了联邦和地区选民参与率之间的差异。考虑到2011-2016年全国和地区选举的地区投票率,作者检验了俄罗斯投票率在很大程度上取决于制度因素而非社会经济因素的假设。为了更深入地分析选举行为,研究人员考虑了适用于该国地区特点的一系列制度方面。这种实证方法表明,不同类型的选举受到不同指标和指标的制约。因此,分析证明了制度因素与选民投票率的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
The Soviet Legacy of ‘national security’ in Russian Migration Policy 苏联在俄罗斯移民政策中的“国家安全”遗产
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2018-09-29 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00303006
Anna-Liisa Heusala
The article analyzes the evolution of Russian migration policy vis-à-vis national security thinking in a historical perspective. The idea put forward is that Russian migration policy is built on the early Soviet experiences of population control, in which ‘national security’ was an essential component of policy developments. In today’s conditions, the interconnectedness of transnational security challenges, such as large-scale migration, is an important factor that officially motivates Russia to emphasize pragmatic institutional choices. Russia has followed the global trend of securitization of legislation and administrative policies underlying the re-emergence of national security as an important policy framework. This ambitious framework is constrained by unfinished institutional changes and legacies rooted in the Soviet past. Migration continues to be an arena of policy-making where different interests override each other. Russian migration policy can best be described as an attempt to find a balance between economic incentives and security concerns, or between institutional pathologies and recycled dysfunctions and the need for modernization.
本文从历史的角度分析了俄罗斯移民政策与-à-vis国家安全思想的演变。提出的观点是,俄罗斯的移民政策是建立在苏联早期人口控制经验的基础上的,其中“国家安全”是政策发展的重要组成部分。在今天的条件下,大规模移民等跨国安全挑战的相互关联性是正式促使俄罗斯强调务实的制度选择的一个重要因素。俄罗斯顺应了立法和行政政策证券化的全球趋势,使国家安全重新成为一个重要的政策框架。这一雄心勃勃的框架受到未完成的制度变革和苏联历史遗留问题的制约。移民问题仍然是政策制定的舞台,不同的利益相互压倒。对俄罗斯移民政策的最好描述是,它试图在经济激励和安全关切之间,或者在体制病态和循环失调以及现代化需要之间找到平衡。
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引用次数: 4
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Russian Politics
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