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IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-11-18 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00404007
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引用次数: 0
Labor Activation, Social Protection and Poverty Reduction: The Case of Russia 劳动激活、社会保障与减贫——以俄罗斯为例
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403003
E. Dugarova
Social protection is an important strategy to protect people from livelihood risks, develop human capital and promote economic growth. Decent work is a core element of social protection and a critical condition for eradicating poverty. Despite high labor force participation and low unemployment, Russia’s labor market shows several negative trends, including working poverty and growing informality. Both are exacerbated by gender disparities and unfavorable demographic shifts. Over the past decade the Russian government has implemented active labor market interventions, and enhanced targeted social protection aimed at promoting employment and reducing poverty. Based on the analysis of key data and programs, the article finds that the country achieved stability in the labor market, but at the cost of deteriorating living standards caused by low levels of productivity and wages.
社会保障是保护人民免受生计风险、开发人力资本和促进经济增长的重要战略。体面的工作是社会保护的核心要素,也是消除贫困的关键条件。尽管劳动力参与率高,失业率低,但俄罗斯劳动力市场呈现出一些负面趋势,包括工作贫困和日益增长的非正规性。性别差异和不利的人口结构变化加剧了这两种情况。在过去十年中,俄罗斯政府实施了积极的劳动力市场干预措施,并加强了旨在促进就业和减少贫困的有针对性的社会保护。基于对关键数据和程序的分析,文章发现,该国实现了劳动力市场的稳定,但代价是生产力和工资水平低导致生活水平下降。
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引用次数: 1
Welfare Reform, Protest and Stability in the Light of Reforms of Old-Age Pensions, Housing and Primary Education 从养老金、住房和初等教育改革看福利改革、抗议与稳定
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403004
Jørn Holm-Hansen, Mikkel Berg-Nordlie, Aadne Aasland, L. Cook
Meeting popular expectations for social welfare delivery is one of the pillars upon which the current Russian regime bases its legitimacy. At the same time, the authorities try to transfer responsibility and costs to citizens and transfer service delivery to commercial actors. This article addresses the relationship between welfare reform and political stability in Russia. The discussion is based upon case studies of three large-scale reforms of pension, education and housing policies in 2014–2019. The reforms are analyzed in the light of mechanisms often referred to as “neo-liberal”: public budgets are relieved by making citizens pay more out of their own pockets, and tasks that used to be public are transferred to non-state actors or people’s self-organizing. The article identifies how the population reacts to the introduction of such mechanisms. It discusses the extent to which core reform mechanisms are challenged and original reforms modified in response to resistance.
满足民众对社会福利的期望是当前俄罗斯政权合法性的支柱之一。与此同时,当局试图将责任和成本转移给公民,并将服务提供转移给商业行为者。本文探讨了俄罗斯福利改革与政治稳定之间的关系。本文以2014-2019年养老金、教育、住房政策三大大规模改革的案例为基础进行了讨论。这些改革是根据通常被称为“新自由主义”的机制来分析的:公共预算通过让公民从自己的口袋里掏更多的钱来减轻,过去属于公共的任务被转移到非国家行为者或人民的自我组织中。这篇文章指出了人们对引入这种机制的反应。它讨论了核心改革机制受到挑战的程度,以及原始改革在应对阻力时的修改程度。
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引用次数: 6
Introduction: The Russian Welfare State in a Time of Economic Stagnation 引言:经济停滞时期的俄罗斯福利国家
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403001
L. Cook, Jørn Holm-Hansen, Markku Kivinen, S. Kuhnle
This Special Issue is devoted to Russia’s welfare state during the years of economic stagnation that began in 2013. Twelve experts assess social conditions and reforms in poverty, labor market, pension, housing and education policies. They show that social mobility has stagnated in conditions of deep inequality and just-above-poverty incomes for many. Innovative labor market and anti-poverty policies are hampered by low productivity and wages, both features of an oligarchic economic model that blocks competition and development. Welfare commitments heavily burden the state budget, producing reforms that transfer costs to users. The authors find that popular protests have forced government to partially mitigate these reforms. Putin’s government appears trapped between oligarchic economic interests and popular expectations for welfare. The final article compares China’s comparatively successful welfare trajectories with those of Russia, and proposes an agenda for further research.
本期特刊专门报道俄罗斯自2013年开始的经济停滞时期的福利状况。12名专家评估了社会状况以及贫困、劳动力市场、养老金、住房和教育政策方面的改革。它们表明,在严重不平等的条件下,社会流动性停滞不前,许多人的收入略高于贫困。创新的劳动力市场和反贫困政策受到低生产率和低工资的阻碍,这两个特点都是阻碍竞争和发展的寡头经济模式。福利承诺给国家预算带来了沉重负担,产生了将成本转移给用户的改革。作者发现,民众抗议迫使政府部分缓解这些改革。普京政府似乎陷入了寡头经济利益和民众对福利的期望之间。最后一篇文章将中国相对成功的福利轨迹与俄罗斯进行了比较,并提出了进一步研究的议程。
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引用次数: 4
Reforms in the Field of Pensions, Education and Housing, as Portrayed in the Russian Mass Media 俄罗斯大众媒体报道的养老金、教育和住房领域的改革
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403006
Daria Prisiazhniuk, Jørn Holm-Hansen
Welfare reforms in contemporary Russia are based on partial redistribution of responsibilities and resources from the state to other actors, including private business and civil society. Reforms in old age pensions, housing and utilities, primary and secondary education have affected wide social groups and have triggered public debates and protests, reflected in the mass media. This article analyses how these reforms are portrayed in three Russian media outlets representing different political positions—Rossiiskaia gazeta (official government media outlet), Novaia gazeta (independent media outlet belonging to the liberal opposition), and Zavtra (patriotic media outlet belonging to the nationalist opposition). The two independent papers have divergent critical perspectives on reforms. These three Federation-wide newspapers represent the range of political positions that are articulated publicly on non-securitized issues in contemporary Russia.
当代俄罗斯的福利改革是基于将责任和资源从国家部分重新分配给其他行为者,包括私营企业和民间社会。养老保险、住房和公用事业、小学和中学教育的改革影响了广泛的社会群体,并引发了公众辩论和抗议,反映在大众媒体上。本文分析了代表不同政治立场的三家俄罗斯媒体——政府官方媒体Rossiiskaia gazeta、自由派反对派独立媒体Novaia gazeta和民族主义反对派爱国媒体Zavtra——对这些改革的描述。这两篇独立论文对改革有不同的批评观点。这三份联邦范围内的报纸代表了当代俄罗斯在非安全化问题上公开表达的一系列政治立场。
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引用次数: 1
The Politics of Retirement Age Increase in Russia: Proposals, Protests and Concessions 俄罗斯提高退休年龄的政治:提议、抗议和让步
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403005
E. Maltseva
The article discusses the changes to the Russian pension system since 2013, focusing specifically on the most recent policy moves. It argues that, despite the apparent instability of the Russian pension system caused by numerous policy shifts that have occurred since 2015, one element has remained constant: since the early 1990s the transformation of the Russian pension system has been driven primarily by neoliberal economic advisers to the Russian government. Passage of the long-delayed decision to raise the retirement age, which provoked large-scale protests, can be understood in light of the current geopolitical and economic risks that complicate the future of Russian economy.
这篇文章讨论了自2013年以来俄罗斯养老金制度的变化,特别关注了最近的政策举措。它认为,尽管自2015年以来发生的许多政策转变导致俄罗斯养老金制度明显不稳定,但有一个因素仍然存在:自20世纪90年代初以来,俄罗斯养老金制度的转型主要是由俄罗斯政府的新自由主义经济顾问推动的。推迟已久的提高退休年龄决定的通过引发了大规模抗议,这可以理解为当前地缘政治和经济风险使俄罗斯经济的未来复杂化。
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引用次数: 4
Income Inequality and Food Insecurity in Russia 俄罗斯的收入不平等与粮食不安全
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403002
T. Remington
The transition in Russia to a partially market-driven economy has failed to produce sustained and broad-based economic growth. The gains of economic growth are concentrated at the top of the income distribution, leaving a sizable part of the population trapped in conditions of low incomes. While abject poverty has largely been eliminated, around 40% of the population struggle to purchase more than basic consumer necessities. Spending on food occupies nearly half of household budgets for the lowest income decile. State social spending, which constitutes an increasing share of total income, is relatively non-progressive. Most is not means-based, but preserves the categorical benefits structure of the Soviet era. A combination of the bureaucratic-authoritarian institutional framework for decision-making and the strongly rent-based relationship between economic and political elites, severely limits policy options.
俄罗斯向部分市场驱动型经济的过渡未能产生持续和广泛的经济增长。经济增长的收益集中在收入分配的顶端,使相当一部分人口陷入低收入状态。虽然赤贫基本上已经消除,但大约40%的人口难以购买超过基本消费必需品的商品。对于收入最低的十分之一家庭来说,食品支出几乎占据了家庭预算的一半。国家社会支出在总收入中所占份额越来越大,相对而言是不累进的。大多数都不是基于收入,而是保留了苏联时代的绝对利益结构。官僚专制的决策体制框架与经济精英和政治精英之间强烈的基于租金的关系相结合,严重限制了政策选择。
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引用次数: 2
Reform and Stability – The Russian and the Chinese Welfare Systems Compared 改革与稳定——俄罗斯与中国福利制度比较
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-09-27 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00403007
Markus Kainu, Markku Kivinen, S. Kuhnle, Chunling Li
Systematic theoretical work on Russian and Chinese social policy seems to be lacking. While previous research establishes how democratic systems produce welfare, it is unclear what kind of welfare such transitional systems provide. Our analysis adheres to structuration based theoretical explanations, taking into account both agency and structure as factors needed to explain these regimes’ welfare policy. Hybrid regimes are eager to adopt global liberally oriented welfare policies, which tend to ignore popular demands. Western analysis of Russian and Chinese social policy emphasizes the dualistic influence of liberal versus statist social policy. This dualistic conceptualization fails to take into account the contradictions between ideological frames and hybrid regimes’ vulnerability to popular pressures. Widespread corruption undermines formal procedures and underlies growth of informal practices. Both Russia and China have considerable welfare achievements and vast problems. In conditions of economic growth, both have experienced huge increases in inequality and individualization of risk.
对俄罗斯和中国社会政策的系统理论研究似乎缺乏。虽然先前的研究确定了民主制度如何产生福利,但尚不清楚这种过渡制度提供什么样的福利。我们的分析坚持基于结构的理论解释,考虑到代理和结构作为解释这些政权福利政策所需的因素。混合型政权急于采取以全球自由主义为导向的福利政策,而这些政策往往无视民众的要求。西方对俄罗斯和中国社会政策的分析强调了自由主义与中央集权社会政策的二元影响。这种二元论的概念化没有考虑到意识形态框架和混合型政权对民众压力的脆弱性之间的矛盾。普遍的腐败破坏了正式程序,助长了非正式行为的增长。俄罗斯和中国都有相当大的福利成就和巨大的问题。在经济增长的条件下,两者都经历了不平等和风险个性化的大幅增加。
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引用次数: 0
Azerbaijan’s Russia Conundrum: Towards the Rise of an Unlikely Alliance 阿塞拜疆的俄罗斯难题:走向一个不太可能的联盟的崛起
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-06-14 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00402005
M. Ismayilov
Since Heydar Aliyev, the father of the incumbent president Ilham Aliyev, became the country’s president in 1993, Azerbaijan has been known for its staunch pursuit of a so-called “balanced” policy in its relations with the outside world, particularly Russia and the West. Whereas in the past this policy tended to be “balanced” more in favor of the West as far as Azerbaijan’s strategic interests were concerned, Baku’s political disposition has shifted decidedly towards Russia in recent years. Over the past decade, several developments on the national, regional, and global levels have worked to gradually alter the long-established regional dynamic and alignment patterns, bringing Azerbaijan back into the Russian fold. This article’s objective is to critically examine those developments to shed more light on the nature of Azerbaijani-Russian relations today and their prospects for the future.
自现任总统伊利哈姆·阿利耶夫的父亲海达尔·阿利耶夫于1993年成为该国总统以来,阿塞拜疆一直以在与外部世界,特别是俄罗斯和西方的关系中坚定奉行所谓的“平衡”政策而闻名。在过去,就阿塞拜疆的战略利益而言,这一政策往往是“平衡的”,更有利于西方,而巴库的政治倾向近年来明显转向了俄罗斯。在过去十年中,国家、区域和全球层面的一些事态发展逐渐改变了长期确立的区域动态和结盟模式,使阿塞拜疆重新融入俄罗斯阵营。本文的目的是批判性地审视这些事态发展,以便更多地了解阿塞拜疆与俄罗斯关系的性质及其未来前景。
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引用次数: 0
Russia’s Regime-on-the-Move 俄罗斯政权的动向
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2019-06-14 DOI: 10.1163/2451-8921-00402002
H. Hale, M. Lipman, N. Petrov
Russia’s political system must be understood as inherently dynamic, with constant regime change being essential to how the regime operates and survives. This regime change does not proceed monotonically toward ever tighter authoritarianism, but can move in both liberal and repressive directions at different times. While on aggregate the trend has been to greater authoritarianism under Putin, certain liberalizing moves have also been important that are meaningful for how ordinary Russians and elites experience their own regime, and greater repressiveness is not foreordained. We document two forms of endemic regime dynamism in Russia, each involving contingent, improvisational efforts at short-term recalibration in response to crises that are both endogenous and exogenous to the regime: structural improvisation and ideational improvisation.
俄罗斯的政治体系必须被理解为内在的动态,不断的政权更迭对政权的运作和生存至关重要。这种政权更迭并不是单调地走向更加严格的威权主义,而是可以在不同的时间朝着自由和镇压的方向发展。虽然总的来说,普京领导下的威权主义倾向更大,但某些自由化举措也很重要,对普通俄罗斯人和精英如何体验自己的政权很有意义,更大的镇压并不是注定的。我们记录了俄罗斯地方性政权动态的两种形式,每种形式都涉及临时的、即兴的短期调整努力,以应对政权的内生和外生危机:结构即兴和概念即兴。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Russian Politics
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