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Soft Power of the Russian Federation: Instrumental and Perceptional Dimensions 俄罗斯联邦的软实力:工具和感知维度
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604011
Lesia Dorosh, Bohdana Voiat
The article analyzes specifics of instrumental and perceptional dimensions of the soft power of Russia. The analysis of these dimensions is particularly relevant in terms of studying the likelihood of the fact that Russia may continue applying the soft power strategy of long-term external influence. The main tools of the instrumental foundation of Russia’s soft power have been analyzed. Russia’s position in the rankings of well-known international rating agencies have been compared. The comprehensive studies are considered to be promising, combining detailed analysis of the soft power tools in the domestic and foreign policy strategy of the Russian Federation and the way it is perceived by different target audiences. It is concluded that foreign countries and societies perception of the soft tools application (mostly perceived as propaganda) may affect Russia’s low position in international soft power and branding rankings.
文章分析了俄罗斯软实力的工具维度和感知维度。对这些维度的分析对于研究俄罗斯可能继续实施长期外部影响的软实力战略的可能性尤其重要。分析了俄罗斯软实力工具基础的主要工具。对俄罗斯在知名国际评级机构排名中的地位进行了比较。综合研究被认为是有希望的,结合对俄罗斯联邦国内外政策战略中软实力工具的详细分析以及不同目标受众对其的看法。研究表明,外国和社会对软工具应用的认知(主要被视为宣传)可能会影响俄罗斯在国际软实力和品牌排名中的低地位。
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引用次数: 0
Russia’s Most Volatile Region: Contemporary Extremist Threats to Global Security in the North Caucasus 俄罗斯最动荡的地区:北高加索地区当代极端主义对全球安全的威胁
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604013
M. Popov
At the beginning of the 21st century in the North Caucasus, the processes of depoliticizing ethnicity, which created an opportunity for a democratic restructuring of regional politics, gave way to the process of politicizing religion. A new stage of politicized regional identity, which began in the middle of the 2000s, in contrast to the beginning and the middle of the 1990s, is characterized by an active confessional factor in conflict processes in Russia’s most volatile region. Religious extremism as a protracted threat to regional and global security is becoming the main source of North Caucasian large-scale demodernization and ethnic mobilization. Current approaches to combating terrorism and extremism fuel existing social instability, inequality, disintegration, resentment and discontent with regional and federal authorities. As a result of many years of Russian counter-terrorism strategies (including the strategy of ‘collective responsibility’), the Caucasus Emirate has disintegrated and is almost non-functioning, however, this is also explained by an ideological expansion of ISIS in the region. Today, ISIS propaganda and reemerging Taliban find their audience between North Caucasian youth, agitating them to embark on the path of global jihad in Russia or abroad. Remaining unresolved and unsettled, protracted regional conflicts turn into religious extremism, giving rise to a new round of violence, the likelihood of overcoming which is significantly reduced. The long-term activities of ISIS and the growing role of the Taliban create favorable conditions for the further transformation of the North Caucasus into one of the influential geopolitical centers of contemporary jihadism.
21世纪初,在北高加索地区,种族非政治化进程为地区政治的民主重组创造了机会,但宗教政治化进程取而代之。与20世纪90年代初和中期相比,政治化地区认同的新阶段始于2000年代中期,其特点是在俄罗斯最动荡地区的冲突进程中存在积极的忏悔因素。宗教极端主义作为对地区和全球安全的长期威胁,正成为北高加索大规模去现代化和种族动员的主要来源。目前打击恐怖主义和极端主义的方法助长了现有的社会不稳定、不平等、分裂、对地区和联邦当局的怨恨和不满。由于俄罗斯多年的反恐战略(包括“集体责任”战略),高加索酋长国已经解体,几乎无法运作,然而,这也可以解释为ISIS在该地区的意识形态扩张。如今,ISIS的宣传和重新崛起的塔利班在北高加索青年中找到了受众,鼓动他们在俄罗斯或国外走上全球圣战的道路。仍未解决和解决的旷日持久的区域冲突演变成宗教极端主义,引发新一轮暴力,克服暴力的可能性大大降低。ISIS的长期活动和塔利班日益增长的作用为北高加索地区进一步转变为当代圣战主义有影响力的地缘政治中心之一创造了有利条件。
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引用次数: 0
Heads of Small Russian Towns: Power and Leadership 俄罗斯小城镇的首领:权力与领导
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604014
V. Ledyaev, A. Chirikova
Empirical research conducted in four small Russian towns over the period 2011-2015 and 2018-2020, discovered different patterns of power and leadership despite the centralization policy pursued by the federal center. Not all the heads of towns were the most influential figures/leaders in the urban communities, although they have the most significant formal resources of power. Major differences between the heads of the towns were due to the personal factor, support from a team of followers, and relationships with regional authorities. Despite the completion of the “power vertical” down to the municipal level, the patterns of power and leadership of the heads of small towns are dynamic and vary significantly. The most important changes are often caused by change of the heads of towns. Although leaders are unable to completely reverse negative tendencies in the social and economic spheres of local communities, they can mitigate their consequences. Therefore, when difficulties arise, a demand for leadership is formed.
2011-2015年和2018-2020年期间,在俄罗斯四个小镇进行的实证研究发现,尽管联邦中心推行中央集权政策,但权力和领导模式不同。并非所有的镇长都是城市社区中最具影响力的人物/领导人,尽管他们拥有最重要的正式权力资源。镇长之间的主要差异是由于个人因素、追随者团队的支持以及与地区当局的关系。尽管已经完成了向市级的“权力垂直”,但小城镇负责人的权力和领导模式是动态的,差异很大。最重要的变化往往是由镇长的变动引起的。尽管领导人无法完全扭转当地社区社会和经济领域的负面趋势,但他们可以减轻其后果。因此,当困难出现时,就形成了对领导力的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Legitimacy and Societal Consent under Putin’s Leadership: State Capacity and National Identity 普京领导下的合法性与社会认同:国家能力与民族认同
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604010
Suzanne Loftus
The system of informal governance, despite its weak performance in many international comparative governance indicators, turned Russia around in the early 2000s, and keeps the country functioning despite evidence of endemic corruption or economic stagnation. Despite increasing authoritarianism, the regime has the consent of the governed and is considered legitimate inside Russia. Despite what many scholars have argued on the long-term prospects of the survival of the regime, the Russian political system has demonstrated resilience and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. Legitimacy of the regime is based both on state capacity and state national identity. The former is an entity of the latter along with a strong and unique international standing. The post-Soviet national identity that took shape while Putin has been in power has allowed for positive “national self-esteem” to flourish throughout the country. The mentality of the general population has allowed the space necessary for this narrative to evolve and for the post-Soviet identity to take shape, exhibited by the symbiotic relationship between elite action and popular support.
尽管非正式治理体系在许多国际比较治理指标中表现不佳,但它在21世纪初扭转了俄罗斯的颓势,并在有证据表明腐败盛行或经济停滞的情况下保持了国家的运转。尽管独裁主义越来越严重,但该政权得到了被统治者的同意,在俄罗斯国内被认为是合法的。尽管许多学者对该政权的长期生存前景争论不休,但俄罗斯的政治体制已经显示出了弹性,并将在可预见的未来继续这样做。政权的合法性建立在国家能力和国家民族认同的基础之上。前者是后者的一个实体,具有强大而独特的国际地位。普京执政期间形成的后苏联国家认同,使得积极的“民族自尊”在全国各地蓬勃发展。普通民众的心态为这种叙事的演变和后苏联身份的形成提供了必要的空间,精英行动和民众支持之间的共生关系体现了这一点。
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引用次数: 0
The Significance of Protest Mood in Forming a Developed Civil Society in Russia 抗议情绪对俄罗斯公民社会发展的意义
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604015
Aleksander A. Yefanov, V. Tomin
The highly resonant 2019 cases in Russia (‘Golunov’s Case’ and ‘Moscow Case’) make it possible to notice the tendency associated with the consolidating significance of protest mood in the context of the dynamically proceeding sociopolitical process of forming a developed civil society. This self-organizing system is determined by strengthening the role of the communicative and cultural memory in constructing ideological landmarks. Media merch is a product of communicative and cultural memory, used for the mythologized interpretation of a particular phenomenon or process based on previously created existing archetypes. #iwe … which initially served to manifest solidarization, subsequently became a trigger to mark a case as especially worthy of attention. Its abuse (mainly in the promotions of marketers and social media memes) led to the routinization of the form and banalization of the content – the destruction of the originally ‘sacred’ meaning as an indicator of the developed civil society subjects’ will.
2019年在俄罗斯引起高度共鸣的案件(“戈卢诺夫案”和“莫斯科案”)使我们有可能注意到,在形成一个发达公民社会的动态社会政治进程中,抗议情绪的巩固意义的趋势。这种自组织系统是通过加强交流记忆和文化记忆在构建意识形态地标中的作用而确定的。媒介商品是交际和文化记忆的产物,用于基于先前创建的现有原型对特定现象或过程进行神话化解释#iwe…最初是为了表明团结,后来成为一个触发因素,标志着一个案件特别值得关注。它的滥用(主要是在营销人员和社交媒体模因的推广中)导致了形式的常规化和内容的平庸化——破坏了作为发达公民社会主体意愿指标的最初“神圣”意义。
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引用次数: 2
Russia Abroad, Russia at Home: The Paradox of Russia’s Support for the Far Right 国外的俄罗斯,国内的俄罗斯:俄罗斯支持极右翼的悖论
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-03-08 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604012
Jennifer M. Ramos, Nigel A. Raab
The rise of the Far Right has been a steady global phenomenon, illustrated by political leaders such as Narendra Modi, Geert Wilders and Jair Bolsonaro. One of the main facilitators of this rise is Russia, supporting Far Right campaigns and movements in various regions of the world. Moreover, the Far Right parties around the world look to Russia as a beacon of hope, enticed by the messaging of Russia Today, Russia’s state-run international news network, and other curated social media platforms. While some argue that Russia’s support of the Far Right is an extension of its domestic values, we posit that this support is mainly to serve Russia’s strategic foreign policy and that the Far Right ideology has little to do with Russia’s domestic values and policy. In fact, Russia’s domestic stability depends on values that are contrary to classic understandings of the Far Right. Given the multi-ethnic and multi-religious composition of the Russian Federation, the classic parameters of Far Right discourse would undermine the stability so dear to Putin. To support our propositions, we use comparative case studies of Russia’s messaging abroad in Germany and the U.S. We then contrast this messaging and support with Russia’s domestic rhetoric. In all cases, we engage in a systematic analysis of relevant documents, transcripts of elite speeches and media.
极右翼的崛起一直是一种稳定的全球现象,纳伦德拉·莫迪、吉尔特·维尔德斯和贾伊尔·博索纳罗等政治领导人就是例证。俄罗斯是这一崛起的主要推动者之一,支持世界各地的极右翼运动。此外,世界各地的极右翼政党将俄罗斯视为希望的灯塔,受到俄罗斯国营国际新闻网《今日俄罗斯》和其他策划的社交媒体平台的信息诱惑。虽然有人认为,俄罗斯对极右翼的支持是其国内价值观的延伸,但我们认为,这种支持主要是为了服务于俄罗斯的战略外交政策,极右翼意识形态与俄罗斯的国内价值观和政策关系不大。事实上,俄罗斯国内的稳定取决于与对极右翼的经典理解相反的价值观。鉴于俄罗斯联邦的多民族和多宗教组成,极右翼话语的经典参数将破坏普京所珍视的稳定。为了支持我们的主张,我们对俄罗斯在德国和美国的海外信息进行了比较案例研究。然后,我们将这种信息和支持与俄罗斯国内的言论进行了对比。在所有情况下,我们都会对相关文件、精英演讲稿和媒体进行系统分析。
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引用次数: 0
Russian Foreign Policy: Three Historical Stages and Two Future Scenarios 俄罗斯外交政策:三个历史阶段和两种未来情景
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604002
S. Karaganov
There have been several stages in Russia’s foreign policy since 1991. From a naive and idealistic pro-Western course, to ‘getting up from its knees’, to asserting itself as an independent great power. Around 2018, this trajectory reached a plateau, with the potential for decline. Since then, Russia and the world began to face fresh challenges and an almost qualitatively different environment. Even before the start of the epidemic in 2020, it was clear that Russia required a new foreign policy, built on what had been achieved in previous decades, but geared towards the future. This would include a strong ideology, focus on internal growth and development, and the development a streamlined and more cost-effective approach to foreign policy to adjust to a more turbulent and chaotic external environment. Despite growing international chaos and unpredictability, two scenarios for Russian foreign policy are surfacing. An optimistic one in which Russia successfully adapts to these changing circumstances, and a less optimistic one where it continues its current course of internal development, failing to live up to its full potential, but nevertheless still retaining the ability to play an independent and significant role in world affairs.
自1991年以来,俄罗斯的外交政策经历了几个阶段。从天真和理想主义的亲西方路线,到“从膝盖上站起来”,再到宣称自己是一个独立的大国。2018年前后,这一轨迹达到了一个平稳期,并有可能下降。从那时起,俄罗斯和世界开始面临新的挑战和几乎质的不同环境。甚至在2020年疫情爆发之前,很明显,俄罗斯就需要一项新的外交政策,以前几十年取得的成就为基础,但要面向未来。这将包括强有力的意识形态,关注内部增长和发展,以及制定一种精简和更具成本效益的外交政策方法,以适应更动荡和混乱的外部环境。尽管国际混乱和不可预测性日益加剧,但俄罗斯外交政策的两种情况正在浮出水面。一个是乐观的,俄罗斯成功地适应了这些不断变化的环境,另一个是不太乐观的,它继续其目前的内部发展进程,未能充分发挥其潜力,但仍保留在世界事务中发挥独立和重要作用的能力。
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引用次数: 0
The Politics of Russian Revisionism: Diplomacy of a Worldview, 2011–14 俄罗斯修正主义的政治:一种世界观的外交,2011-14
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604004
I. Ferguson, S. Akopov
Russia’s use of force in Ukraine has been described as a challenge to the rule of international law and an event of unilateral intervention. This paper provides a reinterpretation of this standard history of Russian revisionism. Our new history places this practice in a global governance context through an analysis of the politics concerning the international legal norm of ‘non-intervention’ and its legitimate/illegitimate exceptions for collective intervention. This analysis discloses a practice of Russian diplomacy that emerges out of resistance to humanitarian interventions advocated for by Western states. This practice justifies its own state-bound humanitarian intervention as the legitimate exception to the foundation of international order, which Russian diplomacy had previously sought to restore. We argue the political discourse of the worldview of ‘state civilization’ explains these events of Russian revisionism. We conclude with an analysis of the international paradoxes of peace and conflict contingent on this Russian worldview.
俄罗斯在乌克兰使用武力被描述为对国际法规则的挑战,是单方面干预的事件。本文对这一标准的俄罗斯修正主义历史进行了重新解读。我们的新历史通过分析有关“不干涉”的国际法律规范及其合法/非法的集体干预例外的政治,将这种做法置于全球治理的背景下。这一分析揭示了俄罗斯外交的一种做法,这种做法源于对西方国家倡导的人道主义干预的抵制。这种做法证明了它自己的国家范围的人道主义干预是对国际秩序基础的合法例外,而俄罗斯外交以前曾试图恢复国际秩序。我们认为,“国家文明”世界观的政治话语解释了俄罗斯修正主义的这些事件。最后,我们分析了与俄罗斯世界观有关的和平与冲突的国际悖论。
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引用次数: 0
Russia and Sanctions: The Transformational Domestic and International Effects of Unilateral Restrictive Measures 俄罗斯与制裁:单边限制措施的变革性国内和国际影响
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604005
A. Likhacheva
Most studies of the US, EU and Ukraine’s sanctions against Russia and Russian counter sanctions focus on their immediate and intended effects and apply these to make judgements about their efficacy. However, the complex consequences of sanctions go far beyond the target countries’ immediate reactions, as sanctions have positive and negative spillover effects that are rarely acknowledged in official discourse, which focuses on issues of the sanction regimes’ legitimacy and effectiveness. Vulnerability to sanctions leads target countries to reposition their domestic and international priorities. This article will examine three critical ‘collateral effects’ of Western sanctions and Russian counter sanctions. First, they serve as a catalyst for Moscow’s efforts to diversify economic relationship through international projects such as the EAEU, BRICS, and the “Pivot to the East.” Second, they have triggered more risk-sensitive policies in the provision of national economic security, particularly when it comes to finance. Finally, they serve as a transformational tool for national development strategies both at the industrial and regional levels.
大多数关于美国、欧盟和乌克兰对俄罗斯的制裁和俄罗斯反制裁的研究都集中在其直接和预期效果上,并以此来判断其有效性。然而,制裁的复杂后果远远超出了目标国家的直接反应,因为制裁具有积极和消极的溢出效应,这在官方话语中很少得到承认,官方话语侧重于制裁制度的合法性和有效性问题。对制裁的脆弱性导致目标国家重新定位其国内和国际优先事项。本文将探讨西方制裁和俄罗斯反制裁的三个关键“附带效应”。首先,它们是莫斯科通过欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)、金砖国家(BRICS)和“转向东方”(Pivot to East)等国际项目实现经济关系多样化的催化剂。其次,它们在提供国家经济安全方面引发了更多风险敏感型政策,尤其是在金融方面。最后,它们是工业和区域两级国家发展战略的变革工具。
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引用次数: 0
A Multilevel World and a Flat Worldview: A Realist and Progressive Synthesis for Russia 多层次世界与扁平世界观:俄罗斯的现实主义与进步综合
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604003
V. Lukin
This article is about the challenges that face Russia when reflecting on her obligations to the UN system, and on the limits of what is possible in trying to ‘master’ globalization. These challenges are not simply practical questions about the choice of foreign policy. They are deeper questions about worldview and how best to understand and navigate contemporary world politics. Several schemes have been presented to help identify and explain the foundations of our contemporary world order: geopolitical frameworks, civilizational ones, and some that are explicitly ideological. In engaging with and critiquing some of the best-known of these frameworks, the article makes the case for a worldview for Russia that is realist and progressive. This worldview recognizes the hierarchy of states and the logic of power politics in a UN-centered world, but it also moves beyond this pragmatic focus to consider the possibilities for a global dialogue of ‘pluralistic convergence’ and peaceful change that is facilitated by Russia.
这篇文章是关于俄罗斯在反思其对联合国系统的义务时所面临的挑战,以及在试图“掌握”全球化的过程中可能面临的限制。这些挑战不仅仅是关于外交政策选择的实际问题。它们是关于世界观以及如何最好地理解和驾驭当代世界政治的更深层次的问题。已经提出了几个方案来帮助确定和解释我们当代世界秩序的基础:地缘政治框架、文明框架,以及一些明确的意识形态框架。在接触和批评其中一些最著名的框架时,这篇文章为俄罗斯的世界观提供了现实主义和进步主义的理由。这种世界观承认了以联合国为中心的世界中的国家等级制度和强权政治逻辑,但它也超越了这种务实的关注点,考虑了在俄罗斯的推动下进行“多元融合”与和平变革的全球对话的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
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Russian Politics
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