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The Politics of Russian Revisionism: Diplomacy of a Worldview, 2011–14 俄罗斯修正主义的政治:一种世界观的外交,2011-14
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604004
I. Ferguson, S. Akopov
Russia’s use of force in Ukraine has been described as a challenge to the rule of international law and an event of unilateral intervention. This paper provides a reinterpretation of this standard history of Russian revisionism. Our new history places this practice in a global governance context through an analysis of the politics concerning the international legal norm of ‘non-intervention’ and its legitimate/illegitimate exceptions for collective intervention. This analysis discloses a practice of Russian diplomacy that emerges out of resistance to humanitarian interventions advocated for by Western states. This practice justifies its own state-bound humanitarian intervention as the legitimate exception to the foundation of international order, which Russian diplomacy had previously sought to restore. We argue the political discourse of the worldview of ‘state civilization’ explains these events of Russian revisionism. We conclude with an analysis of the international paradoxes of peace and conflict contingent on this Russian worldview.
俄罗斯在乌克兰使用武力被描述为对国际法规则的挑战,是单方面干预的事件。本文对这一标准的俄罗斯修正主义历史进行了重新解读。我们的新历史通过分析有关“不干涉”的国际法律规范及其合法/非法的集体干预例外的政治,将这种做法置于全球治理的背景下。这一分析揭示了俄罗斯外交的一种做法,这种做法源于对西方国家倡导的人道主义干预的抵制。这种做法证明了它自己的国家范围的人道主义干预是对国际秩序基础的合法例外,而俄罗斯外交以前曾试图恢复国际秩序。我们认为,“国家文明”世界观的政治话语解释了俄罗斯修正主义的这些事件。最后,我们分析了与俄罗斯世界观有关的和平与冲突的国际悖论。
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引用次数: 0
Russia and Sanctions: The Transformational Domestic and International Effects of Unilateral Restrictive Measures 俄罗斯与制裁:单边限制措施的变革性国内和国际影响
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604005
A. Likhacheva
Most studies of the US, EU and Ukraine’s sanctions against Russia and Russian counter sanctions focus on their immediate and intended effects and apply these to make judgements about their efficacy. However, the complex consequences of sanctions go far beyond the target countries’ immediate reactions, as sanctions have positive and negative spillover effects that are rarely acknowledged in official discourse, which focuses on issues of the sanction regimes’ legitimacy and effectiveness. Vulnerability to sanctions leads target countries to reposition their domestic and international priorities. This article will examine three critical ‘collateral effects’ of Western sanctions and Russian counter sanctions. First, they serve as a catalyst for Moscow’s efforts to diversify economic relationship through international projects such as the EAEU, BRICS, and the “Pivot to the East.” Second, they have triggered more risk-sensitive policies in the provision of national economic security, particularly when it comes to finance. Finally, they serve as a transformational tool for national development strategies both at the industrial and regional levels.
大多数关于美国、欧盟和乌克兰对俄罗斯的制裁和俄罗斯反制裁的研究都集中在其直接和预期效果上,并以此来判断其有效性。然而,制裁的复杂后果远远超出了目标国家的直接反应,因为制裁具有积极和消极的溢出效应,这在官方话语中很少得到承认,官方话语侧重于制裁制度的合法性和有效性问题。对制裁的脆弱性导致目标国家重新定位其国内和国际优先事项。本文将探讨西方制裁和俄罗斯反制裁的三个关键“附带效应”。首先,它们是莫斯科通过欧亚经济联盟(EAEU)、金砖国家(BRICS)和“转向东方”(Pivot to East)等国际项目实现经济关系多样化的催化剂。其次,它们在提供国家经济安全方面引发了更多风险敏感型政策,尤其是在金融方面。最后,它们是工业和区域两级国家发展战略的变革工具。
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引用次数: 0
A Multilevel World and a Flat Worldview: A Realist and Progressive Synthesis for Russia 多层次世界与扁平世界观:俄罗斯的现实主义与进步综合
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604003
V. Lukin
This article is about the challenges that face Russia when reflecting on her obligations to the UN system, and on the limits of what is possible in trying to ‘master’ globalization. These challenges are not simply practical questions about the choice of foreign policy. They are deeper questions about worldview and how best to understand and navigate contemporary world politics. Several schemes have been presented to help identify and explain the foundations of our contemporary world order: geopolitical frameworks, civilizational ones, and some that are explicitly ideological. In engaging with and critiquing some of the best-known of these frameworks, the article makes the case for a worldview for Russia that is realist and progressive. This worldview recognizes the hierarchy of states and the logic of power politics in a UN-centered world, but it also moves beyond this pragmatic focus to consider the possibilities for a global dialogue of ‘pluralistic convergence’ and peaceful change that is facilitated by Russia.
这篇文章是关于俄罗斯在反思其对联合国系统的义务时所面临的挑战,以及在试图“掌握”全球化的过程中可能面临的限制。这些挑战不仅仅是关于外交政策选择的实际问题。它们是关于世界观以及如何最好地理解和驾驭当代世界政治的更深层次的问题。已经提出了几个方案来帮助确定和解释我们当代世界秩序的基础:地缘政治框架、文明框架,以及一些明确的意识形态框架。在接触和批评其中一些最著名的框架时,这篇文章为俄罗斯的世界观提供了现实主义和进步主义的理由。这种世界观承认了以联合国为中心的世界中的国家等级制度和强权政治逻辑,但它也超越了这种务实的关注点,考虑了在俄罗斯的推动下进行“多元融合”与和平变革的全球对话的可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Russia’s China Policy: Growing Asymmetries and Hedging Options 俄罗斯对华政策:日益增长的不对称性和对冲选择
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604007
I. Denisov, A. Lukin
This article examines the state and prospects of Russia’s policy toward China. We look at recent trends in the evolution of the world order, the history of Moscow-Beijing relations, and the changes in the balance of power between Russia and China to offer a forecast of Russia’s China policy in the near term. Special attention is paid to the role of the 2001 Treaty of Good-Neighborliness, Friendship, and Cooperation. The authors conclude that, despite the Treaty’s significance, the international situation – and indeed the relative strengths of the two countries – have significantly changed over the past 20 years. The new conditions will inevitably compel Russia to adjust its policy toward China. Moscow, as always, will seek to develop its political and economic partnership with Beijing. However, it will likely move toward hedging against risks that excessive dependence on China could bring about.
本文考察了俄罗斯对华政策的现状和前景。我们着眼于世界秩序演变的最新趋势,莫斯科-北京关系的历史,以及俄罗斯和中国之间力量平衡的变化,以提供俄罗斯近期对华政策的预测。会议特别关注2001年《睦邻友好合作条约》的作用。作者的结论是,尽管《条约》具有重要意义,但国际局势- -实际上是两国的相对实力- -在过去20年中发生了重大变化。新的形势将不可避免地迫使俄罗斯调整对华政策。莫斯科将一如既往地寻求发展与北京的政治和经济伙伴关系。然而,它可能会转向对冲过度依赖中国可能带来的风险。
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引用次数: 3
Russia’s Policies in the Post-Soviet Space: Between Constructive Relations and Fighting the New Cold War 后苏联时代的俄罗斯政策:在建设性关系与对抗新冷战之间
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604006
A. Kazantsev, S. Lebedev, S. Medvedeva
The article challenges the view that Russia’s goal in the post-Soviet space is to make the region an exclusive zone of Russian influence and keep other world powers out entirely. In fact, Russia has two policies towards the influence of other powers that are active in the region: a ‘business as usual’ approach, applied to China and Turkey; and a securitized ‘New Cold War policy’, applied to the US and West (especially towards their presence in Ukraine). Growing Chinese and Turkish influence has not been ‘securitized’, although the presence of both powers creates clear obstacles to the reintegration of former Soviet countries around Russia. The article draws on three bodies of literature (Realism, Liberalism and Constructivism) to explain this variation. While Moscow perceives growing Western influence in Ukraine as a threat to its domestic regime and identity as a great power and regional leader, it finds common ground with Beijing and Ankara in its concerns about the Western liberal democracy promotion agenda and views both powers as potential allies in the construction of a ‘multipolar world’.
这篇文章挑战了这样一种观点,即俄罗斯在后苏联时代的目标是使该地区成为俄罗斯影响的专属区,并将其他世界大国完全排除在外。事实上,俄罗斯对活跃在该地区的其他大国的影响有两项政策:对中国和土耳其采取“一切照旧”的做法;以及适用于美国和西方的安全化“新冷战政策”(尤其是针对他们在乌克兰的存在)。中国和土耳其日益增长的影响力并没有被“安全化”,尽管这两个大国的存在为俄罗斯周围的前苏联国家的重新融合制造了明显的障碍。本文从现实主义、自由主义和建构主义三个文学体来解释这种变异。尽管莫斯科认为西方在乌克兰日益增长的影响力是对其国内政权以及大国和地区领导人身份的威胁,但它在对西方自由民主促进议程的担忧上与北京和安卡拉找到了共同点,并将这两个大国视为建设“多极世界”的潜在盟友。
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引用次数: 2
Introduction 介绍
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604001
Andrej Krickovic, R. Sakwa
An introduction to the special issue on Russian foreign policy prepared by a team based at the Higher School of Economics in Moscow. We begin with an overview of some of the contesting views about the dynamics and drivers of Russian foreign policy and some of the key theories. We then present the substantive arguments of the contributors, assessing how they fit into the overall pattern of understanding the key issues in Russian foreign policy and larger global concerns. The Introductions ends with some broader considerations, noting the tension between ‘declinist’ and ‘revivalist’ approaches to Russia today, and suggest that the contributions on the whole steer a cautious path between extreme representations of these two perspectives, while warning of the dangers of triumphalism. We argue that Russian and Russian-based views can make a specific and important contribution to larger debates about the dynamics of Russian foreign policy and Russia’s contribution to the resolution of some of the pressing issues facing humanity.
由莫斯科高等经济学院的一个团队编写的关于俄罗斯外交政策特刊的介绍。我们首先概述一些关于俄罗斯外交政策的动态和驱动因素的争议观点以及一些关键理论。然后,我们提出了撰稿人的实质性论点,评估他们如何适应理解俄罗斯外交政策关键问题和更大的全球关切的整体模式。引言以一些更广泛的思考结束,注意到“衰落主义”和“复兴主义”对今天俄罗斯的态度之间的紧张关系,并建议这些贡献总体上在这两种观点的极端表现之间走一条谨慎的道路,同时警告必胜主义的危险。我们认为,俄罗斯和以俄罗斯为基础的观点可以对有关俄罗斯外交政策动态的更大辩论以及俄罗斯对解决人类面临的一些紧迫问题的贡献做出具体而重要的贡献。
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引用次数: 0
From ‘Greater Europe’ to Confrontation: Is a ‘Common European Home’ Still Possible? 从“大欧洲”到对抗:“欧洲共同家园”还有可能吗?
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-10-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604008
V. Ryzhkov
Over the past thirty years, relations between Russia and the EU have gone from the idea of a ‘Common European home’ and ‘the unification of everything except institutions’ to periods of fading partnership, culminating in the post-Crimean crisis and the current systemic confrontation over geopolitics and values. Today, the EU and Russia seem to be irreconcilable in terms of values, domestic politics, and geopolitical approaches. For the time being, the most likely scenario for EU-Russia relations will be tense coexistence with cooperation restricted by a climate of general mistrust. The best prospects for constructive cooperation will come from a common commitment to pragmatic ‘neighborliness’. Nevertheless, given the turbulence and unpredictability of international politics a return to “Greater European” integration cannot be entirely ruled out. The fundamental conditions for such a rapprochement still exist, though critical internal processes and external issues need to be resolved before this process can begin.
在过去的三十年里,俄罗斯和欧盟之间的关系已经从“共同的欧洲家园”和“除机构外的一切统一”的想法发展到伙伴关系的衰落时期,最终导致了后克里米亚危机以及当前围绕地缘政治和价值观的系统性对抗。如今,欧盟和俄罗斯在价值观、国内政治和地缘政治方法方面似乎不可调和。目前,欧盟与俄罗斯关系最有可能的情况是紧张共存,合作受到普遍不信任气氛的限制。建设性合作的最佳前景将来自对务实“睦邻友好”的共同承诺。然而,鉴于国际政治的动荡和不可预测性,不能完全排除重返“大欧洲”一体化的可能性。这种和解的基本条件仍然存在,尽管关键的内部进程和外部问题需要在这一进程开始之前得到解决。
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引用次数: 0
COVID and Federal Relations in Russia 新冠肺炎与俄罗斯联邦关系
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00603001
I. Busygina, M. Filippov
The COVID-19 crisis has provided an opportunity to re-evaluate how the federal relations work in authoritarian Russia. In particular, the crisis has confirmed that the regional governors are an integral part of maintaining the stability of the non-democratic regime. Since the whole system and thus, the political careers of the incumbent governors depend on Putin’s popularity, they are interested in maintaining it, even at the expense of their own popularity with the population. In Spring 2020 the regional governors have demonstrated both loyalty and willingness to shield Putin from political responsibility for unpopular measures associated with the epidemic.
新冠肺炎危机为重新评估联邦关系在专制俄罗斯的运作提供了机会。特别是,这场危机证实,地区州长是维护非民主政权稳定的组成部分。由于整个体系以及现任州长的政治生涯都取决于普京的受欢迎程度,他们有兴趣维持这一体系,甚至不惜牺牲自己在民众中的受欢迎度。2020年春季,该地区州长表现出了忠诚和意愿,保护普京免受与疫情相关的不受欢迎措施的政治责任。
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引用次数: 8
Office Politics: Tatarstan’s Presidency and the Symbolic Politics of Regionalism 办公室政治:鞑靼斯坦的总统职位与地域主义的象征政治
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00603002
A. Lenton
This article explores developments in center-region relations between the Russian federal government and the Republic of Tatarstan, a federal subject of the Russian Federation. I argue that instrumentalist accounts are unable to satisfactorily explain several key moments in Tatarstan’s relations with the federal center, and that a focus on symbolic politics provides important analytical leverage. I examine three such episodes: aborted plans to introduce a Latin script for the Tatar language in 1999, the expiration of treaty-based relations and the assault on the region’s Tatar-language education policy in 2017, and the institution of the presidency – which exists to this day. In all three cases, interest-based explanations alone fail to account for what actually happened, whereas ideational explanations can help explain and interpret regional leaders’ actions. This has important implications for how we understand regional political dynamics in Russia amidst conditions of centralization.
本文探讨了俄罗斯联邦政府与俄罗斯联邦主体鞑靼斯坦共和国中部地区关系的发展。我认为,工具主义的解释无法令人满意地解释鞑靼斯坦与联邦中央关系中的几个关键时刻,而对象征政治的关注提供了重要的分析杠杆。我研究了三个这样的事件:1999年为鞑靼语引入拉丁文字的计划流产,2017年基于条约的关系到期,该地区的鞑靼语教育政策受到攻击,以及总统制度——一直存在到今天。在这三个案例中,基于利益的解释本身并不能解释实际发生了什么,而理念上的解释可以帮助解释和解读地区领导人的行为。这对于我们如何理解中央集权条件下俄罗斯的区域政治动态具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 2
Framing of the Syrian Conflict in the Russian Media 俄罗斯媒体对叙利亚冲突的解读
IF 0.8 Q3 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-07-29 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00603003
L. Issaev, K.S. Eremeeva
The research studies the features of coverage of the Syrian conflict by Russian media. In scientific discourse, there are a number of works studying the information support for the civil war in Syria, which is explained by its specificity – a multilateral, multi-level protracted conflict creates an opportunity for a varied interpretation of events and causal relationships. The way events in Syria are presented in various regions of Russia is of particular interest. In the course of this study, a database of media articles, both federal and regional (Dagestan, Tatarstan, Chechnya), was collected. The articles were then analyzed from the point of view of the prevailing semantic codes, which made it possible to identify how the Syrian conflict is framed, as well as the similarities and differences of different regions’ frames.
该研究研究了俄罗斯媒体对叙利亚冲突报道的特点。在科学话语中,有许多作品研究了叙利亚内战的信息支持,这可以用其特殊性来解释——一场多边、多层次的旷日持久的冲突为对事件和因果关系的各种解释创造了机会。叙利亚事件在俄罗斯各个地区的表现方式尤其令人感兴趣。在本研究过程中,收集了联邦和地区(达吉斯坦、鞑靼斯坦、车臣)的媒体文章数据库。然后,从流行的语义代码的角度对这些文章进行了分析,这使得确定叙利亚冲突是如何构建的,以及不同地区框架的异同成为可能。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Russian Politics
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