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The Contradictions in Putin’s Economic Nationalism: From Western Partner to Fortress Russia 普京经济民族主义的矛盾:从西方伙伴到俄罗斯堡垒
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00801002
P. Rutland
This article charts the trajectory of Putin’s economic policy. All countries face the challenge of preserving national interests and identity while reaping the benefits of global economic integration. These pressures are particularly acute in the case of Russia, given its historical legacy as a global superpower. From the outset, Putin’s pragmatic embrace of global integration and market incentives was in tension with his authoritarian centralization of power at home and hostility towards the West abroad. Up until 2008, Putin was able to keep these two conflicting worldviews, and rival policy teams, in balance. But after 2012, geopolitical confrontation won out over economic development, culminating in the reckless invasion of Ukraine in February 2022.
这篇文章描绘了普京经济政策的发展轨迹。所有国家都面临着维护国家利益和特性的挑战,同时从全球经济一体化中获益。鉴于俄罗斯作为全球超级大国的历史遗产,这些压力在俄罗斯身上尤为严重。从一开始,普京对全球一体化和市场激励的务实态度就与他在国内的威权集权和在国外对西方的敌意相矛盾。直到2008年,普京才能够保持这两种相互冲突的世界观和对立的政策团队的平衡。但在2012年之后,地缘政治对抗战胜了经济发展,最终导致了2022年2月对乌克兰的鲁莽入侵。
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引用次数: 0
Regime and State in the Struggle for Russian Modernization 俄国现代化斗争中的政权与国家
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00801001
N. Robinson
Russia’s need to modernize in order both to provide for its peoples and deliver on the ambitions of its rulers are perennial. The articles in this special edition speak to the difficulties that Russia has in modernizing and the hybridity that it demonstrates as modernization and economic development have been shaped by compromise and historical legacies. This introductory article introduces some of these themes by looking at how Russia has reproduced forms of what are called ‘regime-supporting economy’, forms of economy that generate resources to support particular political configurations in power whilst limiting resource accumulation, redistribution and institution-building that can deal with all of the tasks that face the Russian state.
俄罗斯需要实现现代化,以供养其人民,并实现其统治者的雄心壮志,这是长期存在的。本特刊中的文章谈到了俄罗斯在现代化方面的困难,以及现代化和经济发展在妥协和历史遗产的影响下所表现出的混合性。这篇介绍性文章通过观察俄罗斯如何复制所谓的“政权支持经济”的形式来介绍其中的一些主题,这种经济形式产生资源来支持特定的执政政治格局,同时限制资源积累、再分配和制度建设,以应对俄罗斯国家面临的所有任务。
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引用次数: 0
Why Did Financial Openness Reforms Succeed in Russia and Not in China? 为什么金融开放改革在俄罗斯成功而在中国失败?
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2023-03-07 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00801003
Igor Logvinenko
The twenty-year period of modernization of the Russian economy under the leadership of Vladimir Putin, prior to the invasion of Ukraine in 2022, was characterized by a consistent trend towards a statist domestic orientation, coupled with an increasingly radical policy of financial openness. Despite numerous domestic economic reforms, which were oriented towards free-market principles, being either reversed or significantly altered, foreign economic policy reforms proved to be more enduring. In this paper, I argue that the differential outcomes along the axis of internal and external economic reforms are interrelated. The absence of a robust rule of law domestically enabled the reversal of privatization reforms, but also made financial openness policies more appealing to political elites. Furthermore, the society’s expectation of welfare paternalism enabled the regime to tolerate the negative aspects of greater integration by relying on distributive policies rather than widespread repression. In contrast, I demonstrate that the inheritance of a less developed welfare state and an over-reliance on repression led the Chinese Communist Party to adopt a more cautious approach towards financial integration.
在2022年入侵乌克兰之前,在弗拉基米尔·普京(Vladimir Putin)领导下的俄罗斯经济现代化的20年期间,其特点是始终朝着中央集权的国内方向发展,同时采取越来越激进的金融开放政策。尽管许多面向自由市场原则的国内经济改革要么被逆转,要么被大幅度改变,但对外经济政策改革证明更为持久。在本文中,我认为沿着内部和外部经济改革轴的不同结果是相互关联的。国内缺乏健全的法治使得私有化改革得以逆转,但也使金融开放政策对政治精英更具吸引力。此外,社会对福利家长式作风的期望使该政权能够通过依赖分配政策而不是广泛的镇压来容忍更大一体化的负面影响。相比之下,我证明了欠发达福利国家的继承和对镇压的过度依赖导致中国共产党对金融一体化采取更谨慎的态度。
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引用次数: 0
Electoral Reform during the COVID-19 Pandemic: Empirical Evidence from Russia COVID-19大流行期间的选举改革:来自俄罗斯的经验证据
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604030
N. Grishin
The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant transformations of electoral institutions, and provoked changes in the politics of electoral reforms in some polities. The paper claims that Russia has used a special model of electoral reform during the pandemic that differs from both its previous experience and recommendations of international organizations. The comparative historical method is applied to bridge internal and external explanations that may offer an understanding of the current reform of electoral rule in the Russian political context. The pandemic has become a reason for changing traditional electoral procedures and for implementing this reform. Empirical evidence suggests that the reform has been implemented by a depoliticized technocratic procedure ignoring the principles of political consensus. The reform process implies a shift of the government’s main efforts from decision-making to increasing dependence on propaganda, and informational confrontation with opponents in the subsequent reform cycle. The approach to the implementation of the electoral reform casts doubt on the level of public support for the new procedures and exacerbates political risks.
2019冠状病毒病大流行造成了选举机构的重大变革,并引发了一些国家选举改革的政治变化。该文件声称,俄罗斯在疫情期间采用了一种不同于其以往经验和国际组织建议的特殊选举改革模式。比较历史的方法适用于桥梁内部和外部的解释,可能提供在俄罗斯政治背景下的选举规则的当前改革的理解。这一流行病已成为改变传统选举程序和实施这一改革的理由。经验证据表明,改革是通过一种非政治化的技术官僚程序实施的,忽视了政治共识的原则。改革过程意味着政府的主要努力将从决策转向越来越依赖宣传,并在随后的改革周期中与对手进行信息对抗。执行选举改革的方法使人们怀疑公众对新程序的支持程度,并加剧了政治风险。
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引用次数: 1
‘To Make a People Out of a Mere Population’: Sovereignty and Governmentality in Hegemonic Russian Cultural Policy “从一个简单的人口中造就一个民族”:俄罗斯霸权文化政策中的主权与治理
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604031
T. Romashko
The paper claims that contemporary Russian cultural policy has been determined by political transformations associated with the political project to establish sovereignty that has organized Putin’s regime since 2012. The idea behind it is traced to Putin’s 2006 intention ‘to make a people out of a mere population’. To understand that intention, and to explain the contribution of culture and cultural policy to its concretization, the paper draws on Foucault’s account of sovereignty and governmentality, and the development of the Gramscian notion of hegemony. The paper argues that Putin’s regime uses governmentality in its hegemonic project to establish sovereignty. To describe that project, and the contribution of culture and cultural policy to it, the paper presents evidence of the relation between Putin’s political actions and changes in the structure of Russian state and government, Russian culture, and the cultural policy infrastructure. The paper begins with a discussion of the draft Concept of culture introduced in 2018 and concludes with an examination of its fate in order to raise the question of the contingency of Putin’s hegemonic project.
这篇论文声称,当代俄罗斯的文化政策是由与建立主权的政治项目相关的政治转型决定的,自2012年以来,普京政权一直在建立主权。它背后的想法可以追溯到普京2006年的意图,“让一个纯粹的人口成为一个民族”。为了理解这一意图,并解释文化和文化政策对其具体化的贡献,本文借鉴了福柯对主权和治理的描述,以及葛兰西霸权概念的发展。本文认为,普京政权在其霸权计划中使用治理来建立主权。为了描述这个项目,以及文化和文化政策对它的贡献,本文提供了普京的政治行为与俄罗斯国家和政府结构、俄罗斯文化和文化政策基础设施变化之间关系的证据。本文首先讨论了2018年提出的文化概念草案,最后对其命运进行了考察,以提出普京霸权计划的偶然性问题。
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引用次数: 0
Becoming (In)tolerant: Vicissitudes of a Political Term in Russia, 2000-2020 变得宽容:一个政治术语在俄罗斯的变迁,2000-2020
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604032
N. Sarkisyan
This article explores the role of the term “tolerance” in Russian presidential discourse, 2000-2020. The word became de-politicized (used equally in liberal and in conservative contexts), functioning as a buzzword and as a symbol. As a buzzword, it stood “for all good things” and denoted the positive dynamics in Russia’s nationalities and foreign policies; as a symbol, it served as a building block in constructing national identity. The use of “tolerance” also indicated the Kremlin’s firm belief in the normative power of words and ideas: that “tolerance” can change public attitudes and shape institutional design. However, the word’s conflicting semantics prompted the Kremlin to remove the term abruptly in 2013 against the background of the unfolding conservative turn. This study examines the zigzags of ideational governance in Putin’s Russia.
本文探讨了“宽容”一词在2000-2020年俄罗斯总统话语中的作用。这个词被去政治化了(在自由主义和保守主义语境中都同样使用),成为一个流行语和一种象征。作为一个流行语,它代表了“一切美好的事物”,代表了俄罗斯民族和外交政策的积极动态;作为一种象征,它是构建国家认同的基石。“宽容”一词的使用也表明了克里姆林宫对文字和思想的规范性力量的坚定信念:“宽容”可以改变公众态度,塑造制度设计。然而,这个词的语义矛盾促使克里姆林宫在2013年突然删除了这个词,当时正值保守派转向的背景。本研究考察了普京领导下的俄罗斯国家治理的曲折之路。
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引用次数: 0
Electoral Reforms in Russia’s Regions: An Equilibrium between Disproportionality and Legitimacy 俄罗斯地区选举改革:不均衡与合法性之间的平衡
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604028
R. Turovsky, K. Funk
This study examines the dynamics of electoral reforms in the constituent entities of the Russian Federation and their influence on the disproportionality of parliamentary representation since the electoral system experienced major changes in 2003. We suggest that some characteristics of the electoral system may be highly instrumental in ensuring and maintaining United Russia’s influence in legislative bodies. This makes it possible to classify them as forms of institutional manipulation typical of electoral authoritarianism. Based on the statistical description and regression analysis, the study demonstrates the impact of some elements of electoral reforms on disproportionality during the periods at issue. At the same time, we can identify the methods of cementing the dominant party’s hold on power that the authorities find the most effective. In this regard, we make the conclusion that certain elements of the electoral system function as a balanced mechanism, which is evidenced by how they have been used during the different periods. Additionally, the study analyses the impact of disproportionality on electoral behavior, with the hypothesis about its negative influence on the electoral turnout being supported. Yet we regard the lower turnout as a consequence of the voting behavior of both the opposition’s supporters and loyalists. Finally, the electoral reforms in Russia seem to have put limits on disproportionality of parliamentary representation due to the issue of legitimacy.
本研究考察了自2003年选举制度发生重大变化以来,俄罗斯联邦各组成实体的选举改革动态及其对议会代表权不成比例的影响。我们认为,选举制度的某些特点可能在确保和维持统一俄罗斯党在立法机构中的影响力方面发挥重要作用。这使得有可能将它们归类为典型的选举威权主义的机构操纵形式。在统计描述和回归分析的基础上,该研究证明了选举改革的一些因素对问题期间不相称性的影响。与此同时,我们可以找出当局认为最有效的巩固执政党对权力控制的方法。在这方面,我们得出的结论是,选举制度的某些要素是作为一种平衡的机制发挥作用的,这一点可以从它们在不同时期的使用情况中得到证明。此外,研究还分析了比例失调对选举行为的影响,支持了比例失调对投票率产生负面影响的假设。然而,我们认为投票率较低是反对派支持者和忠诚者投票行为的结果。最后,由于合法性问题,俄罗斯的选举改革似乎限制了议会代表的不成比例。
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引用次数: 0
Political Logic of the “Municipal Filter” in Russia: Evidence from Perm Krai 2020 Elections 俄罗斯“市政过滤器”的政治逻辑:来自彼尔姆边疆区2020年选举的证据
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-11-09 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604029
V. Kovin, A. Semenov
In this paper, we investigate the endorsement strategies of municipal council members in Russia. Since 2012, the candidates for chief executive office are required to collect the signatures at the local level. Filtering had been an important political toll before the return of direct gubernatorial elections, however, for the latter there are specific requirements in terms of territorial quotas and coverage that can be used against the independent candidates. We theorize that partisanship, gender, and employment sector on individual level and political competition, population size, and budget autonomy on the municipality level are important in shaping the councilmembers’ decision. We test this theory against the data on 2020 Perm krai gubernatorial elections and find out that while the general pattern is largely in line with our expectations, there are nuances when it comes to supporting particular opposition candidates. This study contributes to the literature on electoral authoritarianism and subnational elections in Russia and to the general scholarship on the means of authoritarian control.
本文以俄罗斯市议会议员的支持策略为研究对象。自2012年以来,行政长官候选人必须收集地方一级的签名。在恢复直接省长选举之前,过滤是一个重要的政治代价,但是,对于直接省长选举来说,在领土配额和覆盖范围方面有具体的要求,可以用来对付独立候选人。我们的理论是,党派关系、性别、个人层面的就业部门和政治竞争、人口规模、市政自治层面的预算自治对形成议员的决定很重要。我们用2020年彼尔姆边疆区(Perm krai)州长选举的数据来检验这一理论,发现虽然总体模式在很大程度上符合我们的预期,但在支持特定反对派候选人方面存在细微差别。这项研究有助于研究俄罗斯选举威权主义和地方选举的文献,以及关于威权控制手段的一般学术研究。
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引用次数: 0
Putin’s Rise to Power: Russian Roulette or Elite Pact? 普京的崛起:俄罗斯轮盘赌还是精英条约?
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-07 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604026
K. Petrov, A. Kazantsev, E. Minchenko, I. Loshkariov
The article is devoted to the current state of the discussion around transition of power in Russia in 1999-2001. The authors rely both on the patronal approach to show post-Soviet specificity and on the theory of neo-elitism to show its universal features. This transition was the point at which the highly differentiated post-Soviet elite was able to create a fragile base for integration. The article shows that it is possible to apply the theory of the elite pact to the Russian case, but the effects of the pact itself may ultimately differ from the trajectory of movement towards democracy predicted by the neo-elite theory. The trajectory deviates from the given one due to the patronal ribbon structures and the reversibility of the differentiation process. A new form of elite pact in Russia is possible, but the newborn elite coalition is doomed to be unsustainable unless a new constitutional reconsolidation follows.
本文主要介绍1999-2001年俄罗斯权力交接的讨论现状。作者既依靠赞助人的方法来展示后苏联的特殊性,又依靠新精英主义的理论来展示其普遍性特征。这一转变正是高度分化的后苏联精英能够为一体化创造脆弱基础的时刻。这篇文章表明,将精英协议理论应用于俄罗斯的案例是可能的,但协议本身的效果最终可能与新精英理论预测的民主运动轨迹不同。由于环带结构和微分过程的可逆性,轨迹偏离了给定的轨迹。在俄罗斯,一种新形式的精英协议是可能的,但除非新的宪法重组,否则新生的精英联盟注定是不可持续的。
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引用次数: 0
The Birth of a New Pseudo-Historical Myth in Modern Russia: How Two Revolutions Were Made into One 一个新的伪历史神话在现代俄罗斯的诞生:两次革命是如何合二为一的
IF 0.8 Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2022-09-07 DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604024
A. V. Grinëv
The branch of public knowledge that is designated as “historical science” has its own mythology. It is based not only on one-sided historical facts, but also on various theoretical concepts. Some historical and theoretical myths are peculiar to individual countries, while others are more widespread, for example, the myth of democracy as the power of the people. Now in Russia there is final approval for the concept of the “Great Russian Revolution of 1917,” which is another pseudoscientific myth that quite happily coexists with the old myth of socialism in the USSR. The new myth enjoys full support from the authorities and is positively accepted by the vast majority of the Russian scholarly community, which is entirely dependent on the state and adapts to its policies quite consciously or by force of habit. This article attempts not only to critically analyze the concept of the “Great Russian Revolution” as another phenomenon of Russian historical mythology, but also to present a different explanation for the events of 1917 in Russia.
被指定为“历史科学”的公共知识分支有自己的神话。它不仅基于片面的历史事实,而且基于各种各样的理论概念。一些历史和理论神话是个别国家特有的,而另一些则更为普遍,例如民主是人民力量的神话。现在,在俄罗斯,“1917年俄罗斯大革命”的概念得到了最终批准,这是另一个伪科学神话,与苏联社会主义的旧神话非常愉快地共存。这个新的神话得到了当局的全力支持,并得到了俄罗斯学术界绝大多数人的积极接受,他们完全依赖国家,并非常自觉地或习惯性地适应其政策。本文不仅试图批判性地分析“俄罗斯大革命”这一俄罗斯历史神话的另一现象的概念,而且试图对1917年发生在俄罗斯的事件做出不同的解释。
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引用次数: 0
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Russian Politics
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