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The Face of the Problem: How Subordinates Shield Executives from Blame 直面问题:下属如何保护主管不受指责
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-16 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.16
Sarah E. Croco, J. McDonald, Candace Turitto
Abstract Though avoiding blame is often a goal of elected officials, there are relatively few empirical examinations of how citizens assign blame during controversies. We are particularly interested in how this process works when an executive has been caught in a lie. Using two survey experiments, we examine whether subordinates can shield executives when they act as the face of a crisis. We first leverage a real-life situation involving the family separation crisis at the US–Mexico border in 2018. Respondents who read that Donald Trump falsely claimed he could not end the practice of family separation disapprove of his dishonesty. Yet this cost disappears when Trump’s then-Secretary of Homeland Security, Kirstjen Nielsen, is the primary official discussed in news stories. We then replicate these findings in a fictional scenario involving a city mayor, showing that the mayor is partially shielded from negative appraisals when the city manager lies on his behalf.
摘要尽管避免指责通常是民选官员的目标,但对公民在争议中如何指责的实证研究相对较少。我们特别感兴趣的是,当一位高管陷入谎言时,这个过程是如何运作的。通过两项调查实验,我们考察了下属在高管面临危机时是否能保护他们。我们首先利用了2018年美墨边境家庭分离危机的真实情况。读到唐纳德·特朗普谎称他无法结束家庭分离的做法的受访者不赞成他的不诚实。然而,当特朗普当时的国土安全部长Kirstjen Nielsen成为新闻报道中讨论的主要官员时,这种成本就消失了。然后,我们在一个涉及市长的虚构场景中复制了这些发现,表明当城市经理代表市长撒谎时,市长在一定程度上免受负面评价。
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引用次数: 0
Education and Social Capital – Corrigendum 教育与社会资本——勘误表
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-06-11 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.14
B. Apfeld, E. Coman, J. Gerring, S. Jessee
In the original publication of Apfeld et al (2021), a coding mistake caused the results plotted in Figure 4, which separately estimates the effect of university attendance on social capital by respondents’ year of high school graduation, to be incorrect. The corrected figure appears below. The corrected results, while somewhat different, do not change the overall inconclusive nature of these findings. As stated in the original article, it would appear that once the data are broken into subsamples there is inadequate power to estimate each subgroup effect precisely enough to learn which are larger and which are smaller. Note that the point estimates are not generally centered inside the confidence intervals because the confidence intervals use a robust bias correction while the point estimates do not, both following the standard options in the function used for these analyses (see original paper for further description).
在Apfeld et al(2021)的原始出版物中,编码错误导致图4中绘制的结果不正确,图4通过被调查对象的高中毕业年份单独估计了大学入学率对社会资本的影响。更正后的数字如下所示。修正后的结果虽然有些不同,但并没有改变这些发现的总体不确定性。正如在最初的文章中所述,一旦数据被分解成子样本,就没有足够的能力来准确地估计每个子组的影响,以了解哪些更大,哪些更小。请注意,点估计通常不会集中在置信区间内,因为置信区间使用稳健的偏差校正,而点估计则不会,两者都遵循用于这些分析的函数中的标准选项(参见原始论文以获得进一步描述)。
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引用次数: 0
Labor Market Volatility, Gender, and Trade Preferences 劳动力市场波动、性别和贸易偏好
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-28 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.9
Ryan Brutger, Alexandra Guisinger
Abstract What explains divides in the public’s support for trade protection? Traditional economic arguments primarily focus on individuals’ expectations for increased or decreased wages in the face of greater economic openness, yet studies testing such wage-based concerns identify a different divide as well: even after accounting for wage effects, women are typically more supportive of trade protection. We argue that trade-induced employment volatility and the resulting concerns for employment stability are overlooked factors that help explain the gender divide in attitudes. Due to both structural discrimination and societal norms, we theorize that working women are more responsive to the threat of trade-related employment instability than male counterparts. Using an experiment fielded on national samples in the USA and Canada, we find that most respondents have weak reactions to volatility, but volatility has a significant effect on women who are the most vulnerable to trade’s disruptive effects – those working in import-competing industries and those with limited education.
如何解释公众对贸易保护的支持存在分歧?传统的经济学观点主要关注个人在面对更大的经济开放时对工资增加或减少的期望,然而,测试这种基于工资的担忧的研究也发现了一个不同的分歧:即使考虑到工资影响,女性通常更支持贸易保护。我们认为,贸易导致的就业波动和由此产生的对就业稳定的担忧是被忽视的因素,有助于解释态度上的性别差异。由于结构性歧视和社会规范,我们认为职业女性比男性更容易应对与贸易相关的就业不稳定威胁。通过对美国和加拿大的国家样本进行的实验,我们发现大多数受访者对波动的反应较弱,但波动对最容易受到贸易破坏性影响的女性——那些在进口竞争行业工作的女性和受教育程度有限的女性——有显著影响。
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引用次数: 6
Individualized Text Messages about Public Services Fail to Sway Voters: Evidence from a Field Experiment on Ugandan Elections 关于公共服务的个性化短信无法动摇选民:来自乌干达选举实地实验的证据
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-20 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.15
Ryan S. Jablonski, Mark T. Buntaine, D. Nielson, Paula M. Pickering
Abstract Mobile communication technologies can provide citizens access to information that is tailored to their specific circumstances. Such technologies may therefore increase citizens’ ability to vote in line with their interests and hold politicians accountable. In a large-scale randomized controlled trial in Uganda (n = 16,083), we investigated whether citizens who receive private, timely, and individualized text messages by mobile phone about public services in their community punished or rewarded incumbents in local elections in line with the information. Respondents claimed to find the messages valuable and there is evidence that they briefly updated their beliefs based on the messages; however, the treatment did not cause increased votes for incumbents where public services were better than expected nor decreased votes where public services were worse than anticipated. The considerable knowledge gaps among citizens identified in this study indicate potential for communication technologies to effectively share civic information. Yet the findings imply that when the attribution of public service outcomes is difficult, even individualized information is unlikely to affect voting behavior.
移动通信技术可以为公民提供适合其具体情况的信息。因此,这些技术可能会提高公民根据自己的利益进行投票的能力,并让政治家承担责任。在乌干达进行的一项大规模随机对照试验中(n = 16083),我们调查了通过手机收到有关社区公共服务的私人、及时和个性化短信的公民是否会根据这些信息惩罚或奖励当地选举中的在职者。被调查者声称发现这些信息很有价值,有证据表明他们根据这些信息短暂地更新了自己的信念;然而,在公共服务比预期好时,这种待遇并没有使现任者的选票增加,也没有使公共服务比预期差时的选票减少。本研究发现,公民之间存在相当大的知识差距,这表明通信技术具有有效共享公民信息的潜力。然而,研究结果表明,当公共服务结果难以归因时,即使是个性化的信息也不太可能影响投票行为。
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引用次数: 4
When Do Voters Sanction Corrupt Politicians? – Corrigendum 选民何时制裁腐败政客勘误表
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-17 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.13
Marko Klašnja, Noam Lupu, Joshua A. Tucker
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引用次数: 0
The Effectiveness of a Neighbor-to-Neighbor Get-Out-the-Vote Program: Evidence from the 2017 Virginia State Elections 邻居对邻居的投票计划的有效性:来自2017年弗吉尼亚州选举的证据
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-05-10 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2020.11
Cassandra Handan-Nader, Daniel E. Ho, Alison D. Morantz, Tom Rutter
Abstract We analyze the results of a neighbor-to-neighbor, grassroots get-out-the-vote (GOTV) drive in Virginia, in which unpaid volunteers were encouraged to contact at least three nearby registered voters who were likely co-partisans yet relatively unlikely to vote in the 2017 state election. To measure the campaign’s effectiveness, we used a pairwise randomization design whereby each volunteer was assigned to one randomly selected member of the most geographically proximate pair of voters. Because some volunteers unexpectedly signed up to participate outside their home districts, we analyze the volunteers who adhered to the original hyper-local program design separately from those who did not. We find that the volunteers in the original program design drove a statistically significant 2.3% increase in turnout, which was concentrated in the first voter pair assigned to each volunteer. We discuss implications for the study and design of future GOTV efforts.
摘要我们分析了弗吉尼亚州一项邻居对邻居的草根投票(GOTV)活动的结果,在该活动中,鼓励无偿志愿者联系至少三名附近的登记选民,他们可能是共同党派,但相对不太可能在2017年州选举中投票。为了衡量竞选活动的有效性,我们使用了成对随机化设计,将每个志愿者分配给地理位置最接近的一对选民中随机选择的一名成员。由于一些志愿者出乎意料地报名参加了家乡以外的活动,我们将坚持最初超地方项目设计的志愿者与不坚持的志愿者分开分析。我们发现,在最初的项目设计中,志愿者的投票率在统计上显著增加了2.3%,这集中在分配给每个志愿者的第一对选民中。我们讨论了对未来GOTV工作的研究和设计的影响。
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引用次数: 2
Can Appeals for Peace Promote Tolerance and Mitigate Support for Extremism? Evidence from an Experiment with Adolescents in Burkina Faso 呼吁和平能促进宽容并减轻对极端主义的支持吗?布基纳法索青少年实验的证据
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-29 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2022.1
Allison N. Grossman, W. Nomikos, N. Siddiqui
Abstract Recent efforts to improve attitudes toward outgroups and reduce support for extremists in violent settings report mixed results. Donors and aid organizations have spent millions of dollars to amplify the voices of moderate religious figures to counter violent extremism in West Africa, the Middle East, and South Asia. Despite this investment, we know little about whether such messaging persuades the primary recruits of violent extremist organizations: at-risk youth in fragile settings. In this paper, we consider whether pro-peace religious messaging can promote social cohesion among school-age respondents in Burkina Faso. Using a survey experiment, we find little evidence that such messages affect reported attitudes or behaviors toward religious extremism and find instead that it can have the unintended effect of increasing intolerance toward ethnic others. Our findings carry lessons about the inadvertent priming of ethnic identities that can result in a backlash effect among certain societal segments.
摘要最近为改善对外部群体的态度和减少对暴力环境中极端分子的支持所做的努力报告了喜忧参半的结果。捐助者和援助组织已花费数百万美元,扩大温和派宗教人士的声音,以打击西非、中东和南亚的暴力极端主义。尽管有这项投资,但我们对这种信息是否能说服暴力极端主义组织的主要招募者——脆弱环境中的高危青年——知之甚少。在本文中,我们考虑了支持和平的宗教信息是否能促进布基纳法索学龄受访者的社会凝聚力。通过一项调查实验,我们几乎没有发现证据表明这些信息会影响人们对宗教极端主义的态度或行为,相反,我们发现它可能会产生意想不到的影响,增加对其他族裔的不容忍。我们的研究结果为种族身份的无意启动提供了教训,这可能会在某些社会阶层中产生反弹效应。
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引用次数: 3
Islam and Mass Preferences Toward Foreign Direct Investment in Tunisia 伊斯兰教与突尼斯民众对外国直接投资的偏好
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-22 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.5
Amaney A. Jamal, H. Milner
Abstract Are FDI and Islam in conflict with one another in the eyes of Tunisians? Does support for globalization fall or increase when it embraces or challenges Islamic dress, prayer, and other practices? We examine through different experimental tests how Tunisians react to foreign direct investment when it accommodates or conflicts with Islamic norms. Using three original sources of data, including a large representative survey (N = 4,986), a conjoint survey experiment (N = 1,502), and an original survey experiment with experimental social vignettes (N = 504), we examine how threats (and non-threats) from FDI to Islamic norms affect support for FDI. We find strong support for FDI, but these levels of support are not stable. We find the support for FDI falls by almost 32% if it is seen to clash with female Islamic dress. Support is highest when it accommodates Islamic practices, especially the female hijab and lowest when it is perceived to disregard these practices.
摘要在突尼斯人看来,外国直接投资和伊斯兰教是否相互冲突?当全球化拥抱或挑战伊斯兰服饰、祈祷和其他习俗时,对全球化的支持是下降还是增加?我们通过不同的实验测试来研究突尼斯人在外国直接投资适应或与伊斯兰规范冲突时如何应对。使用三个原始数据来源,包括一个大型代表性调查(N=4986)、一个联合调查实验(N=1502)和一个带有实验性社会小插曲的原始调查实验(N=504),我们研究了外国直接投资对伊斯兰规范的威胁(和非威胁)如何影响对外国直接投资的支持。我们发现外国直接投资得到了强有力的支持,但这些支持水平并不稳定。我们发现,如果外国直接投资与女性伊斯兰服饰发生冲突,对外国直接投资的支持率将下降近32%。当它适应伊斯兰习俗,尤其是女性头巾时,支持率最高,而当它被认为无视这些习俗时,支持度最低。
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引用次数: 1
Refugees to the Rescue? Motivating Pro-Refugee Public Engagement During the COVID-19 Pandemic 难民救援?在新冠肺炎大流行期间激励积极的公众参与
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-04-13 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.11
Claire L. Adida, Adeline Lo, Lauren Prather, Scott Williamson
Abstract Migrants are often scapegoated during public health crises. Can such crises create opportunities for migrant inclusion instead? As the COVID-19 pandemic unfolds, many refugee organizations have stepped up their outreach with stories of refugees helping out in the crisis. We have partnered with the country’s leading refugee advocate organizations to test whether solidarity narratives increase public engagement with refugee advocates. We employ a Facebook experimental design to evaluate the effectiveness of refugee narratives. We test whether (1) migrant narratives framed in the context of COVID-19, (2) COVID-19 migrant narratives targeted to more or less local communities, and (3) COVID-19 migrant narratives labeled as refugee vs. immigrant efforts enhance public engagement with refugee organizations. Our results indicate that migrant narratives framed in the context of COVID-19 do not motivate greater engagement than those that make no mention of the pandemic. Our results provide suggestive evidence that locally targeted efforts motivate greater engagement. Finally, we find no difference between the “refugee” and “immigrant” label, but we show that both labels can motivate greater engagement than ads that include neither. Importantly, this is true even in the context of COVID-19, an uncertain environment where worries of backlash might be warranted. These results suggest promising strategies for migrant policy organizations to promote engagement during and possibly after the pandemic.
在公共卫生危机中,移民往往成为替罪羊。这样的危机会为移民融入创造机会吗?随着COVID-19大流行的展开,许多难民组织加强了外联活动,讲述难民在危机中伸出援手的故事。我们与该国主要的难民倡导组织合作,测试团结叙事是否能增加公众对难民倡导者的参与。我们采用Facebook实验设计来评估难民叙述的有效性。我们测试(1)在COVID-19背景下构建的移民叙事,(2)针对当地社区或多或少的COVID-19移民叙事,以及(3)标记为难民与移民努力的COVID-19移民叙事是否增强了公众与难民组织的参与。我们的研究结果表明,在COVID-19背景下构建的移民叙事并不会比没有提及大流行的叙事更能激发人们的参与。我们的研究结果提供了有启发性的证据,表明针对当地的努力可以激发更大的参与。最后,我们发现“难民”和“移民”标签之间没有区别,但我们表明,这两个标签都比不包含任何标签的广告更能激发用户粘性。重要的是,即使在2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的不确定环境下,人们也可能担心会出现反弹,情况也是如此。这些结果为移民政策组织在大流行期间和可能之后促进参与提出了有希望的战略。
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引用次数: 2
All in This Together? A Preregistered Report on Deservingness of Government Aid During the COVID-19 Pandemic 所有人都在一起?COVID-19大流行期间政府援助应享性预登记报告
IF 3.6 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE Pub Date : 2021-03-31 DOI: 10.1017/XPS.2021.10
Aengus Bridgman, E. Merkley, P. Loewen, Taylor Owen, D. Ruths
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has placed unprecedented pressure on governments to engage in widespread cash transfers directly to citizens to help mitigate economic losses. Major and near-universal redistribution efforts have been deployed, but there is remarkably little understanding of where the mass public believes financial support is warranted. Using experimental evidence, we evaluate whether considerations related to deservingness, similarity, and prejudicial attitudes structure support for these transfers. A preregistered experiment found broad, generous, and nondiscriminatory support for direct cash transfers related to COVID-19 in Canada. The second study, accepted as a preregistered report, further probes these dynamics by comparing COVID-19-related outlays with nonemergency ones. We find that COVID-19-related spending was more universal as compared to a more generic cash allocation program. Given that the results were driven by the income of hypothetical recipients, we find broad support for disaster relief that is not means-tested or otherwise constrained by pre-disaster income.
2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行给各国政府带来了前所未有的压力,要求它们广泛直接向公民提供现金转移支付,以帮助减轻经济损失。已经部署了大规模和几乎普遍的再分配工作,但对于大众认为在哪些地方需要财政支持,却知之甚少。利用实验证据,我们评估了与值得性、相似性和偏见态度相关的考虑是否支持这些转移。一项预先登记的实验发现,加拿大对与COVID-19相关的直接现金转移提供了广泛、慷慨和非歧视的支持。第二项研究作为预登记报告被接受,通过比较与covid -19相关的支出与非紧急支出,进一步探讨了这些动态。我们发现,与更通用的现金分配计划相比,与covid -19相关的支出更为普遍。考虑到结果是由假设接受者的收入驱动的,我们发现对救灾的广泛支持不受经济状况调查或其他受灾前收入限制。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
Journal of Experimental Political Science
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