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Brecha de género en la confianza de productos y servicios financieros desde la perspectiva del comportamiento 从行为角度看金融产品和服务信任的性别差距
Pub Date : 2023-06-09 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.10
Ariadna Hernández-Rivera
Esta investigación tiene como objetivo demostrar que la confianza en el uso y acceso de herramientas financierasen hombres y mujeres determina la conducta financiera de los usuarios en México, y marca diferentes tendencias de acuerdo con el género. Se aplica una metodología con enfoque cuantitativo, no experimental y correlacional, proponiendo un modelo econométrico de elección binaria para hombres y mujeres. Se utiliza la Encuesta Nacional de Inclusión Financiera 2021 (ENIF) considerando 12.406 observaciones correspondientes a personas en un rango de edad de 18 a 70 años, para validar la hipótesis de que la confianza modifica el comportamiento de hombres y mujeres con respecto al uso y acceso de herramientas financieras. Los resultados evidencian que, a mayor nivel de desconfianza, la población mexicana presenta un comportamiento que obliga a disminuir la utilización de herramientas ofrecidas por instituciones financieras formales. Se concluye que la confianza de los consumidores ante estos recursos modifica la conducta de hombres y mujeres para su uso.
这项研究旨在证明,在墨西哥,男性和女性对金融工具的使用和获取的信任决定了用户的金融行为,并根据性别标志着不同的趋势。本文采用定量、非实验和相关方法,提出了男性和女性二元选择的计量经济学模型。利用全国调查金融包容考虑续约(ENIF)相应12.406评论人在18岁至70岁的年龄范围、验证假设信任改变男子和妇女的行为对金融工具的使用和获得。本研究的目的是评估墨西哥金融机构对金融工具的不信任程度,并确定其对金融工具的使用程度。结果表明,消费者对这些资源的信心改变了男性和女性使用这些资源的行为。
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引用次数: 0
El efecto moderador de la educación financiera en la relación entre las herramientas de toma de decisiones y los rendimientos de las acciones en el mercado secundario de acciones de la India 在印度股票二级市场,金融教育对决策工具与股票回报关系的调节作用
Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.8
Renu Isidore, C. J. Arun
La toma de decisiones en el complejo mercado de valores es una tarea exigente dada la enorme cantidad de información disponible y la amplia gama de técnicas de toma de decisiones disponibles. La educación financiera de los inversores juega un papel destacado para influir en su proceso de toma de decisiones. Aunque el mercado de valores indio es el tercero más grande de Asia, solo alrededor del 3% de sus hogares invierten en mercados de valores. El nivel de educación financiera del inversor indio debe evaluarse para que haya una mayor participación en el mercado de valores y se obtengan mayores rendimientos. Este estudio tiene como objetivo determinar el efecto moderador de la educación financiera en la relación entre las herramientas de toma de decisiones y los rendimientos de las acciones obtenidos en el mercado secundario de acciones de la India. Las herramientas de toma de decisiones incluyen el análisis fundamental: (i) análisis económico, (ii) análisis de la industria, (iii) análisis de la empresa, (iv) análisis técnico y (v) recomendación deasesores. Los datos se recopilaron a través del método de encuesta de cuestionario y a través de una muestra válida de 436 cuestionarios, se probó la importancia del efecto moderador. Usando el complemento Process Macro en SPSS, se realizó el análisis de moderación. Los resultados revelan que la educación financiera solamente moderó la relación entre el análisis económico y los rendimientos de las acciones.
在复杂的股票市场中,决策是一项具有挑战性的任务,因为有大量的可用信息和广泛的可用决策技术。投资者的金融教育在影响他们的决策过程中起着重要作用。尽管印度股市是亚洲第三大股市,但只有3%的家庭投资股市。必须评估印度投资者的金融教育水平,以增加对股票市场的参与,并获得更高的回报。本研究旨在确定金融教育对决策工具与印度二级股票市场获得的股票回报之间关系的调节作用。决策工具包括基本面分析:(i)经济分析,(ii)行业分析,(iii)公司分析,(iv)技术分析和(v)顾问建议。采用问卷调查的方法收集数据,并对436份问卷进行有效抽样,检验调节效应的重要性。利用SPSS中的Process Macro插件进行了适度分析。结果表明,金融教育仅调节了经济分析与股票收益率之间的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Military Expenditure and Unemployment Nexus in Bangladesh 孟加拉国的军事开支和失业关系
Pub Date : 2023-05-09 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.7
A. Hanif, Muhammad Salah Uddin, Tahsin Bakirtas, Sheikh Abdul Kader
The purpose of this study is to investigate the impact of military expenditure on unemployment in Bangladesh, examining the cointegration among unemployment, military expenditure, and foreign direct investment. It also sheds light on the short and longrun dynamics of the variables under consideration. The study employs the ARDL bounds testing approach to investigate the cointegration among the variables using time series annual data from the period of 1990-2018. The dependant variable is unemployment and military expenditure and FDI are the independent variables. Thisresearch found a long run relationship among the variables. An increase in military expenditure significantly reduces unemployment in the short run, however, no significant long-run relationship is found. The higher FDI, the higher unemployment in the long run. This study contributes to fill the research gap regarding theimpact of military expenditure and FDI on unemployment. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to examine the relationship among unemployment, military expenditure and FDI in Bangladesh using ARDL bounds testing approach with time series annual data.  
本研究的目的是调查军费开支对孟加拉国失业的影响,考察失业、军费开支和外国直接投资之间的协整关系。它还阐明了所考虑的变量的短期和长期动态。本研究使用1990-2018年的时间序列年度数据,采用ARDL边界检验方法研究变量之间的协整性。因变量是失业率,军费开支和外国直接投资是自变量。这项研究发现了变量之间的长期关系。军费开支的增加在短期内显著降低了失业率,但没有发现显著的长期关系。外国直接投资越高,长期失业率就越高。本研究有助于填补军费和FDI对失业影响的研究空白。据我们所知,这是第一个使用时间序列年度数据的ARDL边界检验方法来检验孟加拉国失业、军费开支和外国直接投资之间关系的研究。
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引用次数: 0
“Stay at home (if you can)”: informal employment and COVID-19 in Mexico “呆在家里(如果可以)”:墨西哥的非正规就业和COVID-19
Pub Date : 2023-05-08 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.6
Joana Cecilia Chapa Cantú, Carlos Emmanuel Saldaña Villanueva, Edgar Mauricio Luna Domínguez
This paper explores the relationship between residential confinement to reduce the spread of the COVID-19 virus, seen as a public policy, and how it affects the informal labor sector, as well as the responseof individuals to the pandemic in the states of Mexico. Forming panels for various levels of informality applied to panel vector auto-regressive (PVAR) shows that staying at home as public policy becomes more effective as informality decreases. In addition, the response of individuals to an increase in the spread of the pande-mic depends on the level of informality: for states with lower rates of informality, individuals respond to a higher concentration of residential confinement. But for states with a higher level of informality, the evidence is not significant. The paper considers the role of informality in the development of an effective public policy.
本文探讨了为减少COVID-19病毒传播而采取的居家隔离政策(被视为一项公共政策)与它如何影响非正式劳动力部门之间的关系,以及墨西哥各州个人对大流行的反应。应用面板向量自回归(PVAR)对不同程度的非正式性形成面板表明,随着非正式性的减少,公共政策变得更加有效。此外,个人对大流行传播增加的反应取决于非正式程度:在非正式率较低的州,个人对住宅限制的集中度较高作出反应。但对于非正式程度较高的州,证据并不显著。本文考虑了非正式性在制定有效公共政策中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
El teorema Modigliani-Miller: un análisis desde la estructura de capital mediante modelos Data Mining en pymes del sector comercio 莫迪利亚尼-米勒定理:商业中小企业数据挖掘模型的资本结构分析
Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.3
Oscar López-Solís, Alexander Fernando Haro Sarango, Ana Córdova-Pacheco, Juan Pérez-Briceño
En el origen y evolución de las finanzas ha resultado oportuno alinear la teoría con la práctica, con el fin de  promover argumentos sólidos. Sin embargo, esta  perspectiva está lejos de ser aplicada, ya que es común que se empleen los aspectos prácticos sin adherir a su interpretación las hipótesis teóricas sobre la influencia, relación y asociatividad de los términos. En este sentido, este estudio se plantea como objetivo evaluar si el teorema Modigliani-Miller y sus supuestos son aplicables a las pymes pertenecientes al sector comercio del Ecuador. Para ello se usan dos etapas metodológicas. En primer lugar, se utilizan con modelos no supervisados mediante Partitioning Around Medoids, con el fin de clasificar y aumentar la homogeneidad en la interpretación de modelos. Y, en segundo lugar, se emplean modelos de interpretación lineal clasificados con el objeto de explicar la relación subyacente de los diversos indicadores con la estructura de capital. Con las iteraciones se puede concluir que la teoría que mayor adaptabilidad posee en este grupo de empresas es la del trade-off, la cual sugiere que sí existe una estructura adecuada, que resulta de la combinación de factores financieros.
在金融的起源和演变过程中,将理论与实践相结合,以促进强有力的论点,是合适的。然而,这一观点远未得到应用,因为实践方面的使用往往不遵循关于术语的影响、关系和结合性的理论假设。因此,本文的目的是评估莫迪利亚尼-米勒定理及其假设是否适用于厄瓜多尔商业部门的中小企业。为此,采用了两个方法学步骤。首先,它们通过围绕Medoids的划分用于无监督模型,以分类和增加模型解释的同质性。其次,使用分类线性解释模型来解释各种指标与资本结构的潜在关系。通过迭代,我们可以得出结论,在这组公司中,适应性更强的理论是权衡理论,这表明存在一个适当的结构,这是金融因素组合的结果。
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引用次数: 1
The Effect of Wages on Human Capital and its Virtuous Dynamic Cycle 工资对人力资本的影响及其良性动态循环
Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.4
Jacques Lartigue Mendoza, Salomón Domínguez
This paper provides economic theory with a dynamic structural model that mathematically proves both a positive effect of wages on the workers’ human capital intertemporal investment decisions and the existence of a virtuous dynamic cycle between wages and human capital.Among the desired characteristics of the proposed model is that it has an analytical solution, permitting the  achievement of an optimal decision rule for each choice variable and the calibration of its parameters using observed data; this favors an easy implementation by policymakers and researchers. The constructed statistics and the results of the empirical application of the model, to the Mexican developing economy, support the  mathematical conclusions. The model predicts two  benchmark human capital gross returns and their  corresponding wages, by levels of education. Below the  second one, human capital coming from formal education  vanishes over time, due to investment not being enough to  offset its depreciation; below the first one, workers stop  investing in education. Unfortunately, around 40%  and 20% of Mexican workers are located below them,  respectively.
本文提出了一个动态结构模型,从数学上证明了工资对工人人力资本跨期投资决策的积极影响,以及工资与人力资本之间存在良性的动态循环。所提出的模型的期望特征之一是它具有解析解,允许为每个选择变量实现最优决策规则,并使用观测数据校准其参数;这有利于政策制定者和研究人员轻松实施。构建的统计数据和模型对墨西哥发展中经济体的实证应用结果支持了数学结论。该模型根据教育水平预测了两个基准人力资本总回报及其相应的工资。在第二种情况下,由于投资不足以抵消其贬值,来自正规教育的人力资本会随着时间的推移而消失;低于第一个,工人停止投资教育。不幸的是,大约40%和20%的墨西哥工人分别处于这两类人之下。
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引用次数: 0
Ibovespa’s response to the behavior of oil and ore prices during the international crisis caused by COVID-19 Ibovespa对2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)引发的国际危机期间石油和铁矿石价格走势的反应
Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v15.n1.2023.2
Jorge Luis Sánchez Arévalo, Alisson Maxwell Ferreira de Andrade, Elisabeth De Oliveira Vendramin
The systemic risk caused by COVID-19 affected all sectors of the economy, thus showing the vulnerability of some sectors in comparison to others. In this context, the supply shock experienced by the iron ore sector has drawn attention and resulted in a price increase. Linked to this, and in a negative way, oil prices fell due, among other factors, to the price war between producing countries.In this sense, this study analyses the volatility of the Brazilian stock market indicator in relation to the prices of the aforementioned products and the price of the dollar. The results show the importance of the price formation in these markets for the variation of the indicator. The appreciation of Brent oil and iron ore prices on the Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE), in China, caused the Ibovespa indicator to move in the same direction. In addition, in statistical terms, the study highlights the great importance of the exchange rate as a determinant in the variation of the indicator and, consequently, affecting the intention to invest.
新冠肺炎造成的系统性风险影响到所有经济部门,从而显示出某些部门相对于其他部门的脆弱性。在此背景下,铁矿石行业经历的供应冲击引起了人们的关注,并导致价格上涨。与此相关的是,除其他因素外,产油国之间的价格战是油价下跌的一个负面因素。在这个意义上,本研究分析了巴西股市指标的波动性与上述产品的价格和美元的价格。结果显示了这些市场的价格形成对指标变化的重要性。中国大连商品交易所(DCE)布伦特原油和铁矿石价格的升值,导致Ibovespa指标也向同一方向移动。此外,在统计方面,该研究强调了汇率作为指标变化的决定因素的重要性,从而影响了投资意愿。
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引用次数: 0
Los fallos de la integración económica internacional y de la gobernanza supranacional 国际经济一体化和超国家治理的失败
Pub Date : 2022-08-02 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v14.n2.2022.1
Joan Miguel Tejedor Estupiñán
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引用次数: 0
Reviewing Trade Openness, Domestic Investment, and Economic Growth Nexus: Contemporary Policy Implications for the MENA region 回顾贸易开放、国内投资和经济增长关系:对中东和北非地区的当代政策影响
Pub Date : 2022-07-25 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v14.n2.2022.7
Stephen Taiwo Onifade, Abdul Qahar Khatir, A. Ay, Murat Canitez
This study investigates the impact of trade openness on the economic performances of selected Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries while incorporating elements of domestic investment into the empirical analysis in the wake of dynamic sentiments for trade liberalization among nations in recent times. The study covers an empirical analysis of a panel of observations from the selected countries within the framework of the Fully Modified Least Square (FMOLS), and the Dynamic Ordinary Least Square (DOLS) regression techniques. The empirical results affirm the existence of a long-run relationship among the variables. However, while domestic investment and the size of the labor force significantly impact economic growth in the positive direction among these countries, trade openness was found to be negatively impacting on growth for the period of the study. It is therefore recommended that cogent effort should be directed towards investments that are crucial for the improvement of labor productivity and production value chains in the domestic economy to dissuade or minimize the rate of export of raw primary commodities. Also, adequate steps should be taken to improve the overall business environment, remove trade impediments, and strengthen institutions among the countries in the region to harness the benefits of trade in our increasingly globalized world.
本研究调查了贸易开放对选定的中东和北非(MENA)国家经济表现的影响,同时将国内投资因素纳入实证分析,以适应近年来各国之间贸易自由化的动态情绪。该研究包括在完全修正最小二乘(FMOLS)和动态普通最小二乘(DOLS)回归技术框架内对选定国家的一组观测结果进行实证分析。实证结果证实了各变量之间存在着长期的关系。然而,尽管国内投资和劳动力规模对这些国家的经济增长具有显著的正向影响,但在研究期间,我们发现贸易开放对经济增长具有负向影响。因此,建议采取切实措施,引导对提高国内经济劳动生产率和生产价值链至关重要的投资,以阻止或尽量减少原材料初级商品的出口。此外,应采取适当措施,改善总体营商环境,消除贸易障碍,加强区域各国之间的机制,以便在日益全球化的世界中利用贸易带来的好处。
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引用次数: 10
La diversidad de género y el rendimiento en el sector financiero ecuatoriano 厄瓜多尔金融部门的性别多样性和绩效
Pub Date : 2022-07-25 DOI: 10.14718/revfinanzpolitecon.v14.n2.2022.10
Edisson Coba, Jaime Díaz- Córdova, Geovany Carrion-Gavilanes, Daniela Chango-Casanova
El sector financiero se ha caracterizado históricamente por ser administrado por hombres. Para analizar si esta realidad persiste el presente trabajo tuvo por objetivo medir la diversidad de género y determinar el impacto en el rendimiento financiero. Se tomó una muestra de 31 cooperativas de ahorro y crédito del segmento I y también los 24 bancos privados del Ecuador. La diversidad de género se midió con tres indicadores: porcentaje de mujeres, Índice de BLAU y Shannon; y la variable rendimiento fue medida con el ROA y ROE y ratio de endeudamiento; que se relacionaron mediante modelos econométricos. Los resultados demuestran que las cooperativas tienen mayor diversidad de género que los bancos. Y la diversidad de género si incide en el ROA pero no en el ROE ni endeudamiento.
历史上,金融部门的特点是由男性管理。在过去的十年中,女性的财务表现有所改善,但在过去的十年中,女性的财务表现有所改善。本研究的目的是评估厄瓜多尔第一类储蓄和信贷合作社的社会经济状况。采用三个指标衡量性别多样性:女性百分比、布劳指数和香农指数;变量收益率用ROA、ROE和债务比率来衡量;通过计量经济学模型进行关联。在本研究中,我们分析了银行和合作社的性别多样性。性别多样性影响ROA,但不影响ROE或债务。
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引用次数: 0
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Revista Finanzas y Política Económica
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