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Leadership and Foreign Policy Decision-Making in the Next Innovation Wave 下一波创新浪潮中的领导力和外交政策决策
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2020.18.4.63.1
M. Suchkov, A. Sushentsov, A. Baykov
The evolution of digital technologies rooted in the transformation of the world into a holistic quantifiable system brings about foundational shifts in how an individuals interact with information. Current technological progress is cyclical in nature: emerging capabilities create different environment with new threats that prompt further search for technological solutions to address them, and occurs on two interwoven tracks: the increasing sophistication of the information system itself (better ways to collect, store and analyze data) and better means of human interaction with it (search engines, faster connection, more seamless interface with devices). Similar in scope to the spread of printed books, the digital transformation is still at its nascency: the “printing press” has been invented, but the humanity is yet to perfect it and experience the full array of social and political changes it is bound to incur. This article is an attempt to peek into such “digital future”. Taking stock of the observable trends it charts the course of major shifts in approaches to foreign policy and maps out possible impediments for effective leadership in the new era. The conceptualization of the transformations is picking up speed, yet main IR schools tackling dispersed aspects, such as the impact of digital technologies on the balance of power (realism), on the nature of government and international environment (liberalism) and on the interpretation of the emerging processes (constructivism), do not offer a comprehensive approach. At the same time despite the growing analyzability and, hence, rationality of the world the studies of the decision-making process still struggle to account for the “human nature” of state leadership. The futility of the attempts to measure irrationality underlines the core argument of the article – with the overall trend for deeper convergence between an information system and a human the emerging digital future will be determined by individuals, who will remain the ultimate stewards of international relations. As a result, the efficiency of leadership, including smart utilization of technological advances, will depend on the quality of “human capital” of elites. On the one hand, accessibility of information, faster data travel and the absence of physical boundaries in the digital space enhance analytical abilities of individuals and improve the quality of decisionmaking. On the other hand, the increasing effortlessness of retrieving, storing and disseminating information results in the shift of perspective: laborious process of developing a solution is substituted by search for the most acceptable alternative, solving a crisis is replaced with manipulating the perception of it, and the quality of decisions is judged not by long-term consequences but by immediate movements in opinion polls.
数字技术的发展植根于将世界转变为一个整体的可量化系统,这给个人与信息的互动方式带来了根本性的变化。当前的技术进步本质上是周期性的:新出现的能力创造了不同的环境,带来了新的威胁,促使人们进一步寻找解决这些威胁的技术解决方案,并出现在两个相互交织的轨道上:信息系统本身日益复杂(更好的收集、存储和分析数据的方法)和人类与之互动的更好手段(搜索引擎、更快的连接、与设备更无缝的接口)。与纸质书的传播范围类似,数字化转型仍处于起步阶段:“印刷机”已经被发明出来,但人类尚未完善它,也尚未经历它必然带来的一系列社会和政治变革。本文试图窥探这种“数字化的未来”。报告总结了可观察到的趋势,描绘了外交政策方针的重大转变过程,并指出了在新时代有效领导可能遇到的障碍。转型的概念化正在加速,但主要的国际关系学派处理分散的方面,如数字技术对权力平衡的影响(现实主义),对政府和国际环境的性质(自由主义)以及对新兴过程的解释(建构主义),并没有提供一个全面的方法。与此同时,尽管世界的可分析性越来越强,因此也越来越理性,但对决策过程的研究仍然难以解释国家领导的“人性”。衡量非理性的尝试是徒劳的,这突显了本文的核心论点——随着信息系统与人类之间更深层次融合的总体趋势,新兴的数字未来将由个人决定,而个人仍将是国际关系的最终管家。因此,领导的效率,包括对技术进步的明智利用,将取决于精英“人力资本”的质量。一方面,信息的可及性、更快的数据传输以及数字空间中物理边界的缺失增强了个人的分析能力,提高了决策质量。另一方面,检索、储存和传播信息越来越不费力,导致了观点的转变:寻找最可接受的替代办法取代了制定解决办法的费力过程,操纵对危机的看法取代了解决危机的过程,判断决策的质量不是根据长期后果,而是根据民意测验的即时变化。
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引用次数: 0
Amazon Cooperation Treaty Organization in the Context of Sustainable Development Goals 可持续发展目标背景下的亚马逊合作条约组织
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2020.18.4.63.3
B. Martynov, A. Borzova, B. Nekrasov
The article analyses with the use neoliberal theory of international relations the Amazon Cooperation Treaty Organization (ACTO) activities in the context of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). The purpose of this study is to show the interaction between the member-states within the framework of ACTO in matters of socio-economic and environmental problems in the Amazon Basin. The Sustainable Development Strategy has received support in Latin American region, where one can see a growing awareness that efficient response to new challenges requires increased action not only at the national, but also at the regional and global levels. Though the situation in a range of integration associations in Latin America impedes regional cooperation in the implementation of common programs aimed at promoting sustainable development, the ACTO activities become increasingly important in achieving the SDGs in one of the most vulnerable areas in the world – the Amazonia. This article covers for the first time the achievements of ACTO in the process of implementing the SDGs, interaction between countries in terms of ensuring multidimensional security in the Amazon Basin. At the same time it specifies areas where they need to make additional efforts. As a result of the study, we come to the following conclusions: 1) the problems of sustainable development specific to the Amazonian area have a cross-border and complex nature, which requires a joint policy of the Amazonian countries to solve them; 2) the mechanism of interaction between South American countries in the ACTO format is an important component in tackling socio-economic and environmental challenges in the Amazonian area; 3) thanks to the cooperation of ACTO with both governmental and non-governmental institutions and with extra-regional countries, joint projects are being implemented to address problems in the Amazonian area; 4) ACTO is an example of a supranational organization that contributes to the achievement of the SDGs, which has a positive impact on the process of achieving the SDGs by 2030 on a global scale.
本文运用新自由主义国际关系理论分析了可持续发展目标背景下亚马孙合作条约组织(ACTO)的活动。本研究的目的是显示各成员国在ACTO框架内在亚马逊流域社会经济和环境问题方面的相互作用。《可持续发展战略》在拉丁美洲区域得到了支持,在那里人们可以看到,人们日益认识到,有效应对新的挑战不仅需要在国家一级,而且需要在区域和全球各级加强行动。尽管拉丁美洲一系列一体化协会的情况阻碍了在实施旨在促进可持续发展的共同方案方面的区域合作,但ACTO的活动对于在世界上最脆弱的地区之一亚马逊地区实现可持续发展目标变得越来越重要。本文首次介绍了ACTO在落实可持续发展目标过程中取得的成就,以及各国在确保亚马逊流域多维安全方面的互动。同时,它还指明了他们需要作出额外努力的领域。研究得出以下结论:1)亚马逊地区特有的可持续发展问题具有跨界性和复杂性,需要亚马逊地区各国的共同政策来解决;2) ACTO形式的南美国家互动机制是应对亚马逊地区社会经济和环境挑战的重要组成部分;3)由于ACTO与政府和非政府机构以及与区域外国家的合作,正在执行联合项目,以解决亚马逊地区的问题;4) ACTO是一个有助于实现可持续发展目标的超国家组织的例子,它对到2030年在全球范围内实现可持续发展目标的进程具有积极影响。
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引用次数: 0
SOVIET-AMERICAN TALKS 1978–1979 ON PROHIBITION OF ANTISATELLITE WEAPONS 1978年至1979年,苏美就禁止反卫星武器举行会谈
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.1
V. Yungblyud, Artyom Zboyev
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引用次数: 0
Latin America in the Changing World 变化世界中的拉丁美洲
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.11
Yury Chebotaryev
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引用次数: 0
“We had several sources of inspiration…” “我们有几个灵感来源……”
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.9
K. Khudoley
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引用次数: 0
The Future of War and Wars of Future 战争的未来和未来的战争
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.10
M. Suchkov
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引用次数: 0
‘MADE IN TAJIKISTAN’. NATIONBUILDING IN THE THIRD MILLENNIUM 塔吉克斯坦制造。第三个千年的国家建设
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.6
A. Skiperskikh
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引用次数: 0
ISLAM AND POLITICS IN A MUSLIM SOCIETY 伊斯兰教和穆斯林社会中的政治
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.5
L. Efimova
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引用次数: 2
ANALYSTS OR COMMENTATORS? THE EU THINK TANKS ON SANCTIONING RUSSIA 分析师还是评论员?欧盟智库对制裁俄罗斯的看法
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.7
A. Nevskaya
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引用次数: 0
INTERNATIONAL BEST PRACTICES OF R&D PUBLIC FUNDING 研发公共资助的国际最佳实践
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2019-10-01 DOI: 10.17994/it.2019.17.1.56.3
V. Usoskin, Veronika Belousova, Nikolay Chichkanov
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引用次数: 3
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Mezhdunarodnye Protsessy
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