The endemic Manyara tilapia (Oreochromis amphimelas), confined to Tanzania's saline Rift Valley lakes (SRVLs), occurs in small, geographically isolated populations. This limited distribution, combined with recurrent droughts and intense fishing pressure, increases its vulnerability to inbreeding and genetic erosion. The introduction of non-native Nile tilapia (O. niloticus) into some SRVLs further risks introgressive hybridization. Despite these threats, information on the genetic status of Manyara tilapia in SRVLs remains scarce. In this study, we genotyped seven microsatellite loci in 123 individuals of both O. amphimelas and O. niloticus sampled from three SRVLs to test two hypotheses: (i) that O. amphimelas populations exhibit elevated inbreeding, and (ii) that introgressive hybridization has occurred between the two species. The results showed that O. amphimelas had lower genetic diversity and higher inbreeding (FIS) across all sampled SRVLs than O. niloticus, which exhibited non-significant FIS in all lakes except Lake Kitangiri. STRUCTURE and snapclust analyses identified two distinct genetic clusters corresponding to the two species in each lake, with most individuals clearly assigned to their respective clusters. However, several individuals in Lake Kitangiri exhibited intermediate ancestry proportions from both species, indicating ongoing hybridization. Because no populations of O. amphimelas exist outside the Tanzanian SRVLs to replenish genetic diversity, continued inbreeding and hybridization may progressively erode the species' evolutionary potential, ultimately leading to its extinction. We recommend preventing the further spread of O. niloticus into uninvaded SRVLs and safeguarding dry-season refugia by designating them as exclusion zones or implementing temporary fishing closures during the dry season.
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