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Liberalization and the volatility of gas prices: Exploring their relation in times of abundance and scarcity 自由化和天然气价格的波动:探索它们在丰富和稀缺时期的关系
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1177/17835917231180839
Roberto Cardinale
Agencies and analysts attribute the current volatility of natural gas prices to a temporary convergence of exogenous shocks such as the post-COVID-19 economic recovery and the conflict in Ukraine. This paper hypothesizes that long-term structural and policy factors endogenous to the energy sector also play a relevant role. Through a case study of three major gas markets – UK, US, and EU – the paper finds that countries characterized by abundant domestic production are less exposed to price volatility as they benefit from lower market uncertainty and asset specificity. This encourages energy firms to outsource production and rely on more flexible and shorter-term contracts. A structural condition of abundance supported by liberalization policies and a developed infrastructure network allows energy firms to easily switch suppliers or buyers without being exposed to the opportunistic behavior of the commercial counterparty, increasing market competition and reducing prices. By contrast, import-dependent countries face greater uncertainty and asset specificity, as supplies and prices are not guaranteed and they heavily depend from trends in international markets. In this context, the contractual and structural flexibility brought about by liberalization policies may expose to further insecurity of supply and volatility of prices, as exporters are contractually disengaged from commitments on volumes and prices. In periods of international scarcity, they may redirect supplies to importers that offer a premium in price. This suggests that import-dependent countries could reduce their exposure to price volatility (i) by increasing domestic production (ii) while envisaging the coexistence of contractual models based on both market competition and vertical integration, to take advantage from low spot prices in periods of international abundance and contain the surge in periods of scarcity.
机构和分析师将当前天然气价格的波动归因于外部冲击的暂时收敛,如新冠肺炎疫情后的经济复苏和乌克兰冲突。本文假设,能源部门内生的长期结构和政策因素也发挥了相关作用。通过对英国、美国和欧盟三个主要天然气市场的案例研究,论文发现,国内产量丰富的国家较少受到价格波动的影响,因为它们受益于较低的市场不确定性和资产特异性。这鼓励能源公司将生产外包,并依赖更灵活、更短期的合同。自由化政策和发达的基础设施网络支持的丰富的结构性条件使能源公司能够轻松地更换供应商或买家,而不会受到商业对手的机会主义行为的影响,从而增加市场竞争并降低价格。相比之下,依赖进口的国家面临着更大的不确定性和资产的特殊性,因为供应和价格没有保障,而且它们严重依赖国际市场的趋势。在这种情况下,自由化政策带来的合同和结构灵活性可能导致供应进一步不安全和价格波动,因为出口商在合同上不履行对数量和价格的承诺。在国际稀缺时期,他们可能会将供应转向价格溢价的进口商。这表明,依赖进口的国家可以通过增加国内生产来减少价格波动的风险,同时设想基于市场竞争和垂直一体化的合同模式共存,以利用国际富裕时期的低现货价格,并遏制稀缺时期的激增。
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引用次数: 1
Digitalizing infrastructure, digital platforms and public services 数字化基础设施、数字平台和公共服务
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-02-04 DOI: 10.1177/17835917231156099
M. Finger, Juan J. Montero
This article discusses the challenges posed to the traditional, physically delivered public services as a result of their digitalization, something that mainly concerns infrastructure public services in the transport, the energy, and the communications sectors. In addition, it assesses whether the digital interfaces that increasingly intermediate between the traditional, physical public services and the citizens also have public service features and, as a consequence, should be regulated accordingly. The article first clarifies the concept of public service in the context of the liberalization of the infrastructure sectors, sectors in which public services had come to play an important role over time. It then explains how to conceptualize digitalization and its effects on physical services providers by paying particular attention to the business model of the digital platforms. It furthermore examines how digitalization affects the traditional physical public services and whether the digital platforms in the concerned infrastructures could have public service features. In the concluding section it discusses remedies.
本文讨论了数字化给传统的实体公共服务带来的挑战,主要涉及交通、能源和通信部门的基础设施公共服务。此外,它还评估了越来越多地介于传统、实体公共服务和公民之间的数字接口是否也具有公共服务特征,因此应该相应地加以规范。文章首先在基础设施部门自由化的背景下澄清了公共服务的概念,随着时间的推移,公共服务在这些部门中发挥了重要作用。然后,通过特别关注数字平台的商业模式,解释了如何概念化数字化及其对物理服务提供商的影响。进一步探讨数字化如何影响传统的实体公共服务,以及相关基础设施中的数字平台是否具有公共服务特征。在结论部分讨论了补救措施。
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引用次数: 0
What is the real power of incumbents? Case study on the Czech Republic 现任者的真正权力是什么?捷克共和国案例研究
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-29 DOI: 10.1177/17835917231153063
Jakub Chini, Martin Kvizda, Ondřej Špetík
After an introduction of competition due to liberalisation, there is an expectation of lower prices and better quality. However, these overall positive effects could be also driven by the incumbent’s incentive to exclude competition within the liberalised markets. Such a situation occurred on the Prague-Ostrava line where liberalisation brought lower prices and an increase in quality. However, it also brought multiple accusations by both the Czech competition authority and the European Commission of the state-owned incumbent, České dráhy, that it had engaged in predatory pricing. This paper then assesses whether the price decreases within this line were driven by actual competition or by predatory behaviour of České dráhy by analysing the position of České dráhy. The aim of this paper therefore is to assess the real market power of the Czech state incumbent, České dráhy, on the Prague-Ostrava line. To achieve this aim, we used unique data we had gathered from our previous research (such as price development, market shares and customer behaviour). Our results then show that it is unlikely that České dráhy could have acted independently of its competitors and customers, which indicates that it could not have had a dominant position.
在由于自由化而引入竞争之后,人们期望价格更低、质量更好。然而,这些总体积极影响也可能是由现任者在自由化市场中排除竞争的动机所驱动的。这种情况发生在布拉格-俄斯特拉发线,那里的自由化带来了更低的价格和质量的提高。然而,捷克竞争管理局和欧盟委员会也多次指控国有现任总统Českédráhy参与掠夺性定价。然后,本文通过分析Českédráhy的立场,评估了这一范围内的价格下跌是由实际竞争还是由Čescédrá的掠夺行为驱动的。因此,本文的目的是评估捷克现任总统Českédráhy在布拉格-俄斯特拉发线上的实际市场力量。为了实现这一目标,我们使用了从之前的研究中收集的独特数据(如价格发展、市场份额和客户行为)。我们的结果表明,Českédráhy不太可能独立于竞争对手和客户行事,这表明它不可能占据主导地位。
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引用次数: 0
Data governance: Digital product passports as a case study 数据治理:以数字产品护照为例
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2023-01-18 DOI: 10.1177/17835917231152799
C. Ducuing, R. H. Reich
The circular economy (‘CE’) is a political goal to shift the economy towards a more circular and sustainable one. Data sharing shall close information gaps in the predominant economy and, hence, form the backbone of the transition to a CE. As part of the recent legislative proposals from the EC, “digital product passports” (‘DPPs’) are expected to constitute one-stop shops for such data and information delivery. The principal idea of DPPs is to provide product information to interested stakeholders within and outside the product value chain. However, many challenges arise with DPPs, in particular how to reconcile a broad (if no ‘open’) access to data while preserving the (legally protected) interests of certain actors, and the lack of trust concerning data use and quality between the actors. Our hypothesis are (i.) that such challenges are related to the absence of an appropriate (data) governance model for DPPs and (ii.) that data governance as a main concern within the data economy agenda could inform the regulation and operationalisation of DPPs. We analyse the – lack of - (data) governance of DPPs, both in the literature and in the recent legislative proposals from the EC. We find that data governance is significantly overlooked or considered only from a pure technological perspective (techno-solutionism), which is likely to jeopardise DPPs. As both a confirmation and a way forward, we establish connections to data governance as per the data economy agenda. In turn, the analysis of DPPs governance informs the general discussion on data governance.
循环经济是一个政治目标,旨在使经济朝着更循环、更可持续的方向发展。数据共享将缩小主导经济体的信息差距,从而成为向CE过渡的支柱。作为欧盟委员会最近立法提案的一部分,“数字产品护照”有望成为此类数据和信息传递的一站式商店。DPP的主要思想是向产品价值链内外的利益相关者提供产品信息。然而,DPP面临着许多挑战,特别是如何在维护某些行为者(受法律保护)利益的同时,协调对数据的广泛访问(如果没有“开放”的话),以及行为者之间对数据使用和质量缺乏信任。我们的假设是:(i)此类挑战与DP缺乏适当的(数据)治理模型有关;(ii)数据治理作为数据经济议程中的主要问题,可以为DP的监管和运营提供信息。我们在文献和欧盟委员会最近的立法提案中分析了DPP缺乏(数据)治理的问题。我们发现,数据治理被严重忽视或仅从纯粹的技术角度考虑(技术解决方案主义),这可能会危及DPP。作为一种确认和前进的道路,我们根据数据经济议程建立与数据治理的联系。反过来,DPP治理的分析为数据治理的一般性讨论提供了信息。
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引用次数: 3
Determinants of internet adoption in Turkey and the need for a more coherent vision on information and communication technologies policy 土耳其互联网采用的决定因素以及对信息和通信技术政策更一致愿景的需求
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-12-01 DOI: 10.1177/17835917221143060
Deniz Ece Dalgic-Tetikol, B. Guloglu, Emin Köksal
Digital transformation offers tremendous opportunities for emerging economies like Turkey. However, the full potential of digital advancements can only be achieved with the widespread adoption of digital technologies, which depends on the capable delivery of information and communication technologies (ICT) and their effective usability. Despite increased Internet penetration rates in Turkey in recent years, disparities in Internet adoption continue to persist. This study investigates whether and to what extent key demographic and socioeconomic factors are associated with the first-level digital divide in Turkey. The phenomenon is discussed in three aspects: device access, Internet access, and Internet use. The findings demonstrate that the vast majority of people in Turkey have Internet-enabled devices, mainly smartphones. Age, income, and education are significant predictors of Internet access. However, even when access is available, large disparities exist among gender, age, income, education, and employment groups in terms of Internet use. Moreover, our findings reveal significant regional differences in both Internet access and use. The results point to the need for a more coherent vision on ICT policies such that the need for demand-side programs are intended to stimulate broadband adoption widely by those groups. This paper provides useful pointers that can facilitate further academic research and structural decisions among policy-makers, by emphasizing the high-priority target groups.
数字化转型为土耳其等新兴经济体提供了巨大的机遇。然而,只有广泛采用数字技术,才能充分发挥数字进步的潜力,而这取决于信息通信技术的有效提供及其有效可用性。尽管近年来土耳其的互联网普及率有所提高,但互联网采用方面的差距仍然存在。本研究调查了关键的人口和社会经济因素是否以及在多大程度上与土耳其的第一级数字鸿沟相关。从设备接入、Internet接入和Internet使用三个方面对这种现象进行了讨论。调查结果表明,土耳其绝大多数人都有可以上网的设备,主要是智能手机。年龄、收入和教育程度是互联网接入的重要预测因素。然而,即使有互联网接入,性别、年龄、收入、教育和就业群体在互联网使用方面仍存在巨大差异。此外,我们的研究结果揭示了互联网接入和使用的显著区域差异。结果表明,需要对信息通信技术政策有一个更一致的愿景,以便需要需求方计划,以刺激这些群体广泛采用宽带。本文通过强调高优先级目标群体,为进一步的学术研究和政策制定者的结构性决策提供了有用的指导。
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引用次数: 0
The Data Governance Act: – Promoting or Restricting Data Intermediaries? 数据治理法案:促进还是限制数据中介?
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-11-19 DOI: 10.1177/17835917221141324
Lukas von Ditfurth, Gregor Lienemann
Following its approval by the European Parliament in April 2022, the Data Governance Act (DGA) is the first legislative instrument announced in the European Data Strategy to come into force. Aimed at facilitating the re-use and sharing of data in and between the private and public sectors, the DGA introduces regulation for a newly emerging type of digital platforms – the so-called “providers of data intermediation services”. In order to offer their services on the market, providers will have to submit to a prior notification procedure and show compliance with several conditions placed on their economic activities. The regulation of data intermediaries is intended to increase their trustworthiness and ensure the competitiveness of the markets in which they operate. Recent experiences with digital platforms have shown the potential of intermediaries to organise and facilitate markets. At the same time, digital platforms pose undeniable risks to their users and markets at large. Against this backdrop, the role of data intermediaries as envisioned by the DGA must be examined carefully before turning to the question whether the DGA can achieve competitive and trustworthy data sharing through registered third parties. This paper intends to shed light on these and other issues by examining, in-depth, the chapter in the DGA dedicated to data intermediaries (Art. 10–15) from a legal, policy and competition economics perspective. In particular, this paper explores how the experiences made with large-scale digital platforms have shaped the DGA. Thereby, this paper aims to contribute towards a holistic understanding of these provisions as a basis for an informed discussion on the legal framework and on possible alternatives.
在欧洲议会于2022年4月批准后,《数据治理法案》(DGA)是《欧洲数据战略》中宣布生效的第一个立法文书。为了促进公营和私营部门之间的数据重用和共享,《条例》为一种新兴的数字平台——所谓的“数据中介服务提供商”——引入了监管。为了在市场上提供服务,提供者必须遵守事先通知程序,并遵守对其经济活动规定的若干条件。对数据中介机构的监管旨在提高其可信度,并确保其所在市场的竞争力。最近数字平台的经验表明,中介机构在组织和促进市场方面具有潜力。与此同时,数字平台对其用户和整个市场构成了不可否认的风险。在此背景下,必须仔细审查数据中介机构所设想的数据中介机构的角色,然后再转向数据中介机构是否可以通过注册第三方实现竞争性和可信赖的数据共享的问题。本文打算从法律、政策和竞争经济学的角度,通过深入研究DGA中专门讨论数据中介机构的章节(第10-15条),来阐明这些问题和其他问题。本文特别探讨了大规模数字平台的经验如何塑造了DGA。因此,本文旨在促进对这些规定的全面理解,作为就法律框架和可能的替代办法进行知情讨论的基础。
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引用次数: 1
The economics of 5G-based network slicing in smart network industries 智能网络行业中基于5G的网络切片的经济学
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-10-21 DOI: 10.1177/17835917221135507
Guenter Knieps
The transition towards 5G-based smart network industries is concomitant with a fundamental change of the traditional physical infrastructures driven by digitalization which pervades all decision-relevant components of the infrastructure value chains. The goal of this paper is to develop a network economic foundation for 5G-based network slicing based on a generalization of the concept of virtual networks combining a required sequence of virtual networks in order to fulfill the necessities of smart network industries. The key concept to analyze the economic incentives of the different actors involved is the well-established concept of opportunity costs of usage of scarce network resources. The allocation problem of traffic service providers fundamentally differs from the allocation problem of virtual network providers. Whereas interoperability and interconnection between different virtual networks are not standardized significant standardization efforts via network slicing can be observed in particular from the perspective of end-to-end QoS guarantees. 5G-based big data use cases with cross-border challenges for network slicing, and the subsequent interoperability of virtual networks, enable tremendous potential for innovation in smart physical infrastructures. The 5G-based European Future Railway Mobile Communication System and cross-border oriented, 5G-based connected, cooperative, and automated mobility applications are investigated with a large and open set of heterogeneous use cases requiring cross-border standardization of QoS-differentiated network slices.
向基于5g的智能网络产业转型,伴随着数字化推动的传统物理基础设施的根本性变革,数字化渗透到基础设施价值链中所有与决策相关的组件。本文的目标是在概括虚拟网络概念的基础上,结合所需的虚拟网络序列,为基于5g的网络切片开发网络经济基础,以满足智能网络行业的需求。分析不同参与者的经济激励的关键概念是使用稀缺网络资源的机会成本这一公认的概念。流量服务提供商的分配问题与虚拟网络提供商的分配问题有着本质的区别。尽管不同虚拟网络之间的互操作性和互连没有标准化,但可以通过网络切片观察到重要的标准化工作,特别是从端到端QoS保证的角度来看。基于5g的大数据用例面临着网络切片的跨界挑战,以及随后虚拟网络的互操作性,为智能物理基础设施的创新提供了巨大潜力。基于5g的欧洲未来铁路移动通信系统和面向跨境的、基于5g的连接、协作和自动化移动应用,通过大量开放的异构用例进行研究,这些用例需要qos差异化网络切片的跨境标准化。
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引用次数: 0
A Difference-In-Difference Approach to Estimate the Price Effect of Market Entry in High-Speed Rail 高铁市场准入价格效应的差分法估计
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1177/17835917221088770
P. Beria, S. Tolentino, Evgeniia Shtele, V. Lunkar
The effect of competition on prices in the passenger transport sector can be difficult to estimate because of many influencing factors such as state regulation, demand, seasonality, and reactions of indirect competitors. A case of great interest in the rail sector is Italy, where on-track competition in the high-speed segment has been in place for nearly ten years. The paper aims at answering the question whether—and how much—incumbent’s prices are affected when competition starts on a route previously in monopoly. The case is the start of operations on the Turin–Milan–Venice route, where Italo entered in May 2018. Adopting a difference-in-difference approach, we check if Trenitalia changed the price strategy on the route before and after the entry, with respect to two control groups. The addition of placebo tests allows us to understand the ranges of significance of the results and to estimate the noise level of the estimates. Our findings suggest that the start of competition led to lower prices in the short-medium period. In the specific case, the Milano–Venezia route saw Trenitalia’s prices reduced by 21–26% (±2–5%) in a time span of 84–140 days after Italo’s entry and for advanced bookings from 2 to 10 days. Last-day prices remain unchanged, while early bookings are reduced by just 9%. This price reduction does not remain stable in the longer term, when other effects add up and blur the effect of the entry. Nevertheless, we keep observing a smaller, ∼15%, but still negative prices change.
由于许多影响因素,如国家管制、需求、季节性和间接竞争者的反应,竞争对客运部门价格的影响很难估计。意大利的铁路部门是一个非常有趣的例子,该国高速铁路领域的轨道竞争已经存在了近十年。这篇论文的目的是回答这样一个问题:当竞争开始在以前处于垄断状态的路线上时,在位者的价格是否会受到影响——以及影响程度有多大。本案是都灵-米兰-威尼斯航线的开始运营,Italo于2018年5月进入该航线。采用差异中的差异方法,我们检查了意大利铁路公司是否在进入之前和之后改变了路线上的价格策略,相对于两个对照组。安慰剂试验的增加使我们能够理解结果的显著性范围,并估计估计的噪声水平。我们的研究结果表明,竞争的开始导致了中短期内价格的下降。具体来说,米兰-威尼斯航线的价格在ititalo进入后的84-140天内下降了21-26%(±2 - 5%),提前预订的价格在2 - 10天内下降。最后一天的价格保持不变,而提前预订仅减少了9%。这种降价在长期内不会保持稳定,因为其他影响加起来会模糊进入的影响。尽管如此,我们仍然观察到较小的(约15%)价格变化,但仍然是负的。
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引用次数: 3
Rail policies in Turkey after 2002: Is there a modal shift? 2002年后土耳其的铁路政策:是否有模式转变?
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-07-03 DOI: 10.1177/17835917221112104
A. Solak
Since 2002, the Turkish government has increased its interest in rail transport after neglecting it for more than half a century. The government invested significant sums in the high-speed network and allocated substantial funds for the modernization of conventional rail infrastructure, the expansion of the network, and the construction of logistics centers. In addition, in 2013, the government restructured the rail market and opened it to competition. This paper examines recent rail policy in terms of modal shift to determine whether there is a radical shift in national transportation policy, which has been dominated by road programs. Despite significant steps to help rail achieve a breakthrough, our analysis does not show a strong shift in investment priorities that would lead to modal shift.
自2002年以来,土耳其政府在忽视铁路运输半个多世纪后,增加了对铁路运输的兴趣。政府在高速铁路网上投入了大量资金,并拨出大量资金用于常规铁路基础设施的现代化、铁路网的扩建和物流中心的建设。此外,2013年,政府对铁路市场进行了重组,并向竞争开放。本文从模式转变的角度考察了最近的铁路政策,以确定国家交通政策是否发生了根本性转变,而国家交通政策一直由公路项目主导。尽管采取了重大措施帮助铁路实现突破,但我们的分析并未显示投资重点的强烈转变会导致模式转变。
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引用次数: 0
Regulatory approaches to rail competitive entries 铁路竞争进入的监管方法
Q3 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2022-06-02 DOI: 10.1177/17835917221106071
Z. Tomes
This paper reviews the regulatory approaches to open access passenger rail competition. This kind of competition has developed substantially in the EU during the past decade. There have been major entries into the national main lines in Italy, Austria, the Czech Republic, and Sweden. These entries have been very popular with passengers and rail ridership has gone up substantially. However, there have also been costs to these entries. The operations of the new entrants are diminishing economies of density, leading to higher unit costs. Further challenges include cherry-picking behaviour, scarce infrastructure capacity, tariff disintegration, and long-term sustainability. The major question is whether the social benefits outweigh the costs. This paper aims to review emerging evidence in the field of open access entries and approaches to their regulation. The scope of this paper is open access passenger rail entries in Europe after 2000 with a particular emphasis on the major entries that took place in Italy, Austria, the Czech Republic, and Sweden after 2011. The contribution of this article to the existing literature is threefold. Firstly, it provides an up-to-date review of open access entries in Europe. Secondly, it combines the results of simulation studies with empirical evidence to provide an overview of market impacts. Lastly, it reviews the spectrum of regulatory approaches.
本文综述了开放铁路客运竞争的监管方法。在过去的十年里,这种竞争在欧盟得到了极大的发展。意大利、奥地利、捷克共和国和瑞典的国家干线都有主要的入口。这些入口非常受乘客欢迎,铁路客流量大幅上升。然而,这些条目也有成本。新进入者的运营正在减少密度经济,导致更高的单位成本。进一步的挑战包括择优行为、基础设施能力不足、关税解体以及长期可持续性。主要的问题是社会效益是否大于成本。本文旨在回顾开放获取条目及其监管方法领域的新证据。本文的研究范围是2000年后欧洲开放的客运铁路项目,特别强调了2011年后意大利、奥地利、捷克共和国和瑞典的主要项目。本文对现有文献的贡献有三个方面。首先,它提供了欧洲开放获取条目的最新回顾。其次,将模拟研究结果与实证证据相结合,对市场影响进行概述。最后,它回顾了监管方法的范围。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Competition and Regulation in Network Industries
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