Pub Date : 2025-02-05DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024251
G Yang, A He, Y Li, S Lü, M Chen, L Tian, Q Liu, L Duan, Y Lu, J Yang, S Li, X Zhou, J Wang, S Zhang
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the global burden of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) from 1990 to 2021 and predict the trends in the burden of VL from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into global VL prevention and control.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of VL and their 95% uncertainty intervals (<i>UI</i>) were captured from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data resources. The trends in the global burden of VL were evaluated with average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (<i>CI</i>) from 1990 to 2021, and gender-, age-, country-, geographical area- and socio-demographic index (SDI)-stratified burdens of VL were analyzed. The trends in the global burden of VL were projected with a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035, and the associations of age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs rates of VL with SDI levels were examined with a smoothing spline model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The global age-standardized incidence [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-0.25%, -0.24%)], prevalence [AAPC = -0.06%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-0.06%, -0.06%)], mortality [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-0.25%, -0.24%)] and DALYs rates of VL [AAPC = -2.38%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-2.44%, -2.33%)] all appeared a tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, and the highest age-standardized incidence [2.55/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (1.49/10<sup>5</sup>, 4.07/10<sup>5</sup>)], prevalence [0.64/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.37/10<sup>5</sup>, 1.02/10<sup>5</sup>)], mortality [0.51/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0, 1.80/10<sup>5</sup>)] and DALYs rates of VL [33.81/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.06/10<sup>5</sup>, 124.09/10<sup>5</sup>)] were seen in tropical Latin America in 2021. The global age-standardized incidence and prevalence of VL were both higher among men [0.57/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.45/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.72/10<sup>5</sup>); 0.14/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.11/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.18/10<sup>5</sup>)] than among women [0.27/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.21/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.33/10<sup>5</sup>); 0.06/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.05/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.08/10<sup>5</sup>)], and the highest mortality of VL was found among children under 5 years of age [0.24/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.08/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.66/10<sup>5</sup>)]. The age-standardized incidence (<i>r</i> = -0.483, <i>P</i> < 0.001), prevalence (<i>r</i> = -0.483, <i>P</i> < 0.001), mortality (<i>r</i> = -0.511, <i>P</i> < 0.001) and DALYs rates of VL (<i>r</i> = -0.514, <i>P</i> < 0.001) correlated negatively with SDI levels from 1990 to 2021. In addition, the global burden of VL was projected with the BAPC model to appear a tendency towards a decline from 2022 to 2035, and the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALYs rates were projected to be reduced to 0.11/
{"title":"[Trends in global burden due to visceral leishmaniasis from 1990 to 2021 and projections up to 2035].","authors":"G Yang, A He, Y Li, S Lü, M Chen, L Tian, Q Liu, L Duan, Y Lu, J Yang, S Li, X Zhou, J Wang, S Zhang","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024251","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.16250/j.32.1915.2024251","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the global burden of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) from 1990 to 2021 and predict the trends in the burden of VL from 2022 to 2035, so as to provide insights into global VL prevention and control.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates of VL and their 95% uncertainty intervals (<i>UI</i>) were captured from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) data resources. The trends in the global burden of VL were evaluated with average annual percent change (AAPC) and 95% confidence interval (<i>CI</i>) from 1990 to 2021, and gender-, age-, country-, geographical area- and socio-demographic index (SDI)-stratified burdens of VL were analyzed. The trends in the global burden of VL were projected with a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model from 2022 to 2035, and the associations of age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALYs rates of VL with SDI levels were examined with a smoothing spline model.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The global age-standardized incidence [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-0.25%, -0.24%)], prevalence [AAPC = -0.06%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-0.06%, -0.06%)], mortality [AAPC = -0.25%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-0.25%, -0.24%)] and DALYs rates of VL [AAPC = -2.38%, 95% <i>CI</i>: (-2.44%, -2.33%)] all appeared a tendency towards a decline from 1990 to 2021, and the highest age-standardized incidence [2.55/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (1.49/10<sup>5</sup>, 4.07/10<sup>5</sup>)], prevalence [0.64/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.37/10<sup>5</sup>, 1.02/10<sup>5</sup>)], mortality [0.51/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0, 1.80/10<sup>5</sup>)] and DALYs rates of VL [33.81/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.06/10<sup>5</sup>, 124.09/10<sup>5</sup>)] were seen in tropical Latin America in 2021. The global age-standardized incidence and prevalence of VL were both higher among men [0.57/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.45/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.72/10<sup>5</sup>); 0.14/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.11/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.18/10<sup>5</sup>)] than among women [0.27/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.21/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.33/10<sup>5</sup>); 0.06/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.05/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.08/10<sup>5</sup>)], and the highest mortality of VL was found among children under 5 years of age [0.24/10<sup>5</sup>, 95% <i>UI</i>: (0.08/10<sup>5</sup>, 0.66/10<sup>5</sup>)]. The age-standardized incidence (<i>r</i> = -0.483, <i>P</i> < 0.001), prevalence (<i>r</i> = -0.483, <i>P</i> < 0.001), mortality (<i>r</i> = -0.511, <i>P</i> < 0.001) and DALYs rates of VL (<i>r</i> = -0.514, <i>P</i> < 0.001) correlated negatively with SDI levels from 1990 to 2021. In addition, the global burden of VL was projected with the BAPC model to appear a tendency towards a decline from 2022 to 2035, and the age-standardized incidence, prevalence, mortality and DALYs rates were projected to be reduced to 0.11/","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"37 1","pages":"35-43"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144033245","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-27DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024201
Z Li, Y Liu, Y Guo, Z Wei, J Chen, Q Wang, T Li, S Li
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the factors affecting the distribution of <i>Pomacea</i> and project the trends in the spread of suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> in 2050 and 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, so as to provide insights into <i>Pomacea</i> control in the prefecture.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The longitudes and latitudes of <i>Pomacea</i> sampling sites were captured based on <i>Pomacea</i> field survey data in 12 cities (counties) of Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture from 2023 to 2024. A total of 19 climatic factors (annual mean temperature, mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature annual range, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest month, mean temperature of the coldest month, annual precipitation, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation of the driest month, precipitation seasonality, precipitation of the wettest quarter, precipitation of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, and mean temperature of the coldest quarter) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) were retrieved from the world climate database (www.worldclim.org). All climatic variables were employed to create a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The predictive accuracy of the model was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and the contributions of these 19 climatic factors to the distribution of <i>Pomacea</i> were analyzed in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture using Jackknife test. In addition, the suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> were predicted with the MaxEnt model in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024 and in 2050 and 2070 under RCP4.5.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Data pertaining to 91 <i>Pomacea</i> sampling sites were captured. ROC analysis revealed the MaxEnt model had an AUC value of 0.885 ± 0.088 for predicting the suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture. Of the 19 climatic factors, the maximum temperature of the warmest month had the highest contribution to the distribution of <i>Pomacea</i> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, followed by mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the wettest quarter and minimum temperature of the coldest month. The suitable distribution area of <i>Pomacea</i> was predicted to be 14 555.69 km<sup>2</sup> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024, and would expand gradually to the southeastern part of the prefecture in the future due to climatic factors. The suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> were projected to expand to 21 475.61 km<sup>2</sup> in 2050 and 25 782.52 km<sup>2</sup> in 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Temperature is an important contributor to the distribution of <i>P
{"title":"[Factors affecting <i>Pomacea</i> distribution and prediction of suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture of Yunnan Province].","authors":"Z Li, Y Liu, Y Guo, Z Wei, J Chen, Q Wang, T Li, S Li","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024201","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.16250/j.32.1915.2024201","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the factors affecting the distribution of <i>Pomacea</i> and project the trends in the spread of suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> in 2050 and 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, so as to provide insights into <i>Pomacea</i> control in the prefecture.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The longitudes and latitudes of <i>Pomacea</i> sampling sites were captured based on <i>Pomacea</i> field survey data in 12 cities (counties) of Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture from 2023 to 2024. A total of 19 climatic factors (annual mean temperature, mean diurnal range, isothermality, temperature seasonality, maximum temperature of the warmest month, minimum temperature of the coldest month, temperature annual range, mean temperature of the wettest quarter, mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest month, mean temperature of the coldest month, annual precipitation, precipitation of the wettest month, precipitation of the driest month, precipitation seasonality, precipitation of the wettest quarter, precipitation of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the warmest quarter, and mean temperature of the coldest quarter) and representative concentration pathways (RCPs) were retrieved from the world climate database (www.worldclim.org). All climatic variables were employed to create a maximum entropy (MaxEnt) model. The predictive accuracy of the model was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), and the contributions of these 19 climatic factors to the distribution of <i>Pomacea</i> were analyzed in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture using Jackknife test. In addition, the suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> were predicted with the MaxEnt model in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024 and in 2050 and 2070 under RCP4.5.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Data pertaining to 91 <i>Pomacea</i> sampling sites were captured. ROC analysis revealed the MaxEnt model had an AUC value of 0.885 ± 0.088 for predicting the suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture. Of the 19 climatic factors, the maximum temperature of the warmest month had the highest contribution to the distribution of <i>Pomacea</i> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, followed by mean temperature of the driest quarter, mean temperature of the wettest quarter and minimum temperature of the coldest month. The suitable distribution area of <i>Pomacea</i> was predicted to be 14 555.69 km<sup>2</sup> in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture in 2024, and would expand gradually to the southeastern part of the prefecture in the future due to climatic factors. The suitable distribution areas of <i>Pomacea</i> were projected to expand to 21 475.61 km<sup>2</sup> in 2050 and 25 782.52 km<sup>2</sup> in 2070 in Dali Bai Autonomous Prefecture, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Temperature is an important contributor to the distribution of <i>P","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"37 1","pages":"69-75"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144040576","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-09DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024165
H Yang, Y Cai, S Yan, Y Xin, Z Mo, B Xu, B Zheng
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the changes in the prevalence of <i>Babesia microti</i> infections, spleen morphology and proportions of splenic immune cells in BALB/c mice following intravenous and intraperitoneal injections, so as to provide insights into unraveling the immune regulatory mechanisms of <i>Babesia</i> infections.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Laboratory - maintained <i>B. microti</i> strains were prepared into whole blood samples with 10% prevalence of <i>B. microti</i> infection. A total of 75 BALB/c mice were randomly divided into three groups, including the normal control group, intravenous injection group, and intraperitoneal injection group, of 25 mice in each group. Mice in the intravenous and intraperitoneal injection groups were administered 100 μL of whole blood samples with 10% prevalence of <i>B. microti</i> infection, with the day of injection recorded as d0, and animals in the normal control group were given no treatments. Blood was sampled from mice in each group via the tail tip on d7, d14, d21, d28 and d35, and prepared into thin-film blood smears, and <i>B. microti</i> infection was observed in red blood cells. Five mice were randomly sampled from each group and sacrificed on d7, d14, d21, d28 and d35, and spleen was collected for measurement of spleen size and weight. In addition, splenic cells were isolated, and the proportions of CD3e<sup>+</sup> T cells, CD45R<sup>+</sup> B cells, CD49b<sup>+</sup> nature killer (NK) cells, and F4/80<sup>+</sup> macrophages were detected in CD45<sup>+</sup> lymphocytes using flow cytometry.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The prevalence of <i>B. microti</i> infection in the intravenous (22.80%) and intraperitoneal injection groups (44.82%) peaked on d7 (χ<sup>2</sup> = 8.141, P < 0.01) and then rapidly decreased, and no parasites were observed on d35. The longest mouse spleen length [(32.91 ± 2.20) mm] and width [(9.82 ± 0.43) mm], and the greatest weight [(0.78 ± 0.10) g] were found on d14 in the intravenous injection group, and the longest spleen length [(32.42 ± 3.21) mm] and width [(10.25 ± 0.73) mm], and the greatest weight [(0.73 ± 0.09) g] were seen in the intra-peritoneal injection group on d21, d7 and d14, respectively. There were significant differences among the intravenous injection group, intraperitoneal injection group and the normal control group in terms of spleen length (<i>F</i> = 10.310, <i>P</i> < 0.05), width (<i>F</i> = 9.824, <i>P</i> < 0.05), and weight (<i>F</i> = 10.672, <i>P</i> < 0.05) on d21, and the mouse spleen length, width and weight were all significantly greater in the intraperitoneal injection group than in the intravenous injection group (allP values < 0.05). The proportions of splenic CD3e<sup>+</sup> T cells [(60.60 ± 6.20)% and (39.68 ± 7.62)%], CD45R<sup>+</sup> B cells [(43.32 ± 2.08)% and (49.53 ± 4.90)%], CD49b<sup>+</sup> NK cells [(6.88 ± 1.34)% and (7.71 ± 1.59)%], and F4/80<sup>+</sup> macrophages [(2.21 ± 0.29)%
目的:探讨静脉和腹腔注射后BALB/c小鼠微巴贝斯虫感染流行率、脾脏形态及脾脏免疫细胞比例的变化,为揭示巴贝斯虫感染的免疫调控机制提供依据。方法:将实验室维持的微支原体菌株制备成微支原体感染率为10%的全血标本。将75只BALB/c小鼠随机分为正常对照组、静脉注射组、腹腔注射组,每组25只。静脉注射组和腹腔注射组小鼠全血样本100 μL,微螺旋体感染率为10%,注射当天为0,正常对照组不给予任何处理。各组小鼠于第7天、第14天、第21天、第28天、第35天尾尖采血,制成薄膜血涂片,红细胞中观察微螺旋体感染。每组随机取5只小鼠,于第7、14、21、28、35天处死,取脾,测定脾脏大小和重量。此外,分离脾细胞,流式细胞术检测CD45+淋巴细胞中CD3e+ T细胞、CD45R+ B细胞、CD49b+ NK细胞和F4/80+巨噬细胞的比例。结果:静脉注射组(22.80%)和腹腔注射组(44.82%)的蛲虫感染率在第7天达到高峰(χ2 = 8.141, P < 0.01),随后迅速下降,第35天未检出寄生虫。静脉注射组小鼠脾脏长度最长[(32.91±2.20)mm]、宽度最大[(9.82±0.43)mm]、重量最大[(0.78±0.10)g],腹腔注射组小鼠脾脏长度最长[(32.42±3.21)mm]、宽度最大[(10.25±0.73)mm]、重量最大[(0.73±0.09)g]分别出现在d21、d7、d14。第21天,静脉注射组、腹腔注射组小鼠脾脏长度(F = 10.310, P < 0.05)、宽度(F = 9.824, P < 0.05)、重量(F = 10.672, P < 0.05)与正常对照组比较差异均有统计学意义,腹腔注射组小鼠脾脏长度、宽度、重量均显著大于静脉注射组(P均< 0.05)。脾CD3e+ T细胞[(60.60±6.20)%和(39.68±7.62)%]、CD45R+ B细胞[(43.32±2.08)%和(49.53±4.90)%]、CD49b+ NK细胞[(6.88±1.34)%和(7.71±1.59)%]、F4/80+巨噬细胞[(2.21±0.29)%和(3.80±0.35)%]的比例分别在静脉注射组、腹腔注射组d14、d21、d21、d14达到峰值。第14天静脉注射组、腹腔注射组和正常对照组CD3e+ T细胞比例(F = 16.730, P < 0.05)和F4/80+巨噬细胞比例(F = 15.941, P < 0.05)差异有统计学意义,且静脉注射组CD3e+ T细胞比例高于腹腔注射组,F4/80+巨噬细胞比例低于腹腔注射组(P值均< 0.01)。d21静脉注射组、腹腔注射组脾CD3e+ T细胞比例(F = 9.252, P < 0.05)、CD45R+ B细胞比例(F = 14.349, P < 0.05)、CD49b+ NK细胞比例(F = 13.436,P < 0.05)、F4/80+巨噬细胞比例(F = 8.180, P < 0.05)与正常对照组比较差异均有统计学意义。静脉注射组CD3e+ T细胞比例高于腹腔注射组,CD45R+ B细胞和F4/80+巨噬细胞比例低于腹腔注射组(P值均< 0.01)。d28时静脉注射组、腹腔注射组和正常对照组CD3e+ T细胞比例差异有统计学意义(F = 9.772,P < 0.05),且静脉注射组CD3e+ T细胞比例低于腹腔注射组(P < 0.01)。结论:腹腔和静脉两种途径均能有效诱导BALB/c小鼠微孢子虫感染,且腹腔途径感染BALB/c小鼠的微孢子虫感染率高于静脉途径。腹腔和静脉注射微孢子虫可引起小鼠脾脏形态和脾脏免疫细胞比例的变化,提示微孢子虫感染途径对小鼠免疫反应机制的影响不同。
{"title":"[Effects of intravenous and intraperitoneal routes on <i>Babesia microti</i> infections and splenic immune cells in BALB/c mice].","authors":"H Yang, Y Cai, S Yan, Y Xin, Z Mo, B Xu, B Zheng","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024165","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.16250/j.32.1915.2024165","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the changes in the prevalence of <i>Babesia microti</i> infections, spleen morphology and proportions of splenic immune cells in BALB/c mice following intravenous and intraperitoneal injections, so as to provide insights into unraveling the immune regulatory mechanisms of <i>Babesia</i> infections.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Laboratory - maintained <i>B. microti</i> strains were prepared into whole blood samples with 10% prevalence of <i>B. microti</i> infection. A total of 75 BALB/c mice were randomly divided into three groups, including the normal control group, intravenous injection group, and intraperitoneal injection group, of 25 mice in each group. Mice in the intravenous and intraperitoneal injection groups were administered 100 μL of whole blood samples with 10% prevalence of <i>B. microti</i> infection, with the day of injection recorded as d0, and animals in the normal control group were given no treatments. Blood was sampled from mice in each group via the tail tip on d7, d14, d21, d28 and d35, and prepared into thin-film blood smears, and <i>B. microti</i> infection was observed in red blood cells. Five mice were randomly sampled from each group and sacrificed on d7, d14, d21, d28 and d35, and spleen was collected for measurement of spleen size and weight. In addition, splenic cells were isolated, and the proportions of CD3e<sup>+</sup> T cells, CD45R<sup>+</sup> B cells, CD49b<sup>+</sup> nature killer (NK) cells, and F4/80<sup>+</sup> macrophages were detected in CD45<sup>+</sup> lymphocytes using flow cytometry.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The prevalence of <i>B. microti</i> infection in the intravenous (22.80%) and intraperitoneal injection groups (44.82%) peaked on d7 (χ<sup>2</sup> = 8.141, P < 0.01) and then rapidly decreased, and no parasites were observed on d35. The longest mouse spleen length [(32.91 ± 2.20) mm] and width [(9.82 ± 0.43) mm], and the greatest weight [(0.78 ± 0.10) g] were found on d14 in the intravenous injection group, and the longest spleen length [(32.42 ± 3.21) mm] and width [(10.25 ± 0.73) mm], and the greatest weight [(0.73 ± 0.09) g] were seen in the intra-peritoneal injection group on d21, d7 and d14, respectively. There were significant differences among the intravenous injection group, intraperitoneal injection group and the normal control group in terms of spleen length (<i>F</i> = 10.310, <i>P</i> < 0.05), width (<i>F</i> = 9.824, <i>P</i> < 0.05), and weight (<i>F</i> = 10.672, <i>P</i> < 0.05) on d21, and the mouse spleen length, width and weight were all significantly greater in the intraperitoneal injection group than in the intravenous injection group (allP values < 0.05). The proportions of splenic CD3e<sup>+</sup> T cells [(60.60 ± 6.20)% and (39.68 ± 7.62)%], CD45R<sup>+</sup> B cells [(43.32 ± 2.08)% and (49.53 ± 4.90)%], CD49b<sup>+</sup> NK cells [(6.88 ± 1.34)% and (7.71 ± 1.59)%], and F4/80<sup>+</sup> macrophages [(2.21 ± 0.29)%","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"37 1","pages":"61-68"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144062571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2025-01-02DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024194
S Bai, J Zhou, Y Dong, J Zhang, L Shi, K Yang
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a visual intelligent recognition model for <i>Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni</i> in Yunnan Province based on the EfficientNet-B4 model, and to evaluate the impact of data augmentation methods and model hyperparameters on the recognition of <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i>.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 400 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and 400 <i>Tricula</i> snails were collected from Yongsheng County, Yunnan Province in June 2024, and snail images were captured following identification and classification of 300 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and 300 <i>Tricula</i> snails. A total of 925 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> images and 1 062 <i>Tricula</i> snail images were collected as a dataset and divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 8:2, while 352 images captured from the remaining 100 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and 354 images from the remaining 100 <i>Tricula</i> snails served as an external test set. All acquired images were subjected to preprocessing, including cropping and resizing. Three data augmentation approaches were employed, including baseline, Mixup and Gaussian blurring, and model hyperparameters included two optimization algorithms of adaptive moment estimation (Adam) and stochastic gradient descent (SGD), two loss functions of focal loss and cross entropy loss, and two learning rate decay strategies of cosine annealing and multi-step. The intelligent recognition models of <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and <i>Tricula</i> snails were constructed based on the EfficientNet-B4 model, and 7 training strategy groups were generated by combinations of different data augmentation approaches and hyperparameters. The performance of intelligent recognition models was tested with external test sets, and evaluated with accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, loss, Youden's index, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) under different training strategies.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The variation of loss values was comparable among intelligent recognition models with different data augmentation approaches. The Group 4 model constructed with Mixup and Gaussian blurring data augmentation approaches showed the optimal performance, with an accuracy of 90.38%, precision of 90.07%, F1 score of 89.44%, Youden's index of 0.81 and AUC of 0.961 in the external test set. The accuracy of models using the SGD optimizer reduced by 29.16% as compared to those using the Adam optimizer (χ<sup>2</sup> = 81.325, <i>P</i> < 0.001), and the accuracy of models using the cross entropy loss function reduced by 0.80% as compared to the Group 4 model (χ<sup>2</sup> = 3.147, <i>P</i> > 0.05), while the accuracy of models using the multi-step learning rate decay strategy increased by 0.65% as compared to the Group 4 model (χ<sup>2</sup> = 0.208, <i>P</i> > 0.05). In addition, the model with the baseline + Mixup + Gaussianblurring data augmentation approach and hype
目的:构建基于EfficientNet-B4模型的云南钉螺视觉智能识别模型,并评价数据增强方法和模型超参数对钉螺识别的影响。方法:于2024年6月在云南省永胜县采集罗氏钉螺400只、三角螺400只,对其中的罗氏钉螺300只、三角螺300只进行鉴定分类,采集钉螺图像。选取925张罗氏湖北钉螺图像和1 062张三角螺图像作为数据集,按8:2的比例划分为训练集和验证集,剩余100张罗氏湖北钉螺图像中的352张和剩余100张三角螺图像中的354张作为外部测试集。所有获得的图像进行预处理,包括裁剪和调整大小。采用基线、Mixup和高斯模糊三种数据增强方法,模型超参数包括自适应矩估计(Adam)和随机梯度下降(SGD)两种优化算法,焦点损失和交叉熵损失两种损失函数,余弦退火和多步学习率衰减策略。基于EfficientNet-B4模型构建了robertensis robertsoni和Tricula蜗牛的智能识别模型,并结合不同的数据增强方法和超参数生成了7个训练策略组。采用外部测试集对智能识别模型的性能进行测试,并对不同训练策略下智能识别模型的准确率、精密度、召回率、F1分数、损失、约登指数和接收者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)进行评价。结果:不同数据增强方法的智能识别模型的损失值变化具有可比性。采用Mixup和高斯模糊数据增强方法构建的第4组模型表现出最优的性能,外部测试集的准确率为90.38%,精密度为90.07%,F1得分为89.44%,约登指数为0.81,AUC为0.961。使用SGD优化器的模型的准确率比使用Adam优化器的模型降低了29.16% (χ2 = 81.325, P < 0.001),使用交叉熵损失函数的模型的准确率比第4组模型降低了0.80% (χ2 = 3.147, P > 0.05),而使用多步学习率衰减策略的模型的准确率比第4组模型提高了0.65% (χ2 = 0.208, P > 0.05)。此外,采用baseline + Mixup + Gaussianblurring数据增强方法和Adam优化器、焦点损失函数和多步学习率衰减策略的超参数模型表现出最高的性能,准确率为91.03%,精密度为91.97%,召回率为88.11%,F1分数为90.00%,外部测试集的Youden指数为0.82,AUC值为0.969。结论:基于EfficientNet-B4模型的罗氏钉螺智能识别模型可准确识别云南省罗氏钉螺和三尾螺。
{"title":"[Construction of a visual intelligent identification model for <i>Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni</i> in Yunnan Province based on the EfficientNet-B4 model].","authors":"S Bai, J Zhou, Y Dong, J Zhang, L Shi, K Yang","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024194","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024194","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To construct a visual intelligent recognition model for <i>Oncomelania hupensis robertsoni</i> in Yunnan Province based on the EfficientNet-B4 model, and to evaluate the impact of data augmentation methods and model hyperparameters on the recognition of <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i>.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>A total of 400 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and 400 <i>Tricula</i> snails were collected from Yongsheng County, Yunnan Province in June 2024, and snail images were captured following identification and classification of 300 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and 300 <i>Tricula</i> snails. A total of 925 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> images and 1 062 <i>Tricula</i> snail images were collected as a dataset and divided into a training set and a validation set at a ratio of 8:2, while 352 images captured from the remaining 100 <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and 354 images from the remaining 100 <i>Tricula</i> snails served as an external test set. All acquired images were subjected to preprocessing, including cropping and resizing. Three data augmentation approaches were employed, including baseline, Mixup and Gaussian blurring, and model hyperparameters included two optimization algorithms of adaptive moment estimation (Adam) and stochastic gradient descent (SGD), two loss functions of focal loss and cross entropy loss, and two learning rate decay strategies of cosine annealing and multi-step. The intelligent recognition models of <i>O. hupensis robertsoni</i> and <i>Tricula</i> snails were constructed based on the EfficientNet-B4 model, and 7 training strategy groups were generated by combinations of different data augmentation approaches and hyperparameters. The performance of intelligent recognition models was tested with external test sets, and evaluated with accuracy, precision, recall, F1 score, loss, Youden's index, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) under different training strategies.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The variation of loss values was comparable among intelligent recognition models with different data augmentation approaches. The Group 4 model constructed with Mixup and Gaussian blurring data augmentation approaches showed the optimal performance, with an accuracy of 90.38%, precision of 90.07%, F1 score of 89.44%, Youden's index of 0.81 and AUC of 0.961 in the external test set. The accuracy of models using the SGD optimizer reduced by 29.16% as compared to those using the Adam optimizer (χ<sup>2</sup> = 81.325, <i>P</i> < 0.001), and the accuracy of models using the cross entropy loss function reduced by 0.80% as compared to the Group 4 model (χ<sup>2</sup> = 3.147, <i>P</i> > 0.05), while the accuracy of models using the multi-step learning rate decay strategy increased by 0.65% as compared to the Group 4 model (χ<sup>2</sup> = 0.208, <i>P</i> > 0.05). In addition, the model with the baseline + Mixup + Gaussianblurring data augmentation approach and hype","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"555-561"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-24DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024114
S Jiang, X Zang, W Wang, S Hong
There are multiple bioactive substances in the mosquito saliva, most of which are allergic to humans. Previous studies have demonstrated that mosquito bites may induce allergic reactions mediated by B and T lymphocytes, resulting in a reduction in the quality of life and even death among patients. To date, 11 salivary allergens and 8 non-salivary allergens have been characterized in mosquitoes. Nevertheless, there is still lack of highly sensitive, highly specific and safe tools for diagnosis of mosquito bites-induced allergy, and the difficulty in obtaining natural mosquito salivary allergens results in failure in widespread applications of immunotherapy for mosquito bites-induced allergy. This review provides an overview of the allergic symptoms of mosquito bites and underlying mechanisms, and mosquito salivary allergens that have been characterized and registered in the systematic allergen nomenclature website.
{"title":"[Progress of researches on mosquito salivary allergens].","authors":"S Jiang, X Zang, W Wang, S Hong","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024114","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024114","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>There are multiple bioactive substances in the mosquito saliva, most of which are allergic to humans. Previous studies have demonstrated that mosquito bites may induce allergic reactions mediated by B and T lymphocytes, resulting in a reduction in the quality of life and even death among patients. To date, 11 salivary allergens and 8 non-salivary allergens have been characterized in mosquitoes. Nevertheless, there is still lack of highly sensitive, highly specific and safe tools for diagnosis of mosquito bites-induced allergy, and the difficulty in obtaining natural mosquito salivary allergens results in failure in widespread applications of immunotherapy for mosquito bites-induced allergy. This review provides an overview of the allergic symptoms of mosquito bites and underlying mechanisms, and mosquito salivary allergens that have been characterized and registered in the systematic allergen nomenclature website.</p>","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"658-663"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-24DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024279
Y Zhou
The rapid development of artificial intelligence poses a huge impact on health and has become a core driving force for the new generation of the scientific and technological revolution in the field of healthcare. Recently, artificial intelligence has been gradually applied in the field of parasitic diseases and parasitology, including disease diagnosis, prognosis prediction, prediction of transmission risk, intelligent identification of vectors and intermediate hosts, and disease prevention and control, which facilitates the progress towards elimination of parasitic diseases. In addition, artificial intelligence provides highly efficient tools and approaches for healthcare workers and researchers. This comment mainly reviews the application of artificial intelligence in the fields of parasitic diseases and parasitology.
{"title":"[Application of artificial intelligence in parasitic diseases and parasitology].","authors":"Y Zhou","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024279","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024279","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The rapid development of artificial intelligence poses a huge impact on health and has become a core driving force for the new generation of the scientific and technological revolution in the field of healthcare. Recently, artificial intelligence has been gradually applied in the field of parasitic diseases and parasitology, including disease diagnosis, prognosis prediction, prediction of transmission risk, intelligent identification of vectors and intermediate hosts, and disease prevention and control, which facilitates the progress towards elimination of parasitic diseases. In addition, artificial intelligence provides highly efficient tools and approaches for healthcare workers and researchers. This comment mainly reviews the application of artificial intelligence in the fields of parasitic diseases and parasitology.</p>","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"551-554"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-19DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024085
F Gao
Objective: To predict the areas of Oncomelania hupensis snail spread in Anhui Province from 1977 to 2023 using machine learning models, and to compare the effectiveness of different machine learning models for prediction of areas of O. hupensis snail spread, so as to provide insights into investigating the trends in areas of O. hupensis snail spread.
Methods: Data pertaining to O. hupensis snail spread in Anhui Province from 1977 to 2023 were collected and a database was created. Five machine learning models were created using the software Matlab R2019b, including support vector regression (SVR), nonlinear autoregressive (NAR) neural network, back propagation (BP) neural network, gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network models, and the model fitting effect was evaluated with mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2). Following model training, the areas of O. hupensis snail spread were predicted in Anhui Province from 2024 to 2030.
Results: The cumulative areas of O. hupensis snail spread were 40 241.32 hm2 in Anhui Province from 1977 to 2023, and the area of O. hupensis snail spread varied greatly among years, with a periodic peak every 4 to 6 years. The fitting curves of SVR, NAR neural network, BP neural network, GRU neural network and LSTM neural network models were increasingly closer to the real curves for areas of O. hupensis snail spread in Anhui Province. The trends in areas of O. hupensis snail spread in Anhui Province from 2024 to 2030 appeared approximately "M"-shaped curves by SVR and NAR neural network models, approximately "W"-shaped curves by BP and GRU neural network models, and a unimodal conical curve by the LSTM neural network model. The LSTM neural network model had the best effect for predicting areas of O. hupensis snail spread in Anhui Province, with the RMSE of 1 277 480, MAE of 797 422 and R2 of 0.978 9, respectively.
Conclusions: Among the five models, The LSTM neural network model has a high efficiency for predicting areas of O. hupensis snail spread in Anhui Province, which may serve as a tool to investigate the trends in areas of O. hupensis snail spread.
{"title":"[Prediction of areas of <i>Oncomelania hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province based on five machine learning models].","authors":"F Gao","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024085","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024085","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To predict the areas of <i>Oncomelania hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province from 1977 to 2023 using machine learning models, and to compare the effectiveness of different machine learning models for prediction of areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread, so as to provide insights into investigating the trends in areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data pertaining to <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province from 1977 to 2023 were collected and a database was created. Five machine learning models were created using the software Matlab R2019b, including support vector regression (SVR), nonlinear autoregressive (NAR) neural network, back propagation (BP) neural network, gated recurrent unit (GRU) neural network and long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network models, and the model fitting effect was evaluated with mean absolute error (MAE), root mean squared error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (<i>R</i><sup>2</sup>). Following model training, the areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread were predicted in Anhui Province from 2024 to 2030.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>The cumulative areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread were 40 241.32 hm<sup>2</sup> in Anhui Province from 1977 to 2023, and the area of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread varied greatly among years, with a periodic peak every 4 to 6 years. The fitting curves of SVR, NAR neural network, BP neural network, GRU neural network and LSTM neural network models were increasingly closer to the real curves for areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province. The trends in areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province from 2024 to 2030 appeared approximately \"M\"-shaped curves by SVR and NAR neural network models, approximately \"W\"-shaped curves by BP and GRU neural network models, and a unimodal conical curve by the LSTM neural network model. The LSTM neural network model had the best effect for predicting areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province, with the RMSE of 1 277 480, MAE of 797 422 and <i>R</i><sup>2</sup> of 0.978 9, respectively.</p><p><strong>Conclusions: </strong>Among the five models, The LSTM neural network model has a high efficiency for predicting areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread in Anhui Province, which may serve as a tool to investigate the trends in areas of <i>O. hupensis</i> snail spread.</p>","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"572-576"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013441","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-12DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024136
Z Zhang, C Du, Y Zhang, H Wang, J Song, J Zhou, L Wang, J Sun, M Shen, C Chen, H Jiang, J Yan, X Feng, W Wang, P Qian, J Xue, S Li, Y Dong
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To predict the potential geographic distribution of <i>Oncomelania hupensis</i> in Yunnan Province using random forest (RF) and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models, so as to provide insights into <i>O. hupensis</i> surveillance and control in Yunnan Province.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The <i>O. hupensis</i> snail survey data in Yunnan Province from 2015 to 2016 were collected and converted into <i>O. hupensis</i> snail distribution site data. Data of 22 environmental variables in Yunnan Province were collected, including twelve climate variables (annual potential evapotranspiration, annual mean ground surface temperature, annual precipitation, annual mean air pressure, annual mean relative humidity, annual sunshine duration, annual mean air temperature, annual mean wind speed, ≥ 0 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, ≥ 10 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, aridity and index of moisture), eight geographical variables (normalized difference vegetation index, landform type, land use type, altitude, soil type, soil textureclay content, soil texture-sand content and soil texture-silt content) and two population and economic variables (gross domestic product and population). Variables were screened with Pearson correlation test and variance inflation factor (VIF) test. The RF and MaxEnt models and the ensemble model were created using the biomod2 package of the software R 4.2.1, and the potential distribution of <i>O. hupensis</i> snails after 2016 was predicted in Yunnan Province. The predictive effects of models were evaluated through cross-validation and independent tests, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), true skill statistics (TSS) and <i>Kappa</i> statistics were used for model evaluation. In addition, the importance of environmental variables was analyzed, the contribution of environmental variables output by the models with AUC values of > 0.950 and TSS values of > 0.850 were selected for normalization processing, and the importance percentage of environmental variables was obtained to analyze the importance of environmental variables.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Data of 148 <i>O. hupensis</i> snail distribution sites and 15 environmental variables were included in training sets of RF and MaxEnt models, and both RF and MaxEnt models had high predictive performance, with both mean AUC values of > 0.900 and all mean TSS values and <i>Kappa</i> values of > 0.800, and significant differences in the AUC (<i>t</i> = 19.862, <i>P</i> < 0.05), TSS (<i>t</i> = 10.140, <i>P</i> < 0.05) and <i>Kappa</i> values (<i>t</i> = 10.237, <i>P</i> < 0.05) between two models. The AUC, TSS and <i>Kappa</i> values of the ensemble model were 0.996, 0.954 and 0.920, respectively. Independent data verification showed that the AUC, TSS and <i>Kappa</i> values of the RF model and the ensemble model were all 1, which still showed high performance in unknown data modeling, and the MaxEnt model showed poor
目的:利用随机森林(RF)和最大熵(MaxEnt)模型预测云南省可能发生的湖北钉螺地理分布,为云南省监测和防治提供依据。方法:收集云南省2015 - 2016年血吸虫调查资料,转化为血吸虫分布点资料。本文收集了云南省22个环境变量的数据,包括12个气候变量(年潜在蒸散量、年平均地表温度、年降水量、年平均气压、年平均相对湿度、年日照时数、年平均气温、年平均风速、≥0℃年积温、≥10℃年积温、干旱性和湿度指数)。8个地理变量(归一化差异植被指数、地貌类型、土地利用类型、海拔高度、土壤类型、土壤质地—粘土含量、土壤质地—砂含量和土壤质地—粉含量)和2个人口和经济变量(国内生产总值和人口)。采用Pearson相关检验和方差膨胀因子(variance inflation factor, VIF)检验筛选变量。利用r4.2.1软件中的biomod2软件包建立了RF和MaxEnt模型以及集合模型,预测了2016年后云南省湖北钉螺的潜在分布。通过交叉验证和独立检验评价模型的预测效果,采用受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)、真技能统计量(TSS)和Kappa统计量进行模型评价。此外,对环境变量的重要性进行分析,选取AUC值为> 0.950、TSS值为> 0.850的模型对环境变量输出的贡献进行归一化处理,得到环境变量的重要性百分比,分析环境变量的重要性。结果:数据148 o . hupensis蜗牛分布站点和15个环境变量包含在训练集的射频和MaxEnt模型,射频和MaxEnt模型预测性能很高,平均AUC值> 0.900和所有的意思是TSS值和Kappa值> 0.800,和AUC显著差异(t = 19.862, P < 0.05), TSS (t = 10.140, P < 0.05)和k值(t = 10.237, P < 0.05)两个模型之间的关系。集合模型的AUC、TSS和Kappa值分别为0.996、0.954和0.920。独立数据验证表明,RF模型和集成模型的AUC、TSS和Kappa值均为1,在未知数据建模中仍然表现出较高的性能,而MaxEnt模型表现较差,24%(24/100)的建模结果中TSS和Kappa值为0。选取AUC值为> 0.950、TSS值为> 0.850的79个RF模型、38个MaxEnt模型及其集合模型的建模结果进行环境变量重要性评价。在RF模型、MaxEnt模型及其集合模型中,年日照时数(SSD)的重要性分别为32.989%、37.847%和46.315%,年平均相对湿度(RHU)的重要性分别为30.947%、15.921%和28.121%。重要的环境变量集中在RF模型的建模结果中,分散在MaxEnt模型的建模结果中,最集中在ensemble模型的建模结果中。RF模型预测2016年后湖北钉螺的潜在分布相对集中在云南省,而MaxEnt模型预测的潜在分布相对较大,集合模型预测的湖北钉螺分布多为RF和MaxEnt模型预测的联合分布。结论:RF模型和MaxEnt模型均能有效预测云南省湖北钉螺的潜在分布,为针对性防治提供依据。
{"title":"[Prediction of potential geographic distribution of <i>Oncomelania hupensis</i> in Yunnan Province using random forest and maximum entropy models].","authors":"Z Zhang, C Du, Y Zhang, H Wang, J Song, J Zhou, L Wang, J Sun, M Shen, C Chen, H Jiang, J Yan, X Feng, W Wang, P Qian, J Xue, S Li, Y Dong","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024136","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024136","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To predict the potential geographic distribution of <i>Oncomelania hupensis</i> in Yunnan Province using random forest (RF) and maximum entropy (MaxEnt) models, so as to provide insights into <i>O. hupensis</i> surveillance and control in Yunnan Province.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>The <i>O. hupensis</i> snail survey data in Yunnan Province from 2015 to 2016 were collected and converted into <i>O. hupensis</i> snail distribution site data. Data of 22 environmental variables in Yunnan Province were collected, including twelve climate variables (annual potential evapotranspiration, annual mean ground surface temperature, annual precipitation, annual mean air pressure, annual mean relative humidity, annual sunshine duration, annual mean air temperature, annual mean wind speed, ≥ 0 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, ≥ 10 ℃ annual accumulated temperature, aridity and index of moisture), eight geographical variables (normalized difference vegetation index, landform type, land use type, altitude, soil type, soil textureclay content, soil texture-sand content and soil texture-silt content) and two population and economic variables (gross domestic product and population). Variables were screened with Pearson correlation test and variance inflation factor (VIF) test. The RF and MaxEnt models and the ensemble model were created using the biomod2 package of the software R 4.2.1, and the potential distribution of <i>O. hupensis</i> snails after 2016 was predicted in Yunnan Province. The predictive effects of models were evaluated through cross-validation and independent tests, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), true skill statistics (TSS) and <i>Kappa</i> statistics were used for model evaluation. In addition, the importance of environmental variables was analyzed, the contribution of environmental variables output by the models with AUC values of > 0.950 and TSS values of > 0.850 were selected for normalization processing, and the importance percentage of environmental variables was obtained to analyze the importance of environmental variables.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>Data of 148 <i>O. hupensis</i> snail distribution sites and 15 environmental variables were included in training sets of RF and MaxEnt models, and both RF and MaxEnt models had high predictive performance, with both mean AUC values of > 0.900 and all mean TSS values and <i>Kappa</i> values of > 0.800, and significant differences in the AUC (<i>t</i> = 19.862, <i>P</i> < 0.05), TSS (<i>t</i> = 10.140, <i>P</i> < 0.05) and <i>Kappa</i> values (<i>t</i> = 10.237, <i>P</i> < 0.05) between two models. The AUC, TSS and <i>Kappa</i> values of the ensemble model were 0.996, 0.954 and 0.920, respectively. Independent data verification showed that the AUC, TSS and <i>Kappa</i> values of the RF model and the ensemble model were all 1, which still showed high performance in unknown data modeling, and the MaxEnt model showed poor ","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"562-571"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-09DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024174
Z Zhang, Q Sun, T Qiu, P Ding, B Wang, B Zhu
<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the incidence of anemia and evaluate the immune status among newly reported HIV/AIDS patients in Jiangsu Province in 2021, and to identify the risk factors of anemia among patients living with HIV infections.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Newly reported HIV/AIDS patients in Jiangsu Province from January 1 to December 31, 2021 that were registered in China's National AIDS Comprehensive Control Information Management System were enrolled. Subjects' fresh whole blood samples were collected, and hemoglobin levels, CD4 and CD8 cell counts and HIV viral loads were measured. Anemia was defined according to hemoglobin levels, and the immunological parameters and HIV viral loads were compared between HIV-infected patients with and without anemia. The risk factors of anemia were identified among individuals living with HIV infections using univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. In addition, subjects' CD4 cell counts one year following antiretroviral therapy (ART) were retrieved from China's National AIDS Comprehensive Control Information Management System, and compared between subjects with and without anemia.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 635 newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS patients were reported in Jiangsu Province in 2021, including 544 males (85.67%) and 91 females (14.33%), and with ages of 15 to 83 years, and the overall incidence of anemia was 5.51% (35/635) among the study subjects. Men, individuals at ages of 45 years and lower and workers had relatively higher hemoglobin levels, with median hemoglobin levels of 156 (interquartile range, 22), 154 (interquartile range, 23) g/L and 162 (interquartile range, 19) g/L, respectively. The median baseline HIV viral load was 40 500.00 (interquartile range, 119 735.00) copies/mL among HIV-infected individuals with anemia and 29 754.00 (69 183.00) copies/mL among those without anemia (<i>Z</i> = -0.91, <i>P</i> = 0.31), and the median baseline CD4 and CD8 cell counts were significantly lower among HIV-infected individuals with anemia [166 (interquartile range, 143) cells/μL and 755 (653) cells/μL] than those without anemia [308 (253) cells/μL and 892 (638) cells/μL] (<i>Z</i> = -4.36 and -2.37, both <i>P</i> values < 0.05). The median CD4 cell counts remained lower among HIV-infected individuals with anemia than those without anemia [296 (interquartile range, 229) cells/μL vs. 457 (interquartile range, 313) cells/μL; <i>Z</i> = -3.71, <i>P</i> < 0.05] one year following ART, and the proportions of moderate and severe immunosuppression were significantly higher among HIV-infected individuals with anemia (40.00% and 17.14%) than those without anemia (21.00% and 9.33%) (χ<sup>2</sup> = 10.37 and 8.79, both <i>P</i> values < 0.01). Univariate analysis showed a higher detection rate of anemia among female HIV-infected individuals than among males [odds ratio (<i>OR</i>) = 4.528, 95% confidence interval (<i>CI</i>): (3.811, 5.245), <
目的:了解江苏省2021年新报告HIV/AIDS患者贫血发生率及免疫状况,探讨HIV感染患者贫血的危险因素。方法:选取江苏省2021年1月1日至12月31日在中国艾滋病综合防治信息管理系统中登记的新报告艾滋病患者。采集受试者新鲜全血样本,测定血红蛋白水平、CD4和CD8细胞计数及HIV病毒载量。根据血红蛋白水平定义贫血,并比较有和无贫血的HIV感染者的免疫参数和HIV病毒载量。通过单因素分析和多因素logistic回归分析,确定HIV感染者贫血的危险因素。此外,从中国国家艾滋病综合控制信息管理系统中检索受试者在抗逆转录病毒治疗(ART)后一年的CD4细胞计数,并将有无贫血的受试者进行比较。结果:2021年江苏省共报告新诊断HIV/AIDS患者635例,其中男性544例(85.67%),女性91例(14.33%),年龄在15 ~ 83岁之间,研究对象贫血总体发生率为5.51%(35/635)。男性、45岁及以下的个体和工人的血红蛋白水平相对较高,血红蛋白水平的中位数分别为156(四分位数范围22)、154(四分位数范围23)和162(四分位数范围19)g/L。HIV-贫血感染者的基线HIV病毒载量中位数为40 500.00(四分位数范围,119 735.00)copies/mL,非贫血感染者的基线HIV病毒载量中位数为29 754.00 (69 183.00)copies/mL (Z = -0.91, P = 0.31),且HIV-贫血感染者的CD4和CD8细胞计数中位数[166(四分位数范围,143)cells/μL和755 (653)cells/μL]显著低于非贫血感染者[308 (253)cells/μL和892 (638)cells/μL] (Z = -4.36和-2.37)。P值均< 0.05)。艾滋病毒感染的贫血患者CD4细胞计数中位数仍低于无贫血患者[296(四分位数范围,229)个细胞/μL vs. 457(四分位数范围,313)个细胞/μL;Z = -3.71, P < 0.05],贫血hiv感染者出现中度和重度免疫抑制的比例(40.00%和17.14%)显著高于无贫血hiv感染者(21.00%和9.33%)(χ2 = 10.37、8.79,P值均< 0.01)。单因素分析显示,女性hiv感染者的贫血检出率高于男性[比值比(OR) = 4.528, 95%可信区间(CI): (3.811, 5.245), P < 0.001], 45 ~ 60岁hiv感染者的贫血检出率高于男性[OR = 3.415, 95% CI: (1.191, 9.788), P = 0.022]和60岁及以上hiv感染者[OR = 5.820, 95% CI:(2.013, 16.826), P < 0.001)与15 ~ 30岁以下人群相比,异性恋传播的hiv感染者感染率高于同质传播的hiv感染者[OR = 3.015, 95% CI: (1.423, 6.387), P = 0.004],大学及以上文化程度的hiv感染者感染率低于小学文化程度的hiv感染者[OR = 0.103, 95% CI:(0.028, 0.386), P < 0.001),基线CD4细胞计数< 200细胞/μL的hiv感染者检出率高于基线CD4细胞计数≥200细胞/μL的hiv感染者[OR = 4.340, 95% CI: (2.165, 8.702), P < 0.001], CD4/CD8细胞比值为0.208 ~ < 0.326 [OR = 0.232, 95% CI: (0.076, 0.711), P = 0.011]和0.516及以上的hiv感染者检出率较低[OR = 0.292, 95% CI:(0.104, 0.818), P = 0.019)高于CD4/CD8细胞比值< 0.208的患者。多因素logistic回归分析发现,女性[OR = 4.945, 95% CI: (3.944, 5.946), P = 0.002]和CD4细胞计数< 200 cells/μL [OR = 3.597, 95% CI: (1.448, 8.937), P = 0.006]是新报告HIV/AIDS患者贫血的危险因素。结论:江苏省2021年新报告的HIV/AIDS患者中贫血发生率较低,且HIV感染者在基线和抗逆转录病毒治疗后1年的免疫状况较无贫血者差。女性和CD4细胞计数< 200 cells/μL是HIV感染者贫血的危险因素,建议针对女性HIV感染者和CD4细胞计数低的HIV感染者加强监测、随访和精准干预。
{"title":"[Incidence and risk factors of anemia among newly reported HIV/AIDS patients in Jiangsu Province in 2021].","authors":"Z Zhang, Q Sun, T Qiu, P Ding, B Wang, B Zhu","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024174","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024174","url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Objective: </strong>To investigate the incidence of anemia and evaluate the immune status among newly reported HIV/AIDS patients in Jiangsu Province in 2021, and to identify the risk factors of anemia among patients living with HIV infections.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Newly reported HIV/AIDS patients in Jiangsu Province from January 1 to December 31, 2021 that were registered in China's National AIDS Comprehensive Control Information Management System were enrolled. Subjects' fresh whole blood samples were collected, and hemoglobin levels, CD4 and CD8 cell counts and HIV viral loads were measured. Anemia was defined according to hemoglobin levels, and the immunological parameters and HIV viral loads were compared between HIV-infected patients with and without anemia. The risk factors of anemia were identified among individuals living with HIV infections using univariate analysis and multivariate logistic regression analysis. In addition, subjects' CD4 cell counts one year following antiretroviral therapy (ART) were retrieved from China's National AIDS Comprehensive Control Information Management System, and compared between subjects with and without anemia.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>A total of 635 newly diagnosed HIV/AIDS patients were reported in Jiangsu Province in 2021, including 544 males (85.67%) and 91 females (14.33%), and with ages of 15 to 83 years, and the overall incidence of anemia was 5.51% (35/635) among the study subjects. Men, individuals at ages of 45 years and lower and workers had relatively higher hemoglobin levels, with median hemoglobin levels of 156 (interquartile range, 22), 154 (interquartile range, 23) g/L and 162 (interquartile range, 19) g/L, respectively. The median baseline HIV viral load was 40 500.00 (interquartile range, 119 735.00) copies/mL among HIV-infected individuals with anemia and 29 754.00 (69 183.00) copies/mL among those without anemia (<i>Z</i> = -0.91, <i>P</i> = 0.31), and the median baseline CD4 and CD8 cell counts were significantly lower among HIV-infected individuals with anemia [166 (interquartile range, 143) cells/μL and 755 (653) cells/μL] than those without anemia [308 (253) cells/μL and 892 (638) cells/μL] (<i>Z</i> = -4.36 and -2.37, both <i>P</i> values < 0.05). The median CD4 cell counts remained lower among HIV-infected individuals with anemia than those without anemia [296 (interquartile range, 229) cells/μL vs. 457 (interquartile range, 313) cells/μL; <i>Z</i> = -3.71, <i>P</i> < 0.05] one year following ART, and the proportions of moderate and severe immunosuppression were significantly higher among HIV-infected individuals with anemia (40.00% and 17.14%) than those without anemia (21.00% and 9.33%) (χ<sup>2</sup> = 10.37 and 8.79, both <i>P</i> values < 0.01). Univariate analysis showed a higher detection rate of anemia among female HIV-infected individuals than among males [odds ratio (<i>OR</i>) = 4.528, 95% confidence interval (<i>CI</i>): (3.811, 5.245), <","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"598-605"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013220","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2024-12-09DOI: 10.16250/j.32.1915.2024139
Scorpion venom is a highly complicated cocktail of bioactive components including mucoproteins, enzymes, lipids, bioactive peptides, and other organic or inorganic molecules. Scorpion venom antimicrobial peptides are a class of small-molecule bioactive peptides extracted from scorpion venoms, which have shown a variety of biological activities, including antiviral, antibacterial, antifungal and antitumor actions. This review describes the progress of researches on the antiparasitic activities of scorpion venoms and their antimicrobial peptides, so as to provide insights into the research and development of novel antiparasitic agents.
{"title":"[Progress of researches on antiparasitic activities of scorpion venoms and their antimicrobial peptides].","authors":"","doi":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024139","DOIUrl":"10.16250/j.32.1915.2024139","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Scorpion venom is a highly complicated cocktail of bioactive components including mucoproteins, enzymes, lipids, bioactive peptides, and other organic or inorganic molecules. Scorpion venom antimicrobial peptides are a class of small-molecule bioactive peptides extracted from scorpion venoms, which have shown a variety of biological activities, including antiviral, antibacterial, antifungal and antitumor actions. This review describes the progress of researches on the antiparasitic activities of scorpion venoms and their antimicrobial peptides, so as to provide insights into the research and development of novel antiparasitic agents.</p>","PeriodicalId":38874,"journal":{"name":"中国血吸虫病防治杂志","volume":"36 6","pages":"649-657"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-12-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}