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Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict: Pathways toward Terrorism and Genocide最新文献

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Comparing crime types: a linguistic analysis of communiqués associated with the animal and earth liberation movement 比较犯罪类型:与动物和地球解放运动有关的公报的语言分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-04 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2019.1613554
Michael K. Logan, M. Hall
ABSTRACT The content and style of language reveal significant insight into psychological, cognitive, and emotional processes. A growing number of studies have also been devoted to linking language to psychological and social processes underlying violent extremism. Building on this body of literature, the current study examines the type of language used in communiqués associated with the earth and animal liberation movement between 2013 and 2017. We pay specific attention to differences in communiqués associated with different criminal events including arson, animal liberation, sabotage, and vandalism. We also compare the communiqué data to a collection of lone-actor terrorist’s writings. The results suggest that communiqués linked to arson and animal liberation were highest on the indicators of affect and cognitive complexity compared to the other crime types. As a whole, the earth and animal liberation movement communiqués were similar to the lone-actor texts in negative emotions. Finding from this study support the influence of negative emotions, and anger in particular, in motivating and justifying violent extremism.
语言的内容和风格揭示了对心理、认知和情感过程的重要洞察。越来越多的研究也致力于将语言与暴力极端主义背后的心理和社会过程联系起来。本研究以这些文献为基础,研究了2013年至2017年与地球和动物解放运动相关的公报中使用的语言类型。我们特别注意与纵火、动物解放、破坏和破坏等不同犯罪事件有关的公报的差异。我们还将公报的数据与恐怖分子单枪匹马的作品进行了比较。研究结果表明,与纵火和动物解放相关的共产主义犯罪在情感和认知复杂性指标上高于其他犯罪类型。从整体上看,地球和动物解放运动公报在消极情绪方面与独角戏文本相似。这项研究的发现支持了负面情绪,尤其是愤怒,在激发和证明暴力极端主义方面的影响。
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引用次数: 3
Calculated contributors: IGO support for ethnopolitical organizations 计算捐助者:政府间组织对民族政治组织的支持
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-04-23 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2019.1600709
Victor Asal, L. Heger, D. Stinnett
ABSTRACT Why do some organizations representing ethnic minorities receive outside diplomatic support from intergovernmental organizations (IGOs)? This article analyses ethnopolitical organizations in the Middle East from 1980 to 2004. The analysis explores two different possible answers. First, IGOs are guided by normative principles and are inclined to support ethnopolitical organizations that have democratic characteristics. Second, IGOs are guided by practical concerns, and choose to support those organizations that have the most influence. Although the analysis finds evidence for both the normative and strategic views, the variables associated with the strategic view have a larger substantive effect on the probability of support.
摘要为什么一些代表少数民族的组织会得到政府间组织的外部外交支持?本文分析了1980年至2004年中东地区的民族政治组织。该分析探讨了两种不同的可能答案。首先,政府间组织以规范性原则为指导,倾向于支持具有民主特征的民族政治组织。其次,政府间组织以实际关切为指导,选择支持那些最具影响力的组织。尽管分析发现了规范观点和战略观点的证据,但与战略观点相关的变量对支持的概率有更大的实质性影响。
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引用次数: 1
Nuclear terrorism: what can we learn from South Africa’s development of nuclear devices? 核恐怖主义:我们能从南非核装置的发展中学到什么?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-02-27 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2019.1576917
Brecht Volders
ABSTRACT Traditional assessments of nuclear terrorism threats primarily focus on the motivation of terrorist organizations to go nuclear, the availability of know-how, and the opportunities to obtain fissile material. The organizational challenges of implementing the construction and detonation of an improvised nuclear device are not often systematically explored. To contribute to a more comprehensive understanding of the threat, this article aims to study South Africa’s Peaceful Nuclear Explosives programme to verify and further refine the idea of an effectiveness-efficiency trade-off for terrorist organizations pursuing a nuclear terrorism plot.
摘要对核恐怖主义威胁的传统评估主要关注恐怖组织走向核武器的动机、专有技术的可用性以及获得裂变材料的机会。建造和引爆简易核装置的组织挑战往往没有得到系统探讨。为了有助于更全面地了解这一威胁,本文旨在研究南非的和平核爆炸物计划,以验证和进一步完善追求核恐怖主义阴谋的恐怖组织的有效性和效率权衡的想法。
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引用次数: 0
Justification of intergroup violence – the role of right-wing authoritarianism and propensity for radical action 群体间暴力的正当性——右翼威权主义的作用和激进行动的倾向
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-02-22 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2019.1576916
L. Faragó, Anna Kende, Péter Krekó
ABSTRACT Economic and political trends of the last decades resulted in a general rise in anti-minority populism in Hungary. Anti-minority sentiments have been manifested in violence primarily against the Roma, but also against other target groups. The aim of the current study is to reveal the social psychological mechanisms of justifying intergroup violence against outgroups representing a symbolic or a physical threat. Considering that right-wing authoritarianism (RWA) can legitimize violence agsainst threatening outgroups, we hypothesized that RWA would be more important in explaining justification of intergroup violence than a general propensity for radical action. We tested our hypothesis using computer-assisted personal interviews using a representative sample of 1000 respondents. Using structural equation modelling, we found that RWA was a much stronger predictor of the justification of intergroup violence against both physically and symbolically threatening groups than propensity for radical action. Furthermore, a comparison of the groups also revealed that those who justify violence against symbolically threatening groups were also higher in right-wing authoritarianism. These findings highlight that RWA justifies politically motivated aggression against different target groups in Hungary.
过去几十年的经济和政治趋势导致了匈牙利反少数民族民粹主义的普遍兴起。反少数民族情绪主要表现为针对罗姆人的暴力,但也针对其他目标群体。本研究的目的是揭示群体间暴力行为正当化的社会心理机制,以对抗象征或身体威胁的外群体。考虑到右翼威权主义(RWA)可以使针对威胁外群体的暴力合法化,我们假设RWA在解释群体间暴力的正当性方面比激进行动的一般倾向更重要。我们使用计算机辅助的个人访谈测试了我们的假设,使用了1000名受访者的代表性样本。使用结构方程模型,我们发现RWA比激进行为倾向更能预测群体间暴力行为的正当性,无论是对身体上的还是象征性的威胁群体。此外,两组之间的比较还显示,那些对具有象征性威胁的群体采取暴力行为的人在右翼威权主义方面也更高。这些发现突出表明,RWA为出于政治动机对匈牙利不同目标群体的侵略辩护。
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引用次数: 15
The radicalization of the Kanes: family as a primary group influence? 凯恩斯的激进化:家庭作为主要的群体影响?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2019.1568513
J. Carson, Patrick A. James, Tyler A. O’Neal
ABSTRACT The extant literature speaks to the complexity involved in terrorist radicalization, yet has been unduly focused on jihadists. This is especially problematic given that other ideologically motivated movements have demonstrated a larger threat to the US homeland, like that of right-wing extremists. In addition, few US-based studies have focused on the role that one potentially important factor may have in these processes: that of the family. We seek to rectify this gap in the research by examining two “typical” case studies: Jerry Jr. and Joseph Kane. Informed by a social learning and social structure framework (SSSL), we find several instances where this primary group both created and reinforced definitions favorable to terrorism.
现存的文献讲述了恐怖主义激进化的复杂性,但却过分地集中在圣战分子身上。考虑到右翼极端分子等其他意识形态驱动的运动已经显示出对美国本土的更大威胁,这一点尤其成问题。此外,很少有美国的研究关注一个潜在的重要因素在这些过程中可能发挥的作用:家庭。我们试图通过检查两个“典型”案例研究来纠正研究中的这一差距:小杰里和约瑟夫凯恩。在社会学习和社会结构框架(SSSL)的指导下,我们发现了几个例子,在这些例子中,这个主要群体创造并强化了有利于恐怖主义的定义。
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引用次数: 10
A micro-sociological analysis of homegrown violent extremist attacks in the UK in 2017 2017年英国本土暴力极端主义袭击的微观社会学分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2018.1563905
Martin McCleery, A. Edwards
ABSTRACT The academic literature on terrorism largely ignores micro-sociological explanations of violence. This is especially true in relation to the research concerning Homegrown Violent Extremists (HVE). This article provides a micro-sociological analysis of four high-profile terrorist attacks that occurred in the British cities of London and Manchester in 2017, which were carried out with deadly effect by HVE. The main focus of the article is the micro-dynamics surrounding each violent episode, although the article also recognizes the importance of the meso factors and macro motivations underpinning these violent acts. One of the central assertions of this article is that most humans dislike and are not particularly good at violence. As such, it seeks to understand how the individuals involved in these attacks could partake in such violence. It argues that most individuals must employ what we refer to as the principle of Attacker Advantage to commit violent acts, regardless of other factors and motivations.
关于恐怖主义的学术文献在很大程度上忽略了对暴力的微观社会学解释。这在关于本土暴力极端分子的研究中尤其如此。本文对2017年发生在英国伦敦和曼彻斯特的四起备受瞩目的恐怖袭击进行了微观社会学分析,这些袭击是由HVE实施的,造成了致命影响。文章的主要焦点是围绕每一次暴力事件的微观动态,尽管文章也认识到支撑这些暴力行为的微观因素和宏观动机的重要性。这篇文章的核心论断之一是,大多数人不喜欢暴力,也不是特别擅长暴力。因此,它试图了解参与这些袭击的个人是如何参与这种暴力的。它认为,无论其他因素和动机如何,大多数人都必须采用我们所说的攻击者优势原则来实施暴力行为。
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引用次数: 2
“Nullification through armed civil disobedience”: a case study of strategic framing in the patriot/militia movement “通过武装公民不服从的无效”:爱国者/民兵运动中战略框架的案例研究
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2018.1563904
Sam Jackson
ABSTRACT The patriot/militia movement in the US has grown in prominence over the past several years, with the movement engaging in high-profile conflicts with law enforcement (e.g., at the Bundy Ranch standoff in Nevada in 2014) and political opponents (e.g., clashing with antifascist activists in Boston and Berkeley in 2017). One of the strategies movement leaders use to solicit support is to ground their goals and behaviour in American history. This article presents a case study of one striking example of this, where a leading figure in the movement (Mike Vanderboegh, who popularized the idea of the Three Percenters) attempted to justify his advocacy of violating the law by simultaneously claiming the legal legitimacy of nullification and the moral legitimacy of civil disobedience. I argue that this rhetoric is an example of strategic frame appropriation. This type of frame appropriation serves the purpose of legitimating violent resistance to government by drawing parallels to other forms of political activism that are widely respected.
摘要在过去的几年里,美国的爱国者/民兵运动日益突出,该运动与执法部门(如2014年内华达州邦迪牧场对峙事件)和政治对手(如2017年波士顿和伯克利与反法西斯活动人士发生冲突)发生了引人注目的冲突。运动领导人用来寻求支持的策略之一是将他们的目标和行为植根于美国历史。这篇文章提供了一个引人注目的例子的案例研究,在这个例子中,运动中的一位领军人物(Mike Vanderbegh,他推广了三个百分点的思想)试图通过同时声称无效的法律合法性和公民抗命的道德合法性来证明他违反法律的主张是正当的。我认为,这种修辞是战略框架挪用的一个例子。这种框架挪用的目的是通过与其他形式的政治激进主义进行比较,使对政府的暴力抵抗合法化,这些政治激进学受到广泛尊重。
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引用次数: 7
Letter from the Editor 编辑来信
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-02 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2019.1577529
G. Ligon, Steven Windisch
Dear Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict Readers: Welcome to Volume 12, Issue 1! We are delighted to introduce our Special Issue on Home-grown Violent Extremism in the Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict: Pathways toward Terrorism and Genocide Journal. The motivation for this Special Issue was threefold. First, why and how do individuals from relatively peaceful, affluent Western societies become inspired by ideologies from distant lands and messengers? While these cases receive much attention in the popular press, there has been less scholarly work on these issues. Second, while the term “Home-grown Violent Extremism” has commonly been used to describe Westerners inspired by Salafi-Jihadist ideologies, a goal of this issue is to bring attention to another type of “Home-grown” extremist: namely, those with Far-Right and Anti-Government ideological goals. These groups and individuals also spent formative years in relatively peaceful Western countries, yet they developed extreme and violent belief systems, powerful group dynamics, and practised tactics and techniques to commit ideologically inspired crimes on a commonly defined enemy. Finally, the inclusion of multiple variants of Home-grown Violent Extremists in this issue affords a comparison between them. Many of the same dynamics operate across the groups, and our hope is that reframing each as comparable types of ideological violence that emerge from relatively developed countries will begin to bridge some gaps in our understanding of the pathways towards each brand of terrorism. We have five exceptional articles to share with you in this issue, ranging from Martin McCleery and Aaron Edward’s micro-situational analysis of four Salafi jihadi-inspired attacks in the United Kingdom to Susan Fahey and Pete Simi’s comparative analysis of Far-Right extremist pathways in the United States. While this issue covers a range of ideological groups, from the far-right to Salafi jihadi-inspired extremism, and relies on several methodological and theoretical frameworks, the commonality across these articles is their focus on individuals who were inspired or directly influenced by extremist views and perpetrated, promoted, or approved of violent acts in pursuit of extremist views in their home country or its territories. In doing so, these articles analyse extremism through a diverse array of individual and group-level dynamics. Moreover, in their own unique way, each article addresses a specific tactic or strategy underlying home-grown violent extremism through different theoretical frameworks. For example, Martin McCleery and Aaron Edwards employ a micro-sociological framework to better understand how individuals involved in extremist attacks partake in such violence. The authors find that most extremists dislike and are not particularly good at violence and must employ the principle of “Attacker Advantage” to commit violent acts, regardless of other factors and motivations. In another article, Lasse Lindekilde, St
亲爱的非对称冲突动态读者:欢迎收看第12卷第1期!我们很高兴介绍我们的特刊《不对称冲突动态中的本土暴力极端主义:走向恐怖主义和种族灭绝的途径》。这期特刊的动机有三方面。首先,来自相对和平、富裕的西方社会的个人为什么以及如何受到来自遥远国家和信使的意识形态的启发?虽然这些案例在大众媒体上备受关注,但关于这些问题的学术研究却较少。其次,虽然“本土暴力极端主义”一词通常被用来形容受萨拉菲圣战意识形态启发的西方人,但这个问题的目的是引起人们对另一种“本土”极端分子的关注:即那些具有极右翼和反政府意识形态目标的人。这些团体和个人也在相对和平的西方国家度过了成长期,但他们发展了极端和暴力的信仰体系,强大的团体动态,并实践了战术和技术,对共同定义的敌人犯下了受意识形态启发的罪行。最后,本期将本土暴力极端分子的多种变体纳入其中,可以对它们进行比较。许多相同的动态在各个群体中运作,我们希望将每一种都重新定义为相对发达国家出现的可比较类型的意识形态暴力,这将开始弥合我们对每一种恐怖主义走向的理解中的一些差距。本期我们有五篇特别的文章要与您分享,从马丁·麦克莱里和亚伦·爱德华对英国四起萨拉菲圣战袭击事件的微观情境分析,到苏珊·法希和皮特·西米对美国极右翼极端主义路径的比较分析。虽然这一问题涵盖了一系列意识形态团体,从极右翼到萨拉菲圣战启发的极端主义,并依赖于几个方法论和理论框架,但这些文章的共同点是,它们关注的是受极端主义观点启发或直接影响的个人,或被批准在本国或其领土上从事追求极端主义观点的暴力行为。在这样做的过程中,这些文章通过一系列不同的个人和团体层面的动态来分析极端主义。此外,每一篇文章都以其独特的方式,通过不同的理论框架,阐述了本土暴力极端主义的具体策略或战略。例如,马丁·麦克莱里和亚伦·爱德华兹采用微观社会学框架来更好地了解参与极端主义袭击的个人是如何参与此类暴力的。作者发现,大多数极端分子不喜欢暴力,也不特别擅长暴力,必须采用“攻击者优势”原则实施暴力行为,而不考虑其他因素和动机。在另一篇文章中,Lasse Lindekille、Stefan Malthaner和Francis O’Connor从关系的角度分析了独行侠恐怖分子的激进化,并探讨了一些独行侠恐怖主义分子仍然边缘融合在2019年非对称冲突的激进动态中的原因,第12卷,第1,1-3https://doi.org/10.1080/17467586.2019.1577529
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引用次数: 0
Pathways to violent extremism: a qualitative comparative analysis of the US far-right 走向暴力极端主义之路:美国极右翼的定性比较分析
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-05 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2018.1551558
S. Fahey, Pete Simi
ABSTRACT In this research, we analyzed extensive life history interviews and open-source data on a sample of 35 current and former white supremacists. These individuals had all committed ideologically motivated violence, some of which clearly exhibited a greater degree of planning, who we termed the “planned violence” sample while those in the “spontaneous violence” sample had committed more opportunistic violence, such as “wilding-style” attacks on available victims. Using Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA), we examined whether there were important differences in the presence and combination of prior risk factors, such as offending history, truancy, delinquent peers, family members involved in extremism, a lower- or working-class childhood and academic failure, which led to the outcome condition of either planned or spontaneous violence. Our findings demonstrated differences between the two samples, with the spontaneous violence sample demonstrating higher risk than the planned violence sample. However, no support was garnered for the identification of distinct pathways of homogeneous risk factors among either sample of violent offenders.
摘要在这项研究中,我们分析了35名现任和前任白人至上主义者的大量生活史访谈和开源数据。这些人都实施了出于意识形态动机的暴力,其中一些人显然表现出了更大程度的计划性,我们称之为“有计划的暴力”样本,而“自发暴力”样本中的人则实施了更多的机会主义暴力,如对现有受害者的“野蛮式”袭击。使用定性比较分析(QCA),我们检查了先前风险因素的存在和组合是否存在重要差异,如犯罪史、逃学、犯罪同龄人、参与极端主义的家庭成员、下层或工人阶级的童年和学业失败,这些因素导致了有计划或自发暴力的结果条件。我们的研究结果表明了两个样本之间的差异,自发暴力样本的风险高于计划暴力样本。然而,在两个暴力罪犯样本中,没有人支持确定同质风险因素的不同途径。
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引用次数: 11
Peripheral and embedded: relational patterns of lone-actor terrorist radicalization 外围和嵌入:单独行动的恐怖主义激进化的关系模式
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2018-12-03 DOI: 10.1080/17467586.2018.1551557
Lasse Lindekilde, S. Malthaner, Francis O’Connor
ABSTRACT This article provides a comparative analysis of lone-actor terrorist radicalization from a relational perspective. Extant research on lone-actor terrorism has shown that lone actors are rarely as “lone” as public perceptions suggest. In most cases, lone-actor terrorists have some social ties to established radical groups. Accordingly, this article asks (1) why these individuals do not integrate into the radical groups they frequent and engage in collective violence, and (2) if they do integrate, why do they then end up engaging in violence on their own? The article argues that patterns of lone-actor terrorist radicalization can be categorized according to the extent and evolution of their loneness. It highlights two broad patterns of lone-actor radicalization in relation to broader radical groups/movements – peripheral and embedded – and explores the reasons why some lone-actor terrorists remain peripherally integrated in radical groups, while others become more embedded only to engage in violence alone. The article is based on qualitative research, drawing on a geographically and ideologically diverse sample of cases (N = 25), and access to restricted material. The article identifies and theorizes five recurrent radicalization trajectories, which are variations of the peripheral and embedded patterns, and discuss the implications for prevention/interdiction.
摘要本文从关系的角度对独善其身的恐怖主义激进化进行了比较分析。对独行侠恐怖主义的现有研究表明,独行侠很少像公众所认为的那样“孤独”。在大多数情况下,单独行动的恐怖分子与已建立的激进组织有一些社会联系。因此,本文提出以下问题:(1)为什么这些人没有融入他们经常参与的激进团体,并参与集体暴力;(2)如果他们融入了激进团体,为什么他们最终会独自参与暴力?本文认为,恐怖分子的孤独激进化模式可以根据其孤独程度和进化进行分类。它强调了与更广泛的激进团体/运动相关的两种广泛的独行侠激进化模式——外围和嵌入——并探讨了为什么一些独行侠恐怖分子仍然外围地融入激进团体,而另一些则变得更加嵌入,只为单独参与暴力。这篇文章基于定性研究,利用了地理和意识形态上不同的案例样本(N=25),并获得了受限制的材料。本文确定并理论化了五种反复出现的激进化轨迹,它们是外围和嵌入模式的变化,并讨论了对预防/阻断的影响。
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引用次数: 24
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Dynamics of Asymmetric Conflict: Pathways toward Terrorism and Genocide
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