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Sad delusions: The decline and rise of Greater Europe 可悲的错觉:大欧洲的衰落与崛起
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1879366521999757
R. Sakwa
The end of the Cold War was accompanied by the idea that the fall of the Berlin Wall represented the beginning of the unification of Europe. Mikhail Gorbachev talked in terms of a “Common European Home,” an idea that continues in the guise of the project for a “Greater Europe.” However, right from the start, the transformative idea of Greater Europe was countered by the notion of “Europe whole and free,” whose fundamental dynamic was the enlargement of the existing West European order to encompass the rest of the continent. This was a program for the enlargement of the Atlantic system. After some prevarication, the enlargement agenda proved unacceptable to Moscow, and while it continues to argue in favor of transformation its main efforts are now devoted to creating some sort of “greater Eurasia.” There remains a fundamental tension between Atlanticist and pan-continental version of the post-–Cold War international order in the region. This tension gave rise to conflict and war: in 2008 (the Russo-Georgian War) and again from 2014 (Ukraine), and to what some call the Second Cold War. The continent is once again divided. However, pan-continentalism is far from dead, and although Greater Eurasian ideas have thrived, some sort of Greater European continentalism remains on the agenda. Is this, though, no more than a “sad delusion” or a genuine possibility?
冷战的结束伴随着柏林墙的倒塌代表着欧洲统一的开始的观点。米哈伊尔·戈尔巴乔夫(Mikhail Gorbachev)谈到了“欧洲共同之家”,这是一个以“大欧洲”项目为幌子的想法。然而,从一开始,“大欧洲”的变革理念就遭到了“欧洲整体和自由”理念的反对,“欧洲整体和自由”理念的基本动力是扩大现有的西欧秩序,以涵盖欧洲大陆的其他地区。这是一个扩大大西洋系统的计划。在一些推诿之后,扩大议程被证明是莫斯科无法接受的,尽管它继续主张转型,但它现在的主要努力是致力于创造某种“大欧亚”。在该地区,大西洋主义和泛大陆版的冷战后国际秩序之间仍然存在根本性的紧张关系。这种紧张关系引发了冲突和战争:2008年(俄罗斯-格鲁吉亚战争)和2014年(乌克兰战争),以及一些人所说的第二次冷战。欧洲大陆再次分裂。然而,泛大陆主义远未消亡,尽管大欧亚思想蓬勃发展,但某种形式的大欧洲大陆主义仍在议程上。然而,这仅仅是一种“可悲的错觉”还是一种真正的可能性?
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引用次数: 4
A study on the effect of COVID-19 on job satisfaction of SME’ workers in China -Job involvement as intermediary variable and welfare as moderating variable- 新冠肺炎疫情对中国中小企业员工工作满意度的影响研究——工作投入为中介变量,福利为调节变量
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.31203/AEPA.2021.18.1.005
Y. Chan, Song Jae-Hoon
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引用次数: 0
Trade-offs and inconsistencies of the Russian foreign policy: The case of Eurasia 俄罗斯外交政策的取舍与矛盾:以欧亚大陆为例
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1879366521998241
I. Busygina, M. Filippov
In this article, we explore the inherent trade-offs and inconsistencies of Russia’s policies toward the post-Soviet space. We argue that attempts to rebuild an image of Russia as a “great power” have actually led to a reduction of Russian influence in the post-Soviet region. The more Russia acted as a “Great Power,” the less credible was its promise to respect the national sovereignty of the former Soviet republics. In 2011, Vladimir Putin declared that during his next term as president, his goal would be to establish a powerful supra-national Eurasian Union capable of becoming one of the poles in a multipolar world. However, Russia’s attempt to force Ukraine to join the Eurasian Union provoked the 2014 crisis. The Ukrainian crisis has de-facto completed the separation of Ukraine and Russia and made successful post-Soviet re-integration around Russia improbable.
在本文中,我们探讨了俄罗斯对后苏联空间政策的内在权衡和不一致性。我们认为,重建俄罗斯“大国”形象的尝试实际上导致了俄罗斯在后苏联地区影响力的削弱。俄罗斯越是扮演“大国”的角色,其尊重前苏联加盟共和国国家主权的承诺就越不可信。2011年,弗拉基米尔•普京(Vladimir Putin)宣布,在他的下一个总统任期内,他的目标将是建立一个强大的超国家欧亚联盟,使其能够成为多极世界中的一个极。然而,俄罗斯试图迫使乌克兰加入欧亚联盟引发了2014年的危机。乌克兰危机实际上完成了乌克兰和俄罗斯的分离,并使俄罗斯周围的后苏联重新整合变得不可能成功。
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引用次数: 2
Between Russia and China: Central Asia in Greater Eurasia 在俄罗斯和中国之间:大欧亚大陆的中亚
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.1177/1879366521998242
A. Kazantsev, S. Medvedeva, I. Safranchuk
Central Asian states are usually considered as passive elements rather than active agents of integration in Greater Eurasia. This article considers the role of these states as active agents shaping integration processes according to their own interests and perspectives. All Central Asian states conduct so-called “multivector” foreign policies balancing relations with the key great powers (Russia, China, and “collective West”) as well as with Middle Eastern and South Asian nations. From their point of view, the ideal formula for Greater Eurasia should include the entire continent. However, the current geopolitical situation in the world turns integration of Central Asian nations with Russia and China into the only available option. Political and military integration with Russia within the CSTO as well as economic integration with Russia within the Eurasian Economic Union are key elements of this. The SCO is also very important as the key structure shaping regional security system. The general framework for the construction of Greater Eurasia including Russia, China, and Central Asian nations in the economic sphere is mostly connected to the Chinese “Belt and Road” initiative and to the agreement on cooperation between this initiative and the Eurasian Economic Union. However, between Central Asian nations, on one hand, and Moscow and Beijing, on the other hand, there are still many practical issues that must be solved to push integration forward, and currently there are no indicators that these issues would be solved in the near future.
中亚国家通常被认为是大欧亚一体化的被动因素,而不是积极因素。本文考虑了这些国家根据自己的利益和观点作为积极主体塑造整合过程的作用。所有中亚国家都实行所谓的“多方向”外交政策,平衡与主要大国(俄罗斯、中国和“集体西方”)以及中东和南亚国家的关系。从他们的观点来看,大欧亚大陆的理想模式应该包括整个大陆。然而,当前世界地缘政治形势使中亚国家与俄罗斯和中国的一体化成为唯一可行的选择。在集体安全条约组织内与俄罗斯的政治和军事一体化以及在欧亚经济联盟内与俄罗斯的经济一体化是其中的关键因素。上海合作组织作为地区安全体系的关键结构,也非常重要。在经济领域,包括俄罗斯、中国和中亚国家在内的大欧亚大陆建设的总体框架主要与中国的“一带一路”倡议以及该倡议与欧亚经济联盟的合作协议有关。然而,以中亚国家为一方,与莫斯科和北京为另一方,为了推动一体化,仍有许多实际问题必须解决,目前没有迹象表明这些问题将在不久的将来得到解决。
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引用次数: 20
Abbreviations 缩写
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-09-23 DOI: 10.1163/24685623-12340093
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引用次数: 0
The past, the present, and the foreseeable future of Russian manufacturing subsidiaries of Western multinational corporations 西方跨国公司俄罗斯制造子公司的过去、现在和可预见的未来
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-08-27 DOI: 10.1177/1879366520949886
I. Gurkov, Zokirzhon B. Saidov
This article retraces the development of Russian manufacturing subsidiaries of Western multinational corporations from the late 1980s until 2019. Using secondary sources and a unique handcrafted database on significant extensions of manufacturing facilities of Western multinational corporations in Russia during 2012–2018, we present the position of Russian manufacturing subsidiaries of Western multinational corporations before and after the beginning of sanctions. We also indicate the major strategic challenges that they currently face, including the necessity to maintain dual loyalty (to home country and host country authorities), manage the deteriorating quality of business regulations in Russia, and overcome the increasing shortage of qualified personnel at all levels. The data on the opening of new facilities in 2017–2018 reveal that such issues impede but cannot stop the quantitative development of foreign-owned Russian manufacturing facilities. At the same time, saving on managerial expenses and low “investments in non-current assets” of the established manufacturing subsidiaries may break down “the innovation engine” assembled in many Russian manufacturing subsidiaries of Western multinational corporations and bring them into the periphery of their corporate parents, where the attention and resources from the corporate center are lacking.
本文回顾了西方跨国公司俄罗斯制造子公司从20世纪80年代末到2019年的发展历程。利用二手资料和西方跨国公司在2012-2018年期间在俄罗斯生产设施重大扩展的独特手工数据库,我们展示了西方跨国公司在制裁开始前后的俄罗斯制造子公司的位置。我们还指出了他们目前面临的主要战略挑战,包括保持双重忠诚(对母国和东道国当局)的必要性,管理俄罗斯日益恶化的商业法规质量,以及克服各级合格人才日益短缺的问题。2017-2018年新工厂开业的数据显示,这些问题阻碍但不能阻止俄罗斯外资制造工厂的量化发展。与此同时,已建立的制造子公司节省的管理费用和较低的“非流动资产投资”可能会打破西方跨国公司在俄罗斯制造子公司组装的“创新引擎”,使其进入母公司的外围,缺乏来自企业中心的关注和资源。
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引用次数: 3
On becoming a development cooperation partner: Kazakhstan’s foreign policy, identity, and international norms 关于成为发展合作伙伴:哈萨克斯坦的外交政策、身份和国际准则
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/1879366520943899
Insebayeva Nafissa
This article joins the discussion on foreign aid triggered by the rise of multiplicity of emerging donors in international development. Informed by the constructivist framework of analysis, this article evaluates the philosophy and core features of Kazakhstan’s chosen development aid model and explains the factors that account for the construction of distinct aid patterns of Kazakh donorship. This article asserts that Kazakhstan embraces a hybrid identity as a foreign aid provider through combining features and characteristics pertaining to both—emerging and traditional donors. On one hand, it discursively constructed its identity as a “development cooperation partner,” adopting the relevant discourse of mutual benefit, respect for sovereignty, and non-interference, which places it among those providers that actively associate themselves with the community of “emerging donors.” On the other hand, it selectively complies with policies and practices advocated by traditional donors. This study suggests that a combination of domestic and international factors played an important role in shaping Kazakhstan’s understanding of the aid-giving practices, and subsequently determined its constructed aid modality.
本文加入了关于国际发展中新兴援助国多样性崛起所引发的对外援助的讨论。本文运用建构主义的分析框架,评价了哈萨克斯坦所选择的发展援助模式的理念和核心特征,并解释了哈萨克斯坦独特的捐赠援助模式构建的因素。本文断言,哈萨克斯坦通过结合新兴和传统援助国的特点和特征,接受了作为外国援助提供者的混合身份。一方面,它在话语上构建了自己作为“发展合作伙伴”的身份,采用了互利、尊重主权和不干涉的相关话语,这使它成为那些积极与“新兴捐助国”社区联系在一起的提供者之一。另一方面,它有选择地遵守传统捐助国所提倡的政策和做法。本研究表明,国内和国际因素的结合在形成哈萨克斯坦对援助实践的理解并随后确定其构建的援助模式方面发挥了重要作用。
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引用次数: 4
De-securitizing the “Silk Road”: Uzbekistan’s cooperation agenda with Russia, China, Japan, and South Korea in the post-Karimov era “丝绸之路”的非证券化:乌兹别克斯坦在后卡里莫夫时代与俄罗斯、中国、日本和韩国的合作议程
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/1879366520943896
Timur Dadabaev
This article argues that Uzbekistan’s cooperation agenda with Russia, China, Japan, and South Korea demonstrates clear signs of breaking with the Karimov-era security-driven agenda for cooperation in favor of de-securitization. This article uses a comparative analysis of the engagement of Russia, China, Japan, and South Korea with Uzbekistan through an analysis of the shifting political discourses in Uzbekistan and these states, statistics regarding their interaction, and an analysis of the economic road maps of their engagement from 2015 onward. This timeframe is attributed particular importance in this article, as it symbolizes the new opening of Uzbekistan toward these four states after the death of its dictatorial President Islam Karimov. In terms of the narrative, this article will first explore the problem of the securitization of the Central Asian region and the cooperation agenda. The article then discusses the motivations of Uzbekistan and its cooperation counterparts in pursuing closer ties. This discussion will then be followed by an analysis of how the new leadership in Uzbekistan re-evaluated its past behavior to address its post- and neocolonial challenges and the cooperation agendas with Russia, China, South Korea, and Japan.
本文认为,乌兹别克斯坦与俄罗斯、中国、日本和韩国的合作议程显示出与卡里莫夫时代安全驱动的合作议程决裂的明显迹象,有利于去证券化。本文对俄罗斯、中国、日本和韩国与乌兹别克斯坦的接触进行了比较分析,分析了乌兹别克斯坦和这些国家不断变化的政治话语,统计了它们之间的互动,并分析了2015年以来它们接触的经济路线图。这一时间框架在本文中特别重要,因为它象征着乌兹别克斯坦在其独裁总统伊斯兰·卡里莫夫去世后对这四个国家的新开放。在叙事方面,本文将首先探讨中亚地区的证券化问题和合作议程。文章随后讨论了乌兹别克斯坦及其合作伙伴寻求更紧密联系的动机。讨论之后,将分析乌兹别克斯坦的新领导层如何重新评估其过去的行为,以应对其后殖民主义和新殖民主义挑战,以及与俄罗斯、中国、韩国和日本的合作议程。
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引用次数: 6
Guest warriors: The phenomenon of post-soviet fighters in the Syrian conflict 客串战士:后苏联时代的战士在叙利亚冲突中的现象
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-07-01 DOI: 10.1177/1879366520947105
Azamat Sakiev
A puzzling aspect of the Syrian war has been the seemingly endless infusion of foreign fighters who have fueled and sustained the conflict. Unique among these are the militants from former Soviet regions such as Northern Caucasus in Russia and republics of Central Asia. In the evolving complexity of a layered and multifaceted conflict, it is easy to overlook the incongruousness of their presence in the conflict. Unlike most other foreign fighters, including those joining from Western Europe and North America, the post-Soviet militants lack the ethno-linguistic ties to the region. Rather, they hail from areas steeped in comparatively secular traditions and largely detached from the central tenants of the Syrian war. This makes their presence among extremist groups, such as the Islamic State, somewhat intriguing and anomalous. A key question, therefore, is why would these individuals join what to them in many ways is an alien war with extremely prohibitive costs? This articles proposes, as complementary to the dominant religious-ideological accounts, an explanation rooted in the enabling effect of marginalization processes in militants’ domestic settings.
叙利亚战争的一个令人困惑的方面是,外国战斗人员似乎不断涌入,助长并维持了这场冲突。其中最独特的是来自前苏联地区的武装分子,如俄罗斯的北高加索地区和中亚共和国。在不断演变的复杂的多层次和多方面的冲突中,很容易忽视他们在冲突中的不协调存在。不像其他大多数外国武装分子,包括那些从西欧和北美加入的武装分子,后苏联武装分子缺乏与该地区的民族语言联系。相反,他们来自那些浸透了相对世俗传统的地区,基本上与叙利亚战争的核心租户无关。这使得他们出现在伊斯兰国(Islamic State)等极端组织中,显得有些有趣和反常。因此,一个关键的问题是,为什么这些人会加入一场在很多方面都是代价高昂的外星战争?作为对主流宗教意识形态的补充,本文提出了一种根植于激进分子国内环境中边缘化进程的有利影响的解释。
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引用次数: 2
Insufficiently diverse: The problem of nonviolent leverage and radicalization of Ukraine’s Maidan uprising, 2013–2014 多样性不足:2013-2014年乌克兰独立广场起义的非暴力杠杆和激进化问题
Q1 Arts and Humanities Pub Date : 2020-06-14 DOI: 10.1177/1879366520928363
Volodymyr Ishchenko
The article explains the violent radicalization of the initially peaceful Maidan uprising in January 2014 as the result of failure to build efficient leverage against Viktor Yanukovych with nonviolent methods. Maidan lacked critical diversity of nonviolent tactics insofar as directly disruptive methods of noncooperation (e.g., strikes and boycott) remained small-scale and inefficient. The Maidan protest coalition primarily lacked social-organizational resources, i.e. authoritative civil society organizations and strong labor movement, for developing nonviolent leverage that was partially connected to gaps in ideological and regional diversity and partially to unfavorable structural conditions. However, radical nationalists actively participating in the protests possessed a unique combination of resources for initiating and diffusing efficient, coordinated, and strategic violence when it became legitimated by intensifying repressions and disillusionment in the incapacity of the oppositional political parties to propose an efficient strategy against the government. Violent radicalization facilitated geographical expansion of disruption via occupations of governmental buildings in western and central Ukrainian regions that the state was ultimately incapable of containing.
这篇文章解释了2014年1月最初和平的独立广场起义的暴力激进化,因为未能通过非暴力方法建立有效的杠杆来对抗亚努科维奇。独立广场缺乏非暴力策略的关键多样性,因为直接破坏性的不合作方法(例如罢工和抵制)仍然是小规模和低效的。独立广场抗议联盟主要缺乏社会组织资源,即权威的公民社会组织和强大的劳工运动,无法发展非暴力手段,这部分与意识形态和地区多样性的差距有关,部分与不利的结构条件有关。然而,积极参与抗议活动的激进民族主义者拥有独特的资源组合,可以发起和扩散有效的、协调的和战略性的暴力,当它通过加强镇压和对反对派政党无力提出有效的反政府战略的幻灭而变得合法时。通过占领乌克兰西部和中部地区的政府大楼,暴力激进化推动了破坏活动在地理上的扩大,而乌克兰政府最终无力遏制这些地区。
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引用次数: 8
期刊
Journal of Eurasian Studies
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