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«Community Spirit» in Tackling Security Threats 应对安全威胁的“社区精神”
Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-4-91-127-136
N. V. Gavrilenko
Book review: Berling T.V., Gad U.P., Petersen K.L. and Wæver O. 2022. Translations of Security:A Framework for the Study of Unwanted Futures. Routledge. 235 p.
书评:柏林电视公司、盖德联合公司、彼得森K.L.和Wæver O. 2022。翻译的安全:一个框架的研究不想要的未来。劳特利奇,235页。
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引用次数: 0
Examining US Perspectives on Confrontation with China in the Caribbean 审视美国在加勒比地区与中国对抗的观点
Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-4-91-137-149
I. A. Sokov
Book review: MacDonald S.B. 2022. The New Cold War, China, and the Caribbean: Economic Statecraft, China and Strategic Realignments. Springer Nature Switzerland AG. 310 р. DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-06149-3
书评:MacDonald S.B. 2022。新冷战、中国和加勒比:经济治国方略、中国和战略调整。施普林格自然瑞士股份有限公司310р。DOI: 10.1007 / 978-3-031-06149-3
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引用次数: 0
Navigating the Aftermath: U.S. Policy in Afghanistan Following Troop Withdrawal 《应对后果:撤军后美国在阿富汗的政策》
Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-4-91-56-71
Z. Makoveeva
The withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan in the middle of 2021 has put at stake and turned to shock the world community. The world, which was fighting COVID-19, faced more concerns about the US withdrawal from Afghanistan. It became not only a concern of Middle East countries, but it raised questions in Europe too. While the Middle East countries were anxious about security issues in the region, Europe was anxious about the mass migration of refugees. Russia, the country which is crucially interested in stable peace in the Middle East, and China, which is cooperating with Afghanistan in the economic sector, began negotiations with the Taliban government to stabilize the situation peacefully after the withdrawal of American troops. The article analyzes the changes in US policy in Afghanistan after the withdrawal of troops in August 2021. The withdrawal of the US military contingent from Afghanistan has changed the balance of power in Central Asia, which, on the one hand, creates new risks to international security, and on the other hand, opens up new opportunities for interested players in the international arena in the region. In the new conditions, the United States is forced to restructure its policy towards Afghanistan and change its security strategy in accordance with the new balance of forces in the region. The findings of the study relate to the actual interests of the United States in the field of security in Afghanistan and in the Central Asian region as a whole.
美国将于2021年中期从阿富汗撤军,这一决定令国际社会感到震惊。正在抗击新冠肺炎疫情的世界面临更多对美国从阿富汗撤军的担忧。这不仅引起了中东国家的关注,也引起了欧洲的质疑。当中东国家对该地区的安全问题感到焦虑时,欧洲对大规模难民移民感到焦虑。对中东地区的稳定和平至关重要的俄罗斯和在经济领域与阿富汗进行合作的中国,在美军撤离后开始与塔利班政府进行和平稳定局势的谈判。本文分析了美国在2021年8月撤军后对阿富汗政策的变化。美军从阿富汗撤军改变了中亚地区的力量对比,一方面给国际安全带来了新的风险,另一方面也为本地区国际舞台上的利益攸关方提供了新的机遇。在新的形势下,美国被迫根据新的地区力量对比调整对阿政策,改变安全战略。这项研究的结果与美国在阿富汗和整个中亚地区安全领域的实际利益有关。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Assessment of Global Value Chains' Influence on National Economies 全球价值链对国民经济影响的比较评估
Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-09-19 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-4-91-107-126
K. S. Goncharova, A. G. Shelomentsev, N N. Masyuk
In recent decades, a predominant trend in the transformation of national economies worldwide has been the extensive establishment of global value chains and the increased activities of transnational corporations (TNCs). Despite the scale of these phenomena, they have not received adequate scholarly attention, both at the level of individual countries and on a global scale. This paper presents the results of a comprehensive analysis that combines theoretical approaches with empirical investigations of the interplay between the formation and vigorous expansion of global value chains and the dynamics of national economic transformation worldwide. This relationship is examined in the context of foreign multinational corporations operating in sectors such as chemistry and pharmaceuticals, electronics, electrical equipment, and the automotive industry.To achieve the objectives of this study, a range of complementary research methods were employed, including descriptive analysis, comparative analysis, generalization and grouping techniques, and cartographic analysis. The study yields several key findings: Firstly, a global trend of progressive reduction in the share of domestic producers within the industries under consideration has been observed. This trend is most conspicuous in the countries of the former socialist bloc in Central and Eastern Europe, including Poland, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Lithuania, Latvia, Estonia, and Romania. These countries previously maintained domestic production levels exceeding 50% of the total volume for the specific product types. Secondly, the field of automobile production exhibits the highest proportion of foreign companies contributing to the total volume of products manufactured. In 33 out of the 58 countries analyzed, foreign multinational corporations account for more than 50% of production. Thirdly, a selection of countries in Western Europe, the Middle East, and the Asia-Pacific region—such as Germany, Italy, France, Israel, the USA, China, Japan, the Russian Federation, India, and Korea—play a substantial role in the development of global value chains through the active expansion of their national TNCs. International companies from these countries are progressively shaping a global socio-economic framework. Lastly, recent years have seen the emergence of a new stage in the evolution of global value chains, prompted by exceptional factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the trade conflict between China and the United States, and the conflict in Ukraine. This stage necessitates a profound reconsideration of the strategies employed by current participants in global chains, driven by the imperative of preserving their sustainability.
近几十年来,世界各国经济转型的一个主要趋势是全球价值链的广泛建立和跨国公司活动的增加。尽管这些现象规模巨大,但无论是在个别国家还是在全球范围内,它们都没有得到足够的学术关注。本文将理论方法与实证调查相结合,对全球价值链的形成和蓬勃发展与全球各国经济转型动态之间的相互作用进行了全面分析。这种关系是在外国跨国公司经营部门,如化学和制药,电子,电气设备和汽车工业的背景下进行审查。为了实现本研究的目标,我们采用了一系列互补的研究方法,包括描述性分析、比较分析、概括和分组技术以及制图分析。这项研究得出了几项关键结论:首先,观察到国内生产商在所审议的工业中所占份额逐渐减少的全球趋势。这种趋势在波兰、保加利亚、捷克、立陶宛、拉脱维亚、爱沙尼亚、罗马尼亚等前社会主义阵营的中东欧国家最为明显。这些国家以前保持的国内生产水平超过特定产品类型总量的50%。其次,在汽车生产领域,外国公司对制造的产品总量的贡献比例最高。在被分析的58个国家中,有33个国家的外国跨国公司占生产的50%以上。第三,西欧、中东和亚太地区的一些国家——如德国、意大利、法国、以色列、美国、中国、日本、俄罗斯联邦、印度和韩国——通过本国跨国公司的积极扩张,在全球价值链的发展中发挥了重要作用。来自这些国家的国际公司正在逐步塑造一个全球社会经济框架。最后,近年来,在新冠肺炎疫情、中美贸易冲突、乌克兰冲突等特殊因素的推动下,全球价值链演变进入新阶段。这一阶段需要深刻地重新考虑当前全球供应链参与者所采用的战略,以保持其可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
Designing a Network Model for the Russian International Schools 俄罗斯国际学校网络模式的设计
Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-4-91-34-55
V. A. Yasvin, R. I. Kotov, I. S. Demakov, A. S. Khromykh
Education is one of Russia's instruments of foreign policy aimed at fostering humanitarian cooperation. Currently, the primary focus is on higher education, while the significance of exporting general education is undervalued. State support measures for existing Russian overseas schools, in accordance with the concepts of "Russian School Abroad" and "Key Directions of Russia's Policy in the Field of International Cultural and Humanitarian Cooperation," are primarily directed toward Russian-speaking compatriots and have little orientation toward broader segments of foreign populations. At the same time, the Concept of the Humanitarian Policy of the Russian Federation Abroad, dated September 5, 2022, explicitly emphasizes the need to expand the network of Russian schools abroad. This article examines a project to establish a network of Russian international schools targeting foreign citizens in a consortium format as a case study that could serve as a model for addressing the stated objective. Particular attention is paid to the socio-political, methodological, and organizationalpedagogical aspects of the project.
教育是俄罗斯旨在促进人道主义合作的外交政策手段之一。目前,主要的重点是高等教育,而通识教育出口的重要性被低估。根据“俄罗斯海外学校”和“俄罗斯在国际文化和人道主义合作领域的政策重点方向”的概念,国家对现有俄罗斯海外学校的支持措施主要针对讲俄语的同胞,很少面向更广泛的外国人口。与此同时,2022年9月5日的《俄罗斯联邦海外人道主义政策构想》明确强调了扩大俄罗斯海外学校网络的必要性。本文考察了一个以财团形式建立面向外国公民的俄罗斯国际学校网络的项目,作为一个案例研究,可以作为实现既定目标的模型。特别关注的是该项目的社会政治、方法和组织教学方面。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Cancel Culture on Politics and International Relations 取消文化对政治与国际关系的影响
Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-09-18 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-4-91-7-33
L. V. Deriglazova, A. M. Pogorelskaya
The article aims to reveal particularities of cancel culture in politics and international relations using methods of sociology and conflict theory. Deriving from previous research of cancel culture, authors define cancel culture as non-institutionalized form of social control that is implemented through mass mobilization in social media. After informal pressure the formal punishment could follow against those who break norms or behavior expectations. As a kind of social control cancel culture could contribute to overcoming gap between manifested values and social practices, preserving social order and fighting elitism and inequality. At the same time cancel culture could be used as instrument of unfair competition, political struggle and suppression of opinions. Comparison of cancel culture cases in the USA, United Kingdom and Russia allows to conclude that the scale and effectiveness of collective actions depend on national context, different systems of norms and values and cultural practices to react on violation of values and norms. In politics and international relations cancel culture manifests as an addition to actions of formal political institutions, and it aims to undermine authority and reputation of a politician. It is important that in politics and international relations cancel culture is an instrument of informal control, which follows formal sanctions. Conclusions about the nature of cancel culture as an instrument of politics helps to understand better its functions in regard to attempts to “cancel” Russia. Cancel culture adds to formal sanctions and aims to isolate the country, to undermine its legitimacy as international actor. In regard to Russia the efforts are made to “cancel” it on two levels: formal – by sanctions and informal – via rejection to cooperate coming from various professional communities. In both cases countries and respective communities have their own understanding of norms and acceptable means and tools, and thus cancel culture becomes a toll of collective punishment. International relations lack universal understanding of norms and single center of political power, so that causes selective usage of instruments to impact, and thus cancel culture becomes an instrument of political struggle.
本文旨在运用社会学和冲突理论的方法揭示取消文化在政治和国际关系中的特殊性。基于前人对取消文化的研究,作者将取消文化定义为一种非制度化的社会控制形式,通过社交媒体的大众动员来实现。在非正式的压力之后,对那些违反规范或行为期望的人进行正式的惩罚。作为一种社会控制,取消文化有助于克服表现价值与社会实践之间的差距,维护社会秩序,对抗精英主义和不平等。同时,取消文化也可能成为不正当竞争、政治斗争和压制舆论的工具。通过对美国、英国和俄罗斯取消文化案例的比较,我们可以得出结论,集体行动的规模和有效性取决于国家背景、不同的规范和价值观体系以及对违反价值观和规范的反应的文化实践。在政治和国际关系中,取消文化表现为对正式政治机构行为的补充,其目的是破坏政治家的权威和声誉。重要的是,在政治和国际关系中,取消文化是正式制裁之后的非正式控制工具。关于取消文化作为一种政治工具的性质的结论有助于更好地理解它在试图“取消”俄罗斯方面的功能。取消文化是对朝鲜正式制裁的补充,目的是孤立该国,破坏其作为国际行动者的合法性。关于俄罗斯,正在努力从两个层面“取消”它:正式的- -通过制裁和非正式的- -通过各种专业团体拒绝合作。在这两种情况下,国家和各自的社区对规范和可接受的手段和工具都有自己的理解,因此取消文化成为集体惩罚的代价。国际关系缺乏对规范的普遍理解和政治权力的单一中心,从而导致工具的选择性使用受到冲击,从而取消文化成为政治斗争的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Russia’s Foreign Trade with the GCC Countries: Dynamics, Characteristics and Opportunities 俄罗斯与海湾合作委员会国家的对外贸易:动态、特点与机遇
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-3-90-222-243
L. V. Shkvarya
This article examines the foreign trade relations between the Russian Federation and the states of the Cooperation Council of the Arab States of the Persian Gulf (GCC) in the 21st century. It considers the development of bilateral trade and economic cooperation with Middle Eastern states, particularly the Arabian monarchies, as an essential direction for enhancing Russia's integration into the global economic system in the context of increasing anti-Russian sanctions. The study's relevance lies in the Russian Federation's need to intensify foreign trade and investment cooperation with friendly states under the current circumstances. The research holds theoretical and practical significance for understanding the characteristics, challenges, and future development of bilateral trade relations with Gulf states.The article aims to analyze the current state of mutual trade between the Russian Federation and GCC countries from 2000 to 2021 and identify the main factors influencing the dynamics and effectiveness of this trade. It establishes that trade and economic cooperation between both sides are founded on a stable objective basis, characterized by similarities and proximity in economic potential levels between the Russian Federation and the GCC countries as a collective business entity, considering individual country characteristics. The economic foundations and mutual benefits remain a priority for further cooperation. Trade volumes, both in goods and services, have shown steady growth, particularly in the past 5-6 years, although there are significant differentiations among countries. The United Arab Emirates (UAE) remains Russia's primary trading partner within the GCC. However, trade flows between Russia and the UAE, as well as other Gulf states, are imbalanced, with Russian exports to the Arabian monarchies significantly exceeding imports from the region. The commodity structure of bilateral trade also requires improvement, offering opportunities for both parties to enhance efficiency. The author suggests that future efforts should focus on developing trade in areas that contribute to economic diversification, the establishment of foundations for "green energy" and other promising sectors, and continuous enhancement of the regulatory framework for cooperation.The analysis draws on data from the UNCTAD international database, ensuring the formulation of reliable and well-founded conclusions. The research utilizes various methods, including comparative analysis, statistical analysis, factor analysis, as well as historical, institutional, and causal approaches.
本文考察了21世纪俄罗斯联邦与波斯湾阿拉伯国家合作委员会(GCC)成员国之间的对外贸易关系。它认为发展与中东国家,特别是阿拉伯君主制国家的双边贸易和经济合作,是在反俄制裁日益增加的背景下加强俄罗斯融入全球经济体系的重要方向。这项研究的意义在于,在当前形势下,俄罗斯联邦需要加强与友好国家的对外贸易和投资合作。本研究对于理解中国与海湾国家双边贸易关系的特点、挑战和未来发展具有理论和现实意义。本文旨在分析2000年至2021年俄罗斯联邦与海湾合作委员会国家之间相互贸易的现状,并确定影响这种贸易动态和有效性的主要因素。它规定双方之间的贸易和经济合作是建立在稳定的客观基础上的,其特点是俄罗斯联邦和海湾合作委员会国家作为一个集体商业实体在经济潜力水平上相似和接近,同时考虑到个别国家的特点。经济基础和互利共赢仍然是进一步合作的优先方向。货物和服务的贸易量显示出稳定的增长,特别是在过去的5-6年里,尽管各国之间存在很大的差异。阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)仍然是俄罗斯在海湾合作委员会内的主要贸易伙伴。然而,俄罗斯与阿联酋以及其他海湾国家之间的贸易流动并不平衡,俄罗斯对阿拉伯君主国的出口远远超过从该地区的进口。双边贸易的商品结构也需要改善,这为双方提高效率提供了机会。作者建议,未来的努力应侧重于发展有助于经济多样化的领域的贸易,为“绿色能源”和其他有前景的领域奠定基础,并不断加强合作的监管框架。该分析利用贸发会议国际数据库的数据,确保得出可靠和有根据的结论。本研究运用了多种方法,包括比较分析、统计分析、因素分析以及历史方法、制度方法和因果方法。
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引用次数: 0
Excess Return of US Mutual Funds 美国共同基金的超额回报
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-3-90-244-262
N. Artamonov, A. Kurbatskii
The paper examines the factors that contribute to the outperformance of mutual funds in relation to the market, with a particular emphasis on the macroeconomic indicators as the key variables of interest. The paper begins by providing a comprehensive literature review on various factors that can impact the performance of mutual funds. The discussion encompasses a wide range of topics, including skill presence, diseconomies of scale, and other challenges associated with generating excess returns for investors.In the second part of the paper, an empirical analysis is conducted using actively managed US mutual funds to establish a relationship between fund performance and macro-variables, specifically focusing on term and credit spreads. Furthermore, the study considers different returns on positive and negative changes in spreads. The sample consists of funds that primarily invest in various sectors within the United States, with the Standard and Poor's 500 (S&P 500) serving as the benchmark. To assess the performance of funds with active strategies, panel data models are applied, with the excess return over the benchmark as the dependent variable. Different subperiods, including the financial crisis and the COVID-19 period, are examined. Notably, the impact of variables during the pandemic period differs significantly from other subperiods. The findings indicate that positive and negative changes in the spread between corporate bond yields have significant and positive effects across almost all periods, which has practical implications for potential investors. It suggests that active professional portfolio managers have been successful in uncertain periods. To control for external shocks and funds' cross-correlation, double-clustered standard errors are employed, and a series of robustness checks confirm the stability of the results.
本文考察了导致共同基金表现优于市场的因素,特别强调了宏观经济指标作为感兴趣的关键变量。本文首先对影响共同基金业绩的各种因素进行了全面的文献综述。讨论涵盖了广泛的主题,包括技能存在,规模不经济以及与为投资者创造超额回报相关的其他挑战。在论文的第二部分,我们使用主动管理的美国共同基金进行了实证分析,以建立基金绩效与宏观变量之间的关系,特别关注期限和信用利差。此外,该研究还考虑了利差正变化和负变化的不同回报。样本包括主要投资于美国各个行业的基金,以标准普尔500指数(S&P 500)为基准。为了评估积极策略基金的绩效,采用面板数据模型,以基准超额收益为因变量。研究了不同的子时期,包括金融危机和COVID-19时期。值得注意的是,大流行期间变量的影响与其他子时期有很大不同。研究结果表明,公司债券收益率息差的正负变化几乎在所有时期都具有显著的积极影响,这对潜在投资者具有实际意义。它表明,积极的专业投资组合经理在不确定时期取得了成功。为了控制外部冲击和资金的相互关系,采用了双聚类标准误差,并进行了一系列稳健性检验,证实了结果的稳定性。
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引用次数: 0
Russian Black Sea Trade in Early 19th Century E.P. Kudryavtseva 19世纪早期俄罗斯的黑海贸易
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-3-90-199-221
E. Kudryavtseva
This research article examines the development of trade in Crimea and Novorossiya following their incorporation into Russia. In the early 19th century, the grain trade in these regions had yet to gain momentum due to their limited development. However, ports in Feodosia, Taganrog, and Odessa regularly received ships from Constantinople and the Greek islands, while the port of Sevastopol primarily served military purposes. In 1821, under the decree of Alexander I, a port was established in Kerch to serve as an outpost at the entrance to the Sea of Azov and initiate trade relations with the mountain peoples along the Caucasian coast of the Black Sea. The Russian authorities faced challenges such as arms smuggling and the flourishing slave trade during this period. Establishing trade relations between Crimea and Circassia was intended to promote peaceful interactions with the inhabitants of the Caucasian coast. To facilitate this, the Stewardship of Trade with the Circassians and Abazians was established, regulating ship dispatch to the Caucasian coast and overseeing the operations of markets in Kerch and Bugaz. Relations with the highland communities proved difficult, as they frequently captured Russian ship crews and demanded ransoms. Even after the Treaty of Adrianople in 1829, when these territories became part of the Russian Empire, the local populations resisted submission to the new government, just as they had resisted the authority of the Turkish Sultan previously.
本文考察了克里米亚和新罗西亚并入俄罗斯后的贸易发展情况。19世纪初,由于发展有限,这些地区的粮食贸易尚未形成势头。然而,费奥多西亚、塔甘罗格和敖德萨的港口定期接收来自君士坦丁堡和希腊岛屿的船只,而塞瓦斯托波尔的港口主要用于军事目的。1821年,根据亚历山大一世的法令,在刻赤建立了一个港口,作为亚速海入口的前哨,并开始与黑海高加索沿岸的山区人民进行贸易关系。在这一时期,俄罗斯当局面临着诸如武器走私和繁荣的奴隶贸易等挑战。在克里米亚和切尔喀西亚之间建立贸易关系的目的是促进与高加索沿岸居民的和平交往。为了促进这一点,建立了与切尔克斯人和阿巴齐亚人的贸易管理,规范船只向高加索海岸的派遣,并监督刻赤和布加兹市场的运作。事实证明,与高地社区的关系很困难,因为他们经常绑架俄罗斯船员并索要赎金。即使在1829年《阿德里安堡条约》签订后,这些领土成为俄罗斯帝国的一部分,当地居民仍然拒绝服从新政府,就像他们之前抵制土耳其苏丹的权威一样。
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引用次数: 0
Drivers and Limitations of the Indian Startup Industry 印度创业产业的驱动因素与限制
IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.24833/2071-8160-2023-3-90-263-297
M. Reshchikova
This paper addresses the effectiveness of a state-supported startup ecosystem in India in the context of economic and social development challenges. By conducting a detailed study of Indian entrepreneurs, investors, and relevant government documents pertaining to startup ecosystem development programs, as well as reports from research and analytical centers providing key industry indicators, the author concludes that the current startup ecosystem in India, despite several achievements, lacks effectiveness due to persistent challenges of administrative and regulatory nature, as well as socio-economic factors. The unprecedented growth witnessed in this sector in 2021 has highlighted existing problems, demonstrating the inability to establish a sustainable support mechanism for startups while disregarding the limitations that hinder the entrepreneurial and consumer potential of the Indian economy. The findings of this research showcase the immense potential of the Indian startup industry, which undoubtedly serves as a driving force for economic development in India, despite its vulnerability to certain elements. The experiences of India, including the challenges encountered in building a robust startup ecosystem, can provide valuable insights for other countries such as Russia.
本文探讨了在经济和社会发展挑战的背景下,印度政府支持的创业生态系统的有效性。通过对印度企业家、投资者和与创业生态系统发展计划相关的政府文件的详细研究,以及提供关键行业指标的研究和分析中心的报告,作者得出结论,尽管取得了一些成就,但由于行政和监管性质以及社会经济因素的持续挑战,目前印度的创业生态系统缺乏有效性。2021年该行业前所未有的增长凸显了存在的问题,表明印度无法建立可持续的创业支持机制,同时忽视了阻碍印度经济创业和消费潜力的限制。这项研究的结果显示了印度创业行业的巨大潜力,毫无疑问,它是印度经济发展的动力,尽管它容易受到某些因素的影响。印度的经验,包括在建立一个强大的创业生态系统时遇到的挑战,可以为俄罗斯等其他国家提供有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
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MGIMO Review of International Relations
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