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The changing face of Chinese military generals: evolving promotion practices between 1981 and 2009 中国军队将领的变化:1981年至2009年间不断演变的晋升做法
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903538123
Joseph Lin
Abstract It is difficult to overstate the importance of the human factor in any institution. The motivation of this study is to discern patterns, by examining and analyzing the biographical information of those who had been promoted to People's Liberation Army (PLA) full generals (shangjiang), for a better insight into how Chinese military leadership has remade the PLA. A close examination of biographical information of PLA generals promoted during the past three decades indicates a number of intriguing patterns and trends, suggesting that Jiang Zemin and Hu Jintao during their tenures as chairmen of the Central Military Commission (the highest command authority in China's armed forces) have furthered the modernization of China's military by incorporating elements of diversity, stability and professionalization into the promotion practice of PLA generals.
在任何制度中,人的因素的重要性怎么强调都不为过。本研究的动机是通过检查和分析那些被提升为中国人民解放军(PLA)上将(上江)的人的传记信息来辨别模式,以便更好地了解中国军事领导层是如何重塑解放军的。
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引用次数: 0
Future Indian–South Korean ties: can Seoul use India to balance China? 未来的印韩关系:首尔能利用印度制衡中国吗?
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2010-03-26 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903522838
Michael G. Gallagher
Abstract India is an emerging great power and South Korea is a rising middle-ranking state. Both nations are democracies whose economies are increasingly intertwined. Seoul and New Delhi also share a potential problem—China. India often views Beijing as a possible enemy, while South Korean leaders have to be worried about maintaining their nation's independence in a world of expanding Chinese power. Therefore, this article will concentrate on the possibility of South Korea and India establishing a strategic relationship that goes beyond economics to include extended military ties. While analyzing the prospect for a robust strategic alliance between the two states, this paper will examine Indian–Korean economic ties, how Indians and South Koreans view China, the continued value of the Republic of Korea–United States alliance, what role Seoul's arms industry can play in India's military buildup, Indian foreign policy and strategic culture as it relates to Korea, and possible Chinese reactions to enhanced In...
印度是一个新兴大国,韩国是一个正在崛起的中等国家。这两个国家都是民主国家,经济日益交织在一起。首尔和新德里还有一个共同的潜在问题——中国。印度经常将北京视为潜在的敌人,而韩国领导人不得不担心在中国实力不断扩大的世界中保持国家的独立性。因此,本文将集中讨论韩国和印度建立超越经济、包括扩大军事关系的战略关系的可能性。在分析两国之间强有力的战略联盟的前景的同时,本文将研究印韩经济关系、印度人和韩国人如何看待中国、韩美联盟的持续价值、首尔的军工在印度的军事建设中可以发挥什么作用、印度与韩国有关的外交政策和战略文化,以及中国对加强中印关系可能做出的反应。
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引用次数: 4
Chinese energy policy in Central and South Asia 中国在中亚和南亚的能源政策
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298926
Stephen J. Blank
Abstract China has exploited its relatively strong position following the current global financial and economic crisis, to buy up energy positions throughout Asia. In doing so it is using the tactics it had developed earlier when energy prices were quite high to buttress its energy security. That security entails having multiple secure sources of energy over land that cannot be interdicted by hostile naval forces. But beyond that, China's stronger position vis-a-vis distressed firms and governments allows it not only to buy key energy holdings, but also to exercise greater influence upon these firms’ and states’ policies and induce them to accommodate their policy preferences to Beijing's desiderata. The evidence brought forward here, concerning Russia, Kazakhstan, Myanmar, and Iran suggests that we are beginning to see a pattern of China leveraging its superior economic position in the current climate to induce this accommodating behavior and thereby begin to reorient security behavior in Asia even if it...
在当前的全球金融和经济危机中,中国利用其相对强势的地位,在亚洲各地收购能源头寸。在这样做的过程中,它正在使用它在能源价格相当高时制定的策略来支持其能源安全。这种安全需要在陆地上拥有多种安全的能源来源,不能被敌对的海军部队拦截。但除此之外,中国对陷入困境的公司和政府的强势地位不仅允许它购买关键的能源股份,而且还可以对这些公司和国家的政策施加更大的影响,并诱使他们调整政策偏好以满足北京的愿望。这里提出的关于俄罗斯、哈萨克斯坦、缅甸和伊朗的证据表明,我们开始看到一种模式,即中国在当前气候下利用其优越的经济地位来诱导这种包容行为,从而开始重新调整亚洲的安全行为,即使它……
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引用次数: 3
Medvedev's Russia, a ‘revisionist power’ or an ‘architect of a new world order’? The evolution of ideational factors and its cases 梅德韦杰夫治下的俄罗斯是“修正主义大国”还是“世界新秩序的建筑师”?观念因素的演变及其案例
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298942
Jun Kee Baek
Abstract This article explores the impact of ideational factors on Russian foreign policy outputs. “Collective ideas,” defined by Thorun as “shared expectations of behavior by the Russian leadership about the nature of international relations and ideas about the state,” characterizes the Russian leadership's perception of external challenges and its definition of national interests that crucially affect the leadership's choice of the most effective means for maximizing the national interests. To assess the influence of such ideational factors on the outputs of Russian foreign policy, analyzed in this research are major foreign policy speeches, statements, and interviews of the Russian leadership. This research analyzes the discourse to explore the perception of the Russian leadership and the Medvedev government on the nature of international relations, the identity of Russia, Russia's status and role in the international community, strategic national priorities, and strategic options for achieving its int...
摘要本文探讨了观念因素对俄罗斯外交政策产出的影响。索伦将“集体观念”定义为“俄罗斯领导层对国际关系本质和国家观念的共同行为期望”,这体现了俄罗斯领导层对外部挑战的看法及其对国家利益的定义,这对领导层选择实现国家利益最大化的最有效手段至关重要。为了评估这些观念因素对俄罗斯外交政策产出的影响,本研究分析了俄罗斯领导人的主要外交政策演讲、声明和访谈。本研究通过对话语的分析,探讨俄罗斯领导层和梅德韦杰夫政府对国际关系的本质、俄罗斯的身份、俄罗斯在国际社会中的地位和作用、国家战略重点以及实现其国际目标的战略选择的看法。
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引用次数: 8
Enduring difficulties in China–U.S. defense diplomacy 中美关系持续困难。国防外交
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298876
Richard Weitz
Abstract Despite decades of military-to-military talks and the creation of several China–U.S. defense confidence-building measures, clashes between Chinese and American military units operating in the international waters and airspace near China have repeatedly disrupted their bilateral relations. Since the mid-1990s, the two defense communities have negotiated a series of bilateral defense and security agreements and confidence-building measures seeking to reduce mutual tensions and advance their common security interests. These measures have promoted a better understanding of each party's security concerns, but they remain highly constrained and vulnerable to disruption from external shocks. Several factors have impeded their development. The most important obstacle has been the underlying contentious nature of the Chinese–U.S. relationship, which is manifested most acutely by tensions over Taiwan. As leaders of the weaker power, moreover, Chinese policymakers fear that excessive transparency could prov...
尽管几十年的军事对话和几个中美关系的建立。中美两国军事单位在中国附近的国际水域和空域活动时发生的冲突一再破坏了双边关系。自上世纪90年代中期以来,两国防务界就一系列双边防务与安全协定和建立信任措施进行了谈判,力求减少相互间的紧张关系,推进共同安全利益。这些措施促进了对各方安全关切的更好理解,但它们仍然受到高度限制,容易受到外部冲击的破坏。有几个因素阻碍了它们的发展。最重要的障碍是中美关系潜在的争议性。这一点在台湾问题上的紧张关系上表现得最为明显。此外,作为实力较弱国家的领导人,中国决策者担心过度的透明度可能会证明……
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引用次数: 2
Sino-Japanese relations: partners and rivals? 中日关系:伙伴还是对手?
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298868
Michael B. Yahuda
Abstract This article examines some of the stresses and strains underlying the development of the current partnership between China and Japan. It shows that the disputes that emerged after the end of the Cold War about the history of Japanese aggression against China (1931–45) that adversely affected relations between the two were less about history as such than about problems of identity within each country and between both countries. It further argues that despite their deepening economic interdependence, it was structural factors that created tension and rivalry between these two great powers of Asia. It was only the coincidence of domestic political changes in both China and Japan in 2006 that provided the opportunity for the new leaders in each country to break the ice between them. Since then it has required purposive and careful management by both sets of leaders to mitigate the divisive tendencies that could once again thrust the relationship into a descending spiral. Finally, it will be argued th...
本文探讨了当前中日伙伴关系发展背后的一些压力和紧张。它表明,冷战结束后出现的关于日本侵华历史(1931 - 1945)的争端,对两国关系产生了不利影响,与其说是关于历史本身,不如说是关于两国内部和两国之间的身份问题。文章进一步认为,尽管两国经济上的相互依存日益加深,但造成这两个亚洲大国之间紧张和竞争的是结构性因素。正是由于2006年中日两国国内的政治变化巧合,才为两国的新领导人提供了打破两国之间坚冰的机会。自那以来,两国领导人都需要有目的性和谨慎的管理,以缓和可能再次将两国关系推入下行螺旋的分裂倾向。最后,我们将讨论……
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引用次数: 5
The United Nations Command in Korea: past, present, and future 朝鲜联合国军司令部:过去、现在和未来
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298959
Won-gon Park
Abstract Established immediately following the outbreak of the Korean War in 1950, the United Nations Command (UNC) in Korea has maintained its presence on the Korean peninsula for the past 50 years while executing several duties and roles. In evaluating those tasks carried out by the UNC, one can identify four key functions: (1) repelling armed attack from North Korea; (2) supervising the implementation of and rectifying any violations of the armistice; (3) retaining and utilizing the UN Command rear bases in Japan; and (4) regulating and supporting the troops dispatched by UN members in response to emergencies. With the exception of the second function, the UNC was largely successful in performing its mission. Nevertheless, the recent possibility of the dissolution of the ROK–U.S. Combined Forces Command (CFC), along with the emergence of a peace regime on the Korean peninsula, has sparked debate on the necessity of revisiting the UNC amidst such change. On a basic level, since the UNC has significantly...
1950年朝鲜战争爆发后立即成立的联合国军司令部(UNC)在过去的50年里一直在朝鲜半岛维持其存在,同时履行若干职责和作用。在评价联合国军司令部执行的这些任务时,可以确定四个关键职能:(1)击退来自朝鲜的武装攻击;(二)监督停战的执行和纠正任何违反停战的行为;(三)保留和利用驻日联合国军司令部后方基地;(四)规范和支持联合国会员国为应对紧急情况而派遣的部队。除了第二项职能外,联合国军司令部在执行任务方面基本上是成功的。尽管如此,最近出现的韩美同盟解体的可能性。随着韩半岛和平体制的出现,联合国军司令部是否有必要在这种变化中重新启用,引发了争论。在基本层面上,由于联合国军司令部已显著…
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引用次数: 5
The U.S.–Japan alliance and the future of extended deterrence 美日同盟和延伸威慑的未来
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298900
James L. Schoff
Abstract North Korea's redoubled efforts to perfect its nuclear weapon and missile capabilities have focused attention on the issue of deterrence in Japan, as some political leaders question whether their country's defense posture and its alliance with the United States will continue to be adequate to deter potential North Korean coercion or aggression. China's nuclear weapons and military modernization programs are causing similar concerns. The key issue, however, is how well deterrence and extended deterrence (underwritten by the United States) will function in East Asia, given the dramatic changes in the regional security environment and recent U.S. arms-control initiatives. Precisely when Tokyo is placing greater emphasis on homeland defense issues, Washington is emphasizing maximum flexibility to fight insurgencies and prevent nuclear terrorism around the world. While Japan is taking keener interest in the U.S. nuclear umbrella, the United States is planning for deeper cuts in its nuclear arsenal. Th...
朝鲜加倍努力完善其核武器和导弹能力,引起了日本对威慑问题的关注,因为一些政治领导人质疑日本的防御姿态及其与美国的联盟是否足以继续阻止潜在的朝鲜胁迫或侵略。中国的核武器和军事现代化项目也引起了类似的担忧。然而,关键问题是,考虑到地区安全环境的巨大变化和美国最近的军备控制倡议,威慑和延伸威慑(由美国担保)将如何在东亚发挥作用。正当东京更加强调国土防御问题时,华盛顿却强调在打击叛乱和防止世界各地的核恐怖主义方面发挥最大的灵活性。日本对美国的核保护伞越来越感兴趣,而美国正计划进一步削减其核武库。Th……
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引用次数: 5
The future of the U.S.–ROK alliance: global perspectives 美韩同盟的未来:全球视野
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-12-17 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903298884
Nirav Patel, L. Ford
Abstract The U.S.–Republic of Korea (ROK) alliance has been a key component of America's bilateral alliance system in Asia for almost 60 years. For the past two decades, questions about the continued relevance of the alliance and America's commitment to South Korea have colored perceptions about the alliance's staying power in Washington and Seoul. To a large extent, this sense of strategic drift can be attributed to the failure of policymakers in both countries to define a strategic rationale for alliance-based cooperation outside of the Korean peninsula and the security architecture of the treaty. It has become increasingly obvious that absent a broad strategic reassessment, the United States will face tremendous challenges in maintaining support for this vital alliance. This article attempts to articulate a strategic framework that will help Washington and Seoul take the necessary steps to implement an enduring vision for the U.S.–ROK alliance. Central to this task will be a need for the United States ...
近60年来,美韩同盟一直是美国在亚洲双边同盟体系的重要组成部分。在过去的二十年里,关于美韩同盟的持续相关性以及美国对韩国的承诺的问题,影响了华盛顿和首尔对美韩同盟的持久力的看法。在很大程度上,这种战略漂移感可归因于两国决策者未能为朝鲜半岛以外的以联盟为基础的合作和条约的安全架构确定战略依据。越来越明显的是,如果不进行广泛的战略重新评估,美国将在维持对这一重要联盟的支持方面面临巨大挑战。本文试图阐明一个战略框架,帮助华盛顿和首尔采取必要步骤,实现美韩同盟的持久愿景。这项任务的核心是美国的需求。
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引用次数: 1
The Internet dilemma and control policy: political and economic implications of the Internet in North Korea 网络困境与控制政策:朝鲜网络的政治与经济影响
IF 0.4 4区 社会学 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2009-09-08 DOI: 10.1080/10163270903087204
Kyungmin Ko, Heejin Lee, Seungkwon Jang
Abstract The Internet poses a “dilemma” to authoritarian countries. While it can bring economic dynamism to a country, it can also cause political destabilization by enabling economic and political information to flow freely beyond governmental control. Internet policies vary from country to country depending upon their own strategies, their level of economic development and international politics. This paper discusses and examines political and economic implications of the Internet in North Korea in relation to theories and notions of the Internet dilemma and control policy in authoritarian regimes. North Korea cannot move drastically from its restrictive and reactive Internet policy to a proactive policy unless there are radical changes of the regime with regard to international relations and economic development. It is expected that North Korea will gradually experiment building and using an intranet internally, and increase the level of Internet opening while arranging technological and institutional ...
互联网给专制国家带来了一个“困境”。虽然它可以给一个国家带来经济活力,但它也可以使经济和政治信息在政府控制之外自由流动,从而造成政治不稳定。互联网政策因各国的战略、经济发展水平和国际政治而异。本文讨论并考察了互联网在朝鲜的政治和经济影响,涉及到专制政权的互联网困境和控制政策的理论和概念。除非北韩政权在国际关系和经济发展方面发生根本性的变化,否则北韩不可能从限制和被动的互联网政策急剧转变为积极的政策。预计北韩将逐步在国内尝试建立和使用内部网,并在安排技术和制度……的同时,提高互联网的开放水平。
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引用次数: 12
期刊
Korean Journal of Defense Analysis
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